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2025 Puerto Rico Open Preview & Picks

The Puerto Rico Open at Grand Reserve Golf Club serves as an alternate event to this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: March 6th – March 9th, 2025
  • Location: Rio Grande, Puerto Rico
  • Course: Grand Reserve Golf Club
  • Course Type: Resort/ Coastal
  • Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,506 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Seadwarf Paspalum
  • Fairways: Seashore Paspalum
  • Rough: Seashore Paspalum 2.5″
  • Bunkers: 63
  • Water Hazard(s): – (In-Play on 12 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 6,500 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 11.0 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $4,000,000 /$720,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 300
  • Field: 132 Players
  • Cut: Top 65 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death (18 repeated)
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2024: 70.07 (-1.93), Rank 38 of 51
    • 2023: 71.25 (-0.75), Rank 27 of 49
    • 2022: 71.34 (-0.66), Rank 23 of 50
  • Historic Cut Line:
  • 2024: -4
  • 2023: -1
  • 2022: -1

Social Media:

  • Course X: @PuertoRicoOpen
  • Tournament X: N/A

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Tom Kite (2006)
  • Renovations: N/A

Comparable Courses:

  • Corales Golf Course – Corales Puntacana Championship – RESULTS
  • El Cardonal at Diamante – World Wide Technology Championship – RESULTS
  • Vidanta Vallarta – Mexico Open at Vidanta – RESULTS

Comparable Location (Rio Grande, Puerto Rico):

  • Corales Golf Course – Punta Cana, Dominican Republic – Corales Puntacana Championship

Designer Link (Tom Kite):

  • Liberty National – Tom Kite (2006) – The Barclays 2009, 2013/ The Nothern Trust 2019, 2021

Comparable Yardage (7,506 Yards):

  • Augusta National Golf Club – 7,510 Yards – Masters Tournament
  • Quail Hollow Club – 7,521 Yards – Wells Fargo Championship

Comparable Greens (Seadwarf Paspalum):

  • Vidanta Vallarta – Paspalum – Mexico Open at Vidanta
  • Corales Golf Course – Supreme paspalum .100” – Corales Puntacana Championship
  • El Cardonal at Diamante – Platinum paspalum .100” – World Wide Technology Championship

Comparable Average Green Size (6,500 sq. ft.):

  • TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course) – 6,400 sq. ft. – Valero Texas Open
  • Augusta National Golf Club – 6,486 sq. ft. – Masters Tournament
  • TPC Twin Cities – 6,500 sq. ft. – 3M Open
  • Quail Hollow Club – 6,578 sq. ft. – Wells Fargo Championship

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, March 6th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 10:00 PM – 1:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, March 7th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 10:00 PM – 1:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, March 8th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 2:30 PM – 5:30 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, March 9th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 2:30 PM – 5:30 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The Puerto Rico Open originally took place from 1956 to 1967 as part of the PGA-sponsored Caribbean Tour, holding its spot until 1965 before shifting later in the calendar. After a long hiatus, the tournament was revived in 2004 and 2005 as part of the Tour de las Américas, eventually joining the PGA Tour in 2008. Since then, it has found a permanent home at the Grand Reserve Country Club in Río Grande, previously known as Trump International Puerto Rico and Coco Beach Resort. The club features two 18-hole courses — the “Championship” and the “International” — with the tournament contested on the “Championship” course.

As an alternate event on the PGA Tour, the Puerto Rico Open offers 300 FedEx Cup points and 24 Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) points to the winner. While a victory doesn’t grant a Masters invitation, it does secure a two-year PGA Tour exemption and a spot in the PGA Championship. The tournament also provides eight sponsor exemptions — four reserved for players from Puerto Rico, the Caribbean, Central America, and South America, and four unrestricted — adding a unique international flair to the field.

Previous Tournament Venues:

DurationCourseLocation:
2008-PresentGrand Reserve Golf ClubRio Grande, Puerto Rico

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2019-2024Puerto Rico Open
2018No Tournament
2008-2017Puerto Rico Open
2006-2007No Tournament
2004-2005American Express Puerto Rico Open
1968−2003No Tournament
1956-1967Puerto Rico Open

Tournament Records:

  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 2, Michael Bradley (2009, 2011)

Course Records:

  • 72-Hole Record (Grand Reserve Golf Club):
    • 267, Chesson Hadley (2014), Nico Echavarria (2023)

  • 18-Hole Record (Grand Reserve Golf Club):
    • 62, Jhonattan Vegas (Round 4, 2020)

  • Largest Margin of Victory (Grand Reserve Golf Club):
    • 6 Strokes – Ryan Brehm (2022)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Originally designed by Tom Kite in 2006, the ‘Champion’ Course at Grand Reserve Country Club boasts a standard Par 72 layout with four Par 3’s, ten Par 4’s, and four Par 5’s.

Stretching across 7,506 yards, the Champion Course stands as one of the lengthiest courses on the PGA Tour. Drivers capable of hitting long distances will hold a notable advantage, as this week emphasizes distance over accuracy off the tee. With the rough measuring a modest 2.5 inches, it poses less of a threat, while the generous average green size of 6,500 square feet enhances the course’s playability.

Coming in 2025, Grand Reserve Golf Club will unveil a re-routed course, flipping the nines. The round will now finish with a challenging 236-yard par 3 followed by a 450-yard par 4 as the closing holes.

This event tends to be a “birdie fest,” judging from previous winners’ scores. The primary defenses of the course lie in water hazards, which come into play on 12 holes, and the wind that blows in from the Atlantic Ocean.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 12

Key Statistics:

The Puerto Rico Open takes place at Grand Reserve Golf Club Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.

StatisticsPGA Tour AverageGrand Reserve Golf Club
Driving Distance (Yards)283.80N/A
Driving Accuracy62%60%
GIR Percentage66%68%
Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet)29.17N/A
Scrambling Percentage58%62%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.550.39

  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
    • Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Cameron Champ
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Joseph Bramlett
      • Rico Hoey
      • Steven Fisk
      • Bud Cauley
      • Samuel Stevens
      • Matthias Schmid
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Scott Piercy

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
    • Excellent approach play has been a key factor in determining success at this week’s tournament.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Antoine Rozner
      • David Lipsky
      • Henrik Norlander
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Joe Highsmith
      • Matthias Schmid
      • David Skinns
      • Kevin Roy
      • Rikuya Hoshino
      • Matthew NeSmith

  • Strokes Gained: Putting (Paspalum)
    • The green complexes at Grand Reserve Golf Club are Seadwarf Paspalum.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Chan Kim
      • Cameron Champ
      • Davis Riley
      • Aaron Baddeley
      • Quade Cummins
      • Martin Trainer
      • Trace Crowe
      • James Hahn
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Takumi Kanaya

  • Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards
    • Two of the four Par 3’s at Grand Reserve Golf Club range between 200-225 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Brian Stuard
      • Chris Stroud
      • Rikuya Hoshino
      • Kevin Roy
      • Takumi Kanaya
      • John Pak
      • Angel Ayora
      • Garrick Higgo
      • Kevin Chappell
      • William Mouw

  • Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards
    • Six of the ten Par 4’s at Grand Reserve Golf Club range from 400-450 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Greyson Sigg
      • Kevin Roy
      • Bud Cauley
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Brandt Snedeker
      • William McGirt
      • Zac Blair
      • Blades Brown
      • Matthew Jordan
      • Braden Thornberry

  • Par 5 Scoring: 500-550, 600-650 Yards
    • Two of the four Par 5’s at Grand Reserve Golf Club range between 500-550 Yards.
    • Two of the four Par 5’s at Grand Reserve Golf Club range between 600-650 Yards.
    • Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 500-550 in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Kevin Tway
      • Cameron Champ
      • Jackson Suber
      • Ryan Brehm
      • Noah Goodwin
      • Matthias Schmid
      • Hayden Springer
      • Lanto Griffin
      • Steven Fisk
      • Rico Hoey
    • Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 600-650 in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Andrew Novak
      • Vincent Whaley
      • Trey Mullinax
      • Joseph Bramlett
      • Scott Piercy
      • Braden Thornberry
      • Kyoung-Hoon Lee
      • Jeremy Paul
      • Nick Hardy
      • Henrik Norlander

  • Driving Distance Gained
    • Grand Reserve Golf Club is one of the longest courses on Tour, playing over 7,500 Yards. Over the past three editions of the Puerto Rico Open, every winner has ranked 20th or better in Driving Distance amongst the field.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Cameron Champ
      • Chris Gotterup
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Pierceson Coody
      • Tim Widing
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Ryan Brehm
      • Joseph Bramlett
      • Trevor Cone
      • Norman Xiong

  • Birdies or Better Gained
    • Grand Reserve Golf Club historically demands low scoring to contend. With each of the last three winners posting a winning score of -19 or better, players need to convert birdie opportunities.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Joe Highsmith
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Wesley Bryan
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Patrick Fishburn
      • Ryan Gerard
      • Danny Walker
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Trace Crowe

  • Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards
    • Grand Reserve Golf Club sees a significantly higher volume of approach shots from the 200+ yard range compared to the PGA Tour average.
    • Leaders in Proximity Gained 200+ Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Nick Hardy
      • Rikuya Hoshino
      • Zac Blair
      • Kevin Chappell
      • Jackson Suber
      • Kevin Roy
      • Troy Merritt
      • Wesley Bryan
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Joseph Bramlett

  • Comparable Courses and Event History
    • The Data Golf Course History Tool suggests that past success at Grand Reserve Golf Club has been a strong predictor of future performance in this tournament.
  • Leaders in this category (Stokes Gained Total at Grand Reserve Golf Club):
    • Brice Garnett
    • Ryan Brehm
    • Vincent Whaley
    • Matthias Schmid
    • Ben Kohles
    • Henrik Norlander
    • Martin Laird
    • Bill Haas
    • Richy Werenski
    • Max McGreevy

The Field:

This year’s Puerto Rico Open will feature a total of 132 competitors. Among them are just six of the top one hundred players in the Official World Golf Ranking.

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
  • Top Finishers from Korn Ferry Tour Medical
  • Top 5 Finishers and Ties from PGA TOUR Q-School
  • Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
  • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
  • Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Players 2-30 on the Prior Season Korn Ferry Tour Points List
  • PGA TOUR University #1 – Prior Season
  • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
  • PGA Club Professional Champion – 6 Events
  • Past Champion of Respective Event
  • Minor Medical Extension
  • Major Medical Extension
  • Leading 10 players (not otherwise exempt) on DP World Tour
  • Designated Sponsor Exemption
  • Commissioner Exemption – 2 Foreign Players
  • Career Money Exemption
  • Beyond 150 on Prior Seasons FEC Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
  • 300 PGA TOUR Career Cuts Made
  • 126-150 on FedExCup Fall Points List

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Brice Garnett (2024), Ryan Brehm (2022), Martin Trainer (2019), Chesson Hadley (2014)

Debutants in the Field:

Andrew Filbert, Antoine Rozner, Ben Polland, Ben Warian, Blades Brown, Braden Thornberry, Brett White, Connor Williams, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, Danny Willett, David Lipsky, Dylan Frittelli, Gustavo Rangel, Hayden Buckley, Jackson Suber, Jeremy Paul, John Pak, Kaito Onishi, Karl Vilips, Kevin Velo, Kieron Van Wyk, Lanto Griffin, Mason Andersen, Matteo Manassero, Matthew Jordan, Matthew Riedel, Max Kennedy, Michael Thorbjornsen, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Paul Peterson, Philip Knowles, Quade Cummins, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Reinaldo Simoni, Ricky Castillo, Rikuya Hoshino, Santiago De La Fuente, Steven Fisk, Takumi Kanaya, Taylor Dickson, Taylor Montgomery, Thomas Rosenmueller, Thriston Lawrence, Tim Widing, Vince Covello, Will Chandler, William Mouw

Players with Puerto Rico ties in the Field:

Birthplace:

  • Kelvin Hernandez – Caguas, Puerto Rico
  • Chris Nido – San Juan, Puerto Rico
  • Gustavo Rangel – Guaynabo, Puerto Rico

Exemptions:

  • Angel Ayora – Designated Sponsor Exemption
  • Blades Brown – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Santiago de la Fuente – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Jason Dufner – Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Justin Hastings – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Kelvin Hernandez – Designated Sponsor Exemption
  • Matthew Jordan – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Max Kennedy – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen – Commissioner Exemption – 2 Foreign Players
  • Chris Nido – Designated Sponsor Exemption
  • Ryan Palmer – Career Money Exemption
  • Gustavo Rangel – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Reinaldo Simoni – Designated Sponsor Exemption
  • Brandt Snedeker – Career Money Exemption
  • Kieron Van Wyk – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Ben Warian – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Brett White – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Connor Williams – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • David Skinns WD / Jonathan Byrd IN
  • Fabian Gomez WD / Adam Long IN
  • Vincent Norrman WD / Sung Kang IN
  • Joel Dahmen WD / Kyle Stanley IN
  • Brendon Todd WD / Sangmoon Bae IN
  • Max McGreevy WD / Brian Stuard IN
  • Joe Highsmith WD / Ryan Armour IN
  • Martin Trainer WD / Ben Crane IN
  • Greyson Sigg WD / David Hearn IN
  • Andrew Novak WD / Dylan Frittelli IN
  • Sam Stevens WD / Jim Herman IN
  • Dylan Frittelli WD / Jimmy Walker IN
  • Jackson Suber WD / Chris Stroud IN

Tee Times & Groupings:

The Odds:

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:

Tournament Props:

Playoff:

  • Will There Be a Playoff at the Puerto Rico Open? (Yes +350 / No -500)

Since becoming an official PGA TOUR event in 2008 and moving to Grand Reserve Golf Club this tournament has been decided by a playoff four times.

2024: Brice Garnett defeated Erik Barnes

2016: Tony Finau defeated Steve Marino

2015: Alex Čejka defeated Jon Curran, Emiliano Grillo, Tim Petrovic, and Sam Saunders

2011: Michael Bradley defeated Troy Matteson

Hole-in-One:

  • Will There Be A Hole-in-One at the Puerto Rico Open? (Yes -135/ No +100)

Recent Horses for Courses (Grand Reserve Golf Club):

Puerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico Open
Grand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf Club
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Brice Garnett8+35.70WONT48T7T5T20
Martin Laird3+15.00T10T6
Ben Kohles4+16.11T6T16
Vincent Whaley3+19.23T18T15T9
Samuel Stevens2+12.56T18T15
Adam Schenk3+11.13T27T14
Matthias Schmid2+17.56T10T33
Henrik Norlander5+15.45T15T15T44
Ryan Brehm5+29.25T55WONT11T35
Aaron Baddeley5+13.35T23T28T30

Recent Donkeys for Courses (Grand Reserve Golf Club):

Puerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico Open
Grand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf Club
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
David Hearn9-11.25MCMCMCMC
Carl Yuan2-4.80MCMC
Alejandro Tosti2-5.49MCMC
Martin Trainer6-32.48MCT64MCMCMC
Ben Crane5-21.04MC68MC
Ryan Armour6-10.04MCT61MC
Nick Watney3-8.80MCT57MC
Chris Nido5-6.31T49MCMCMC

Previous Winners Scores and Prices:

  • 2024: Brice Garnett (-19)
    • Price: 150-1

  • 2023: Nicolas Echavarria (-21)
    • Price: 125-1

  • 2022: Ryan Brehm (-20)
    • Price: 70-1

  • 2021: Branden Grace (-19)
    • Price: 20-1

  • 2020: Viktor Hovland (-20)
    • Price: 12-1

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Brice Garnett
    • T51 – Astara Golf Championship (KFT)
    • MC – The Panama Championship (KFT)
    • MC – The Bahamas Great Abaco Classic (KFT)
    • MC – The RSM Classic (PGA)
    • T30 – Butterfield Bermuda Championship (PGA)

  • 2023: Nicolas Echavarria
    • MC – The Honda Classic
    • MC – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
    • MC – Farmers Insurance Open
    • MC – The American Express
    • T12 – Sony Open in Hawaii

  • 2022: Ryan Brehm
    • T38 – LECOM Suncoast Classic (KFT)
    • T9 – Astara Golf Championship (KFT)
    • T32 – The Panama Championship (KFT)
    • T18 – The Bahamas Great Abaco Classic (KFT)
    • MC – Korn Ferry Tour Championship (KFT)

  • 2021: Branden Grace
    • T20 – The Genesis Invitational (PGA)
    • T34 – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (PGA)
    • MC – Sony Open in Hawaii (PGA)
    • T40 – Mayakoba Golf Classic (PGA)
    • T30 – The RSM Classic (PGA)

  • 2020: Viktor Hovland
    • T38 – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (PGA)
    • MC – Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)
    • T23 – Omega Dubai Desert Classic (DPWT)
    • MC – Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (DPWT)
    • MC – Mayakoba Golf Classic (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024: Brice Garnett

Puerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico Open
Grand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf Club
 2023202220212020201620152014
Brice GarnettT48T7T5T20T26T38T72

2023: Nicolas Echavarria

  • Tournament Debut

2022: Ryan Brehm

Puerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico OpenPuerto Rico Open
Grand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf ClubGrand Reserve Golf Club
 202120202017
Ryan BrehmT11T35MC

2021: Branden Grace

  • Tournament Debut

2020: Viktor Hovland

  • Tournament Debut

Picks:

Outrights

Kevin Roy (+2800) – FanDuel

Michael Thorbjornsen (+4000) – FanDuel

Matti Schmid (+4000) – FanDuel

Matthew Jordan (+4000) – FanDuel

Hayden Springer (+5000) – FanDuel

Ricky Castillo (+5000) – FanDuel

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

College Basketball Early Conference Tournament Plays – Sports Betting

It’s March baby, and the madness has already started.   I think that there is some value in some of the futures on these smaller conference tournaments.   There are situations where there are home teams and situations where the whole tournament is played on a neutral court.  Here are some of my thoughts and plays.

The Horizon League:  Robert Morris +270 to win – This tournament is first played at home, and then moves to Indianapolis for the semi-finals and finals.   The Favorite Milwaukee is a solid team, but they have faltered more away from home.  The Panthers also lost to the Colonials of Robert Morris twice this year.   Cleveland state was at one time the top team, but they faltered down the stretch losing five of their last eight games.   Give me the to seed here.

The Summit League:  Omaha +450 to win – This lovely tournament will be played at the Denny Sanford PREMIER Center in Sioux Falls South Dakota.   Now this might give a little edge to the Dakota teams, but it isn’t like this conference is not used to travel.   There is literally nothing better to do than watch college basketball if you live in these parts.  The top seed is Omaha, and they only have the 4th best odds of winning it at +450.   St Thomas has been the strongest team in this conference, yet a win doesn’t get them to the big dance as they are ineligible.   The Omaha Maverick’s have beaten all three of the top seeds once this year, so I can’t see why they would not do it again as they have an efficient offense and play quite well on the road.

The CAA:  Towson +450 to win – This tournament will be played at CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C.  This is another situation where the one seed is quite disrespected.   The Favorite UNC Wilmington had lost to Towson in their only matchup back on January 2nd.   The Seahawks certainly have improved since, but so did the Tigers who rank 189th in offensive efficiency and 143rd in defensive efficiency.   The other seed to worry about is Charleston who has been deemed the third luckiest team in college basketball.

The WCC:  St Mary’s +130 to win – This conference tournament is in Vegas at the Orleans Arena starting on Thursday.  The only two teams that can contend are Gonzaga at -125 and St Mary’s at +130.  I honestly have no clue why Saint Mary’s is only the second favorite here behind a Gonzaga team that the Gaels had beaten twice this year during the regular season.   This is where efficiency sites tend to get it wrong.  Just because a team with a solid fast paced offense puts extra points up on the bad teams doesn’t make them any better when finally playing a good defense.  Gonzaga might be playing for their post season homes, but Saint Mary’s is very disrespected here.   Take the Gaels.

Podcast 679 – 14 – 25 – With Kyle Hunter – College Hoops Early Conference Tournaments – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!  March Madness is here and we have a ton to talk about.   The one and only Kyle Hunter @KyleHunterPicks from  Hunter Sports Picks is back to break down some conference tournaments.   First, Kyle and Kiev talk about some contests that they are putting on for us in March.  Next, the guys get into some capping spots this week in NCAAB.  Then, Kyle and Kiev talk some conference tournaments with some Free Plays that they like based on value.   After that, Kyle gives us a sleeper for tournament time that can make some noise.  Finally, we recap our plays.   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY Basketball OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and

College Basketball March Madness Sunday Fun-day Play – Sports Betting – Wisconsin vs Michigan State

Wisconsin vs Michigan State -4.5 O/U 146.5

Game Details:

  • Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM EST
  • Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center, East Lansing, MI
  • Broadcast: CBS

The Wisconsin Badgers are set to face off against the Michigan State Spartans in a highly anticipated matchup. The game will take place at the Jack Breslin Student Events Center in East Lansing on Sunday, March 2, 2025, at 11:30 AM MST.

Wisconsin Badgers:

  • Record: 22-6 overall, 12-5 in the Big Ten
  • Key Players: John Blackwell (15.2 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.2 apg), Max Klesmit (9.7 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 2.7 apg), John Tonje (19.5 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.8 apg), Steven Crowl (9.6 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 2.5 apg), Nolan Winter (9.8 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.0 apg)
  • Strengths: The Badgers rank seventh in the nation in offensive efficiency. They have a strong field goal rate and are careful with the basketball, ranking 29th in turnovers given up.

Michigan State Spartans:

  • Record: 23-5 overall, 14-3 in the Big Ten
  • Key Players: Jeremy Fears Jr. (7.0 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 5.6 apg), Jaden Akins (12.7 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 1.5 apg), Jase Richardson (11.0 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 1.8 apg), Jaxon Kohler (7.8 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.3 apg), Szymon Zapala (5.0 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 0.6 apg)
  • Strengths: The Spartans are known for their defensive prowess, ranking sixth in the nation. They have held five straight opponents to less than 70 points.

Matchup Analysis:

  • Offense vs. Defense: This game will be a clash between Wisconsin’s efficient offense and Michigan State’s strong defense. The Badgers’ ability to shoot at a high rate and protect the basketball will be crucial in countering the Spartans’ defensive stops and transition attacks.
  • Home Advantage: Michigan State has a strong home record, being 13-1 at the Breslin Center this season. This could play a significant role in the outcome of the game.

Prediction:

The game is expected to be a tight contest. While Michigan State has the home advantage and a strong defense, Wisconsin’s efficient offense and careful ball handling could give them the edge.   Although both teams play at an average pace, I think that points will be scored as both Michigan State and Wisconsin play very efficient basketball.  These two teams both rank in the top 25 in offensive efficiency.  Might get some late game fouling to help.

Over 146.5 – 2 stars

Saturday Free Play Video:

The Memphis Grizzlies pictured together.
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College Basketball Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting – Maryland vs Penn State

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Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Maryland vs Penn State +5.5 O/U

Game Details

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, Pennsylvania
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network

Team Statistics

Maryland Terrapins

  • Record: 21-7 (11-6 Big Ten)
  • Points per Game: 82.6
  • Points Allowed per Game: 67.0
  • Field Goal Percentage: 48.3%
  • Three-Point Percentage: 37.0%
  • Rebounds per Game: 34.5
  • Assists per Game: 13.3
  • Steals per Game: 6.1
  • Blocks per Game: 4.5

Penn State Nittany Lions

  • Record: 15-14 (5-13 Big Ten)
  • Points per Game: 79.4
  • Points Allowed per Game: 73.3
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.8%
  • Three-Point Percentage: 31.0%
  • Rebounds per Game: 26.9
  • Assists per Game: 13.6
  • Steals per Game: 6.4
  • Blocks per Game: 3.2

Key Players

Maryland Terrapins

  • Derik Queen: 15.6 points per game, 9.1 rebounds per game
  • Ja’Kobi Gillespie: 2.7 made three-pointers per game

Penn State Nittany Lions

  • Ace Baldwin Jr.: 14 points per game, 7.2 assists per game, 2.4 steals per game
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser: 11.5 points per game over the last 10 games
  • Matchup Preview

    • Maryland Terrapins: The Terrapins come into this game with a strong record of 21-7 overall and 11-6 in the Big Ten. They are ranked No. 16 and have been performing well this season, despite a recent heart-breaking loss to Michigan State. Maryland’s key players include Derik Queen, who leads the team in scoring with 15.9 points per game, and Julian Reese, who averages 14 points and 9.3 rebounds per game.
    • Penn State Nittany Lions: The Nittany Lions have a record of 15-14 overall and 5-13 in the Big Ten. They are looking to bounce back from a recent loss to Indiana. Penn State’s key players include Ace Baldwin Jr., who leads the team in scoring and assists with 13.7 points and 7.3 assists per game, and Yanic Konan Niederhauser, who averages 12.9 points and 6.2 rebounds per game.

Prediction:  Maryland is in a tricky spot here.   They just dropped out of the sweepstakes to win the big 10 regular season with a huge last second half court shot courtesy of Michigan State.  Don’t get me wrong, Maryland is still vying for position to secure big 10 tournament byes, but that took a pretty big hit with that last lost.  Penn State on the other hand has to win this game just to stay in the post season mix as they won’t even make the Big 10 tournament without most likely winning a minimum of two of their last three games!   Metrically, Maryland is definitely the superior team, but Big 10 home dogs have proven sharp this year with Penn State leading the way at 2-0.  The Nittany Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against Penn State.   The Lions shoot a nice 56.1% effective FG% at home.   I’ll take the home dog here.

Penn State +5.5 – 2 stars

Bonus Play:  Georgia +5.5 – 2 stars – I know that Georgia has been a pretty bad road team, but they are right on the bubble and can’t afford to drop this one.   Texas is also on the bubble, but they should not be laying points like this to a team that is better than they are.  The Bulldogs will have advantages from downtown ranking 56th in adjusted 3 point percentage to Texas only ranking 132nd in defending it.  I see a close game here.

College Basketball Free Picks Friday Video – Sports Betting – Iowa vs Northwestern

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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!




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Friday Free Play Video:

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Podcast 678 – 14 – 25 – With Paul Stone – College Hoops Feb 28th – Mar 2nd – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today! Paul Stone @PaulStoneSports from VSIN is back to break down some college hoops!  First, Kiev gets into some college basketball late year situations and trends.   Next, Paul comes on and the guys get right into some hoops.  We start with some conference tournament thoughts as well as some final four.  Then, Paul and Kiev talk about some buy low and sell high teams that could have some value coming up here in crunch time.  After that, the guys get into some of the biggest games and good betting spots for the weekend with some Free Plays.  Finally, Kiev recaps our prospective plays for the weekend!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY Basketball OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

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Thursday Free Play Video:

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