Home Blog Page 123

Fantasy Football Week 6

Bye Weeks:  Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins and Vikings

Key Injuries:  

RB Aaron Jones hurt his hip and might miss time after the bye.

WR Nico Collins was ruled out for a hammy.

RB De’Von Achane was ruled out with a concussion.

RB Zach Moss for the Bengals.

Waiver Wire:

RB Ty Chandler if you can stomach it. 

WR Tank Dell for the Collins injury.

WR John Mechie also for the Collins injury.

RB  Jaylen Wright for the Achane injury.

QB Joe Flacco is the real guy in Indy.  

WR Jordan Whittingham for the Rams could be big.  (Dave’s sleeper last week)

RB Tank Bigsby might be the man now in Jacksonville.

WR Darius Slayton had 11 targets for the Giants.

WR Alec Pierce for Indy but only if Joe is his QB.

RB Tyrone Tracy was big against the Seahawks last week.

TE Colby Parkinson for the Rams had 13 targets.

Non-starters trending up for week 6:

Defense Texans against the Patriots is nice.

TE Cole Kmet vs Jacksonville’s bad defense.  

WR Rome Odunze vs the Jags too.

QB Justin Fields at the Raiders should work.

WR Luke McCaffery against the Ravens will do well.

WR Rashid Shaheed vs the Buccaneers should work.

QB Wil Levis vs the Colts looks ok.

RB Chase Brown against the Giants looks good.

TE David Njoku vs the Eagles should do something.

RB Nick Chubb vs the Eagles needs to be in the lineup ready at least.

Busts:

RB Brian Robinson at the Ravens is rough.

RB Alexander Mattison vs Pitt is bad.

RB Javonte Williams hosting the Chargers is bad.

WR Michael Pittman against the Titans is bad.

WR Keon Coleman against the Jets is rough.

RB Travis Etienne isn’t good against the Bears.

QB Trevor Lawrence against the Bears is bad.

QB Kyler Murray against the Packers is suspect.

WR Marvin Harrison JR against the Packers isn’t good.

QB Geno Smith against a mad 49ers is gross.

RB Kenneth Walker against the 49ers isn’t great.

WR DK Metcalf just fumbled again against the 49ers.

Nasty Sleeper:  WR Jalen Tolbert against the Lions.   The Cowboys will put up points.

 

 

Tuesday Free Play Video:

Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com

5 Free Selections:
NHL: Bos/Flo
WNBA: Conn/Min
MLB: Phi/NYM
MLB: SD/LAD
NCAAF: FIU/Lib

Go check out @oddsbreakers – Tons of free content!!

Podcast 631 – 76 – 24 – College Football & NFL Recap – Fantasy Football Week 6 – Sports Betting

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis!   First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week.   Who could let down?  Who has a short week?   After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend.   Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football.  We talk key injuries, waiver wire,  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.   Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193 Must Be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Use Promo Code Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2024

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and more!

Audio Player

Monday Free Play Video:

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - SEPTEMBER 12: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts prior to the game against the Cleveland Browns at Arrowhead Stadium on September 12, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com

2 Free Selections:
NFL: Saints/Chiefs
MLB: Yankees/Royals

Go check out @oddsbreakers – Tons of free content!!

Monday Night Football Video Prop Play – Sports Betting – Saints vs Chiefs

NFL Week 5 Free Plays – Sports Betting – Colts vs Jags

Panthers vs Bears -4 O/U 40

I do not have a ton of time this morning, so I am going to make this short and sweet.   At what point did we think that the Panthers are not one of the worst teams in the league?  How many points should the Bears get for home field?   This spread is way too low here.   I know that the Panthers have the red rocket throwing the ball, but his favorite reciever is out in Adam Thielen.   Carolina also lost a ton on defnese with their two best linebackers DJ Wonnum and Shaq Thompson out of this game.  The Bears just really need to run the ball and slow the clock.  Hence the low total of 40.   Caleb Williams is finding his groove.  Take the Bears.

Bears -4 – 2 stars

 

Teaser:   49ers to -1.5 with the Bengals to +8 – 2 stars – The Bengals know how to play the Ravens.  The Cowboys are injured on defense but most of the offense is healthy.

Saturday Free Play Video:

Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com

7 Selections!!

Go check out @oddsbreakers – Tons of free content!!

College Football Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting – Miami vs Cal

You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM!  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193

USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON!  ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!  

56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!

55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!

2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U

2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball  3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Miami vs Cal +10.5 O/U 54.5

I have had this game circled for a while now.  Some may think that the Canes have a little extra rest if you do not do your research here.  The Cal Bears are coming off of a nice bye week and this team has started the season out strong beating teams like San Diego State by three touchdowns, and Auburn all the way on the East Coast.  I will excuse their loss to Florida State a few weeks back, as this was a do or die for the Semis.  We all know how good Miami has been accumulating a massive 4.09 net yards per play, but we also have to factor in that these performances were mainly against tomato cans this year.  Florida has been an abomination of an SEC team, and it took a miracle to beat Virginia Tech last Friday.  At least the Bears played at Auburn and at Florida State this year boosting their strength of schedule ranking to 65 of Sagarin while Miami’s sits at 92.  This is not just a good spot for Cal, it is also a rough spot for Miami as they are sandwiched between Virginia Tech and at Louisiville.   This could be a good sandwich spot to fade the canes.  What this Cal team has does well is passing the ball.  Fernando Mendoza has a nice 67.5 completion percentage at a 138.5 passer rating.  Should Cal be down to this beast of a Miami team, the back door will be open.  I also think that coach Justin Wilcox has some experience playing against Mario Cristobal with his time at Oregon.  Cal also faced the likes of Cam Ward last year, when they won the game against Washington State 42-39.  That has to account for something as coach Justin Wilcox has good experience against this lad.  I think Cal’s defense is good enough to slow down Miami’s offense ranking at 67th in success rate and 32nd against the run in success rate.  Take the Bears here +10.5

Bears +10.5 – 2 stars

Kansas vs ASU -2.5 O/U 50

I still do not understand what people are not seeing in Kansas this season.   Apparently, losing Andy Kotelnicki was a much bigger blow than we thought before the season.  Now we are asking Kansas to lose by three or less points on the road to a feisty Arizona State team?   ASU is off of the bye this week and had a lot of time to think about the Texas Tech loss.  Kansas’s strength has really been their rushing ranking 25th in success rate and 18th in yards per rush.  The problem is for that is that ASU’s strength is stopping the run ranking 6th in opponent yards per rush at 2.55.  The Sun Devils should find success running the football against Kansas ranking 25th in rushing success rate to Kansas ranking 66th in success rate in stopping the run.  Running back Cam Skattlebo has been a beast for ASU at 5.03 yards per rush and five TDs over four games thus far.  The Jayhawks are 0-5 this year against the spread while the Sun Devils are 3-1.   I will ride that trend for another week in a night game at home.

Arizona State -2.5 – 3 stars

NFL Week 5 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Wednesday October 2nd

Sharp Money On:

  • Buccaneers +3 to +1.5 at the Falcons – 73% tickets and 87% of the money.
  • Bills +1.5 to -1.5 at the Texans – 62% tickets and 77% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Colts vs Jaguars under 47.5 to 46.5 – 21% tickets and 55% of the money.
  • Giants vs Seahawks over 43 to 43.5 – 86% tickets and 92% of the money.

College Football Week 6 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Wednesday October 2nd

Sharp Money On:

  • Houston +19.5 to +16.5 – 86% tickets and 96% of the money.
  • Pittsburgh PK to -3 at North Carolina – 55% tickets and 83% of the money.
  • Navy -7 to -10 at Air Force – 77% tickets and 97% of the money.
  • Marshall +1 to -2.5 hosting App State – 53% tickets and 88% of the money.
  • Hawaii +5 to +2.5 at San Diego State – 8% tickets and 99% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Syracuse vs UNLV over 54.5 to 58.5 – 65% tickets and 94% of the money.
  • Boston College vs Virginia over 51.5 to 53 – 56% tickets and 90% of the money.
  • Iowa vs Ohio State over 42.5 to 45.5 – 66% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • UCF vs Florida over 57.5 to 61.5 – 26% tickets and 68% of the money.
  • Texas Tech vs Arizona over 61.5 to 64.5 – 23% tickets and 95% of the money.