Arizona vs Arizona State +1.5 O/U 47.5
📍 Game Details
- Date & Time: Friday, November 28, 2025 — 7:00 p.m. MST (9:00 p.m. ET)
- Venue: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
- Broadcast: FOX nationally
🔑 Matchup Breakdown
- Arizona Wildcats (8–3, 5–3 Big 12):
- Offense: 407.6 yards per game (251.5 passing, 156.1 rushing)
- Scoring: 33.5 points per game (Top 30 nationally)
- Defense: Elite pass defense (159.7 yards allowed, 7th in FBS)
- Last game: Beat Baylor 41–17
- Arizona State Sun Devils (8–3, 6–2 Big 12):
- Offense: 417.5 yards per game (197.5 rushing, 219.9 passing)
- Scoring: 26.3 points per game
- Defense: Strong against the run (119.3 yards allowed, 28th in FBS)
- Last game: Beat Colorado 42–17
📊 Betting & Predictions
- Spread: Arizona favored by 1.5–2.5 points
- Over/Under: 48.5 points
- Implied Score: Wildcats 25, Sun Devils 24
- Win Probability: Arizona ~54.5% chance to win
⚔️ Keys to Watch
- Arizona’s Passing Attack vs ASU’s Secondary: Noah Fifita has been steady, and Arizona’s WR corps could test ASU’s mid-tier pass defense.
- ASU’s Ground Game: With nearly 200 rushing yards per game, the Sun Devils will try to control tempo against Arizona’s balanced defense.
- Turnovers & Rivalry Energy: In a game this close, one mistake could swing the Territorial Cup.
Prediction:
- This is a very underrated rivalry to end our Friday night.
- This Wildcats team is very different from last year. They might be the most improved power five team of the year minus Texas Tech.
- Arizona is a complete team that ranks 57th in offensive EPA. They seem to move the ball well and have been coached unbelievably well. This team is 5th in offensive average field position and 5th in turnover margin at +12.
- The biggest and least talked about the Cat’s game is their defense ranking 25th in EPA and 23rd in success rate. This team holds opponents to a 12th best 4.59 yards per play.
- The offensive is led by a quarterback who is thirsty for the NFL in Noah Fifita. Noah is a dual threat guy who has a huge 25/5 touchdown to interception ratio.
- ASU was the best story in football from 2024. Kenny Dillingham has really made a name for himself in the coaching carousel.
- The problem with ASU this year is that they lost their best player to the NFL, and their quarterback Sam Leavitt got injured mid-season.
- Looking at the numbers, the Cats have a 1.45 net yards per play to the Sun-devils at .61.
- Last year, ASU blew out Arizona in this rivalry game. I expect some anger and some revenge for the Cats.
Arizona ML -115 – 2 stars
