We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Tonight’s NHL slate is loaded with action, with eight games scheduled across the league. The Jets (8-0-0) will face off against the Maple Leafs and aim to become the fifth team in NHL history to start a season with at least nine consecutive wins. Meanwhile, San Jose (0-7-2) takes on the Utah Hockey Club as the league’s only winless team.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!
Matchups:
Florida Panthers @ Buffalo Sabres
Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
TV Information: SCRIPPS, MSG-B, ESPN+
Records & Stats:
Team
Record
Standings
Home
Away
ATS
O/U
Florida Panthers
6-3-1
1st Atlantic
2-1-1
4-2-0
4-6
7-3-0
Buffalo Sabres
4-4-1
3rd Atlantic
3-2-0
1-2-1
5-4
4-3-2
Odds:
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Florida Panthers
-142
-155
-1.5 (+164)
o6.0 (-118)
Buffalo Sabres
+120
+130
+1.5 (-198)
u6.0 (-102)
Odds via DraftKings
Preview:
After a slow start, going 1-2 in their first three games, the Panthers have found their stride, posting a solid 5-2 record over their last seven games. They’re currently on the third game of a four-game road trip, having won both previous matchups, defeating the Islanders 6-3 and the Rangers 3-1.
Sam Reinhart has been in top form, building on last season’s career-high 94 points with 12 points (5 goals, 7 assists) through his first eight games. Anton Lundell has also been productive, tallying 10 points (5 goals, 5 assists) over his first seven games.
Aleksander Barkov is set to return to the lineup tonight after missing the last eight games due to a lower-body injury. The injury occurred on October 10, when he crashed into the boards while trying to protect an empty net against the Ottawa Senators.
The Sabres, who started with three straight losses, have rebounded with a three-game winning streak and have earned points in four of their last five games.
Tage Thompson has been on fire, recording 10 points (6 goals, 4 assists) in his last six games, while Owen Power has added offensive support with 6 points (1 goal, 5 assists) in his last four.
These teams met earlier this season on October 12th, with Buffalo taking a 5-2 win over Florida.
Starting Goaltenders:
Team
Goalie
Games Played
Goals Saved Above Expected (Rank)
Save Percentage (Rank)
Goals Against Average (Rank)
Status
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky
7
-2.1 (54th)
.866 (40th)
3.11 (37th)
CONFIRMED
BUF
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
6
-1.1 (42nd)
.899 (28th)
3.01 (30th)
CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com
Team Stats & Trends:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida’s last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games.
Player Stats & Trends:
Team
Player
Prop
Odds
Trend
BUF
Alex Tuch
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
-115
– Hit in 6/7 overall – Hit in 7/8 vs FLA – Hit in 4/4 at Home
BUF
Owen Power
Over 0.5 Points
+175
– Hit in 4/4 Overall – Hit in 3/5 vs FLA – Hit in 3/5 at Home
FLA
Sam Bennett
Over 0.5 Points
-115
– Hit in 8/10 Overall – Hit in 3/5 vs BUF – Hit in 4/5 on the Road
FLA
Anton Lundell
Over 0.5 Points
-115
– Hit in 7/10 Overall – Hit in 5/8 vs BUF – Hit in 4/4 on the Road
BUF
Tage Thompson
Anytime Goal Scorer
+155
– Hit in 5/6 Overall – Hit in 2/3 vs FLA – Hit in 3/3 at Home
FLA
Evan Rodrigues
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
-166
– Hit in 3/5 Overall – Hit in 5/5 vs BUF
Trends via Linemate.io
Best Bets:
Alex Tuch over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-115) – DraftKings
Nashville Predators @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Puck Drop: 7:30 PM ET
TV Information: HULU, ESPN+, TVAS
Records & Stats:
Team
Record
Standings
Home
Away
ATS
O/U
Nashville Predators
3-5-0
7th Central
2-4-0
1-1-0
2-6
4-4-0
Tampa Bay Lightning
5-3-0
2nd Atlantic
3-1-0
2-2-0
4-4
4-3-1
Odds:
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Nashville Predators
+110
+114
+1.5 (-218)
o6.5 (+100)
Tampa Bay Lightning
-130
-135
-1.5 (+180)
u6.5 (-120)
Odds via DraftKings
Preview:
Despite several offseason additions, Nashville had a rough start, losing their first five games. However, they’ve bounced back with three straight wins. Leading these new faces is Steven Stamkos, who will return to Tampa for the first time since signing with Nashville as an unrestricted free agent on July 1. Drafted by the Lightning with the No. 1 pick in 2008, Stamkos spent 16 seasons with Tampa Bay, winning the Stanley Cup in 2020 and 2021 and serving as captain from 2014 to 2024. He leaves as the franchise leader in goals (555), points (1,137), and games played (1,082).
Filip Forsberg and Ryan O’Reilly have each been key contributors, averaging a point per game over their last six for the Predators.
The Lightning had a strong start, winning their first three games, but have struggled to maintain momentum, unable to secure back-to-back wins since, bringing their record to 5-3.
Last season’s Art Ross winner, Nikita Kucherov, has kept his form with 14 points (8 goals, 6 assists) through eight games. Meanwhile, Brandon Hagel and Anthony Cirelli have been productive in the past three games, each averaging two points per game.
Starting Goaltenders:
Team
Goalie
Games Played
Goals Saved Above Expected (Rank)
Save Percentage (Rank)
Goals Against Average (Rank)
Status
NSH
Juuse Saros
6
+0.4 (27th)
.908 (22nd)
2.74 (21st)
EXPECTED
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy
7
+2.0 (17th)
.896 (32nd)
2.64 (18th)
CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com
Team Stats & Trends:
Nashville are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville’s last 5 games on the road.
Tampa Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Player Stats & Trends:
Team
Player
Prop
Odds
Trend
TBL
Brandon Hagel
Over 0.5 Points
-135
– Hit in 6/8 Overall – Hit in 3/4 vs NSH – Hit in 5/5 at Home
TBL
Nick Paul
Over 0.5 Points
+120
– Hit in 5/5 Overall – Hit in 2/4 vs NSH – Hit in 3/4 at Home
TBL
Victor Hedman
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
-110
– Hit in 5/6 Overall – Hit in 3/4 vs NSH – Hit in 2/4 at Home
NSH
Jonathan Marchessault
Over 0.5 Points
-125
– Hit in 3/5 Overall – Hit in 4/4 vs TBL
NSH
Gustav Nyquist
Over 0.5 Points
-105
– Hit in 3/4 Overall – Hit in 3/5 vs TBL
Trends via Linemate.io
Best Bets:
Steven Stamkos over 0.5 Points (-145) – DraftKings
Victor Hedman over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings
Carolina Hurricanes @ Vancouver Canucks
Puck Drop: 10:00 PM ET
TV Information: SNP, FDSNSO, ESPN+
Records & Stats:
Team
Record
Standings
Home
Away
ATS
O/U
Carolina Hurricanes
5-2-0
3rd Metropolitan
1-1-0
4-1-0
5-2
1-5-1
Vancouver Canucks
4-1-2
4th Pacific
1-0-2
3-1-0
3-4
3-4-0
Odds:
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Carolina Hurricanes
-110
-135
-1.5 (+190)
o6.0 (-105)
Vancouver Canucks
-110
+114
+1.5 (-230)
u6.0 (-115)
Odds via DraftKings
Preview:
The Hurricanes have come out strong this season with a 5-2 record, entering tonight’s matchup on a three-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 11-5 during this stretch.
Sebastian Aho has been leading the offense, putting up 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists) over his last six games. Shayne Gostisbehere, Seth Jarvis, Martin Necas, and Andrei Svechnikov have also been productive, each averaging a point per game in that span.
After dropping their first three games, the Canucks have turned things around with a four-game winning streak. Kiefer Sherwood, J.T. Miller, Brock Boeser, and Teddy Blueger have all been hot, each averaging a point per game over the last four.
Starting Goaltenders:
Team
Goalie
Games Played
Goals Saved Above Expected (Rank)
Save Percentage (Rank)
Goals Against Average (Rank)
Status
CAR
Pytor Kochetkov
3
+0.8 (23rd)
.896 (33rd)
2.70 (19th)
UNCONFIRMED
VAN
Kevin Lankinen
5
+2.2 (16th)
.930 (11th)
1.95 (7th)
UNCONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com
Team Stats & Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina’s last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver’s last 6 games.
Player Stats & Trends:
Team
Player
Prop
Odds
Trend
VAN
Conor Garland
Over 0.5 Points
-110
– Hit in 6/7 Overall – Hit in 3/3 at Home
VAN
Brock Boeser
Over 0.5 Points
-140
– Hit in 5/5 Overall – Hit in 3/3 vs CAR – Hit in 2/3 at Home
VAN
Elias Pettersson
Over 0.5 Points
-140
– Hit in 3/3 Overall – Hit in 3/4 vs CAR – Hit in 2/3 at Home
CAR
Andrei Svechnikov
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal
+124
– Hit in 3/4 Overall – Hit in 1/2 vs CAR – Hit in 4/5 on the Road
CAR
Shayne Gostisbehere
Over 0.5 Points
+124
– Hit in 5/7 Overall – Hit in 4/5 on the Road
VAN
J.T. Miller
Anytime Goal Scorer
+185
– Hit in 3/4 Overall – Hit in 4/4 vs CAR – Hit in 3/5 at Home
Trends via Linemate.io
Best Bets:
Vancouver Canucks (+115) – BetMGM[ONLY IF PYOTR KOCHETKOV (CAR) & KEVIN LANKINEN (VAN) START]
Calgary Flames @ Vegas Golden Knights
Puck Drop: 10:00 PM ET
TV Information: SCRIPPS, SNW, TVAS, ESPN+
Records & Stats:
Team
Record
Standings
Home
Away
ATS
O/U
Calgary Flames
5-2-1
3rd Pacific
3-2-0
2-0-1
5-3
4-4-0
Vegas Golden Knights
6-2-1
1st Pacific
6-0-0
0-2-1
7-2
8-1-0
Odds:
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Calgary Flames
+160
+140
+1.5 (-175)
o6.5 (-105)
Vegas Golden Knights
-192
-166
-1.5 (+145)
u6.5 (-115)
Odds via DraftKings
Preview:
The Flames kicked off the season strong, winning five of their first six games, but have hit a slump, dropping their last two. Their power play has struggled, going 0-for-10 in the past three games. Despite the setbacks, Rasmus Andersson has been on fire, tallying 8 points (3 goals, 5 assists) over his last six games.
The Golden Knights have had a streaky start: after winning their first three games, they lost the next three but bounced back with three straight wins. Their offense has been explosive, scoring at least six goals in each of their last three games. Mark Stone leads the NHL with 17 points (four goals, 13 assists) in nine games. Jack Eichel isn’t too far behind with 15 points (3 goals, 12 assists).
Starting Goaltenders:
Team
Goalie
Games Played
Goals Saved Above Expected (Rank)
Save Percentage (Rank)
Goals Against Average (Rank)
Status
CGY
Dan Vladar
4
+2.0 (18th)
.904 (24th)
2.73 (20th)
UNCONFIRMED
VGK
Adin Hill
5
-2.6 (59th)
.864 (55th)
3.85 (53rd)
UNCONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com
Team Stats & Trends:
Calgary are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Vegas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas’ last 5 games against Calgary.
Player Stats & Trends:
Team
Player
Prop
Odds
Trend
VGK
Ivan Barbashev
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
-135
– Hit in 7/9 Overall – Hit in 4/4 vs CGY – Hit in 6/6 at Home
VGK
Mark Stone
Over 0.5 Assists
-125
– Hit in 8/9 Overall – Hit in 3/4 vs CGY – Hit in 6/6 at Home
CGY
Mikael Backlund
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
+114
– Hit in 7/7 vs VGK
CGY
Rasmus Andersson
Over 0.5 Points
+110
– Hit in 6/8 Overall – Hit in 2/3 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io
Best Bets:
Ivan Barbashev over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
Additional Bets:
Chicago Blackhawks/ Colorado Avalanche over 6.5 (-105) – BetMGM [ONLY IF ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV STARTS]
Jeff Skinner over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
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Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
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This should be a fun game in Tampa where the Buccaneers are going to try and avenge their loss to the Falcons. This would be great for them, but the biggest issue with that is injuries. Last Week, Tampa lost their two best wide recievers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to injury. To add to that, RB Bucky Irving is banged up along with some of their defense. Speaking of defense, that has been a big problem for the swash bucklers as the Bucs only rank 22nd in defensive EPA and 28th against the pass. To make matters worse, Tampa Bay has a short week as they lost to the Ravens on Monday night football giving them less time to prepare for their division rival. The Falcons rank 23rd in defensive EPA, but they have gotten heathier in their linebacker positions. They are coming off of a bad loss themselves, and will need a big win today on the road. I have seen Baker Mayfield play the game with nobody to throw the ball to before, and it isn’t pretty. Take the Falcons under the three.
Falcons -2.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: Chargers to -1 with the Eagles to +8.5 – 2.5 stars
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Notre Dame vs Navy +13.5 O/U 50.5
This should be a fun game with two very good teams playing it out on a neutral field at MetLife Stadium in Jersey. No way is Notre Dame only a 13 point favorite here right? Notre Dame smoked this team last year by 39 points right? Hmmm. I am not so sure. Let’s break it down. First, of all, we are starting to see why Brian Newberry is now the head coach of this team. This looks well deserved as Navy is undefeated at 6-0 at 5-1 ATS with a +14.4 ATS margin! Notre Dame has done well this season at 6-1 and 4-2-1 ATS. One might say that Navy hasn’t played anyone, but it’s not like Notre Dame’s schedule was all that since their big win at Texas A&M and their gross loss to Northern Illinois. When the Huskies beat the Irish, it was done on the ground, and that is their weakness this year ranking 73rd in defensive rushing success rate. The Midshipmen rank 8th on offense in rushing success rate and 5th in EPA. Notre Dame was able to stop the triple option last year, but this year Navy’s offense is a little different. Notre Dame was able to stop the triple option last year, but this year Navy’s offense is a little different. OC Drew Cronic moved to some T-wing concepts that will confuse Notre Dame from what they have seen last year. Navy has also mixed in some passing concepts that has landed quarterback Blake Horvath with 10 TDs and only 1 interception. I think Navy covers this. They are the best team in the AAC.
Navy +13.5 – 2 stars
Penn State vs Wisconsin +6.5 O/U 47.5
What have you done for me lately is the theme to this handicap. Penn State is coming off of the bye nice, crisp and undefeated. I am not a huge fan of going into the bye without a blemish on the record. Wisconsin started the year pretty bad with close wins vs inferior opponents and bad losses against Alabama and USC, but I will say that it took some time for Brayden Locke to get his feet wet when the Badgers lost their quarterback early against Bama in Tyler Van Dyke, and since the USC choke, Wisconsin has been quite solid. The Badgers had won each of the next three games vs Big 10 opponents by 20 points or more. Two of those games were away. It looks like coach Luke Fickell finally got these guys playing some good football. Penn State on the other hand struggled at home vs Illinois, which is understandable, but they then only beat a bad UCLA team at home by 16 points, and they should have lost to USC on the road. As bad as Wisconsin has been, they do have a nice .8 net yards per play for the season. Wisconsin ranks 30th in offensive success rate and 27th on defense. Penn State ranks 4th in both offensive success rate and defensive success rate, but they haven’t played anyone of note minus USC. I like how the Badgers are playing this year, and I think that they move the ball in a wild night game atmosphere enough to cover the spread at home. Looking at conference only stats, Wisconsin is number 2 in yards per play and number 2 in opponent yards per play. Penn State is 5th in both categories. If you look at how Wisconsin and Penn State have been playing of late, you might think the Badgers could win outright. Take Wisconsin.
