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November 22nd CBB Premium Play

By
Michael Fordham
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Premium Plays: 73-36-1, +52u

*CBB(1.5u): Cincinnati 1H TT UNDER 30(-120) vs Illinois–5:30 PM CT

Illinois has the best defense in College Basketball according to KenPom; they’ve shown nothing to dispel that notion to this point in the season. While allowing 67 points to Marquette isn’t eye-opening, they allowed just 28 points in the 1st Half before melting down in the second half on the offensive side of the floor and surrendering some fluky buckets. Cincinnati is a brand name program, but I don’t rate them as a serious tournament contender this season. They have the 133rd best offense in the country according to KenPom and don’t go at an overly fast pace that could catch the Illini off guard. Illinois star C Kofi Cockburn will rejoin the team tonight for his first appearance of the season; his presence down low should make it even tougher for the Bearcats to get points in the paint. Because Cockburn’s return could mess up the rhythm of the Illini offense, I think the best play in this game is the TT Under on the Cincinnati side in the first half.

Rob Vinciletti: Monday Comp Play + BIG Monday Card Info

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Monday night Football Double Perfect Game of the Month headlines tonight along with a Pair of NCAAB Power Plays a side and Total. NHL Comp play below.
 
The NHL Comp play is on St. Louis at 8:10 eastern. The Blues dominated Las Vegas in a road win back in October and have won 5 of 7 as a home favorite and 5 of 6 on Mondays. They apply to a nice system here cashing over 80% for home favorites off a loss vs a team off a 5+ game home stand. Vegas had won 5 of 6 at home and now take to the road and this is a tough venue. In the series the favorite has won 11 of 14. Look for the Blues to get the win. The NFL Monday night Play of the Month is up with 2 different Monday night Database Systems that are both perfect dating to 1990. There is also a 5* NCAAB Blowout up and a Powerful Totals. lay. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook toJump on as we start the week big. For the NHL Comp play. Go with St. Louis. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

Premiums, 11.22

By
Chris R. Farley
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NBA:

  • Rockets/Celtics under 212 **
  • Wizards -3.5 **
  • Suns -6 **
NFL:
  • Giants +11 **

November 21st NBA Free Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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My premium record currently sits at 72-36-1, +51u with an NFL play currently in action. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*NBA(1u): Knicks +5.5 @ Bulls–7:10 PM CT

The Bulls(11-5) have gotten off to a hot start this season, but I believe they are due to regress to their mean. Moreover, this is not a good spot for Chicago. They return from a 5 game West coast road trip with only 1 days rest to prepare for this feisty Knicks bunch. The Knicks haven’t been playing great, but they did just win 2 of 3 back home at MSG and seem to be improving defensively. Tom Thibodeau takes the regular season more seriously than maybe any other coach in the NBA; he is going to have his team ready to play tonight. 5.5 is too many points, and I have no problem playing against a Bulls team that is not as good as their record says they are. 

*NBA(1u): Raptors +9 @ Warriors–7:40 PM CT

The Warriors(14-2) are on absolute fire to start the season, and I’ll admit that it can be hard to play against them given Steph Curry’s ability to completely take over a game. However, this isn’t a great spot for them coming off a 4 game East Coast with only 1 day of rest entering tonight. In the last game of that road trip, they beat a bad Pistons team by a mere 3 points; this could indicate the Warriors are starting to come back down to earth. Toronto(8-9) is an undervalued team in my estimation and benefit from being on the West coast for the past week. They looked brilliant in a 21 point win in Sacramento on Friday, and they should be geared up to give the Warriors everything they can handle tonight. 9 is too many points considering this spot. 

NBA Premiums 11.21 (and one NFL Parlay)

By
Chris R. Farley
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The only thing I’ll say about our CFB Picks is wow, betting that shitty is pretty hard to do. Can’t perseverate on it – we move on. Our NBA bets are still chugging along; probably best to tail me in the NBA before any other sport, in case you haven’t already figured that out. Onto Sunday!
NBA:
  • Lakers -7.5 **
  • Bulls -5 *
  • Mavs/LAC under 214 **
NFL Parlay:
  • Eagles / 49ers / Seahawks (+283 – 2 units to win 5.66 units)

November 21st NFL Premium Play

By
Michael Fordham
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Premium Plays: 72-36-1, +51u

*NFL(1u): Dolphins/Jets UNDER 44.5(-110)–Noon CT

The Jets have been torched each of the past 4 games, but the Dolphins present the perfect “get right” spot for the New York defense. The Dolphins simply cannot establish the run(Myles Gaskin: 3.4 YPC), forcing their QB(s) into predictable passing situations. With that said, I believe the Dolphins defense has turned a corner as they’ve started to get healthier. They forced 4 turnovers against the Texans two weeks ago before yielding just 10 points to Lamar Jackson’s Ravens last week. I’ve always liked Brian Flores’s defensive mind, and his team is starting to gear into solid current form. They get a dream matchup in this one with Joe Flacco filling into a depleted NYJ QB room. Flacco is collecting checks at this point in his career and is simply not equipped to execute at a high level in the NFL. Last season, in a similar scenario, this Miami defense pitched a shutout against the Flacco-led Jets; I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a repeat performance today. I do think there’s a chance the Jets can control how this game is played, but either way, I see quite a bit of value on the Under.

NFL Week 11 Sunday Fun-day Free Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Washington vs Carolina -3 O/U 43

Both teams are it a let down spot here. I think Washington’s let down is larger here because they beat the super bowl champs and Carolina beat a great team with a backup quarterback in the Cardinals.  Now I’m not a big Cam Newton fan but he seems to always start well and he is really hyping this team up high.  Washington has the better offense by some stretch of the imagination but Carolina has the much better defense here ranking 2 in opponent EPA per play.  Carolina has a .4 net yard per play advantage, but Washington has had the much harder schedule so that number is close to a wash but losing Montez Sweat and Chase young will hurt Washington’s pass rush and in defending the screens to CMC.   I think there is a much better path to victory with the Panthers than with the WFT.

Carolina – 3 – 2.5 stars

Indianapolis vs Buffalo -7 O/U 49

Ok My total number on this game was 48 but that was before the weather report was showing cold weather, high winds, and rain during the second half of this game.   The Passing game should be a lot more limited here and the run game will be utilized.  In saying that, the Bills rank number 1 in opponent rush EPA and the Colts rank number 3.  On offense the Colts are number 2 in rush EPA per play while the Bills rank 14th.   I am very concerned for Carson Wentz here if they get behind as the Bills rank number 2 in pressure rate.  In saying that, this is a high spread for a weather compromised game so the under I think is the best play here.

Under 49 – 2 stars

6 PT Teaser – Cowboys to +8.5 with the Bears to +11 – 1.5 stars

Rob Vinciletti: Sunday NFL Power System Play

By
Rob Vinciletti
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The Sunday night Football Play of the Year Headlines, along with an Executive Level TIER 1, and the 100% AFC Top play going early. There is also the NBA Game of the week , NHL and more. Comp play below.
 
The NFL Comp play is on Carolina at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers fit 2 different systems here today one is to play on home favorites of 5 or less that are off a road dog win vs a team like Washington that is off a home dog win. Washington also fits a secondary play against system that goes against teams that are off a win vs a defending Super Bowl Champ. Carolina has covered 5 of 6 after allowing 150 or less pass yards and 5 of 7 off a win 14 or more. Carolina has covered 5 of 7 in the series and we will back then to get the cover today. The Sunday night Play of the year in NFL Action headlines along with an afternoon TIER 1, NBA and NHL. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on as we continue to cash. For the Comp play. Go with Carolina. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

NFL Week 11 Free Play

By
Steve Norman
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LFG! I am due, you are due, and an Eagles win/cover is due.  Week 11 is in for a rough one as we #BEATHEBOOK! Current NFL record: 87-60 +31.07 Units.

Home field has certainly not been an advantage for the Eagles this season.  They are currently 5-5 ATS, but 1-3 ATS at home and 0-4 SU.  That will change on Sunday!

Phi -2.5 (-120)

The dynamic presence of Jalen Hurts has proven to give defenses trouble this year.  Not only has Hurts been getting it done on the ground, but is starting to take form through the air with a 67.5% completion percentage his last two games.  We saw Hurts get his first NFL start against the Saints last season, upsetting them 24-21.  This is a new season and Saints defense is certainly up to the task to learn from their mistakes last year.  The key difference in this game is the Saints defense will be trying their best to contain Hurts vs. the Eagles defense completely shutting down Siemian.

Second week in a row for the Saints are without their dynamic play maker in Alvin Kamara. Now this week the Saints are without both their Left and Right starting offensive tackles.  Simply put the Eagles defensive front should absolutely DOMINATE this match up and be in the face of Trevor Siemian all day.  That constant pressure that will be exhibited will make for turnovers and short field starting possessions for the Eagles to work with.  Darius Slay has been a MONSTER this season shutting down teams number 1 receivers week to week.  I do not see how the Saints will effectively be able to move the ball consistently.  Yes, they will be cute and try their gadget plays with Taysom Hill (if he plays)… it is just not sustainable throughout the course of this game.  Saints offense will be flat, vanilla, and predictable.  Mistakes will be made and the Eagles will capitalize. Fly Eagles Fly, the AINTS go stumbling home. Phi -2.5 

Key Trends:

  • Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC South
  • Saints are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in NFC East

 

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