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Podcast 39 – 19 – The 2019 Fantasy Football Draft Rankings with D-Nasty – Sports Betting

Your fantasy draft is finally here this month and what are you going to do?   Well hopefully you will take some advice from the experts on our show!   Kiev first reminds us why we listen to podcasts.   Then we get into a new fantasy platform for prop bets.  D-Nasty comes back on to talk about our 2019 Fantasy Football player rankings.   We discuss booms and busts as well as players trending up and trending down by position in your fantasy football draft!

#FantasyFootball #Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

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Cubs at Phillies Thur 8/15

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Off to a 3-0 start to the week including a First 5 dog winner with the White Sox on Wednesday on the heels of a tough MLB week last week.

Cubs at Phillies

Darvish vs Smyley

 

Pick Options

Cubs -147/Full Game/Small

Or 

Cubs -0.5/-110 First 5 Innings/Small

 

Smyley has allowed 5 or more runs in 4 of his last 6 starts

Smyley 6.25 ERA over last 7 starts

 

Darvish 1.96 ERA vs PHI in last 3 starts

RHB hitting .186 vs Darvish this season

Darvish 3.24 ERA over last 7 starts

Cubs 54-22 in last 76 Thur games

Podcast 38 – 19 – The NFC North and Conference USA with Doug Upstone – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!   Doug Upstone from Vegasproinsidersdaily.com is back to break down the better teams in Conference USA and the NFC North division in the NFL!   We first get into the favorite and decide that that may not be the team to be on in this conference.   We give out a few season win totals.   Kiev and Doug are at odds on who will win this conference so it will be interesting to see how this plays out!   Next we get into the NFC north and both agree upon the projected winner in this division!  Finally we talk about why Bill Belichek’s assistant coaches do not pan out as head coaches in the NFL.

#CONFERENCEUSA #NFCNORTH #sportsbetting #gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” for a 50% signup bonus for first time users.  Terms and conditions apply.

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For only 12.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for our podcast early for 14.99 a month please visit www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=1872377

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Diamondbacks A Live Dog on Saturday?

Cardinals at Rockies

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MLB 

 

Diamondbacks +155 at Dodgers -175

Young vs Maeda

 

I believe Arizona could be a live dog here today.  

 

ARI is 30-21 over the last 3 seasons vs LA

ARI is 8-3 last 11 Saturday games

LA is batting .209 vs LHP last 10 games

Maeda has not had a win since May 31

 

Maeda has allowed 3 or more runs in 5 of his last 6 starts.  He is 0-4, 6.16 ERA in his last 7 starts. August has been his worst month over his career with ERA of 5.00.  Maeda has a 4.54 career ERA vs ARI and 5.24 ERA against them over his last 5 starts. The most glaring stat is that LA has lost 6 of the last 7 games Maeda has started vs ARI.  

 

Alex Young in his first season has gone 4-1, 2.60 ERA for ARI.  He has only allowed more than 2 runs once in his 6 starts. He is 3-0, 1.93 ERA in road starts.  Opponents are batting .167 vs Young this season.  

 

I like the Dbacks in some fashion here.  Their bullpen has an ERA of 5.19 over the last 10 games so that is worrisome.  Still going to be value on a first 5 Inning play. A couple of options, Just choose 1 that you like the best here.   ARI is +149 for the first 5 innings.

 

Pick Options

ARI Over 1.5/-132  First 5 Innings/Small

Or

ARI +0.5/-105 First 5 Innings/Small

Kiev O’Neil MLB 8/10 Free Play

Atlanta vs Miami – Run Line

The Braves are playing the worst team in the National League and this one is really all about the stats.  The Braves have their best Pitcher Mike Soroka on the mound boasting a 2.45 ERA and 1.11 WHIP while the Marlins have Sandy Alcantara with his 4.5 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.  I’d call that a mismatch.   The Braves are 5th in the league in On base Percentage at .338 while the Marlins are dead last at .338   Braves are 4th in runs and Marlins are dead last.  No huge reason to go on here.   The best thing the Marlins can do is to move up in the draft at this point in the season.  Take the Braves on the run line.

Atlanta -1.5 -129 – 1 star play

Podcast 37 – 19 – The AFC North with The Chalk Boys and the SEC with Brian Edwards – Sports Betting

We have a fantastic show for you today!   We have some great guests to discuss the upcoming football season.  Roosie and Tub from the Heavy Chalk show @heavychalkshow come on to break down the AFC North and some Heisman odds!  We first talk a little about Baker Mayfield and his off the field talents.  Then we get into the details of the Cleveland Browns and the AFC North.  Next we discuss a little bit of Heisman hopefuls.  Then Brian Edwards @vegasbedwards from Majorwager.com and Vegasinsider.com comes on to due an in depth analysis team by team for the SEC!   We talk about players and specific situations.   Next we get a little into season win totals.  Finally, we already have some plays for the opening weekend of the college football season!

Duke vs Alabama, Auburn vs Oregon, Georgia Southern vs LSU and more!

#sportsbetting #gamblingtwitter #NCAA

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag and use the promo code, “theoddsbreakers” for a 50% signup bonus for first time users.  Terms and conditions apply.

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For only 12.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit www.theoddsbreakers.com or for our podcast early for 14.99 a month please visit www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=1872377

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St Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

The Cardinals look to bounce back here as they’ve lost their last 3 and are just 4-6 in their last 10. The Dodgers on the other hand have won their last 3 games and are 7-3 in their last 10.

Unfortunately for the Cardinals, they are sending Miles Mikolas to the mound. Mikolas is sporting a 6.75 ERA on the road. He’s also giving up 2.09 HR’s per 9 innings on the road. His last 3 road starts he’s given up 5 runs in 4 innings to the Giants, 3 runs in 6 innings to the Reds and 3 runs in 6 innings to the Pirates. He’s going to have a much better effort here as the Dodgers have hit the third most home runs in the MLB.

The Dodgers will counter with Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw has a 2.35 ERA at home. He is giving up less than 1 home run per 9 innings and has about a 9/2 K to BB ratio. He also hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in a start since the end of June. The Cardinals offense has been pretty stagnant lately as well scoring only 5 runs in their last 3 games.

I think the play here is pretty clear and straight forward. This line implies a 56.5% probability that it will hit. I think this should be more like 65%, which would make the line closer to -186 where the full game line is. I’m pounding the value here.

Take the Los Angeles Dodgers -0.5 F5 -130

NFL Preseason Week 1 Free Play!

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Braves at Twins

Cardinals at Rockies

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Braves at Twins

Soroka vs Odorizzi

Pick: ATL -105/Lean       

Soroka 2.87 ERA last 7 starts

Soroka 6-0, 1.20 ERA on the road

Odorizzi has allowed 3 or more runs in 5 of last 6 home starts

Odorizzi 7.98 ERA last 3 starts

ATL hitters are batting .353 (30 for 85), .765 SLG  vs Odorizzi

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Kiev O’Neil MLB Free Play

Athletics vs Cubs O/U 10.5 Runs

We have been on fire lately in baseball and why slow down now!  Fair warning is that I am going against the money here.   Everyone is looking at the forecast seeing 10 MPH winds blowing out to right field making people bet the over.   Well I think this thing got a little to high with pitchers like Kyle Hendricks is boasting a 3.07 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.   Chris Bassitt isn’t too shabby either at 3.84 ERA but a 1.17 WHIP.   Kyle hasn’t given up 3 runs at home since June 4th this year.   More importantly, cubs players are dropping like flys to injuries such as Kris Bryant Banged up, Craig Kimbrell and Wilson Contreres.   Checking another wind site it looks like it is more blowing sideways to the right field foul line rather than straight out.   This is also a let down spot for the Cubs after sweeping the BrewCrew.   I don’t want to fade the Cubbies at home but the under is now in play for me.

Cubs under 10.5 runs – 2 stars