🏟️ Game Details
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Date/Time: Thursday, Nov 27, 2025, 8:20 PM ET
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Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
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Week: 13 (Regular Season)
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Status: Pre-game
📊 Team Records & Win Probability
| Team | Record | Venue | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 6–5 | Home | 71.9% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3–8 | Away | 28.1% |
🔑 Betting Lines
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Spread: Ravens –7
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Over/Under: 51.5 points
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Moneyline: Ravens –360, Bengals +280
📈 Recent Trends
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Ravens are on a five-game winning streak.
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Bengals have lost four straight, despite Joe Burrow’s expected return.
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Baltimore has won 4 of the last 5 matchups against Cincinnati.
🚑 Injury Notes
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Bengals: Joe Burrow (toe, expected to play), Trey Hendrickson (hip, out), Cam Taylor-Britt (foot, out).
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Ravens: Rashod Bateman (ankle, out), Keyon Martin (rib, out).
⚡ Key Storyline
This game closes out Thanksgiving with a divisional rivalry:
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Ravens’ rushing attack (Derrick Henry + Lamar Jackson) vs. Bengals’ 31st-ranked run defense.
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Burrow’s return could spark Cincinnati’s offense, but Baltimore’s home-field advantage and defensive edge make them strong favorites.
⚡ What to Watch For
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Can Burrow shake off rust quickly enough to exploit Baltimore’s secondary?
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Will Lamar Jackson find rhythm against a struggling Bengals defense?
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Ja’Marr Chase vs. Marlon Humphrey could be the matchup that decides the game.
📊 Team Comparison
| Category | Bengals | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3–8 (1–4 Away) | 6–5 (3–3 Home) |
| Points per Game | 22.5 (18th) | 25.0 (10th) |
| Points Allowed per Game | 32.7 (32nd) | 23.7 (17th) |
| Yards per Game | 307.1 (23rd) | 314.3 (21st) |
| Time of Possession | 27:05 (32nd) | 29:39 (20th) |
| Defensive Sacks | 15 (31st) | 18 (29th) |
| Defensive INTs | 9 (9th) | 7 (17th) |
| Turnover Differential | –7 (28th) | 0 (15th) |
Prediction:
Bengals vs Ravens -7 O/U 51.5
- Happy turkey day my friends! This should be a fun game to end the night with that may not be a snoozer at all. As a matter of fact, I think that this game might fight your food coma and keep you involved from your couch.
- The Bengals are expecting Joe Burrow to be back and ready to play this game. I expect him back too. This has to factor in at last a three to four point bump in your power ratings.
- In saying that, I still can’t get this number below seven in Baltimore, and I still can’t trust the Bengals defense to stop anything. This is why I am looking at the total.
- This Cincinnati crew is still without their best defensive player in Trey Hendrickson. This defense for the bengals is historically bad giving up .188 EPA per play which is dead last in the league. Baltimore should not have issues getting to 35.
- On the other side of the ball, this Baltimore defense has also been bleeding points. This team only ranks 19th in defensive EPA and is also 19th in allowing 23.9 points per game.
- Going back to 2021, 7 out of the last 9 of these matchups have went over the total. The last four matchups all went over.
- This Bengals offense with Joe Burrow is clearly above average, and I think that they get to 24 if not more. Take the over.
Over 51.5 – 2 stars
Turkey Day Teaser: 10Pt -120 – Lions to +7.5, Eagles to +3.5, and Seahawks to -.5 – 2 stars (if you can’t get the number on the eagles, then use the Chargers)
Best of luck everyone!
