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2025 Truist Championship Preview & Picks

The 2025 Truist Championship promises to be a unique and memorable stop on the PGA TOUR, as the game’s best descend on The Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course. This classic A.W. Tillinghast design—one of golf’s great architectural treasures—steps in as a one-year host, filling in for Quail Hollow Club, which will welcome the PGA Championship next week.

As the sixth Signature Event of the season, the Truist Championship brings with it a stacked field, elevated stakes, and a fresh test at a historic venue.

Let’s dive into the key pre-tournament storylines:

Pre-Tournament Storylines:

Rory McIlroy’s Dominant Run

Rory McIlroy enters this week in sensational form. He’s already racked up three victories in 2025, including a historic win at The Masters, where he joined golf’s most elite company by completing the career Grand Slam. He returns to the Truist Championship—an event he’s owned in the past with four victories, the most by any player in tournament history.

A New Venue with Historic Roots

This year’s Truist Championship marks a rare shift in scenery. Normally contested at Quail Hollow, the tournament heads to Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course—a storied layout and former host of elite amateur events. With no prior PGA TOUR history at the course, it presents an exciting unknown and a fresh challenge for the field.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: May 8th – May 11th, 2025
  • Location: Flourtown. Pennsylvania, United States
  • Course: The Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course)
  • Course Type: Classical/ Northeast
  • Par: 70 (4x 3’s / 12x 4’s / 2x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,119 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: A1/A4 bentgrass .100
  • Fairways: 007 bentgrass .350”
  • Rough: Turf type tall fescue 3”
  • Bunkers: 118 (2.38 acres)
  • Water Hazard(s): 1 (In-Play on 6 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 5,779 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 11.5 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $20,000,000 /$3,600,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 700
  • Field: 72 Players
  • Cut: No Cut
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death

Social Media:

  • Course X: N/A
  • Tournament X: @TruistChamp

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: A.W Tillinghast (1922)
  • Renovations: Keith Foster (2013)

Comparable Courses:

  • TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm – 2022 Wells Fargo Championship
  • Colonial Country Club – Charles Schwab Challenge
  • Riviera Country Club – The Genesis Invitational
  • Aronimink Golf Club – 2018 BMW Championship
  • Baltusrol Golf Club – 2016 PGA Championship

Comparable Location (Flourtown, Pennsylvania):

  • TPC River Highlands – Cromwell, Connecticut – Rocket Mortgage Classic

Designer Link (A.W Tillinghast (1922)):

  • Baltusrol GC – – 2005 & 2016 PGA Championship
  • Bethpage State Park – – 2000 + 2009 U.S. Open, 2019 PGA Championship + 2012 + 2016 Barclays Tournaments
  • Ridgewood Country Club – – 2010 & 2014 The Barclays – 2018 Northern Trust.
  • Winged Foot (West Course) – – 2006 + 2020 U.S. Open

Comparable Yardage (7,119 Yards):

  • Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course) – 7,123 Yards – Procore Championship
  • Sedgefield Country Club – 7,131 Yards – Wyndham Championship
  • PGA WEST (Nicklaus Tournament Course) – 7,147 Yards – The American Express

Comparable Greens (A1/A4 bentgrass .100):

  • TPC Craig Ranch – Bentgrass .100” – CJ CUP Byron Nelson
  • Augusta National Golf Club – Bentgrass .125” – Masters Tournament
  • TPC Twin Cities – Bentgrass .110” – 3M Open
  • Torrey Pines Golf Course (North) – Bentgrass .100″ – Farmers Insurance Open
  • TPC Deere Run – L-93 Bentgrass .100” – John Deere Classic
  • Muirfield Village Golf Club – Bentgrass .090” – the Memorial Tournament
  • Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club – Bentgrass – ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Black Desert Resort – 007XL Bentgrass .120” – Black Desert Championship

Comparable Average Green Size (5,779 sq. ft.):

  • TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) – 5,500 sq. ft. – THE PLAYERS Championship
  • Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) – 5,822 sq. ft. – Valspar Championship

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, May 8th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 2:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, May 9th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 2:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, May 10th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM
    • CBS – 3:00 PM – 6:30 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday,May 11th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM
    • CBS – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM

Wednesday, 4–7 p.m. ET:
Catch the “Creator Classic at Philly Cricket”, the second installment of the Creator Classic Series, streaming live on the PGA TOUR’s YouTube channel. Don’t miss the action from one of golf’s most historic venues.

Thursday–Sunday:
The ESPN BET feed returns to PGA TOUR LIVE, offering a betting-focused broadcast as defending champion Rory McIlroy leads the field at the Truist Championship. Watch live from 12–2 p.m. ET on Thursday and Friday, and 11 a.m.–1 p.m. ET on Saturday and Sunday.

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The Wissahickon Course at the Philadelphia Cricket Club is one of the crown jewels of American golf architecture. Designed by the legendary A.W. Tillinghast and opened in 1922, the course embodies the strategic depth, bold bunkering, and natural land movement that defined the Golden Age of golf course design. As part of the oldest country club in the United States—established in 1854—Wissahickon carries deep historical significance, not just for the region, but for the game itself.

In 2013, the course underwent a highly anticipated and transformative restoration under architect Keith Foster. The goal was to faithfully return Tillinghast’s original vision while preparing the course for modern play. The changes were extensive: significant tree removal to restore original sightlines, bunker renovations to revive their classic shapes and strategic relevance, reclaimed green surfaces, new tee placements to accommodate current distances, and the reinstallation of iconic features like the “Great Hazard” on the par-5 4th hole. The result was a masterful blend of preservation and progress, striking a balance between historical authenticity and modern challenge.

The restoration received widespread acclaim and was named Golf.com’s “Best Restoration of the Year” in 2014. Today, Wissahickon stands as a premier example of classic course revival—rich in character, architecturally pure, and fully capable of testing the game’s best.

The Truist Championship is a premier PGA Tour event with a rich and evolving history. Originally launched in 2003 as the Wachovia Championship, the tournament has also been known as the Quail Hollow Championship and the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2025, it was rebranded as the Truist Championship following a new title sponsorship agreement with Truist Financial Corporation. Traditionally played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, the event has become a fixture on the PGA Tour, consistently attracting the game’s top players and delivering dramatic finishes.

In 2025, the tournament made a rare venue change, moving to the Wissahickon Course at the historic Philadelphia Cricket Club. This one-time shift was due to Quail Hollow hosting the PGA Championship that year. The Wissahickon Course, a restored A.W. Tillinghast design, offered a classic challenge and a distinct change of pace for the field. As one of the Tour’s eight Signature Events, the Truist Championship features a 72-player, no-cut field and a $20 million purse, underscoring its prestige and competitive importance. The event is scheduled to return to Quail Hollow in 2026.

Previous Tournament Venues:

DurationCourseLocation:
2025The Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course)Flourtown. Pennsylvania
2023-2024Quail Hollow ClubCharlotte, North Carolina
2022TPC Potomac at Avenel FarmPotomac, Maryland
2018-2019; 2021Quail Hollow ClubCharlotte, North Carolina
2017Eagle Point Golf ClubWilmington, North Carolina
2003 – 2016Quail Hollow ClubCharlotte, North Carolina

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2025Truist Championship
2011-2019; 2021-2024Wells Fargo Championship
2009-2010Quail Hollow Championship
2003 -2008Wachovia Championship

Tournament Records:

  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 4 – Rory McIlroy (2024, 2021, 2015, 2010)
  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 265, Wyndham Clark (2023) – Quail Hollow Club

  • 18-Hole Record:
    • 61, Rory McIlroy (third round, 2015) – Quail Hollow Club

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Originally designed by A.W. Tillinghast in 1922, the Wissahickon Course at The Philadelphia Cricket Club is a classic Par 70 layout featuring four par 3s, twelve par 4s, and two par 5s. This year, the PGA TOUR utilizes an adjusted routing that begins on the club’s traditional 8th hole and proceeds through an altered sequence (No. 9–7 serve as holes 2–18 for the tournament).

PGA TOUR HoleWissahickon Course HolePGA TOUR HoleWissahickon Course Hole
181017
291118
310121
411132
512143
613154
714165
815176
916187

Par 3s (4 Total | Range: 122–240 Yards)

Hole 14 (Wissahickon No. 3) – 122 Yards
A short wedge is all that’s needed on this short par 3 but miss this raised narrow green and you’ll likely find yourself in one of the surrounding bunkers sitting well below the putting surface.

Hole 16 (Wissahickon No. 5) – 215 Yards
This long par 3 has it all: water, bunkers, a long carry, a tricky green and devious pin placements. Gauge the wind carefully before selecting a club to carry Wissahickon Creek but fall short of three back bunkers.

Par 4s (12 Total | Most Range Between 400–450 Yards)

Hole 11 (Wissahickon No. 18) – 487 Yards

Avoid the left bunkers and aim for the right side of the fairway on this long dogleg left par 4. (Most players lay up short of Wissahickon Creek to follow errant tee shots.) Club down on your downhill approach back toward the clubhouse to a narrow green guarded by both bunkers and onlooking members.

Hole 18 (Wissahickon No. 7) – 435 Yards

NLanding your drive in the fairway should take a vast expanse of bunkers that cross the fairway – the “Great Hazard” – out of play on your second shot. Longer hitters need to carry front greenside bunkers to give themselves an eagle putt.

Par 5s (2 Total)

Hole 5 (Wissahickon No. 12) – 546 Yards

Aim left of the trees guarding the right side of the fairway on your semi-blind tee shot on this par 5 and you may find a speed slot, but more than likely, this is a three shot hole. Stay below the hole on this green that slopes from back to front.

Hole 15 (Wissahickon No. 4) – 553 Yards

Bunkers and large oak trees guard the left and right sides of the fairway, and even a long drive on this short par 5 may leave you with a hybrid/long iron into a very well-protected green. Tillinghast’s version of church pew bunkers makes this into-the-wind approach even more visually intimidating.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 7

Key Statistics:

The 2025 Truist Championship takes place at the Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course, a classic A.W. Tillinghast design hosting a PGA TOUR event for the very first time.

Since there’s no previous TOUR data at this venue, we’re leaning on course characteristics and profile-based trends to identify the key stats that should play a crucial role this week:

Strokes Gained: Off The Tee

  • While Wissahickon isn’t the most punishing course off the tee, it still rewards players who combine distance and control. The fairways are fairly generous, encouraging aggressive tee shots—particularly for longer hitters who can turn shorter holes into scoring chances. But don’t overlook accuracy: water hazards and tricky angles on approach shots make smart positioning off the tee equally important.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Ludvig Aberg
      • Corey Conners
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Robert MacIntyre
      • Taylor Pendrith
      • Collin Morikawa
      • Patrick Cantlay
      • Tony Finau
      • Aaron Rai

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • As always, precision into greens will be a key differentiator. Wissahickon features elevated and well-protected green complexes that demand precise iron play. Players who can dial in their distances—especially from key wedge ranges—will set themselves up for scoring chances.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Sepp Straka
      • Collin Morikawa
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Shane Lowry
      • Viktor Hovland
      • Patrick Cantlay
      • Tom Hoge
      • Justin Thomas
      • Will Zalatoris

Strokes Gained: Around the Green

  • Wissahickon’s greens average just 5,779 sq. ft.—smaller than PGA TOUR average—meaning missed greens will be common. Solid scrambling and creativity around the greens will be vital, particularly on tightly mown run-offs and bunkers guarding front pins.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Hideki Matsuyama
      • Sungjae Im
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Andrew Novak
      • Tommy Fleetwood
      • Min Woo Lee
      • Byeong Hun An
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Russell Henley

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) – Firm

  • The A1/A4 bentgrass greens are expected to run fast—one of the course’s primary defenses. Putting on speedy surfaces demands precision, especially with the classic sloping contours that Tillinghast is known for. Green reading and distance control will be tested throughout the week.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Denny McCarthy
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Sahith Theegala
      • Harris English
      • Wyndham Clark
      • Sam Burns
      • Brian Campbell
      • J.T. Poston
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Viktor Hovland

Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards

  • Seven of the twelve par 4s at the Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course) fall between 400 and 450 yards, making this range a key focus.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Tommy Fleetwood
      • J.J. Spaun
      • Aaron Rai
      • Patrick Cantlay
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Michael Kim
      • Brian Harman
      • Jordan Spieth
      • Sam Stevens
      • Austin Eckroat

Par 5 Scoring

  • There are only two par 5s this week—No. 5 and No. 15—and both are reachable in two for most of the field. In a low-birdie environment, converting these opportunities will be essential. Expect the leaderboard to reflect who capitalizes here.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Justin Rose
      • Jordan Spieth
      • Andrew Novak
      • Aaron Rai
      • Maverick McNealy
      • Sungjae Im
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Sepp Straka
      • Viktor Hovland

Scrambling Gained

  • With small targets and tricky green surrounds, scrambling stats will come into play. Players who can save par after missed greens will have a major edge, especially when scoring conditions get tougher.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Hideki Matsuyama
      • Andrew Novak
      • Shane Lowry
      • Min Woo Lee
      • Rory McIlroy
      • Alex Noren
      • Denny McCarthy
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Daniel Berger
      • Stephan Jaeger

Sand Saves Gained

  • The Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon Course) features a staggering 118 bunkers, the most on TOUR this season. That includes both fairway and greenside bunkers, many of which were restored in the 2013 renovation to mirror Tillinghast’s original design. Sand play will be tested frequently.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Ben Griffin
      • Hideki Matsuyama
      • Michael Kim
      • Denny McCarthy
      • Justin Thomas
      • Russell Henley
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Andrew Novak
      • Adam Hadwin
      • Matt Fitzpatrick

Proximity Gained: 100-150 Yards

  • Based on the course’s layout and overall yardage distribution, a significant percentage of approach shots will come from the 100–150 yard range. Players who excel with wedges and short irons will have the advantage—especially given the complexity of the greens.
    • Leaders in Proximity Gained 100-125 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Wyndham Clark
      • Adam Hadwin
      • Collin Morikawa
      • Justin Thomas
      • Tony Finau
      • Sepp Straka
      • Keegan Bradley
      • Xander Schauffele
      • Rasmus Hojgaard
    • Leaders in Proximity Gained 125-150 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Justin Thomas
      • Corey Conners
      • Keegan Bradley
      • Sepp Straka
      • Stephan Jaeger
      • Tommy Fleetwood
      • Will Zalatoris
      • J.J. Spaun
      • Thomas Detry
      • Collin Morikawa

The Field:

The 2025 Truist Championship will feature a field of 72 players, with 17 of the top 20 in the Official World Golf Ranking set to compete.

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Top 50 on Prior Year’s FedExCup Points List
  • Aon Swing 5 (projected through THE CJ CUP BYRON NELSON)
  • Aon Next 10 (projected through THE CJ CUP BYRON NELSON)
  • Current Year Tournament Winners, not including Additional Events
  • Top 50 on Prior Year’s FedExCup Points List
  • Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Rory McIlroy (2024, 2021, 2015, 2010), Wyndham Clark (2023), Max Homa (2022, 2019), Jason Day (2018), Brian Harman (2017), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011)

Debutants in the Field (Event):

  • Ludvig Aberg, Thomas Detry, Max Greyserman, Joe Highsmith, Nicolai Hojgaard, Rasmus Hojgaard, Min Woo Lee, Robert MacIntyre, Michael Thorbjornsen

Exemptions:

  • Rickie Fowler – Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt
  • Jordan Spieth – Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt
  • Gary Woodland – Sponsor Exemptions – Members not otherwise exempt

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • Jason Day (WD); Patrick Rodgers (IN)

Tee Times & Groupings:

The Odds:

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:

GolferOddsLast 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR
(Recent -> Past)
Rory McIlroy+450T12-WON-T5-WON-T15
Collin Morikawa+1400MC-T54-T14-T10-2
Xander Schauffele+1600T18-T8-T12-72-T40
Ludvig Aberg+1600T54-7-MC-MC-T22
Justin Thomas+1600WON-T36-2-T33-T36
Odds via DraftKings

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Rory McIlroy (-17) – Quail Hollow Club
    • Price: 17-2
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Rory McIlroy1st1st4th9th8th
  • 2023: Wyndham Clark (-19) – Quail Hollow Club
    • Price: 80-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Wyndham Clark20th1st1st39th3rd
  • 2022: Max Homa (-8) – TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm
    • Price: 40-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Max HomaN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
  • 2021: Rory McIlroy (-10) – Quail Hollow Club
    • Price: 18-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Rory McIlroy18th9th10th41st3rd
  • 2020: Canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic
    • Price: N/A

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)
    • WON – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T33 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
    • T22 – The Masters (MAJ)
    • 3 – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
    • T19 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
  • 2023: Wyndham Clark (Quail Hollow Club)
    • T24 – Mexico Open (PGA)
    • 3 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T29 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
    • 6 – Corales Puntacana Championship (PGA)
    • 5 – Valspar Championship (PGA)
  • 2022: Max Homa (TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm)
    • T21 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T48 – The Masters (MAJ)
    • T35 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)
    • T13 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
    • T17 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
  • 2021: Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)
    • MC – The Masters (MAJ)
    • T28 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)
    • MC – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
    • T10 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
    • T6 – WGC-Workday Championship (PGA)
  • 2020: Canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024; Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)

Wells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipQuail Hollow Championship
Quail Hollow ClubTPC Potomac at Avenel FarmQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow Club
202320222021201920182016201520142013201220112010
Rory McIlroyT475WONT8T16T4WONT8T10T2MCWON

2023: Wyndham Clark (Quail Hollow Club)

Wells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow Club
20212019
Wyndham ClarkT43MC

2022: Max Homa (TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm)

Wells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubEagle Point Golf ClubQuail Hollow Club
2021201920172015
Max HomaMCWONMCT76

2021: Rory McIlroy (Quail Hollow Club)

Wells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipWells Fargo ChampionshipQuail Hollow Championship
Quail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow ClubQuail Hollow Club
201920182016201520142013201220112010
Rory McIlroyT8T16T4WONT8T10T2MCWON

2020: Canceled due to the COVID-19 pa

Picks:

Outrights

Corey Conners (+3000) – DraftKings

Russell Henley (+3500) – FanDuel

Shane Lowry (+3500) – DraftKings

Keegan Bradley (+5000) – BetMGM

Sam Burns (+5500) – FanDuel

Justin Rose (+7000) – FanDuel

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

MLB Sunday Fun-day Play – Sports Betting – Athletics vs Marlins

Athletics vs Marlins +122 O/U 8.5

he Athletics and Marlins face off today in the final game of their series, with both teams looking to secure the series win. The Athletics come in with an 18-16 record, while the Marlins sit at 13-19.

Key Matchups:

  • Pitching Duel: JP Sears (Athletics) vs. Edward Cabrera (Marlins). Sears has a 2.94 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season, while Cabrera has struggled with a 7.23 ERA but has a strong history against the Athletics, having pitched 14 scoreless innings in two career starts against them.
  • Top Performers: Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .324 batting average and six home runs. Brent Rooker has been a standout for the Athletics with nine home runs.
  • Recent Matchups & Trends

    • Head-to-Head Record: Over the last 10 meetings, the Marlins have won 6 games, while the Athletics have taken 4.
    • Last Series: In their previous series (June 2024), the Marlins swept the Athletics, outscoring them 22-9 over three games.
    • Home vs. Away: The Marlins have gone 8-7 at home this season, while the Athletics are 10-6 on the road—giving them an edge as visitors.

    Pitching Comparison

    • JP Sears (Athletics): Has a 2.94 ERA, but against Miami, he holds a 4.75 ERA in two career starts.
    • Edward Cabrera (Marlins): Struggling with a 7.23 ERA, but in his two career starts vs. Oakland, he has 14 scoreless innings and 18 strikeouts.

    Key Batters to Watch

    • Brent Rooker (Athletics): Leads Oakland with 9 HR, .280 AVG.
    • Kyle Stowers (Marlins): Slashing .324/.415/.540, with 6 HR.
Category Athletics Marlins
Season Record 18-16 13-19
Last 10 Meetings 4 Wins 6 Wins
Last Series (June 2024) 0 Wins, 9 Runs Scored 3 Wins, 22 Runs Scored
Home Record 8-10 8-7
Away Record 10-6 5-12
Starting Pitcher JP Sears (2.94 ERA) Edward Cabrera (7.23 ERA)
Pitcher vs. Opponent 4.75 ERA in 2 Starts 14 Scoreless Innings in 2 Starts
Top Batter Brent Rooker (9 HR, .280 AVG) Kyle Stowers (6 HR, .324 AVG)

Prediction:

This Athletics team isn’t the same team that we witnessed over the past two year.  These guys have grown up.   The As are 7th in weighted runs created while the Marlins are 18th.  Looking at the bullpen, the As rank 14th as the Marlins rank 27th.   Neither pitcher is all that great, but at least Sears is respectable.  Cabrera has a pathetic 7.23 ERA and may not last too long.   Grab the As to take the series.

Athletics -134 – 1 star

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The 2025 Kentucky Derby Thoughts and Plays! Sports Betting

Race Details

  • Post Time: 6:57 p.m. ET
  • Location: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky
  • Field Size: 19 horses
  • Weather:   60% chance of rain most of the day clearing up around 5PM.

This year’s Kentucky Derby field features a dynamic mix of solid contenders and intriguing longshots, setting the stage for a thrilling race. Journalism, the early 3-1 favorite, has been nothing short of dominant in his last four starts, showcasing both tactical speed and closing ability. His decisive win in the Santa Anita Derby cemented his status as a top contender, and under the expert guidance of trainer Brad Cox, he has steadily matured into a formidable racehorse. Sovereignty, at 5-1 odds, is a horse that excels late in races, often surging past competitors in the final furlongs. Having already claimed victory at Churchill Downs in a lower-level stakes race, he’s comfortable on the track—a significant advantage heading into the Derby. His thrilling triumph at Gulfstream Park highlighted his ability to navigate crowded fields, making him a dangerous presence in the final stretch.

Sandman, the Arkansas Derby winner, is an undeniable talent but has shown some inconsistencies in his maturity. His raw speed makes him a threat, yet concerns about his stamina over the grueling 1 ¼-mile Derby distance loom large. Meanwhile, Burnham Square, despite sitting at 12-1 odds, boasts the highest number of qualifying points among all competitors. This suggests reliability, consistency, and race-tested endurance. Though not a flashy competitor, he has quietly built a strong resume that could surprise many on Derby Day. Luxor Café, the intriguing international entrant from Japan, is sired by American Pharoah, the legendary 2015 Triple Crown winner. His pedigree alone makes him an exciting prospect, and his performances overseas hint at the possibility of a strong showing despite being a relatively unknown quantity to U.S. racing fans.

My Thoughts: 

However you want to slice it, there will be a wet track for the big race as rain is expected to continue on and off through most of Saturday.  There are a few horses that have performed well in the slop in the number 2 Neoquist, the number 5 in American Promise, and the number 16 in Coal Battle.  I will take this information with a grain of salt as none of these races were grade 1 competition, yet there is a horse that I do think that the muddy situation may help in his situation.  My handicap is more about trying to hit a big ticket rather then small returns on the favorites.   I think that there are about 12-14  horses here that can realistically win this race.  It isn’t hard to make an argument for most of these ponies, but at the same time, we can’t bet them all.   On the other hand, it isn’t hard to make an argument against some of these horses and let’s start right there with the favorite in Journalism.   At 3-1, this horse is a deserving favorite, but I think his price should be more than 4-1.   This Michael McCarthy horse has won all of his prep races including the Santa Anita derby, but the big problem with this guy is that he hasn’t raced against a field larger than five wide.   I will use him in some Exotics to try and recoup if I get beat, but I am not all that impressed.   The second favorite is Sandman, and according to Chris Fallica, this horse has some social media backing.   Looking at the poor price on this horse, Chris and Kiev give a few other thoughts on the below video from our Kentucky Derby preview podcast.

 

Our problem with Sandman is that this Marc Casse horse had a very easy trip in the Arkansas derby, yet was very inconsistent in his previous traces losing to Coal Battle and Madaket Road in the Rebel Stakes, as well as his loss to Speed King in the Southwest G3.  If this horse hits the top two positions, there will be no steak for me tonight.   Another horse that many are looking at is the Japanese Horse Luxor Cafe.   This is a very successful horse, with triple crown winner American Pharaoh as the sire, that is almost undefeated in the Japanese circuit.   His last loss was last year on a muddy track.  Today doesn’t bode all that well for him forecasting the track conditions and for that reason among others like poor competition makes me sour on him some, yet I last min decided to include him in a smaller tri-fecta.   I will have Luxor Cafe and Journalism in some savor situations, but what I am keying in on is much more important.  

My Picks:

I am going to try and key in on three horses.  First, the 5 horse in American Promise is a very promising horse trained by D Wayne Lukas.   This horse has the pedigree of a champion with triple crown winner Justify as the sire and Tapella (Tapit) as the Dam.  This horse blew through the competition at the Virginia Derby.   He has the makings of a champion with a win on a muddy track in December that was over 1 mile long.   His gate position looks good if he can hang with the pace, and his price is still solid over 10-1.  The next horse I fell on is the third favorite in Sovereignty.   This Bill Mott horse has had a ton of success in winning the Fountain of Youth with a solid run in the Florida Derby.  Had this horse had another 1/8th of a mile to go, he may have beaten Tappen Street who unfortunately was scratched from the Kentucky Derby a week ago as this horse suffered a condylar fracture to his right foreleg.   I really like this closer and I think he should be the second favorite.   The last horse that I fell on is Baeza who was able to join the party due to a few scratches.   This horse has a really good number right now at 23-1, and he lost to the favorite Journalism in the Santa Anita derby by a 1/2 length at the wire.   Baeza isn’t exactly a closer, but as Rich Strike did in the 2025 Kentucky Derby, he has a shot to sneak up from the outside and slide into first under these race conditions.

The way I am constructing my ticket is for a solid to big hit in this race.   I will have a few savor tickets below as you can see, but there is no reason for me to be shy about the horses that I like in this race.  I also throw in two small “holy crap” situations as anything can happen on a wet track with a field of 19 horses.   The total ticket costs $341 and if you like you can halve those bets and still play the derby for $170.50.   Remember to bet responsibly.  Best of luck to you in all of your plays!  

 

 
 
Exacta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $1 Exacta (9, 16, 20) BOX
 
Bet detail
Risk $6.00
 
 
Exacta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $2 Exacta (7, 8, 9, 16 / 5, 18, 21)
 
Bet detail
Risk $24.00
 
 
Exacta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $3 Exacta (5, 18, 21 / 7, 8, 9, 16)
 
Bet detail
Risk $36.00
 
 
Exacta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $6 Exacta (5, 18, 21) BOX
 
Bet detail
Risk $36.00
 
 
Exacta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $20 Exacta (13, 18) BOX
 
Bet detail
Risk $40.00
 
 
Exacta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $2 Exacta (7, 8, 9, 16) BOX
 
Bet detail
Risk $24
 
 
Trifecta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $1 Trifecta (1, 3, 9) BOX
 
Bet detail
Risk $6.00
 
Trifecta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $1 Trifecta (7 / 5, 8, 18 / 3, 5, 8, 9, 14, 17, 18)
 
Bet detail
Risk $18.00
 
 
Trifecta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $1 Trifecta (5, 18, 21 / 5, 7, 8, 9, 18, 21 / 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 13, 14, 16, 17, 18, 21)
 
Bet detail
Risk $135.00
 
 
Superfecta
2025/05/03
Churchill Downs Race #12 USD $0.1 Superfecta (5, 18 / 3, 5, 13, 18, 21 / 3, 5, 8, 13, 16, 18, 21 / 3, 5, 8, 13, 16, 18, 21)
 
Bet detail
Risk $16.00
 
 
GRAND TOTAL
$341.00


You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie!   https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie


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2025 Kentucky Derby Preview & Picks

For an in-depth breakdown of the Kentucky Derby, be sure to check out our latest podcast episode where we take a full deep dive into the Run for the Roses.

The 151st edition of the Kentucky Derby takes place on Saturday, May 3rd.

The Kentucky Derby serves as the inaugural stage of the American Triple Crown for three-year-old Thoroughbreds. Annually hosted at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky, it falls on the initial Saturday in May, a tradition upheld since 1875. Spanning a distance of 1 1/4 miles, the race stands as an iconic hallmark in the realm of horse racing. It’s open to both colts and fillies, though colts traditionally dominate the field.

Participation in the Kentucky Derby hinges on qualification through a series of preparatory events dubbed the Road to the Kentucky Derby. These stakes races occur nationwide, granting Derby qualifying points to the top four contenders. The final roster of Derby entrants comprises horses amassing the most qualifying points, with two coveted positions out of 20 reserved for top qualifiers from European and Japanese Road to the Derby events.

It’s often referred to as “The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports” due to the race’s approximately two-minute duration. The Derby is renowned for its traditions, including the playing of “My Old Kentucky Home” as the horses parade to the starting gate and the mint julep, a traditional drink made with bourbon, sugar, water, and mint, which is closely associated with the event.

Race Information:

  • Date: May 3rd, 2025
  • Track: Churchill Downs
  • Location: Louisville, Kentucky, United States
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 12
  • Post Time: 6:57 PM ET
  • Length: 1 1/4 Mile
  • Purse: $5,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 12-13-14) Super Hi-5

TV Schedule:

  • NBC – 2:30 PM – 7:30 PM ET

Weather:

The National Weather Service is calling for a 90% chance of rain in Louisville on Saturday, with temperatures peaking around 66°F. The Weather Channel projects it to be 61°F at 7 p.m. — just minutes after post time — with a reduced 40% chance of rain at that hour. However, rain chances remain above 60% from late morning through the afternoon. While Churchill Downs saw light drizzle during last year’s Derby, the race hasn’t been heavily affected by wet conditions since back-to-back muddy editions in 2018 and 2019.

If the track turns sloppy, keep an eye on #2 Neoequos and #5 American Promise — both are strong candidates who have won in these conditions before.

Previous Winners & Odds:

  • 2024: Mystic Dan
    • Odds: 20-1
  • 2023: Mage
    • Odds: 15-1
  • 2022: Rich Strike *
    • Odds: 80-1
  • 2021: Mandaloun **
    • Odds: 15-1
  • 2020: Authentic
    • Odds: 8-1
  • 2019: Country House ***
    • Odds: 65-1
  • 2018: Justify
    • Odds: 3-1 (Favorite)

* Rich Strike had the second-longest odds ever to win at 80-1. The biggest longshot to win the Kentucky Derby was Donerail in 1913 going off at 91-1.

** Medina Spirit won the race but was disqualified after failing a post-race drug test. Trainer Bob Baffert was issued a two-year ban from Churchill Downs and is currently serving the second year of his sentence.

*** Maximum Security won the race but was disqualified due to interference. This was the first time ever that a horse got disqualified for a foul during the Kentucky Derby. He also had the third-longest odds ever to win at 65-1.

Trainer, Jockey, & Owner Kentucky Derby Records:

  • Most Wins by a Trainer:
    • 6, Bob Baffert (1997, 1998, 2002, 2015, 2018, 2020)
    • 6, Ben A. Jones (1938, 1941, 1944, 1948, 1949, 1952)
  • Most Wins by a Jockey:
    • 5, Eddie Arcaro (1938, 1941, 1945, 1948, 1952)
    • 5, Bill Hartack (1957, 1960, 1962, 1964, 1969)
  • Most Wins by an Owner:
    • 8, Calumet Farm (1941, 1944, 1948, 1949, 1952, 1957, 1958, 1968)

Kentucky Derby Historical Post Position Stats:

The starting gate was first utilized in the 1930 Kentucky Derby. Since then, every post position has had a winner besides No. 17. Overall, post position No. 5 has had the most winning horses with 10. Since 2000, ten winners have come from either gate 5 or 10.

Post PositionWins
1(8) Ferdinand (1986); Chateaugay (1963); Needles (1956); Hill Gail (1952); Citation (1948); Gallahadion (1940); Lawrin (1938); War Admiral (1937)
2(7) Affirmed (1978); Bold Forbes (1976); Cannonade (1974); Dust Commander (1970); Tim Tam (1958); Ponder (1949) Assault (1946)
3(6) Real Quiet (1998); Alysheba (1987); Spectacular Bid (1979); Foolish Pleasure (1975); Shut Out (1942); Mystic Dan (2024)
4(5) Super Saver (2010); Seattle Slew (1977); Decidedly (1962); Pensive (1944); Whirlaway (1941)
5(10) Always Dreaming (2017); California Chrome (2014); Funny Cide (2003); War Emblem (2002); Silver Charm (1997); Strike the Gold (1991); Count Fleet (1943); Johnstown (1939); Bold Venture (1936); Twenty Grand (1931)
6(2) Sea Hero (1993); Iron Liege (1957)
7(8) Mandaloun (2021); Justify (2018); Street Sense (2007); Pleasant Colony (1981); Proud Clarion (1967); Northern Dancer (1964); Determine (1954); Gallant Fox (1930)
8(8) Mine That Bird (2009); Barbaro (2006); Go for Gin (1994); Unbridled (1990); Majestic Prince (1969); Lucky Debonair (1965); Swaps (1955); Cavalcade (1934); Mage (2023)
9(4) Riva Ridge (1972); Venetian Way (1960); Tomy Lee (1959); Count Turf (1951)
10(9) Giacomo (2005); Lil E. Tee (1992); Sunday Silence (1989); Spend a Buck (1985); Sunny’s Halo (1983); Genuine Risk (1980); Secretariat (1973); Dark Star (1953); Omaha (1935)
11(2) Winning Colors (1988); Brokers Tip (1933)
12(3) Canonero II (1971); Kauai King (1966); Hoop Jr. (1945)
13(4) Nyquist (2016) Smarty Jones (2004); Forward Pass (1968); Jet Pilot (1947); Burgoo King (1932)
14(2) Carry Back (1961); Middleground (1950)
15(6) Authentic (2020); American Pharoah (2015); Orb (2013); Fusaichi Pegasus (2000); Grindstone (1996); Swale (1984)
16(4) Animal Kingdom (2011); Monarchos (2001); Charismatic (1999); Thunder Gulch (1995)
17(0)
18(2) Country House (2019); Gato Del Sol (1982)
19(1) I’ll Have Another (2012)
20(2) Rich Strike (2022); Big Brown (2008)

Field:

Post PositionHorseMorning Line (ML) OddsJockeyTrainer
1Citizen Bull20-1Martin GarciaBob Baffert
2Neoequos30-1Luis SaezSaffie Joseph Jr.
3Final Gambit30-1Luan MachadoBrad Cox
4Rodriguez12-1Mike SmithBob Baffert
5American Promise30-1Nik JuarezD. Wayne Lukas
6Admire Daytona30-1Christophe LemaireYukihiro Kato
7Luxor Café15-1João MoreiraNoriyuki Hori
8Journalism3-1Umberto RispoliMichael McCarthy
9Burnham Square12-1Brian Hernandez Jr.Ian Wilkes
10Grande20-1John VelazquezTodd Pletcher
11Flying Mohawk30-1Joseph RamosWhit Beckman
12East Avenue20-1Manny FrancoBrendan Walsh
13Publisher20-1Irad Ortiz Jr.Steve Asmussen
14Tiztastic20-1Joel RosarioSteve Asmussen
15Render Judgment30-1Julien LeparouxKen McPeek
16Coal Battle30-1Juan VargasLonnie Briley
17Sandman6-1Jose OrtizMark Casse
18Sovereignty5-1Junior AlvaradoBill Mott
19Chunk of Gold30-1Jareth LoveberryEthan West
20Owen Almighty30-1Javier CastellanoBrian Lynch
21Baeza12-1Flavien PratJohn Shirreffs

Horse Preview

Post PositionHorseCareer RecordStakes FinishesTop Equibase Speed FigureKentucky Derby Qualifying Points
1Citizen Bull6 starts – 4 wins – 0 seconds – 1 third4th Santa Anita
1st Robert B Lewis 1st BC Juvenile
10771.25
2Neoequos7 starts – 2 wins – 2 seconds – 2 thirds3rd Florida Derby
3rd Fountain of Youth
10040
3Final Gambit4 starts – 2 wins – 1 second – 1 third1st Jeff Ruby Stakes96100
4Rodriguez5 starts – 2 wins – 2 seconds – 1 third1st Wood Memorial
3rd San Felipe
2nd Robert B Lewis
111121.25
5American Promise9 starts – 2 wins – 1 second – 1 third1st Virginia Derby
5th Risen Star
6th Southwest
10255
6Admire Daytona6 starts – 2 wins – 2 seconds – 0 thirds1st UAE DerbyN/AN/A
7Luxor Café6 starts – 4 wins – 1 second – 0 thirds1st Fukuryu StakesN/AN/A
8Journalism5 starts – 4 wins – 0 seconds – 1 third1st Santa Anita
1st San Felipe
1st Los Al Futurity
110112.5
9Burnham Square6 starts – 3 wins – 1 second – 1 third1st Blue Grass
4th Fountain of Youth
1st Holy Bull
104130
10Grande3 starts – 2 wins – 1 second – 0 thirds2nd Wood Memorial10650
11Flying Mohawk6 starts – 2 wins – 2 seconds – 0 thirds2nd Jeff Ruby Stakes9750
12East Avenue5 starts – 2 wins – 1 second – 0 thirds2nd Blue Grass
10th Risen Star
9th BC Juvenile
10460
13Publisher7 starts – 0 wins – 2 seconds – 3 thirds2nd Arkansas Derby
4th Rebel
6th Southwest
10060
14Tiztastic8 starts – 3 wins – 1 second – 2 thirds1st Louisiana Derby
5th Rebel
3rd Southwest
3rd KY Jockey Club
2nd Street Sense
99119
15Render Judgment7 starts – 1 win – 2 seconds – 1 third5th Blue Grass
2nd Virginia Derby
8th Risen Star
9839
16Coal Battle8 starts – 5 wins – 0 seconds – 1 third3rd Arkansas
1st Rebel
95
17Sandman8 starts – 3 wins – 1 second – 2 thirds1st Arkansas Derby
3rd Rebel
2nd Southwest
104129
18Sovereignty5 starts – 2 wins – 2 seconds – 0 thirds2nd Florida Derby
1st Fountain of Youth
1st Street Sense
99110
19Chunk of Gold4 starts – 1 win – 3 seconds – 0 thirds2nd Louisiana
2nd Risen Star
9675
20Owen Almighty7 starts – 3 wins – 2 seconds – 0 thirds6th Blue Grass
1st Tampa Bay
9865
21 (AE)Baeza4 starts – 1 win – 2 seconds – 0 thirds2nd Santa Anita10737.5

Projected Pace:

Over the past 30 years, only four horses won the Kentucky Derby wire-to-wire, and Baffert trained three: War Emblem, Authentic, and Medina Spirit. Four others won pressing the pace, with Baffert training two: American Pharoah and Justify. Of the eight speed horses to win since 1995, Baffert trained five. This year, he has two top speed horses, Citizen Bull and Rodriguez, in the mix.

Track Phantom

Pacesetter

  • #1 Citizen Bull
  • #2 Neoequos
  • #6 Admire Daytona
  • #12 East Avenue
  • #20 Owen Almighty

Press the Pace

  • #5 American Promise
  • #7 Luxor Café

Stalker

  • #8 Journalism
  • #16 Coal Battle
  • #19 Chunk of Gold
  • #21 Baeza

Closers

  • #9 Burnham Square
  • #11 Flying Mohawk
  • #14 Tiztastic
  • #15 Render Judgment
  • #18 Sovereignty

Deep Closers

  • #3 Final Gambit
  • #13 Publisher
  • #17 Sandman

Tosses: Horses I’m Leaving Off My Tickets

These are the horses I’m excluding from my win bets and top positions. While one or two might sneak into the bottom of an exotic, I don’t view them as serious contenders for the 151st Kentucky Derby.

#2 Neoequos

He’s a pace presser stuck with a poor post draw, which isn’t ideal considering the crowded early setup expected in this race. I also have concerns about his ability to handle the Derby distance — there’s just not enough upside here to trust him.

#6 Admire Daytona

This Japanese-bred colt was clearly second-best when facing Luxor Café earlier this year, finishing fourth in their February clash. He’ll try to flash early speed, but I don’t think he’s quick enough to gain a favorable position. He punched his Derby ticket with a razor-thin win in one of the weakest UAE Derbies in recent memory — not the strongest endorsement.

#11 Flying Mohawk

Unless Flying Mohawk takes a massive leap forward in terms of speed figures, it’s tough to see him factoring here. He’s also making his first career start on dirt, which adds more uncertainty to the equation.

Additional Tosses: #12 East Avenue, #15 Render Judgement, #20 Owen Almighty

In a 20-horse field, you have to draw the line somewhere — and for me, these are the names I’m crossing off.

Win Bets

#21 Baeza

With the scratches of #4 Rodrigues and #10 Grande, Baeza has officially drawn into the field for the 151st Kentucky Derby. Though a late addition, this maturing 3-year-old is no mere filler — he’s a legitimate contender. A half-brother to 2023 Derby winner Mage and 2024 Belmont Stakes winner Dornoch, Baeza nearly defeated current favorite Journalism in the Santa Anita Derby, falling just three-quarters of a length short over 1 1/8 miles. Despite breaking from the far outside post, his stalking running style should allow him to avoid early traffic and settle in just behind the leaders. He’s shown steady improvement in every start, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him flip the script on Journalism here.

#7 Luxor Café

No Japanese-bred horse has ever won the Kentucky Derby — but that may soon change. Luxor Café comes into Churchill Downs riding a four-race win streak, including three stakes victories where he was the post-time favorite each time. He’s been improving with every effort and was impressive in his most recent start in the Fukuryu Stakes. Sired by 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, Luxor Café is bred for this distance and stage. With his current form and pedigree, he deserves serious consideration.

Longshot Bets

#3 Final Gambit

Looking for a longshot? Final Gambit could be your horse. Though he’s never raced on dirt or against this level of competition, there are a few key factors that make him intriguing. He’s bred for both distance and dirt, and his inside post position could allow him to save ground and take advantage of what is expected to be a hot early pace. In his last start, he took a major step forward in the Jeff Ruby Stakes, beating fellow Derby contender Flying Mohawk and earning a career-best speed figure — a 27-point improvement from his prior race. He’ll be overlooked at the windows, but he has the profile of a horse who could shock at a price.

Exacta Bets

#18 Sovereignty / #3 Final Gambit, #7 Luxor Café, #9 Burnham Sqaure, #14 Tiztastic, #21 Baeza

#7 Luxor Café, #21 Baeza / #3 Final Gambit, #7 Luxor Café, #9 Burnham Sqaure, #14 Tiztastic, #18 Sovereignty, #21 Baeza

#3 Final Gambit, #7 Luxor Café, #9 Burnham Sqaure, #16 Coal Battle, #21 Baeza / #8 Journalism

I’ll be finalizing and potentially expanding this list tomorrow — but these are the combinations I’m locking in for now!

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

Friday Free Play Video:

Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23) during an NBA basketball game against the Minnesota Timberwolves in San Francisco, Wednesday, Nov. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

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Podcast 698 – 34 – 25 – The 151st Kentucky Derby – With Chris Fallica & Marco D’Angelo – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a MASSIVE show for you today!  Two of the great horse betting specialists in ‘The Bear’ Chris Fallica from Fox Sports and Marco D’Angelo from Wagertalk are back to break down the 151st run for the roses!  First, the guys talk some football.   Who is quarterbacking for the Steelers?  How did the Jets do?   We get into some early college football future bets!  Next, the guys get right into the Kentucky Derby!  Unfortunately, Marco had some internet issues and had to text in his plays.   Chris and Kiev discus what will the weather be like.  How big will the betting handle be?   We also do a pretty deep dive into most of the horses on the card.   The boys also get into some sleepers and how they are going to construct their tickets.   Then, we talk about a few other races including the Kentucky Oaks.   Finally, Chris and Kiev discuss if their will be a triple crown winner.   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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Thursday Free Play Video:

Kawhi Leonard driving to the rim.

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Podcast 697 – 33 – 25 – The 2025 Kentucky Derby – With Patrick Gates & Shawn Knoche – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!  Two horse betting specialists in Shawn Knoche @TheGreatKnoche and Patrick Gates @Gatorbetting from The OddsBreakers are back to break down the 151st run for the roses!  First, Kiev recaps the NFL draft and talks about some winners and losers.  Next, Shawn and Patrick come on and the guys get right into the derby.   What will the weather be like?  Who are the favorites?  Who are some sleepers?   We also talk about a few other races as well as give out our thoughts on some of the horses that we will be keying in on for the big day!   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson Preview & Picks

The PGA Tour heads to the Lone Star State for the 2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch. Let’s break down the course, key stats, and best bets for this week’s event.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: May 1st – May 4th, 2025
  • Location: McKinney, Texas, United States
  • Course: TPC Craig Ranch
  • Course Type: Parkland 
  • Par: 71 (4x 3’s / 11x 4’s / 3x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,569 yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Bentgrass .100”
  • Fairways: Ryegrass .375”
  • Rough: Ryegrass 3.25”
  • Bunkers: 83 (4 acres)
  • Water Hazard(s): 4 (In-Play on 13 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 6,778 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 11.5 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $9,900,000 /$1,782,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field: 156 Players
  • Cut: Top 65 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden-Death (18,18,10,18)
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2024: 68.50 (-2.50), Rank 45 of 51
    • 2023: 68.91 (-2.09), Rank 44 of 49
    • 2022: 69.22 (-2.78), Rank 47 of 50
  • Historic Cut Line:
  • 2024: -6
  • 2023: -4
  • 2022: -6

Social Media:

  • Course X: N/A
  • Tournament X: @cjbyronnelson

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Tom Weiskopf (2004)
  • Upcoming Renovation: Lanny Wadkins ( summer 2025)

Comparable Courses:

  • Grand Reserve Golf Club – Puerto Rico Open – RESULTS
  • Vidanta Vallarta – Mexico Open at Vidanta – RESULTS
  • TPC Scottsdale – WM Phoenix Open – RESULTS

Comparable Location (McKinney, Texas):

  • TPC San Antonio – San Antonio, Texas – Valero Texas Open
  • Memorial Park Golf Course – Houston, Texas – Texas Children’s Houston Open
  • Colonial Country Club – Fort Worth, Texas – Charles Schwab Challenge

Designer Link (Tom Weiskopf):

  • TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) – Tom Weiskopf (1986) – WM Phoenix Open

Comparable Yardage (7,569 Yards):

  • Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – 7,500 Yards – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • Quail Hollow Club – 7,521 Yards – Wells Fargo Championship
  • Augusta National Golf Club – 7,555 Yards – The Masters Tournament

Comparable Greens (Bentgrass .100”):

  • Augusta National Golf Club – Bentgrass .125” – Masters Tournament
  • TPC Twin Cities – Bentgrass .110” – 3M Open
  • Torrey Pines Golf Course (North) – Bentgrass .100″ – Farmers Insurance Open
  • TPC Deere Run – L-93 Bentgrass .100” – John Deere Classic
  • Muirfield Village Golf Club – Bentgrass .090” – the Memorial Tournament
  • Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club – Bentgrass – ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Black Desert Resort – 007XL Bentgrass .120” – Black Desert Championship

Comparable Average Green Size (6,778 sq. ft.):

  • Quail Hollow Club – 6,578 sq. ft. – Wells Fargo Championship

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, May 1st, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 7:45 AM – 4:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 4:00 PM – 7:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, May 2nd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 7:45 AM – 4:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 4:00 PM – 7:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, May 3rd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:30 PM
    • CBS – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, May 4th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 2:30 PM
    • CBS – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The CJ Cup Byron Nelson is a longstanding PGA Tour event held annually in Texas, with a rich history dating back to its inception in 1944 as the Texas Victory Open. Named in honor of the legendary golfer Byron Nelson in 1968, the tournament has been hosted at various courses over the years, including Lakewood Country Club, Preston Trail Golf Club, and TPC Four Seasons. In 2021, the event found a new home at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas, where it continues to attract top-tier talent. The tournament underwent a significant change in 2024 when the CJ Group became the title sponsor, rebranding it as The CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

TPC Craig Ranch, located in McKinney, Texas, just north of Dallas, is a relatively new but significant stop on the PGA Tour. Designed by Tom Weiskopf and opened in 2004, the course became part of the TPC network and has hosted a variety of professional events, most notably becoming the home of the AT&T Byron Nelson in 2021. Known for its generous fairways, large greens, and scenic views along Rowlett Creek, TPC Craig Ranch provides a modern layout that still challenges players with subtle elevation changes and strategically placed water hazards. While scoring tends to be low, particularly in good weather, course management remains key to taking advantage of birdie opportunities.

Previous Tournament Venues:

DurationCourse
2021 – PresentTPC Craig Ranch
2018 – 2019Trinity Forest Golf Club
1994 – 2017The Tournament Players Course and the Cottonwood Valley Course (Four Seasons)
1986 – 1993TPC at Las Colinas
1983 – 1985Las Colinas Sports Club
1968 – 1982Preston Trail Golf Club
1958 – 1962; 1964; 1966 – 1967Oak Cliff Country Club
1957Glen Lake Country Club
1956 (May), 1956 (Jun)Preston Hollow Country Club
1946Brook Hollow Golf Club
1945Dallas Country Club
1944Lakewood Country Club

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2024 – PresentCJ Cup Byron Nelson
2015 – 2019; 2021-2023AT&T Byron Nelson
2009 – 2014HP Byron Nelson Championship
2003 – 2008EDS Byron Nelson Championship
2001 – 2002Verizon Byron Nelson Classic
1999 – 2000GTE Byron Nelson Classic
1988 – 1998GTE Byron Nelson Golf Classic
1968 – 1987Byron Nelson Golf Classic
1957 – 1962; 1964; 1966 – 1967Dallas Open Invitational
1956 (Jun)Texas International Open
1956 (May)Dallas Centennial Open
1946Dallas Invitational
1945Dallas Open
1944Texas Victory Open

Tournament Records:

  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 4, Tom Watson (1975, 1978, 1979, 1980)
  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 259, Steven Bowditch (2015 at TPC Four Seasons). Bowditch was 18-under after heavy rain turned TPC Four Seasons into a par-69 layout for the final three rounds.

  • 18-Hole Record:
    • 60, Arron Oberholser (second round, 2006 at Cottonwood Valley GC), Keegan Bradley (first round, 2013 at TPC Four Seasons)

Course Records:

  • 72-Hole Record (TPC Craig Ranch):
    • 261, Jason Day (2023), Taylor Pendrith (2024)

  • 18-Hole Record (TPC Craig Ranch):
    • 60, Sebastián Muñoz (first round, 2022 at TPC Craig Ranch), S.Y. Noh (first round, 2023 at TPC Craig Ranch)

  • Largest Margin of Victory (TPC Craig Ranch):
    • 3 Strokes – K.H. Lee (2021)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Originally crafted by Tom Weiskopf in 2004, TPC Craig Ranch features a Par 71 layout, comprising four Par 3s, eleven Par 4s, and three Par 5s.

In terms of length, TPC Craig Ranch is one of the longest courses on Tour measuring 7,569 yards. It ranks 3 out of 44 courses in length. The fairways are on the wider side, ranking 8 of 44, with the average fairway width being 37.0 yards. The average green size is roughly 6,778 square feet which is on the larger side when compared to the other courses on the PGA Tour.

The four Par 3’s range between 147 yards and 232 yards. In the last edition of this event, all of the Par 3’s had a scoring average over par except for No. 4 and No. 17.

No. 7, 232 Yards, Par 3: “This is a large green that slopes back to front. It is best to miss your tee shot short right, this will give you the best opportunity to get up and down.”

No. 17, 147 Yards, Par 3: “A true sleeper par 3, don’t let the yardage fool you. The wind will make hitting this green a true test. Any shot coming up short will be punished by the false front on the green and may roll back into the front bunker.”

There are eleven Par 4’s at TPC Craig Ranch with the majority of those holes ranging between 450 and 500 yards. No. 6 is the shortest listed at 361 yards with the longest being No. 13, playing 512 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course last year was No. 12 (+0.177).

No. 6, 361 Yards, Par 4: “This is a short par 4 that brings a lot of strategy into play. The fairway is well protected by bunkers, if you want to attack this hole finding the fairway is a must. If you hit driver off the tee and get to close to the green, attacking a front pin location is difficult. This is one of our smallest greens, be aggressive if find the fairway and have a wedge in your hand.”

No. 14, 362 Yards, Par 4: “This short par four is a through risk/reward hole. The shorter hitters have to decide what yardage second shot they want to have, there is more room right off the tee than appears. Most big hitter will take on the green, the bunkers right are always there to catch a bail out shot. This is one of our most undulated greens, you have to be accurate with your wedges if you want to make birdie.”

No. 16, 492 Yards, Par 4: “A long and testing par four, into the wind this hole will challenge the best of players. You have to avoid the bunkers down the left if you want to hit this green in two. The bunkers front right hide what is one of the biggest greens on the course. Hitting the middle of this green is never a bad play. There is a severe slope on the left side of the green, and getting up and down from the chipping area is hard.”

There are three Par 5s on the course, No. 5, No. 9, and No. 18. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2024. The easiest hole on the course last year was No. 18 with a scoring average of 4.415.

No. 9, 564 Yards, Par 5: “This is a tough tee shot on a windy day because of the forced carry. Plenty of room right off the tee, playing down the left side will result in more run out and better angle to the green. The big decision you have to make is with your lay up, being aggressive and taking on the creek opens up the green for third shot. This green has three tiers, distance and spin control with your wedge shot is a must.”

No. 18, 552 Yards, Par 5: “Another risk/reward hole to finish, there is a large landing area for those who have to lay up. The longer hitter off the tee will have an approach shot between 220-250 to the middle of the green. This green has two distinct levels, and if you want to make birdie being on the correct level is a must.”

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 14

Key Statistics:

The CJ CUP Byron Nelson takes place at TPC Craig Ranch. Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.

StatisticsPGA Tour AverageTPC Craig Ranch
Driving Distance (Yards)283.87294.10
Driving Accuracy62%61%
GIR Percentage66%71%
Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet)29.1734.17
Scrambling Percentage58%66%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.550.40

Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at TPC Craig Ranch.

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

  • While TPC Craig Ranch isn’t overly penal off the tee, it still rewards players who drive the ball well — especially those with both distance and consistency. Wide fairways encourage aggression, and longer hitters can take advantage of shorter approach shots into greens. But it’s not just bombers who benefit here. Accuracy and consistent positioning also play a role, especially with water lurking on several holes. Interestingly, each of the past four winners at TPC Craig Ranch finished the week ranked 23rd or better in SG: Off the Tee among the field. That tells us that while this isn’t a brutal driving test, gaining strokes off the tee is a key ingredient for winning. Whether through length, accuracy, or both, players need to be in control with the driver to contend.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Rico Hoey
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Isaiah Salinda
      • Kevin Yu
      • Taylor Pendrith
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Joseph Bramlett
      • Kurt Kitayama

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • TPC Craig Ranch is a second-shot golf course, and iron play is one of the most predictive stats for success here. In fact, three of the past four winners ranked inside the top 8 in Strokes Gained: Approach for the week, showing just how important precise iron play is. With large greens and favorable scoring conditions, hitting it close gives players the best chance to convert birdie opportunities. Those who are consistently dialed in with their mid-to-long irons tend to separate themselves over four rounds.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Henrik Norlander
      • Sami Valimaki
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Will Zalatoris
      • Stephan Jaeger
      • Rico Hoey
      • John Pak
      • Jackson Suber
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • Kevin Yu

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)

  • The greens at TPC Craig Ranch are pure Bentgrass, cut to .100″, and generally run at a medium-to-fast speed. While the putting surfaces are large, players who roll it well on Bentgrass will have a significant edge, especially in a low-scoring shootout where missing birdie chances can quickly put you behind. Historically, strong Bentgrass putters have shown a positive correlation with top finishes at this event.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Mackenzie Hughes
      • Harry Hall
      • Brian Campbell
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Vince Whaley
      • Kevin Kisner
      • Kevin Tway
      • Kris Ventura
      • Sam Burns
      • Ben Silverman

Driving Distance Gained

  • While accuracy off the tee is helpful, TPC Craig Ranch tends to favor players with distance more than precision. The fairways are relatively wide, and players who can drive it long will set themselves up for shorter approach shots into greens — a major edge when you need to rack up birdies. The course plays over 7,500 yards, so length can be a real asset.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Aldrich Potgieter
      • Christo Lamprecht
      • Brandon Matthews
      • Tim Widing
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Rasmus Hojgaard
      • Chirs Gotterup
      • Pierceson Coody

Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards

  • Two of the four par 3s at TPC Craig Ranch fall within the 200-225 yard range.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Ben Griffin
      • Seamus Power
      • Brian Campbell
      • Sam Ryder
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Ryan Gerard
      • Matthew McCarty
      • Aldrich Potgieter
      • Takumi Kanaya
      • Mac Meissner

Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards

  • TPC Craig Ranch features five par 4s in the 450-500 yard range, which will test players with both length and accuracy. These are among the tougher holes on the course, so gaining strokes here can lead to a significant advantage over four rounds.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Brian Campbell
      • Alex Smalley
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Justin Lower
      • Chad Ramey
      • Sam Ryder
      • Matt Kuchar
      • Pierceson Coody

Par 5 Scoring: 550 – 600 Yards

  • Two of the three par 5s fall between 550-600 yards, which are reachable for the longer hitters and offer prime scoring chances. Converting birdies — or even eagles — on these holes is often a requirement to stay competitive in a tournament that regularly sees winning scores of -23 or better.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Davis Riley
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Jordan Spieth
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • Cameron Davis
      • Adam Schenk
      • Victor Perez
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Dylan Wu

Birdies or Better Gained

  • With the last five winners all finishing -23 or better, it’s clear that scoring is paramount at TPC Craig Ranch. Players need to capitalize on the gettable holes and avoid settling for too many pars. Those who gain the most strokes through birdies (or better) tend to rise up the leaderboard in this type of shootout environment.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Jacob Bridgeman
      • Danny Walker
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Stephan Jaeger
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Taylor Moore
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Cameron Davis
      • Ryan Gerard
      • Jordan Spieth

Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards

  • DataGolf’s approach distribution shows a disproportionately high number of approach shots at TPC Craig Ranch come from 200+ yards out.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Erik Van Rooyen
      • Charley Hoffman
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Rikuya Hoshino
      • Kris Ventura
      • Ryan Gerard
      • Jackson Suber
      • Brandon Matthews
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Kurt Kitayama

Course History & Comparable Courses

  • Looking at the Data Golf Course History Tool, prior experience at TPC Craig Ranch hasn’t proven to be extremly advantageous. However, we have seen multiple players in the past few years win twice at this course including Jason Day, K.H. Lee, and Sergio Garcia.
    • Leaders in this category:
      • Jordan Spieth
      • Stephan Jaeger
      • Scottie Scheffler
      • Sung Kang
      • Ryan Palmer
      • Si Woo Kim
      • Byeong Hun An
      • Davis Riley
      • Matt Kuchar
      • Joseph Bramlett

The Field:

The 2025 CJ CUP Byron Nelson will feature a field of 156 players, with just two of the top 20 in the Official World Golf Ranking set to compete.

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Winner – U.S. Open
  • Winner – PGA Championship
  • Winner – THE PLAYERS Championship
  • Winner – Tournament Winner in the Past Year
  • Career Money Exemption
  • Sponsor Exemption: DPWT
  • Sponsor’s Exemption – PGA
  • Sponsor’s Exemption – Unrestricted
  • Sponsor’s Exemption – PGA
  • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year.
  • Open Qualifying
  • Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
  • Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
  • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
  • Major Medical Extension.
  • Leading Points Winner from DP World Tour
  • PGA TOUR University #1 – Prior Season
  • Leading 10 players (not otherwise exempt) on DP World Tour
  • Players 2-30 on the Prior Season Korn Ferry Tour Points List
  • Top 5 Finishers and Ties from PGA TOUR Q-School

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Taylor Pendrith (2024), Sung Kang (2019)

Debutants in the Field:

  • Aldrich Potgieter, Braden Thornberry, Christo Lamprecht, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, Frankie Capan III, Gabe Reynolds, Isaiah Salinda, Jackson Suber, Jeremy Paul, Jesper Svensson, John Pak, Kaito Onishi, Karl Vilips, Kevin Velo, Mason Andersen, Matt McCarty, Matteo Manassero, Matthew Riedel, Michael Thorbjornsen, Nicolai Hojgaard, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Kent, Paul Peterson, Paul Waring, Philip Knowles, Rasmus Hojgaard, Ricky Castillo, Rikuya Hoshino, Seungbin Choi, Takumi Kanaya, Taylor Dickson, Thomas Rosenmueller, Tim Widing, Tommy Morrison, Victor Perez, Vince Covello, Will Chandler, William Mouw

Exemptions:

  • Seungbin Choi – Commissioner Exemption – 2 Foreign Players.
  • Pierceson Coody – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted.
  • Chesson Hadley – Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt.
  • Noah Kent – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted.
  • Kris Kim – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted.
  • Kevin Kisner – Career Money Exemption.
  • Martin Laird – Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Tommy Morrison – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted.
  • Ryan Palmer – Career Money Exemption.
  • Chez Reavie – Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt.
  • Kevin Tway – Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • Michael Kim (WD); Dylan Wu (IN)
  • Nick Dunlap (WD); Kevin Tway (IN)
  • Trace Crowe (IN)
  • Blades Brown (WD)
  • Martin Laird (IN)
  • Kevin Tway (IN)
  • Chez Reavie (IN)
  • Chesson Hadley (IN)
  • Zac Blair (OUT); Zach Johnson (IN)
  • S.H. Kim (OUT); Joseph Bramlett (IN)
  • Keith Mitchell (WD); Taylor Montgomery (IN)
  • Brandt Snedeker (WD); Zac Blair (IN)
  • Joe Highsmith (WD); Matt NeSmith (IN)

Tee Times & Groupings:

The Odds:

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:

GolferOddsLast 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR
(Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson
(Recent -> Past)
Scottie Scheffler+280T8-4-T2-T20-T11T5-T15-T47
Jordan Spieth+1800T18-T14-T12-T28-59MC-2-T9
Sungjae Im+2200T11-T5-60-T61-T19
Byeong Hun An+2500T38-T21-T16-T52-T8T4-T14
Odds via DraftKings

Tournament Props:

Playoff:

  • Will There Be a Playoff at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson? (Yes +360 / No -500)

Since moving to TPC Craig Ranch in 2021, the CJ CUP Byron Nelson has yet to be decided by a playoff.

Hole-in-One:

  • Will There Be A Hole-in-One at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson? (Yes -160/ No +125)

2024: (1) – Raul Pereda (Hole No. 7)

2023: No Aces were recorded,

Recent Horses for Courses (TPC Craig Ranch):

CJ Cup Byron NelsonAT&T Byron NelsonAT&T Byron NelsonAT&T Byron Nelson
TPC Craig RanchTPC Craig RanchTPC Craig RanchTPC Craig Ranch
GolferEvents Played2024202320222021
Byeong-Hun An3414
Carson Young23014
Stephan Jaeger5201138
Si Woo Kim4132MC55
Scottie Scheffler551547
Seamus Power7MC19179
Jordan Spieth12MC29

Recent Donkeys for Courses (TPC Craig Ranch):

CJ Cup Byron NelsonAT&T Byron NelsonAT&T Byron NelsonAT&T Byron Nelson
TPC Craig RanchTPC Craig RanchTPC Craig RanchTPC Craig Ranch
GolferEvents Played2024202320222021
Mac Meissner3MCMCMC
Pierceson Coody3MCMCMC
Greyson Sigg3MCMCMC
Harry Higgs3MCMCMC
Scott Gutschewski5MCMC
George McNeill10MCMC
Erik van Rooyen2MCMC
Chez Reavie11MCMC
Matthias Schmid2MCMC
Kevin Kisner5MCMC

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Taylor Pendrith (-23)
    • Price: 90-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Taylor Pendrith6th4th38th3rd14th
  • 2023: Jason Day (-23)
    • Price: 18-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Jason Day12th1st3rd31st28th
  • 2022: K.H. Lee (-26)
    • Price: 125-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
K.H. Lee20th5th8th10th13th
  • 2021: K.H. Lee (-25)
    • Price: 200-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
K.H. Lee23rd2nd2nd24th9th
  • 2019: Sung Kang (-23)
    • Price: 125-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Sung KangN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Taylor Pendrith
    • T11 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T11 – Corales Puntacana Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
    • T36 – Texas Children’s Houston Open (PGA)
    • MC – Valspar Championship (PGA)
  • 2023: Jason Day
    • MC – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • T39 – Masters Tournament (MAJ)
    • T5 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)
    • T19 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
    • T10 – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
  • 2022: K.H. Lee
    • T25 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • MC – RBC Heritage (PGA)
    • MC – The Masters (PGA)
    • MC – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
    • T55 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
  • 2021: K.H. Lee
    • T58 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • T29 – Valspar Championship (PGA)
    • T23 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T56 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
    • T23 – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
  • 2019: Sung Kang
    • MC – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
    • T42 – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
    • T18 – Valspar Championship (PGA)
    • T47 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024: Taylor Pendrith

  • Tournament Debut

2023: Jason Day

2022202120172013201220112010
Jason DayT51MC2T27T95WON

2022: K.H. Lee

20212019
K.H. LeeWONMDF

2021: K.H. Lee

2019
K.H. LeeMDF

2019: Sung Kang

20182017201620122011
Sung KangT42T20T34MCMC

Picks:

Outrights

Jordan Spieth (+1800) – DraftKings

Stephan Jaeger (+4500) – FanDuel

Jake Knapp (+5500) – FanDuel

Ryan Gerard (+6000) – FanDuel

Sami Valimaki (+11000) – FanDuel

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.