Hey guys! After cashing on our free play yesterday, we are back with a free premium play for you for today! We are off to a 17-10 start in CBB to begin the season and 31-19 in our last 50 CFB plays! Whether you tail or not, good luck to everyone with their plays tonight!!
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The Indiana Hoosiers play host to the Marshall Thundering Herd on Saturday night from Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. The Thundering Herd enter with a 4-1 record and are scoring 82.8 points per game on 45% shooting against defenses allowing 72.3 points per game on 42.8% from the field while the Hoosiers are scoring 75 points per game on 48.4% shooting against opposing defenses giving up 71.6 points and 42.2% from the floor. The big difference in this game will be pace of play and defense. Marshall comes in with an emphasis on pushing the pace and scoring the ball, while the Hoosiers have made a living on the defensive end early on. Marshall ranks 3rd in pace of play while the Hosiers are suffocating on defense as they only allow 52.8 points per game and 28.4% from the field, finding themselves ranked fifth nationally in scoring defense. Marshall is yet to even play a road game this season, so Saturday night’s game might be an eye-opening experience for their lineup. While Marshalls field goal percentage is respectable, their three-point percentage is dreadful, coming in 342nd nationally which could be an issue for the Thundering Herd since Indiana is the best in the nation in defensive effective field goal percentage and two-point percentage. This one could get out of hand tonight, as I look for the Hosiers to control this game from start to finish and cover this spread. Take Indiana -10.5
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Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving. As an Eagles fan, I can’t be too mad about the Dallas loss. However, it did lead to a 2-1 day rather than a clean sweep. Let’s stay on the winning side as we dig in for these extremely close week 12 spreads!
Sea +1 (-110)
As I always say on our podcast (Laying the points with Farley Bets) it is a QB driven league. Finding spots where a high caliber, talented, veteran Qb is getting points, is always a great angle to play. Russell Wilson absolutely DOMINATES MNF match ups. He has a career record of 10-2 on MNF with a 66% completion percentage, 20 tds, and 5 ints. He is a beast. Along with that, he completely owns the NFC East as a whole with a 15-3 record. However, of those 18 games played, he has only played WFT 3 times, carrying a 2-1 record.
We are aware the Seahawks “Legion of Boom” defensive days are a thing of the past. On the other side WFT isn’t exactly living up to the high expectations hype defensively either. This game will be won on the offensive side of the ball. I am looking for a back and forth affair with big play potential from both teams. My question is who am I going to put my money on to win the game, if defenses are not going to be a factor? Russell Wilson.
Seahawks got absolutely dismantled and downright embarrassed last week against the Cardinals and back up Qb Colt Mccoy. They are extremely desperate for a win and what better way to show up and show out then primetime MNF. This is still a very talented Seahawks offense that can move the ball and score at will. Washington coming off a two week winning stretch may lead to them feeling themselves a little too much. This is uncharted territory for Washington, they do not know how to handle success. Seattle is humbled, hungry, and ready. Russell Wilson puts the team on his shoulders. Sea +1.
Happy Saturday, people! CFB plays are 3-0 so far- here’s to 5 more today!
Here are today’s NBA Plays:
Hornets -6 *
Hawks -5 **
Suns/Nets over 221 *
Heat -1.5 **
Lean, Pelicans +13 (even though they beat Utah last night, I don’t see the Jazz suddenly annihilating them. Although it is the Jazz, at home, in a revenge game. Just a lean for me)
161/162 Wake Forest (-5) at Boston College Total 64
Seeing money coming in on BC, taking this line from it’s -5.5 open to as low as -4.5 in some books. That is likely due to the cold, slightly wet, and very windy day ahead for these pass heavy squads. Although BC has been pass heavy since the return of their stud QB, they have a shown in the past they can be successful on the ground.
Looking at the SDQL database for teams in the situation Wake Forest is in… Since 2014, when Dave Clawson became coach for the Demon Deacons, when we have a team who is an away favorite off a loss of 21 or more, where they threw for over 300 yards but had their previous opponent rush for over 300, these teams are 4-0 SU and ATS. Granted the opponents in these games (UCONN, NMEX, etc) were truly bad teams which BC is not.
So then we look at the total. When BC has had a home game during QB Jurkovec’s tenure with a total of 64 or higher, the lone game went under. And it was versus this same WF squad in 2019, with a 24-27 loss at home. The market agrees the under is the play moving this total from it’s 65 open down to 64. We’ve seen in high wind games 15mph+ (>24mph gusts expected), that offenses have a harder time getting the ball in the end zone and FG’s are pretty much an afterthought. These are two teams that have both struggled to run the ball as well lately, give me the Under 64!
Saturday Headliners include the College Football Last home game Play of the Year, 5-1 last 6 years, an Executive Level TIER 1 and 2 more best Bets. We also have a Top NBA Play and Our Early Season NCAAB System plays on an 11-4 run. ACC Comp play below
The ACC Comp play for Saturday is on Virginia at 3:45 eastern. The Cavs have revenge here and they have covered 5 of 7 in that role. The host team in this series is on a 7-1 spread run. Virginia has Nice numbers here covering in 5 of 5 vs team under .500 on the road and the last 7 after putting up over 475 yards. They are 7-1 ats when favored and have covered 20 of 27 here at home. Virginia Tech has failed to cover 9 of 11 on the road, 6 of 7 in November games, 6 of 8 vs winning teams an they are 0-5 ats after allowing 280 or more yards. The Hokies will have trouble containing the nations #2 pass offense. Play on Virginia. On Saturday a huge card is up led by the Last home game system play of the year a winner in 5 of the last 6 years.. There is also an Executive Level TIER 1 and 2 more top College Football plays. In hoops we have another big NBA Top play and our early season College hoop plays which are on a current 11-4 run. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to Jump on now and cash out all day and night. For the ACC Comp play. Lay the 7 with Virginia. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
Western Kentucky is 1st in the nation in offensive success. They are throwing it 67% of the time. Marshall’s pass D looks good on paper. 11th in opponent QBR and 34th in pass play success rate allowed. Who have they played that can throw it around? No one. App State likely the best passing attack they have faced. Brice has been good for them, but Chase Brice is no Bailey Zappe that’s for sure.
Western Kentucky’s defense has become a ball hawking unit. Forced 19 fumbles this year (have recovered only 7 of them). Have 18 interceptions. Second most in the country- first? Iowa of course! The Hilltoppers have forced 22 turnovers in their last 7 games. Fantastic stuff.
What about Marshall quarterback Grant Wells? He can be a turnover machine at times. 12 INT’s on the season. Marshall has fumbled the ball 17 times this year (have lost only 8).
In CUSA play only. W Kentucky has a +1.68 ypp margin. Marshall is +1.27 ypp margin. I think Western Kentucky’s defense has improved a lot and their offense is clearly fantastic.
Happy Black Friday all! We are back with a free premium play for you for today! We are off to a 16-9 start in CBB to begin the season and 31-17 in our last 42 CFB plays! Whether you tail or not, good luck to everyone with their plays tonight!!
The Northern Kentucky Norse visit Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois on Friday to play the DePaul Blue Demons. Northern Kentucky is 2-2 following a 69-67 loss to Western Illinois on Monday while the Blue Demons enter with an undefeated 4-0 record after beating Western Illinois by 4 points last Saturday. Northern Kentucky enters averaging 70 points per game on 41.3% shooting against defenses giving up 40.7% from the field. On defense they have been holding teams to 70.7 points per game on 45% from the field but that’s against offenses averaging 42.4% from the floor. DePaul comes in averaging 88.2 points per game on 47.7% shooting against defenses surrendering 43.6% from the field and 72.8 points per game. Defensively, they are giving up 72 points per game on 41.8% shooting against below average offenses scoring 67 points per game and shooting 38.9 from the floor. There is also a clear advantage for the Blue Demons on second chance points as they rank 41st in the nation in second chance percentage vs the average opponent and will be going up against the 286th ranked defense in giving up second chance points. The Norse rank 115th in average possession length while the Blue Demons play even faster ranking 52nd in possession length and transition three pointers could be an issue for both defenses who rank 279th and 303rd in defending shots beyond the arc. Additionally, the Over is 5-0 in Norse last 5 games as a road underdog, 7-1 in Norse last 8 games as an underdog, 5-0 in Blue Demons last 5 overall and is 5-0 in Blue Demons last 5 home games. Take Over 139.5
The Match 5 takes place on the Friday after Thanksgiving between Bryson Dechambeau and Brooks Koepka. This “rivalry” started back in 2018 after Brooks made a comment about Bryson’s slow play on the course. Dechambeau then made a comment about Brooks’ ESPN body issue and the pair proceeded to trade shots back and forth on social media. However, they seemed to have squashed the beef during the Ryder Cup, even asking Captain Steve Stricker to play together. It now seems like more of a playful rivalry but still sound be entertaining as the two face off against each other.
The Wynn Golf Club opened in 2005 after Steve Wynn brought the property back in 2000. The course was renovated by Tom Fazio in 2019. The resort and course are on the site of the former Desert Inn and its accompanying golf course. That course was the original home of the Tournament of Champions.
“This is the fifth version of The Match. The first was also in Las Vegas and played at Shadow Creek, north of downtown, in 2018. Phil Mickelson defeated Tiger Woods to win $9 million.
The next was in May 2020 when Peyton Manning and Tiger Woods teamed up to beat Mickelson and Tom Brady by a shot at Medalist in Hobe Sound, Fla.
Charles Barkley and Mickelson defeated Peyton Manning and Stephen Curry in the fourth Match at Stone Canyon Golf Club in Oro Valley, Ariz., in November 2020.
The most recent was in July when Aaron Rodgers and DeChambeau defeated Brady and Mickelson at The Reserve Golf Course at Moonlight Basin in Big Sky, Mont.” – source
3rd Hole of Competition: DraftKings Closest to the Hole
• A $50,000 charitable donation will be made in the player’s name for whoever lands their tee shot closest to the hole. If within five feet of the hole, an additional $150,000 will be donated, and a $2 million donation will be made for a hole-in-one.
6th Hole of Competition: Wheels Up/Meals Up and Feeding America Closest to the Hole
• Whichever player lands their tee shot closest to the hole will help donate 500,000 meals to Feeding America. If within five feet of the hole, an additional 1.5 million meals will be donated, and a 20 million meal donation will be made for a hole-in-one.
• In addition, ZenWTR will donate 100,000 bottles of water to Feeding America.
7th Hole of Competition: Capital One Venture X Long Drive Challenge
• A $200,000 donation will be made in the player’s name for whoever hits the longest drive from the tee that lands on the fairway.
9th Hole of Competition: ZipRecruiter Closest to the Hole
• A $50,000 donation will be made in the player’s name for whoever lands their tee shot closest to the hole. If within five feet of the hole, an additional $150,000 will be donated, and a $2 million donation will be made for a hole-in-one.
11th Hole of Competition: Wagoneer Closest to the Hole
• A $50,000 donation will be made in the player’s name for whoever lands their tee shot closest to the hole. If within five feet of the hole, an additional $150,000 will be donated, and a $2 million donation will be made for a hole-in-one.
Course Guide/ Scorecards:
Here’s the full lineup of holes in the order they’ll be used on Friday: 16, 3, 12, 13, 11, 5, 14, 9, 7, 8, 18, 17.
Should the match reach the 12th hole, the downhill 377-yard par-4 17th will provide a great risk-reward finisher.
Hole
Par
Length
16
4
421
3
4
447
12
5
529
13
4
452
11
3
201
5
4
386
14
4
440
9
3
238
7
5
535
8
4
469
18
4
448
17
4
498
Odds (Outright) – BetMGM:
Bryson Dechambeau (-110), odds shifting slightly towards Bryson
Brooks Koepka (-110)
Picks (Outright):
Bryson Dechambeau (-110)
Pre-Ryder Cup I would have chosen Brooks here but it looks like the rivalry has turned into a friendship. Bryson hasn’t been playing lately doing a lot media events and competing in the World Long Drive competition. Brooks on the other hand comes into the Match after missing two cuts. I’ll take Bryson here given the fact that I think Brooks has lost the mental edge.
Black Friday Triple College Football Power Pack with a Platinum Supreme Headliner. In Hoops we have an NBA are 6* 100% System that is Perfect dating to 1995. We also have NCAAB and 5* NHL Play. Comp play below.
The Black Friday Comp play is on Memphis in the Pre Season NIT Tournament final at 9:00 eastern.. Memphis the Defending N.I.T Tournament champs are 5-0 for the first time since 2010. They took down a solid VA. Tech team on Wednesday with a late run to get the win. Memphis averages 82 per game, and has played the tougher schedule. They have a big edge on the boards ranked 22nd in rebounding compared to 207th for Iowa St. The Cyclones are off an upset win as a 9 point dog over Xavier but are still just ranked 141st in scoring and 88th on defense. Hardaway has the more talented team and they have even shot well from the free throw line. Look for Memphis to win the championship game. On Black Friday we have 3 big College Football plays up 2 are TV Games one is a Platinum Supreme move. In Hoops the lead play is a rare 6* NBA Blowout backed with an Undefeated database System dating to 1995. There is College hoops early Season Top plays and a 5* NHL Play. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on and cash out all day and night. Make it Memphis for the comp play. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
