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College Basketball Coaching & Projected Tempo & Pace Changes for 2024/2025 – Sports Investing

Once again, there is a large amount of coaching changes this year for the 2024/2025 college basketball season.  As sports bettors, and/or college basketball fans, we all know how important these coaches are to projecting outcomes.  Pace is a massive factor when it comes to the point differential as well as the total amount of points that are scored in a game.   I categorize each team as Very Fast, Medium Fast, Medium, Medium Slow, Very Slower and NA for not enough information.  Keep in mind that these are all projections based on association, and past performance.  Here are the coaching changes with my projections for 2024/2025 pace of play.  If I put a color on the team name, it means a pretty substantial change.  Red means faster and blue means slower.   Follow me on twitter for more wagering content @OBKiev.

Pace Rankings:

0 – 40 Very Fast

41 – 120 Medium Fast

121 – 240 Medium

241 to 320 Medium Slow

321 to 364 Very Slow

College Coaches: Out / In 

School: 68 new coaching changes

Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman / John Calipari – John Calipari is one of the most well known in college basketball.  Last year, his team played lighting fast at Kentucky, but the few years before, he played much slower. Arkansas’s pace ranked 38th last year.  Pace in the 60s is a safe bet.  Very fast to Medium Fast
Bryant Bulldogs: Jared Grasso / Phil Martelli Jr. – Phil coached most of last year and was lighting fast ranking 3rd in the nation.  Pace is top 10.  Very Fast to Very Fast
BYU Cougars: Mark Pope / Kevin Young – Byu played medium fast last season at 84th on Kenpom, but new coach Kevin Young comes from the Suns.  I think he stays up there.   Projected pace in the 100s.  Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Cal Poly Mustangs: John Smith / Mike DeGeorge – Mike comes from division two Colorado Mesa, this team ranked 272nd last year in pace, but not enough info to make a prediction.  NA
Canisius Golden Griffins: Reggie Witherspoon / Jim Christian – Last year, this team ranked 224th in pace. Jim spent tome head coaching Boston College a few years back.  He played a pretty fast pace, so I project him to continue that with pace ranking in the 60s.  Medium to Medium Fast
Central Arkansas Bears: Anthony Boone/John Shulman – The Bears ranked 81st in Tempo last year.  John comes from being an assistant coach at Chattanooga, but the pace for this team will remain medium fast.   Medium Fast to Medium Fast 
Charleston Cougars: Pat Kelsey / Chris Mack – From Tempo at 51 last year, return of the Mack will probably slow it down some.   Project in the 150s.  Medium Fast to Medium
Charleston Southern Buccaneers: Barclay Radebaugh / Saah Nimley – The pace ranked 221 under Barclay, but Saah was an assistant there, so I expect the same ion the 220s.   Medium to Medium
Chicago State Cougars: Gerald Gillion /Scott Spinelli – Chicago State really slowed it down last year to 331.  I expect Scott who was an assistant last year to speed it up some.   I project 270s.   Very Slow to Medium Slow
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: Cliff Ellis / Justin Gray – This team played pretty fast at 73rd in pace.  Justin comes from Western Carolina.  I expect a slower pace ranking in the 210s.   Good jump down.   Medium Fast to Medium Slow
Cornell Big Red: Brian Earl / Jon Jaques – Cornell played very fast ranking 23rd.  Jon Jaques was his assistant, so I project close to the same in the 30s.   Very Fast to Very Fast
DePaul Blue Demons: Tony Stubblefield / Chris Holtmann – Depaul ranked 167th in pace, but Holtmann will slow them down to the 270s.  He doesn’t like getting blown out.   Medium to Medium Slow
Detroit Mercy Titans: Mike Davis / Mark Montgomery – With pace at 227, I expect Mark Montgomery from Northern Illinois to slow it down a lot.   330s is my projection.   Medium to Very Slow
Drake Bulldogs: Darian DeVries / Ben McCollum – I mean, I hate the Drake.  Their pace was 168.   Ben comes in from DII, so I assume the same in the 170s.   NA
Duquesne Dukes: Keith Dambrot / Dru Joyce III – from pace ranking 264th, I expect Dru to keep it close to the same as he was an assistant last year.   I project 230s.  Medium Slow to Medium
Eastern Washington Eagles: David Riley / Dan Monson – From pace ranking 45th, I expect a monsoon, of speed for Long Beach state ranking in the 10s.  Medium Fast to Very Fast
Fairfield Stags: Jay Young / Chris Casey – The Stag’s pace was at a not so stagnant 121st last year.  I expect the same as he was an assistant to full time coach last year.  Pace in the 120s.   Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Florida A&M Rattlers: Robert McCollum / Patrick Crarey II – From pace at 130th, I can’t project change as Patrick comes from DII.  NA
Florida Atlantic Owls: Dusty May / John Jakus – Pace was at 149th.  John comes in from being an assistant at Baylor, and I expect this pace to significantly slow down.  I project 270s.   Medium to Medium Slow
Fresno State Bulldogs: Justin Hutson / Vance Walberg – From pace ranking 290th, Vance comes in from the NBA and High School.  He did coach Pepperdine in the 2000s where his pace was super fast.  I expect the same in the 20s.   Medium Slow to Very Fast
Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs: Tim Craft / Jeremy Luther  – This team played fast ranking 74th in Tempo.   Jeremy should keep it the same coming in from the assistant role with tempo ranking in the 70s.  Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Green Bay Phoenix: Sundance Wicks / Doug Gottlieb – This was definitely the biggest holy smokes of them all.   Green Bay ranked in 345th in pace, but their defense was bad.   I assume Doug will be in the middle of the pack in pace in the 180s, but low confidence.  Very Slow to Medium  
Hampton Pirates: Edward “Buck” Joyner / Ivan Thomas – Hampton played fast ranking 69th in pace last year.  Ivan comes from an assistant role at Georgetown, but even though the Hoyas slowed it down last year, I think he still plays fast like they used to with pace in the 90s.   Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Houston Christian Huskies: Ron Cottrell / Craig Doty – Houston Christian lost at light speed last year ranking 26th in pace.  Craig comes from division II, so I do not know.  NA
Indiana State Sycamores: Josh Schertz / Matthew Graves – This team was awesome last year and fun to watch with Very fast pace at 35th in the nation.  I expect the same pace from Matthew Graves coming in from being an assistant.   Very Fast to Very Fast
IUPUI Jaguars: Matt Crenshaw / Paul Corsaro – Pace was dead set in the middle at 183rd last year.   I probably expect no changes from Paul Corsaro, but not enough info for me.   NA
James Madison Dukes: Mark Byington / Preston Spradlin – JMU was fun last year as they bounced my Badgers in the NCAA tournament.  They played up-tempo ranking 70th in pace.  Preston Spradlin comes in from super slow Morehead State and will bring this pace to a crawl in the 330s.   Medium Fast to Very Slow
Kentucky Wildcats: John Calipari /Mark Pope – Kentucky was 12th in pace last year.   When they were on, they blew teams away.  Mark Pope comes in from BYU and will slow it down a tad to the 60s.  Very Fast to Medium Fast
Long Beach State Beach: Dan Monson / Chris Acker – Long Beach played super fast ranking 24th in pace.  Chris Acker comes in from an assistant role at San Diego State and will greatly slow this thing down.   I project the 240s for pace ranking.  Very Fast to Medium Slow
Louisville Cardinals: Kenny Payne / Pat Kelsey – The Cardinals ranked 60th in pace last year.   Pat Kelsey comes in from Charleston with the same speed of play into the 50s.  Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: Tavaras Hardy / Josh Loeffler – From ranking 280th in pace, Josh Loeffler comes in from being a good assistant at Cincinnati.  Pace will speed up some to the 180s.  Medium Slow to Medium
Marshall Thundering Herd: Dan D’Antoni / Cornelius Jackson – Marshall played borderline very fast ranking 46th in pace.  I expect no changes with the assistant being promoted with pace in the 40s.  Medium Fast to Medium Fast
Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: Jason Crafton / Cleo Hill Jr. – Pace last year ranked 202nd, but not enough info for Cleo Hill that comes from DII.  NA
Mercer Bears: Greg Gary / Ryan Ridder – Huge change alert.  Mercer was slow at 268th in Pace.   The Riddler comes in from Tennessee Martin that will bring pace into the top 10!   Medium Slow to Very Fast
Michigan Wolverines: Juwan Howard / Dusty May – Pace ranked 180 which was fast for the Big 10, but Dusty May will speed it up some into the 150s coming from FAU.  Great hire!  Medium to Medium
Missouri State Bears: Dana Ford / Cuonzo Martin – The Pace ranked 157th last year.   Cuonzo Martin was coach at Missouri for a while ranking around 260th.   I will slow some to the 260s.  Medium to Medium Slow
Morehead State Eagles: Preston Spradlin / Jonathan Mattox – Morehead was very slow at 337th in pace.   Jon Mattox was an assistant there before Murray State who played more medium slow.  I think he will still go pretty slow in the 290s.  Very Slow to Medium Slow
Mount Saint Mary’s Mountaineers: Dan Engelstad / Donny Lind – With the pace at 89th last year, Donny Lind comes in from an assistant role at UNC Greensboro and that team played slow.   I project pace ranking in the 300s.  Medium Fast to Medium Slow
New Orleans Privateers: Mark Slessinger / Stacy Hollowell
Ohio State Buckeyes: Chris Holtmann / Jake Diebler – Jake took over last year with pace ranking 203.  I think it stays close in the 190s.  Medium to Medium
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Boynton / Steve Lutz – Mike had this team slower last year at 205th in pace.  Steve Lutz plays at a crazy pace and Western Kentucky was 1st last year.   I project top 10.   Medium to Very Fast
Old Dominion Monarchs: Jeff Jones / Mike Jones – Jeff Jones upped the pace last year to 55th ranked.  Mike Jones (not the rapper who says his own name a lot) was an assistant at Maryland.  I expect a slow pace ranking in the 300s.  Medium Fast to Medium Slow
Pacific Tigers: Leonard Perry /Dave Smart – Pace ranked at 129th last year for the Tigers.    Dave Smart coming in from Texas Tech might slow it down some, but not much ranking in the 170s.   Medium to Medium
Pepperdine Waves: Lorenzo Romar / Ed Schilling – With pace ranking 189th, Ed Schilling comes in from being an assistant at Grand Canyon.   I see about the same pace in the 160s.   Medium to Medium
Rice Owls: Scott Pera / Rob Lanier – Rice really slowed down pace to 274th last year.  Rob Lanier comes in from SMU and will spice it up a bit to the 150s.   Medium Slow to Medium
Sacramento State Hornets: David Patrick / Michael Czepil – This school played slow with tempo ranking 341st.   I expect it a little faster with the assistant coming in, but not by much in the 310s.   Very Slow to Medium Slow
Saint Louis Billikens: Travis Ford / Josh Schertz – With pace ranking 75th last year, Saint Louis is serious about their basketball.   They paid good money for Josh Schertz from Indiana State who will up the pace to the 30s.  Medium Fast to Very Fast
Siena Saints: Carmen Maciariello / Gerry McNamara – With pace ranking 270th last season, Gerry’s world comes in to spice it up.  He was an assistant at Syracuse and will bring this bunch into the 30s.  Medium Slow to Very Fast   
SMU Mustangs: Rob Lanier /Andy Enfield – the Mustangs pace ranking 165th last season.  Andy Enfield comes in from USC and I expect him tp pace it up some ranking in the 100s.  Medium to Medium Fast
South Carolina Upstate Spartans: Dave Dickerson /Marty Richter – Last year pace ranked 203rd.  I don’t expect much change as Marty was an assistant at Drake with the same type of pace results.  I project 220s.   Medium to Medium
Southern Illinois Salukis: Bryan Mullins / Scott Nagy – The Salukis played super slow at 333rd in pace.  Scott Nagy comes in and will light this team up like a firecracker ranking in the 20s.   Very Slow to Very Fast
Stanford Cardinal: Jerod Haase / Kyle Smith – Stanford was pretty fast at 71st in pace last season.  Kyle Smith comes in from Washington state and will greatly slow this thing down to the 320s.  Medium Fast to Medium Slow
UIC Flames: Luke Yaklich / Rob Ehsan – The Flames pace ranked 135th last year.  I expect this to slow down with Rob Ehsan to the 280s as he coached UAB a few years back.   Medium to Medium Slow
USC Trojans: Andy Enfield / Eric Musselman – The Trojan’s pace ranked 138th last year.   Musselman will speed this up for sure with pace ranking in the 40s.  Medium to Medium Fast
UT Martin Skyhawks: Ryan Ridder / Jeremy Shulman – This team was lighting fast ranking 7th in pace last year.  Jeremy Shulman comes from division II so not completely sure how to rank it.  NA
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: Matt Figger / Kahil Fennell – A hot pace ranking 28th last year, I think that Kahil Fennell keeps it fast coming from BYU.  I think pace will rank in the 30s.   Very Fast to Very Fast
UTSA Roadrunners: Steve Henson / Austin Claunch – A roadrunner tyope race ranking 44th last year stays the same with Austin Claunch coming from Nichols State.   I project once again the 30s.  Very Fast to Very Fast
Utah State Aggies: Danny Sprinkle /Jerrod Calhoun – With Danny Sprinkle gone, Jarrod comes in to slow down the pace from 99th to the 140s.  Medium Fast to Medium
Vanderbilt Commodores: Jerry Stackhouse /Mark Byington – Jerry ran this team slow last year ranking 285th in pace.  Mark Byington comes in from James Madison to speed this thing up into the 60s.  Medium Slow to Medium Fast
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett / Ron Sanchez – Virginia loves their slow snail like game who ranked 362nd in tempo.  Assistant Ron Sanchez will continue that trend with pace in the 350s.  Very Slow to Very Slow
Washington Huskies: Mike Hopkins / Danny Sprinkle – With pace ranked 30th, Danny Sprinkle the money line will not be much slower.  I project tempo ranking in the 70s.  Very Fast to Medium Fast
Washington State Cougars: Kyle Smith / David Riley – From pace ranking at 322nd, David Riley will greatly speed this up like he did at Eastern Washington.   I project pace in the 70s.   Medium Slow to Medium Fast
West Virginia Mountaineers: Josh Eilert / Darian DeVries – The Mountaineers ranked 123rd in pace.  Darian Devries from Drake will keep it the same in the 130s.   Medium to Medium
Western Carolina Catamounts: Justin Gray / Tim Craft – The Catamounts ranked 225th in tempo last year.  Tim Craft from Gardner Webb as been inconsistent.  I still see pace around the 150s.  Medium to Medium  
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Steve Lutz / Hank Plona – From a lighting fast 1st in pace last year, hank will step right in with the same offense.   I see top 10 in pace.   Very Fast to Very Fast
William & Mary Tribe: Dane Fischer / Brian Earl – From 273rd in tempo last year, Brian Earl comes from Cornell and will heat things up in the 20s!   Medium Slow to Very Fast
Wright State Raiders: Scott Nagy /Clint Sargent – This team was a burner ranking 22nd in pace.  Clint comes in from the assistant role and won’t miss a beat continuing pace ranking in the 20s.  Very Fast to Very Fast
Wyoming Cowboys: Jeff Linder / Sundance Wicks – The Cowboys ranked 197th in pace from 2023/2024.   Sundance comes in (perfect name for this team by the way), and he will slow this thing down to a crawl like he did in Green Bay.  I project pace in the 340s.  Medium to Very Slow
Youngstown State Penguins: Jerrod Calhoun /Ethan Faulkner – this team ranked 94th in pace last year.  Ethan was an assistant here last year so I project pace in the 90s.  Medium Fast to Medium Fast

 
* Credit for pace numbers from http://www.kenpom.com 
 

Podcast 643 – 88 – 24 – College Basketball 2024/2025 Coaching and Pace Changes – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil goes solo to preview college basketball tempo changes!   We discuss the most important coaching changes with a tempo prediction that could give us an edge during the first few weeks of college basketball!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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Sunday Free Play Video:

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) celebrates after throwing a touchdown pass in the first half of an NFL football game against the Miami Dolphins, Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/John Munson)

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NFL Sunday Fun-day plays – Sports Betting – Chargers vs Browns

Chargers vs Browns +1 O/U 42.5

Sometimes, I do not think that the market watches much for football.   It is true that the Browns beat the Ravens last week, but the fact is that the Ravens did more do themselves that the Browns did to them.  Jameis Winston might be a small upgrade over DeShawn Watson as the Browns quarterback, but it doesn’t warrant them being anywhere near the Chargers in strength.   The Browns rank an abysmal 28th in offensive EPA.  They can’t run or pass the ball well.  The Chargers rank 22nd in rush EPA and 18th in pass EPA.  On Defense, the Chargers are number two overall in defensive EPA.   The Browns are 18th.  There is also a big coaching advantage with Jim Harbaugh over Kevin Stefanski.  No way the Browns beat both Harbaughs back to back.  I expect some picks from Famous Jameis today and the Chargers winning comfortably.

Chargers -1 – 2.5 stars  

Teaser:   Bengals to -1 with the Seahawks to +8 – 2.5 stars – Bengals should win after an embarrassment last week.   Seahawks divisional home dog. 

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Kiev O’Neil’s Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Podcast 642 – 87 – 24 – College Basketball 2024/2025 Big 10 Preview – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil goes solo to preview the BIG 10 for some college hoops action!   We talk ATS and O/U Records, returning players, transfers, rookies and more.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2024

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and more!

Best Weekend in Racing! The 2024 Breeders’ Cup – Saturday Racing Free Picks

Most casual racing fans know about the Triple Crown and the pageantry and prestige that surrounds three Saturdays in late spring. Full time fans and bettors know the best action of the year with the strongest fields happen at The Breeder’s Cup. The event returns to Del Mar for the 41st Edition

Races start at 12:05 Central time, and I am including picks for all 12 races on the card, The Breeders’ Cup races are numbers 4-11. The weather looks great and it should be a fast track this afternoon at Del Mar. I’ll give you my pick to win and at least my top 4 for each race. How you build those Exacts, Trifectas and Multi-Race bets is up to you. Let’s go!

Race 1 Allowance/Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)– Purse: $40,000 – Post Time: 12:05 CDT

Win: 4 No Secret

Top 4 if playing Exotics 4-9-2-7

Race 2 Bayakoa Stakes-Grade III 1 Mile (Dirt) Purse: $200,000 Post Time – 12:40 CDT

Win: 4 Alpha Bella

Top 4 if playing Exotics 4-3-7-6

Race 3 Goldikova Stakes – Grade III – 1 Mile (Turf) – Purse: $300,000 Post Time: 1:15 CDT

Win: 2 Sacred Wish

Top 4 if playing Exotics 2-4-9-8

Race 4 – PNC Bank Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint – Grade I – 7 Furlongs (DIRT) – Purse: $1,000,000 – Post Time 2:00 CDT

Win: 2 One Magic Philly

Top 4 If Playing Exotics 2-9-6-10

Race 5 Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint – Grade I – 5 Furlongs (TURF) – Purse: $1,000,000 – Post Time: – 2:41 CDT

Win: 5 Ag Bullet

Top 4 If Playing Exotics 5-9-2-6

Race 6 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff – Grade I – 1 1/8 Miles (Dirt) – Purse $2,000,000  Post Time 3:21 CDT

Win: 2 Thorpedo Anna

Top 4 If Playing Exotics – 2-5-1-7

Race 7 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf – Grade I – 1 1/2 Miles (TURF) – Purse: $,5000,000  Post Time: 4:01 CDT

Win: 11 Rebel’s Romance

Top 4 If playing Exotics – 11-6-10-2

Race 8 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic – Grade I -1 1/4 Miles (Dirt)  Purse $7,000,000 – Post Time 4:41 CDT

Win: 14 Next

Top 4 If Playing Exotics -14-3-6-11

Race 9 The Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf – Grade I – 1 3/8 Miles (TURF) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time: 5:25 CDT

Win: 3 Cinderella’s Dream

Top 4 If Playing Exotics 3-4-2-7

Race 10 Cygames Breeders’ Cup Sprint – Grade I – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time 6:05 CDT

Win: 9 Remake

Top 4 If Playing Exotics 9-4-3-8

Race 11 The Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By PDJF – Grade I – 1 Mile (Turf) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time: 6:45CDT

Win: 6 Notable Speech

Top 4 If Playing Exotics 6-1-4-8

Race 12 The Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile – Grade I – 1 Mile (Dirt) – Purse: $1,000,000 Post Time: 7:25 CDT

Win: 9 Domestic Product

Top 4 If Playing Exotics 9-10-5-12

Good Luck Today!!

Saturday Free Play Video:

MIAMI, FLORIDA - NOVEMBER 06: Tyler Herro #14 and Jimmy Butler #22 of the Miami Heat look on against the Utah Jazz during the fourth quarter at FTX Arena on November 06, 2021 in Miami, Florida.

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2024 Breeders’ Cup Preview & Picks

The Breeders’ Cup World Championships is one of the most prestigious events in horse racing, bringing together the world’s top thoroughbreds, trainers, and jockeys for two days of thrilling competition. Held annually at premier racetracks across North America, the Breeders’ Cup showcases elite talent across a range of distances, surfaces, and divisions.

In 2007, the Breeders’ Cup was expanded from one day to two. Now, the first day of the weekend is called Future Stars Friday, with many of racing’s most promising colts and fillies running on the dirt and the turf. The top finishers of these races usually shape the Road to the Kentucky Derby and may feature the following year’s contenders for the Run for the Roses.

Championship Saturday will give out more than $23 million in purse money over nine races, including the $7 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic, which is the centerpiece race of the weekend.

This year’s Breeders’ Cup World Championships will take place at Del Mar Thoroughbred Club in Del Mar, California. This is the second consecutive year that Del Mar will play host to this event marking the first time the event has been held in consecutive years at a single location since Santa Anita held the event in 2012, 2013, and 2014.

Race Schedule & Information:

Race #Post Time (ET)GradeDistanceRace NamePurseTV Information
11:05 PM1 1/16 MilesAllowance Optional Claiming$150,000FanDuel TV
21:40 PMGrade 31 MileBayakoa Stakes$200,000FanDuel TV
32:15 PMGrade 31 MileGoldikova Stakes$300,000USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
43:00 PMGrade 17 FurlongsBreeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint$1,000,000USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
53:41 PMGrade 15 FurlongsBreeders’ Cup Turf Sprint$1,000,000NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV
64:21 PMGrade 11 1/8 MilesBreeders’ Cup Distaff$2,000,000NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV
75:01 PMGrade 11 1/2 MilesBreeders’ Cup Turf$5,000,000NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV
85:41 PMGrade 11 1/4 MilesBreeders’ Cup Classic$7,000,000NBC, Peacock
96:25 PMGrade 11 3/8 MilesBreeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf$2,000,000USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
107:05 PMGrade 16 FurlongsBreeders’ Cup Sprint$2,000,000USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
117:45 PMGrade 11 MileBreeders’ Cup Mile$2,000,000USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
128:25 PMGrade 11 MileBreeders’ Cup Dirt Mile$1,000,000Peacock, FanDuel TV

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

Race Description:

The Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint is run around one turn at 7 furlongs for the fastest females, three years old and older, competing for a purse of $1 million. The Filly & Mare Sprint serves as North America’s richest race for female sprinters and often decides the champion in this division each year.

Race Information:

  • Race: 4
  • Post Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 7 Furlongs
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Fillies And Mares | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 4-6), Daily Double, Pick 5 (Races 4-8), Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Frost At Dawn3/F122Lanfranco DettoriWilliam Knight30-1
2One Magic Philly3/F122Antonio FresuPhilip D’Amato10-1
3Pleasant4/F124Juan J. HernandezBob Baffert12-1
4Vahva4/F124Irad Ortiz, Jr.Cherie DeVaux4-1
5Pandora’s Gift3/F122Umberto RispoliStuart C. Williams30-1
6Society5/M124Tyler GaffalioneSteven M. Asmussen3-1
7Zeitlos4/F124Jose L. OrtizSteven M. Asmussen6-1
8Soul of an Angel5/M124Drayden Van DykeSaffie A. Joseph, Jr.12-1
9Ways and Means3/F122Flavien PratChad C. Brown5-2
10Scylla4/F124Mike E. SmithWilliam I. Mott10-1

Picks:

WIN: (9) Ways and Means

EXACTA BOX: (9) Ways and Means, (10) Scylla, (4) Vahva

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

Race Description:

The Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint, for male and female horses three-years of age and older, combines both speed and agility for international competitors at 5 furlongs on the turf course.

Race Information:

  • Race: 5
  • Post Time: 3:41 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 5 Furlongs
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 5-7), Daily Double, Pick 4 (Races 5-8), All Turf Pick 4 (Races 5, 7, 9, 11), Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Believing4/F123William KnightGeorge Boughey12-1
2Motorious6/G126Antonio FresuPhilip D’Amato8-1
3Arzak6/H126Joel RosarioMichael J. Trombetta30-1
4Starlust3/C124Rossa RyanRalph Beckett30-1
5Ag Bullet4/F123Umberto RispoliRichard Baltas10-1
6Star of Mystery3/F121William BuickCharles Appleby10-1
7Howard Wolowitz3/C124Flavien PratJose Francisco D’Angelo30-1
8Big Invasion5/H126Lanfranco DettoriChristophe Clement20-1
9Cogburn5/H126Irad Ortiz, Jr.Steven M. Asmussen7-5
10Isivunguvungu6/G126Manuel FrancoH. Graham Motion20-1
11Big Evs3/C124Tom MarquandMichael Appleby12-1
12Bradsell4/C126Hollie DoyleArchie Watson7-2
13 (AE)Nothing Better7/G126Paco LopezJorge Duarte, Jr.30-1
14 (AE)Charcoal8/G126Axel ConcepcionTracey J. Wisner30-1
15 (AE)Frost at Dawn3/F121Billy LoughnaneWilliam Knight30-1

Picks:

WIN: (9) Cogburn

EXACTA: (9) Cogburn / (5) Ag Bullet, (11) Big Evs, (12) Bradsell

Breeders’ Cup Distaff

Race Description:

The Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff brings together the best female dirt horses for a championship showdown at 1 1/8 miles on the main track. The race is open to three-year old and older females, who compete for a purse of $2 million. 

Race Information:

  • Race: 6
  • Post Time: 4:21 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 1 1/8 Miles
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Fillies And Mares | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 6-8), Daily Double, Special Daily Double (Races 6 And 8), Pick 4 (Races 6-9), All Dirt Pick 4 (Races 6, 8, 10, 12), Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Candied3/F121Irad Ortiz, Jr.Todd A. Pletcher15-1
2Thorpedo Anna3/F121Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.Kenneth G. McPeek4-5
3Batucada4/F124Ricardo Santana, Jr.Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.20-1
4Alice Verite4/F124Kyle FreyKazuya Nakatake30-1
5Sugar Fish3/F121Tyler BazeJeff Mullins20-1
6Raging Sea4/F124Flavien PratChad C. Brown7-2
7Honor D Lady4/F124Tyler GaffalioneSaffie A. Joseph, Jr.30-1
8Miss New York4/F124Umberto RispoliJorge Delgado20-1
9Awesome Result4/F124Yutaka TakeYasutoshi Ikee4-1
10Che Evasora6/M124Tiago Josue PereiraPhilip D’Amato30-1

Picks:

WIN: (9) Awesome Result

Breeders’ Cup Turf

Race Description:

The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf is run at 1 ½ miles on the turf course, for male and female horses three-years-old and older. The longest race of the World Championships, the Turf annually attracts the top grass talent from Europe and North America to compete for a $5 million purse in a demanding test of both speed and strength. The Breeders’ Cup Turf is limited to 14 starters.

Race Information:

  • Race: 7
  • Post Time: 5:01 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 1 1/2 Miles
  • Purse: $5,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 7-9), Daily Double, Pick 4 (Races 7-10), Pick 6 (Races 7-12), Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Rousham Park5/H126Christophe LemaireHiroyasu Tanaka20-1
2Emily Upjohn5/M123Lanfranco DettoriJohn H. M. Gosden5-1
3Shahryar6/H126Cristian DemuroHideaki Fujiwara10-1
4Luxembourg5/H126Ryan L. MooreAidan P. O’Brien12-1
5Jayarebe3/C122Sean M. LeveyBrian Meehan4-1
6Far Bridge4/C126Joel RosarioChristophe Clement6-1
7Grand Sonata5/H126Tyler GaffalioneTodd A. Pletcher20-1
8Cabo Spirit5/G126Abel CedilloGeorge Papaprodromou30-1
9El Encinal4/C126Armando AyusoFrancisco Garcia30-1
10Wingspan3/F119Wayne LordanAidan P. O’Brien15-1
11Rebel’s Romance6/G126William BuickCharles Appleby5-2
12Gold Phoenix6/G126Kyle FreyPhilip D’Amato15-1
13There Goes Harvard6/H126John R. VelazquezMichael W. McCarthy30-1

Picks:

WIN: (3) Shahryar, (6) Far Bridge

Breeders’ Cup Classic

Race Description:

Every sport has a definitive year-ending event to crown its champions. In Thoroughbred racing, the Breeders’ Cup World Championships is the culmination of the horse racing season worldwide, and the $7 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic is the defining race of this international event. The Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic, run at 1 1/4 miles on the dirt track, draws the top international Thoroughbreds, including winners of the Triple Crown races, year after year. It is open to male and female horses three-years old and older, and is limited to 14 starters.

Race Information:

  • Race: 8
  • Post Time: 5:41 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 1 1/4 Miles
  • Purse: $7,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 8-10), Daily Double, Pick 5 (Races 8-12), Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Forever Young3/C122Ryusei SakaiYoshito Yahagi6-1
2Highland Falls4/C126Luis SaezBrad H. Cox20-1
3City of Troy3/C122Ryan L. MooreAidan P. O’Brien5-2
4Mixto4/C126Kyle FreyDoug F. O’Neill30-1
5Senor Buscador6/H126Joel RosarioTodd W. Fincher30-1
6Derma Sotogake4/C126Christophe LemaireHidetaka Otonashi20-1
7Ushba Tesoro7/H126Yuga KawadaNoboru Takagi12-1
8Pyrenees4/C126Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.Cherie DeVaux30-1
9Fierceness3/C122John R. VelazquezTodd A. Pletcher3-1
10Tapit Trice4/C126Irad Ortiz, Jr.Todd A. Pletcher30-1
11Sierra Leone3/C122Flavien PratChad C. Brown12-1
12Arthur’s Ride4/C126Junior AlvaradoWilliam I. Mott15-1
13Newgate4/C126Lanfranco DettoriBob Baffert20-1
14Next6/G126Luan MachadoWilliam I. Mott8-1
15 (AE)Rattle N Roll5/H126Jose L. OrtizKenneth G. McPeek30-1

Picks:

WIN: (3) City of Troy, (14) Next

EXACTA: (3) City of Troy, (14) Next / (1) Forever Young, (3) City of Troy, (9) Fierceness, (10) Tapit Trice, (11) Sierra Leone, (14) Next

Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf

Race Description:

The world’s best female grass horses compete in the Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. This race is contested around two turns on the turf course for a $2 million purse. 

Race Information:

  • Race: 9
  • Post Time: 6:25 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 1 3/8 Miles
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Fillies And Mares | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 9-11), Daily Double, Pick 4 (Races 9-12), Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Beautiful Love3/F120Oisin MurphyCharles Appleby20-1
2Full Count Felicia5/M124Irad Ortiz, Jr.Kevin Attard12-1
3Cinderella’s Dream3/F120William BuickCharles Appleby4-1
4War Like Goddess7/M124Junior AlvaradoWilliam I. Mott5-2
5Didia6/M124Jose L. OrtizIgnacio Correas IV12-1
6Ylang Ylang3/F120Ryan L. MooreAidan P. O’Brien10-1
7Content3/F120Lanfranco DettoriAidan P. O’Brien6-1
8Hang the Moon4/F124Kazushi KimuraPhilip D’Amato10-1
9Anisette4/F124Umberto RispoliLeonard Powell15-1
10Moira5/M124Flavien PratKevin Attard8-1
11Beach Bomb4/F124Antonio FresuH. Graham Motion20-1
12Soprano3/F120Billy LoughnaneGeorge Boughey20-1
13Sunset Glory4/F124Manuel FrancoMichael W. McCarthy30-1

Picks:

WIN: (7) Content, (10) Moira

EXACTA: (7) Content, (10) Moira / (1), Beautiful Love, (4) War Like Goddess, (7) Content, (10) Moira

Breeders’ Cup Sprint

Race Description:

The world’s fastest Thoroughbreds compete in the $2 million Breeders’ Cup Sprint, sometimes achieving incredible speeds of nearly 40 MPH in the stretch. This race is contested at 3/4 of a mile for male and female horses, three years old and older.

Race Information:

  • Race: 10
  • Post Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 6 Furlongs
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 10-12), Daily Double, Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Raging Torrent3/C124Antonio FresuDoug F. O’Neill10-1
2Gun Pilot4/C126Cristian A. TorresSteven M. Asmussen20-1
3Federal Judge4/G126Irad Ortiz, Jr.Brad H. Cox3-1
4Nakatomi5/G126Tyler GaffalioneWesley A. Ward6-1
5Don Frankie5/H126Cristian DemuroTakashi Saito15-1
6Bentornato3/R124Luis SaezJose Francisco D’Angelo30-1
7Meta Max4/C126Akira SugawaraHideyuki Mori20-1
8Straight No Chaser5/H126John R. VelazquezDan Blacker5-1
9Remake5/H126Yuga KawadaKoichi Shintani8-1
10Mullikin4/C126Flavien PratRodolphe Brisset7-2
11Skelly5/G126Ricardo Santana, Jr.Steven M. Asmussen8-1

Picks:

WIN: (4) Nakatomi

EXACTA BOX: (2) Gun Pilot, (4) Nakatomi, (9) Remake, (10) Mullikin

Breeders’ Cup Mile

Race Description:

The world’s top grass milers compete in the FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile presented by Permanently Disabled Jockeys Fund (PDJF), contested around two turns on the turf course for a purse of $2 million. Open to male and female horses three-years old and older.

Race Information:

  • Race: 11
  • Post Time: 7:45 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $2,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Daily Double, Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Ramatuelle3/F120Aurelien LemaitreChristopher Head5-1
2Chili Flag5/M123Irad Ortiz, Jr.Chad C. Brown20-1
3Geoglyph5/H126Takeshi YokoyamaTetsuya Kimura20-1
4Diego Velazquez3/C123Ryan L. MooreAidan P. O’Brien8-1
5Goliad7/G126Flavien PratRichard E. Mandella20-1
6Notable Speech3/C123William BuickCharles Appleby7-2
7Porta Fortuna3/F120Tom MarquandDonnacha O’Brien4-1
8More Than Looks4/C126Jose L. OrtizCherie DeVaux20-1
9Johannes4/C126Umberto RispoliTim Yakteen9-2
10Win for the Money5/G126Patrick HusbandsMark E. Casse30-1
11Ten Happy Rose6/M123Akihide TsumuraDaisuke Takayanagi30-1
12Carl Spackler4/C126Tyler GaffalioneChad C. Brown6-1

Picks:

WIN: (6) Notable Speech

EXACTA BOX: (6) Notable Speech, (7) Porta Fortuna, (12) Carl Spackler

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

Race Description:

The Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is a race for males and females three-year-old and older that is contested around two turns on the main track for a purse of $1 million. 

Race Information:

  • Race: 12
  • Post Time: 8:25 PM ET
  • Event Grade: Grade 1
  • Length: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Super High 5

Field:

Post PositionHorseA/SWeightJockey TrainerMorning Line (ML) Odds
1Saudi Crown4/C126Florent GerouxBrad H. Cox5-1
2T O Saint Denis5/H126Ryusei SakaiDaisuke Takayanagi30-1
3Full Serrano 5/H126Joel RosarioJohn W. Sadler15-1
4Katonah5/G126Lanfranco DettoriDoug F. O’Neill30-1
5Three Technique7/H126Rafael BejaranoJason G. Cook30-1
6Seize the Grey3/C123Jaime A. TorresD. Wayne Lukas10-1
7Tumbarumba4/G126Luis SaezBrian A. Lynch30-1
8Post Time4/C126Sheldon RussellBrittany T. Russell12-1
9Domestic Product3/C123Flavien PratChad C. Brown7-2
10Muth3/C123Juan J. HernandezBob Baffert9-2
11Cagliostro4/C126Jose L. OrtizCherie DeVaux30-1
12Mufasa5/H126Tyler GaffalioneIgnacio Correas IV12-1
13Pipeline6/H126John R. VelazquezCherie DeVaux30-1
14Skippylongstocking5/H126Irad Ortiz, Jr.Saffie A. Joseph, Jr.4-1

Picks:

WIN: (8) Post Time, (9) Domestic Product

EXACTA: (8) Post Time, (9) Domestic Product / (2) T O Saint Denis, (4) Katonah, (8) Post Time, (9) Domestic Product, (11) Cagliostro

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

College Football Week 10 Saturday Super Plays – Ole Miss vs Arkansas – Sports Betting

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Ole Miss vs Arkansas +7.5 O/U 54

This is an underrated game this week in SEC land.  Both teams are trying to keep their conference and playoff hopes alive.  Ole Miss is a very good team and the numbers show it.  They rank 5th in offensive EPA and 3rd in defensive EPA.  A Massive net 3.47 yards per play is number 1 in the nation.  It’s a wonder how they have two losses.  Arkansas on the other hand might also be better than their record with three losses as they are a positive +1.37 yards per play ranking 24th in offensive EPA and 27th on defense.  Looking at pure metrics, one would think that Ole Miss would be the right side in this game, but there is a glaring reason why the number isn’t double digits.  The Rebels have had one of the easiest schedule’s in the SEC playing a cake non-conference with only one ranked opponent thus far after nine weeks in college football.  Whenever they weren’t playing a tomato can, they struggled losing at LSU by three points, and home against Kentucky also losing by three.  Arkansas has played three ranked teams with one big win against Tennessee.  Ya know, the team that beat Alabama.  Bobby Petrino is doing a very solid job with the Hogs, as they crushed Mississippi State last week by over 30 points, while Ole Miss only out-gained Oklahoma by 51 yards.  Over the last 10 games between these two teams, Arkansas is 9-1 against the spread.   This team knows how to play the Lane train.  Take the hogs.  Woo pig sooie!

Arkansas +7.5 – 2.5 stars

Northwestern vs Purdue -1.5 O/U 47

Ok, this game is gross, but I think that there may be some value here.   What do you do when two bad teams play each other?   You take the points.  As bad as Purdue has been, we have to at least acknowledge that they had a pretty good effort at Illinois scoring 49 points a few weeks back.   The Boilers have played two top 10 teams this year in Notre Dame and Oregon.  Northwestern has only one top 15 game against Indiana where they were bounced 41-24.  Looking at net yards per play, these teams are very close with the Wildcats at -.63 and the Boilers at -.71.  Purdue ranks 100th in offensive EPA while Northwestern ranks 131st.  Another issue is that Northwestern has been without their starting kicker over the past month or so.  The backup is just ok making four out of seven.  Purdue is coming off their bye week, and I believe they had a lot of time to get some things fixed.  Ryan Brown will probably be the quarterback.  He certainly isn’t a downgrade from Hudson Card.  Purdue will show up this game.  Take the Boilers to win.

Purdue +1.5 – 1.5 stars

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