College Football Week 3 Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting –

Clemson vs Georgia Tech +3 O/U 51.5

ATS Trends:

• Clemson is 1–6 ATS in its last 7 games –
• Clemson is 0–2 ATS this season –
• Georgia Tech is 2–0 ATS this season –
• Clemson is 4–1 ATS in its last 5 games played in September –
• Clemson is 10–1 SU in its last 11 ACC matchups –
• Georgia Tech has covered both games this season, including vs Colorado and Gardner-Webb –
• Total has gone UNDER in 6 of Clemson’s last 9 games

Team Stats:

• Clemson: – Record: 1–1 –
• Last Game: W 27–16 vs Troy –
• QB: Cade Klubnik – 196 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT –
• Top RB: Adam Randall – 112 YDS, 1 TD –
• Top WR: Bryant Wesco Jr. – 118 YDS, 2 TD – Turnover Margin: +2 –
• Red Zone Efficiency: 128th nationally
• Georgia Tech: – Record: 2–0 –
• Last Game: W 59–12 vs Gardner-Webb –
• QB: Aaron Philo – 373 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT –
• Top RB: Jamal Haynes – 157 YDS, 2 TD –
• Top WR: Dean Patterson – 87 YDS, 1 TD –
• Turnover Margin: –4 –
• Red Zone Efficiency: 100% (1st nationally)
• Contest Notes: – Clemson defense: 3 INTs last game, led by Wade Woodaz (11 tackles) – Georgia Tech offense: 571.5 YPG (7th nationally) –
• Penalties: GT averages 79.5 YPG (126th), Clemson 43.5 YPG (48th)

Prediction:

This is probably the best game of the weekend if you don’t count the slug-fest in the SEC.  Georgia Tech quarterback Haynes King will be back at the helm for this after taking last week off to get some rest.  Look, I have been hyping up this game since June.  I think that Georgia Tech might be the better team.  This day and age in college football, large adjustments can be made due to the massive amount of kids that enter the transfer portal. Both of these teams return a lot of production, but Georgia Tech is the team that has past the road test.  In week one, the Yellow Jackets spotted Colorado 7 points and three turnovers and still covered the game winning on the road by margin.  Clemson on the other hand should have lost by more to LSU, and had a terrible start against Troy.  There are two glaring problems with the Tigers.   (A), they can’t move the ball.  This team is dead even in yards per play and that is on an easy schedule.  The other issue (B), is that Clemson can’t stop the run ranking 51st in opponent rushing EPA. I know that Haynes King missed last week against a cupcake school.  I am ok that with that as it was precautionary.  I wish that Clemson looked better last week as we would have gotten a better line, but the value still remains on the home dog.  

Georgia Tech +3 – 2 stars

FAU vs FIU -2.5 O/U 58.5

This is an under the radar game that I bet this week.  Don’t get me wrong, both of these teams are trash.  It’s not the side that I am looking at.  Florida Atlantic is may have a pretty bad defense, but this team also moves the ball quite fast.  Over the last two games, the Owls rank 1st in tempo at 20.87 second in between plays.  This causes a lot of possessions and a heck of a lot of scoring. On the other hand, FIU was playing at a snail’s pace in 2024.   For this season, new coach Willie Simmons has picked up the pace.  Simmons was the running game coordinator at Duke before taking the FIU job.   Before that he was an FCS coach at Florida A&M.  I expect a faster pace as Duke ranked 28th in pace. Last season, the Owls gave up 30.8 points per game.  FIU only returned one defensive starter from 2024.   I think this game screams over the total for me.

Over 58.5 – 2 stars