UCLA out-gained Minnesota 329 to 234 yet lost 21-17. A nasty 3-0 Ethan Garbers turnover ratio killed the Bruins.
Syracuse only out-gained NC State 346 to 329 yet won 24-17. A 3-0 turnover ratio starved the Wolfpack.
Kentucky out-gained Vanderbilt 322 to 288 yet lost 20-13. A 2-1 turnover ratio and 12 penalties hurt the Wildcats.
Ole Miss out-gained LSU 464 to 421 yet lost 29-26 in overtime. Equal turnovers at 2, but 12 penalties smoked the Rebs.
Oregon State out-gained Nevada 562 to 422 yet lost 42-37. A terrible 4-0 turnover ratio smacked the Beavs.
Fresno State out-gained Washington State 338 to 295 yet lost 25-17. Equal turnovers but bad red zone and 12 penalties got the Bulldogs.
BYU only out-gained Arizona 398 to 389 yet won 41-19. A huge 4-1 turnover ratio killed the Cats.
Virginia out-gained Louisville 449 to 408 yet lost 24-20. They won the turnover battle 1-0, but poor red zone efficiency and 1/3 in fourth down killed the Cavaliers.
UCF out-gained Cincinnati 397 to 338 yet lost 19-13. Equal turnover but 10 penalties and 4 sacks got the Knights.
South Carolina out-gained Alabama 374 to 313 yet lost 25-27. A 4-2 turnover ratio did them in.
Toledo out-gained Buffalo 418 to 357 yet lost 30-15. Terrible red zone efficiency and a 2-0 turnover ratio got the Rockets.
Utah out-gained ASU 349 to 343 yet lost 27-19. A 3-1 Cam Rising turnover ratio hurt the Utes.
Maryland out-gained Northwestern 355 to 283 yet lost 37-10. A horrible 4-0 turnover ratio got the Terps. They are bad.
Tonight’s NHL slate is packed with action, featuring nine games across the league. From top contenders looking to build early-season momentum to teams searching for their first win, there’s no shortage of intriguing matchups.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!
Matchups
Vegas Golden Knights @ Washington Capitals
Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
TV Information: MNMT; SCRIPPS-VGK; ESPN+
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Vegas Golden Knights
-125
-130
-1.5 (+185)
o6.0 (-105)
Washington Capitals
+105
+110
+1.5 (-225)
u6.0 (-115)
Odds via DraftKings
Starting Goaltenders:
Vegas Golden Knights: Adin Hill (Expected)
Washington Capitals: Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
Key Stats & Trends:
Vegas are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games against Vegas.
Best Bets:
Vegas Golden Knights/ Washington Capitals Under 6.0 (-115) – DraftKings
The total between the Vegas Golden Knights and Washington Capitals is set at 6.0, and there’s a solid argument for it going under. Both teams feature strong goaltending, and Vegas’ defense remains one of the league’s elite. Washington’s offense has struggled to find consistency early in the season, making a lower-scoring game likely. This will be Logan Thompson’s first start of the season and his first time facing his former team. While the Golden Knights rank 2nd in goals per game, their shooting percentage sits at a high 18.5%, which is likely to regress.
San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars
Puck Drop: 8:00 PM ET
TV Information: NBCS-CA; ESPN+
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
San Jose Sharks
+285
+300
+1.5 (+110)
o6.0 (-108)
Dallas Stars
-360
-380
-1.5 (-130)
u6.0 (-112)
Odds via DraftKings
Starting Goaltenders:
San Jose Sharks: Mackenzie Blackwood (Confirmed)
Dallas Stars: Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)
Key Stats & Trends:
San Jose are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 6 games against San Jose.
Best Bets:
Jamie Benn over 0.5 Points (-130) – DraftKings
Jamie Bennis off to a strong start this season, tallying a point in two of his first three games. He also has a great track record against the San Jose Sharks, recording at least one point in each of his last six matchups with them.
Additional Picks:
Connor Zary over 0.5 Points (-130) – DraftKings
Connor Zary is off to an impressive start this season, notching four points in his first three games. He’s currently skating on the Flames’ second line alongside Backlund and Coleman, and he’s also featured on their top power play unit.
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We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Last week at the Black Desert Championship, Lucas Glover came close to an outright win, finishing T3. We hit one of our two Top 20 bets with Beau Hossler (+130), while our other T20 pick, Harry Hall (+200), struggled during the back nine in the final round. Hall was in great shape until a five-over stretch from Holes 10-13 knocked him out of contention.
Lucas Glover: this week Luke Donald: 2016 Wyndham Joey Sindelar: 2005 Canadian Open
The only three instances in ShotLink history for a golfer to gain 13.5+ strokes on approach and not win. pic.twitter.com/fn2adNvH3J
In just his second start as a PGA TOUR member, Matt McCarty secured his first victory at the inaugural Black Desert Championship on Sunday. This marks only the third career start for McCarty, and with the win, he earns exemptions into prestigious 2025 tournaments, including The Sentry, the Masters, and the PGA Championship. Having led the 2024 Korn Ferry Tour points list, McCarty had already locked in spots at THE PLAYERS Championship and the U.S. Open.
Tom Kim Aims for Historic Three-Peat
Tom Kim has his sights set on becoming just the seventh golfer in PGA TOUR history to win the same tournament three consecutive years. The last to achieve this feat was Steve Stricker from 2009-2011. Although Kim initially planned to take a break during the fall events after a grueling regular season, he’s making an exception for this week’s Shriners Children’s Open—a promise he made after his 2023 victory.
Viva Las Vegas
The Shriners Children’s Open, hosted at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, Nevada, is the fourth event in the FedExCup Fall series. This series of eight tournaments, held after the TOUR Championship, plays a crucial role in shaping player eligibility for the 2025 PGA TOUR season.
At the end of the FedExCup Fall, those that rank from 126-150 on the final FedExCup Fall Points List will have conditional status for the 2024 PGA TOUR Season.
All players outside the top 125 can improve or regain TOUR status via PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry.
No other greens have dominator bentgrass greens. They installed new greens and fairways last year. Previously, they had A1/A4 bentgrass greens and 419 bermudagrass fairways.
Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club – Bentgrass – ZOZO Championship
Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course) – Bentgrass .100” – Farmers Insurance Open
Augusta National Golf Club – Bentgrass .125” – Masters Tournament
TPC Craig Ranch – Bentgrass .100” – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
Muirfield Village Golf Club – Bentgrass .090” – the Memorial Tournament
TPC Twin Cities – Bentgrass .110” – 3M Open
Black Desert Resort – 007XL bentgrass .120” – Black Desert Championship
TPC Deere Run – L-93 bentgrass .100” – John Deere Classic
Comparable Average Green Size (7,400 sq. ft.):
Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – 7,500 sq. ft. – Arnold Palmer Invitational
Riviera Country Club – 7,500 sq. ft. – The Genesis Invitational
The Shriners Children’s Open, held annually at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, is one of the most storied events on the PGA TOUR, with roots dating back to 1983. Originally known as the Las Vegas Invitational, it has evolved into a pivotal part of the TOUR’s fall schedule. It was one of the first tournaments to offer a million-dollar purse and has crowned many notable champions, including Tiger Woods, who earned his first professional win here in 1996. In 2010, the event adopted its current name when Shriners Hospitals for Children became the title sponsor, solidifying the tournament’s charitable mission. That same year, TPC Summerlin became the permanent host, though the event has always remained in the Las Vegas area.
TPC Summerlin opened in 1991 and was originally designed by Booby Wood Throughout the years it’s undergone several minor renovations and in 2021, the greens and fairways were completely replaced. The previous greens were A1/A4 bentgrass and the fairways were 419 bermudagrass. Two years ago, the greens were changed to Dominator bentgrass, and the fairways were changed to Bandera bermudagrass. Looking at the upcoming PGA Tour schedule, this is the only course that features this unique type of putting surface. Other courses have pure bentgrass greens but none that feature this specific seed of bentgrass.
Tournament Records:
72-Hole Record (Shriners Children’s Open):
260, Ryan Moore (2012), Webb Simpson (2013), Sungjae Im (2021), Tom Kim (2022)
18-Hole Record (Shriners Children’s Open):
59, Chip Beck (Round 3, 1991 at Sunrise GC)
Most Wins:
3, Jim Furyk (1995, 1998, 1999)
Largest Margin of Victory:
8 Strokes – Davis Love III (1993)
Course Records:
72-Hole Record (TPC Summerlin):
260, Ryan Moore (2012), Webb Simpson (2013), Sungjae Im (2021), Tom Kim (2022)
18-Hole Record (TPC Summerlin):
60, J.J. Henry (Round 1, 2013), Rod Pampling (Round 1, 2016), Patrick Cantlay (Round 3, 2022)
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Designed by Bobby Weed with input from Fuzzy Zoeller, TPC Summerlin is a Par 71 layout that spans 7,255 yards, making it shorter than many other PGA TOUR venues. The course includes four Par 3s, eleven Par 4s, and three Par 5s, where players must capitalize on scoring opportunities to contend for the title. Its resort-style design offers a relatively open layout, enabling longer hitters to take aggressive approaches. However, past winners demonstrate that accuracy off the tee often outweighs pure distance. With a history of lower scoring averages, TPC Summerlin is considered one of the easier courses on TOUR, and we can expect another winner to finish around -20 or better.
The four Par 3’s range from 168 to 239 yards. Last year, hole No. 14 was the only par 3 to have a scoring average under par.
No. 17, 196 yards, Par 3: “A challenging and unnerving par-3 plays from 180 to 210 yards downhill, depending on the hole location, with the green guarded closely by a lake on the left and by bunkers on the right. Par is a good score and birdies are rare, should players need to make up ground.”
There are eleven Par 4’s at TPC Summerlin with the majority (seven) of those holes ranging between 400 and 450 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 last year was No. 3 (+0.212).
No. 15, 341 yards, Par 4: “A short, drivable par-4 measuring 320 yards, which most players will attempt to reach with their tee shot. If the tee shot misses the green, an “up and down” birdie is possible, but not easy, due to the severely elevated and undulated green – which is surrounded by five bunkers that regularly attract stray tee shots.”
No. 18, 444 yards, Par 4: “A well-designed and strategic finishing hole measuring 450 yards which moves right to left off the tee. The green is protected on the left by a lake, with the hole protected by the water. An aggressive tee shot with the driver can leave the player just a short iron to a very deep green from front to back. An aggressive tee shot and second shot could lead to a one-putt birdie. Find the water and you will be lucky to make bogey.”
There are three Par 5’s on the course, No. 9, No. 13, and No. 16. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2023. No. 9 was the easiest par 5 on the course last year with a scoring average of 0.592 below par. Hole No. 13, was the toughest Par 5 last year due to it being the only Par 5 that measures over 600 yards.
No. 16, 560 yards, Par 5: “A relatively downhill par-5 that is reachable with two good shots. The green is guarded by water short of the green, and bunkers beyond. For scratch golfers and TOUR players, only a mid-iron will be necessary for the second shot, with a birdie almost a certainty. The scoring swings will come with balls in the water as well as aggressive second shots hit close to the pin.”
As the Shriners Children’s Open takes place at TPC Summerlin, here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.
Statistics
PGA Tour Average
TPC Summerlin
Driving Distance (Yards)
283.67
297.17
Driving Accuracy
62%
61%
GIR Percentage
66%
73%
Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet)
29.17
31.33
Scrambling Percentage
58%
56%
Avg 3 Putts / Round
0.55
0.52
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at TPC Summerlin.
Strokes Gained: Tee to Green (7,200 to 7,400 Yards)
The TPC Summerlin course layout combines challenging approach shots with strategic tee placements. Excelling in this area demonstrates a player’s capacity to consistently hit greens in regulation, creating more opportunities for birdies.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Keith Mitchell
Jhonattan Vegas
Davis Thompson
Gary Woodland
Chan Kim
Tom Kim
Cam Davis
Ryan Moore
Adam Svensson
Doug Ghim
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Cameron Champ
Kevin Dougherty
Jhonattan Vegas
Patrick Fishburn
Carson Young
Ryan Brehm
Alex Smalley
Davis Thompson
Beau Hossler
Keith Mitchell
Strokes Gained: Approach
A strong iron game is crucial for success at TPC Summerlin, as demonstrated by recent tournament history. Each of the last four winners ranked 6th or better in Strokes Gained: Approach.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
J.J. Spaun
Doug Ghim
Tom Kim
Matt Kuchar
Nick Hardy
Tom Whitney
Andrew Novak
Ben Griffin
Eric Cole
Tom Hoge
Strokes Gained: Around the Green
Given the tightly manicured greens and challenging run-offs at TPC Summerlin, players are likely to miss some greens this week and will need to depend on their short game. Additionally, the greens have been cut this year to .100″, down from .125″ last season, making it even more challenging to hold long iron shots. Three of the last four winners ranked 19th or better in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Webb Simpson
Harry Hall
Cam Davis
Davis Thompson
Chan Kim
Adam Svensson
Patton Kizzire
C.T. Pan
Beau Hossler
Daniel Berger
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
The Greens at TPC Summerlin are Dominator bentgrass .100”. Four of the last five winners ranked 9th or better in Strokes Gained: Putting.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Justin Lower
Harry Hall
Ben Silverman
Martin Laird
Harris English
Taylor Montgomery
J.T. Poston
S.H. Kim
Danny Willett
Chandler Phillips
Par 3 Scoring: 175-200 Yards (x2)
Two of the four Par 3’s at TPC Summerlin range between 175-200 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Vince Whaley
Jacob Bridgeman
Eric Cole
Cameron Champ
David Skinns
Bud Cauley
Patrick Fishburn
Davis Thompson
Justin Suh
Jhonattan Vegas
Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards (x7)
Seven of the eleven Par 4’s at TPC Summerlin range between 400-450 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Chan Kim
Roger Sloan
Zac Blair
Justin Lower
Brendon Todd
Chez Reavie
Sam Stevens
Keith Mitchell
Trace Crowe
Adam Svensson
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (x2)
Two of the three Par 5’s at TPC Summerlin range between 550-600 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Jhonattan Vegas
Patrick Fishburn
Paul Barjon
Harry Hall
Eric Cole
Alex Smalley
Kurt Kitayama
Troy Merritt
Ben Silverman
Matthew NeSmith
Proximity Gained: 100-125 Yards
Most approach shots at TPC Summerlin come from the 100-150 yard range at a volume much higher than the PGA Tour average.
Leaders in Proximity Gained: 100-125 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Cam Davis
Taylor Montgomery
Ryan Moore
Roger Sloan
Justin Lower
K.H. Lee
Doug Ghim
Harry Hall
C.T. Pan
J.J. Spaun
Leaders in Proximity Gained: 125-150 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Doug Ghim
Ben Kholes
Joel Dahmen
Andrew Putnam
Tom Kim
Tom Hoge
Emiliano Grillo
Zac Blair
Carson Young
Trey Mullinax
Birdies or Better Gained
To be in contention at TPC Summerlin this week, players must capitalize on every scoring opportunity. The winning score has consistently been -20 or lower in the last six tournaments.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Keith Mitchell
Cam Davis
Harry Hall
J.J. Spaun
Brendon Todd
Beau Hossler
Ben Kholes
Michael Thorbjornsen
Tom Kim
Justin Lower
Comparable Courses and Event History
According to the Data Golf Course History Tool, previous experience at TPC Summerlin has shown to be highly beneficial for players.
Leaders in this category (Multiple Events Played, Last 5 Editions):
Tom Kim
Adam Hadwin
Matthew NeSmith
Harry Hall
Eric Cole
Davis Thompson
Taylor Montgomery
S.H. Kim
Chad Ramey
Taylor Pendrith
The Field:
This year’s Shriners Children’s Open will feature a total of 132competitors.
Here is the current basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
Open Qualifying
Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
Winner – PGA/U.S. Open Championship
Reorder Category – Cat. 37 thru 44
Career Money Exemption
Major Medical Extension
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
Tom Kim (’23, ’22), M. Laird (’20, ’09), W. Simpson (’13), R. Moore (’12)
Debutants in the Field (Event):
Adrien Dumont de Chassart, Alejandro Tosti, Alexander Bjork, Ben Kohles, Blaine Hale, Jr., Caden Fioroni, Chan Kim, Chandler Phillips, Christo Lamprecht, Dan McCarthy, David Skinns, Erik Matthewson, Hayden Springer, Ian Gilligan, Jacob Bridgeman, Joe Highsmith, Matt McCarty, Max Greyserman, Michael Thorbjornsen, Norman Xiong, Patrick Fishburn, Paul Barjon, Pierceson Coody, Rafael Campos, Raul Pereda, Rico Hoey, Ryan Fox, Ryan McCormick, Sami Valimaki, Trace Crowe, Wilson Furr
Sponsors Exemptions:
Caden Fioroni, Ian Gilligan, Christo Lamprecht, Dan McCarty, Ryan Palmer, Scott Piercy
Here are the current favorites for this week’s event, along with a summary of their recent form and course history:
Tom Kim (+1200) is looking to defend his title at the Shriners Children’s Open after winning it in consecutive years. In his last start at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he finished T50. Prior to that, he placed 8th at the Olympics but missed the cut at The Open Championship.
Taylor Pendrith (+2200) ended the season strong, finishing inside the top 15 in four of his last five events. He also achieved his first PGA TOUR victory in May at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Pendrith will compete in the Shriners Children’s Open for the fourth time, with his best finish of T3 coming last year.
Davis Thompson (+2500) will make his third appearance at TPC Summerlin, where he previously finished T35 in 2023 and T12 in 2022. He secured his fourth career PGA TOUR victory at the John Deere Classic in July but has only managed to finish inside the top 20 once in his last five starts.
Beau Hossler (+2800) has played well in his last two starts losing in a playoff to Kevin Yu at the Sanderson Farms Championship and finshing T11 last week at the Black Desert Championship. This marks his seventh appearance at the event, where he’s placed inside the top 10 twice.
Will There Be a Playoff at the Shriners Children’s Open? (Yes +350 / No -500)
A playoff has determined the Shriners Children’s Open winner in two of the last five editions. In 2020, Martin Laird defeated Austin Cook and Matthew Wolff in a three-man playoff. In the year prior, Kevin Na defeated Patrick Cantlay.
Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):
2023: Tom Kim (-20)
Price: 14-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Tom Kim
39th
13th
3rd
58th
4th
2022: Tom Kim (-24)
Price: 25-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Tom Kim
32nd
2nd
5th
19th
1st
2021: Sungjae Im (-24)
Price: 33-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Sungjae Im
9th
1st
6th
13th
9th
2020: Martin Laird (-23)
Price: 225-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Martin Laird
27th
2nd
4th
15th
20th
2019: Kevin Na (-23)
Price: 70-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Kevin Na
54th
55th
35th
54th
1st
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
2023: Tom Kim
T6 – Cazoo Open de France (DPWT)
T18 – BMW PGA Championship (DPWT)
T20 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
T10 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T24 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
2022: Tom Kim
T4 – Dunlop Phoenix Tournament (JPN)
T54 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T13 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
1 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
7 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
2021: Sungjae Im
T31 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
T20 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
3 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T16 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
T24 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
2020: Martin Laird
T28 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
T65 – Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship (PGA)
MC – Safeway Open (PGA)
65 – Lincoln Land Championship (KFT)
T6 – Puerto Rico Open (PGA)
2019: Kevin Na
MC – Safeway Open (PGA)
T14 – A Military Tribute (PGA)
T77 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
T43 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
WD – 3M Open (PGA)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2023: Tom Kim
2022
Tom Kim
WON
2022: Tom Kim
Tournament Debut
2021: Sungjae Im
2020
2018
Sungjae Im
T13
T15
2020: Martin Laird
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2011
2010
2009
2008
Martin Laird
T48
T28
MC
T27
T43
T18
MC
T40
T2
WON
T47
2019: Kevin Na
2018
2016
2015
2014
2012
2011
2010
2008
2007
2006
2004
Kevin Na
MC
MC
T2
MC
T22
WON
T45
T15
T19
T24
DQ
Picks:
Outrights:
Taylor Pendrith (+2200) – DraftKings
Risk 0.37 to win 8.14 Units
Pendrith has been fantastic lately, finishing inside the top 15 in four of his last five PGA TOUR starts. The only outlier was a T22 finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. After early-season struggles with his iron play, he’s turned it around, gaining strokes on approach in his last five starts.
This will be his sixth appearance in this tournament with his best finish coming last year where he finished T3, two shots behind the winner Tom Kim.
Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 50th in SG: Off the Tee, 21st in SG: Approach, 35th in SG: Tee to Green, 12th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 21st in SG: Putting (Bentgrass). His lone win this season at TPC Craig Ranch which also featured Bentgrass greens.
Davis Thompson (+2500) – DraftKings
Risk 0.32 to win 8.00 Units
Thompson captured his first PGA TOUR victory earlier this year at the John Deere Classic, with runner-up finishes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and Myrtle Beach Classic. He has yet to play in the FedExCup Fall Swing with his last start on the PGA TOUR coming at the BMW Championship where he placed T41.
This will be his third appearance at TPC Summerlin, where he previously finished T35 in 2023 and T12 in 2022. Thompson also played well at TPC Scottsdale earlier in the season placing T15, a comp course for this week’s venue.
Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 8th in SG: Off the Tee, 59th in SG: Approach, 3rd in SG: Tee to Green, 29th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 4th in SG: Around the Green. Thompson hasn’t been super consistent with the flat stick but his lone win this season came at TPC Deere Run which also features Bentgrass greens where he ranked 5th in SG: Putting.
Eric Cole (+3500) – DraftKings
Risk 0.23 to win 8.05 Units
Eric Cole has yet to win his first PGA Tour event but based on his recent form, he’s right around the corner. In his last five started, Cole has finished inside the top 20 three times. Two weeks ago at the Sanderson Farms Championship, he finished T16 ranking 1st amongst the field in SG: Approach.
This will be his third appearance at TPC Summerlin, where he previously finished T3 in 2023 and missed the cut in 2022. In the last editon of this event Cole struggled in the first round but manged to finsh strong posting a final round of 62. In that event he ranked 2nd in SG: Around the Green, 4th in SG: Approach, 1st in SG: Tee to Green. The only downside was his putting where he ranked 52nd amongst the field. However, Cole has been much better on the green as of late gaining strokes putting in eight of his last ten starts.
Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 9th in SG: Approach, 13th in SG: Tee to Green, 20th in SG: Putting (Bentgrass), and 29th in SG: Around the Green.
Cameron Davis (+4000) – DraftKings
Risk 0.20 to win 8.00 Units
Cameron Davis will make his first start since August where he finished T5 at the BMW Championship. He won his second PGA TOUR event earleir this year at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This will be his sixth appearance in this tournament with his best finish coming last year where he finished T7. Despite only having one finish inside the top 10 at this event, Davis has never missed the cut at TPC Summerlin.
Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 55th in SG: Approach, 7th in SG: Tee to Green, 3rd in SG: Around the Green, and 2nd in Birdies or Better.
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.12 Units
Top 20 (including ties):
Seamus Power (+135) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 to win 1.35 Units
Seamus Power has yet to miss a cut in his last nine professional starts. He comes into the Shriners in great formhaving finished T11 (Black Desert Championship), T11 (Sanderson Farms Championship), and T10 (FedEx St. Jude Championship) in his last three starts on the PGA TOUR.
This will be his sixth appearance in this tournament with his best finish coming back in 2021 where he placed T21. Despite only not having placed in the top 20 before at this event, this is the best he’s played heading into the tournament compared to his previous appearances at TPC Summerlin.
Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 22nd in SG: Off the Tee, 39th in SG: Approach, 21st in SG: Tee to Green, and 38th in Birdies or Better Gained.
Harry Hall (+175) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 to win 1.75 Units
Harry Hall won his first PGA TOUR event earleir this year at the ISCO Championship. Last week at the Black Desert Championship he finished T35. Prior to that, he played over in Europe on the DPWT for three events where he registered two top 20 finishes.
This will be his fourth appearance in this tournament having finished T26 in 2023, T15 in 2022, and T8 in 2021.
Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 31st in SG: Approach, 12th in SG: Tee to Green, 2nd in SG: Around the Green, 2nd in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) and 3rd in Birdies or Better Gained. His lone win this season came at Keene Trace Golf Club which also features Bentgrass greens.
Total Risk on Top 20s: 2.00 Units
Total Risk on the Shriners Children’s Open: 3.19 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
