The 2025 3M Open promises another exciting week of golf at TPC Twin Cities. But first, let’s recap the highlights and key takeaways from last week’s tournaments before we jump into this week’s action.
Open Championship Recap
Scottie Scheffler’s dominance continues as he captured the Open Championship, earning his fourth Major title. Scheffler has now won the Masters twice (2022, 2024) and claimed the PGA Championship earlier this season at Quail Hollow with a commanding five-shot victory. With only the U.S. Open missing from his résumé, Scheffler is one title away from completing the career grand slam, a feat achieved by just six players in history: Rory McIlroy, Tiger Woods, Jack Nicklaus, Gary Player, Ben Hogan, and Gene Sarazen.
Scheffler’s first opportunity to complete the slam will come next June at Shinnecock Hills, when the U.S. Open returns to the iconic Long Island venue for the first time since 2018, when Brooks Koepka emerged victorious. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Scheffler is the early favorite at +320 to win the 2026 U.S. Open and make history. In a poetic twist, the final round of next year’s U.S. Open falls on June 21, Scheffler’s 30th birthday.
This also marks the second consecutive season in which a player has won two majors. Last year, Xander Schauffele pulled off the PGA Championship and Open Championship double, a feat now matched by Scheffler in 2025.
Barracuda Championship Recap
Ryan Gerard captured his first PGA TOUR title at the Barracuda Championship, held as an Additional Event opposite The Open Championship. With the win, Gerard secured a spot in next year’s PGA Championship but not an invitation to The Masters.
In this preview, I’ll highlight the key storylines, analyze the course, and share my picks to help you gain an edge at this year’s 3M Open. Let’s dive into the main storylines driving the action this week…
Pre-Tournament Storylines:
Crunch Time for the FedEx Cup Playoffs
The 3M Open marks the penultimate event of the PGA TOUR regular season, and the pressure is on. Only the top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will qualify for the first leg of the playoffs—the FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind. For players hovering around the bubble, this week represents one of the final opportunities to secure their spot, making for a high-stakes atmosphere filled with urgency, strategy, and emotional swings.
To view the latest FedEx Cup standings, click the link.
3M Open Secured Through 2030
In March, the PGA TOUR and 3M officially announced a five-year extension, ensuring that the 3M Open will remain a staple of the summer schedule through at least 2030.
The Road to Bethpage: Who’s In for the 2025 Ryder Cup?
With the 2025 Ryder Cup just around the corner, anticipation is heating up as fans and analysts alike start zeroing in on the players poised to represent the U.S. and Europe this fall. The event heads to Bethpage Black in New York from September 26–28, and the qualification race is far from settled.
One of the most intriguing storylines? U.S. Captain Keegan Bradley might be pulling double duty. Not since Arnold Palmer in 1963 has a Ryder Cup captain also teed it up as a player — but Bradley currently sits ninth in the U.S. standings, giving him a real shot to qualify on points.
How Qualification Works:
U.S. Team: The top six players in Ryder Cup points after the BMW Championship (Aug. 17) will earn automatic spots. Bradley will then select six captain’s picks to round out the team.
After The Open Championship, the top six in U.S. points are:
Scottie Scheffler (already clinched), Xander Schauffele, J.J. Spaun, Russell Henley, Bryson DeChambeau, and Harris English.
European Team: Their top six will be locked in following the Betfred British Masters (Aug. 24), with Captain Luke Donald also adding six captain’s picks of his own.
As of now, the leading contenders are:
Rory McIlroy (clinched), Robert MacIntyre, Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton, Shane Lowry, and Sepp Straka.
With just a few weeks left until the Ryder Cup rosters are locked in, the pressure is on. A couple strong finishes or big-time performances could shake up the standings and give the captains some tough decisions to make.
According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the United States is currently favored to win the Ryder Cup at -145, with Europe listed as the underdog at +115.
Tournament Information:
Social Media:
Course Information:
Course Architect:
Comparable Courses:
- PGA National (The Champion) – Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches – RESULTS
- TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) – THE PLAYERS Championship – RESULTS
- TPC Louisiana – Zurich Classic of New Orleans – RESULTS
- Detroit Golf Club (North Course) – Rocket Classic – RESULTS
- TPC River Highlands – Travelers Championship – RESULTS
- TPC Deere Run – John Deere Classic – RESULTS
Comparable Location (Blaine, Minnesota):
Designer Link (Arnold Palmer (2000)):
- Bay Hill Club and Lodge – Arnold Palmer Renovation (2009) – Arnold Palmer Invitational
Designer Link (Steve Wenzloff (2018)):
- TPC Sawgrass (THE PLAYERS Stadium Course) – Pete Dye and Steve Wenzloff Renovation – THE PLAYERS Championship
Comparable Yardage (7,431 Yards):
Comparable Greens (Bentgrass .100”):
Comparable Average Green Size (6,500 sq. ft.):
TV Information (all times ET):
Weather:
Course/ Tournament History:
TPC Twin Cities opened in 2000 as a collaboration between Arnold Palmer and Minnesota native Tom Lehman, built specifically to host the 3M Championship. Designed with tournament golf in mind, the course features a mix of scoring opportunities and danger, with water hazards on 15 of 18 holes, generous fairways, and large, undulating greens. In preparation for its PGA TOUR debut, architect Steve Wenzloff led renovations in 2018 to toughen the layout—adding length, shifting bunkers, and reworking greens to challenge the world’s best.
Previous Tournament Venues:
| Duration | Course | Location: |
| 2019 – Present | TPC Twin Cities | Blaine, Minnesota |
Previous Tournament Names:
Tournament Records:
- 72-Hole Record:
- 260 – Lee Hodges (2023)
- 18-Hole Record:
- 62 – Scott Piercy (first round, 2019), Bryson DeChambeau (second round, 2019), Matthew Wolff (third round, 2019), Lucas Glover (fourth round, 2019), Beau Hossler (fourth round, 2023)
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Designed by the legendary Arnold Palmer, TPC Twin Cities is a challenging par-71 layout that stretches to 7,431 yards. The course features a balanced mix of four par 3s, eleven par 4s, and three par 5s, requiring a calculated approach. Scoring opportunities are out there, but players must navigate water hazards, tricky greens, and swirling winds to stay in contention for the 3M Open title.
TPC Twin Cities stretches to 7,431 yards, ranking as the 9th longest course on the PGA TOUR this season. While the fairways are relatively wide at an average of 35 yards, among the most generous on TOUR, precision off the tee is still crucial. That’s because water comes into play on 15 holes, the third most of any PGA TOUR stop, adding serious risk to aggressive lines. The greens are also sizable, averaging 6,500 square feet, which places added emphasis on dialed-in approach shots. Bunkers are less of a concern here, with just 72 on the course, the 21st fewest on TOUR.
The four par 3s at TPC Twin Cities range from 177 to 228 yards, putting a premium on precision and smart club selection. In last year’s 3M Open, only holes No. 4 and No. 8 played under par on average, while the others proved to be more penal, especially when the wind picked up.
Hole 17 | Par 3 | 202 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 3.03 (Difficulty Rank – 9)
The freshly renovated TOUR tee forces the pros to play over the water on all 4 tournament rounds. Anything short will end up in the water, while any shot that goes long will end up in the bunker or even the grandstands. Hitting the green on the tee shot will give you a good birdie opportunity, as the green is relatively flat and slopes from back to front. The defense of the hole comes from the water and the wind.
TPC Twin Cities offers eleven par 4s, with the majority landing in the 400–450 yard range. Strategic decisions are key, especially on risk-reward holes that tempt players with aggressive lines. The most difficult par 4 in 2024 was the 9th, which averaged +0.415 over par, emphasizing its challenge in both length and layout.
Hole 2 | Par 4 | 468 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.082 (Difficulty Rank – 5)
This watery hole continues to play more difficult for the pros each year, and annually is the most difficult for the membership. Your first option is to lay back to the widest part of the fairway with a utility or 3-wood, leaving a mid-iron shot into a heavily protected green. Playing more aggressively with your tee shot and taking on the water and fairway bunker will leave you with a scoring club in your hand and a chance to make birdie.
Hole 7 | Par 4 | 381 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.037 (Difficulty Rank – 8)
Dubbed “Tom’s Thumb” in reference to PGA TOUR player and course consultant Tom Lehman, the green may be reached with a long and accurate tee shot that carries the lake on the left side and avoids the massive bunkers short and right of the green. A conservative tee shot into the fairway will often render an approach of less than 100 yards to the two-tiered green.
All three par 5s—holes 6, 12, and 18—played under par in 2024 and offer the best birdie or eagle opportunities on the course. However, danger lurks on every tee shot, especially at the finisher.
Hole 18 | Par 5 | 596 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.629 (Difficulty Rank – 16)
This hole has consistently played as one of the toughest par-5s on the PGA TOUR schedule since 2019. The prevailing wind will push your tee ball towards the water on the right. Hitting the fairway allows most pros an attempt to go for the green in two. A three-tiered and very shallow green makes it tough to keep the ball on the putting surface. Adding in a forced carry over the pond makes judging the correct distance even tougher. Plenty of birdies are made here, but more 7s & 8s find scorecards than you would think.
Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 2, 7, 17, 18
Key Statistics:
As the 3M Open returns to TPC Twin Cities, understanding how the course compares to PGA TOUR averages can help identify which players are best suited for success. Here’s how TPC Twin Cities stacks up statistically:
| Statistics | PGA Tour Average | TPC Twin Cities |
| Driving Distance (Yards) | 283.98 | 291.18 |
| Driving Accuracy | 62% | 63% |
| GIR Percentage | 66% | 71% |
| Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet) | 29.25 | 29.08 |
| Scrambling Percentage | 57% | 55% |
| Avg 3 Putts / Round | 0.55 | 0.50 |
According to DataGolf, players who thrive at TPC Twin Cities typically excel in ball striking and precision off the tee. With water hazards in play on nearly every hole and fairways that demand accuracy, success here often comes down to sharp tee-to-green execution and the ability to avoid costly mistakes.
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
- Driving the ball effectively is a huge advantage at TPC Twin Cities. With wide fairways and a premium on distance, players who can consistently gain strokes off the tee, especially bombers who keep it in play, tend to thrive here.
- Looking at recent history, two of the last three 3M Open champions ranked 8th or better in strokes gained: off the tee. The exception was Lee Hodges in 2023, who finished 27th in this category but made up for it with exceptional iron play.
- Leaders in SG: Off the Tee (Last 24 Rounds):
- Cameron Champ
- Chris Gotterup
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Niklas Norgaard Moller
- Jesper Svensson
- Kevin Yu
- Rico Hoey
- Kurt Kitayama
- Jake Knapp
- Thomas Rosenmueller
- Leaders in SG: Off the Tee (Last 24 Rounds):
Strokes Gained: Approach
- Approach play is often the deciding factor between contenders and the rest of the field. At TPC Twin Cities, with its large greens and accessible pin positions, precise iron play is essential for creating numerous birdie opportunities, a key ingredient for scoring success.
- Four of the last five winners of the 3M Open ranked inside the top 8 for SG: Approach. The lone exception was Cameron Champ in 2021, who ranked 19th in this category but made up for it with outstanding putting throughout the week.
- Leaders in SG: Approach (Last 24 Rounds):
- Lee Hodges
- Kevin Roy
- Akshay Bhatia
- Emiliano Grillo
- Doug Ghim
- Victor Perez
- John Pak
- Luke Clanton
- Henrik Norlander
- Chris Kirk
- Leaders in SG: Approach (Last 24 Rounds):
Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
- Ball striking is a critical metric that measures a player’s overall ability to hit quality tee shots and approach shots, combining both accuracy and distance. At a course like TPC Twin Cities, where precision and power off the tee and into the greens can make or break a round, excelling in ball striking often separates the contenders from the rest of the field.
- Last year, every player who finished inside the top 10 at the 3M Open gained strokes in ball striking. The champion, Jhonattan Vegas, ranked 4th in this category, while Matt Kuchar, who tied for 3rd, led the field in ball striking. Taylor Pendrith, finishing 5th, ranked 8th, and both Kurt Kitayama and Sahith Theegala, who tied for 6th, ranked 11th and 5th respectively. This trend highlights how dominant ball striking is at TPC Twin Cities and its direct impact on leaderboard success.
- Leaders in SG: Ball Striking (Last 24 Rounds):
- Chris Gotterup
- Emiliano Grillo
- Doug Ghim
- Cameron Champ
- Lee Hodges
- Kevin Roy
- Kurt Kitayama
- Luke Clanton
- Thomas Rosenmueller
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Leaders in SG: Ball Striking (Last 24 Rounds):
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
- The bentgrass greens at TPC Twin Cities are among the purest surfaces players see all year. Good bentgrass putters tend to maintain their edge here, especially with scoring bunched around 15–20 under par.
- Four of the last five 3M Open champions ranked ninth or better in SG: Putting. The only exception was Tony Finau in 2022, who ranked 42nd in this category but compensated with exceptional performance in other areas.
- Leaders in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) (Last 24 Rounds):
- Sam Burns
- Vince Whaley
- Pierceson Coody
- Brandt Snedeker
- Ben Silverman
- Jacob Bridgeman
- Justin Lower
- Cristobal Del Solar
- Kevin Kisner
- Cameron Champ
- Leaders in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) (Last 24 Rounds):
Greens in Regulation Gained
- With water in play on the majority of holes, finding greens safely and consistently is crucial. GIR Gained reflects both strong iron play and strategic ball control.
- Four of the last five 3M Open champions ranked tenth or better in Greens in Regulation Gained. The only exception was Cameron Champ in 2021, who ranked 26th in this category.
- Leaders in GIR Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
- Chris Gotterup
- Cameron Champ
- Patrick Fishburn
- Victor Perez
- Doug Ghim
- Kevin Roy
- Steven Fisk
- Sam Burns
- Lee Hodges
- Antoine Rozner
- Leaders in GIR Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards
- Three of the four par 3s at TPC Twin Cities fall in this demanding range. Long iron play and control into these holes can be a significant scoring separator.
- Three of the last four 3M Open champions ranked tenth or better in Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards. The only exception was Tony Finau in 2022, who ranked 36th in this category.
- Leaders in Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
- Si Woo Kim
- William Mouw
- Kevin Yu
- Wyndham Clark
- Antoine Rozner
- Hayden Springer
- Matti Schmid
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Erik Van Rooyen
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Leaders in Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Par 4 Scoring
- Par 4s make up the bulk of the scorecard. With several short to mid-length par 4s, success here often correlates directly with leaderboard position.
- Four of the last five 3M Open champions ranked third or better in Par 4 Scoring. The only exception was Jhonattan Vegas in 2024, who ranked 19th in this category.
- Leaders in Par 4 Scoring (Last 24 Rounds):
- Kevin Roy
- Sam Burns
- Maverick McNealy
- Jake Knapp
- Chris Gotterup
- Emiliano Grillo
- Victor Perez
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout
- Mark Hubbard
- Byeong Hun An
- Leaders in Par 4 Scoring (Last 24 Rounds):
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards
- All three par 5s at TPC Twin Cities fall into this range and are reachable for longer hitters. Capitalizing on these opportunities is essential to staying competitive.
- Three of the last five 3M Open champions ranked twentieth or better in Par 5 Scoring. The two exceptions were Tony Finau in 2022 and Cameron Champ in 2021.
- Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Danny Walker
- Adam Scott
- Taylor Pendrith
- Jake Knapp
- Tony Finau
- Chris Gotterup
- Vince Whaley
- Pierceson Coody
- Akshay Bhatia
- Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Opportunities Gained
- This stat measures how often players are giving themselves realistic birdie chances inside 15 feet. At a birdie-fest like the 3M Open, this stat is a leading indicator of success.
- Leaders in Opportunities Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
- Keith Mitchell
- Davis Thompson
- Thorbjorn Olesen
- Adam Schenk
- Lee Hodges
- Kurt Kitayama
- Joseph Bramlett
- Jake Knapp
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Ricky Castillo
- Leaders in Opportunities Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
Birdies or Better Gained
- This is the most direct indicator of scoring upside. With winning scores often in the -17 to -20 range, you need guys who rack up red numbers.
- Four of the last five 3M Open champions ranked inside the top four in Birdies or Better Gained for the week. The lone exception was Michael Thompson in 2020, who still finished a strong 7th in the category.
- Leaders in Birdies or Better Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
- Keith Mitchell
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Chris Gotterup
- Sami Valimaki
- Rickie Fowler
- Kurt Kitayama
- Matti Schmid
- Luke Clanton
- Mark Hubbard
- Kevin Yu
- Leaders in Birdies or Better Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
Proximity: 175-200, 200+ Yards
- DataGolf’s approach distribution from last year shows that a large share of second shots at TPC Twin Cities came from 175–200 yards and beyond 200 yards, significantly higher than the PGA TOUR average. That means long-iron proximity will be a major separator this week.
- Leaders in Proximity: 175-200 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
- Si Woo Kim
- Matti Schmid
- Rikuya Hoshino
- Carson Young
- Chris Kirk
- Chez Reavie
- Karl Vilips
- Patrick Rodgers
- Lee Hodges
- William Mouw
- Leaders in Proximity: 200+ Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
- Antoine Rozner
- Will Gordon
- Brandon Matthews
- Joseph Bramlett
- Michael Thorbjornsen
- Matti Schmid
- Kevin Yu
- Adam Schenk
- Chris Kirk
- Joel Dahmen
- Leaders in Proximity: 175-200 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
Comparable Courses and Event History
- These are your course horses—players who’ve repeatedly performed well at the 3M Open. Whether it’s course fit, comfort with the setup, or success on similar layouts, this group has a proven track record at TPC Twin Cities.
- Leaders in SG: Total – TPC Twin Cities (Last 5 Editions):
- Tony Finau
- Cameron Davis
- Emiliano Grillo
- Cameron Champ
- Doug Ghim
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Brice Garnett
- Keith Mitchell
- Maverick McNealy
- Aaron Baddeley
- Leaders in SG: Total – TPC Twin Cities (Last 5 Editions):
The Field:
The 2025 3M Open will showcase a full field of 156 players competing at TPC Twin Cities, drawing a mix of seasoned stars and rising talents. Among the headliners are eight players currently ranked inside the top 30 of the Official World Golf Ranking. With FedEx Cup Playoff spots on the line and a course that rewards aggressive play, expect a highly competitive week in Blaine, Minnesota.
Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
- Winner – PGA/U.S. Open Championship
- Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
- Winner – World Golf Championship Event
- Winners of the Arnold Palmer, Memorial, Genesis (Last 3 Years)
- Past Champion of Respective Event
- Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
- Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
- Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
- DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
- Reorder Category – Cat. 37 thru 44
- PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
- No 1 player PGA TOUR University (current year)
- Top 10 and Ties from the Previous Event
- Career Money Exemption
- Major Medical Extension
- Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
- Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
- Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
- Jhonattan Vegas (2024), Lee Hodges (2023), Tony Finau (2022), Cameron Champ (2021)
Debutants in the Field:
- Adam Scott, Antoine Rozner, Braden Thornberry, Brendan Valdes, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, David Ford, Gordon Sargent, Isaiah Salinda, Jackson Suber, Jeremy Paul, Jesper Svensson, Karl Vilips, Kevin Velo, Mason Andersen, Matt McCarty, Matthew Riedel, Matthieu Pavon, Michael La Sasso, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Goodwin, Paul Peterson, Philip Knowles, Ricky Castillo, Rikuya Hoshino, Sami Valimaki, Steven Fisk, Takumi Kanaya, Taylor Dickson, Thomas Campbell, Thomas Rosenmueller, Thorbjorn Olesen, Victor Perez, Webb Simpson, Will Chandler, William Mouw
Exemptions:
- Chesson Hadley: Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
- Carson Herron: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
- Kevin Kisner: Career Money Exemption
- Michael La Sasso: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
- Troy Merritt: Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
- Ryan Palmer: Career Money Exemption
- Chez Reavie: Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
- Brandt Snedeker: Career Money Exemption
- Preston Stout: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
- Brendan Valdes: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
Open Qualifiers:
- Stephen Stallings
- Josh Radcliff
- Michael Feuerstein
- Yi Cao
Players with Ties to Minnesota in the Field:
Birthplace:
- Frankie Capan III – Stillwater, Minnesota
College:
- Erik van Rooyen – University of Minnesota
Caddie Changes:
Webb Simpson and longtime caddie Paul Tesori have reunited, nearly two years after parting ways. The duo originally split in 2023, ending a 12-year partnership that included all seven of Simpson’s PGA Tour victories—highlighted by the 2012 U.S. Open and 2018 Players Championship.
After the split, Tesori joined Cameron Young’s bag, but they parted ways in 2024. Tesori then worked briefly with Brendon Todd before teaming up with Tom Kim. That partnership ended just before the 2025 Open Championship last week. Now, it appears Simpson and Tesori are back together once again.
Notable Withdraws/ Changes:
- Tim Widing WD / Will Gordon IN (own number)
- Ryan Gerard WD / Joseph Bramlett IN
- Brian Campbell WD / Dylan Wu IN
- Thomas Detry WD / Pierceson Coody IN
- Haotong Li IN (commit)
- Pierceson Coody IN
- Chez Reavie IN
- Chesson Hadley IN
- Carson Herron IN
- Preston Stout IN
- Rikuya Hoshino WD / Taylor Montgomery IN
- Stephan Jaeger WD
- Max Herendeen IN
- Rikuya Hoshino WD / Taylor Montgomery IN
- Stephan Jaeger WD
- Max Herendeen IN
- Alejandro Tosti WD / Ben Martin IN
Tee Times & Groupings:
The Odds:
Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the top players in the field for this year’s 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, ranked by current betting odds (via DraftKings). The table below details each player’s five most recent finishes on the PGA TOUR and their last five results at the 3M Open.
| Golfer | Odds | Last 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR (Recent -> Past) | Last 5 Finishes at the 3M Open (Recent -> Past) |
| Sam Burns | +1800 | T45-T47-T17-T7-2 | T12-T32-T7 |
| Chris Gotterup | +1800 | 3-WON-T21-T26-T23 | T59-T31 |
| Maverick McNealy | +2000 | T23-T22-T17-37-T5 | T3-T49-T16 |
| Wyndham Clark | +2500 | T4-T11-MC-T17-MC | T38-MC-MC-T5 |
| Max Greyserman | +2800 | MC-MC-T2-T36-T23 | 2 |
| Taylor Pendrith | +3000 | MC-T13-T25-T38-T27 | 5-MC |
Tournament Trends:
Tournament Props:
Playoff:
Will There Be a Playoff at the 3M Open? (Yes +350 / No -500)
Through six editions of the 3M Open, the tournament has yet to be decided by a playoff.
Hole-in-One:
Will There Be a Hole-in-One at the 3M Open? (Yes -120/ No -120)
Here’s a look at every hole-in-one recorded in 3M Open history.
| Year | Player | Hole | Yardage | Round | Final Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Hayden Buckley | No. 17 | 202 | 2nd | MC |
| 2022 | Scott Piercy | No. 4 | 148 | 2nd | T4 |
| 2022 | Brice Garnett | No. 8 | 186 | 3rd | T31 |
| 2020 | Bo Van Pelt | No. 8 | 195 | 1st | 65 |
| 2019 | Tim Herron | No. 8 | 208 | 1st | MC |
Wire to Wire Winner:
Will There Be a Wire-to-Wire Winner at the 3M Open? (Yes +800)
Lee Hodges made history at the 2023 3M Open as the tournament’s only wire-to-wire winner. He held the lead after every round and capped off a dominant week with a final-round 67, finishing at 24-under-par (260). The performance set a new tournament scoring record and his seven-shot victory marked the largest winning margin in 3M Open history.
Recent Horses for Courses (TPC Twin Cities):
| 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open | |||
| TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | |||
| Golfer | Events Played | SG: Total (Event) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
| Tony Finau | 6 | +49.64 | T12 | T7 | WON | T28 | T3 |
| Cameron Davis | 6 | +35.39 | T19 | T10 | T16 | T28 | T12 |
| Cameron Champ | 4 | +27.78 | T12 | – | T16 | WON | – |
| Alex Noren | 2 | +17.78 | – | T13 | – | – | T3 |
| Matthias Schmid | 2 | +14.23 | T12 | T20 | – | – | – |
| Emiliano Grillo | 5 | +34.90 | T24 | T10 | T2 | MC | T3 |
| Doug Ghim | 5 | +25.01 | T24 | T27 | T16 | MC | T18 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 3 | +24.53 | WON | – | – | T2 | MC |
| Keith Mitchell | 5 | +19.92 | T46 | T5 | – | 5 | MC |
| Lee Hodges | 3 | +18.30 | MC | WON | T16 | – | – |
Recent Donkeys for Courses (TPC Twin Cities):
| 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open | |||
| TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | |||
| Golfer | Events Played | SG: Total (Event) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
| Will Gordon | 4 | -25.98 | MC | MC | – | MC | MC |
| Harry Higgs | 4 | -14.33 | – | MC | MC | MC | MC |
| Ben Martin | 4 | -11.40 | – | MC | MC | MC | MC |
| Rafael Campos | 2 | -13.60 | MC | – | – | MC | – |
| Brandon Matthews | 2 | -12.45 | – | MC | MC | – | – |
| Vincent Whaley | 2 | -7.95 | – | – | – | MC | MC |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 2 | -6.95 | – | – | – | MC | MC |
| Austin Cook | 6 | -13.92 | MC | MC | MC | MC | T56 |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 4 | -9.25 | MC | MC | – | T58 | MC |
| Nate Lashley | 5 | -8.14 | MC | T57 | MC | MC | – |
| Joel Dahmen | 3 | -6.41 | MC | MC | – | T67 | – |
| Peter Malnati | 6 | -2.57 | MC | MC | T11 | MC | MC |
Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):
- 2024: Jhonattan Vegas (-17)
- Price: 80-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting |
| 8th | 7th | 8th | 53rd | 9th |
- 2023: Lee Hodges (-24)
- Price: 90-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting |
| 27th | 1st | 1st | 27th | 4th |
- 2022: Tony Finau (-17)
- Price: 14-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting |
| 3rd | 1st | 3rd | 2nd | 42nd |
- 2021: Cameron Champ (-15)
- Price: 150-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting |
| 39th | 27th | 19th | 48th | 1st |
- 2020: Michael Thompson (-19)
- Price: 125-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting |
| 51st | 17th | 4th | 53rd | 1st |
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
- 2024: Jhonattan Vegas
- T20 – John Deere Classic (PGA)
- T25 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
- T27 – RBC Canadian Open (PGA)
- MC – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson (PGA)
- MC – Zurich Classic of New Orleans (PGA)
- 2023: Lee Hodges
- MC – The Open Championship (MAJ)
- T12 – Genesis Scottish Open (PGA)
- MC – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
- MC – Travelers Championship (PGA)
- T25 – RBC Candian Open (PGA)
- 2022: Tony Finau
- T28 – The Open Championship (MAJ)
- T13 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
- MC – U.S. Open (MAJ)
- 2 – RBC Canadian Open (PGA)
- T4 – Charles Schwab Challenge (PGA)
- 2021: Cameron Champ
- T11 – John Deere Classic (PGA)
- MC – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
- MC – U.S. Open (MAJ)
- WD – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
- MC – Charles Schwab Challenge (PGA)
- 2020: Michael Thompson
- MC – Workday Charity Open (PGA)
- T64 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
- T46 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
- T8 – RBC Heritage (PGA)
- MC – Korn Ferry Challenge (KFT)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
- 2024: Jhonattan Vegas
| 3M Open | 3M Open |
| TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities |
| 2021 | 2020 |
| T2 | MC |
- 2023: Lee Hodges
| 3M Open |
| TPC Twin Cities |
| 2022 |
| T16 |
- 2022: Tony Finau
| 3M Open | 3M Open | 3M Open |
| TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities | TPC Twin Cities |
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
| T28 | T3 | T23 |
- 2021: Cameron Champ
| 3M Open |
| TPC Twin Cities |
| 2019 |
| MC |
- 2020: Michael Thompson
| 3M Open |
| TPC Twin Cities |
| 2019 |
| MC |
Picks:
Outrights
Maverick McNealy (+2000) — DraftKings
While McNealy hasn’t picked up a win this season, he’s quietly putting together one of the best years of his career. He arrives at TPC Twin Cities in great form, with three straight top-25 finishes, including strong performances at The Open and the Memorial.
McNealy has also found success at this event before. In three previous appearances at the 3M Open, he’s recorded two top-20s, including a T3 finish in 2024, where he gained +2.66 strokes total. That week, he stood out around the greens and on the putting surface—two areas that consistently separate contenders at this course.
In 2025, McNealy’s putter has been a major weapon, and his approach play has trended in the right direction over the last few starts. If he continues to pair solid iron play with his reliable driving, he has a real chance to turn last year’s near-miss into a breakthrough victory.
Michael Thorbjornsen (+3500) — DraftKings
Thorbjornsen enters the week ranked 86th in the FedEx Cup standings, making this a key opportunity to secure a spot in the FedEx St. Jude Championship—and he has the game to capitalize on it.
Thorbjornsen is well-suited for TPC Twin Cities, a layout that demands both power and precision to navigate the many water hazards. He’s posted T4 (Rocket Mortgage), T21 (John Deere), and T14 (ISCO Championship) finishes in his last three starts, gaining strokes off the tee in all of them.
Both his putting and iron play have shown signs of improvement, and the timing couldn’t be better. He flashed potential here last year with an opening-round 66 before fading on Friday. This time around, he enters with more experience and much steadier form. If he keeps the ball in play and converts his birdie looks, Thorbjornsen could break through for his first PGA TOUR win.
Kurt Kitayama (+4000) — DraftKings
Kurt Kitayama enters the 3M Open ranked 110th in the FedEx Cup standings, making the next two weeks critical in his push to qualify for the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
He’s trending in the right direction, with a T5 at the John Deere Classic followed by a T14 at the Barracuda Championship. Kitayama also has strong course history to lean on—his lone start at TPC Twin Cities resulted in a T6 finish.
The biggest question mark for Kitayama this season has been the putter, which has lacked consistency. But encouragingly, he’s been better with the flat stick in each of his last three starts. Combine that with strong recent ball-striking—he’s gaining strokes both on approach and off the tee—and he has the tools to contend. If the putter cooperates, Kitayama could be in the mix come Sunday.
Keith Mitchell (+5500) — DraftKings
Keith Mitchell currently sits at 70th in the FedEx Cup standings, making the next two weeks vital to securing his spot in the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
While his recent form hasn’t been great—largely due to struggles on approach and around the green—Mitchell has continued to gain strokes both off the tee and with the putter. Those strengths could go a long way at TPC Twin Cities, especially given his track record at this event.
In two of his last three starts here, Mitchell finished 5th (2021) and T5 (2023), despite losing strokes on approach in both. He leaned on elite driving and solid putting to post those results. If he can rediscover even average iron play this week, his past success at this course suggests he’s more than capable of another strong finish.
Andrew Putnam (+7000) — DraftKings
Andrew Putnam enters the week sitting 87th in the FedEx Cup standings, making the next two events critical if he wants to qualify for the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
Putnam has quietly put together some strong performances over the past two months. He kicked off June with a T6 at the RBC Canadian Open and followed it up with a T8 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Although he was forced to withdraw from the John Deere Classic due to a back injury, he returned at the Genesis Scottish Open (MC) and bounced back nicely with a T11 at the Barracuda Championship last week—an encouraging sign.
His putting and short game have remained sharp throughout the season, but his iron play has been inconsistent. That said, last week’s showing offers hope that he’s trending in the right direction. He’s also had success at TPC Twin Cities, finishing T11 in 2022 and T19 in 2024, making him an intriguing long shot this week.
Top 20
Akshay Bhatia (+175) — DraftKings
After a strong 2024, Bhatia has flown under the radar this season—but signs of a resurgence are showing. He’s posted back-to-back solid results with a T30 at The Open and a T26 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. His iron play has stayed consistent, and his driving accuracy has taken a noticeable step forward. Around-the-green and putting have also been trending up after being weaknesses earlier in the year. If that progress continues, Bhatia is a real threat for another high finish at TPC Twin Cities.
Emiliano Grillo (+190) — DraftKings
Grillo enters the week at 71st in the FedEx Cup standings, making these next two events critical to locking in a spot at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. He’s coming off a disappointing result at the Barracuda Championship, but his recent form includes a playoff loss at the John Deere Classic—on a comp course for TPC Twin Cities.
Grillo’s history here is strong. In five starts, he’s posted three top 10 finishes, including a T2 in 2022 and a T3 in 2020. He clearly feels comfortable at this venue.
Matti Schmid (+280) — DraftKings
Sitting 68th in the FedEx Cup standings, Schmid is another player on the bubble looking to secure a playoff spot. He struggled at The Open (T69), but his form before that was encouraging—T17 at the Genesis Scottish Open and T7 at the BMW International Open on the DP World Tour.
Schmid has played well here before, finishing T20 in 2023 and improving to T12 in 2024. His putter let him down at Royal Troon, but his iron play rebounded nicely, which bodes well this week. With solid distance off the tee and improving accuracy, Schmid has the tools to contend.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
