Bears: Caleb Williams (limited), Tyson Bagent, Case Keenum
Bengals: Josh Johnson, Joe Flacco, Sean Clifford
🔥 What Actually Matters in This Game
Chicago’s QB depth is the story. Case Keenum went 9-for-10 for 151 yards and two TDs last week, while Tyson Bagent continues to be one of the league’s most reliable preseason quarterbacks. The Bears are now 7‑0‑1 in Bagent’s preseason appearances.
Caleb Williams won’t play much, if at all. Chicago will again rely on Bagent/Keenum to run the offense, and under Ben Johnson, the Bears average 31.2 PPG in preseason games.
Cincinnati is resting starters. Zac Taylor confirmed that Burrow, Chase, and most top-line players will sit. Expect heavy reps for Josh Johnson, Joe Flacco, and fourth‑stringer Sean Clifford.
Bengals youth movement on display. WR Dohnte Meyers, TE Jack Endries, and rookie defenders Cashius Howell and Landon Robinson are the players to watch. All flashed in the opener vs Detroit.
Special teams edge: Evan McPherson drilled a 56‑yarder last week and remains one of the NFL’s best preseason weapons.
📊 Matchup Snapshot
Category
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
QB Rotation
Case Keenum, Tyson Bagent
Joe Flacco, Josh Johnson, Sean Clifford
Starter Usage
Minimal
Minimal
Key Young Players
Rome Odunze, Montez Sweat, Jaylon Johnson
Dohnte Meyers, Jack Endries, Cashius Howell
Preseason Identity
High-scoring, aggressive play-calling
Development-focused, evaluating rookies
Edge
Offensive depth
Special teams
🔍 What to Watch
Chicago’s scripted early drives — even with backups, Ben Johnson’s offense is crisp and aggressive.
Bengals rookie defenders — Howell and Robinson were disruptive vs Detroit.
Late-game QB play — Keenum vs Cincinnati’s deep reserves is a mismatch.
Joint practice carryover — Both teams practiced together this week, so expect targeted matchups and quick adjustments.
📈 Prediction
Let’s face it, the Bears have more depth than the Bengals and it looks like Caleb will get some action.
Joe Flacco is a good solid backup QB and will do well, but how long does he have to stay in as a grizzled veteran? Probably not that long.
Ben Johnson is 3-0 in preseason football. Too small of a sample, but Zach Taylor is only 5-14 and that is a large enough sample to go by. Take da Bears.
We have a great show for you today! Kyle Hunter @KyleHunterPicks from Hunter Sports Picks is back to break down tempo changes for 2026! First, Kiev talks about the big Circa Contests and Contest weekend. Next, Kyle comes on to explain to us when he prepares for the college football season. Then, Kyle explains how he handicaps totals. It takes a heck of a lot of work! After that, Kyle and Kiev talk about the biggest coaching and tempo changes for 2026. Next, Kyle gives out a few season win totals and future bets. Finally, the guys give out a few plays for week 1! If you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Baseball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASEBALL, FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE, OR 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2026
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
We have a great show for you today! The NFL Doesn’t sleep as Scott Wetzel @OppositePicks from @SportsGrid comes on to break down his thoughts and best bets! First, Kiev talks about his free power ratings on our website. Next, Scott comes on and gets right into his betting history and website. Then, the guys talk about what we say in preseason week 1. After that, we talk some buy low/sell high. Next, we talk NFL divisions and give out some Best Bets for the year. Finally, we discuss futures and more exotic wagers. If you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Baseball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASEBALL, FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE, OR 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2026
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
Circa’s legendary NFL contests return for 2026 bigger and more exciting than ever. If you’re a sports bettor who hasn’t jumped into these iconic challenges yet, now’s the time to get involved and stop sitting on the sidelines. Circa Millions VIII is back with its signature hat and a proven, high-stakes format: an 18-week season where you select five games each week against the spread on fixed lines. Beat the field and you could walk away with the $1 million grand prize plus the iconic blue winner’s jacket. Best of all, there’s a locked-in $6 million total prize pool with zero rake.
WOW😱… #CircaSports Pro Football🏈Contests🏆are pacing way ahead of previous seasons. Here's why… No rake🫡 No silly gimmicks😂 No rule changes a month before the contest begins🤨 We're proud to say our contests offer an overall experience you can't get anywhere else. pic.twitter.com/4n76fOq9ld
Last year’s overlay topped $315,000, delivering real extra value to every player who entered. The quarterly structure remains strong, with $300,000 paid out to the top five finishers in each quarter—so even if one stretch of the season goes sideways, you still have three more shots at a solid payday. At the end of the year, places two through 100 divide a substantial $3.65 million. And for those flirting with the wrong kind of fame, there’s a $50,000 second-place booby prize along with $25,000 quarterly booby awards. Classic formula, still working.
Then comes Circa Survivor. This 18-week, 20-pick challenge asks you to pick one team each week to win outright. Make it through all 18 weeks and you’re in the mix for a massive $20 million guaranteed prize pool. Multiple survivors simply split the pot. Circa Sports CEO Derek Stevens is raising the stakes once again, injecting an additional $9 million in guarantees and lifting total contest payouts to an eye-opening $30 million—all with zero rake. These contests aren’t merely returning. They’re rewriting the standard for what’s possible in sports betting.
Circa Millions:
Circa Millions returns with a locked-in $6 million in guaranteed payouts. Every quarter, $300,000 goes to the top five scorers, giving you multiple chances even if one stretch of the season doesn’t go your way. At the end of the year, places 2 through 100 split another $3.65 million. New this season: a $50,000 second-place booby prize plus $25,000 quarterly booby awards.
Millions plays differently from standard sports betting. The lines stay fixed all year, and your approach can shift based on where any given entry sits in the quarterly or overall standings. Most of the structure is the same as last year—with one meaningful upgrade: players can now enter up to 10 times.
Here are the full details, courtesy of Circa Sports:
$1,000 to enter, 10 entries per person max
Make 5 NFL picks against the spread each week
Get one point for each correct selection and one-half point for each push
$6 Million guaranteed in total prizes
$1 Million first place prize and the coveted blue jacket
$3.65 Million in cash prizes for places 2 – 100
$300,000 per “Quarter” in prizes awarded every 4-5 weeks
$100,000 last place booby prize / $50,000 second to last place booby prize
No Rake! Any extra fees go into the quarter and full-season prizes
Circa Survivor:
Circa Survivor is back with a massive $20 million guaranteed prize pool—$5 million higher than last season after last year’s pot ballooned to an impressive $18,718,000. The contest features 20 total legs, with Thanksgiving Day games and Christmas games each counting as their own separate week.
Here are the full details:
$1,000 to enter, 10 entries per person max (can rebuy up to ten additional entries until the registration deadline if you lose on the opening TNF or Friday game)
Up to 20 picks in 2025: NFL Weeks 1 – 18, plus Thanksgiving Day/Black Friday and Christmas Leg (Wed/Thur)
Each NFL team can only be selected once per each entry during the contest
No Rake! – the last remaining entry wins the entire survivor pool: $20 Million guaranteed, plus more if entries exceed $15 Million
Entries are eliminated from the contest by selecting a team that subsequently loses or ties its NFL game that week or continues until a single entry remains
The contest continues until a single entry remains
If more than one entry remains after all 20 legs, the pool is split equally among all the entries that successfully submitted a selection during the leg
If all remaining entries lose in the same week, the pool is split equally among all the entries that successfully submitted a selection during the leg
Picks are due at 4 p.m. PST every Saturday or before kickoff of the selected game (whichever is earlier), except for:
Thanksgiving Day/Black Friday: picks are due by 10 p.m. PST Wednesday, November 26
Christmas Leg: picks are due by 9 a.m. PST Wednesday, December 25
See everyone’s picks here and on Twitter @CircaSports each week!
Grandissimo:
Finally, Grandissimo is back for high rollers and team entries! The rules are the same as Circa Survivor, but with a much larger buy in at $100,000.00 per entry for a guaranteed minimum payout of $4,000,000.00! This tops last year’s guarantee by $2.5M! This contest will have less entries than Survivor, making it an interesting and potentially different strategy for each participant in order to take home the big prize!
$100,000 to enter, 2 entries per person max (can rebuy up to two additional entries until the registration deadline if you lose on the opening TNF or Friday game)
Up to 20 picks in 2025: NFL Weeks 1 – 18, plus Thanksgiving Day/Black Friday and Christmas Day
Each NFL team can only be selected once per each entry during the contest
No Rake! – the last remaining entry wins the entire survivor pool: $1.5 Million guaranteed, plus more if entries exceed $1.5 Million
Entries are eliminated from the contest by selecting a team that subsequently loses or ties its NFL game that week or continues until a single entry remains
The contest continues until a single entry remains
If more than one entry remains after all 20 legs, the pool is split equally among all the entries that successfully submitted a selection during the leg
If all remaining entries lose in the same week, the pool is split equally among all the entries that successfully submitted a selection during the leg
Here are some great Hotel deals for the big season! Go to CircaSports.com/contest for more details!
Hotel Offers:
1-9 total entries = Complimentary stay at the D Las Vegas for two nights or 50% discounted room at Circa Resort & Casino for 2 nights
10+ total entries = Complimentary stay at Circa Resort & Casino for 2 nights in a standard room
20 total entries (Full-House) combined in both contest(s) = Complimentary stay at Circa Resort & Casino for two nights in a premium suite
**These night(s) must be used by September 11**
Two General Admission (GA) passes to Stadium Swim per day comes with each room booking
Please email info@circasports.com with your full name, contest number(s), and alias(es) for the contest(s) along with what offer you are looking to redeem as one of our customer support team members will be able assist. If you are looking to book ahead of time, do so on our circalasvegas.com website and then after signing up for the contest(s), please email info@circasports.com and we will apply the offer.
Registration Deadline:
Registration ends at 2 p.m. PST on Saturday, September 12th during the first NFL Week. All entrants will also receive a Circa Million VIII and or Survivor hat.
Proxy Services:
You don’t have to live in Nevada to join the action. Thanks to proxy services, anyone—from anywhere in the world—can enter these epic football contests and compete for prize pools reaching into the millions.
Need a reliable proxy? Look no further than footballcontest.com @FootballContest—the most experienced football proxy in Las Vegas. Not only do they submit your picks, they also monitor deadlines, send reminders, and—even better—can make selections for you if you forget. Who knows? Their picks might outperform the crowd!
But wait! There’s more! The great people at footballcontest.com wants to help out anyone that goes out too early for survivor. This company is offering a HUGE proxy guarantee for the following year just in case a client goes out within the first three weeks!
Exclusive offer from FootballContest.com to help clients who become eliminated during the first 3 weeks of any Survivor contest that they have enter with FootballContest.com
Week 1 Elimination – 50% refund back on proxy fee for entry returned following year in form of credit
Week 2 Elimination – 40% refund back on proxy fee for entry returned following year in form of credit
Week 3 Elimination – 30% refund back on proxy fee for entry returned following year in form of credit
***USE PROMO CODE ‘OB’ FOR $50 OFF ANY NEW OR RETURNING PROXY SERVICES!***
It’s hard to beat a guarantee like this one.
Sign-ups are live NOW! And with all the money Derek Stevens has added to the prize pool, there may be an overlay that boosts your expected value.
Check out footballcontest.com for full details—and may the football gods smile upon your season
We have a great show for you today! Preseason football is rolling! First, Kiev talks about survivor and the links below to get in the best contests in the land. Next, we get into NFL preseason football week 2. We give out a few Free Plays and break down a little about every game. Then, Dave comes on to break down fantasy football rankings. We talk running back and wide receiver draft rankings. We also give out a few sleepers and busts. If you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Baseball26 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY BASEBALL, FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE, OR 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2026 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2026
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!
About this contest
$20 NFL LOSER SURVIVOR! Pick the team to LOSE each week!
Win up to 100k!
It’s harder than you think, but the winner will take it all!
Entrants attempt to select the loser Straight Up for 1 game per week. Entrants that select only losers Straight Up will advance to the next slate. The entrant that makes it the furthest takes home the whole prize. If all remaining entrants are eliminated in the same slate, or multiple entrants survive the final slate, they will all be considered winners and will all split the prize. Entrants will be prevented from selecting a team more than one time throughout the duration of the contest.
Check the individual week tabs in your picksheet to view the pick deadline for each week. The deadline appears at the top as “Picks lock” with the date and time.
