Eagles vs Buccaneers +3.5 O/U 44.5
🏟️ Game Details
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Date & Time: Sunday, September 28, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
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Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
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Broadcast: FOX
📊 Team Comparison
| Category | Eagles | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3–0 | 3–0 |
| Win Probability | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Spread | -3.5 (favored) | +3.5 |
| Turnover Differential | +2 | +2 |
| Offensive Rank (Total) | 27th | 15th |
| Defensive Rank (Total) | 11th | T-11th |
| Key Injuries | Nolan Smith, Adoree’ Jackson | Mike Evans, Luke Goedeke |
Sources:
🔑 Player Matchups
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Jalen Hurts (PHI): 479 pass yards, 117 rush yards, 7 total TDs
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Baker Mayfield (TB): 615 pass yards, 116 rush yards, 6 TDs
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Saquon Barkley (PHI): 194 rush yards, 2 TDs, 3.3 YPC
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Emeka Egbuka (TB): 181 receiving yards, 3 TDs
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A.J. Brown (PHI): 144 receiving yards, 1 TD
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Chris Godwin (TB): Expected to return from ankle injury
🛡️ Defensive Spotlight
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Eagles DL Jordan Davis: 1 sack, 16 tackles, blocked FG returned for TD
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Buccaneers NT Vita Vea: Anchor of run defense, key to stopping “tush push”
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Eagles CBs: Injuries to Adoree’ Jackson and Jakorian Bennett
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Bucs DB Jamel Dean: 55-yard pick-six last week
🧠 Historical Context
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Tampa Bay leads the all-time series 13–11
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Bucs are 4–1 vs. Hurts since 2021, including two playoff wins
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Eagles have won 19 of their last 20 games since losing to Tampa in Week 4 of 2024
🔥 Key Storylines
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Super Bowl Pedigree vs. Grit: The Eagles have won 19 of their last 20 games, including Super Bowl LIX. The Bucs, meanwhile, have opened the season with three last-minute wins, showcasing resilience and clutch play.
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Quarterback Duel: Former Oklahoma teammates Jalen Hurts and Baker Mayfield face off again. Hurts has scored a rushing TD in six straight games, tying an NFL record for QBs.
💪 Matchups to Watch
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Eagles WR A.J. Brown vs. Bucs CB Jamel Dean: Brown is coming off a 100+ yard game; Dean had a pick-six last week.
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Eagles OL vs. Bucs Blitz: Tampa Bay blitzes at a top-6 rate in the NFL. Hurts will need quick reads and protection to thrive.
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Saquon Barkley vs. Bucs Run Defense: Tampa hasn’t allowed 100+ rushing yards in 11 straight games. Barkley hasn’t hit that mark in four games.
🚑 Injury Watch
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Buccaneers WR Corps: Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan are out. Chris Godwin and rookie Emeka Egbuka are banged up but may play.
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Eagles Defense: CBs Adoree’ Jackson and Jakorian Bennett are dealing with injuries, and edge rusher Nolan Smith is out.
📊 By the Numbers
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Red Zone Efficiency: Eagles are 8-for-8 scoring TDs in the red zone—best in the NFL.
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Turnover Battle: Bucs have committed zero turnovers this season; Eagles have forced three.
🧠 Prediction
Prediction:
This should be a great game of undefeated teams, but the numbers do not seem to be adding up. I can’t understand why the Eagles are laying this road chalk. I know that they are the super bowl champs, but their numbers have been very average thus far. Philadelphia has gotten by with some close wins. They only ranks 12th in offensive EPA, and 16th on defense. The Buccaneers rank 5th and 12th respectively. Now we know of the Mike Evans injury, and it could affect the home pirates, but this team should be getting Chris Godwin back, and combined with Emeka Egbuka, I believe that they will be able to move the ball deep. I also like the fact that left tackle Tristan Wirfs should be back and ready to play. The Eagles have a few injury issues on their own with their top CB Adorree Jackson being out. There is still no LB Nakobe Dean to anchor in the middle of this defense. The Eagles do not care to win by Margin, and I think the Bucs are live here. Super Bowl hangover says bet the Buccaneers.
Buccaneers +3.5
