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College Football Week 12 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Let down spots:

  • LSU at Mississippi after they beat Bama
  • Minnesota at Iowa after they beat Penn State
  • Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech is a let down spot after they beat Wake Forest
  • Vanderbilt hosting Kentucky after they lost 7 games and out of Bowl contention
  • Rutgers now has 7 losses as well and may not try
  • Wisconsin at Nebraska after they beat Iowa

Get up Spots:

  • Alabama at Ole Miss
  • Penn State hosting Indiana
  • Iowa hosting Minnesota
  • Nebraska hosting Wisconsin
  • Northern Ilinois at Toledo trying to make a bowl game
  • Kent State trying to remain bowl eligible
  • West Virginia at Kansas State for both teams but more for West Virginia at 6 losses
  • Houston hosting Memphis with 6 losses

Look ahead spots:

  • Penn State may look past Indiana to Ohio State but now that they lost they may pay more attention.
  • Ohio State may be looking past Rutgers to Penn State
  • Tulane looking ahead to UCF past Temple

 

 

College Football Week 11 Misleading Final Scores

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

UCF vs Tulsa – UCF outgained Tulsa by 104 yards yet lost by 3.   3-0 turnover ratio.

Texas Tech vs West Virginia – WV outgained Texas tech by 68 yards yet lost by 21 points.  4-0 turnover ratio

Penn State vs Minnesota – Penn State outgained Minnesota by 58 yards yet lost by 5.  A 3-1 turnover ratio

Northwestern vs Purdue – Northwestern outgained Purdue by 90 yards yet lost the game by 2.

Louisville vs Miami – Louisville outgained Miami by 50 yards yet lost by 25 points – 3-0 turnover ratio.

Illinois vs Michigan State – Michigan State outgained Illinois by 121 yards yet lost by 3.  a 4-2 turnover ratio.

Kansas State vs Texas – Texas outained them by 173 yards yet only won by 3 points.

Washington State vs Cal – Both had the same amount of yards yet WASU lost by 13.

Appalachian State vs South Carolina – SC outgained App State by 144 yards yet lost by 5.

Nevada vs San Diego State – San Diego State outgained Nevada by 85 yards yet lost by 4.  Inefficient

Podcast 66 – 19 With Alan Cashman – College Football Week 12 & NFL Week 11 Plays – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!  Alan Cashman @TheCashManWins an OddsBreakers handicapper and contributor is here to break down some amazing games in this week’s card!   First, we talk about what to look for in capping football games at this point in the season.  Next, we break down the biggest games in College football and the NFL as well as give you some great plays for this weekend!  Shortly after, Kiev gives out a few plays of his own for college football week 12 and NFL week 11.  Then, we go over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.

NCAA:  Georgia vs Auburn – Michigan vs Michigan State – Tulane vs Temple and More!

NFL:  Chicago vs LA Rams – Buffalo vs Miami – Atlanta vs Carolina and more!

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: Spotify | Email | TuneIn | RSS | More

Fantasy Football Week 11

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Bye weeks:  Green Bay Packers, New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, Tennessee Titans

Key Injuries:

Devonta Freeman RB – Foot injury

Matt Stafford QB – Back

Ty Johnson RB – Concussion

Ricky Wagner RB – Concussion

Waiver Wire:

Brian Hill RB – Falcons for Freeman injury

JD McKissic RB – Lions guy

Duane Haskins QB – New Starter for the rest of the year

Paul Perkins RB – Lions guy

Darius Slayton WR – 14 targets, 121 yards and 2 TDs

Demaryius Thomas WR – 9 targets and 84 yards

James Washington WR – 7 targets and 90 yards with 1 TD

Randall Cobb WR – 8 Targets and 1 TD

Oakland’s D – Plays the Bengals

Washington’s D – Plays the Jets

Non Starters Trending up for week 11

Bills D at Miami

DJ Moore WR hosting Atlanta

Hunter Renfrow WR vs the Bengals D

Phillip Rivers QB – Will have a big game vs the Chiefs bad D

Randall Cobb WR – vs the Lions D

John Brown WR – vs the Dolphins D

Oakland’s D – vs the Bengals at home

Busts:

Jared Goff QB vs the Bears D

Todd Gurley RB vs the Bears D

Miles Sanders RB vs the Patriots D

Phillip Lindsay RB vs the Vikings D

DeVonte Parker WR vs the Bills D

Mason Rudolf QB – vs Cleveland

Nasty Sleeper:

Hunter Renfrow WR – Oakland has been playing amazingly

 

Podcast 65 – 19 – College Football Wk 11 & NFL Wk 10 Recap – 2019/20 Big 10 Basketball Preview – NCAA Betting Spots for Week 12 – Fantasy Football Week 11 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

13-12-1 combined College Football and the NFL last week.  Lack of sleep but that doesn’t stop the lines from coming out!   First, we do a College and NFL recap of last week.   Next, we do a quick Big 10 basketball preview to help you gauge what kind of teams that you will be seeing this year. Then, Kiev talks about some misleading final scores from College Football last week.  Next, Kiev gets into some let down, get up and look ahead spots for College Football week 12.   Finally,  we go over our Big 10 power ratings and Kiev gives out a FREE PICK for week 12!  D-Nasty comes in to discuss fantasy football week 11.   Key injuries and waiver pick-ups.   Players trending up and busts for week 11.

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.Jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “oddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: Spotify | Email | TuneIn | RSS | More

NFL Week 10 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Arizona vs Tampa Bay -4

Let’s make Tampa 3 weeks in a row.   If you got this one when I gave it out last week then you hit the +6.5.  This play goes on the same factors as we mentioned before.  If you got it late then you had a bad beat.   Tampa has had the hardest schedule in football while Arizona’s schedule ranks 20th.   I have Tampa Bay better than Arizona by 3.25 points on my power ratings so why isn’t there a larger spread based on home field?  Well it is because how erratic Jamies Winston has been fumbling and throwing picks.  I am less worried about this because it is a home game for Tampa and Arizona ranks last in Interceptions at 2 for the whole year.   I know that Bruce Arians left Arizona on good terms but part of me things that he will want to win this one in spite of the bad players that he had on that team for so many years.   This is a home run spot for Coach A.

Tampa Bay -4 – 2 star premium shared

LA Rams vs Pittsburgh +4 O/U 44

There is no doubt in my mind that LA has a coaching advantage here and McVeigh is coming off of a bye but it is still a far travel spot for this Rams team.   If you look in total efficiency of these teams, even with the slow start for Pittsburgh, they rank 21st in overall DVOA while the Rams rank 11th.   This tells me that the Rams are a little bit an above average team and the Steelers are slightly below average.  I have to really like the pass rush that Pittsburgh has been putting up.  Pittsburgh ranks 3rd in the league in Sacks and if there is one way to beat Jared Goff, it is to get to him quick and rattle him.   We saw that last year against the Bears.   Looking at pure power ratings I have the Rams only a 1 point favorite in Pittsburgh.  I think that I will take the value over the 3 here and hope to death that Mike Tomlin won’t screw me on this play.

Pittsburgh Steelers +4 – 2 star premium shared

Seattle vs San Francisco -6 O/U 45.5

So it is well known that the 49ers have a fantastic defense and a great offense.  They rank number 1 in opponent yards per game at 271.   They also rank number 7 in offense at 390 yards per game.   Seattle ranks 4th on offense at 395 and only 25th on defense allowing 380 yards per game.   So the over under in this game should be around 47.5 right?   WROOOOOOOOOONG.    Both of these teams average 57 points per game combined and if you factor in the fact that the 49ers lost their second defensive player in Linebacker Kwon Alexander whome is their second best tackler and I have to think it slows this defense down vs Seattle’s high octane Russell Wilson led offense.   The key to this handicap is the plays per game that these teams run.   San Francisco Ranks 4th at 68 plays per game while Seattle ranks 8th at 65.   I am taking this over and I am not even thinking twice about it.

Seattle vs San Francisco over 45.5 – 3 star premium shared play

College Football Week 11 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Illinois vs Michigan State -15 O/U 40

I wasn’t in love with this line at 11.5 but this steam pushed it over the top.  Now we know that history tells us that Illinois can easily get blown out in these situations but this team has really gained confidence and I am going to back them here.   Michigan State should not be laying over 2 TDs to most FBS teams.   Illinois should be motivated here and they are still running high off the Wisconsin and Purdue Wins.   Michigan State has a HUGE look ahead to Michigan next week.   I think this could be an upset in the making.

Illinois +15 – 2.5 star premium shared and sprinkle ML

South Alabama vs Texas State -7 O/U 41.5

I had to throw this ugly one out at you.   Both of these teams have net negative yards per play.  South Alabama has a -1.4 and Texas State a -1.   I only have this spread from power ratings a -8.5 but there is a situation that I like here.   South Alabama is now out of bowl contention with 7 losses and Texas State thinks that they are still in it with 6 losses.  If you look on Sagarin he has the point spread at 9 but the harder schedule goes to Texas State.  I think with their home field advantage and motivation that this should warrant a small play.

Texas State -7 – 1.5 star premium shared play

Iowa State vs Oklahoma -13.5 O/U 68

The under is 7-1 since Oct 21st 2017 when Iowa State is a road dog.   The under is 15-4-2 since November 28th 2015 when Iowa State is on the road.   See what I am getting at here?   Oklahoma may have a powerful offense ranking number 1 at 9.5 yards per play and 49 points per game but they have yet to play a defense with a pulse.   Matt Campbell from Iowa State knows how to play this team and I think this game should set up well for them on defense.  Iowa State only allows 4.88 yards per play and 23 points per game.  In the Big 12, that is saying something.   If you can forget about the Kansas State game, then Oklahoma themselves has allowed only 23 points per game and 5.1 yards per play themselves.   Oklahoma seems like a fast paced offense but the truth is that they rank dead last 130th at 62.6 plays per game.  They happen to just be very efficient but now they will be tested on offense against a pretty good D.  Iowa State doesn’t exactly play fast either ranking 82nd in plays per game.   I can see Jaylen Hurts having some issues getting the ball downfield here against a stout defense and I can also see Oklahoma’s defense that is very experienced want a huge bounce back from last game’s embarrassment.  Take the under.

Under 68 – 2 star premium shared play  

Podcast 64 – 19 – College Football Week 11 & NFL Week 10 – Sharp Movement – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!   Kiev O’Neil goes solo here to break down all of the games this weekend in College football and the NFL!  First, Kiev talks about homerism and how fans can be brainwashed into thinking that their players are so great.  Next, Kiev gets right into every game from Thursday on in College Football week 11 and gives out some leans and plays.  Next we get into the NFL’s full slate of games with some picks and some leans.  Finally, Kiev goes over the sharp line movement in the #NFL and #NCAA.

NCAA:  LSU vs Alabama – Iowa vs Wisconsin – Iowa State vs Oklahoma – Minnesota vs Penn State and more!

NFL:  LA Rams vs Pittsburgh – Seattle vs San Francisco – LA Chargers vs Oakland and more!

#AAC #ACC #Big12 #Big10 #CUSA #MAC #MWC #Pac12 #SEC #Sunbelt

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.jazzsports.ag and use the promo code, “oddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!  Terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 17.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for $19.99 per month get all of that while adding access to the podcast early by becoming our Patreon at https://www.patreon.com/join/theoddsbreakers?

Follow us on Twitter @theoddsbreakers @OBKiev #theoddsbreakers

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: Spotify | Email | TuneIn | RSS | More

College Football Week 11 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Let Down Spots:

Georgia Southern at Troy – Georgia Southern beat Appalachian State last week as a large double digit dog.

Tulsa hosting UCF is no longer bowl eligible

Northwestern hosting Purdue is out of bowl contention

South Alabama at Texas State is no longer bowl eligible

UCONN at Cincinatti is no longer bowl eligible

Miami hosting Louisville after they beat FSU

Get up spots:

Wisconsin hosting Iowa after their last 2 games

Colorado better beat Stanford to remain bowl eligible

Texas State hosting South Alabama needs to stay in bowl contention

Purdue at Northwestern needs to win to make a bowl

Florida hosting Vanderbilt has some new years bowl motivations

Georgia Tech has to win against Virginia to remain bowl eligible

Florida State at Boston College if they want to stay in Bowl contention

Look Ahead Spots:

Wake forest looking past at Virginia Tech to Clemson.

Michigan State looking past Illinois to Michigan is a legit one.

Baylor looking past at TCU to Oklahoma is telling.

 

College Football Week 10 Misleading Final Scores

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Baylor vs West Virginia – Baylor outgained West Virginia by 234 yards let only won by 3.

Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State – App State outgained Georgia Southern by 72 yards let lost by 3.  No turnover

Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame – the Irish outgained the Hokies by 207 yards yet only won by 1 point.

Illinois vs Rutgers – Illinois only outgained Rutgers by 53 yards yet won by 28.  3-0 turnover ratio helped.

UNLV vs Colorado State – Colorado State only outgained UNLV by 33 yards let they won by 20.

Ole Miss vs Auburn – Auburn outgained Ole Miss by 241 yards yet only won by 6 points.  Equal on turnovers as well.

Cincinnati vs East Carolina – Cinci was outgained by 151 Yards by East Carolina but still won by 3.  Crazy

SMU vs Memphis – SMU Outgained Memphis by 39 yards yet lost by 6.  Lots of penalties this game.

Oregon vs USC – Oregon only outgained the Trojans by 50 yards yet they won by 32 points.  4-1 turnover ratio.

Boise State vs San Jose State – SJST outgained Boise state by 31 yards yet lost by 10.  Same turnovers 1-1.

 

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