The 150th running of the Preakness Stakes is set for Saturday, May 17th, continuing a rich tradition as the second jewel of the Triple Crown. Held two weeks after the Kentucky Derby, the race takes place at historic Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland. First run in 1873 and named after the colt Preakness, a winner of the 1870 Dinner Party Stakes, the race covers 1 3/16 miles on dirt, making it the shortest leg of the Triple Crown and often one of the most tactical.
Over the decades, the Preakness has delivered some of horse racing’s most unforgettable moments. Legends like Secretariat (1973), who still holds the stakes record time of 1:53, and Triple Crown champions Seattle Slew and Affirmed added to their legacies at Pimlico. In more recent history, American Pharoah (2015) and Justify (2018) captured the Preakness en route to breaking long Triple Crown droughts. The race has also featured dramatic upsets and historic wins, including Rachel Alexandra’s groundbreaking victory in 2009 as the first filly in 85 years to take the Preakness, and Swiss Skydiver’s thrilling duel with Authentic in 2020.
Tradition plays a big role at the Preakness. The winning horse is draped in a blanket of black-eyed Susans, Maryland’s state flower (although look-alike blooms are used due to the actual flower’s later bloom time), and the infield—known as “Old Hilltop”—has long been a hub of fanfare and celebration. While the traditional singing of “Maryland, My Maryland” has been retired in recent years, the race’s historic charm remains intact.
One of the key storylines heading into the 2025 Preakness Stakes is the decision by Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty to skip the race in favor of preparing for the Belmont Stakes. With his absence, the Triple Crown is officially off the table this year. In his place, attention turns to Journalism, the Derby favorite who finished a strong second at Churchill Downs and returns as the morning-line favorite at Pimlico. Just two horses in the Preakness field—American Promise and Sandman—are making the start off the Derby trail, both looking to rebound in Baltimore. A noteworthy recent trend adds intrigue: six of the last eight Preakness winners bypassed the Kentucky Derby, potentially giving an edge to the fresher contenders in this year’s lineup.
Race Information:
Date: May 17th, 2025
Track: Pimlico Race Course
Location: Baltimore, Maryland, United States
Event Grade: Grade I
Race: 13
Post Time: 7:01 PM ET
Length: 1 3/16 Mile
Purse: $2,000,000
Division: Open | Three Years Old
Surface: Dirt
Wagers: Exacta, 50 Cent Trifecta & Daily Double (Races 13-14), 10 Cent Superfecta, $1.00 Jackpot Super High 5
TV Schedule:
CNBC – 2:00 PM – 4:00 PM ET
NBC – 4:00 PM – 7:30 PM ET
Weather:
The forecast for Saturday’s 150th running of the Preakness Stakes has improved as of Thursday, with the National Weather Service now calling for better conditions and only lingering showers following what’s expected to be an active weather day on Friday.
This updated outlook increases the likelihood that the race could be run over a fast track, but much will depend on the timing and path of any thunderstorms moving through the region late Friday and potentially into Saturday. Whether the dirt and turf courses at Pimlico have time to fully dry out remains the key factor heading into race day.
Previous Winners & Odds:
2024: Seize the Grey
M/L Odds: 15-1
2023: National Treasure
M/L Odds: 4-1
2022: Early Voting
M/L Odds: 7-2
2021: Rombauer
M/L Odds: 12-1
2020: Swiss Skydiver *
M/L Odds: 6-1
2019: War of Will
M/L Odds: 4-1
2018: Justify **
M/L Odds: 1-2
* Swiss Skydiver was one of six fillies to have won the Preakness Stakes
Here are the 2025 Preakness Stakes post positions, along with historical data for each gate since the starting gate was introduced to the race in 1909:
Post Position
Starts
Wins
Win %
Last winner
1
117
12
10.3
National Treasure (2023)
2
117
12
10.3
Cloud Computing (2017)
3
117
12
10.3
California Chrome (2014)
4
117
14
12.0
Swiss Skydiver (2020)
5
115
14
12.2
Seize the Grey (2024)
6
114
17
14.9
Rombauer (2021)
7
105
14
13.3
Justify (2018)
8
93
10
10.8
Bernardini (2006)
9
78
4
5.1
I’ll Have Another (2012)
Field:
Post Position
Horse
Morning Line (ML) Odds
Jockey
Trainer
1
Goal Oriented
6-1
Flavien Prat
Bob Baffert
2
Journalism
8-5
Umberto Rispoli
Michael McCarthy
3
American Promise
15-1
Nik Juarez
D. Wayne Lukas
4
Heart of Honor
12-1
Saffie Osborne
Jamie Osborne
5
Pay Billy
20-1
Raul Mena
Michael Gorham
6
River Thames
9-2
Irad Ortiz Jr.
Todd Pletcher
7
Sandman
4-1
John Velazquez
Mark Casse
8
Clever Again
5-1
Jose Ortiz
Steve Asmussen
9
Gosger
20-1
Luis Saez
Brendan Walsh
Horse Preview
Goal Oriented
Name: Goal Oriented
ML Odds: 6-1
Owner(s): SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Stonestreet Stables, Dianne Bashor, Determined Stables, Robert E. Masterson, Tom J. Ryan, Waves Edge Capital, and Catherine Donovan
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Flavien Prat
Dam: Bizzy Caroline (Afleet Alex)
Sire: Not This Time (Giant’s Causeway)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
2
2
0
0
2025
2
2
0
0
2024
0
0
0
0
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Journalism
Name: Journalism
ML Odds: 8-5
Owner(s): Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners, Bridlewood Farm, Don Alberto Stable, Robert V. LaPenta, Elayne Stables 5, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor, and Derrick Smith
Trainer: Michael McCarthy
Jockey: Umberto Rispoli
Dam: Mopotism (Uncle Mo)
Sire: Curlin (Smart Strike)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
6
4
1
1
2025
3
2
1
0
2024
3
2
0
1
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
American Promise
Name: American Promise
ML Odds: 15-1
Owner(s): BC Stables LLC
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Jockey: Nik Juarez
Dam: Tapella (Tapit)
Sire: Justify (Scat Daddy)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
10
2
1
1
2025
4
1
0
0
2024
6
1
1
1
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Heart of Honor
Name: Heart of Honor (GB)
ML Odds: 12-1
Owner(s): Jim And Claire Limited
Trainer: Jamie Osborne
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Dam: Ruby Love*Chi (Scat Daddy)
Sire: Honor A. P. (Honor Code)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
6
2
4
0
2025
4
1
3
0
2024
2
1
1
0
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Pay Billy
Name: Pay Billy
ML Odds: 20-1
Owner(s): RKTN Racing LLC
Trainer: Michael Gorham
Jockey: Raul Mena
Dam: Harlington’s Rose (Harlington)
Sire: Improbable (City Zip)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
8
4
1
1
2025
4
3
1
0
2024
4
1
0
1
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
River Thames
Name: River Thames
ML Odds: 9-2
Owner(s): WinStar Farm, CHC, Pantofel Stable, and Wachtel Stable
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Dam: Proportionality (Discreet Cat)
Sire: Maclean’s Music (Distorted Humor)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
4
2
1
1
2025
4
2
1
1
2024
0
0
0
0
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Sandman
Name: Sandman
ML Odds: 4-1
Owner(s): D. J. Stable, St. Elias Stable, West Point Thoroughbreds, and CJ Stables
Trainer: Mark Casse
Jockey: John Velazquez
Dam: Distorted Music (Distorted Humor)
Sire: Tapit (Pulpit)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
9
3
1
2
2025
4
1
1
1
2024
5
2
0
1
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Clever Again
Name: Clever Again
ML Odds: 5-1
Owner(s): Winchell Thoroughbreds, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor, and Derrick Smith
Trainer: Steve Asmussen
Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Dam: Flattering*Ire (Galileo*Ire)
Sire: American Pharoah (Pioneer of the Nile)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
3
2
1
0
2025
2
2
0
0
2024
1
0
1
0
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Gosger
Name: Gosger
ML Odds: 20-1
Owner(s): Harvey A. Clarke Racing Stables
Trainer: Brendan Walsh
Jockey: Luis Saez
Dam: Gloria S (Tapit)
Sire: Nyquist (Uncle Mo)
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
3
2
1
0
2025
2
2
0
0
2024
1
0
1
0
Pimlico Race Course
0
0
0
0
Projected Pace:
Pacesetter
#1 Goal Oriented
#8 Clever Again
Press the Pace/ Stalkers
#3 American Promise
#5 Pay Billy
#6 River Thames
#9 Gosger
Closers
#2 Journalism
#4 Heart of Honor
Deep Closers
#7 Sandman
Win Bets
#8 Clever Again
Clever Again is a lightly raced colt with a strong upward trajectory. He debuted in April 2024 at Keeneland, narrowly missing by a head in a $79K maiden sprint. After a lengthy layoff, he returned in February with an impressive win in a $110K maiden special weight at Oaklawn Park, cruising home by more than three lengths over 1 1/16 miles. He followed that up with a dominant wire-to-wire victory in the Hot Springs Stakes, winning by four lengths over a mile and earning a 101 speed figure—just shy of the 20-year average winning figure for the Preakness (104).
A son of Triple Crown winner American Pharoah, Clever Again should have no trouble handling the Preakness distance, and the relatively soft field gives him a strong opportunity to shine. He’s trained by Steve Asmussen, who has won the Preakness twice and knows how to have his horses ready for this stage. With the right trip, Clever Again has a legitimate shot to take home the second jewel of the Triple Crown.
Longshot Win Bets
#9 Gosger
Gosger enters the Preakness as a lightly raced but intriguing longshot, coming off an impressive Grade 3 victory in the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland, where he drew off to win by two lengths over 1 1/16 miles. While his speed figure of 87 in that effort will need to improve to contend against this stronger field, there’s reason to believe he has plenty of upside with just three career starts under his belt. The distance shouldn’t pose a problem given his recent performance and pedigree, and a sharp bullet workout on May 10th adds to the optimism. If he takes another step forward, Gosger could be a sneaky player at a big price.
Exacta Bets
#1 Goal Oriented, #3 American Promise, #6 River Thames, #8 Clever Again/ #2 Journalism
BOX: #1 Goal Oriented, #3 American Promise, #6 River Thames, #8 Clever Again
Trifecta Bets
#2 Journalism/ #1 Goal Oriented, #3 American Promise, #6 River Thames, #8 Clever Again/ ALL
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
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We have a great show for you today! Marco D’Angelo @MarcoInVegas from @Wagertalk is back with Shawn Knoche @TheGreatKnoche from @TheOddsBreakers to break down the second leg in the triple crown race! First, Kiev talks some NFL. The schedule’s are out and Kiev talks about some things to think about. Next, Shawn and Marco come on and the guys talk more about some NFL and the schedules. Marco gives out an early Free Play on a team that he knows pretty well. Then, the guys get right into horse racing. What does the sport need to do to start to grow in a competitive environment. Next, the guys get into The 2025 Preakness Stakes. We discuss the weather, the favorites, the longshots as well as the race itself. We give our thoughts on how the race will go. Finally the guys talk about how they will construct their tickets for the big race! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Sepp Straka won the Truist Championship last week at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, becoming the second player to win twice on the PGA TOUR this season, joining Rory McIlroy. Our pick, Shane Lowry (35-1), was tied for the lead after 54 holes but couldn’t close the deal and finished as the runner-up.
— PGA Championship (@PGAChampionship) May 11, 2025
The second major of the season heads to Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina—a course well-acquainted with championship-caliber golf. Quail Hollow previously hosted the 2017 PGA Championship and more recently staged the 2022 Presidents Cup, showcasing its ability to challenge the world’s best. Famous for its difficult finishing stretch known as “The Green Mile,” the course demands precision and poise from tee to green. While this marks just the second time it will host a major, Quail Hollow’s long-standing role as host of the Truist Championship (formerly the Wells Fargo Championship) has solidified its reputation as one of the premier stops on the PGA TOUR.
Now, let’s dive into the storylines ahead of this week’s PGA Championship…
Pre-Tournament Storylines:
Rory Returns to a Favorite Venue
Rory McIlroy has had an outstanding season, winning three times on the PGA TOUR, including his victory at the Masters to complete his career Grand Slam. He’s also a two-time PGA Championship winner, having claimed the title in 2012 at Kiawah Island Golf Resort (Ocean Course) and in 2014 at Valhalla Golf Club. McIlroy is highly familiar with this year’s venue, Quail Hollow Club, having won the Truist Championship (formerly the Wells Fargo Championship) four times (2024, 2021, 2015, and 2010).
Xander Looks to Defend His Crown
Xander Schauffele is the defending PGA Championship winner, having captured his first Major Championship at Valhalla Golf Club last year. He went on to win the Open Championship later in the same season at Royal Troon. Schauffele faced a rib injury earlier this year that sidelined him for several months. Despite only playing seven times this season, he’s regained form with four consecutive top-20 finishes. Schauffele also has strong course history at Quail Hollow, finishing runner-up in the 2023 and 2024 Wells Fargo Championships.
Scheffler Heating Up at the Right Time
Scottie Scheffler, who also dealt with an injury earlier this season, is coming off his first win of the year at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Scheffler has played in five previous PGA Championships, finishing in the top 10 in four of those appearances, with his only miss being in 2022 at Southern Hills Country Club. This will be his first appearance at Quail Hollow Country Club.
Thomas Eyes Third PGA Title at Familiar Site
ustin Thomas won the PGA Championship when it was last hosted at Quail Hollow Club in 2017, capturing his first Major Championship. Since then, he’s won just one other Major, the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. Thomas has been playing well this season, with three runner-up finishes at the American Express, Valspar Championship, and last week at the Truist Championship. He also claimed his first win since 2022 at the RBC Heritage two weeks ago. In his last two trips to Quail Hollow, Thomas finished T14 in the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship and T21 in the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship.
Jordan Spieth Aims to Complete the Career Grand Slam at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth is once again chasing history this week, as he looks to become just the seventh player in golf history to complete the career Grand Slam. The 30-year-old already owns three major titles: the 2015 Masters, 2015 U.S. Open, and 2017 Open Championship.
The PGA Championship is the final piece missing from Spieth’s resume. He came closest in 2015, finishing runner-up to Jason Day at Whistling Straits. When Quail Hollow last hosted the PGA in 2017, Spieth finished T28.
This season, Spieth has shown flashes of form with six top 20 finishes in 11 starts.
Koepka, Bryson, and Phil Lead LIV Charge at Quail Hollow
There will be a total of 16 LIV TOUR players competing in this week’s PGA Championship. Eight of these players qualified, while seven received special invitations from the PGA of America. The special invitees are Dustin Johnson, Tom McKibbin, David Puig, Joaquin Niemann, Sergio Garcia, Patrick Reed, and John Catlin.
Brooks Koepka, a three-time PGA Championship winner, and Bryson DeChambeau, a two-time Major Champion, headline the LIV players in the field. DeChambeau came close to winning the PGA Championship last year but finished as the runner-up. Another notable LIV player in this field is Phil Mickelson, who has won the PGA Championship twice.
Block Headlines Club Pro Spotlight
Michael Block will headline the group of 20 PGA Professional champions in the field this week. He made headlines in the 2023 PGA Championship at Oak Hill, where he finished T15. Afterward, he received sponsor exemptions to play in several PGA TOUR events in 2023 and 2024 but missed the cut in all of those tournaments. Block also participated in the 2024 PGA Championship but missed the cut at Valhalla Golf Club.
The 1916 PGA Championship included club professionals alongside touring pros, a tradition that continues today. The first event featured lesser-known pros like Robert White, the PGA’s first president, who competed at Siwanoy, setting the stage for the 20 club pro spots in modern fields.
Quail Hollow: A Major-Tested Host Returns
Quail Hollow Club has been the host of the Wells Fargo Championship (currently the Truist Championship) since 2003, with a few exceptions. The course was not used for this event in 2017 when it hosted its first Major Championship, the PGA Championship, or in 2022 when it hosted the Presidents Cup. Last week, the Truist Championship was played at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, a one-time host. The event will return to Quail Hollow Club next year.
Weather will be a key storyline this week at the PGA Championship, as a wet and stormy forecast could dramatically influence how Quail Hollow plays.
A low-pressure system over Mississippi is pushing Gulf moisture north into the Carolinas, bringing heavy rain and thunderstorms to the Charlotte area. So much so, that the course was closed to spectators on Monday due to unsafe conditions. Monday’s forecast calls for scattered showers turning into heavier, more persistent rain, with gusty winds expected in the afternoon.
Showers and afternoon thunderstorms are expected to linger through Tuesday and Wednesday, with humid, unstable air building throughout the day. Once the upper-level low clears out on Thursday, conditions should dry out temporarily, but more storms are forecasted for Friday and Saturday, potentially interrupting play and softening the course even further.
These conditions could have multiple effects on how the championship unfolds:
Longer Course Play: Wet fairways reduce rollout, forcing players to hit longer approach shots and making this already 7,600+ yard course play even longer.
Softer Greens: Receptive greens may benefit elite iron players and allow for more aggressive approaches, particularly if pin positions are accessible.
Disrupted Rhythm: Potential weather delays Friday and Saturday could break player momentum or lead to erratic tee times, especially for those near the cutline.
Rough and Recovery: A damp, gnarlier rough becomes even more penalizing. Players who miss fairways will face difficult lies and unpredictable flyers.
Course/ Tournament History:
Quail Hollow Club, located in Charlotte, North Carolina, has established itself as one of the premier venues in American golf. Opened in 1961 and designed by George Cobb, the course has undergone several renovations over the years, most notably by Arnold Palmer in the 1980s and Tom Fazio in the early 2000s, enhancing its reputation as a championship-caliber test. Quail Hollow became a regular stop on the PGA Tour in 2003 with the Wells Fargo Championship (formerly the Wachovia Championship), known for its challenging closing stretch dubbed the “Green Mile” — holes 16, 17, and 18 — which often determines the tournament’s outcome. In 2017, the course hosted its first major championship, the PGA Championship, won by Justin Thomas, and it served as the host site for the 2022 Presidents Cup, further cementing its legacy.
The PGA Championship, one of golf’s four major championships, was first contested in 1916 and is organized by the Professional Golfers’ Association of America. Originally played as a match play event, the tournament shifted to a stroke play format in 1958, aligning it more closely with the other majors. Known for its strong fields—often featuring the highest percentage of top-100 players in the world—the PGA Championship has produced a long list of iconic champions, including Jack Nicklaus, Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy, and Brooks Koepka. Traditionally held in August, the tournament moved to May in 2019 as part of a reshaped golf calendar, now serving as the year’s second major. The PGA is also distinct for its inclusion of 20 club professionals in the field, celebrating the broader reach of the game beyond the tour. Hosted at a rotating group of prestigious venues across the United States, the PGA Championship has delivered historic moments and dramatic finishes, further solidifying its status as a cornerstone of professional golf.
The Wanamaker Trophy is one of golf’s most iconic and prestigious prizes, awarded annually to the winner of the PGA Championship. Named after Rodman Wanamaker, a department store magnate and early supporter of professional golf in America, the trophy was first presented in 1916 during the inaugural PGA Championship at Siwanoy Country Club in New York. Wanamaker played a key role in the founding of the PGA of America, helping to elevate the status of professional golfers at a time when the game was dominated by amateurs. Standing over two feet tall and weighing nearly 27 pounds, the Wanamaker Trophy is a symbol of excellence, endurance, and major championship glory. Unlike the Claret Jug or the U.S. Open trophy, the Wanamaker is permanently awarded to the winner, with a replica made for the champion if they choose to keep one.
Previous Tournament Venues:
Years Hosted
Venue
Location
2025, 2017
Quail Hollow Club
Charlotte, North Carolina
2024, 2014, 2000, 1996
Valhalla Golf Club
Louisville, Kentucky
2023, 2013, 2003, 1980
Oak Hill Country Club (East Course)
Rochester, New York
2022, 2007, 1994, 1982, 1970
Southern Hills Country Club
Tulsa, Oklahoma
2021, 2012
Kiawah Island Golf Resort (Ocean Course)
Kiawah Island, South Carolina
2020
TPC Harding Park
San Francisco, California
2019
Bethpage State Park Black Course
Farmingdale, New York
2018, 1992
Bellerive Country Club
Town and Country / St. Louis, MO
2016, 2005
Baltusrol Golf Club (Lower Course)
Springfield, New Jersey
2015, 2010, 2004
Whistling Straits (Straits Course)
Kohler, Wisconsin
2011, 2001, 1981
Atlanta Athletic Club (Highlands Course)
Duluth/Johns Creek, Georgia
2009, 2002
Hazeltine National Golf Club
Chaska, Minnesota
2008, 1979, 1972
Oakland Hills Country Club (South Course)
Bloomfield / Bloomfield Hills, MI
2006, 1999
Medinah Country Club (Course No. 3)
Medinah, Illinois
1998
Sahalee Country Club
Sammamish, Washington
1997
Winged Foot Golf Club (West Course)
Mamaroneck, New York
1995, 1983
Riviera Country Club
Pacific Palisades, California
1993, 1986
Inverness Club
Toledo, Ohio
1991
Crooked Stick Golf Club
Carmel, Indiana
1990, 1984
Shoal Creek Golf & Country Club
Birmingham, Alabama
1989
Kemper Lakes Golf Club
Kildeer, Illinois
1988
Oak Tree Golf Club
Edmond, Oklahoma
1987
PGA National Resort & Spa
Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
1985, 1941
Cherry Hills Country Club
Cherry Hills Village, Colorado
1980
Oak Hill Country Club (East Course)
Rochester, New York
1978
Oakmont Country Club
Plum, Pennsylvania
1977
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Pebble Beach, California
1976
Congressional Country Club (Blue Course)
Bethesda, Maryland
1975, 1966, 1960
Firestone Country Club (South Course)
Akron, Ohio
1974
Tanglewood Park (Championship Course)
Clemmons, North Carolina
1973
Canterbury Golf Club
Beachwood, Ohio
1971
PGA National Golf Club
Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
1969
NCR Country Club (South Course)
Dayton, Ohio
1968
Pecan Valley Golf Club
San Antonio, Texas
1965
Laurel Valley Golf Club
Ligonier, Pennsylvania
1964
Columbus Country Club
Columbus, Ohio
1963
Dallas Athletic Club (Blue Course)
Dallas, Texas
1962
Aronimink Golf Club
Newtown Square, Pennsylvania
1961, 1925
Olympia Fields Country Club
Olympia Fields, Illinois
1959
Minneapolis Golf Club
St. Louis Park, Minnesota
1958, 1932
Keller Golf Course
Maplewood, Minnesota
1957
Miami Valley Country Club
Dayton, Ohio
1956
Blue Hill Country Club
Canton, Massachusetts
1955
Meadowbrook Country Club
Northville, Michigan
1954
Keller Golf Course
Maplewood, Minnesota
1953
Birmingham Country Club
Birmingham, Michigan
1952
Big Spring Country Club
Louisville, Kentucky
1951, 1922
Oakmont Country Club
Plum, Pennsylvania
1950
Scioto Country Club
Columbus, Ohio
1949
Hermitage Country Club
Richmond, Virginia
1948
Norwood Hills Country Club
St. Louis, Missouri
1947
Plum Hollow Country Club
Southfield, Michigan
1946
Portland Golf Club
Portland, Oregon
1945
Moraine Country Club
Kettering, Ohio
1944
Manito Golf & Country Club
Spokane, Washington
1942
Seaview Country Club
Atlantic City, New Jersey
1940
Hershey Country Club (West Course)
Hershey, Pennsylvania
1939
Pomonok Country Club
Flushing, New York
1938
The Shawnee Inn & Golf Resort
Smithfield Township, Pennsylvania
1937
Pittsburgh Field Club
O’Hara Township, Pennsylvania
1936
Pinehurst Resort (No. 2 Course)
Pinehurst, North Carolina
1935
Twin Hills Golf & Country Club
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
1934
The Park Country Club
Williamsville, New York
1933
Blue Mound Golf & Country Club
Wauwatosa, Wisconsin
1931
Wannamoisett Country Club
Rumford, Rhode Island
1930
Fresh Meadow Country Club
Queens, New York
1929
Hillcrest Country Club
Los Angeles, California
1928
Baltimore Country Club (East Course)
Timonium, Maryland
1927
Cedar Crest
Dallas, Texas
1926
Salisbury (Red Course)
East Meadow, New York
1924
French Lick Springs (Hill Course)
French Lick, Indiana
1923
Pelham Country Club
Pelham Manor, New York
1921, 1916
Inwood Country Club / Siwanoy Country Club
Inwood / Bronxville, New York
1920
Flossmoor Country Club
Flossmoor, Illinois
1919
Engineers Country Club
Roslyn Harbor, New York
Previous Tournament Names:
Duration
Tournament Name
1916, 1919-1942; 1944-Present
PGA Championship
Tournament Records:
Most Wins at Event:
5 – Jack Nicklaus (1963, 1971, 1973, 1975, 1980) & Walter Hagen (1921, 1924, 1925, 1926, 1927)
72-Hole Record:
264 – Brooks Koepka, 2018 Bellerive Country Club
18-Hole Record:
62, Xander Schauffele (Round 1, 2024 at Valhalla Golf Club), Shane Lowry (Round 3, 2024 at Valhalla Golf Club)
Originally designed by George W. Cobb in 1961 and later modernized by Tom Fazio, Quail Hollow Club blends Southern elegance with modern championship grit. Cobb’s original routing showcased the natural contours of the North Carolina landscape, while Fazio’s updates—particularly ahead of the 2017 PGA Championship and more recently—brought the course up to major championship standards without compromising its character.
The layout at Quail Hollow is a Par 71, consisting of four Par 3s, eleven Par 4s, and three Par 5s, demanding a complete range of shot-making and strategic thinking. During the PGA TOUR’s last visit for the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship, the course played at 7,558 yards. For the 2025 PGA Championship, the course has been extended by approximately 70 yards, bringing the total length to about 7,630 yards. Notable changes include the 9th hole being lengthened by 25 yards, the 17th hole by 33 yards, and the 1st hole by 10 yards.
Quail Hollow rewards bold, decisive play—but the margin for error is razor-thin. Narrow fairways, penal run-offs, fast, contoured greens, and one of the most demanding finishing stretches in golf—the Green Mile (holes 16–18)—ensure that only the most composed and complete players survive the test.
The four Par 3’s range between 184 yards and 249 yards. At the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship, all of the Par 3’s had a scoring average over par. Hole No. 17 was the toughest hole on the entire course with a scoring average of +0.309 over par.
Hole 4 – 184 Yards
This par-3 is beautifully framed by a group of tall pines, while the large, undulating green is framed by three front bunkers. Shots over the green will finish below the surface, leaving a tricky up and down.
Hole 6 – 249 Yards
The longest par 3 on the course plays downhill to a large green with a false front that can reject good shots and mess with attempts at recovery. But going long is no picnic, as the green is severely sloped from back to front with run-off areas and a deep bunker behind.
Hole 13 – 205 Yards
The test on this long par 3 will be hitting the tee shot deep enough into the green to carry the severe false front and a closely mown area short right that can leave the player 5 feet below the putting surface. It doesn’t help that the green pitches dramatically from bac to front.
Hole 17 – 223 Yards
The tee shot: All carry over water, water all the way down the left and over the back, and slightly downhill. The bail-out is to the right side, where it is tightly mown and leaves an uphill pitch to a green that slopes away and toward the water. A central ridge running through the green creates front and back sections, with the back half sloping toward the rear.
There are eleven Par 4’s at Quail Hollow with the majority of those holes ranging between 450 and 500 yards. No. 14 is the shortest listed at 344 yards with the longest being No. 9, playing 530 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course at the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship was No. 16 (+0.283).
Hole 1 – 505 Yards
The opening hole, which plays as a long par 4, calls for a left-to-right tee shot to avoid two bunkers down the left side of the fairway. The green is narrow, undulating, and protected by three large bunkers. Certainly, a strong opening hole.
Hole 8 – 346 Yards
It’s possible to drive this short par 4, if the player can avoid two fairway bunkers on the left side of the fairway and a big bunker front-right of the green. The green is shallow and has five distinct sections, requiring a precise shot to get the ball close to the hole.
Hole 16 – 529 Yards
Only one bunker pokes into this fairway, but it’s inside the bend of this dogleg-right and directly in line with a steep hill that likes to kick balls toward the fairway on the left. The approach is downhill to a large, near-peninsula green with one bunker right plus water left and long.
Hole 18 – 494 Yards
This is certainly a challenging finishing hole. The tee shot, which plays downhill, has to find the fairway between a long bunker on the right side and a creek that runs the entire length of the hole, all the way to the green, on the left. The approach comes back slightly uphill to a large green with a big false front, two bunkers right, that the same creek adjacent to the putting surface to the left, ad a ridge across the middle that forms two sections front and back.
There are three Par 5s on the course, No. 7, No. 10, and No. 15. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2024 Wells Fargo Championship. The easiest hole on the course last year was No. 7 with a scoring average of 4.559.
Hole 7 – 546 Yards
Players will be looking for birdie or better on the course’s shortest par 5, a classic risk/reward hole. First, they have to find the narrow fairway, which is sandwiched between bunkers on the left and a creek that runs along the entire right side. Then, they need to challenge the water and two bunkers to find the green.
Hole 10 – 592 Yards
The longest hole on the course favors a right-to-left tee shot as long it avoids the large bunker along the left side of the fairway. Another large bunker sits on the left side about 50 yards short of the green, which is also hemmed in by a big bunker on each side. The closely mown area short right is steep and severe, while the back half of the green slopes away, making it hard to get close to rear hole locations.
Hole 15 – 577 Yards
The best tee shot here will finish on the left side of the fairway, away from bunkers on the right and not too close to the water on the left. The second shot plays uphill toward an array of bunkers: one on the left side of the fairway in the layup zone; two a little further up on the right; and an uncomfortably large one dead-center in the front of the green with closely mown areas on either side. The green itself clops from back to front, with a ridge creating two distinct sections front-left and front-right.
The PGA Championship takes place at the Quail Hollow Club. Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.
Statistics
PGA Tour Average
Quail Hollow Club
Driving Distance (Yards)
283.83
300.93
Driving Accuracy
62%
55%
GIR Percentage
66%
61%
Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet)
29.17
36.58
Scrambling Percentage
58%
55%
Avg 3 Putts / Round
0.55
0.66
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at the Quail Hollow Club.
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Length off the tee is crucial at Quail Hollow, but it’s not the only factor—placement matters too, especially on doglegs and holes with narrow landing areas. Players gaining strokes through both distance and accuracy have a big edge navigating this 7,600-yard championship layout.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Bryson DeChambeau
Niklas Norgaard Moller
Rory McIlroy
Scottie Scheffler
Rico Hoey
Ludvig Aberg
Corey Conners
Joaquin Niemann
Keith Mitchell
Robert MacIntyre
Strokes Gained: Approach
A cornerstone stat at any major, approach play is especially important at Quail Hollow, where greens are heavily contoured and often elevated. Precision into the green is critical to setting up birdie chances—or even avoiding bogey.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Scottie Scheffler
Sepp Straka
Collin Morikawa
Sami Valimaki
Rory McIlroy
Xander Schauffele
Shane Lowry
Viktor Hovland
Patrick Cantlay
Tom Hoge
Strokes Gained: Around the Green
With tightly mown run-offs and collection areas throughout the course, players who can’t recover creatively around the green will struggle. Quail Hollow demands sharp touch and variety in the short game.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Cameron Smith
Hideki Matsuyama
Sungjae Im
Patrick Reed
Bryson DeChambeau
Matt Wallace
Tyrrell Hatton
Si Woo Kim
Andrew Novak
Tommy Fleetwood
Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa Trivialis) – Green Speed: Fast
The greens at Quail Hollow Club are bermudagrass with a Poa Trivialis overseed. However, according to the club’s official agronomy report, the putting surfaces will primarily feature Poa Trivialis this week, as the bermudagrass remains largely dormant during this time of year.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Max Homa
Maverick McNealy
Denny McCarthy
Adam Scott
Lee Hodges
Rafael Campos
Harris English
Xander Schauffele
Jon Rahm
Austin Eckroat
3-Putt Avoidance
With ridges, shelves, and false fronts creating brutal lag putts, avoiding three-putts is a hidden key to saving rounds at Quail Hollow.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Cameron Smith
Sam Burns
Jason Day
Harris English
Rickie Fowler
Stephan Jaeger
Patrick Rodgers
Patrick Reed
Michael Kim
Eric Cole
Driving Distance Gained
Quail Hollow favors those who can carry it long and attack. While accuracy matters, distance is a major edge, especially on its lengthy Par 4s and reachable Par 5s.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Bryson DeChambeau
Niklas Norgaard Moller
Rory McIlory
Dean Burmester
Min Woo Lee
Cameron Young
Kurt Kitayama
Marco Penge
Rasmus Hojgaard
Ludvig Aberg
Scrambling Gained
Getting up and down from tight lies or awkward slopes is a must. A high scrambling percentage keeps momentum alive on a demanding setup.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Patrick Reed
Scottie Scheffler
Hideki Matsuyama
Andrew Novak
Shane Lowry
Mackenzie Hughes
Min Woo Lee
Rory McIlory
Beau Hossler
Alex Noren
Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
Five of the eleven Par 4s at Quail Hollow fall in this range. These are among the most demanding holes on the course, and players who thrive in this distance window often find themselves near the top of the leaderboard.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Nick Taylor
Bryson DeChambeau
Scottie Scheffler
Rory McIlroy
Corey Conners
Bud Cauley
Keegan Bradley
Patrick Reed
Harris English
Aaron Rai
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards
Two of the three Par 5s (Nos. 10 & 15) fall within this range, with both offering scoring opportunities for aggressive second shots. The third, Hole 7, is just outside at 546 yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Davis Riley
Justin Rose
Jordan Spieth
Cam Davis
Andrew Novak
Justin Thomas
Ludvig Aberg
Viktor Hovland
Bryson DeChambeau
Si Woo Kim
Bogey Avoidance Gained
Quail Hollow is a course where a few big numbers can ruin a round. Players who stay in position and avoid mistakes are typically rewarded.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Scottie Scheffler
Rory McIlroy
Corey Conners
Sami Valimaki
Joaquin Niemann
Shane Lowry
Ben Griffin
Sepp Straka
J.J. Spaun
Patrick Cantlay
Proximity Gained: 175-200 & 200+ Yards
With the course stretched to nearly 7,630 yards and many approaches coming from long range, elite long-iron play is a massive differentiator—especially into Par 4s and longer Par 5s.
Leaders in the Proximity 175-200 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Viktor Hovland
Brooks Koepka
Keegan Bradley
Erik Van Rooyen
Bud Cauley
Patrick Reed
Xander Schauffele
Scottie Scheffler
Joe Highsmith
Sepp Straka
Leaders in the Proximity 200+ Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Scottie Scheffler
Erik Van Rooyen
Viktor Hovland
Brooks Koepka
Ludvig Aberg
Kurt Kitayama
Martin Kaymer
Joaquin Niemann
Ryan Gerard
Daniel Berger
Course History & Comparable Courses
According to DataGolf, course history is more predictive at Quail Hollow than most PGA TOUR venues. Familiarity with its green complexes, routing, and the mental grind of the Green Mile can be the difference late on Sunday.
Leaders in this category (Stokes Gained Total in the Last 36 Rounds at Quail Hollow Club):
Rory McIlroy
Jason Day
Phil Mickelson
Patrick Reed
Justin Thomas
Rickie Fowler
Sergio Garcia
Bryson DeChambeau
Hideki Matsuyama
Xander Schauffele
Leaders in this category (Stokes Gained Total in the Last 36 Rounds at Comparable Courses):
The 2025 PGA Championship will feature a field of 156 players. Remarkably, 59 of the top 60 Official World Golf Ranking players will be contending, with only Billy Horschel, who is hurt, absent from the list.
LIV TOUR Representation at This Year’s PGA Championship
Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Smith, David Puig, Dean Burmester, Dustin Johnson, John Catlin, Joaquín Niemann, Laurie Canter, Martin Kaymer, Patrick Reed, Phil Mickelson, Richard Bland, Sergio García, Shaun Norris, Tom McKibbin
Senior PGA Champion Representation at This Year’s PGA Championship
Richard Bland
PGA Professional Representation at This Year’s PGA Championship
Tyler Collet, Jesse Droemer, Brian Bergstol, Michael Block, Dylan Newman, Brandon Bingaman, Ryan Lenahan, Andre Chi, John Somers, Justin Hicks, Rupe Taylor, Tom Johnson, Nic Ishee, Eric Steger, Bob Sowards, Bobby Gates, Greg Koch, Timothy Wiseman, Larkin Gross, Michael Kartrude
Get to know the PGA of America Golf Professionals competing at the PGA Championship this week 🧵⬇️ pic.twitter.com/dJSg7E4loK
DP World Tour Representation at This Year’s PGA Championship
Elvis Smylie, Eugenio Chacarra, Keita Nakajima, Marco Penge, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Takumi Kanaya, Thriston Lawrence
Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
Former PGA Champions.
Winners of the last five U.S. Opens, Masters, and Open Championships
Winners of the last three The Players Championships.
Top 3 on the Official World Golf Ranking International Federation Ranking List.
The current Senior PGA Champion.
The low 15 scorers and ties in the previous PGA Championship.
The 20 low scorers in the last PGA Professional Championship.
The 70 leaders in PGA Championship points list.
Members of the most recent United States and European Ryder Cup Teams who are ranked the top 100 of the Official World Golf Ranking as of one week before the start of the tournament.
Any tournament winner co-sponsored or approved by the PGA Tour since the previous PGA Championship.
Special Invitations offered by The PGA of America.
The total field is a maximum of 156 players. Vacancies are filled by the first available player from the list of alternates (those below 70th place in official money standings).
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
Xander Schauffele (2024), Brooks Koepka (2023, 2019, 2018), Justin Thomas (2022, 2017), Phil Mickelson (2021, 2005), Collin Morikawa (2020), Jimmy Walker (2016), Jason Day (2015), Rory McIlroy (2014, 2012), Jason Dufner (2013), Keegan Bradley (2011), Martin Kaymer (2010), Padraig Harrington (2008), Shaun Micheel (2003)
Previous Winners in the Field (Course – Quail Hollow Club):
Rory McIlroy (2024, 2021, 2015, & 2010 Wells Fargo Championship), Wyndham Clark (2023 Wells Fargo Championship), Max Homa (2019 Wells Fargo Championship), Jason Day (2018 Wells Fargo Championship), Justin Thomas (2017 PGA Championship), Rickie Fowler (2012 Wells Fargo Championship), Lucas Glover (2011 Wells Fargo Championship)
2022 President’s Cup Participants in the Field:
United States Team:
Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, Sam Burns, Justin Thomas, Tony Finau, Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, Max Homa, Cameron Young
Player
Points
Overall
Singles
Foursomes
Fourballs
Jordan Spieth
5
5–0–0
1–0–0
2–0–0
2–0–0
Max Homa
4
4–0–0
1–0–0
2–0–0
1–0–0
Justin Thomas
4
4–1–0
0–1–0
2–0–0
2–0–0
Patrick Cantlay
3
3–1–0
1–0–0
1–0–0
1–1–0
Tony Finau
3
3–1–0
1–0–0
2–0–0
0–1–0
Xander Schauffele
3
3–1–0
1–0–0
1–0–0
1–1–0
Collin Morikawa
2
2–1–0
1–0–0
1–1–0
0–0–0
Cameron Young
1.5
1–2–1
0–1–0
1–1–0
0–0–1
Sam Burns
1
0–3–2
0–0–1
0–2–0
0–1–1
Billy Horschel
1
1–2–0
0–1–0
0–0–0
1–1–0
Scottie Scheffler
0.5
0–3–1
0–1–0
0–2–0
0–0–1
Kevin Kisner
0.5
0–2–1
0–1–0
0–0–0
0–1–1
International Team:
Cameron Smith, Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im, Joaquin Niemann, Tom Kim, Corey Conners, Adam Scott, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Taylor Pendrith, Si Woo Kim, Cam Davis
Player
Points
Overall
Singles
Foursomes
Fourballs
Si Woo Kim
3
3–1–0
1–0–0
1–1–0
1–0–0
Sungjae Im
2.5
2–2–1
1–0–0
0–2–0
1–0–1
Sebastián Muñoz
2.5
2–0–1
1–0–0
0–0–0
1–0–1
Cameron Davis
2
2–3–0
0–1–0
1–1–0
1–1–0
Tom Kim
2
2–3–0
0–1–0
1–1–0
1–1–0
Kyoung-hoon Lee
2
2–1–0
1–0–0
1–1–0
0–0–0
Adam Scott
2
2–3–0
0–1–0
1–1–0
1–1–0
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1.5
1–0–1
1–0–0
0–0–0
0–0–1
Hideki Matsuyama
1.5
1–3–1
0–0–1
1–1–0
0–2–0
Mito Pereira
0.5
0–2–1
0–1–0
0–1–0
0–0–1
Corey Conners
0
0–4–0
0–1–0
0–2–0
0–1–0
Taylor Pendrith
0
0–4–0
0–1–0
0–1–0
0–2–0
Debutants in the Field (Event):
Andre Chi, Andrew Novak, Bobby Gates, Brian Bergstol, Brian Campbell, Elvis Smylie, Eric Steger, Eugenio Chacarra, Harry Hall, Jacob Bridgeman, Joe Highsmith, John Keefer, John Parry, John Parry, Justin Lower, Karl Vilips, Kevin Yu, Marco Penge, Matt McCarty, Max Greyserman, Max McGreevy, Michael Kartrude, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Patrick Fishburn, Rafael Campos, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Rico Hoey, Rupe Taylor, Ryan Gerard, Ryan Lenahan, Timothy Wiseman, Tom Johnson, Tom McKibbin
Debutants in the Field (Course – Quail Hollow Club):
Andre Chi, Bob Sowards, Brandon Bingaman, Brian Bergstol, Brian Campbell, Daniel van Tonder, David Puig, Dean Burmester, Dylan Newman, Elvis Smylie, Eric Steger, Eugenio Chacarra, Greg Koch, Jesse Droemer, Joe Highsmith, John Catlin, John Keefer, John Parry, John Somers, Karl Vilips, Keita Nakajima, Kevin Yu, Laurie Canter, Ludvig Åberg, Marco Penge, Matt McCarty, Max Greyserman, Michael Block, Michael Kartrude, Min Woo Lee, Nic Ishee, Nicolai Højgaard, Niklas Nørgaard Møller, Patrick Fishburn, Rasmus Højgaard, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Richard Bland, Rico Hoey, Robert MacIntyre, Rupe Taylor, Ryan Lenahan, Ryo Hisatsune, Sami Välimäki, Scottie Scheffler, Takumi Kanaya, Thomas Detry, Thriston Lawrence, Timothy Wiseman, Tom Johnson, Tom McKibbin, Tyler Collet
Special Invitations:
Laurie Canter, Luke Donald, Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Ryan Gerard, Ryo Hisatsune, Rasmus Højgaard, Beau Hossler, Dustin Johnson, John Keefer, Chris Kirk, Kurt Kitayama, Jake Knapp, Thriston Lawrence, Justin Lower, Max McGreevy, Tom McKibbin, Keith Mitchell, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Joaquin Niemann, Niklas Norgaard, Shaun Norris, Thorbjorn Olesen, John Parry, Matthieu Pavon, David Puig, Patrick Reed, Elvis Smylie, Sami Valimaki, Eric van Rooyen, Matt Wallace, Gary Woodland, Cameron Young, Will Zalatoris
Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the top 20 players in the field for this week’s PGA Championship, ranked by their current betting odds (via DraftKings). The table below highlights each player’s five most recent finishes on the PGA TOUR, their last five results at the PGA Championship, and their performances at Quail Hollow — covering past PGA Championships and Wells Fargo Championships held at the venue.
Golfer
Odds
Last 5 Finishes on thePGA TOUR (Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at thePGA Championship (Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at theQuail Hollow Club (2014-2023, 2021, 2019-2018 Wells Fargo Championship & 2017 PGA Championship) (Recent -> Past)
Scottie Scheffler
+425
WON – CJ CUP T8 – RBC Heritage 4 – Masters T2 – Texas Children’s T20 – THE PLAYERS
2024: T8 2023: T2 2022: MC 2021: T8 2020: T4
–
Rory McIlroy
+500
T12 – Zurich Classic WON – Masters T5 – Texas Children’s WON – THE PLAYERS T15 – Arnold Plamer
2024: T12 2023: T7 2022: 8 2021: T49 2020: T33
2024: WON 2023: T47 2021: WON 2019: T8 2018: T16
Bryson DeChambeau
+950
WON – LIV Korea T2 – LIV Mexico City T5 – Masters 5 – LIV Miami T10 – LIV Singapore
2024: 2 2023: T4 2021: T38 2020: T4 2019: MC
2021: T9 2018: 4 2017: T33 2016: MC
Jon Rahm
+1800
T7 – LIV Korea 4 – LIV Mexico City T14 – Masters T9 – LIV Miami T5 – LIV Singapore
A closer look at the last 10 PGA Championship winners reveals several recurring patterns. Here’s a breakdown of the key trends that have shaped the success of these players:
Nationality
Nine of the last 10 champions were American, with Jason Day from Australia being the only non-American to claim the title in the past decade.
World Ranking
Seven of the past 10 winners were ranked within the top 15 in the world at the time of their victory.
Recent Form
Six of the last 10 champions had already secured a win earlier in the same season as their US PGA triumph. Three others, including Xander Schauffele last year, had finished at least in the top four in their previous outings.
Eight of the past 10 winners had posted a top 20 finish in their most recent event before the championship.
PGA Championship Experience
Eight of the last 10 winners had previously recorded a top 10 finish at the US PGA, highlighting the importance of experience at this prestigious event.
Driving Distance Matters
Given that many US PGA courses favor longer hitters, it’s no surprise that seven of the past 10 winners ranked in the top 35 for Driving Distance during the season of their victory.
Here we go – this year's 10-year trends piece for the 2025 US PGA Championship at Quail Hollow. Retweets, comments appreciated. @Betfairhttps://t.co/2irPUQWkPD
9 of the past 12 winners of the PGA Championship finished T15 or better in their final start before the event (Justin Thomas finished T28 in his final start in 2017, Collin Morikawa finished T20 in his final start in 2020)
Will There Be a Playoff at the PGA Championship? (Yes +400 / No -700)
Only one of the last 10 PGA Championships has gone to a playoff — the 2022 edition at Southern Hills, where Justin Thomas defeated Will Zalatoris in a three-hole aggregate playoff.
When Quail Hollow Club last hosted the PGA Championship in 2017, Thomas won by two strokes. That margin fits a consistent pattern at this venue.
The course also hosts the Truist Championship (formerly the Wells Fargo Championship), and the last five editions held at Quail Hollow have all been settled in regulation. Here’s a look at those margins:
2024: Rory McIlroy won by 5 strokes
2023: Wyndham Clark won by 4 strokes
2022: Event held at TPC Potomac (Quail Hollow hosted Presidents Cup)
Will There Be A Wire-to-wire Winner at the PGA Championship? (Yes +1000)
Wire-to-wire winners — where a player leads outright after every round — are among the rarest outcomes in major championship golf. At +900, the odds reflect just how difficult it is to go the distance without ever relinquishing the top spot.
In recent PGA Championship history, Brooks Koepka came close in 2019, leading or co-leading after every round before finishing the job at Bethpage Black. Before him, Rory McIlroy pulled it off in 2014 at Valhalla — but even that came with a dramatic Sunday charge from challengers like Phil Mickelson and Rickie Fowler.
As for Quail Hollow Club, the host of this year’s championship, it’s proven to be a tough place to go wire-to-wire. When Justin Thomas won here in 2017, he was tied for 4th after 54 holes before a Sunday 68 sealed his victory. At the Wells Fargo Championship — Quail Hollow’s regular PGA Tour stop — the leaderboard is often volatile, with few players holding a lead across all four days.
Given the strength of the field, major pressure, and the difficulty of the course setup, a wire-to-wire win is highly unlikely, but not impossible. If you’re betting this market, you’re banking on someone getting hot early and staying ice cold under pressure for four straight rounds — not just good golf, but nearly flawless golf.
The projected winning score for this year’s PGA Championship at Quail Hollow is 273.5. That number has been beaten in four of the last five Wells Fargo Championships held at this course. However, when Quail Hollow last hosted a major — the 2017 PGA Championship — the winning score came in above that mark at 276 (-8).
This week’s setup will be significantly tougher than a standard PGA TOUR event. The course has been lengthened by roughly 70 yards since last year, now tipping out over 7,600 yards, and the rough has been grown an additional inch, making accuracy off the tee even more critical.
The weather is another important factor. Heavy rain is forecasted from Monday through Wednesday, which will soften the course. While softer greens may help approach shots hold the surface, the lack of rollout on tee shots will make the already long layout play even longer. Additional rain is expected on Friday and Saturday, which could further complicate scoring conditions during the tournament.
2018: Jason Day (-12) – Wells Fargo Championship (Quail Hollow Club)
Price: 20-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Jason Day
19th
9th
50th
1st
2nd
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts) – Event:
2024: Xander Schauffele
2 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
T23 – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
T18 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
8 – Masters Tournament (MAJ)
T5 – Valspar Championship (PGA)
2023: Brooks Koepka
T5 – LIV Tulsa (LIV)
3 – LIV Singapore (LIV)
T11 – LIV Adelaide (LIV)
T2 – Masters Tournament (MAJ)
WON – LIV Orlando (LIV)
2022: Justin Thomas
T5 – AT&T Byron Nelson (PGA)
T35 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
T8 – The Masters (MAJ)
T35 – WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play (PGA)
T3 – Valspar Championship (PGA)
2021: Phil Mickelson
69 – Wells Fargo Championship (PGA)
MC – Valspar Championship (PGA)
T21 – The Masters (MAJ)
MC – Valero Texas Open (PGA)
T25 – The Honda Classic (PGA)
2020: Collin Morikawa
T20 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
T48 – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
WON – Workday Charity Open (PGA)
MC – Travelers Championship (PGA)
T64 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2024: Xander Schauffele
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
Oak Hill Country Club (East Course)
Southern Hills Country Club
Kiawah Island Golf Resort (Ocean Course)
TPC Harding Park
Bethpage State Park Black Course
Bellerive Country Club
Quail Hollow Club
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Xander Schauffele
T18
T13
MC
T10
T16
T35
MC
2023: Brooks Koepka
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
Southern Hills
Kiawah Island (Ocean Course)
TPC Harding Park
Bethpage Black
Bellerive
Quail Hollow
Baltusrol (Lower Course)
Whistling Straits (Straits Course)
Valhalla Golf Club
Oak Hill (East Course)
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Brooks Koepka
T55
T2
T29
WON
WON
T13
T4
T5
T15
T70
2022: Justin Thomas
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
Kiawah Island (Ocean Course)
TPC Harding Park
Bellerive
Quail Hollow
Baltusrol (Lower Course)
Whistling Straits (Straits Course)
2021
2020
2018
2017
2016
2015
Justin Thomas
MC
T37
T6
WON
T66
T18
2021: Phil Mickelson
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
TPC Harding Park
Bethpage Black
Bellerive
Quail Hollow
Baltusrol (Lower Course)
Whistling Straits (Straits Course)
Valhalla Golf Club
Oak Hill (East Course)
Kiawah Island (Ocean Course)
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Phil Mickelson
T71
T71
MC
MC
T33
T18
2
T72
T36
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
PGA Championship
Atlanta (Highlands Course)
Whistling Straits (Straits Course)
Hazeltine National
Oakland Hills (South Course)
Southern Hills
Medinah (Course No. 3)
Baltusrol (Lower Course)
Whistling Straits (Straits Course)
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
Phil Mickelson
T19
T12
73
T7
T32
T16
WON
T6
2020: Collin Morikawa
PGA Championship Debut
Picks:
Tournament Winner
Xander Schauffele (+2200) – DraftKings
After dealing with a rib injury early in the season, Xander Schauffele needed a couple of starts to regain form. Since the Valspar Championship, he’s quietly rounded into shape with four straight top-20 finishes, highlighted by a T8 at the Masters.
Schauffele broke through in a big way last season, capturing his first two major titles at the PGA Championship and The Open. While he’s consistently performed well in majors dating back to 2022, last year’s victories solidified his status among the game’s elite. Now, he returns to the PGA Championship as the defending champion—and to a course where he’s flourished in recent years.
At Quail Hollow, Schauffele has finished runner-up in each of his last two appearances (2024 and 2023 Wells Fargo Championships). With both major pedigree and proven success at this venue, Xander appears primed to mount a strong title defense.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2018
2017
2
2
T14
T72
MC
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
117
8
105
8
8
16
98
125
53
21
14
42
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Justin Thomas (+2200) – DraftKings
Justin Thomas has been in excellent form over the past few months. His resurgence began with a runner-up finish at the Valspar Championship, followed by a win at the RBC Heritage, and most recently a T2 at the Truist Championship. That victory was his first since capturing the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills. He also recorded a T9 at the Genesis Invitational, held at Torrey Pines South—a key comp course for Quail Hollow. A major improvement in his putting, long a weakness, has sparked his return to form, along with increased consistency in both iron play and driver accuracy.
A two-time PGA Champion, Thomas has found more success in this major than any other. He won in 2022 at Southern Hills and in 2017 at Quail Hollow—the site of this week’s event.
In addition to that major win, Thomas has played well at Quail Hollow in regular PGA TOUR stops, with finishes of T21 (2024), T14 (2023), and T26 (2021) at the Wells Fargo Championship. Given his current form, familiarity with the course, and track record at the PGA Championship, Thomas is well-positioned to contend for his third career major.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2018
2017
2016
2015
T21
T14
T26
T21
WON
MC
T7
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
102
18
18
107
7
34
60
7
5
30
39
32
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Patrick Cantlay (+4500) – DraftKings
While Patrick Cantlay has yet to claim a win this season, he has consistently been a top contender, registering six top-15 finishes in his first ten starts of the 2025 PGA TOUR season. Notably, he hasn’t finished worse than T36 in any event this year. His most recent performance was a strong T4 finish at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, marking his best result of the year. He also posted a T9 finish at the Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines South, a course often used as a comparison for Quail Hollow.
Cantlay has a solid track record at the PGA Championship in recent years, including a T9 finish in 2023 at Oak Hill, a T23 at Kiawah Island in 2021, and a T3 in 2019 at Bethpage Black. He also competed in the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, finishing T33, the last time the tournament was hosted at this venue.
At Quail Hollow, Cantlay has shown decent form with a T29 finish at the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship and a T21 finish at the 2023 edition. Although he has not won on the PGA TOUR since 2022 and is still searching for his first major championship victory, Cantlay enters this week with strong recent form and solid course history. His game looks sharp, and if he can putt well, he should be in contention. With Justin Thomas already breaking his winless streak this season, who knows—it could be Cantlay’s turn to shine.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2017
T29
T21
MC
T33
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
21
6
132
32
33
41
78
29
92
10
29
30
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Viktor Hovland (+5500) – FanDuel
Viktor Hovland had a shaky start to the 2025 PGA TOUR season, missing the cut in four of his first six starts. However, he bounced back with a victory at the Valspar Championship and followed it up with two top-25 finishes. Hovland struggled at the Truist Championship, particularly with his putting, but as we’ve seen in the past, he has the ability to turn his game around quickly.
Hovland has posted strong performances in the last two PGA Championships, finishing 3rd at Valhalla in 2024 and T2 at Oak Hill in 2023. At Quail Hollow, his course history is promising, with a T24 finish at the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship, a T43 in 2023, and a T3 in 2021.
Hovland may be a wildcard this week, but if his putting improves, he has the potential to contend. Given his recent success at both the PGA Championship and Quail Hollow, he should be capable of putting together a strong showing this week.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
T24
T43
T3
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
107
5
142
27
109
39
132
131
10
83
1
6
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Patrick Reed (+9000) – DraftKings
Patrick Reed has quietly put together an impressive run of form since the end of March. He finished runner-up at the International Series Macau on the Asian Tour, followed that with a T7 at LIV Miami, placed 3rd at the Masters, recorded a T17 in LIV Mexico City, and most recently notched a T4 finish at LIV Korea. His short game remains one of the best in the world, but what’s stood out lately is his improved iron play. At the Masters, he ranked 12th in Strokes Gained: Approach and has shown strong ball striking in two of his last three starts. Reed has also found more consistency off the tee, giving his overall game a more complete look.
A former major champion with his 2018 Masters victory, Reed has a history of rising to the occasion in big events. His best PGA Championship result came in 2017 at Quail Hollow, where he finished T2. Prior to joining LIV, he posted solid finishes at the Wells Fargo Championship at this same venue, including T6 in 2021, T28 in 2019, and 8th in 2018. His comfort level at Quail Hollow is evident, and his recent form shows he’s still capable of contending with the world’s best.
Reed’s elite short game, combined with resurgent iron play, makes him a compelling longshot this week. If he continues striking the ball well, his proven ability to grind and compete under major championship pressure could put him right in the mix.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2021
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
2012
T6
T28
8
T2
T28
T58
T32
T32
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
79
61
2
22
6
139
1
9
36
15
5
95
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Keegan Bradley (+12500) – BetMGM
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2019
2018
2017
2012
2011
T21
T35
T18
MC
T76
T33
MC
MC
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
33
17
12
139
84
43
65
8
33
12
6
157
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Top 10 (Including Ties)
Ludvig Åberg (+240) – BetMGM
Ludvig Åberg has had a mixed 2025 season, but his lone win came at the Genesis Invitational, which was held at Torrey Pines South—a key comp course for Quail Hollow. While he’s coming off a T54 finish at the RBC Heritage and a T60 at the Truist Championship, Åberg did show his ceiling with a 7th-place finish at the Masters, his second career top 10 in a major.
In his major debut at the 2024 Masters, Åberg surprised many by finishing runner-up despite having no prior experience at Augusta National—a venue where course knowledge is often vital. He followed that up with a T12 at Pinehurst No. 2 in the 2024 U.S. Open and again impressed with a 7th-place finish at the 2025 Masters. Notably, both Augusta and Pinehurst are long, demanding courses that reward elite drivers—making Quail Hollow a natural fit for his game.
Åberg did compete in last year’s PGA Championship at Valhalla but missed the cut while battling a knee issue that required offseason surgery. Now healthy, he enters this week in better condition and with a game that suits the demands of Quail Hollow. Despite lacking experience at this course, his driving ability and success on similarly demanding layouts make him a strong candidate to finish inside the top 10.
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
5
101
84
35
101
10
103
28
9
43
98
9
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Top 20 (Including Ties)
Tommy Fleetwood (+130) – DraftKings
Tommy Fleetwood arrives at this week’s PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club in excellent form, riding the momentum of a strong 2025 campaign. Over his last five starts, he has recorded a T4 at the Truist Championship, a 7th at the RBC Heritage, a T21 at the Masters, and a T16 at the Valspar. Statistically, Fleetwood has been as steady as ever, gaining strokes across nearly every key metric. He has particularly impressed with his putting and short game, while his driving has remained both long and accurate.
Fleetwood has quietly built a solid track record at the PGA Championship, making the cut in six of his last seven appearances. His best showing came in 2022 with a T5 finish at Southern Hills, where he gained over three strokes on the field with a well-rounded performance. Although he finished T61 at the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, Fleetwood has become far more comfortable at the venue in recent years. He posted a T5 at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship and followed it with a T13 finish in 2024, both held at Quail Hollow.
The course has proven to be a strong fit for his game. With three top 15 finishes in his last four appearances at Quail Hollow, Fleetwood’s success has been driven by elite putting, a sharp short game, and a reliable tee-to-green profile. Paired with his recent form, he enters this week as a legitimate contender in pursuit of his first major title.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2018
2017
T13
T5
T14
MC
T61
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
38
34
10
16
16
101
41
26
43
43
46
88
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Tyrrell Hatton (+150) – BetMGM
Tyrrell Hatton enters Quail Hollow in solid form, posting three top-15 finishes in recent starts, including a T14 at the Masters, T5 at LIV Mexico City, and T13 at LIV Korea. He’s gained strokes off the tee and on approach in two of his last three outings—excluding Mexico, where his irons dipped slightly—highlighting a well-rounded game built on strong driving distance and improved ball striking. Hatton’s lone victory this season came on the DP World Tour at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic.
His PGA Championship track record has been up and down, though recent years suggest positive momentum. Hatton posted a T15 in 2023 and a T13 in 2022, both driven by solid tee-to-green play. However, his T63 showing last year at Valhalla exposed struggles with his approach game. His career-best finishes at the PGA Championship came in 2016 and 2018, where he placed T10 in each.
Hatton has made four career starts at Quail Hollow. He missed the cut in his debut at the 2017 PGA Championship but showed improvement with a T42 finish at the 2018 Wells Fargo Championship. Most notably, he surged into contention at the 2023 Wells Fargo Championship, gaining strokes across all major categories en route to a T3 finish—his best showing at the Charlotte venue and a clear indication that he’s capable of thriving on its demanding layout.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
PGA Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2023
2018
2017
T3
T42
MC
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
14
52
7
45
108
42
33
22
100
27
82
53
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Corey Conners (+180) – DraftKings
Corey Conners began his 2025 season on a high note, finishing T6 at the Nedbank Golf Challenge on the DP World Tour and T5 at The Sentry to open the PGA TOUR calendar. While he hit a brief slump in the following three starts, he quickly regained form at the Genesis Invitational and has been one of the most consistent players on TOUR since. Over his last seven starts, Conners has recorded six top 20 finishes, including four top 10s. He also delivered a strong performance at the Masters, finishing T8, and showed well at comp courses—placing 3rd at Bay Hill Club & Lodge and T24 at Torrey Pines South Course (Genesis Invitational).
Conners’ PGA Championship history has been a mixed bag. He struggled early in his career, finishing T64 in 2019 and missing the cut in 2020. Since then, however, he’s made notable improvements with finishes of T21 in 2021, a missed cut in 2022, followed by a strong T12 in 2023 and a T26 last year at Valhalla.
At Quail Hollow, Conners initially found the course difficult, failing to crack the top 40 in his first three Wells Fargo Championship appearances. But he’s turned things around in recent years, finishing T8 in 2023 and backing it up with a T14 in 2024, gaining strokes on approach and off the tee in both events.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2018
2015
T13
T8
T43
T42
MC
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
7
15
28
153
74
108
20
5
20
3
36
97
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Top 40 (Including Ties)
Harris English (+130) – DraftKings
Harris English enters this week’s PGA Championship with momentum and familiarity on his side. Earlier this season, English captured his fifth PGA TOUR victory at the Farmers Insurance Open held at Torrey Pines—one of the key comparable courses to Quail Hollow Club. He’s continued to play solid golf leading up to this week, recording three top 20 finishes in his last four starts. English has been especially sharp on the greens, with strong putting performances complementing steady ball-striking both off the tee and on approach. He also turned in a respectable T24 at the Genesis Invitational, which was played at Torrey Pines South this year.
While English hasn’t historically excelled at the PGA Championship, he did post a career-best finish at the event last season, placing T18 at Valhalla. That marked just his second career top-20 finish in this major, with the other coming in 2020 at TPC Harding Park (T19).
Quail Hollow is a course English knows well. He’s played each of the last three Wells Fargo Championships at the venue, including a T3 finish in 2023 and a T34 in 2024. His past results at Quail Hollow include T43 in 2021, T54 in 2019, T17 in 2016, and a 74th-place finish in his debut back in 2012, giving him plenty of course experience heading into the year’s second major.
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Wells Fargo Championship
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
Quail Hollow Club
2024
2023
2021
2019
2016
2012
T34
T3
T43
T54
T17
74
SG: OTT
SG: APP
SG: ARG
SG: P
3 Putt Avoid
Dr Dist.
Scram.
P4: 450-500
P5: 550-600
Bogey Avoid.
Prox: 175-200
Prox: 200+
42
51
111
7
3
71
16
24
43
26
54
45
Ranks in the Last 24 Rounds compared to the Field
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
Jan 15, 2022; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard Darius Garland (10) celebrates after his team scored a three-point basket against the Oklahoma City Thunder during the second half at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports
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Shevchenko (24-4-1) enters this bout looking to solidify her second reign as champion after reclaiming the belt in her trilogy against Alexa Grasso. Known for her elite striking, counter-fighting ability, and well-rounded skill set, Shevchenko remains one of the most dominant female fighters in UFC history. However, at 37 years old, some analysts believe she may be showing signs of slowing down.
Fiorot (12-1) has been patiently waiting for her shot at the title, earning her opportunity with a dominant win over Erin Blanchfield. The French fighter boasts an aggressive pace, strong takedown defense, and a karate-based striking style that could pose problems for Shevchenko. Fiorot has yet to taste defeat in the UFC, making her a formidable challenger.
Key Factors
Striking Battle: Both fighters are southpaws, meaning this matchup will be a rare clash of left-handed strikers. Shevchenko’s counter-striking and spinning attacks will be tested against Fiorot’s high-volume offense.
Grappling Edge: Shevchenko has a strong clinch game and takedown ability, but Fiorot’s takedown defense has been nearly impenetrable.
Cardio & Pace: Fiorot’s relentless pace could be a challenge for Shevchenko, who has historically controlled fights with precision rather than overwhelming volume.
Prediction:
This might be the best fight of the night. Manon Fiorot is certainly one of the best two fighters in the women’s flyweight class. Fiorot has been a cash machine for bettors as she is undefeated in the UFC. On the other side of things, If Amanda Nunes is the GOAT of women’s MMA, then Valentina is GOAT B. I am going to make this one simple, I think that Manon may have the striking and the strength advantage in this fight, but Val is maybe right behind her from a technical perspective. I also know that Valentina has the better ground game and that is what is attractive to me. Some say that Fiorot cannot be taken down, but she clearly hasn’t fought the likes of a wrestler like Valentina. I do think that Shevchenko will do enough on the ground to sway the judges. I am looking for a win by split decision if it comes to that. Take the GOAT B because it’s a rarity that you will find her again at + money.
Not a bad call to put two Canadians together being that this fight is in Montreal Canada. Bruno Silva is mentally checked out while Jessica Andrade is also over the hills and far away.
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