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College Football Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – Boise State vs UNLV


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Boise State vs UNLV +3.5 O/U 63.5

This game is going to be awesome.   Boise State has proven to be a serious contender for the college football playoffs.   UNLV on the other hand has also proven to be smoking hot, and I think hat we have a good game coming up.  The Broncos have the Heisman favorite in Ashton Jeanty and a hell of a rushing attack that is number 1 in rush EPA.  It’s not like UNLV isn’t good either as they rank number 19 in offensive EPA, but I think that both defenses are leave less to be desired.   UNLV allowed 44 points vs Syracuse, 34 vs Utah State and 25 against a bad Oregon State team.  Boise State allowed 45 to Georgia Southern and 30 to UTAH State.   I will say that as of late, their defense has improved some, but it is really hard to tell as they played some inferior opponents.  I think we see a lot of points today and here is why.  Boise State is number 4 in explosive plays and UNLV is number 84 in stopping them.  Neither Defense ranks in the top 60 in EPA.   Both offenses are top 20 in EPA.   Many think that they both will be running the ball a lot, but I expect Boise to be winning which will cause Hajj Malik Williams to have to throw.   This will be a fun one and my numbers say over now that it is this low.

Over 63.5 – 2 stars

NFL Week 8 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Thursday 10/24

Sharp Money On:

  • Jets -6 to -7 at the Patriots – 73% tickets and 85% of the money.
  • Falcons -2 to -2.5 at the Buccaneers – 56% tickets and 70% of the money.
  • Lions -9 to -11.5 hosting the Titans – 90% tickets and 93% of the money.
  • Eagles +3 to +2.5 at the Bengals – 70% tickets and 86% of the money.
  • Broncos -7 to -10 hosting the Panthers – 71% tickets and 84% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Packers vs Jaguars over 46 to 49.5 – 71% tickets and 77% of the money.
  • Colts vs Texans under 48 to 45.5 – 88% tickets and 94% of the money.

College Football Week 8 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Wednesday October 23rd

Sharp Money On:

  • Boise State -2.5 to -3 at UNLV – 87% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • Illinois +22.5 to +21 at Oregon – 66% tickets and 87% of the money.
  • UTSA -6 to -8.5 at Tulsa – 59% tickets and 91% of the money.
  • Baylor -4.5 to -7 hosting Oklahoma State – 32% tickets and 51% of the money.
  • Utah State +3.5 to -1.5 at Wyoming – 97% tickets and 97% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Syracuse vs Pittsburgh over 58 to 62.5 – 33% tickets and 69% of the money.
  • Louisville vs Boston College over 51.5 to 53.5 – 51% tickets and 82% of the money.
  • Nebraska vs Ohio State over 46.5 to 48.5 – 77% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • Notre Dame vs Navy over 49 to 51.5 – 76% tickets and 87% of the money.
  • Northwestern vs Iowa over 36.5 to 37.5 – 97% tickets and 97% of the money.

Friday Free Play Video:

CINCINNATI, OHIO - SEPTEMBER 19: Gavin Lux #9 of the Los Angeles Dodgers runs the bases during a game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on September 19, 2021 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)

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4 Free Selections:
MLB: NYY/LAD
NCAAF: BSU/UUNLV
NHL: Pit/Edm
NBA: Phx/LAL

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Podcast 639 – 84 – 24 – With Andy Molitor – NFL Week 8 – UFC 308 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!  Andy Molitor @AndyMSFW from @Betsperts and @DeepDivePod comes back on to break down some HUGE NFL games this week.  No byes!   First, Kiev talks about some NFL ATS and O/U updated trends.   Next, Andy comes on and the guys start talking about who the real super bowl contenders are fort this season.  Then, Andy and Kiev talk about some buy low, sell high NFL teams with respect to the market.   After that, the guys get into NFL Week 8 with some Free Plays!   Next, Andy and Kiev give out some Beer Bet Bangers that could cash for some big plus money.  Then, Kiev gives out his REFUSE TO LOSE TEASER that is 4-3 for the season.  Next, Kiev talks some UFC 308 with a few plays!  Finally, we get into some NFL sharp money movement AND recap our plays!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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Thursday Night Video Prop Play – 12-3 – Sports Betting

NHL Preview & Picks – October 24th, 2024

Tonight’s NHL slate is packed with action, featuring nine games across the league. From top contenders looking to build early-season momentum to teams searching for their first win, there’s no shortage of intriguing matchups.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!

Matchups

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Information: ESPN+
TeamOpening MLCurrent MLSpreadTotal
Minnesota Wild+124+124+1.5 (-198)o6.0 (-122)
Tampa Bay Lightning-148-148-1.5 (+164)u6.0 (+102)
Odds via DraftKings

Preview:

The Wild are off to a strong start, going 4-0-2, and have become just the second team in NHL history to avoid trailing at any point in regulation through their first six games of a season (the 1969-70 Bruins did it for seven games). Tampa Bay has also had a great start at 4-0-2, led by Nikita Kucherov, who aims to extend his season-opening point streak to seven games (seven goals, five assists).

Starting Goaltenders:

  • Minnesota Wild: Marc-Andre Fleury (Expected)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning: Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Team Stats & Trends:

  • Tampa Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games.
  • Minnesota are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Player Stats & Trends:

  • William Nylander has scored at least once in each of his previous four matchups against St. Louis
  • Pavel Buchnevich has recorded at least one point in three of his previous four matchups against Toronto

Best Bets:

  • Victor Hedman over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-115) – DraftKings

Victor Hedman has had a great start to the season recording 8 points (2 goals, 6 assists). Additionally, Hedman is a key player on Tampa Bay’s first power play unit, which is likely to have several opportunities in tonight’s game.

Hedman has consistently met his shots-on-goal quota in four of his first six games to start the season. During that span, he’s averaging 3.5 Shots on Goal and 7.0 Shot Attempts.

Additionally, Hedman boasts a decent track record against Minnesota, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in two of their last four encounters.

In Hedman’s last 30 games at home, he’s been much better recording over 2.5 shots on goal in 53.3% compared to just 40% in his last 30 games on the road.

Minnesota currently ranks 22nd this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 29.80 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Wild have conceded the most shots on goal per game to defensemen this season with an average of 11.17.

Florida Panthers @ New York Rangers

  • Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Information: ESPN+
TeamOpening MLCurrent MLSpreadTotal
Florida Panthers+124+130+1.5 (-198)o5.5 (-125)
New York Rangers-148-155-1.5 (+164)u5.5 (+105)
Odds via DraftKings

Preview:

The Florida Panthers and New York Rangers will face off in a rematch of the 2024 Eastern Conference Final. The Rangers are off to a fantastic start at 5-0-1 and will aim to extend their franchise-best season-opening point streak to seven games. Meanwhile, the Panthers have experienced a bit of a Stanley Cup hangover, beginning the season at 3-4-1.

Florida’s Sergei Bobrovsky is just one win away from becoming the 14th goalie in NHL history to reach 400 victories. With 706 games played, Bobrovsky could become the fastest goalie to achieve this milestone, surpassing former Rangers goalie Henrik Lundqvist, who did it in 727 games on February 11, 2017.

Starting Goaltenders:

  • Florida Panthers: Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)
  • New York Rangers: Igor Shesterkin (Confirmed)

Stats & Trends:

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games.

Player Stats & Trends:

  • Gustav Forsling has recorded more than 1.5 shots on goal in each of his last six games against the Rangers
  • Sam Bennett has recorded at least one point in five of his previous six matchups against the Rangers
  • Mika Zibanejad has recorded more than 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last four games against Florida
  • Alexis Lafreniere has recorded at least one point in three of his previous four matchups against Florida

Best Bets:

  • New York Rangers (-152) – FanDuel
  • New York Rangers in Regulation (+100) – FanDuel [HALF UNIT]

The Rangers are off to a phenomenal start this season and will be seeking revenge against the Florida Panthers, the team that eliminated them from the playoffs last year. New York leads the league in goals per game (GF/GP) with an average of 5.17, while Florida has struggled defensively, ranking 25th in goals against per game (GA/GP) with an average of 3.63. The Panthers have also been hit with injuries to key offensive players, which has impacted their production, placing them 19th in GF/GP at 3.0.

On the defensive side, the Rangers have been solid, ranking 4th in GA/GP with just 2.0 goals allowed per game. Igor Shesterkin will start for New York, having had a strong start to the season, ranking 6th in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx). Sergei Bobrovsky is expected to start for Florida, though he was pulled in his last game after allowing 5 goals on 16 shots. Through six games, Bobrovsky ranks 65th out of 68 in GSAx with a -4.6.

I expect the Rangers to keep rolling at home and extend their season-opening point streak.

Additional Bets

  • Colorado Avalanche (-152) – FanDuel
  • Quinton Byfield over 0.5 Points (-115) – BetMGM

Promotions/ Sources:

Linemate – Player/ Team Props

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Use my code to receive a one-time 15% discount, which can be applied to your first month of a monthly plan or the total cost of an annual plan. My discount code is always more competitive than any deals from Linemate. While Linemate’s monthly plan costs $9.99, their annual plan is currently priced at $79.99, offering a 33% discount off the regular price. The best part? My 15% code applies to the $79.99 plan, meaning you’ll actually enjoy over 40% OFF!

Shot Propz – Charts

  • Shots on Goal (SOG) Against by Position
  • Shot Attempts (SAT) Against by Position
  • Goals Against (GA) by Position
  • Team Offensive Stat Overview
  • Team Defensive Stat Overview
  • Team Hits and Blocks

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

Podcast 638 – 83 – 24 – With David Delano – College Football Week 9 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!  David Delano @GetSportsStrong comes on to break down some college football week 9!  First, Kiev talks about some ATS and O/U trends in college football!  Next, David comes on and he gets right into what sports strong is all about!  Then, David and Kiev talk some buy low, sell high teams for the next coming weeks.   After that the guys get into college football week 9 with some Free Plays and some leans.  Next, Kiev and David give out some Beer Bet Bangers that could cash for some big plus money.  Finally, we get into college sharp money movement AND recap our plays!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie/ Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2024

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and more!

College Football Week 9 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • Indiana could let down hosting Washington after beating Nebraska.   They lost their QB Kurtis Roark to injury as well.
  • Illinois could be flat at Oregon after beating Michigan.  
  • Georgia Southern at Old Dominion after beating James Madison.
  • Duke hosting SMU after Florida State win is one.
  • Maryland at Minnesota after beating USC is one.

Get Up Spots:

  • Texas at Vanderbilt after Georgia loss is one.
  • James Madison hosting Southern Miss after Georgia Southern loss.
  • USC better get up hosting Rutgers after choking again.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Penn State could look past Wisconsin to Ohio State, but they are off the bye.

Long Rest:

  • Louisiana Monroe with an extra three days off the Bye to face South Alabama.
  • Troy with an extra four days facing Arkansas State.
  • Jacksonville State with a very long bye week against MTSU.
  • Liberty with a few extra days off the Bye at Kennesaw State.
  • Louisiana Monroe off the bye has an extra 5 days over Marshall.
  • App State off the bye has an extra 5 days over Georgia State.
  • Virginia Tech with an extra two days hosting Georgia Tech.
  • Boston College with an extra 2 days hosting Louisville.  Louisville is on a short week.
  • Florida State with an extra Day at Miami.
  • Duke with an extra days rest hosting SMU.
  • Oregon with an extra day hosting Illinois.
  • Purdue with an extra day rest hosting Northwestern.
  • Oklahoma State with an extra day rest at Baylor.
  • BYU with an extra day of rest at UCF.
  • Akron off the bye hosting Eastern Michigan.
  • Minnesota off the bye hosting Maryland.
  • North Carolina off the bye at Virginia.
  • Ohio State off the bye hosting Nebraska.
  • Ole Miss off the bye hosting Oklahoma.
  • Penn State off the bye at Wisconsin.
  • San Diego State off the bye hosting Washington State.
  • Washington off the bye at Indiana.

Revenge Spots:

  • Michigan State at Michigan.
  • Kansas at Kansas State is one.
  • Navy hosting Notre Dame is one for sure.

NFL Week 8 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • Lions hosting the Titans could be flat after getting 1st in the division.
  • Broncos hosting the Panthers after avenging their coach’s X team.

Get Up Spots:

  • Saints need to wake up at the Chargers this week.
  • Vikings may be mad at the Rams.
  • Giants really have to wake up at the Steelers.

Look ahead spots:

  • The Broncos could look past the Panthers to the Ravens.
  • The Lions could look past the Titans to the Packers.
  • The Packers could look past the Jaguars to the Lions.

Short Week:

  • Buccaneers from Monday night hosting the Falcons.
  • Ravens from Monday night hosting the Broncos.
  • Chargers from Monday night hosting the Saints.
  • Cardinals from Monday night at the Dolphins.

Long Week:

  • Saints off Thursday night at the Chargers.
  • Broncos off Thursday night hosting the Panthers.
  • Cowboys off the bye at the 49ers.
  • Bears off the bye at the Commanders.

Revenge Spots:

  • Patriots could further ruin the Jets in a divisional revenge spot.
  • Buccaneers have a shot to beat the Falcons from the loss just a few weeks back.
  • Chiefs could avenge that Raiders loss that embarrassed them last year.
  • Colts will want to beat the Texans after a close first game loss this year.