College Football week 2 recap

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 13, 2017

College Football Recap week 2

7-7-1 for tweeted picks

17-12-1 for the year so far

couple games didn’t play such as S florida, Miami and Florida State

Big winning conferences

ACC – Minus the Virginia Indiana game they were flawless. Huge Duke win vs Northwestern. Clemson win vs Auburn was huge.

Big 12 – Oklahoma was huge for them and the whole conference. TCU taking out Arkansas didn’t hurt. They would be my favorite if Kansas and Baylor didn’t let them down this week. Iowa state was also a close game.

Losers –

Big 10 – Didn’t cover many spreads this week. Ohio State losing. Penn State not covering. Wisconsin looking like crap. Michigan no offense. NU losing. Rutgers losing. This was definitley not a good week for the big 10. I still think this will be a premier conference and if Wisconsin and Penn State can go undefeated to the Big 10 championship game, they both can get in.

Pac 12 – Washington State should have lost that game. Both the Zona teams lost outright. Pathetic. Utah beats BYU in a god awful game to watch. Oregon state loses to to Minnesota by a lot. Oregon beats Nebraska but does not cover the spread.

SEC – Auburns loss and Arkansas loss ruined it. Georgia did beat notre dame but not enough to boost the conference. I will be looking to fade Arkansas the way out.

Games

Wisconsin Vs Florida Atlantic – What we learned is that Wisconsin can’t enforce their will on all running plays. We also learned that Wisconsin still lacks a valid pass rush. Lots of open Wide Receivers for Florida Atlantic. Wisconsin will be downgraded a point in my power ratings

Michigan Vs Cincinatti – What a boring game. Michigan’s defense scored 2 TDs and special teams got a lucky 2 point safety on a bad snap. I picked the over and had a push at 50. I was lucky because I was wrong. Michigan’s offense really is bad. I got lucky with the push

Buffalo is for real for at least covering this year. They should have beaten army straight up. X UW whitewater coach Lance Leipold won the division 3 championship 6 out of 8 years in Whitewater. Now he has his recruits. Watch out Mid American Conference

North Carolina has no Defense is all i have to say about that bad beat. Look to ride the over with them.

West Virginia will continue to throw the ball with Grier and will hit a lot of huge overs

Arkansas can’t hit Field Goals and pissed away a great opportunity.

Northwestern isn’t what they thought they were!!! Thats what Denny Green would say! Probably better for Wisconsin in the Big Ten West

Kansas’s QB is not good. I had to stop watching…. Fade them in every big 12 game here on out

Purdue fooled the sharps once again and smacked the Mac crushing Ohio 44-21. Now that score is a bit misleading because Ohio had some uncharacteristic tournovers. Frank Solich must be pissed. They did show some good signs that game. I may be on them next week

Alabama has the respect not to blow out bad teams. But they will blow out SEC teams. mark my words!

Penn state finally failed to cover. After 11 covers straight! But it did cover the opening line. They won by 19 points against a pretty good Pitt team. Penn state won’t be downgraded over this.

Rutgers Huge Let down to many big 10 fans. Lots of sharps as well. They still could be a sneaky cover team.

USC – They toyed with our emotions. They completely were the team who we thought we knew from last year. Stanford was lethargic against them and they now need to win out.

Ohio State – No change. I already had them below Penn State in my power ratings. They played a team that had everything to lose. Baker Mayfield is a legitimate heisman contender. They will lose a stinker. Mark my words

Clemson – Took care of business at home. Beat a great Auburn Defense. Auburn needs to run the table.

look ahead spots for next week:

Stanford playing San Diego state has UCLA on deck
UCLA playing Memphis has at Stanford on deck
TCU playing SMU has at OK State on deck
OK State at Pittsburgh has TCU on deck.

Let down spots for next week:

Oklahoma plays Tulane at home
Clemson plays at Louisville
Duke plays Baylor at home and looks ahead to North Carolina????

College Football week 2 recap – Fantasy Football week 2

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 12, 2017

College football recap and analysis of week 2. Big ten power ratings. NFL Fantasy football recap from week 1 – Injuries – Waivers moves – Break out players for week 2 – Players to fade for week 2. Sleepers and Busts

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NFL WEEK 1!

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 8, 2017

The Public Dog Kiev’s Picks:

Atlanta -7 vs Chicago. Chicago’s Defense was actually worse than the stats showed for last year. They were 15th in Yards allowed but that is misleading because most teams would be crushing them by halftime and then run the clock out in the middle of the third quarter. The bears were 24th in points allowed last year. Some of that is due to awful turnovers but do you think that will change with Glennon? I think Atlanta is pissed about what happened in last years Superbowl and is ready to put the pedal to the metal. I would hate to face them week 1.

Redskins PK vs Eagles. for 2 equal teams i will go with the home team every time. I am looking for a sophomore slump from Carson Wentz. He is owned in less than half the leagues in Fantasy Football while cousins is owned in 100% Redskins had a very good draft really helping out their defense. Washington was 3rd last year in total offense with 6454 yards. Most of all, i talked all this shit about Washington this year. So now I have to back it up!

Houston -5.5 vs Jacksonville. Houston number 1 in Total defense last year. They have JJ Watt back. Their QB play can only be better this year. Jacksonville is a mess. Blake Bortles has looked bad in the preseason. He lost all confidence Houston will stack the box and shut them down. This spread should be 7

Seattle +3 vs Green bay. Seattle is always looking to start out the year strong. They have Eddie Lacy who should be able to give up some packer offensive secrets. Seattle had the 5th best defense on a hard schedule last year allowing 5099 yards. The packers defense ranked 22nd. Most importantly the packers have 5 questionable to doubtful players this week. Clay Matthews is beat up, Nick Perry is beat up. Bryan Bulaga, Montavious Adams and Davon House are highly questionable. I like Seattle to keep this close if not win

Cub Fan Danny’s Picks

I believe in the Superbowl Hangover. Since 2001 the loser of the Super Bowl is 5-11. The Bears arent supposed to be any good, will the Falcons overlook this game as a game they should win and start looking at their home open next week vs Packers?

The falcons had one of the best if not the best offense last year but that was last year. There has been a change with their Offensive Coordinator who gave Matt Ryan his best year ever. What will the new Offensive Coordinator do? How will he mesh with Ryan.

falcons also have a new D coordinator and that can take time to mesh the Defense as well.

The Bears Defense will be much better this year and starting the season for the most part healthy. I like the way the defense looked this preseason especially shutting down the Titans everyone’s pick to make the playoffs in game 3 of the pre-season. The Bears will have a very good running game this year and throw a lot of different looks at the Falcons.

Glennon is familiar with the Falcons and if can perform under pressure and move the ball the Bears have a great shot of controlling the Time of possession and grinding a close game.

Take the +7. Falcons 24-20.

Seattle +3 vs Packers

Seattle Defense is going to be very very good this year if not the best in the NFL. They added Sheldon Richardson from the Jets making that DLINE difficult to shut down and they will put a lot of pressure on Rodgers.

Russell Wilson is poised and should be able to perform against the Packers Defense that has been shakey at best the past couple of years. If any team can shut down Rodgers it is Seattle. I believe the Seahawks shut down Green Bay and win outright but getting +3 is the play.

Seattle 31-24

Oakland Raiders +1 1/2.

I really like David Carr and believe he can be one of the best 3 QB’s in the league. He already has in his young career 12 comeback victories. The raiders have confidence that he will comeback and win it if it is close. Watching the Titans this preseason I am not confident that they will be as good as everyone thinks they will be. David Carr is 2-0 vs Mariota in his career. Getting +1 1/2 Take the Raiders.

Raiders 35-28.

Rams -3 vs Colts.

Colts will be terrible offensively without Andrew Luck. Luck is not starting and the they are going with Scott Tolzien. Let me say that again SCOTT TOLZIEN! Rams should improve this year with Goff, Gurley and the addition of Sammy Watkins. I can see this game going 24-10 Colts.

Podcast 10 NCAA and NFL Week 1 Sports Betting Picks

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 7, 2017

The Public Dog Kiev O’Neil after a 10-5 week comes back strong with more college football picks & sharp analysis. TCU vs Arkansas, Pitt vs Penn State, E Carolina vs West Virginia, Louisville vs North Carolina, Minnesota vs Oregon State, Easter Michigan vs Rutgers, Oklahoma vs Ohio State, Stanford vs USC. Cub Fan Danny comes in to join in conversation about NFL Week 1! Seattle vs Green Bay, Philadelphia vs Washington, Jacksonville vs Houston, Oakland vs Tennessee, Indianapolis vs LA Rams, and Atlanta vs Chicago.

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Podcast 9 – NCAA week 1 recap – Week 1 Fantasy plays – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 6, 2017

In this episode The Public Dog recaps a great opening weekend of college football betting and action. Kiev then goes into his updated Big 10 Power Ratings and speaks with Dave (D Nasty) on his week 1 fantasy football plays, breakout players and sleepers.

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Week 2 College Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 3, 2017

Lessons learned concept on black blackboard with coffee cupt and paper plane

Key takeaways from week 1

Amazing week for the big 10. Huge!!!! Big 10 may be the best conference. SEC had a great week as well. Next week when Clemson faces Auburn and Ohio State faces Oklahoma we will know more about that.

Ohio state and Indiana – JT Barrett is the black Tim Tebow. This team is very similar to the 2007 2008 Florida gators. They pound the ball and wear you down. Just ask Indiana. Indiana was in the game until they couldn’t stop JT Barrett from running for first downs. They roll out and do short passes. They stretch the field only to keep you honest on D and once in a while they will get lucky with a long TD. The way to beat this team is to stack the box with 6 down lineman with corner Blitzes and rotate guys out for air.

Troy and Appalachian St. What did I tell you not to do? I told you VEGAS KNOWS ABOUT THEM, and you backed them anyways. App state lost by 21 and Troy lost by 11. You lost money cause you just couldn’t resist could you? You seriously need to listen when it comes to new sweetheart teams are already factored into the line.

Penn state – Played a poor Akron team but defense looked legit. Only allowed 2 yards per rush. They will get rewarded in the power ratings .5 point

Wisconsin – Horrible start with some mistakes. Dropped passes, tournovers and penalties hurt them but give Utah state credit for coming off strong. The momentum changed with that targeting call. I felt bad for the kid but it is what it is. Game was then Tied at the half at 10. Wisconsin key takeaway is their running back true freshman taylor looked amazing and may get the bulk of the action from here on out. Wisconsin’s defense looked good but not as good as last year with TJ Watt. I need to see a better pass rush. Fumagale or Fumagronke will be a top 2 round guy in the draft. Utah state kept them in the game with that extremely fast offense and paid for it dearly. I mean extremely fast with lots of passing. Look to bet the overs in every Utah state game until you lose!

Maryland vs Texas – What a great start to the year!!! Does this say something more about Maryland or Texas is the question i suppose. I do know that Maryland only threw the ball 15 times and ran for 6 yards per carry. Only allowed 3 yards per carry as well. They will be the largest power rating adjustment for week 1.

Iowa – Looked actually pretty good. Stuffed Josh Allen and held them to 3 points.

Rutgers also looked good. They came out motivated and played hard for their coach Chris Ash. Look for them to cover more spreads.

Purdue – If it wasn’t for that costly pick 6 they would have beaten Louisville. I think this game says more about how bad Louisville is more than how good Purdue is. Purdue has improved and will get slightly rewarded in the power rankings.

Michigan ST took care of business and improved their defense. They could be a distrupter in the Bit 10 east. Too early to tell cause it was Bowling Green that they played.

Nebraska winning only by 7 points vs Arkansas state didn’t impress. They may be a big fade team this year for me against the spread

Northwestern only beating Nevada by 11 was the biggest loser. This game was close up until the end and they will lose some power rating love.

Other losers include USC because the game was tied vs Western Michigan in the 4th quarter. Lots of money will be put on Stanford for that game. Texas for obvious reasons. NC State had the script flipped on them. Baylor losing outright at home to a future FBS school in Liberty was pathetic. Baylor was a sharp darling this year for season win total and Big 12 championship for some reason. I never figured out why

College football week 1

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

September 1, 2017

Key Takeaways last week

Oregon State – Another horrible missed call when refs decided not to give them a touchdown. The ball didn’t move in the guys arm and they said it did. The guy moved his arm WITH the ball. Coach Gary Anderson is on the Hot seat.

Stanford – Looked poised and ready. Destroyed rice and covered by about twice the spread. Watch out USC and Washington. With Love at RB, Stanford hasn’t lost anybody

USF – Looked inconsistent. Especially in the first half. Lucky they got back into the game. With Charlie strong it felt like I was watching Texas.

My Picks:

Georgia Tech Tennessee Under 56. This will be a sharp play.

Georgia Tech ranked dead last in possessions per game at 60.4!!!! Tennessee ranks 71 which is the lower half

Both teams run the ball more than they pass it. By alot. Tennessee has a new QB to break in Quinten Dormandy. Tennessee replaced a lot of positions while Georgia Tech returns their Stud Secondaries. Both teams are very good against the pass. Georgia tech only allowed 2982 passing yards while the Vols allowed 2999. Both defenses should be better. Tennesseee has a new play caller on offense which should come out a bit shakey the first few games… If Tennessee can stop Georgia Techs triple option than this under should be no trouble at all in my optionion. Under 56

Colorado state +5.5 vs Colorado, Game is played on a neutral field. Short week for Colorado state but they did very well against Oregon state and seem quite fired up. Colorado is amidst a rebuild year and lost their D coordinator to Oregon while colorado state is poised to prove their worth and win the Mountain west. Colorado State returned 8 on defense and their QB Nick Stevens and Top receiver Michael Gallup. Colorado pretty much turns over their whole defense that allowed only 21 points per game. Their QB Montez does have some experience though and should be able to put up some points. I have this game at a pickem.

Cal +11 at North Carolina. Both teams are in a rebuild year but I do like the New coach at cal Defensive minded Justin Wilcox. Cals d can only improve under him as they have up 42 points per game last year. UNC loses their QB Mich Trubiski as well as their RBs and Wrs. Gene Chizik Stepped down at D coordinator so there is some turnover there as well.

Michigan at Florida Michigan -3. Florida has 6 people suspended including their Top WR Callaway. They replace a ton of Defense just like Michigan. Florida has a new QB is Malik Zaire and Michigan still has Wilton Speight. I didn’t like Zaire too much but this game will be a must watch for me. I have Michigan -3.

Miami Ohio Money line +115 at Marshall. Miami Ohio was the better team last year with way more returning starters than Marshall. Miami Ohio was a bowl team last year losing to miss st by only 1 point. During the season they only lost to Western Kentucky by 6… Marshall only won 2 FBS games last year and was outscored by a margin of 9 points in conference USA

Sharp movement Middle Tennessee state to from +6 to +3.5 vs Vanderbilt

Sharp movement on Utah State from -31 to -27 vs Wisconsin

Sharp movement on Rutgers from -31 to -27 vs Washington

Sharp movement on Oklahoma state from -15 to -18 vs Tulsa

Sharp movement on Boston College from +2 to -3.5 vs Northern Illinois

Podcast 8 NCAA Week 1, Big Ten Power Rankings Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

August 30, 2017

Week 1 Talks about recapping the few games last saturday, big 10 power rankings, and sports wagering picks for Week 1 of the NCAA football season!

Tennessee vs Georgia Tech Total at 56

Colorado state vs Colorado

California vs North Carolina.

Michigan vs Florida

Miami Ohio vs Marshall

Sharp movement Middle Tennessee state to from +6 to +3.5 vs Vanderbilt

Sharp movement on Utah State from -31 to -27 vs Wisconsin

Sharp movement on Rutgers from -31 to -27 vs Washington

Sharp movement on Oklahoma state from -15 to -18 vs Tulsa

Sharp movement on Boston College from +2 to -3.5 vs Northern Illinois

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Fantasy Football Draft and McGregor Mayweather betting odds

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

August 24, 2017

Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and players to fade for your draft. Conor McGregor vs Floyd Mayweather betting odds and props. Apologize for some of the audio. Had to switch some equipment and recorded a buzzing sound. It is fixed for next time.

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NCAA Top 25 Betting, Sleepers, August 26th Odds

By

Kiev O'Neil

-

August 19, 2017

The Public Dog Kiev O’Neil breaks down the Top 25 NCAA football teams. We also talk about some sleepers and some teams to watch out for. We also talk about handicapping 2 opening weekend games on August 26th. Oregon State vs Colorado St and South Florida vs Jan Jose State!