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Tuesday Free Play Video:
2025 Farmers Insurance Open Preview & Picks
Once again last week, we came agonizingly close to our first outright win of the season. Justin Lower (150-1) finished T3 at the American Express, extending the string of near-misses after Nico Echavarria (100-1) fell just short in a playoff to Nick Taylor at the Sony Open in Hawaii. Earlier in the year at The Sentry, Sungjae Im (18-1) also narrowly missed, finishing 3rd.
Now, the focus shifts to the Farmers Insurance Open, the fourth event of the 2025 PGA TOUR season, and the third full-field tournament of the year.
Pre-Tournament Storylines:
Matthieu Pavon
Matthieu Pavon will aim to defend his title at the Farmers Insurance Open, where he made history as the first player from France to win on the PGA TOUR since World War II. This will mark Pavon’s second start of the season following a T48 finish at The Sentry.
Tournament Information:
- Dates: January 22nd – January 25th, 2025
- Location: La Jolla, California, United States
- Courses: Torrey Pines Golf Course (South and North)
- Format: 72-hole stroke play
- Thursday – Friday: 2 Course Rotation
- Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)
- Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course)
- Saturday – Sunday: Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)
- Thursday – Friday: 2 Course Rotation
- Purse/ Winner: $9,300,000 /$1,674,000
- FedEx Cup Points: 500
- Field: 156 Players
- Cut: Top 65 and Ties – 36 Holes
- Playoff Format: Sudden Death | 18, 18, 16, 17, 18, 16, 17, 18
- Historic Cut Line:
- 2024: -3
- 2023: E
- 2022: -3
Social Media:
- Course X: N/A
- Tournament X: N/A
Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)
- Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
- Length: 7,765 Yards
- Greens: Poa annua .095”
- Fairways: Ryegrass overseed .425”
- Rough: Ryegrass overseed 4”
- Bunkers: 82
- Water Hazard(s): 1 (In-Play on 1 Holes)
- Average Green Size: 5,000 sq. ft.
- Stimpmeter: 11.5 ft.
- Course Scoring Average:
- 2024: 72.40 (+0.40), Rank 9 of 51
- 2023: 73.62 (+1.62), Rank 4 of 49
- 2022: 72.35 (+0.35), Rank 15 of 50
Course Architect:
- Course Architect: William P. Bell and William F. Bell (1957)
- Renovations: Rees Jones (2001, 2019)
Comparable Courses:
- Riviera Country Club – The Genesis Invitational – RESULTS
- Los Angeles Country Club – 2023 U.S. Open – RESULTS
- TPC Harding Park – 2020 PGA Championship – RESULTS
Comparable Location (La Jolla, California, United States):
- PGA West – La Quinta, California – The American Express
- Pebble Beach Golf Links – Pebble Beach, California – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
- The Riviera Country Club – Pacific Palisades, California – The Genesis Invitational
- Silverado Resort and Spa – Napa, California – Procore Championship
- Tahoe Mountain Club (Old Greenwood) – Truckee, California – Barracuda Championship
Designer Link (Rees Jones (2001, 2019)):
- East Lake Golf Club – Rees Jones Renovation (1994,2008,2016) – TOUR Championship
Comparable Yardage (7,765 Yards):
- Corales Golf Course – 7,670 Yards – Corales Puntacana Championship
Comparable Greens (Poa annua .095”):
- Spyglass Hill GC – Poa annua .100” – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
- Riviera CC – Poa annua .100” – The Genesis Invitational
- Pebble Beach Golf Links – Poa annua – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Comparable Average Green Size (5,000 sq. ft.):
- Spyglass Hill Golf Course – 5,000 sq. ft. – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
- Colonial Country Club – 5,000 sq. ft. – Charles Schwab Challenge
- Muirfield Village Golf Club – 5,000 sq. ft. – the Memorial Tournament
- TPC River Highlands – 5,000 sq. ft. – Travelers Championship
Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course)
- Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
- Length: 7,258 Yards
- Greens: Bentgrass .100”
- Fairways: Ryegrass overseed .425”
- Rough: Ryegrass overseed 4”
- Bunkers: 42
- Water Hazard(s): 0 (In-Play on 0 Holes)
- Average Green Size: 6,000 sq. ft.
- Stimpmeter: 10.5 ft.
- Course Scoring Average:
- 2024: 69.50 (-2.50), Rank 44 of 51
- 2023: 71.46 (-0.54), Rank 24 of 49
- 2022: 68.77 (-3.23), Rank 48 of 50
Course Architect:
- Course Architect: William P. Bell and William F. Bell (1957)
- Renovations: Tom Weiskopf (2016)
Comparable Courses:
- Riviera Country Club – The Genesis Invitational – RESULTS
- Los Angeles Country Club – 2023 U.S. Open – RESULTS
- TPC Harding Park – 2020 PGA Championship – RESULTS
Comparable Location (La Jolla, California, United States):
- PGA West – La Quinta, California – The American Express
- Pebble Beach Golf Links – Pebble Beach, California – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
- The Riviera Country Club – Pacific Palisades, California – The Genesis Invitational
- Silverado Resort and Spa – Napa, California – Procore Championship
- Tahoe Mountain Club (Old Greenwood) – Truckee, California – Barracuda Championship
Designer Link (Tom Weiskopf (2016):
- TPC Scottsdale – Tom Weiskopf Design (1986)/ Renovation (2014) – WM Phoenix Open
- TPC Craig Ranch – Tom Weiskopf Design (2004) – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Comparable Yardage (7,258 Yards):
- TPC Summerlin – 7,255 Yards – Shriners Children’s Open
- TPC Sawgrass (Stadium Course) – 7,256 Yards – THE PLAYERS Championship
Comparable Greens (Bentgrass .100”):
- TPC Craig Ranch – Bentgrass .100” – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
- Muirfield Village Golf Club – Bentgrass .090” – the Memorial Tournament
- TPC Twin Cities – Bentgrass .110” – 3M Open
Comparable Average Green Size (6,000 sq. ft.)
- Monterey Peninsula CC (Shore Course) – 6,000 sq. ft. – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
- Puntacana (Corales Golf Course) – 6,000 sq. ft. – Corales Puntacana Championship
- Port Royal Golf Course – 6,000 sq. ft. – Butterfield Bermuda Championship
TV Information (all times ET):
- Round 1: Wednesday, January 22nd, 2025
- ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 11:45 AM – 3:00 PM
- Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 7:00 PM
- Round 2: Thursday, January 23rd, 2025
- ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 11:45 AM – 3:00 PM
- Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 7:00 PM
- Round 3: Friday, January 24th, 2025
- ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 12:00 PM – 3:00 PM
- Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 5:00 PM
- CBS – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
- Round 4: Saturday, January 25th, 2025
- ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 12:00 PM – 2:00 PM
- Golf Channel – 2:00 PM – 4:00 PM
- CBS – 4:00 PM – 8:00 PM
Weather:
Course/ Tournament History:
The Farmers Insurance Open will take place from Wednesday to Saturday. This change was made to avoid competing with the NFL Conference Championship games that will take place on Sunday.
The Farmers Insurance Open is a premier PGA Tour event held annually at the iconic Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolla, California. Its origins trace back to 1952 when it was first played as the San Diego Open, with Ted Kroll capturing the inaugural title. Over the decades, the tournament has undergone several name changes, reflecting shifts in sponsorship, before Farmers Insurance became the title sponsor in 2010. The event is known for its challenging course setup, particularly on the South Course, which gained global recognition as the host of the 2008 and 2021 U.S. Opens.
The South Course at Torrey Pines Golf Course, located along the stunning cliffs of La Jolla, California, is one of the most renowned public golf courses in the world. Originally designed by William F. Bell in 1957, it underwent a major renovation by Rees Jones in 2001 to prepare it for hosting major championships. Known for its breathtaking views of the Pacific Ocean and its challenging layout, the South Course has become a staple on the PGA Tour, serving as the primary venue for the Farmers Insurance Open. Its reputation as a demanding test of golf reached new heights when it hosted the unforgettable 2008 U.S. Open, where Tiger Woods triumphed in a dramatic playoff against Rocco Mediate, and again during the 2021 U.S. Open, where Jon Rahm claimed his first major title. With narrow fairways, deep rough, and lightning-fast greens, the South Course has earned its place as one of the toughest and most iconic layouts in professional golf.
The North Course at Torrey Pines Golf Course, nestled alongside its more famous counterpart in La Jolla, California, has long been a favorite among golfers for its scenic beauty and playability. Designed by William F. Bell in 1957, the North Course offers stunning views of the Pacific Ocean and a more forgiving layout compared to the challenging South Course. In 2016, renowned architect Tom Weiskopf spearheaded a comprehensive renovation, modernizing the course while preserving its natural charm. The redesign included improved bunkering, widened fairways, and the removal of trees to enhance ocean vistas, making it more accessible for amateur golfers while still providing a solid test for professionals.
Previous Tournament Venues:
| Duration | Course | Location |
| 1968-Present | Torrey Pines Golf Course | La Jolla, California, United States |
| 1965-1967 | Stardust Country Club | El Cajon, California, United States |
| 1964 | Rancho Bernardo Country Club | |
| 1962-1963 | Stardust Country Club | El Cajon, California, United States |
| 1957, 1958-1961 | Mission Valley Country Club | El Cajon, California, United States |
| 1956 | Singing Hills Country Club | |
| 1955 | Mission Valley Country Club | El Cajon, California, United States |
| 1954 | Rancho Santa Fe Golf Club | |
| 1952-1953 | San Diego Country Club | Chula Vista, California, United States |
Previous Tournament Names:
| Duration | Tournament Name |
| 2010-Present | Farmers Insurance Open |
| 1996-2009 | Buick Invitational |
| 1992-1995 | Buick Invitational of California |
| 1991 | Shearson Lehman Brothers Open |
| 1989-1990 | Shearson Lehman Hutton Open |
| 1988 | Shearson Lehman Hutton Andy Williams Open |
| 1986-1987 | Shearson Lehman Brothers Andy Williams Open |
| 1983-1985 | Isuzu-Andy Williams San Diego Open |
| 1981-1982 | Wickes-Andy Williams San Diego Open |
| 1968-1980 | Andy Williams-San Diego Open Invitational |
| 1957, 1959-1967 | San Diego Open Invitational |
| 1995-1956 | Convair-San Diego Open |
| 1952-1954 | San Diego Open |
Tournament Records:
- 72-Hole Record (Tournament – Farmers Insurance Open):
- 266, George Burns (1987), Tiger Woods (1999)
- 18-Hole Record (Tournament – Farmers Insurance Open):
- 61, Mark Brooks (Round 2, 1990), Brandt Snedeker (Round 1, 2007)
- Largest Margin of Victory (Tournament – Farmers Insurance Open):
- 8 Strokes – Tiger Woods (2008)
- Most Wins at Event:
- 7 – Tiger Woods (1999, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2013)
Course Records:
- 18-Hole Record (Torrey Pines South Course):
- 62, Tiger Woods (Round 3, 1999)
- 18-Hole Record (Torrey Pines North Course (Redesigned)):
- 62, Jon Rahm (Round 1, 2019), Ryan Palmer (Round 2, 2020), Alex Smalley (Round 2, 2022), Adam Schenk (Round 2, 2022)
Course Guides/ Scorecard:
Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)
The four Par 3’s range from 177 to 227 yards. Last year, two (No. 3 and No. 11) of the four Par 3’s had a scoring average over par.
No. 3, 201 yards, Par 3: Overlooking La Jolla, South Course’s signature Par 3, is the most picturesque of all the Par 3’s on the course. Club selection is of utmost importance as the hole can play as short as a 9 iron, and as long as a hybrid. Playing downhill, a good tee shot will leave you middle of green. Avoid going long here as it will leave you a very difficult pitch to get up and down.
No. 16, 227 yards, Par 3: Two teeing grounds will have a dramatic effect on how this hole is played. The shorter tee, to the left, brings two greenside bunkers into play, but players can aim right and ride the prevailing breeze. The front of the green is open from the longer tee, but the wind can complicate the angle.
There are ten Par 4’s on the South Course at Torrey Pines with the majority of those holes ranging between 450 and 500 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course last year was No. 12.
No. 4, 490 yards, Par 4: The second longest of the daunting Par 4’s at Torrey Pines, hole #4 requires a good tee shot that will leave you a long iron or fairway metal into a green protected by a bunker on the left. Play approach to the right of the green to allow the contours of the green complex to feed the ball to the middle of the green. A par here is a good score.
No. 14, 437 yards, Par 4: With the canyon running all along the left of the fairway, players will be sure to play the ball safely out to the right, probably with a fairway wood. The most difficult hole location will be back right, but any shots missed long could result in bogey or worse, as there are hazards just off the back of the green.
There are four Par 5s on the course, No. 6, No. 9, No. 13, and No. 18. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2024. No. 6 was the easiest hole on the course last year with a scoring average of 0.384 below par.
No. 13, 621 yards, Par 5: A new tee has been added, back and to the left, calling for a drive of at least 240 yards to carry the canyon. Should players choose to go for the green in two, they will need to carry the second shot some 260 yards as the green is elevated and protected by bunkers and rough in front.
No. 18, 570 yards, Par 5: The closing hole is a great par 5 – basically straight but with a twist in the drive zone – on which anything can happen. Just ask Bruce Devlin. In contention for the 1975 Andy Williams San Diego Open, the Australian took six hacks to get his ball out of the water in front of the green on his way to making a 10. The pond is now called “Devlin’s Billabong”.
Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 3
Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course)
The four Par 3’s range from 202 to 241 yards.
No. 12, 203 yards, Par 3: Playing downhill and downwind, this Par 3 requires a precise tee shot to carry the canyon. Par is a great score here.
No. 15, 202 yards, Par 3: The signature Par 3 offers players a spectacular view of La Jolla and the Pacific Ocean. Playing downhill this beautiful hole is protected by a bunker in front of a steeply back-to-front sloped green. Avoid going long here.
There are ten Par 4’s on the North Course at Torrey Pines with the majority of those holes ranging between 450 and 500 yards.
No. 16, 393 yards, Par 4: Don’t put the cameras away yet! This slight dogleg right uphill Par 4 plays parallel to the Pacific Ocean. A good tee shot will leave you a short iron into an elevated green.
No. 18, 486 yards, Par 4: The closing hole on the North Course is as demanding as it comes. Rated the toughest hole on the course, many a bet will be won and lost on this Par 4! Favor the left side, as a good tee shot will leave you a mid-to-long iron to a two-tiered green.
There are four Par 5s on the course, No. 5, No. 9, No. 10, and No. 17.
No. 5, 525 yards, Par 5: This Par 5 is a welcome sight after three long Par 4’s, to open the outward 9. A relatively short Par 5 is a slight dog-leg left. Favor the left side of the fairway on the tee shot. A good tee shot can leave you in the “go zone, “ to hit your approach onto a relatively open green.
No. 17, 520 yards, Par 5: Once a Par 4, this hole was renovated to a Par 5 during its last renovation. Playing downwind a good tee shot on this slight dogleg left Par 5 will need to favor the right side as the left is OB. A good shot will leave either a clear lay-up shot or even better an opportunity to reach a relatively unprotected green in two!
Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 15
Key Statistics:
The Farmers Insurance Open occurs at Torrey Pines Golf Course. Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.
| Statistics | PGA Tour Average | Torrey Pines (South Course) | Torrey Pines (North Course) |
| Driving Distance (Yards) | 283.73 | 286.61 | – |
| Driving Accuracy | 62% | 53% | 50% |
| GIR Percentage | 66% | 62% | 72% |
| Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet) | 29.17 | 29.67 | – |
| Scrambling Percentage | 58% | 52% | 62% |
| Avg 3 Putts / Round | 0.55 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at Torrey Pines (South Course).
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at Torrey Pines (North Course).
- Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
- Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Luek Clanton
- Trevor Cone
- Daniel Berger
- Joseph Bramlett
- Taylor Moore
- Maverick McNealy
- Patrick Fishburn
- Gary Woodland
- Kurt Kitayama
- Doug Ghim
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- A strong iron game is crucial for success at this event, as demonstrated by recent history.
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- J.J. Spaun
- Antoine Rozner
- Mac Meissner
- Kurt Kitayama
- Gary Woodland
- Matteo Manassero
- Charley Hoffman
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Luke Clanton
- David Lipsky
- Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)
- The green complexes on the South Course at Torrey Pines are Poa annua .095”.
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Taylor Montgomery
- Chesson Hadley
- Akshay Bhatia
- Max Homa
- S.H. Kim
- Peter Malnati
- Rafael Campos
- Maverick McNealy
- Hayden Springer
- Matthieu Pavon
- Beau Hossler
- Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
- Six of the ten Par 4’s on the South Course at Torrey Pines range from 450-500 Yards.
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Alejandro Tosti
- Austin Eckroat
- Sungjae Im
- Joe Highsmith
- Luke Clanton
- Patrick Fishburn
- Henrik Norlander
- Daniel Berger
- Maverick McNelay
- Carson Young
- Bogey Avoidance
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Max Greyserman
- Kurt Kitayama
- Gary Woodland
- Andrew Novak
- Shane Lowry
- Greyson Sigg
- Joe Highsmith
- Mac Meissner
- Harris English
- Beau Hossler
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Scrambling Gained
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Harris English
- Brian Campbell
- Zach Johnson
- Akshay Bhatia
- Adam Schenk
- Max Greyserman
- Paul Peterson
- Kurt Kitayama
- Gary Woodland
- Eric Cole
- Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
- Proximity Gained: 200+ Yards
- The South Course at Torrey Pines sees a significantly higher volume of approach shots from the 200+ yard range compared to the PGA Tour average.
- Leaders in Proximity Gained 200+ Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
- Michael Kim
- Kurt Kitayama
- Max Greyserman
- Alex Smalley
- Luke Clanton
- Austin Eckroat
- Andrew Novak
- Ben Griffin
- Nick Hardy
- Kaito Onishi
- Comparable Courses and Event History
- The Data Golf Course History Tool suggests that past success at Torrey Pines has been a strong predictor of future performance in this tournament.
- Leaders in this category (Stokes Gained Total at Farmers Insurance Open):
- Matthieu Pavon
- Jake Knapp
- Tony Finau
- Ludvig Aberg
- Justin Rose
- Will Zalatoris
- Max Homa
- Ryan Palmer
- Akshay Bhatia
- Taylor Montgomery
The Field:
This year’s Farmers Insurance Open will feature a total of 156 competitors.
Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
- Winner – PGA/U.S. Open Championship
- Winner – Masters Tournament
- Winner – British Open
- Winners of the Arnold Palmer, Memorial, Genesis (Last 3 Years)
- Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
- Career Money Exemption
- Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
- Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
- Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
- PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
- Open Qualifying
- Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
- Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
- Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
- Major Medical Extension
- PGA TOUR University #1 – Prior Season
- Leading 10 players (not otherwise exempt) on DP World Tour
- Players 2-30 on the Prior Season Korn Ferry Tour Points List
- Top 5 Finishers and Ties from PGA TOUR Q-School
- Top Finishers from Korn Ferry Tour Medical
- Minor Medical Extension
- 126-150 on FedExCup Fall Points List
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
- Matthieu Pavon (2024), Max Homa (2023), Luke List (2022), Justin Rose (2019), Jason Day (2018, 2015), Brandt Snedeker (2016, 2012)
Debutants in the Field (Event):
- Aldrich Potgieter, Antoine Rozner, Cavin McCall, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, Frankie Capan III, Jackson Koivun, Jackson Suber, Jeremy Paul, Jesper Svensson, John Pak, Kaito Onishi, Kevin Velo, Luke Clanton, Mason Andersen, Matt McCarty, Matteo Manassero, Matthew Riedel, Michael Thorbjornsen, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Goodwin, Paul Peterson, Quade Cummins, Ricky Castillo, Rikuya Hoshino, Ryan Gerard, Steven Fisk, Takumi Kanaya, Taylor Dickson, Thomas Rosenmueller, Thriston Lawrence, Tim Widing, Will Chandler, William Mouw
Sponsors Exemptions:
- Joseph Bramlett (Unrestricted)
- Luke Clanton (Unrestricted)
- Zach Johnson (PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt)
- Jackson Koivun (Unrestricted)
- Willie Mack III (Unrestricted)
- Troy Merritt (PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt)
- Kevin Tway (DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category)
- Dylan Wu (DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category)
Notable Withdraws/ Changes:
- Nicolai Højgaard WD / Hayden Springer IN
- Collin Morikawa WD / Wesley Bryan IN
- Tyler McCumber WD / S.H. Kim IN
- Mackenzie Hughes WD / Pierceson Coody IN
- Akshay Bhatia WD / Garrick Higgo IN
- Chesson Hadley WD / Carl Yuan IN
- Harry Hall WD / Matthew NeSmith IN
Tee Times & Groupings:
The Odds:
Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:
Tournament Props:
Playoff:
- Will There Be a Playoff at the Farmers Insurance Open? (Yes +350 / No -500)
In the last ten editions of the Farmers Insurance Open, this tournament has been decided by a playoff three times (2015, 2018, 2022).
Hole-in-One:
- Will There Be A Hole-in-One at the Farmers Insurance Open? (Yes -150/ No +115)
Last year at the Farmers Insurance Open, Hideki Matsuyama made his first career hole-in-one on the 8th hole on the South Course.
Recent Horses for Courses (Event):
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |||
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |||
| Golfer | Events Played | Scoring Avg. (per round) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
| Tony Finau | 10 | 70.32 | 6 | 9 | MC | 2 | 6 |
| Will Zalatoris | 5 | 70.13 | 13 | MC | 2 | 7 | – |
| Taylor Montgomery | 3 | 70.33 | 13 | 31 | 11 | – | – |
| Max Homa | 8 | 70.92 | 13 | WON | MC | 18 | 9 |
| Ryan Palmer | 10 | 70.74 | – | 62 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
Recent Donkeys for Courses (Event):
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |||
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |||
| Golfer | Events Played | Scoring Avg. (per round) | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
| Vincent Whaley | 4 | 72.75 | MC | – | MC | MC | MC |
| Davis Riley | 3 | 73.50 | MC | MC | MC | – | – |
| Harry Hall | 3 | 73.33 | MC | MC | – | – | MC |
| Kyounghoon Lee | 4 | 72.75 | MC | – | – | MC | MC |
| Lee Hodges | 3 | 72.33 | MC | MC | MC | – | – |
| Hayden Buckley | 3 | 72.17 | MC | MC | MC | – | – |
| Matthias Schmid | 2 | 73.50 | MC | MC | – | – | – |
| Kurt Kitayama | 2 | 73.50 | – | MC | MC | – | – |
| Eric Cole | 2 | 73.50 | MC | MC | – | – | – |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 2 | 73.00 | – | – | – | MC | MC |
| Carl Yuan | 2 | 72.75 | MC | MC | – | – | – |
| Scott Gutschewski | 6 | 72.29 | MC | – | MC | – | – |
| David Skinns | 2 | 72.25 | MC | – | MC | – | – |
Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):
- 2024: Matthieu Pavon (-13)
- Price: 125-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Matthieu Pavon | 25th | 23rd | 21st | 47th | 4th |
- 2023: Max Homa (-13)
- Price: 25-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Max Homa | 31st | 1st | 1st | 24th | 9th |
- 2022: Luke List (-15)
- Price: 90-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Luke List | 21st | 5th | 4th | 32nd | 8th |
- 2021: Patrick Reed (-14)
- Price: 25-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Patrick Reed | 31st | 12th | 39th | 1st | 10th |
- 2020: Marc Leishman (-15)
- Price: 55-1
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Marc Leishman | 48th | 16th | 5th | 56th | 1st |
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
- 2024: Matthieu Pavon
- T39 – The American Express (PGA)
- T7 – Sony Open in Hawaii (PGA)
- MC – AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open (DPWT)
- T5 – DP World Tour Championship (DPWT)
- T15 – Nedbank Golf Challenge (DPWT)
- 2023: Max Homa
- T3 – Sentry Tournament of Champions (PGA)
- 17 – Hero World Challenge (PGA)
- T23 – THE CJ CUP in South Carolina (PGA)
- T20 – Shriners Children’s Open (PGA)
- WON – Fortinet Championship (PGA)
- 2022: Luke List
- T22 – The American Express (PGA)
- T10 – The RSM Classic (PGA)
- T11 – Hewlett Packard Enterprise Houston Open (PGA)
- MC – World Wide Technology Championship (PGA)
- T7 – ZOZO Championship (PGA)
- 2021: Patrick Reed
- MC – The American Express (PGA)
- T21 – Sentry Tournament of Champions (PGA)
- T10 – The Masters (MAJ)
- T14 – ZOZO Championship (PGA)
- T13 – U.S. Open (MAJ)
- 2020: Marc Leishman
- T28 – Sony Open in Hawaii (PGA)
- 69 – ZOZO Championship (PGA)
- T43 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
- 3 – Safeway Open (PGA)
- WD – A Military Tribute (PGA)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2024: Matthieu Pavon
- Tournament Debut
2023: Max Homa
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | |
| Max Homa | MC | T18 | T9 | MC | MC | MC |
2022: Luke List
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2013 | |
| Luke List | T10 | T36 | T40 | T12 | MC | MC | T68 |
2021: Patrick Reed
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2016 | 2013 | |
| Patrick Reed | T6 | T13 | T23 | WD | T39 |
2020: Marc Leishman
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Buick Invitational | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | |
| Marc Leishman | T43 | T8 | T20 | MC | T27 | T2 | MC | T52 | T9 | T2 | T26 |
Picks:
Outrights
Keegan Bradley (+2200) – FanDuel/ DraftKings
Risk 0.37 Units to win 8.14 Units
Will Zalatoris (+2200) – FanDuel/ DraftKings
Risk 0.37 Units to win 8.14 Units
Max Homa (+3300) – FanDuel
Risk 0.25 Units to win 8.25 Units
Stephan Jaeger (+6500) – FanDuel
Risk 0.13 Units to win 8.45 Units
Top 20 (Inc. Ties)
Sahith Theegala (+125) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 Units to win 1.25 Units
Maverick McNealy (+130) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 Units to win 1.30 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
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Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com
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College Football National Championship January 20th Sports Betting – Ohio State vs Notre Dame – College Football 2024/2025
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Monday, Jan. 20
CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T: Ohio State vs Notre Dame +8.5 O/U 45.5
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
Time: 7:30 p.m.
TV Network: ESPN
All Motivated.
Home: None as both fan bases will come hard.
Key Guys Missing:
Notre Dame:
- LT Anthony Knapp went out last game and will miss the championship.
- RB Jeremiyah Love questionable.
- DT Team Captain Rylie Mills out for the season.
- TE Cooper Flanagan is out with a foot injury.
Ohio State:
- C Seth McLaughlin is out
- OT Josh Simmons is out.
Postseason Coach ATS:
- Notre Dame: Marcus Freeman, 4-0
- Ohio State: Ryan Day, 5-4
Net YPP: Ohio State +1.04
Basic Stats:
Key Stats: Wow, where do I start here. Ohio State certainly has the highest upside ranking 2nd in offensive EPA. They can run the ball and pass the ball to their future NFL wide receivers when needed. Notre Dame ranks a modest 8th in offensive EPA, but they do not pass the ball all that well ranking 47th in passing EPA. On defense it is really a push as both defenses rank top two in EPA. Notre dame tends to allow a lot more on the ground as we saw during the first half against Penn State, but they really tighten up in the red zone.
Verdict: Let’s face it, Notre Dame is the better team coached team but Ohio State is better by the numbers and we can see that. I think that the intangibles can play a big part in this game. I think that the coaching edge goes to Marcus Freeman. I also really like offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock who should have watched Texas throw the ball very successfully to their running backs on wheel routs in the semi-finals. I also think that Al Golden may be the best thing that Notre Dame has had for the last 50+ years running the defense. He will understand Ohio State offensive coordinator Chip Kelley and his schemes quite well.
Ohio State went on a pretty bad cold spell against Texas and virtually lost all momentum. The box score only has Ohio State out-gaining Texas by 29 yards and that is including that end of the first half explosive play from Treveon Henderson. If it wasn’t for the fumble 6 that swung that game 14 points, Texas might have won that game in overtime. I have Notre Dame better than Texas. This number should be Ohio State by about 6 points and that is giving them some extra love for their recent performances against Tennessee and Oregon. There is some concern that Notre Dame lost their left tackle against Penn State in Anthony Knapp. This is true but if you remember, the original starting left tackle Charles Jagusah is back from injury. He played guard last game, but could slide into left tackle if needed. Tosh Baker is a great job at left tackle filling in so they might just stay at their positions. Lastly, Ohio State might have the passing advantage over Notre Dame’s offense, but the Irish rank number 1 in the country at opponent QBR. If anyone can slow down the Buckeye’s, it’s the Irish. I have this ending in a one score game. Take the points.
Notre Dame +8.5 – 1.5 stars – Look at Notre Dame running back receiving props as well!
Podcast 670 – 6 – 25 – NFL Week Divisional Recap – College Football National Championship & Prop Plays – Sports Betting
We have a great show for you today! Kiev goes solo to recap the weekend and get into some college football national championship props! First, we get into the good the bad and the ugly. Then, Kiev talks about the early NFL numbers. Where is his lean? Finally, Kiev talks about the Natty between Ohio State and Notre Dame with three Free Prop Plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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NFL Divisional Weekend Sunday Fun-day Plays – Sports Betting – Rams vs Eagles – Ravens vs Bills
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie USE PROMO CODE Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Clic k here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025 Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeil To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business! Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season! 2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U 2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U 2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U 63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI 55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI 56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U 55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI 63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS! 54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI 38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI 62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Rams vs Eagles -6.5 O/U 42.5
This may be a great game on the eyes today as the 10-7 Rams visit the 14-3 Eagles in what is looking like a snow game! Let’s start right away with the advanced metrics. Due to Rams very early injuries, we have to start EPA from week 9 ending week 17 due to players resting week 18 on both teams. The Eagles are 6th in offensive EPA. They are 9th in drop-back EPA and 1st in rush EPA. The Rams are 13th in offensive EPA. They are 11th in drop-back EPA and 17th in rush EPA. On Defense, the Eagles are 1st in defensive EPA, 1st in drop-back EPA, and 1st in rush EPA. Respectively, the Rams are 15th in defensive EPA, 19th in drop-back EPA and 11th in rush EPA. If you look since week 13, the Rams are in the top 10 in offensive EPA. The Rams finished the last few weeks of the season a bit better than the Eagles did especially when you look at strength of schedule. The Eagles have a +1 net yards per play advantage, and they are also the more efficient team.
The Nakobe Dean injury for the birds I think is massive, and it could not have come at a worse time. The Market isn’t reflecting it as much as they should as I believe the Rams will have success running the football. The Eagles are the best at guarding receivers and tight ends in the league. Maybe a Puka Nakua or a Cooper Kupp under prop is in order. With the Philly linebacker issues, I think rushing prop Kyren Williams over is in play. We have to respect how well the Rams are playing as of late and the fact that they have the better coach. If it wasn’t for the Nakobe Dean Injury, this number should be closer to seven. I think it should be around five. The snow here is also screaming dog. The total is dropping as we type this. Taking the Rams with some props.
Rams +6.5 – 2 stars
Kyren Williams over 75.5 rushing yards – .5 stars
Ravens vs Bills +1 O/U 51
This is the best game of the NFL season as my top two teams are facing off in the quarter finals. Let’s hope we do not have the refs deciding the game like we did in the Chiefs game. Both of these teams rested in week 18, so lets look at the EPA numbers up to week 17. The Bills are 1st in offensive EPA. They are 2nd in drop-back EPA and 3rd in rush EPA. The Ravens 2nd in offensive EPA. They are 1st in drop-back EPA and number 2 in rush EPA. On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills are number 12 in defensive EPA, 19th in drop-back EPA and 5th in rush EPA. The Ravens are14th in defensive EPA, 18th drop-back EPA and 4thin rush EPA. The Ravens have a big 1.1 net yards per play advantage. These teams are very identical. The Ravens have a great success rate as they always get the first down. The Bills are the much more efficient team as they have the more explosive plays and rank much higher in offensive and defensive yards per point. The Bills numbers are a little bit misleading on defense as they lost a few linebackers like Milano and Bernard during the season, yet both are back healthy. This is the healthiest that I have seen this Buffalo team this late in the season. The Ravens will be without their star wide receiver in Zay Flowers. I have the Ravens as the slightly better team in my power ratings, but the home field for the Bills might be all that they need. Lamar hasn’t great in the cold or in the playoffs in the past. This game will go to clutch performances. Josh Allen maybe the most clutch performer next to Patrick Mahomes in the NFL. Lamar has not proven it for me. He loses in the playoffs and I do not see why it would change now. Until it does, water is wet, the sky is blue. Fade the Ravens in the Playoffs.
From a prop perspective both Baltimore and Buffalo are top 4 in allowing receiving yards to running backs. Maybe look at a Ty Johnson/James Cook receiving prop and definitely a Justice Hill receiving prop over. Last matchup he had 78 yards against the Bills.
Bills PK +100 – 2 stars
Justice Hill over 23.5 rec yards – 1.5 stars
Ty Johnson anytime TD +550 – 2.5 stars
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College Basketball Saturday Super Plays – Tennessee vs Vanderbilt – Sports Betting
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt +6 O/U 141.5
This should be a fun game with two in-state rivals in the Vols vs The Commodores. I really need to ask though, are these teams really rivals? Vanderbilt has finally become relevant with coach Byington this season with a nice 1403 record. Looking into that record though, their best win was against number 66 on Kenpom in Nevada. Vanderbilt doesn’t have many advantages over Tennessee as they will be beaten badly from three point land as the Vols rank number 1 in defending the three. Tennessee is one of the best rebounding teams out there ranking 2nd in adjusted offensive rebounding. They are going to score some points here. I think now at 14-3 the Commodores will be taken seriously. The Vols rank 24th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 4th on defense, while Vandy ranks 51st and 63rd respectively on an easy schedule. Tennessee is the much taller team and will bully Vandy down low. I think that Tennessee has felt that big road loss at Florida last week and will show up this game. Vanderbilt is a paper tiger. Lay the road chalk with the Vols.
Tennessee -6 – 2.5 stars
NFL Divisional Weekend Saturday Super Plays – Texans vs Chiefs & Commanders vs Lions
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookie USE PROMO CODE Basketball2025 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASKETBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Clic k here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2025 Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeil To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business! Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season! 2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U 2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U 2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U 63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI 55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI 56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U 55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI 63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS! 54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI 38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI 62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Texans vs Chiefs -8.5 O/U 41.5
Let’s get started with the Houston Texan’s usual spot on Saturday! The Texans are feeling pretty hot yet the Chiefs are on over 20 days rest. Is that much rest a good thing? Maybe there could be some rust, but Andy Reid has proven that it is in fact good for the Chiefs. Kansas City is number 9 in EPA on offense. They are 10th in drop-back EPA and 13th in rush EPA. Houston ranks 21st in EPA. They are 21st in drop-back EPA and 23rd in Rush EPA. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs rank 15th in defensive EPA, 15th in drop-back EPA, and 11th in rush EPA. The Texans rank 6th in defensive EPA, 7th in drop-back EPA, and 6th in rush EPA. Looking at the numbers, it is easy to see why the total is so low as both teams metrically matchup pretty equal. Even net yards per play is at a net 0. I think I like the Texans to keep it close or at least back door this spread. The Chiefs have not covered big numbers this year and they just care about getting the W. The Chiefs allow 70.1 yards per game to tight ends. I think a prop on Dalton Shultz makes some good sense. I think that the Chiefs should win this, but this spread is a bit too much.
Texans +8.5 – 2 stars – Dalton Shultz over 38.5 rec yards – 1 star
Commanders vs Lions -8.5 O/U 55.5
This is gonna be a great game to watch if the high total lives up to it’s number. The Lions are 3rd in offensive EPA. They are 3rd in drop-back EPA and 5th in rush EPA. The Commies are 4th in offensive EPA. They are 4th in drop-back EPA and 4th in rush EPA. From the defensive side of the ball, the Lions are 7th in defensive EPA, 6th in drop-back EPA, and 12th in rush EPA. The Commanders are 22nd in defensive EPA, 13th in drop-back EPA, and rough 27th in rush EPA. Detroit has a +.3 net yards per play advantage. Detroit is more efficient in yards per point on both offense and defense. Looking at the numbers, the Lions should be able to run the ball whenever they want to, and especially since David Montgomery is back. This isn’t good for an over. There are also issues with the fact that the Commanders are over 80% in fourth down conversions and will go for them. The Lions give up the most yards to wide receivers, yet it is also because of the shootouts they are in. Some Terry McLauren or a Dyami Brown Props may be live. The Lions are very thin at defense, yet they are still somehow still playing great. Any big injury may call for a live bet on Washington. The Commanders allow the least receiving yards to running backs at only 22.8, but that could be due to the bad division. This spread is probably a tad too high. The Lions are just too efficient on offense. I think a seven would be more of a fair number. Let’s attack the prop market instead.
Dyami Brown over 35.5 rec yards – .5 stars – Total Punts under 6.5 -170 – 1 star
