Ohio State vs Michigan +10 O/U 44.5
🏈 Game Context
- Date & Time: Saturday, Nov. 29, 2025, at 12 p.m. ET
- Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor
- Broadcast: FOX’s Big Noon Saturday
- Weather: Snow is expected in Ann Arbor, adding an extra layer of drama to the rivalry.
📊 Team Records & Rankings
- Ohio State: 11–0 overall, 8–0 Big Ten, ranked No. 1
- Michigan: 9–2 overall, 7–1 Big Ten, ranked No. 15
🏈 Recent Performances
- Ohio State: Beat Rutgers 42–9 last week
- Michigan: Beat Maryland 45–20 last week
🔥 Offensive Leaders
- Ohio State QB Julian Sayin: Accurate passer, leading an offense averaging over 35 points per game
- Michigan QB Bryce Underwood: Went 16-for-23, 215 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs vs. Maryland
- Ohio State WRs Carnell Tate & Jeremiah Smith: Both sidelined recently with injuries, but expected to be impact players if healthy
🛡️ Defensive Notes
- Ohio State Defense: Top-ranked nationally, allowing fewer than 12 points per game
- Michigan Defense: Strong against the run, but secondary will be tested by OSU’s passing attack
🔥 Storylines
- Ohio State’s Streak: The Buckeyes haven’t beaten Michigan since 2019. Head coach Ryan Day faces immense pressure to end the skid despite winning a national championship last season.
- Michigan Momentum: The Wolverines have taken the last four matchups, including several upsets where Ohio State was favored.
- Playoff Picture: Ohio State is undefeated and virtually locked into the College Football Playoff, but another loss to Michigan would tarnish their legacy. Michigan needs a win to stay alive in the Big Ten title race.
📊 Odds & Predictions
- Spread: Ohio State -10
- Over/Under: 43.5 points
- Implied Score: Buckeyes 27, Wolverines 17
- Win Probability: Ohio State ~80% chance to win
Analysts highlight Ohio State’s elite defense and quarterback Julian Sayin’s precision passing as keys. Michigan’s freshman QB has been inconsistent, but their run game and home-field advantage could keep it close.
⭐ Key Players to Watch
- Ohio State:
- Julian Sayin (QB) – efficient, accurate passer
- Carnell Tate & Jeremiah Smith (WRs) – explosive playmakers
- Defensive front – ranked among the nation’s best
- Michigan:
- Freshman QB – talented but streaky
- Blake Corum (RB) – veteran leader in the ground game
- Defensive secondary – must contain OSU’s receivers
⚔️ Rivalry Notes
- This is the 121st meeting between the two programs.
- The rivalry dates back to the 19th century, rooted in the “Toledo War” land dispute.
- Fans and players alike often say beating the rival means more than winning a national title.
Prediction:
- People that live in Michigan and Ohio State call this “the game”. People like me and everyone else not from those states or fans from those teams don’t really give a shit.
- Look, the number on this game is sharp as Ohio State is a 10 point favorite even though they have not beaten this Michigan team since 2019.
- Over the last ten years, Michigan is 7-3 ATS in this game while Ohio State is 6-4. The over is a huge 9-1 which says that defense doesn’t always have it’s say. I may think a little differently here.
- My number on this game is Ohio State -10.5. Part of the reason that we see the number going down is the uncertainty behind the injuries to the top two Ohio State wide receivers in Carnell Tate and Jeremiah Smith. These injuries didn’t show against a bad Rutgers team, but the talent difference between Rutgers and Michigan is pretty large.
- Ohio State didn’t even throw the ball much last game against Rutgers.
- A few things stick out to me here, I could see this game starting out slow as both teams do not want to make many mistakes. Michigan’s defense is definitely better than their offense as they rank 26th in opponent EPA while only allowing 4.67 yards per play.
- Ohio State’s defense ranks number one in the nation allowing only 3.76 yards per play ranking 4th in defensive EPA.
- I like the first half under. I think Michigan being at home can give Ohio State some offensive woes in the first half.
1st half under 22.5 – 1.5 stars
