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NHL October Recap & Small 11/2/18 Slate

We are about a month into the NHL season and things are rolling.  As I looked late last night an realized that last night would be a loss, I got to thinking about how I got away from posting the Units won/lost.  I will start that back up when I post the recaps.  I also got to thinking about the numbers I had posted and how they seemed off.  I want to be transparent as possible and wanted to get to the bottom of why the numbers were off.  I went back through tweets, posts, etc and found the issue.  From my post on 10/17 I took the number from that week and that week only (from the 8th on), omitting the plays from the 4th-7th. So this morning I went back through and checked every post, play, tweet, etc and here are the correct October Numbers:

56 – 35 – 1  .6154  +18.72 Units.

That is correct and more closely matches what my bankroll reflects.  That is right where we want to be and that includes several bad beats.  Bad beats are part of the game and they happen both ways.  But how often do teams give up a 3-4 goal lead?  Not often, but it’s happened 3 times or more.  Last night I had a personal play on Colorado.  They were up 4-1 and one point and I kinda stopped paying attention to it.  Well, Calgary rattled 5 straight goals in the 3 to win… another bad beat, though, only a personal play.  Just an example of this crazy investing/betting world.  We will look to improve on the +18.72 Units in November and beyond.  Thanks for reading the articles and playing along.  GL2ALL.

Last night (11/1/18): 4 – 5  for -.60 U

Season to Date: 60 – 40 – 1  .6000  +18.12 Units

11/2/20148

Florida Panthers @ Winnipeg Jets – 2 PM EST

These two teams just played each other yesterday in Florida, with the Jets coming through 4-2.  They are back at it this afternoon in an early game of 2PM EST.  We cashed on the Jets yesterday and I am looking to do so again today.  I am taking the Jets -140.  The Jets are playing well, especially at home, where they are 5-1-1.  They know that they can beat this Florida team, doing so yesterday afternoon.  Florida has not fared well in Winnipeg.  The Jets are 23-7 all time against Florida and 8-1 in Winnipeg.  I look for more of that to continue.  I also like the Over 5.5 goals.

Colorado Avalanche @ Vancouver Canucks – 10PM ET

Colorado was in action last night, I was on them on a personal play and they blew a 4-1 lead.  Vancouver has been off a day after cashing a ticket for us on the 31st.  As has been mentioned, Vancouver has been a dog in EVERY game this season.  That trend continues tonight, as they are about +125.  Normally I would take Vancouver in this spot.  They are a very active dog and they may very well win this one outright. However, with Colorado dropping a 4-1 lead last night, I look for them to come out ticked off and ready to play.  In the words of Mike Brenner, this is a “Somebody’s gunna pay for that sh*t” game.  I look for Colorado to roll.  The numbers all point to that and you add in that they are off a blown game where they gave up 5 goals in the 3 period, somebody is indeed going to pay for that sh*t and it will be the Canucks tonight.  Colorado ML.  I also have the Over 5.5 Goals.

Carolina Hurricanes @ Arizona Coyotes

Not much of a write-up here.  I am on Carolina and heavy on the Under 6 goals. Arizona has been playing better as of late after starting the season slowly.  Carolina, on the other hand, started hot and then lost 5 of their last 7 games.  They are looking to bounce back, after dropping their last two.  Arizona has won 4 in a row and 5 of their last 6. Arizona is hot and may very well win this game. But I look for Carolina to come in and get a low scoring win, like a 2-1, or 3-2 game. Carolina is 3-1 in the last 4 trips to Arizona and the O/U is 1-3. Take Carolina and the Under.

GL2ALL.

 

 

 

 

 

College Football Week 10 Betting Spots

Sports Betting Wagering Sharp information
Sports Betting

Let down spots:

Georgia at Kentucky

Washington State hosting Cal for both teams really

Notre Dame could be a little flat vs Northwestern….

ASU hosting Utah but both teams really need this game

Oklahoma state at Baylor

Get up spots:

Florida hosting Missouri

Stanford at Washington for both teams

Texas vs West Virginia

NC State vs Florida State

Texas A&M at Auburn

Purdue vs Iowa for both teams really

South Florida at Cincinnati

Look ahead spots:

Wisconsin could be looking past Rutgers ahead to Penn State

Ohio State looking past Nebraska to Michigan State but maybe not due to their loss to Purdue

Georgia looking past Kentucky to Auburn

Oklahoma State looking past Baylor to Oklahoma

Michigan state looking past Maryland to Ohio State

Mississippi State looking past LA Tech to Alabama

 

Podcast 52 – 18 College Wk 10 and NFL Wk 9 Picks – Sharp Action – UFC 230 – Sports Betting

Sports Betting
Sports Betting and Wagering

9-6 last week in NCAA and 4-3 in NFL.   Kiev O’Neil @thepublicdog goes into his college football week 10 free picks, sharp movements and NFL week 9.  The OddsBreakers welcome back Handicapper Cub Fan Danny @cubfandanny to break down a few plays for NFL week 9 and UFC 230!   #UFC  #UFC230

Alabama vs LSU – Notre Dame vs Northwestern – Texas A&M vs Auburn – Syracuse vs Wake Forest – Florida Atlantic vs Florida International and more!

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag for a 100% signup bonus for first time users by using the promo code “theoddsbreakers”  terms and conditions apply.

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10/31/18 – NHL Pick and Recap

Happy Halloween!!!

This season is flying by and we are just about a month in.  Here are the YTD recap and recent numbers.  The last post was on the 24th and I sent out some picks on Twitter as well.  As the season settles in and we get more data I am getting more and more comfortable playing up to -200 is some spots, though usually I just adjust the PL to -1 and take less juice.  24th – 5-2, great night.  25th 3-2 Good night.  26th 2-2, ok night but at least we were at .500.  27th 2-1, good night. 28th – None. 29th, 1-2, bad night and 30th 2-4, terrible night. For the season it is 36-30-2  .5454.  We are above .500, and have a way to go, but I like where we are.

Chicago Blackhawks @ Vancouver Canucks

The only game on the slate tonight is Chicago at Vancouver.  There are reasons to take either team here, and you couldn’t be faulted wither way.  Chicago, who is beginning a 3 game Canada road trip, is coming off of two losses in and row, and they definitely want to get things right and not drop a third.  Vancouver is coming off an upset win against Minnesota.  Chicago hasn’t lost three in a row all season, and there are reasons to believe that they won’t start now.  Vancouver has been an underdog all season long… literally.  In their 13 games they have not been favored once. They are use to this, they are use to being overlooked and undervalued, so I don’t see a drop off or let down coming off of their win against Minnesota. I am on a bit of an island tonight because as of this writing, 62% of the tickets and 67% of the cash are on Chicago.  But the numbers point to the Canucks. Don’t let the dog scare you on this Halloween night. I am taking the Canucks on the money line to get it done tonight. If you were to blindly play on the Canucks all season, you would be +6.65 Units. And as long as I am making money on Vancouver, I will continue to take them. I also took the Over 5.5. GL2ALL and have a safe and Happy Halloween!!!

Follow me on Twitter for more picks @U2remdm.

 

 

Fantasy Football Week 9

Bye Weeks:   Bengals, Colts, Cardinals, Eagles, Giants, Jaguars

Key Injuries:

Tyreek Hill – Groin and day to day

Will Fuller – Torn ACL out for season

Ronald Jones – Hammy and week to week

Baker Mayfield – beat up

Waiver Wire:

Keke Coutee – Wr Texans

David Moore – WR Seahawks

Josh Adams – RB Eagles

Devonte Parker – Miami

Jack Doyal – Colts

Elija McGuire – Jets

Anthony Miller owned in 9% of leagues had 7 targets and a TD

Willie Snead had 11 targets

Christian Kirk had 7 targets

Devonte Booker if you need an RB with Royce Freeman out

Jaquizz Rodgers with Ronald Jones out

Ryan Fitzmagic

Chris Godwin – Tampa Bay

Duke Johnson – lots of touches

DJ Moore – favorable vs Tampa Bay

Break Out Players:

Antonio Callaway vs KC

Adrian Peterson vs Atlanta

DJ Moore and Devon Funchess vs Tampa Bay’s D.   They just lost another CB MJ Stewart

Willie Snead vs Pittsburgh

Randall Cobb vs Patriots D

Latavious Murrey vs the Lions terrible D

Nick Chubb – Browns

Nasty Sleeper:   DJ Moore

 

 

Podcast 51-18 – College football Week 9 Recap – Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 9

Another great week in the books!   9-6 in NCAA and 4-3 in NFL.  Today we recap a great week of college football!   We break down our top teams as well as some great betting spots for week 10!  D-Nasty then comes in to break down Fantasy Football week 9.   Bye weeks, injuries, waivers and break out players.

Should you need a sports book please visit www.youwager.eu for a 50% signup bonus for first time users by using the promo code “theoddsbreakers”  terms and conditions apply.

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For only 12.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit:  https://www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=1872377

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Tito’s College Football Take

Tulane PK

Tulane and Tulsa are two teams struggling to climb out of the basement of the the AAC. Tulsa isn’t effective holding onto the ball with a -6  turnover rating. Tulane does one thing decent and it is playing the run which is the only thing Tulsa can sometimes figure out how to do. Give me Tulane in a close one.

 

Texas -3

I know Tom Herman is bad as a favorite lifetime but I dont see alot of value in Oklahoma State. They have struggled mightily this season. Also, Sam Ehlinger upgraded to probable who has been fantastic making good decisions with the ball in his hand.Tom Herman will do a good on keeping the ball away Ok State and I see them winning by a touchdown

 

Iowa +5 / Under 51

Penn State isn’t good at protecting Trace Mcsorley and that is one thing that Iowa does well is get after the quarterback. Trace when he has pressured hasn’t made the best passes and it shows this season with his completion percentage being  down almost 10 Penn State has looked flat since they lost to Ohio State dropping a game against Michigan St and Indiana pretty much shooting themselves in the foot to blow a win last week. Give me Iowa and the points even if Penn State wins it will be by a field goal.

 

NC State-2

Plain and Simple they are the better team and will get up for this game after a tough loss to Clemson. The Power Ratings I have this being a 6 point game. Give me NC State who is the better defensive team. I think they make one more stop than the Orange and that will be the difference. Eric Dungey has been getting hit all season his health is questionable. I look for Ryan Finely NFL hopeful to bounce back well in this game.

 

Wisconsin -3.5

I actually like Wisconsin more that Hornibrook is out of this game. Coming into start will be sophmore Jack Coan who is a former 4 star recruit. I do think he may be a better passer than Hornibrook but not given a shot since Alex is a proven leader with a winning track record. Paul Chryst this could be the upgrade your team needs. I think Jack could surprise some people. I have this game almost power rated at 10 huge value on the Badgers. I think this line could drop to -3.

College week 9 and NFL week 8

College Football Week 9

Purdue vs Michigan State -2

Well since Purdue beat Ohio State and Michigan

Will Big Ben Continue to Own Cleveland ?

Well, the Rams own all of California and probably the entire NFC, if they can stay healthy they should win the whole thing. We move on and have used some pretty good teams already with the Patriots, Vikings, Rams. However, there are a lot of big spreads on the board from us to choose from. Not all games go as planned, so make sure you are avoiding certain teams.

The Obvious Choices
Broncos vs Chiefs -10
Browns vs Steelers -8
Dolphins vs Texans -8

The Chiefs face the Broncos in what could be a very tough spot for Denver. They have some notable players on the injury report between Shane Ray and Brandon Marshall. The Chiefs are coming off a great win on prime time over the Bengals. Defensively, they played great, limiting Andy Dalton to 148 yards and Joe Mixon to only 50 yards. This Chiefs team can put up points and I don’t think Case Keenum and company are up for the challenge.

Steelers can only have one thing on their mind: revenge after the tie they suffered in Week 1 of the NFL season to the Browns. Big Ben has owned the city of Cleveland with an impressive 12-2 record on the road. I expect the Steelers to dominate. Also, Hue Jackson has taken over the play calling for the Browns which I believe, is a negative. Hue Jackson isn’t a good coach and if he expects to be fired he wants to go out his way. The Steelers are a safe play.

Texans face off against the Dolphins tonight on Prime Time. The Texans have improved recently, winning their last 4 game. However, the Dolphins haven’t played terrible with Brock and can see them keeping this onclose for comfort. Also it’s a short week so not a lot of prep time. I do believe the Texans get it done. Desean Watson is a little banging up and will be contained to the pocked more than he is comfortable with. I do believe the Texans get it done owever, not hedging my survivor pool on it.

This week: Steelers

Sleeper Selection: Colts

Previous Selections

Week 5: Patriots 

Week 6: Vikings

Week 7: La Rams

 

Podcast 50-18 College Football Wk 9 & NFL Wk 8 Picks – Sharp Action – Sports Betting

10-7 last week in NCAA and 6-3 in NFL.   Kiev O’Neil @thepublicdog goes into his college football free picks, sharp movements and NFL week 8.  The OddsBreakers welcome back Handicapper Eddie Owens @eddiehaswinners to break down a few plays for college football week 9!

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag for a 100% signup bonus for first time users by using the promo code “theoddsbreakers”  terms and conditions apply.

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Sports Betting & Wagering