We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, sleepers and busts! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires December 31st 2024
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!
You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and more!
ALLEN PARK, MICHIGAN - JULY 28: Detroit Lions head football coach Dan Campbell speaks with the media before the Detroit Lions Training Camp on July 28, 2021 in Allen Park, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com
Get Sniper Wes Premium Selections At The Oddsbreakers
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookieUSE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Vikings vs Jaguars +7 O/U 43
Hit it! Return of the Mack. It is. Return of the Mack. Come on. Return of the Mack.. Ok look, this line went from +4 to +7 with the announcement of Trevor Lawrence being doubtful. I know how bad Mack Jones has looked in the past, but to give him some credit, his offensive coordinators were Matt Patricia and Bill O’Brien. Hot garbage if you ask me. Looking at the way Trevor has been playing this year, I highly doubt that this downgrade warrants a full three points to +7. It is true that the Jags can’t stop anyone on defense, but they at least rank 17th in offensive EPA. The Vikings offense hasn’t exactly been lighting it up lately. Since week 6, the Vikings rank 19th in offensive EPA and 15th on defense. They got smashed by the Rams in a true away game. As a matter of fact, the Vikings are 6.2 yards per play at home and only 5.3 on the road. Jacksonville is a LEAGUE LEADING 7.2 yards per play at home. I think that this spot for the Vikes could be a little flat. Maybe Josh Hines Allen gets to Sam Darnold a few times today. Mack Jones is literally playing for his future in the NFL. Grab the points.
Jaguars +7 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Eagles to -1 with the Chargers to -1. I do not see the Eagles losing against the Cowboys 2nd string. I also believe that Jim Harbaugh keeps their team rolling at home.
USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024
To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!
2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Syracuse vs Boston College -2.5 O/U 53
This is the spot of all betting spots in my opinion for the week. Syracuse is coming off of a misleading final score for their big win at home against Virginia Tech. They just became bowl eligible after that and they are probably feeling pretty good about themselves. Boston College is coming off of a loss and a good one vs Louisville. Looking at the metrics, I do not know why this spread is so low. Syracuse is a -.41 yards per play on a schedule ranking 63rd on Sagarin, while Boston College is about even in yards per play with a schedule ranking 47th. Syracuse ranks 74th in offensive EPA while Boston College is close at 80th. On defense it isn’t even close as Boston College is 50th and Syracuse is a nasty 99th. I also can’t trust a team on the road when they have a -3 turnover ratio while the home team is +4. The huge situational kicker for me is that Boston College is coming off of a bye week, and Syracuse is in a sizable let down spot. Take the Eagles.
Boston College -1.5 – 3 stars
Georgia vs Ole Miss +2.5 O/U 55
Some say that Alabama vs LSU is the game of the weekend, but I think it is this one. These two teams do not have a lot of recent history as the Dogs blew out the Rebs last year 52-17. From an injury standpoint, both teams are banged up some. Number 1 Rebels WR Tre Harris hasn’t played for Ole Miss in over three weeks, but there is a chance that he could be back. Georgia also has some woe’s at running back with Trevor Etienne banged up. Looking at the numbers, Georgia has two advantages. One is the coach in Kirby Smart. The other advantage is that they played a stronger strength of schedule. In saying that, Ole Miss beat out Georgia in almost every other category. Ole Miss is a net positive 3.3 yards per play to Georgia at 1.72, Ole Miss is number 4 in both offensive and defensive EPA while Georgia ranks 31st and 16th respectively. Ole Miss’s offensive and defensive lines grade out higher than Georgia. While I do wish that this was a night game, at least we get to watch it in the afternoon. I think taking the points in this matchup at home makes the most sense.
Tonight’s NHL slate is loaded with action, with four games scheduled across the league.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!
Matchups:
Detroit Red Wings @ Toronto Maple Leafs
Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
TV Information: TSN4, TVAS-D, FDSNDET, ESPN+
Records & Stats:
Team
Record
Standings
Home
Away
ATS
O/U
Detroit Red Wings
6-5-1
5th Atlantic
3-3-1
3-2-0
6-6-0
6-6-0
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-5-2
2nd Atlantic
5-2-0
2-3-2
9-5-0
5-7-2
Odds:
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Detroit Red Wings
+160
+164
+1.5 (-155)
o6.0 (-108)
Toronto Maple Leafs
-192
-198
-1.5 (+130)
u6.0 (-112)
Odds via DraftKings
Starting Goaltenders:
Team
Goalie
Games Played
Goals Saved Above Expected (Rank)
Save Percentage (Rank)
Goals Against Average (Rank)
Status
DET
Cam Talbot
7
+6.2 (4th)
.929 (6th)
2.45 (12th)
CONFIRMED
TOR
Anthony Stolarz
9
+6.0 (5th)
.928 (7th)
2.12 (6th)
CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com
Team Stats & Trends:
Detroit are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games against Detroit.
Toronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Player Stats & Trends:
Team
Player
Prop
Odds (DraftKings)
Trend
TOR
William Nylander
Anytime Goal Scorer
+120
– Hit in 4/5 Overall – Hit in 6/8 at Home
TOR
William Nylander
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal
-135
– Hit in 6/6 vs DET – Hit in 4/5 at Home
TOR
Morgan Rielly
Over 0.5 Points
-120
– Hit in 5/7 Overall – Hit in 4/6 vs DET – Hit in 3/3 at Home
DET
Alex DeBrincat
Over 0.5 Points
-135
– Hit in 5/6 Overall – Hit in 3/3 vs TOR – Hit in 3/4 on the Road
DET
Lucas Raymond
Over 0.5 Points
-142
– Hit in 5/6 Overall – Hit in 5/5 vs TOR – Hit in 2/2 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io
Best Bets:
William Nylander Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
Nylander has met his shots-on-goal quota in two of his last four games. He’s averaging 4.0 Shots on Goal and 6.5 Shot Attempts during that span.
Additionally, Nylander has a fantastic track record against Detroit, recording over 3.5 shots on goal in their last six encounters.
This season, Nylander has been much better at home, recording over 3.5 shots on goal in 71.4% of games compared to just 14.3% on the road.
Detroit currently ranks 31st this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 33.70 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Red Wings have conceded the 3rd most shots on goal per game to forwards this season with an average of 24.00.
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Washington Capitals
Puck Drop: 7:30 PM ET
TV Information: HULU, ESPN+, SN, TVAS
Records & Stats:
Team
Record
Standings
Home
Away
ATS
O/U
Pittsburgh Penguins
5-8-2
7th Metropolitan
3-3-0
2-5-2
6-9-0
8-6-1
Washington Capitals
9-3-0
3rd Metropolitan
7-1-0
2-2-0
8-4-0
7-5-0
Odds:
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Pittsburgh Penguins
+136
+164
+1.5 (-155)
o6.5 (-115)
Washington Capitals
-162
-198
-1.5 (+130)
u6.5 (-105)
Odds via DraftKings
Starting Goaltenders:
Team
Goalie
Games Played
Goals Saved Above Expected (Rank)
Save Percentage (Rank)
Goals Against Average (Rank)
Status
PIT
Joel Blomqvist
6
+2.2 (19th)
.909 (20th)
3.46 (54th)
EXPECTED
WSH
Charlie Lindgren
6
-2.9 (57th)
.896 (39th)
2.70 (23rd)
CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com
Team Stats & Trends:
Pittsburgh are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
Washington are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home.
Player Stats & Trends:
Team
Player
Prop
Odds (DraftKings)
Trend
WSH
Connor McMichael
Over 0.5 Points
-148
– Hit in 9/12 Overall – Hit in 6/6 at Home
WSH
Connor McMichael
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal
-125
– Hit in 4/5 Overall – Hit in 4/4 at Home
WSH
Alex Ovechkin
Anytime Goal Scorer
+115
– Hit in 5/5 Overall – Hit in 5/7 vs PIT – Hit in 5/5 at Home
WSH
Alex Ovechkin
Over 3.5 Shots on Goal
-110
– Hit in 4/5 Overall – Hit in 5/7 vs PIT – Hit in 3/4 at Home
PIT
Kris Letang
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
-198
– Hit in 11/15 Overall – Hit in 5/7 vs WSH – Hit in 8/9 on the Road
PIT
Michael Bunting
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
-162
– Hit in 5/6 Overall – Hit in 3/4 vs WSH – Hit in 2/3 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io
Best Bets:
Alex Ovechkin Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings
Ovechkin has met his shots-on-goal quota in four of his last five games. He’s averaging 3.8 Shots on Goal and 8.8 Shot Attempts during that span.
Additionally, Ovechkin has a great track record against Pittsburgh, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in five of their last seven encounters.
Pittsburgh currently ranks 29th this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 32.20 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Penguins have conceded the 4th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season with an average of 23.43.
Additional Bets:
Vegas Golden Knights (-142) – DraftKings
The Golden Knights are off to a strong start this season with a 9-3-1 record, winning six of their last seven games and scoring at least four goals in all but one of those matchups. Meanwhile, the Kraken are struggling, dropping their last four games and getting outscored 4-15 over that stretch. I expect the Golden Knights to keep their momentum going tonight and capitalize on a Kraken team in a slump.
Matt Boldy over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – DraftKings
Boldy has hit his shots-on-goal mark in three of his last five games, averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 7.0 shot attempts in that span. This season, he’s been especially consistent on the road, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last four away games.
Boldy also has a solid record against Anaheim, with over 2.5 shots on goal in three of their last five matchups. Anaheim currently ranks last in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 35.3. Breaking it down further, the Ducks have allowed the most shots on goal per game to forwards this season, averaging 26.08.
I’ve been using Linemate since the start, and it has proven to be an invaluable resource for NHL betting. One of its standout features is the comprehensive data and analytics that help bettors make informed decisions when placing prop bets. The platform also boasts a user-friendly interface, making it accessible for both experienced bettors and newcomers alike, allowing them to easily navigate and find the best prop bets. By utilizing Linemate’s robust tools and resources, NHL prop betters can significantly enhance their chances of making profitable wagers throughout the season. Beyond NHL betting, Linemate also provides in-depth data on various other sports, including the NFL, MLB, NBA, NCAAF, EPL, and many more leagues and sports.
Use my code to receive a one-time 15% discount, which can be applied to your first month of a monthly plan or the total cost of an annual plan. My discount code is always more competitive than any deals from Linemate. While Linemate’s monthly plan costs $9.99, their annual plan is currently priced at $79.99, offering a 33% discount off the regular price. The best part? My 15% code applies to the $79.99 plan, meaning you’ll actually enjoy over 40% OFF!
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookieUSE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!2024 MLB Season 111-93-11 up 8.3U2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Iowa vs UCLA +6.5 O/U 44.5
This is going to be a fun friday night game. UCLA after a rough start has rolled two big 10 teams in Rutgers and Nebraska. They are playing with a lot of belief in their coach Deshaun Foster and it really shows. In saying that, this team is really stepping up here in competition. Iowa is coming in hot at 6-3 with momentum. This team has improved their offense this year to 73rd in EPA while their defense ranks 30th. UCLA ranks 96th in EPA and 86th on defense respectively. The way to beat Iowa is to run the ball as that this year is the Hawkeye’s weakness, but unfortunatley this is also the Bruin’s weakness on offense ranking 132nd in rushing play success rate and 128th in yards per rush. Iowa has really improved their stats when they switched quarterback from Cade McNamera to Brendan Sullivan. His completion percentage is 69% compared to only 60 with Cade who also was able to pad some of that in the early non-conference games. Iowa wins the turnover battle here at a +10 ratio this year to -5 for the Bruins. UCLA is in a let down spot after beating Nebraska last week on the road. Take the Hawkeyes below the 7.
