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Podcast 864 – 88 – 26 – Raphael Esparza – College Football Week 5 Best Bets – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a great show for you today! Raphael Esparza @VSIDocSports from @DocsSports is back to break down week 5 of college football. First, Kiev talks about NCAAF betting trends and where teams are at.  Who is covering, who isn’t. Next, Raphael comes on and the boys get right into the worst on field celebrations in football history.  Then, we talk some buy low/sell high for teams over the next few weeks that may have some value to bet on or to fade.  After that, the guys get into their 6 pack of Best Bets!  Next, we talk some random games for the week. Finally, Raphael and Kiev give out a few Beer Bet Bangers that could hit for some nice plus money!  If you have any questions for the podcast, or any games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

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NFL Week 4 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • The Broncos could let down at the 49ers after the Rams win.
  • The Vikings could be a little flat hosting the Dolphins after the big win in Tampa Bay.
  • The Commanders could let down hosting the Colts after the big Seahawks win.

Get Up Spots:

  • It’s do or die for the Texans hosting the Cowboys.
  • The Raiders might want to compete against the Chiefs this weekend.  The outcome will depend on the ref.
  • The Panthers need to get up hosting the Lions.
  • The Rams will need to wash off at the Eagles.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • The Bears could look past the Jets to the Packers.
  • The 49ers could look past the Broncos to the Seahawks.

Short Week: 

  • The Bears after Monday night hosting the Jets.
  • The Eagles after Monday night hosting the Rams.

Long Week:

  • The Falcons after Thursday night at the Saints.
  • The Packers after Thursday night at the Buccaneers.

NFL Week 3 Misleading Final Scores

  •  The Bills only outgained Chargers 350 to 348 yet won 24-16.   They lost the turnover battle 5-1, yet still won and covered the -7.  Poor offense and red zone busted the Bolts.
  • The Panthers out-gained the Browns 360 to 259 yet lost 21-18.  Equal turnovers at 1-1, but terrible fourth down efficiency and red zone killed the Panthers.
  • The Chiefs only out-gained the Dolphins 334 to 329 yet the Dolphins lost 24-10.  A 2-1 turnover ratio, poor quarterback play and biased officiating broke the Fins.
  • The Titans out-gained the Giants 262 to 238 yet lost 12-7.   A 2-0 turnover ratio and bad red zone quarterback play smoked the Titans.
  • The Seahawks out-gained the Commanders 437 to 258 yet lost 33-31.  A 3-0 turnover ratio smoked the quacks.
  • The Patriots yards were mainly Garbage time.
  • The Rams out-gained the Broncos 482 to 257 yet lost 30-26.  A 2-1 turnover ratio including a pick 6, and terrible red zone got the Shams.

Fantasy Football Week 4

Key Injuries:

  • QB Baker Mayfield dislocated his throwing thumb and is week to week.
  • RB Devon Achane tore his ACL and is out for the season.
  • WR Justin Jefferson hurt his ankle and is week to week.
  • WR Mike Evans hurt his oblique and is week to week as well.
  • RB Travis Etienne had a hammy and left he game.
  • RB Breece Hall had a thigh injury and left the game.
  • WR Jalen Coker has a Quad injury.  
  • WR Adonie Mitchell for the Jets got hurt.
  • TE Mark Andrews with a hand injury.

Waiver Wire:

  • QB Jalon Daniels for the Baker Mayfield injury.
  • RBs Jaylen Wright & Ollie Gorden for the Devon Achane injury.
  • WR Jauan Jennings for the Jefferson injury.
  • WR Keenan Allen
  • WR Jacob Cowing for the Mike Evans injury.
  • RBs Braelon Allen & Isaiah Davis for the Breese Hall injury.
  • TE Kenyon Sadiq hit paydirt for the Jets.
  • TE Noah Fant went off for the Saints.
  • WR Konata Mumpfield had 8 targets for the Rams.
  • WR Jacobi Meyers went off for the Jaguars.
  • RB Austin Eckler signed with the Commies.

Non-Starters trending up for week 4:

  • QB Marcus Mariota against the Colts ain’t bad. 
  • RB Jacory Crosky-Merritt against the Colts as well
  • RB Bucky Irving against the poor Packers D is good.
  • WR Rachod Bateman against the Titans as well.
  • WR Jameson Williams against the Panthers is solid.
  • WR Jalen Coker against the Lions is good if he’s healthy.
  • RB Chuba Hubbard against the Lions is great.
  • WR Terry McLaurin against the Colts.
  • QB Daniel Jones against the Commanders is big.
  • WR Josh Downs against the Commanders is also nice.

Busts:

  • WR Tee Higgens against the Jaguars isn’t good.
  • QB Matt Stafford at the Eagles is bad.
  • WR Ceedee Lamb against the Texans is rough.
  • RB Ashton Jeanty against the Chiefs is poor.
  • QB Brock Purdy against the Broncos is a little sus.
  • QB Justin Herbert against the Seahawks is laughable.
  • RB Quinshon Judkins against the Steelers is rough.

Nasty Sleeper:  TE AJ Barner against the Chargers

NCAAF Late Night Bailout!!

San Jose State wide receiver Jermaine Braddock (13) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against Nevada during the first half of an NCAA college football game Friday, Dec. 11, 2020, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)

College Football Week 5 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • Wake Forest hosting Stanford after the big Louisville win.
  • UAB hosting Samford after the big Navy win.
  • Minnesota hosting Michigan after the big Washington win.
  • Florida at Missouri after the big Ole Miss win.
  • Cincinnati at Arizona after beating Kansas State outright.
  • Wyoming at North Dakota State after finally winning a game.
  • Wisconsin hosting Michigan State after the big Penn State comeback.

Get Up Spots:

  • Penn state better get up at Northwestern after the Badger game choke.
  • Cal better do something at UNLV after terrible play.
  • Texas A&M better get up hosting Arkansas after 2 losses.
  • Western Michigan was embarrassed at home against Boise and will need a big one in Buffalo.
  • Colorado has at chance to wake up hosting Texas Tech.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Alabama looking past Mississippi State to Georgia is one.
  • Kentucky might look ahead past South Carolina to LSU.
  • Fresno could look past Washington State to Boise State.

Short Week:

  • Penn State with a day less to think about that loss to Wisconsin at Northwestern.

Long Week:

  • Liberty with an extra two days rest at Delaware
  • Coastal Carolina with an extra two days rest hosting Georgia Southern.
  • Navy with an extra day of rest at Air Force.
  • Arizona State after the bye hosting Baylor.
  • BYU after the bye at TCU.
  • Kansas after the bye hosting Middle Tennessee State.
  • Louisiana Tech after the bye with 6 days extra rest hosting Army.
  • Memphis after the bye at Charlotte.
  • North Carolina after the bye hosting Notre Dame.
  • North Dakota State after the bye hosting Wyoming.
  • San Jose State after the bye at Hawaii.
  • Syracuse after the bye at UCONN.

College Football Week 4 Misleading Final Scores

  • Northern Illinois out-gained Georgia State 432 to 342 yet lost 35-12.   Equal turnovers at 2, but poor third 3/13 and 4th 1/4 down efficiency killed the Huskies.
  • Michigan out-gained Iowa 429 to 285 yet lost 20-19.  A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor red zone burned the Wolverines.
  • Rice out-gained Fresno State 463 to 459 yet lost 38-24.  A 2-0 turnover ratio and a poor second half got the Owls.
  • Temple out-gained Army 459 to 315 yet lost 21-17.  Terrible red zone and bad field position hurt these Owls.
  • TCU  out-gained UCF  343 to 266 yet lost 21-13.  A 4-2 turnover ratio stepped on the Frogs.

MLB Wild Card Round Predictions!!

Gerrit Cole on the mound for the Yankees.

Podcast 863 – 87 – 26 – College & NFL Football Recap – CFB Best Bet – Fantasy Football – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev is traveling so this one is short but sweet. Another great week of football is in the books and now it’s time to recap. We talk about the good, the bad and the ugly from the weekend as well as some betting spots. Kiev gives out an early Best Bet for college football.  We do fantasy football with byes, injuries, waivers, sleepers, and busts.  If you have any questions for the podcast, or  games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

Use Promo Code Baseball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL, BASKETBALL, OR YEARLY PACKAGE, OR 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2026

Get in the best football contests in the world

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Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

NFL Monday Night Football Video Prop – Eagles vs Bears – Sports Investing


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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

55% Lifetime College &NFL Football ATS/Props/Totals

2025/2026 College Basketball 180–161-3 up 9.2U

2025/2026  NFL 149-124-2 +10.6 units

2025 UFC up 5.1 units

2025/2026 College Football 54.3% 143-120 up 19.3 units.

NFL 2023 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units.

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

63% FOR 2025 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 20 UNITS!

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