We have a GREAT show for you today! Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev goes solo to break down some college basketball coaching and tempo changes for the 2023/2024 season! We also give you a FREE PLAY at the end of the show for Monday! Should you have any questions for the podcast for Monday, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click Here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 17th 2023
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146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!
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55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
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This is the kind of spot that I like to bet when it happens. As you know, Josh Mcdaniels was fired and Antonio Pierce come in. I like Pierce and he will bring a new defensive focus to this team. Even more importantly, a team tends to play a lot better when their coach is canned. They need to show that they were not the problem playing here at home. I know that Daniel Jones is back and all, but he will be playing with no offensive line as the Giants have suffered cluster injuries at those positions all year long. The Raiders have Aiden O’Connell at the helm today. The Jury is out on him, but he has looked quite capable so far this season while he also has better receivers to throw too. The Raiders are a net negative .5 yards per play while the Giants are a dismal net negative -1.4 and on the road. Take the Raiders.
Raiders ML -125 – 3 stars
Teaser: Panthers to +8.5 with the Bills to +8.5 – 3 stars. This isn’t our first teaser as Cleveland has went way up top to -13.5, but I like this one being that the Bills have fixed some defensive positions while the Panthers are playing for a coach that had gotten fired from the Colts.
LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 23: Quarterback Kedon Slovis #9 of the USC Trojans passes the ball in the first half of the game against the UCLA Bruins at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on November 23, 2019 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
Washington vs USC +3.5 O/U 76.5
Ok, I was one of the folks saying that USC was overrated since the start of the year. That was certaintly true, but it doesn’t mean that Washington should be laying past three points here to them on the road.
The Trojan’s defense has been their big crutch so far this year ranking 68th in success rate, but the Huskie’s defense quietly ranks worse at 98th in success rate.
Washington has a 1.12 net yards per play advantage over USC, I could easily argue that USC has played the rougher schedule thus far going to Notre Dame, ASU, Colorado and Cal while Washington went to Michigan State, Arizona when their new quarterback had just gotten their feet wet, and at Stanford last week.
Michael Penix has been a fantastic quarterback for the Huskies and he hasn’t made that many mistakes, but his stats are not much better than Caleb Williams who won the Heisman last year and has plenty of weapons on offense.
Another big weakness for the Husky defense is that they do not get sacks only ranking 126th in that department while USC ranks 26th. This should allow Caleb Williams to work.
I could see many ways that USC covers this spread.
Usc +3.5 – 2.5 stars
Liberty -14 – 2 stars – This line moved too much. LA Tech is garbage and cannot stop the run. Liberty should feast and keep that undefeated streak rolling.
Most casual racing fans know about the Triple Crown and the pageantry and prestige that surrounds three Saturdays in late spring. Full time fans and bettors know the best action of the year with the strongest fields happen at The Breeder’s Cup. The event returns to Santa Anita for the 40th Anniversary.
Races start at 12:10 Central time, and I am including picks for all 12 races on the card, The Breeders’ Cup races are numbers 3-11. The weather looks great and it should be a fast track this afternoon at Santa Anita. I’ll give you my pick to win and at least my top 4 for each race. How you build those Exacts, Trifectas and Multi-Race bets is up to you. Let’s go!
Race 1 Thoroughbred Aftercare Allicance Stakes – Grade II –1 5/8 Miles (Dirt)– Purse: $250,000 – Post Time: 12:10 CDT
The under-card kicks off with a long ride for three-year olds and up. I landed on the morning line favorite 3 Siskany (GB). The European horses had some success on Breeders’ Cup Friday and 3 Siskany had some success on his last trip the the USA in June at Belmont at the two mile distance.
Win: 3 Siskany
Top 4 if playing Exotics 3-5-6-2
Race 2 Twilight Derby -Grade II 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) Purse: $250,000 Post Time – 12:50 CDT
This final lead up to the Breeders Cup races features three year olds and another invasion of horses from Europe. This race feels wide open, but I landed on the 7 Seal Team stepping up in class after going 2 for 3 in California since coming back from a long layoff. He should get a bit of a challenge from Bob Baffert horse 3 Reincarnate and a pair of British brethren 11 Mondego and 12 Silver Knott.
Win: 7 Seal Team
Top 4 if playing Exotics 7-3-11-12
Race 3 The Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile – Grade I – 1 Mile (Dirt) – Purse: $1,000,000 Post Time: 1:30 CDT
The feels like Deja Vu for this race from last year. 3 Cody’s Wish is still around. Still hasn’t lost at the 1 mile distance. He did have a bad trip two times ago out at Saratoga struggling at a longer distance and getting beat by ten lengths by White Abbario. It does feel like 4 Zozos could charge out fast and really up the pace here, which I think will hurt closer 2 Practical Move. I’m not going against Cody’s Wish here until someone beats him at a mile.
Win: 3 Cody’s Wish
Top 4 If playing Exotics 3-4-2-7
Race 4 The Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf – Grade I – 1 1/4 Miles (TURF) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time: 2:10 CDT
2 Warm Heart and Aiden O’brien look to replicate the trainer’s success in this event and quite honestly overall huge success at the Breeder’s Cup when pairing up with jockey Ryan Moore as they won the Juvenile Turf together on Friday also. 2 Warm Heart will be stepping back a 1/4 mile in distance and will have to contend with some more early pace than she’s had across the pond lately. 6 Inspiral is stepping up in distance from a mile, but this race starts coming down the chute and should not cause any issues there. 9 Didia has only been beaten once in the last two years, but hasn’t faced this caliber of class yet.
Win: 6 Inspiral
Top 4 If playing Exotics 6-2-9-1
Race 5 – PNC Bank Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint – Grade I – 7 Furlongs (DIRT) – Purse: $1,000,000 – Post Time 2:50 CDT
1 Goodnight Olive, Chad Brown and Irad have been quite the trio at this distance winning 6 out of 8 tries including this same event last year at Keeneland. 7 Society who was bested by 1 Goodnight Olive by 5 lengths in April has since improved and will be in pay. I also look to the 4 Matareya to be in play near the front and if she can get out ahead of 1 Goodnight Olive along the rail the favorite could have a rough trip.
Win: 7 Society
Top 4 If playing Exotics 7-4-1-8
Race 6 The Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By PDJF – Grade I – 1 Mile (Turf) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time: 3:30CDT
The favorite 10 Songline has shown the best times recently, but has a plethora of American talent at mid-level odds right behind him so I will be looking mostly towards playing some longer shot exotics in this race which I think is wide open. 10 Songline also will be making his first start on this side of the Pacific coming over from Japan and having run less than a month ago. The other favorite 14 Master of the Seas has to come all the way across from the outside and isn’t a horse that likes playing from near the front. I’m fading the chalk to win, but am giving you deeper exotic picks here.
Win: 8 Du Jour
Top 6 If playing Exotics 8-2-9-10-14-3
Race 7 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff – Grade I – 1 1/8 Miles (Dirt) – Purse $2,000,000 Post Time 4:10 CDT
There’s going to be too much early speed with strong horses for crowd favorite 9 Clairiere or the other closers to come from the back in this one. Look for these three horses to get out to the front and battle it all the way to the wire. Brad Cox entry 4 Idiomatic has won the last four times out including two Grade I wins. Baffert horse 5 Adare Manor has won five straight on the west coast. Chad Brown’s 8 Randomized has won the last three. I’ll take the extra odds and lock these three up in multi-race bets
Win: 8 Randomized
Top 4 if playing Exotics 8-5-4-1
Race 8 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf – Grade I – 1 1/2 Miles (TURF) – Purse: $4,000,000 Post Time: 4:50 CDT
Irish Derby winner 5 Auguste Rodin seemingly should be able to handle this field, but has mixed in two abhorrent trips into the last year of races where he just doesn’t show up. As long as today isn’t one of those days look for the previously mentioned combo of Aiden O’Brien and Ryan Moore to appear in the winner’s circle again. 5 Auguste Rodin has bested second choice 11 King of Steel every time they’ve run. I think the biggest challenge could come from the outside 13 War Like Goddess or possibly a sneaky longshot combo of Johnny V and Aiden O’Brien teaming up on 4 Bolshoi Ballet
Win: 5 Auguste Rodin
Top 4 if playing Exotics 5-13-4-11
Race 9 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic – Grade I -1 1/4 Miles (Dirt) Purse $6,000,000 – Post Time 5:40 CDT
I’m fading 3 White Abbario in the big one here. While certainly improved this year this horse hasn’t stretched out to this distance and had success and there is too much talent in this field that is used to going the extra furlong here. 8 Ushba Tesoro has won six straight races in Japan and has some nice times at this distance. 11 Bright Future and 13 Proxy put up 2:03 at Saratoga in September in quite a battle and could be battling at the front of this one. Baffert’s 12 Arabian Knight hasn’t posted elite times, but has shown the ability to rally and ride from the front and should joining the 11 and 13 horses in trying to get out quick. 2 Zandon got trounced by 3 White Abbario in August, but bounced back to form in his next outing and has shown some strength at this distance. With my original pick 1 Arcangelo scratched I’m torn on this one and will have lots of horses in multi-race plays out of the classic.
Win: 11 Bright Future
Top 6 If playing Exotics 11-13-8-2-12-4
Race 10 The Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint – Grade I – 5 Furlongs (TURF) – Purse: $1,000,000 – Post Time: – 6:25 CDT
With the order changed on the west coast to get the classic at it’s usual TV time for those back east we end the cup with the sprints later this year. If you want to see horses fly this is the spot. 3 Caravel has been beaten the last two times out and hasn’t looked the same, but certainly could revert to form and repeat last year’s victory. The challenge will come from everywhere. I like the remarkably consistent speed of 7 Nobals to be in play. Big improvement on their last run shows 12 Arzak will certainly have a shot, but he’ll need to find away to get across early and shorten the trip which could prove difficult with the inside speed in this race. 10 Motorious will get Flavien Prat in a look to improve from last two runs which were a step back in speed. Double digit prices on 8 Aesop’s Fables and 9 Roses for Debra are also attractive as with some improvement both could make some noise.
Win: 12 Arzak
Top 6 if playing Exotics 12-3-7-8-9-10
Race 11 The Qatar Racing Breeders’ Cup Sprint – Grade I – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time 7:00 CDT
The final race of the cup is the dirt sprint. 8 Elite Power won this race last year and is the favorite here. He was beaten last time out moving up to 7f and drops back down to six here and will face some strong sprinters. 2 Dr. Schivel took most of last year off and has quickly gotten back into form. Local legends 6 The Chosen Vron who has won eight straight and 7 Speed Boat Beach will both be right there at the end. 9 Gunite hasn’t beaten 8 Elite Power at this distance, but was the horse that got him at Saratoga in August.
Win: 8 Elite Power
Top 4 if playing Exotics 8-2-9-7
Race 2 Allowance 6 1/2 Furlongs (Hillside Turf) Purse: $100,000 +30,000 Cal-Breds- Post Time – 7:30 CDT
Last chance to win some money on the card. Hopefully we had a great day and are just popping some champagne and maybe watching a late pick 4 still have a shot. No deep dive here
Jalen has gone under this mark in 9 out of his last 10 games.
In his matchups against Golden State he has been under in all 3 of them.
Last season, Williams only went over this number in 14% of the game he played in on the road.
Best of luck to everyone! As always feel free to follow me on Twitter (X) @MileHighScore. If you are wanting an app that not only tracks your bets, but allows you to shop for the best lines on the books you use download Betstamp and use code JOHNNYG! Have a great weekend everyone!
USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click Here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 17th 2023
To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
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Man, I missed writing my articles, getting my opinion out there. Albeit I have been wrong more than right, but only good bettors can own up to their losses instead of backing away or blaming the refs or bad luck. We all experience it, we all go through it, it’s part of the process. I can tell everyone reading this from my experience, the day you stop blaming the refs, is the day you start visualizing these games better without a bias. It’s helped me tremendously this year, and honestly has made watching sports more fun. Instead of immediately jumping into the thought process “oh the refs are out to screw me”, newsflash they’re NOT. Now do they bet, do they make some unflappable decisions that can’t be defended, are there ever ulterior motives (AE: Dolphin-Eagles game)? Well, let’s save that conversation for a different day, but we can most definitely all agree on one thing, THEY SUCK most of the time! Get over it, accept it and move on. I promise you it’s well worth it. Now enough with my soap opera on all that non-sense, onto the real reason you’re reading this. Why I love the Cowboys of Wyoming tonight?
It all starts with Wyoming head coach Craig Bohl, the man just knows how to win on Friday nights. In the last 5 years on Friday’s under Bohl’s operation, the Cowboys are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS. With the lone ATS loss on black Friday last year where your preparation is nowhere near the same as opposed to the middle of the season. They have also won outright as dogs the last 3 seasons, as well as 3-0 SU and ATS at home. I’m usually not one for trends on a certain day of the week, but Friday night football is just different. Your thought process, your preparation, your mindset as a player and as a coach is just straight up different. Then you throw in the process as a student athlete, and it makes it even more complicated. We can talk about the X’s and O’s all day long on these two teams, but at the end of the day the team that is more prepared for these Friday night games is usually victorious. Now some will say, doesn’t that apply to every game? Well, yes and no, but I do know it has a more drastic effect on Friday’s. We should play a drinking game with this article; every time I say “ref” or “Friday” you must take a shot. Haha just kidding.
Look, Bohl has always been known for his defenses so why are their numbers so bad versus the run this year? Well, when you have Texas, Boise, and Air Force on your schedule, I would imagine they won’t be great. Luckily for them CSU hates to run and when they do, it’s unsuccessful. I mean, they only managed 112 yards versus Utah Tech and are averaging 2.9 YPC in 2023, gross. Which means CSU QB Fowler-Nicolosi will be airing it all over the field, like he has tried to do many times this year. Facing a stingy Wyoming pass defense could mean he will be in for a long night. With Wyoming ranking 29th in the country in YPA at 6.5 yards.
On offense look for Wyoming to ride Junior RB Harrison Waylee, who was having a tremendous season before his injury October 7th. He did make his comeback versus Air Force last week, only to be denied for all 4 quarters, but let’s be honest Air Force is GOOD! I believe he will revert to his earlier 2023 form getting to face a run defense who are giving up 171 yards per game and almost 6 yards per rush. Now while the same could be said about CSU facing run heavy offenses, Utah State ran for 252 on them earlier this season is all I needed to look at.
Let’s back the Cowboys tonight in Laramie, laying the 6 points with a strong unit upgrade!
We have twelve games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down some sides/totals along with a few player props to take a look at.
Picks:
Vancouver Canucks in Regulation (-140) – DraftKings
Vancouver has been playing some great hockey as of late winning four of their last five games. They face off against a winless San Jose Sharks team that has been horrendous. The Canucks rank 4th in GF/GP (4) and GA/GP (2.33) while San Jose ranks dead last in GF/GP and 30th in GA/GP (3.78). Thatcher Demko will get the start for Vancouver tonight who’s had a great start to the season ranking 5th in Goal Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with a +6.1. While San Jose will eventually get their first win of the season, I don’t believe it happens tonight as the Canucks should handle them in regulation.
New York Islanders moneyline (-118) – FanDuel
The Islanders are coming off a 4-3 overtime loss to Detroit in their last game. They face a Washington team that has won three straight against some sub-par opponents outside of New Jersey. Two of those three wins they had came against some of the worst defensive teams in the NHL (Minnesota and San Jose). New York should be able to shut down Washington’s offense tonight which has started to pick up. This should be a low-scoring affair where we see New York come away with a 3/2 – 1 victory.
Minnesota Wild moneyline (+100) – BetMGM
Tampa Bay Lightning/ Columbus Blue Jackets over 6.5 (-130) – DraftKings
Player Props:
Sam Reinhart over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-143) – BetRivers
Reinhart has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 6.4 shot attempts per game.
Detroit currently ranks 20th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 31.40. At home, that number drops slightly up to 31.20. They’ve also given up the 6th most shots on goal per game to Centers.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetRivers as they have the best odds, you can get up to $500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Brayden Point over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-145) – DraftKings
Point has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.6 shots on goal and 5.4 shot attempts per game.
Columbus currently ranks 26th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 32.78. At home, that number jumps up to 34.17. They’ve also given up the 10th most shots on goal per game to Centers.
In each of his last two matchups against the Blue Jackets, Point recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.
Quinn Hughes over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-150) – BetRivers
Hughes has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.2 shots on goal and 8.4 shot attempts per game.
San Jose currently ranks 32nd in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 38.33. At home, that number jumps up to 40.50. They’ve also given up the most shots on goal per game to Defensemen.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetRivers as they have the best odds, you can get up to $500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click Here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 17th 2023
To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
If you want to take ownership of your health, try AG1 and get a FREE 1-year supply of Vitamin D AND 5 Free AG1 Travel Packs with your first purchase. Go to drinkAG1.com/oddsbreakers
