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Articles are 5-3-1 so far in February, so let’s close out this weekend STRONG with another unit upgrade! Will have all numbers updated on Twitter tomorrow.

Toronto at Memphis -1 1/2 (O/U 228 1/2)

If you have been reading my content, you might have an idea where I’m going with this game. The Grizzlies got embarrassed on national TV this past Friday when Brooks struck Mitchell in the groin. They have lost 7 of 8 and have struggled without Adams, who has been out since Jan 23rd with a PCL strain. During the last 3 weeks they have been without Bane as well as Konchar for numerous games, but they are much better than recent results have shown. Jaren Jackson missed the Cavalier game with a thigh injury Thursday, but looked good at practice yesterday and has confirmed he will be back tonight. They head home where they sport a 21-4 record SU and are 5-2 ATS off a loss at home. Where they will play quite possibly a perfect opponent. A tired Raptors team where Memphis will use their speed and extreme athletic ability against them. I believe they will go small tonight and just be too fast for Toronto.

The Raptors are finishing their 7 game road trip with their 7th game in 12 days. While playing 10/12 away, they have a record of 3-6 ATS in away games during that span. No Toronto does not turn the ball over much, but I think this could be a rare game where they have many of them when fatigue sets in. Not to mention they face a Grizzlies team who are averaging 17.8 TO’s a game defensively in their last 5 games.

I think Memphis gets back to their old ways where they lead the league in FG%, luckily Toronto has given up 52.2 FG% in their last 5. They will try to out shoot them and get easy looks.

*UNIT UPGRADE*

Grizzlies -1 (DraftKings -110) 1.5 units

Good luck to all those tailing!

If you like my articles for betting purposes or just enjoy reading for the information, please give me a follow @TrustRocco on Twitter!

I have not one, but TWO UNIT UPGRADES tonight! Unfortunately the line movement on both has gone against us in CLV, but I still like the positions non-the-less. Just a heads up if you’re putting in the plays now, Jokic is questionable tonight. The line moving up tells me he’s in, but as we know it’s the NBA, do we ever REALLY know?

Washington at Brooklyn +1 (O/U 223 1/2)

The Wizards head to Brooklyn playing back to back nights. Why is that so important you ask? They sport a 7-2 ATS record with ZERO days rest. These guys clearly seem to like it and embrace it, outright winning 6/7 covers and 4 of them by 10+ points. There 0-3 this year vs. Brooklyn, but KD was in all of those games scoring 28, 30 and 39 points. Those losses also came before their recent resurgence, winning 12 of their last 18 games. While covering 6 in a row until there 2nd half collapse last night.

The Wizards looking to get back on stride(harness racing analogy), land a fortunate opponent. Brooklyn comes into this game still figuring things out, which doesn’t look to end anytime soon with the Kyrie drama. They give up over 50% from the field and 43% from three in their last five games. For me, Washington’s defense has been the difference the last 7 weeks. They rank overall in the league, 5th in FG%, 6th in 3 pointers made, 8th in FT attempts and 5th in assists. That shows hard work, determination and discipline on the defensive end. We know this team can score, but if they slow down the Nets could be a long night for Brooklyn!

Wizards -1 (Barstool -112) 2 units

1H: Wizards ML -110 (DraftKings) 1 unit

Atlanta at Denver -7 1/2 (O/U 231 1/2)

Many would say the Hawks are the Hot team right now, they have shot the ball exceptionally well and gotten off to good starts. Atlanta comes off two wins, but neither were that impressive to me. The Suns looked uninspired 3 nights ago, and Utah played as sloppy as you could play last night. Which leads to, Atlanta is playing a back to back, 5 of their last 6 away and there 4th game in 6 days. While there defense was somewhat better in the L2, previous to that teams were shooting the day lights off of them. Averaging a combined 52% shooting in those 7, with some of them north of 52, ouch!

Denver comes into this game, with back to back home victories covering in both. Their record ATS is juicy, as 4.5-7.5 point favorites, they have covered 6 of their last 7. With the lone non cover coming on the road. The Nuggets lead the league in FG%, while averaging 28.8 assists per game and shooting 41.4% from three at home. None of this bodes well for Atlanta. I’m laying the points here with the Nuggets!

Nuggets – 7 1/2 (BetMGM -110) 1.25 units

Looking for the sweep tonight and a big weekend, Good luck to all those tailing!

If you like my articles for betting purposes or just enjoy reading for the information, please give me a follow @TrustRocco on Twitter!

Now lets BUILD on this tremendous start to February!

Sacramento at Indiana +1 (O/U 235 1/2)

Man am I glad I waited to put this in, the number has been steadily dropping all day. Take this road favorite! Yes I know, no De’Aaron Fox, yes he’s a big part of their offense, but I believe they will be fine tonight with out him. His +/- on the court is not as good as you would think, in his last 7 games +17, +2, -7, -30, +14, +3 and +3. If you watched last nights Pacer game I’m not worried he’s not there. Halliburton was the boost they needed and Nesmith recorded his best game of the season, yet they still lost, and have lost 10/11. This King team shoots too well from the outside and gets aggressive in the paint. Sabonis could be in for a big night!

Listen to these staggering numbers, Sacramento has only played 7 games in their last 24 away from home and 2 were back to back in the same city. On the road they’re 15-8 ATS overall, as a road favorite of 9.5 or less they’re 16-10-1 ATS and they’re 10-4 away ATS off a win. They’re also 5-2 ATS last 7 on the road and 3-1 as favorites.

Sacramento has been much better as of late defensively, giving up 113 points or less in 6 of the last 8. I believe they find there groove tonight offensively as well, the Pacers give up 26.3 assists per game, which tells me they give up “easy buckets!”

Kings -1 (DraftKings -110) 1.5 units

Leans: Sabonis over 22 1/2 points (-110)

If you like my articles for betting purposes or just enjoy the reading for information and maybe some would say ‘different’ takes, please give me a follow @TrustRocco on Twitter!

LA Lakers at Indiana +2 1/2 (O/U 240 1/2)

This will be a position play, where I like the points. Indiana losers of 9/10, head back home and finally land an ‘easier’ opponent. 8 of their last 9 games they have faced a current 1/2 seed in 5 of them. Playing Milwaukee twice, Memphis twice, Denver, and going on the road to Phoenix and OKC. All tough, physical teams! The Pacers are on 3 days rest and hopefully get back potential All-Star Tyrese Haliburton, which could be the boost they need!

Now the Lakers are playing their 4th game in 6 days, including 2 OT’s. They come off a game where they shot 52% from the field, I don’t see them duplicating that process tonight. In the previous 4 games they shot 39, 45, 44 and 44%, where that won’t be enough to beat a hungry Pacer team still in the playoff hunt!

Pacers +2 1/2 (Caesars -110) 0.75 unit

Charlotte at Chicago -6 (O/U 237)

I will be doubling up on this bet from 2 nights ago where we were unsuccessful. Heading into this past Tuesday night, the Hornets have found themselves behind at Halftime in each of the previous 7 games, with an average margin of -10 points. The Bucks were unable to shut them down defensively and finished tied at half, breaking the streak. Now the Bulls have started hot, but have been unable to finish games. Being ahead in each of their last 6 at half, with a margin of +9.8 points.

The last meeting between these two, Chicago shot 41% from the field and 16% from three. I don’t see Charlotte being able to shut them down again, the Bulls average 36.8% from three, and 48.9% from the field. The Hornets hit the glass hard averaging 12 offensive boards a game and that’s where the difference will be, 2nd chance points! The Bulls rank 6th, giving up 9.7 offensive boards a game. If this stat holds true, Chicago will have no trouble handling Charlotte tonight!

*Unit Upgrade*

1H: Bulls -3 (DraftKings -115) 1.25 units

LA Clippers at Milwaukee -4 (O/U 230 1/2)

These are two teams that haven’t played much defense of late. The Clippers come in playing 11 games in 16 days, including 2 back to backs and 8/9 on the road. 4 of their last 5 games have gone over, and now face a Buck team shooting over 50% from the field and averaging 17 three’s per game there last 5!

The numbers favor both sides here, with the Clippers sporting a 18-11 record to the over on the road and Milwaukee going over 13 of their last 17 at home. I think this game screams points, the Clippers have a deep bench and will need them to stay in this game tonight.

Over 230 1/2 (Caesars -110) 1 unit