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2025 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches Preview & Picks

The Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches at PGA National Resort’s Champion Course marks the ninth event of the 2025 PGA TOUR season and the kickoff to the “Florida Swing.”

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: February 27th – March 2nd, 2025
  • Location: Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, United States
  • Course: PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
  • Course Type: Florida
  • Par: 71 (4x 3’s / 11x 4’s / 3x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,167 yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: TifEagle bermudagrass .080”
  • Fairways: Perennial ryegrass overseed .350”
  • Rough: Perennial ryegrass overseed 2.5”
  • Bunkers: 60
  • Water Hazard(s): – (In-Play on 15 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 7,000 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 12.0 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $9,200,000 /$1,656,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field: 144 Players
  • Cut: Top 65 and Ties- 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death (18, 17, 17 repeated)
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2024: 70.10 (-0.90), Rank 20 of 51
    • 2023: 70.36 (+0.36), Rank 13 of 49
    • 2022: 71.34 (+1.34), Rank 7 of 50
  • Historic Cut Line:
  • 2024: -2
  • 2023: +1
  • 2022: +1

Social Media:

  • Course X: @PGANatl
  • Tournament X: @the_cognizant

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Tom and George Fazio (1981)
  • Renovations: Jack Nicklaus (2002, 2014 (redesign), 2018)

Comparable Courses:

  • Bay Hill Club & Lodge – Arnold Palmer Invitational – RESULTS
    • Florida Course, Bermudagrass Greens, Water in play on the majority of holes, Approach play is key
  • Waialae Country Club – Sony Open – RESULTS
    • Wind Exposed, Bermudagrass Greens, Approach play is key
  • Concession Golf Club – 2021 WGC-Workday Championship – RESULTS
    • Florida Course, Nicklaus Designed, Bermudagrass Greens, Water in play on the majority of holes, Approach play is key

Comparable Location (Palm Beach Gardens, Florida):

  • Bay Hill Club & Lodge – Orlando, Florida – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • TPC Sawgrass – Ponte Verda Beach, Florida – THE PLAYERS Championship
  • Innisbrook Resort – Palm Harbor, Florida – Valspar Championship

Designer Link (Tom and George Fazio):

  • Corales Golf Course – Tom Fazio (2010) – Corales Puntacana Championship
  • Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course) – Tom Fazio Renovation (1999) – RSM Classic

Comparable Yardage (7,167 Yards):

  • Sedgefield Country Club – 7,131 Yards – Wyndham Championship
  • PGA WEST (Nicklaus) – 7,147 Yards – The American Express

Comparable Greens (TifEagle bermudagrass .080”):

  • Kapalua (Plantation) – TifEagle bermudagrass .115” – Sentry ToC
  • PGA WEST (Nicklaus) – TifEagle bermudagrass .110” – The American Express
  • Bay Hill Club & Lodge – TifEagle bermudagrass .110” – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • Port Royal Golf Course – TifEagle Bermudagrass .130″ – Butterfield Bermuda Championship
  • Sea Island Golf Club – TifEagle bermudagrass – RSM Classic

Comparable Average Green Size (7,000 sq. ft.):

  • PGA WEST (Nicklaus Tournament Course) – 7, 000 sq. ft. – The American Express
  • Memorial Park Golf Course – 7, 000 sq. ft. – Texas Children’s Houston Open
  • The Renaissance Club – 7,000 sq. ft. – Genesis Scottish Open
  • Black Desert Resort – 7,000 sq. ft. – Black Desert Championship
  • Vidanta Vallarta – 7,000 sq. ft. – Mexico Open at Vidanta

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, February 27th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 6:45 AM – 2:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, February 28th, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 6:45 AM – 2:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 2:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, March 1st, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 6:45 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM
    • NBC – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, March 2nd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 6:45 AM – 1:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM
    • NBC – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The Florida Swing of the PGA Tour kicks off with the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches. This tournament dates back to 1972, originally known as the Jackie Gleason-Inverrary Classic. It was co-sponsored by National Airlines until 1981, when American Motors Corporation took over. Honda became the title sponsor in 1982, holding the role for over four decades until 2023, when Cognizant, an IT company, stepped in, bringing a new name — the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches.

Since 2007, PGA National has been the event’s permanent home, featuring six courses, with “The Champion” serving as the tournament’s battleground. Designed by Tom and George Fazio in 1981, the course has seen multiple renovations led by Jack Nicklaus’ design team. Major updates came in 2014, including adjustments to the par-four 14th hole and expansions of several greens (Nos. 1, 9, 15, and 17). In 2019, palmetto palms were removed from the 9th hole to ease approach shots. More changes followed in 2022, with bunkers removed from Nos. 13 and 16, and reductions made to those on Nos. 17 and 18.

Following the 2023 tournament, the course’s par was adjusted from 70 to 71, with the 10th hole reclassified from a par 4 to a par 5. In May 2023, the fairway lines were expanded to match the grassing patterns from 2012-13, adding an acre of fairway grass compared to the previous year.

Previous Tournament Venues:

DurationCourseLocation:
2007-PresentPGA National Resort and Spa
(Champion Course)
Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
2003–2006Country Club at MirasolPalm Beach Gardens, Florida
1997–2002TPC at Heron BayCoral Springs, Florida
1996TPC Eagle TraceCoral Springs, Florida
1992–1995Weston Hills Golf and C.C.Weston, Florida
1984–1991TPC Eagle TraceCoral Springs, Florida
1972–1975, 1977-1983Inverrary Country Club (East Course)Lauderhill, Florida

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2024-PresentCognizant Classic
2002-2023The Honda Classic
1984-2001Honda Classic
1982-1983Honda Inverrary Classic
1981American Motors Inverrary Classic
1974-1975, 1977-1980Jackie Gleason-Inverrary Classic
1973Jackie Gleason Inverrary-National Airlines Classic
1972Jackie Gleason’s Inverrary Classic

Tournament Records:

  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 264, Justin Leonard (2003 at Mirasol)
  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 2, Jack Nicklaus (1977, 1978); Johnny Miller (1980, 1983); Mark Calcavecchia (1987, 1998); Pádraig Harrington (2005, 2015)

Course Records:

  • 72-Hole Record (PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)):
    • 266, Chris Kirk (2023), Eric Cole (2023)

  • 18-Hole Record (PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)):
    • 61, Brian Harman (Round 2, 2012), Matt Jones (Round 1, 2021)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

PGA National poses as one of the most formidable challenges on the Tour, rivaling even the Majors. Last year was the first time in the past five editions that the scoring average was below par.

Last year, the Champions Course at PGA National unveiled a new layout, now playing as a par 71 spanning 7,147 yards. Noteworthy alterations include the transformation of No. 10 into a 530-yard par 5. Additionally, fairway lines were widened in May of the preceding year, returning to the grassing lines from 2012-13, with an additional acre of fairway grass added since the previous year.

The course’s principal defense lies in its abundant water hazards, affecting nearly every hole (15 out of 18). Despite its relatively short layout, these water features can compel layups on certain holes. Moreover, the course is highly susceptible to winds, which can significantly impact approach shots.

The “Bear-Trap” will also be a phrase that’s referred to a lot this week and that’s in reference to Holes 15-16-17. All of these holes were played over par last year which leads to an exciting finish. Holes 15 and 17 are Par 3’s both under 200 yards with water being a major factor. Hole 16 is a Par 4 that forces players to hit a tough approach shot into a tight green that’s protected on all sides.

The four Par 3’s range between 175 yards and 226 yards. In terms of stats, the majority (two) of the Par 3’s range between 175 – 200 yards. Last year, all of the Par 3’s had a scoring average over par.

No. 15, 179 yards, Par 3: This is the start of the ‘Bear Trap’ and while it’s not the longest of the Par 3’s on the course, it is the toughest playing 0.114 strokes over par last year. Players will try and hit an iron into a diagonal green that slopes towards the water on the right. A bunker protects the back of the green which has proven to be a challenge in the past given the limited landing area.

The majority of the eleven Par 4’s range between 400-500 yards. No. 1 is the shortest listed at 365 yards with the longest being No. 6, playing 479 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course last year was No. 6 (+0.203).

No. 6, 479 yards, Par 4: This is a long par-4 playing 479 yards that is normally a par-5 but is changed for this event. Last year, this was the toughest par-4 on the course playing 0.258 strokes over par. Off the tee, it’s extremely narrow with water to the left and fairway bunkers on the right. From there, players will try and hit a shot into a small green that, you guessed it, is surrounded by more water and bunkers. The green is a three-tiered green which can leave some difficult putts depending on the pin location for the day.

There are three Par 5s on the course, No. 3, No. 10, No. 14, and No. 18. All of the Par 5s had a scoring average under par last year.

No. 18, 556 yards, Par 5:  It’s a double dogleg par 5 that first goes left and then right. Off the tee, players will have water and bunkers along both sides. From there, it gets a little more difficult as they have to weigh the risk vs reward for their second shot. The green is nestled between numerous bunkers and water which can come into play if they flair one out left.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 15-17 (Bear Trap)

Key Statistics:

The Mexico Open takes place at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course). Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.

StatisticsPGA Tour AveragePGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
Driving Distance (Yards)283.87280.35
Driving Accuracy62%65%
GIR Percentage66%70%
Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet)29.1730.83
Scrambling Percentage58%57%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.550.41

Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course).

  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
    • Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance. Over the past six editions of the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches, five of the winners have ranked 12th or better in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee amongst the field.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Taylor Pendrith
      • Luke Clanton
      • Taylor Moore
      • Daniel Berger
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Patrick Rodgers
      • Davis Thompson
      • Rico Hoey
      • Bud Cauley
      • Jesper Svensson

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
    • Excellent approach play has been a key factor in determining success at this week’s tournament. Over the past six editions of the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches, five of the winners have ranked 8th or better in Strokes Gained: Approach amongst the field.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Antoine Rozner
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • J.J. Spaun
      • Lucas Glover
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Francesco Molinari
      • Sepp Straka
      • Matt Kuchar
      • Doug Ghim
      • McClure (Mac) Meissner

  • Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass)
    • The green complexes at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) are TifEagle bermudagrass. Over the past three editions of the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches, every winner has ranked 15th or better in Strokes Gained: Putting amongst the field.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Matt Kuchar
      • Braden Thornberry
      • Beau Hossler
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Mackenzie Hughes
      • Davis Riley
      • Russell Henley
      • Max Greyserman
      • Frankie Capan III
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout

  • Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards
    • Five of the eleven Par 4’s at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) range between 450-500 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Alejandro Tosti
      • Joe Highsmith
      • Daniel Berger
      • Alex Smalley
      • Russell Henley
      • Samuel Stevens
      • Jordan Spieth
      • Michael Kim
      • Eric Cole
      • Luke Clanton

  • Par 5 Scoring: 500-550 Yards
    • Two of the three Par 5’s at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) range between 500-550 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Taylor Moore
      • Taylor Pendrith
      • Lee Hodges
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Ryan Fox
      • Jackson Suber
      • Jake Knapp
      • Charley Hoffman
      • Jhonattan Vegas
      • Matthias Schmid

  • Bogey Avoidance
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Bud Cauley
      • Samuel Stevens
      • Michael Kim
      • Brian Harman
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • Seamus Power
      • Alex Smalley
      • Lucas Glover
      • McClure (Mac) Meissner
      • Kurt Kitayama

  • Scrambling Gained
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Brian Campbell
      • Alex Smalley
      • Luke Donald
      • Will Chandler
      • Bud Cauley
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Paul Peterson
      • Michael Kim
      • McClure (Mac) Meissner

  • Proximity Gained: 175-200 Yards
    • PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) sees a significantly higher volume of approach shots from the 175-200 yard range compared to the PGA Tour average.
  • Leaders in Proximity Gained 175-200 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
    • Antoine Rozner
    • Nicolai Hojgaard
    • Sepp Straka
    • Henrik Norlander
    • Joel Dahmen
    • Gary Woodland
    • Max McGreevy
    • Rafael Campos
    • Andrew Putnam
    • Kurt Kitayama

  • Comparable Courses and Event History
    • The Data Golf Course History Tool suggests that past success at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) has been a slight predictor of future performance in this tournament.
  • Leaders in this category (Stokes Gained Total at PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)):
    • Shane Lowry
    • Sepp Straka
    • Chris Kirk
    • Sam Ryder
    • Russell Henley
    • Sungjae Im
    • Byeong Hun An
    • Cheng Tsung (C. T.) Pan
    • Daniel Berger
    • Jhonattan Vegas

The Field:

This year’s Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches will feature a total of 144 competitors. Among them are ten of the top fourty players in the Official World Golf Ranking.

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons.
  • Leading 10 players (not otherwise exempt) on DP World Tour
  • Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
  • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
  • Winners of the Arnold Palmer, Memorial, Genesis (Last 3 Years )
  • Leading Points Winner from DP World Tour
  • Players 2-30 on the Prior Season Korn Ferry Tour Points List
  • Top 5 Finishers and Ties from PGA TOUR Q-School
  • Top 10 and Ties from the Previous Event.
  • 300 PGA TOUR Career Cuts Made
  • PGA TOUR University #1 – Prior Season
  • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year.
  • Designated Sponsor Exemptions
  • Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt.
  • Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted.
  • Career Money Exemption.
  • Major Medical Extension.
  • Top Finishers from Korn Ferry Tour Medical.
  • Open Qualifying.

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Austin Eckroat (2024), Chris Kirk (2023), Sepp Straka (2022), Sungjae Im (2020), Keith Mitchell (2019), Rickie Fowler (2017), Russell Henley (2014), Camilo Villegas (2010), Luke Donald (2006), Matt Kuchar (2002)

Debutants in the Field:

  • Antoine Rozner, Ben Polland, Braden Thornberry, Brian Campbell, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, Frankie Capan III, Isaiah Salinda, Jackson Suber, Jeremy Paul, Jesper Svensson, John Pak, Jordan Spieth, Kaito Onishi, Karl Vilips, Kevin Velo, Luke Clanton, Mason Andersen, Matt McCarty, Michael Thorbjornsen, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Goodwin, Paul Peterson, Paul Waring, Quade Cummins, Ricky Castillo, Rikuya Hoshino, Steven Fisk, Taylor Dickson, Thomas Rosenmueller, Thriston Lawrence, Tim Widing, Will Chandler, William Mouw

Exemptions:

  • Ricky Castillo – Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Will Chandler – Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Luke Clanton – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Pierceson Coody – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Luke Donald – Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Zach Johnson – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Kevin Kisner – Career Money Exemption
  • Ryan Palmer – Career Money Exemption
  • Brandt Snedeker – Career Money Exemption
  • Jackson Suber – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Kris Ventura – Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • Aldrich Potgieter WD -> Paul Peterson IN
  • Sam Stevens WD -> Karl Vilips IN 

The Odds:

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:

Tournament Props:

Playoff:

  • Will There Be a Playoff at the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? (Yes +350 / No -500)

Hole-in-One:

  • Will There Be A Hole-in-One at the Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? (Yes +115/ No -155)

Recent Horses for Courses (PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)):

Cognizant ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Shane Lowry7+42.29T4T52T36T21
Cameron Young2+13.85T4T16
Sam Ryder4+22.58T21T9T8T53
Russell Henley10+22.31T41T3T8

Recent Donkeys for Courses (PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)):

Cognizant ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Henrik Norlander3-16.40MCMCMC
Nick Hardy3-10.86MCMCMC
Hayden Buckley4-24.59MCMCMC69
Michael Kim6-12.61MCMCMC
Ben Kohles3-7.24MCMC
Matthias Schmid2-5.79MCMC

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Austin Eckroat (-23)
    • Price: 50-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Austin Eckroat4th2nd5th45th15th

  • 2023: Chris Kirk (-14)
    • Price: 25-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Chris Kirk15th5th8th37th9th
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Sepp Straka1st4th20th31st4th

  • 2021: Matt Jones (-12)
    • Price: 80-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Matt Jones10th4th7th2nd25th

  • 2020: Sungjae Im (-6)
    • Price: 35-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Sungjae Im11th1st5th5th38th

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Austin Eckroat
    • T38 – Mexico Open (PGA)
    • MC – WM Phoenix Open (PGA)
    • T37 – Farmers Insurance Open (PGA)
    • T25 – The American Express (PGA)
    • T42 – Sony Open in Hawaii (PGA)
  • 2023: Chris Kirk
    • MC – WM Phoenix Open (PGA)
    • T3 – The American Express (PGA)
    • 3 – Sony Open in Hawaii (PGA)
    • MC – The RSM Classic (PGA)
    • T64 – World Wide Technology Championship (PGA)

  • 2022: Sepp Straka
    • T15 – The Genesis Invitational (PGA)
    • 66 – WM Phoenix Open (PGA)
    • T16 – Farmers Insurance Open (PGA)
    • T49 – The American Express (PGA)
    • T42 – Sony Open in Hawaii (PGA)

  • 2021: Matt Jones
    • T55 – THE PLAYERS Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Arnold Palmer Invitational (PGA)
    • T8 – The Genesis Invitational (PGA)
    • T34 – AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (PGA)
    • T30 – Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)

  • 2020: Sungjae Im
    • T29 – WGC-Mexico Championship (PGA)
    • MC – The Genesis Invitational (PGA)
    • T34 – Waste Management Phoenix Open (PGA)
    • T36 – Farmers Insurance Open (PGA)
    • T10 – The American Express (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024: Austin Eckroat

The Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
 2023
Austin EckroatMC

2023: Chris Kirk

The Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
20222021202020192018201620152014201320122011
Chris KirkT7T25MCMCT33MCMCT12T51T56T29

2022: Sepp Straka

The Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
202120202019
Sepp StrakaT33T27MC

2021: Matt Jones

The Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda ClassicThe Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
2020201920162014201320102008
Matt JonesT47T36MCMCT18T40T4

2020: Sungjae Im

The Honda Classic
PGA National Resort (The Champion Course)
2019
Sungjae ImT51

Picks:

Apologies for the absence of writeups this week — they’ll be back next week!

Outrights

Daniel Berger (+2500) – DraftKings

Alex Smalley (+5500) – BetMGM

Patrick Rodgers (+5500) – FanDuel

Gary Woodland (+6000) – BetMGM

Jhonattan Vegas (+6600) – BetMGM

Bud Cauley (+7500) – FanDuel

Ryan Gerard (+8000) – FanDuel

Top 20 (Inc. Ties)

Shane Lowry (+100) – DraftKings

Taylor Moore (+210) – DraftKings

Top 40 (Inc. Ties)

Kevin Roy (+120) – BetMGM

Ryo Hisatsune (+160) – BetMGM

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

College Basketball Tuesday Free Play – Pokey In PA

We have a Friday Free Pick for everyone this evening as we look at a nice slate of games.

My free play today takes us to Easton, PA for some Patriot League Action featuring the Lafayette Leopards (11-18 Overall, 6-10 Patriot) hosting the Army Black Knights (16-12 Overall, 10-6 Patriot). The line checks in with Lafayette as a slight favorite at -3.5 and the over/under sits at 138.

Army is led by Senior guard Jalen Rucker with 17.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg and 3.2 apg. Rucker now sits sixth all-time on Army’s scoring list. With one more win in Patriot League play, the Black Knights will officially break the record for most wins in league play in program history.

The Lafayette Leopards are led Senior center Justin Vander Baan who has blocked 68 shots this season, good for seventh in the country and first in the Patriot League. His 2.8 blocks per game average ranks third in the NCAA. As a program, Lafayette is first in the conference in blocks per game (3.4). Scoring is led by Freshman Guard Alex Chaikin at 12.4 ppg.

Here’s the keys to tonight:

While neither of these teams has showcased any signature wins Army has been the better team in the Patriot League up to this point. The Black Knights main strength has been taking care of the rock. Lafayette doesn’t force many turnovers and they don’t apply a heavy pressure on the defensive side of the ball. With their interior defense led by Vander Baan they are at 89th in defensive 2 point field goal percentage allowed at 48.7%. Army’s best offensive strength is getting inside and I think Lafayette will slow that down tonight and make Army shoot from distance where they only hit at 32.5%. When the Leopards have the ball they typically will fire a higher percentage of shots from 3-point range where they hit at 33.6%. Both teams are well below average at shooting free throws and neither team gets to the line at a good clip.

In their first match-up in January the Leopards shot 54.2% overall and 47.2% from deep. Army was no slouch either checking in at 48.2% and 38.5% from distance. Jalen Rucker accounted for 29 points and I expect Lafayette to try and take him out of the game and force someone else to score on them which should take longer for the Black knights to adjust to and create longer possessions especially early in the game. Lafayette also had an almost 7 minute scoreless streak in the second half where they went 0 for 6 from the field with 4 turnovers.

I don’t see either team repeating the shooting from the first match-up especially from distance, and the pace will only get pushed if Army gets behind by double digits in the second half. I think we’re in for a game of long slow possessions with lots of long shots being jacked up at the end of the shot clock. I have this at 69-64 Lafayette so I am putting a wager on the under in Easton, PA tonight.

Under 138 1.5 Units.

Tuesday Free Play Video:

Aug 23, 2020; Lake Buena Vista, Florida, USA; Dallas Mavericks' Tim Hardaway Jr. (11) celebrates after making a basket against the Los Angeles Clippers during the second half of an NBA basketball first round playoff game at AdventHealth Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ashley Landis/Pool Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Premium Selections over at http://oddsbreakers.com

3 Free Selections:
NBA: Lakers/Mavericks
NHL: Rangers/Islanders
CBB: Iowa/Illinois

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College Basketball Super Tuesday Play – Sports Betting – Florida vs Georgia

Florida vs Georgia +7.5 O/U 148.5

Florida Gators

  • Record: 24-3 overall, 11-3 in SEC play
  • Key Players:
    • Walter Clayton Jr.: Senior guard, averaging 17.1 points, 4 assists, 3.7 rebounds, and 1.3 steals per game.
    • Alijah Martin: Fifth-year senior, averaging 15 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2.5 assists, and 1.7 steals per game.
  • Team Stats:
    • Points per game: 83.6 (12th in the nation)
    • Rebounds per game: 39.5 (3rd in college basketball)
    • Field goal percentage: 44.9%
    • Free throw percentage: 87.7%
    • Three-point percentage: 35.1%
    • Turnovers per game: 10.2
    • Defensive efficiency: 82.3 points allowed per 100 possessions (7th in college basketball)

Georgia Bulldogs

  • Record: 16-11 overall, 4-10 in SEC play
  • Key Players:
    • Asa Newell: Freshman forward, averaging 15.4 points, 6.7 rebounds, 1.1 blocks, and 1.1 steals per game.
    • Silas Demary Jr.: Sophomore guard, averaging 12.1 points, 4 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 1.7 steals per game.
  • Team Stats:
    • Points per game: 74.8
    • Rebounds per game: 33.1
    • Field goal percentage: 32.4%
    • Free throw percentage: 29.5%
    • Three-point percentage: 29.5%
    • Turnovers per game: 12.5
    • Defensive efficiency: 68.7 points allowed per game (80th in college basketball)

Tonight’s matchup between the Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs is set to be an exciting SEC showdown. The game will take place at Stegeman Coliseum in Athens, Georgia, with tipoff scheduled for 7:00 PM ET.

The Florida Gators, currently ranked second in the SEC, come into the game with a strong record of 24-3 overall and 11-3 in conference play. They are on a six-game winning streak, having recently defeated LSU 79-65. Key players for the Gators include senior guard Walter Clayton Jr., who is averaging 17.1 points per game, and fifth-year senior Alijah Martin, who is contributing 15 points per game.

On the other hand, the Georgia Bulldogs have a record of 16-11 overall and 4-10 in conference play. They are currently tied for 13th in the SEC and are looking to bounce back from an 82-70 loss to top-ranked Auburn.  Freshman forward Asa Newell and sophomore guard Silas Demary Jr. are key players for the Bulldogs, with Newell averaging 15.4 points per game and Demary Jr. averaging 12.1 points per game.

Prediction

Desperation and revenge are the keys to this handicap.   Georgia ranks 8th in home road splits to Florida ranking 254th.   Georgia has a good perimeter defense ranking 45th in opponent adjusted three point percentage.   Florida takes a lot of three point shots which blows into Georgia’s strength.  The Dogs know that this win will put them back into NCAA tournament contention.  They need this like blood.

Georgia +7.5 – 2.5 stars

College Basketball Sunday Fun-day Play – Sports Betting – Purdue vs Indiana

Purdue vs Indiana +3.5 O/U 150.5

  • Date & Time: February 23, 2025, at 1:30 PM ET
  • Location: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, Bloomington, Indiana
  • Broadcast: CBS

Purdue Boilermakers:

  • Record: 19-8 overall, 11-5 in the Big Ten
  • Rank: No. 13
  • Key Player: Trey Kaufman-Renn (19.6 points per game, 61.2% shooting)
  • Recent Performance: Lost three consecutive games, including a 75-66 loss to Michigan State
  • Previous Meeting: Defeated Indiana 81-76 on January 31

Indiana Hoosiers:

  • Record: 15-11 overall, 6-9 in the Big Ten
  • Recent Performance: Lost six of their last seven games, including a 72-68 loss to UCLA
  • Key Player: Luke Goode (16 points, 7 rebounds, 3 steals in the last game)
  • NCAA Tournament Chances: Need a win to improve their chances of making it to the tournament
  • Recent Performance and Momentum: Although Purdue has lost three consecutive games, they are a top-15 team with a solid record (19-8). Their losses have been against tough opponents, and they are likely to be highly motivated to end their losing streak. This determination could translate into a dominant performance.
  • Key Player: Trey Kaufman-Renn, the junior forward, has been a standout performer for Purdue this season, averaging 19.6 points per game on 61.2% shooting. His scoring ability and efficiency make him a formidable threat that Indiana will have difficulty containing.
  • Previous Meeting: Purdue already defeated Indiana earlier this season with a score of 81-76 on January 31. This victory shows that Purdue has the capability to outplay Indiana, and they could do so again with an even larger margin.
  • Indiana’s Struggles: Indiana has lost six of their last seven games, indicating a downward trend in their performance. Their current form suggests that they may struggle to compete against a strong Purdue team, potentially leading to a larger point differential.
  • Defensive Strength: Purdue has a solid defense, which could stifle Indiana’s offensive efforts. By limiting Indiana’s scoring opportunities, Purdue can create a significant point gap and secure a comfortable victory.

I think that Purdue needs a slump buster and no better place to do it than against an in state rival.  Indiana has some pretty big issues.  They have been inconsistent in games on both offense and defense.  According to Haslametrics, Purdue has many of the key matchup advantages over the Hoosiers as see here.  The Boilers are the much better coached team under Matt Painter compared to Mike Woodson who lost eight of his last 10 games.

Thank god this isn’t football.  I think that Purdue gets it right today and gets the easy win in Bloomington.

Purdue -3.5 – 2.5 stars

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Two Nuggets players shaking hands in celebration

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College Basketball Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting – Oregon vs Wisconsin

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Oregon vs Wisconsin -8.5 O/U 154.5

Game Details:

  • Date: February 22, 2025
  • Time: Noon ET
  • Venue: Kohl Center, Madison, Wisconsin
  • Broadcast: FOX

Offensive Efficiency:

  • Wisconsin is ranked 6th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They are averaging 82.0 points per game, and their shooting efficiency is 46.8%. This indicates that they have a highly effective offense capable of putting up big numbers.
  • Oregon is ranked 33rd in adjusted offensive efficiency. They are averaging 76.6 points per game, with a shooting efficiency of 45.7%. Their offense is also solid and can contribute significantly to the total points.

Defensive Efficiency:

  • Wisconsin is ranked 40th in adjusted defensive efficiency. While they have a decent defense, they have allowed 70.6 points per game. This suggests that their defense can be penetrated by a strong offensive team like Oregon.
  • Oregon is ranked 51st in adjusted defensive efficiency. They have allowed 71.7 points per game, indicating that their defense is not impenetrable and can be exploited by Wisconsin’s high-powered offense.

Pace of Play:

  • Both teams have shown the ability to play at a fast pace. Wisconsin’s recent games have been high-scoring affairs, with scores like 95-74 against Illinois and 94-84 against Purdue. This suggests that they are comfortable playing in high-scoring games.
  • Oregon’s recent games have also been high-scoring, with an 80-78 win against Iowa. This indicates that they can keep up with a fast-paced game and contribute to a high total score.

Key Players:

  • Wisconsin’s John Tonje is averaging 19.6 points per game, and John Blackwell is averaging 15.2 points per game. These players are capable of putting up big numbers and driving the total score higher.
  • Oregon’s Jackson Shelstad is averaging 13.3 points per game, and Nate Bittle is averaging 12.9 points per game. These players can also contribute significantly to the total points.

I think that we get some serious points this game.  Wisconsin is 16-10 to the over while Oregon is 15-12.  Both teams sometimes struggle on defense with Wisconsin ranking 40th in defensive efficiency to Oregon ranking 53rd.  The Badgers are number 1 in free throw percentage.  I expect them to get to the line at home.   Over Oregon’s last three games, they eclipsed at least 75 points in each of them.  The Badgers in their last two games eclipsed at least 94 points in each of them.   Given the high offensive efficiency of both teams, their ability to play at a fast pace, and the presence of key players who can score big, it’s reasonable to argue that today’s game between Oregon and Wisconsin will go over 157 points.

Over 154.5 – 2 stars

Bonus Play – Stonybrook +2.5 – 2 stars – NC A&T is very injured with two of their top players in Glasper and Forrest on the shelf.   These guys together take over 65% of the shots.  The Market hasn’t responded nearly enough on this.   

Friday Free Play Video:

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Podcast 677 – 13 – 25 – With Will Hill – College Hoops Feb 21st – 23rd – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a great show for you today! Will Hill @NotTheeWillHill from The Should Have Bet More Podcast and VSIN is back to break down some college hoops!  First, Kiev gets into some college basketball betting trends.   Next, Matt comes on and the guys get right into some baseball.   We talk some Mets and Yankees.   We discuss some sleeper teams as well as who might win the World Series.  Then, Will and Kiev talk about some buy low and sell high teams that could have some value coming up here in crunch time.  After that, the guys get into some of the biggest games and good betting spots for the weekend with some Free Plays.  Finally, Kiev recaps our prospective plays for the weekend!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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