College football week 7 recap – Upset week – Bad beats and Good Treats

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Welcome to upset week my friends!

Glad we weren’t on these teams – Clemson – Washington – Washington State – Auburn – San Diego St – Texas Tech – Navy – Troy.  Huge shake up in college football and the playoffs.   These teams may need to win out most likely but since there is so many 1 loss teams after week 7, a 2 loss team could possibly make it in.   Like if Ohio state loses a close one to Michigan and dominates Penn State and Wisconsin they could be in depending on Georgia, and If Penn state loses to Michigan.   If Georgia loses to Auburn but almost beats bama…   Those kind of scenarios.  The only lock as of right now is Alabama.    The good news for us is that there will be some value on some of these teams going forward.

Great week for the odds breakers.   13-5

61-51-2 over all.

South Alabama vs Troy – Huge let down spot for Troy and it hit them hard.   19 point spread.   This is the reason why we have to watch these spots.

Clemson vs Syracuse – Huge win for us.   Spread and Money line sprinkle paid 14-1 making it a good treat.   Another let down and bad spot for Clemson.   Eric Dungy passed for 279 yards and 3 Touchdowns.   Kelly Bryant should have NEVER started this game.   It was obvious from the start that Clemson wasn’t motivated here…   Syracuse did play a very sloppy game giving up field position left and right.   Remember Chris Slayton number 95 from Syracuse.   He is a beast of a 3 Technique.  He will be a pro…

WaSu vs Cal – What can i say.   A great spot for Justin Wilcox to upset a top 10 team.  Unfortunately he did it a little too well and screwed up our over under bet of 53.   All Wasu had to score was 17 points and we hit it…   Kind of a bad beat when they were averaging 40 some points per game before!!!   At least we played the spread but this was a total beat down.

Michigan vs Indiana- This game was won in the trenches for Michigan.   We definitely got  lucky winning the over which make it a good treat.   Indiana tied the game with some desperation plays.   I didn’t agree with the Onside kick there though.   Had plenty of time to stop Michigan and maybe could have started that last minute with good field position.

Miami vs Georgia Tech – The monsoon here really helped the under.   Questionable bet for me.   You notice G tech unders are always like 52 or 53?   Got burned by them that OT game vs Tennessee.   Damn Butch Davis.   Oh well.   He definitley made it back for me .

Kansas vs Iowa state – Apparently Iowa state didn’t get the memo that this was a let down spot.   Whats up with that?   Since the Texas loss they look like a different team.   I do not see much value on them going forward.   Let’s just hope they keep it up in that messy big 12

Rutgers vs Illinois – Rutgers win and ML was a good treat.   Seriously how was Illinois favored here?    A better game than one would have thought.   All this game proved was that Illinois is the worst team in the big 10 and then some.

TCU vs Kansas State – you gotta give TCU some credit here for winning by 20 in Manhatten.   Huge for them but still have some very tough opponents ahead.

Purdue vs Wisconsin – We are very lucky that they survived upset week.  Our badgers didn’t play well on offense but even worse they were out coached.   The score was very misleading because the Badgers had 494 total yards while Purdue had 221.   Bad turnovers and bad play calls.    I don’t understand why Hornibrook didn’t autible out that 22 blast play against 11 in the box!!!!   The badgers are lucky to win that game and definitely need some better play calls.   The offense better be buying the defense dinner after that debacle.

Auburn vs LSU – LSU has really stepped up after their Troy embarrassment.   I think Pettaway was still injured because Kerryon Johnson got all the carries and 156 yards.   Auburn had control of that game and let LSU back into it.   The real story is that LSU QB Danny Etling through for over 200 yards and a TD!   When does that ever happen.   LSU Playing for Ed Orgeron’s job.

East Carolina vs UCF – I cover this cause we bet the overs on E Carolina every week.   All i want to say is the UCF is a big time team and should be in the top 15 in my opinion.

Michigan state vs Minnisota – We were happy to get a back door cover here.   The gophers have a Quarterback Controversy with Croft and Rhoda.   Michigan State is over ranked here in my opinion at 21.

Boise state vs San Diego state – The sharps knew something here.  This line was driven down to San Diego state -4.5   Penny only had 53 yards rushing this game on 21 Carries.  His Heisman hopes are probably gone now.   So is San Diego state’s playoff hopes.

Washington vs ASU – Wow, bad week for Washington teams.  Both in top 8 rankings and lost outright.   If you were to tell me that Washington and WASU would only score a total combined 10 points vs ASU and Cal, I would have checked you into a mental institution.   Gotta give ASU Credit here.   They are good at home.  What a great home dog.   They beat Oregon being a double digit dog as well.   Moneyline was like +750.  I hope one of YOU listeners had it.   I really do.

LET DOWN SPOTS:  Long list here

Syracuse vs Miami.   Miami did eak out a close game too  but only against Georgia Tech.   We will probably be on Miami

Arizona vs Cal – This is kind of a let down spot for both teams but more for Cal.  TATE is something to be reconned with!!!

Boise state at Wyoming

Arizona State at Utah – Utah lost a heartbreaker

West Virginia at Baylor – Kind of a let down spot.  Baylor is awful though.

LSU at Ole Miss – Ole miss is playing better

Boston College Beating Louisville

Look ahead spots:

Oklahoma st to West Virginia?   They shouldn’t look past Texas right?

TCU to Iowa State but Kansas really sucks

Penn state vs Michigan to Ohio state?   I am not sure here..

ASU looking ahead to USC.   Sandwich spot!!!!

Teams on Tilt

Washington, Washington St, San Diego State, Clemson, Maybe Auburn but doubtfully, Texas Tech, and Navy…   Maybe some value here

 

 

 

 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.