Pick
Odds
AwayTeam
Moneyline
NCAAB β’ Michigan Wolverines @ Duke Blue Devils
-148 on DraftKings
CLOSED β’ 02/21/2026
Betslip #1771682258741-a0f4-846
Pick
Odds
AwayTeam
Moneyline
NCAAB β’ Michigan Wolverines @ Duke Blue Devils
-148 on DraftKings
CLOSED β’ 02/21/2026
Betslip #1771682258741-a0f4-846
Michigan vs Duke +2.5 O/U 150.5
π Michigan vs. Duke β Matchup Data
(All data sourced from ESPN, FOX Sports, CBS Sports, and NCAA.com previews and stat pages.)
π₯ Team Records & Rankings
- Michigan (No. 1): 25β1 overall, 15β1 Big Ten
- Duke (No. 3): 24β2 overall, 13β1 ACC
π Game Info
- Date: Feb. 21, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: ESPN
π Betting Line & Analytics
| Category | Michigan | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 | +2.5 |
| Moneyline | -148 | +124 |
| Total (O/U) | 148.5β150.5 range | 148.5β150.5 range |
| Matchup Predictor | 48.7% | 51.3% |
π Team Statistical Comparison
Scoring & Efficiency
- Michigan: 90.6 PPG (elite offense)
- Duke: 83.0 PPG (highβlevel efficiency)
- Michigan FG% Allowed: 37.1% (topβtier defense)
- Duke FG%: 50.1% (highβefficiency shooting)
Rebounding
- Michigan: 38.2 RPG
- Duke: 36.8 RPG
Assists / Turnovers
- Michigan: 19.5 APG, 11.9 TPG
- Duke: 17.0 APG, 10.5 TPG
Defense
- Michigan: 68.8 PPG allowed
- Duke: 63.2 PPG allowed
β Key Player Matchups
Scoring Leaders
- Michigan β Yaxel Lendeborg: 14.4 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 3.2 APG
- Duke β Cameron Boozer: 22.8 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 3.9 APG
Rebounding
- Lendeborg: 7.5 RPG
- Boozer: 10.0 RPG
Playmaking
- Michigan β Elliot Cadeau: 5.5 APG
- Duke β Boozer: 3.9 APG
Rim Protection
- Michigan β Aday Mara: 2.7 BPG
- Duke β Patrick Ngongba II: 1.2 BPG
π΅ Duke Blue Devils β 2025β26 Advanced Metrics
(SportsβReference, 2025β26 season)
- Record: 24β2 (13β1 ACC)
- Points per game (PS/G): 83.0 (47th of 365)
- Points allowed per game (PA/G): 63.2 (3rd of 365)
- Simple Rating System (SRS): 30.46 β 2nd nationally
- Strength of Schedule (SOS): 10.65 β 18th nationally
- Offensive Rating (ORtg): 122.3 β 13th nationally
- Defensive Rating (DRtg): 93.1 β 4th nationally
β What this means
Duke enters the matchup with:
- Topβ5 defense (DRtg 93.1, PA/G 63.2)
- Topβ15 offense (ORtg 122.3)
- Topβ2 overall team strength (SRS 30.46)
This is an elite efficiency profile β one of the best in college basketball.
γ½οΈ Michigan Wolverines β 2025β26 Advanced Metrics
Michiganβs full advanced metrics are not published in the search results, but ESPNβs matchup page provides verified season performance indicators.
From ESPNβs 2026 matchup preview:
- Record: 25β1 (15β1 Big Ten)
- Points per game: 90.6 (elite scoring)
- Points allowed: 68.8
- Field goal defense: 37.1% allowed (elite shot suppression)
- Assist leader: Elliot Cadeau β 5.5 APG
- Rebounding leader: Yaxel Lendeborg β 7.5 RPG
β What this means
Even without published ORtg/DRtg, Michiganβs profile clearly indicates:
- Elite defensive efficiency (37.1% FG allowed)
- Highβtempo, highβoutput offense (90.6 PPG)
- Strong ball movement (team APG near 20)
Michigan plays faster and more explosively than Duke, but with a similarly high defensive ceiling.
Prediction:
- This may be the best game of the season from a competitive perspective.Β Β This middle of the season game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington DC.
- Both teams rank number 1 and number 2 in defensive efficiency, while Michigan ranks 4th on offense and Duke ranks 7th.
- It’s hard to rip the schedule of either team here as Duke’s schedule ranks 16th in the nation and Michigan ranks 7th.
- Both teams are almost mirror images of themselves minus Michigan playing the much faster game yet still having the top defense in the league.
- This is what I love about Michigan.Β A team that plays that fast yet still having top ranked defense tells me that they are better than numbers can show.Β Β Michigan has performed better on neutral courts this year while Duke has a loss to Texas Tech.
- When watching these two teams this year on neutral courts, the scores show that Michigan has blown more great teams out, hence many of the statistics on them are still under exaggerated due to dribbling out the clock.
- I have Michigan by about four points with a total of about 152.Β Β I think the over is in play for now, but will just do a ML for the side.
Michigan PK -152 – 2 stars
North Carolina vs Syracuse +1.5 O/U 154.5
- This game actually has some meaning in the ACC as Syracuse needs a big win to get on the right side of the bubble while UNC needs to stop the bleeding.Β My question is, can UNC stop the bleeding?
- Injuries have riddled the Tarheels as they lost their top player in Caleb Wilson until at least March Madness.Β Β Their 7 foot Center Henry Veesaar has also been on the shelf and is questionable for this game.
- Syracuse isn’t a good team this year, but they at least play ok defense when asked to.Β Β The Orange also took out a pretty good SMU team at home on Valentines day before getting blown out at Duke.
- Lastly, UNC is the worst team away from home on haslametrics ranking 365th in home road splits.
- I think that the spot is much more important for Syracuse as they need this win to make the NCAA tournament.Β They will not have many swings at the bat after this.
Syracuse PK – 2 stars
Pick
Odds
HomePointSpread +2
Spread
NCAAB β’ North Carolina Tar Heels @ Syracuse Orange
-110 on Fanatics
CLOSED β’ 02/21/2026
Betslip #1771682299897-a0f4-546
