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College Football Week 14 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • Oklahoma at LSU after beating Alabama is one for sure.
  • ASU at Arizona even though it’s a rivalry is dangerous.
  • Nebraska at Iowa after finally beating Wisconsin is one.
  • Kansas at Baylor after beating Colorado.

Get Up Spots:

  • Alabama hosting Auburn is much needed.
  • Ole miss at Mississippi State on Thanksgiving is massive.
  • Indiana better pound Purdue to shut up the SEC propaganda.
  • SMU needs to stay in the conversation against Cal.
  • Tulane wants to pound Memphis to maybe sneak in the playoffs.
  • USC could ruin Notre Dame if they play big.
  • BYU better pound Houston after the ASU loss.
  • Navy better wake up at East Carolina.
  • Fiber win teams trying to make a bowl:
    • North Texas Virginia Virginia Tech NC State Kansas Cincinnati Wisconsin Michigan State Western Michigan Eastern Michigan New Mexico Oregon State Auburn App State Coastal Carolina UL Monroe

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Boise State could look past Oregon State to their championship game.
  • Georgia may not take Georgia Tech seriously while looking ahead to their possible championship game.
  • Miami might look past Syracuse to their championship game.

Revenge Spots:

  • Oregon hosting Washington after losing to them last year and getting their championship hopes demolished.
  • Ohio State hosting Michigan is big for them.
  • USC will want to ruin Notre Dame after losing to them bad last year.
  • Florida won’t be done winning at Florida State.
  • ASU wants revenge against Arizona.  Count on that one.

Long Rest:

  • Akron with an extra day hosting Toledo is one.
  • Kent State with an extra day of rest at Buffalo.  Won’t matter.
  • Western Michigan with an extra day hosting Eastern Michigan.
  • Miami Ohio with an extra 4 days at Bowling Green is there.
  • Ohio with an extra day hosting Ball State is there.
  • Georgia Tech with an extra day to prepare at Georgia.
  • NC State with an extra two days rest at North Carolina.
  • Temple with an extra day of rest hosting North Texas.
  • UTSA with an extra day of rest at Army.
  • Purdue with an extra day of rest at Indiana.
  • Michigan State with an extra day of rest hosting Rutgers.
  • UNLV with an extra day of rest hosting Nevada.
  • San Jose State with an extra day of rest hosting Stanford.
  • Navy off the bye week at East Carolina.   ECU only six days of rest.

NFL Week 12 Misleading Final Scores

The Steelers out-gained the Browns 368-304 yet lost 24-19.   They won the turnover battle 3-1, but poor fourth down efficiency at 1/4 and bad red zone killed the Steelers.

The Commanders out-gained the Cowboys 412 to 332 yet lost 34-26.   A 3-1 turnover ratio and poor special teams crushed the commies.

The Raiders out-gained the Broncos 369 to 325 yet lost 29-19.   A 2-0 turnover ratio and poor quarterback play killed the Raiders.

The Cardinals out-gained the Seahawks 298 to 285 yet lost 16-6.  Poor special teams and a bad pick 6 got the Cardinals.

Wednesday Free Play Video:

Houston Rockets guards Kevin Porter Jr., left, and Jalen Green watch a free throw during the first half of an NBA basketball game against the Phoenix Suns, Sunday, Nov. 14, 2021, in Houston. (AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)

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College Football Week 13 Misleading Final Scores

Eastern Michigan out-gained Buffalo 445 to 396 yet lost 37-20.  A 3-0 turnover ratio and 9 penalties did in the Eagles.

Purdue out-gained Michigan State 338 to 293 yet lost 24-17.  A 2-0 turnover radio did them in with  -4 rushing yards did in the Boilers.

Ole Miss out-gained Florida 464 to 344 yet lost 24-17.   A 3-1 turnover ratio and bad quarterback play ended the Rebels.

UAB only out-gained Rice 364 to 337 yet won 40-14.   A 4-1 turnover radio frightened the Owls.

James Madison out-gained App State 400-361 yet lost 34-20.   A 2-0 turnover ratio, 9 penalties when App State had 0 got the Dukes.

Middle Tennessee State out-gained New Mexico State 447 to 237 yet lost 36-21.   A 2-0 turnover ratio and poor red zone efficiency got the Blue Raiders.

FAU out-gained Charlotte 458 to 442 yet lost 39-27.  Equal turnovers but bad special teams and red zone killed these Owls.

UCF out-gained West Virginia 348 to 318 yet lost 31-21.   A 1-0 turnover ratio and 8 penalties got the Knights.

UCLA out-gained USC 376 to 346 yet lost 19-13.  Equal turnovers at three but poor officiating and bad 3rd and 4th down efficiency got the Bruins.  Only 2 flags on USC.

Fantasy Football Week 13

Bye Weeks:  None, but there are six next week so prepare to pick up some dudes.

Key Injuries:

RB David Montgomery left the game with a shoulder injury.

TE Jatavion Sanders from Carolina had a head injury.

WR Romeo Doubs was concussed and will miss Thanksgiving.

WR Josh Downs had a shoulder injury.

WR Ashton Dulin had an ankle injury as well for the Colts.

QB Gardner Minshew broke his collarbone and is out for the season.

RB Brian Robinson had an ankle sprain but came back in.

RB Austin Ekeler had a concussion and will probably miss at least a week.

RB JK Dobbins is injured with a knee.

Waiver wire:

RB Craig Reynolds for the Montgomery injury.

RB Gus Edwards for the JK Dobbins injury is big.

WR Christian Watson for the Doubs injury if he stops dropping easy passes.

WR Alec Pierce if the other two Colts WRs can’t go.

QB Aiden O’Connell for the Minshew injury.

RB Jeremy McNichols after the Robinson and Eckler injuries.

TE Noah Gray is doing better than Kelcey.

WR Keenan Allen had 15 targets for the Bears.  Wow.

WR David Moore had 10 targets for the Panthers.

TE Cade Stover is becoming fantasy relevant.

Sleepers:

WR Alec Pierce could be big against New England if the other wide receivers are injured.

RB Jeremy McNichols is solid against the Titans with the other two banged up.

TE Noah Gray against the Raiders is nice.

QB Cooper Rush against the sad Giants team.

QB Bryce Young is heating up and could do well against the Bucs.

QB CJ Stroud against the Jaguars has an opportunity for a slump buster.

WR Kendrick Bourne against the Colts is nice.

RB Chubba Hubbard against Tampa Bay should be good.

WR Jackson Smith N’jigba vs the Jets is nice.

Busts:

RB James Conner against the Vikings is rough.

RBs for the Raiders against the Chiefs is bad.

RB Nick Chubb against the Broncos is scary.

RB Chase Brown against the Steelers is danger.

QB Jayden Daniels against the Titans is not guaranteed.

WR DK Metcalf against the Jets is worrisome.

WR Zay Flowers against the Eagles is bad.

QB Jordan Love against the Dolphins is rough.

QB Tua Tagovailoa vs the Packers is cold like the weather.

Nasty Sleeper:   

RB Ricky Dowdle against the Giants should be amazing

Tuesday Free Play Video:

LAKE BUENA VISTA, FLORIDA - AUGUST 10: Jimmy Butler #22 of the Miami Heat looks on during the first half against the Indiana Pacers at Visa Athletic Center at ESPN Wide World Of Sports Complex on August 10, 2020 in Lake Buena Vista, Florida. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Kim Klement - Pool/Getty Images)

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Podcast 653 – 98 – 24 – College Football & NFL Recap – Fantasy Football Week 13 – Sports Betting

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis!   First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week.   Who could let down?  Who has a short week?   After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend.   Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football.  We talk key injuries, waiver wire, sleepers and busts!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.   Have a wonderful week!

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NFL Week 12 Video Prop Play – 17-7 – Sports Betting – Ravens vs Chargers

NFL Week 12 Sunday Fun-Day Plays – Sports Betting – Titans vs Texans

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Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!

2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Titans vs Texans -8 O/U 40.5

Sometimes as a sports bettor, you just have to hold your nose.   The Titans are the worst ATS team in the NFL at 1-9 against the closing number.  They have burned our money at times when they should have won some of their games out-right.  In saying that, we are betting on them again.   I think that this team isn’t quite as bad as some folks think, while the Texans are not quite as good as all of the hype.  On offense, the Titans are a brutal 28th in EPA, but they are finally more healthy as QB Will Levis and RB Tony Pollard both have missed time.   The Texans are not exactly crushing it themselves ranking a below average 19th in EPA.   On defense believe it or not, the Titans are number one in opponent passing yards per game allowing only 164.   They also rank 6th in rushing yards per attempt allowing 4.1 while the Texans rank 20th in that category allowing 4.5.   As long as the Titans do not turn the ball over, this spread can certainly be covered.   The low total of 40.5 tells you the dog is in play.   Hold your nose and take the Titans.

Titans +8 – 2 stars

Teaser:   Dolphins to -1 with the Raiders to +11.5 – 2.5 stars – The Raiders should keep it closer at home while Miami should win the game.   

Sunday Free Play Video:

Dec 26, 2019; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Eastern Michigan Eagles defensive back Brody Hoying (24) celebrates with teammates after getting a fumble recovery during the first quarter against the Pittsburgh Panthers at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

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Cardinals/Seahawks
Eagles/Rams

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