Not many from last weekend!
Bye Weeks: None
Key Injuries:
RB CMC to miss at least 3 more games.
RB Isaiah Pacheco with a broken fibula and out 6-8 weeks.
RB Tank Bigsby with a shoulder injury.
WR David Bell with a dislocated hip.
WR Amon Ra St Brown with a knee.
QB Justin Herbert with an ankle
WR Cooper Kupp with a bad ankle injury and will miss at least 4 weeks.
WR Justin Jefferson with a Quad, but should be back.
RB TyJae Spears with an ankle injury
QB Tua Tagovailoa with another concussion and is week to week.
RB Rachaad White with a groin injury.
WR Deebo Samuel will miss a few weeks with a calf strain.
Waiver Wire:
RB Samaje Perine for the Pacheco injury is huge.
RB Carson Steele also for the Pacheco injury might be bigger.
RB Bucky Irving might take over for the Buccaneers.
RB D’Onta Foreman had 14 carries last week.
RB Cam Akers for the Mixon Injury.
RB Dameon Pierce for the Mixon Injury.
WR Demarcus Robinson for the Kupp Injury.
WR Tutu Atwell for the Kupp Injury as well.
RB Julius Chestnut for the Tyjae Spears injury.
QB Andy Dalton is back and replacing Bryce Young as a starter.
QB Skyler Thompson will stream this week for the Dolphins.
RB Braelon Allen looks good so far for the Jets.
WR Quentin Johnson had two touchdowns. He’s tall and will get end zone targets.
TE Hunter Henry had 12 targets last game.
TE Brenton Strange for the strange Evan Engram pregame injury.
RB Isaac Guerendo is 49ers new handcuff for a few weeks.
TE Mike Gesicki got 9 targets vs the refs last week.
WR Chris Conley for the Deebo injury.
DEF Titans
Non-Starters trending up for week 3
RB Bucky Irving will be big against the Broncos D.
DEF Titans should stop the Packers and Malik Willis.
QB Andy Dalton vs the Raiders is interesting.
RB Alexander Mattison against the Panthers is big.
QB Gardner Minshew vs the Panthers is nice.
QB DeShawn Watson vs the Giants is big.
WR Jerry Jeudy vs the Giants is nice.
WR Jameson Williams vs the Cardinals D.
QB Jayden Daniels vs the Bengals might work out.
RB Zach Moss vs the Commanders is a good choice.
WR Chris Conley against the Rams.
WR Brandon Aiyuk vs the Rams for sure.
Busts:
RB Deandre Swift is un-startable. He looks bad and so does the play calling.
QB Malik Willis vs the Titans will bust.
QB Matt Stafford vs the 49ers is bad.
RB Kyren Williams is shot now with no offensive line, and he should be traded if possible.
RB Najee Harris vs the Chargers D is suspect.
RB Saquon Barkley vs the Saints is scary.
QB Anthony Richardson vs the Bears D is dangerous.
RB JK Dobbins vs the Steelers is scary.
QB Justin Herbert vs TJ Watt is questionable too.
WR Tyreke Hill until further notice is very worrisome.
WR Jalen Waddle is scary vs the Seahawks.
Nasty Sleeper: RB D’Onta Foreman vs the Giants will eat.
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We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally, Dave (D-Nasty) come back to break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Saints vs Cowboys -6 O/U 46.5
There isn’t much better than over-reaction week, and I think this line fits in perfectly. The Saints aren’t a bad team per-say, but lets face it. They aren’t average, and if you think that they are average, then you haven’t watched Derek Carr play a lot of football. The Panthers got beat bad last week, but it was more about just being in bad positions and the randomness of football itself. The Panthers needed a pass rush last week and didn’t have one. One thing that the Cowboys do best on defense is a pass rush. Micah Parsons is a complete animal, and he will get to Derek Carr. The Cowboys offense really hasn’t lost a beat. Their only issue is that TE Jake Ferguson will miss the game, but backup TE Luke Schoonmaker is a solid replacement player. Wideouts CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks will be cooking the Saints defense as cornerback Marshon Lattimore is banged up, and Safety Tyrann Mathieu is far past his prime. The Saints also lost some of their depth at linebacker as D’Marco Jackson is out, and Jaylan Ford is questionable. DT Khalen Saunders is also out that should hurt the Saints run defense. I think that the Cowboys should be able to roll this team at home. I have this game Cowboys -8. Take dem boys and lay dem points.
Cowboys -6 – 2 stars
Steelers vs Broncos -2.5 O/U 36.5
It looks like Justin Fields will once again get the nod at quarterback today for the steel machine. There is a lot of variance with Justin which makes it tough to bet on the side, but it also makes the total more interesting. Fields will make some big plays on the ground with his feet. He also has some pretty good wide-outs to throw too. The big thing that Steelers fans have to worry about with fields is the turnovers. Last year, Fields fumbled the ball 10 times, and he also was picked off 9 times. Denver on the other hand has a terrible defense, and we saw all of that last week in Seattle. In 2023, this team ranked 25th in defensive EPA and that was before they lost some of their great players this year to free agency. I expect the Steelers to put up 20 points. On the other hand, Bo Nix in his small preseason sample size showed that he is actually quite a capable quarterback. He knows how to make some plays with his arm as well as his legs. He also has some pretty good playmakers at WR with Courtland Sutton and Josh Reynolds. With the Broncos at home, this total is just too small for this game. Any special teams touchdown or pick six blows this wide open if needed. Take the over.
Over 36.5 – 2 stars
Teaser 6 pt: Lions to -1.5 with the Broncos to +8.5 – 2.5 stars
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Sean O’Malley vs Merab Dvalishvili +115
This should be a wonderful fight as the champion Sugar Sean O’Malley faces the Machine Merab Dvalishvili. Look at the age difference, O’Malley has Merab by about 4 years being only 29 years old with Merab at 33. Sean also has the height advantage at this 135 bamtam weight class at 5’11 to 5’6 respectively. You have to give the striking ability to O’Malley with a 72 inch reach and an amazing 7.63 significant strikes per minuite to 4.5 for Merab. For all of these reasons, Sean is the favorite. Why such a low favorite though at -135? I’ll tell you right now. Out of all of the fighters that Sean has beaten, not one has the wrestling skills and the forward pressure that Merab has. At 6.43 takedowns per minute, Dvalishvili has the best skills in the game getting guys to the ground, as well as a heck of a hard ground and pound. I think control will be the big factor in this fight. I see Merab Dvalishvili not letting Sean O’Malley stay on his feat. I suspect this fight goes the distance with Merab crowned the new champion.
Merab Dvalishvili +115 – 2 stars
Bonus Play: Ronaldo Rodriguez by submission +375 – .5 stars – In 16 wins, Ronaldo has subbed his opponents 5 times. His opponent Ode Osbourne has 7 losses with four of them by submission. This is a decent number.
