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College Football Week 2 Sharp Money Movement – Sports Betting

The 5 top sharp money sides and totals

AS of 9/6/23 at 12:00PM

Sharp money on:

  • Ball State +44.5 to +42.5 at Georgia – 32% tickets and 85% of the money.
  • UTEP +3 to -1.5 at Northwestern – 30% tickets and 55% of the money.
  • UNLV +38.5 to +36.5 at Michigan – 30% tickets and 55% of the money.
  • Old Dominion +7.5 to +6 hosting Louisiana – 39% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • UCLA -13.5 to -14.5 at San Diego State – 60% tickets and 94% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Ole Miss vs Tulane over 59.5 to 66 – 75% tickets and 91% of the money.
  • Texas A&M vs Miami over 47.5 to 51.5 – 90% tickets and 93% of the money.
  • Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh under 50.5 to 46.5 – 65% tickets and 94% of the money.
  • UCF vs  Boise State over 55.5 to 60 – 56% tickets and 92% of the money.
  • UCLA vs San Diego State over 46.5 to 49.5 – 43% tickets and 66% of the money.

College Football Friday Freebie – Sports Betting

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145-115-6 up 21units in 2023 MLB Thus Far on 9/7/23!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

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NFL Thirsty Thursday Tiktok Prop Play – sports betting

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#sportsbetting #NFL #Thursdaynightfootball We are back!

♬ Sail Away – lovelytheband

 

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145-115-6 up 21units in 2023 MLB Thus Far on 9/7/23!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

MLB Thirsty Thursday Play – Sports Betting

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145-115-6 up 21units in 2023 MLB Thus Far on 9/7/23!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

Diamondbacks vs Cubs -160 O/U 8.5

The wind is blowing in at Wrigley today while the season is winding down!   The Cubbies are only 1.5 games back from the Brew Crew and they smell blood.   On the mound today the Cubs have Javier Assad who is dealing a 2.82 ERA with a 4.2 FIP.   Now his FIP numbers as well as his low BABIP of .255 says regression might be coming, but even if so the opponent isn’t all that scary.   The Diamondbacks have Ryan Nelson pitching who has a 5.47 ERA and a 5.15 FIP.   Only 5.9 K/9 innings with a 1.46 WHIP might go bad for him today.   Looking at the Bullpen, the Cubs only used two guys yesterday in Daniel Palencia and Luke Little.  The Diamondbacks used four guys which thins them out some for this game.   The Cubs are the better hitting team vs righties at 10th in wRC+ to 15th for the Snakes.  I’ll take the Cubbies.

Cubs -160 – 1 star

Podcast 61 – 23 – With Parker Fleming and Peter Simones – College Football Week 2 & NFL Week 1 Plays – Contests – UFC 293 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
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We have a MASSIVE show for you today!   Parker Fleming @Statsowar from @Sumersports and Peter Simones @TheSZN come on to talk some college football and NFL contests!  First, Kiev talks about some things we have going on at The OddsBreakers as well as a very prominent NFL referee that has retired.   Next, Kiev talks about the NFL week 1 slate with a few FREE PLAYS.   Then, Kiev gives out his refuse to lose teaser that went 11-6-1 last year!  After that, Parker comes on and the guys get right into his wonderful stats and how they can be used to find an edge in your weekly handicapping.  Parker and Kiev give out a few FREE PLAYS for college football week 2!   Next, Peter Simones comes on to talk about one of the best contest sites in all of sports that has been catching fire over the past 15 years @TheSZN!   What kind of contests do they offer?  Can we get in mid season? Then, Kiev talks about some NFL and college football sharp money movement for the week.   Finally, we quickly talk some UFC 293 with a few plays and a few leans!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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NFL – Full Season Preview 9/9 – Playoffs, Props & Player Awards

3d illustration of an NFL logo behind a transparent silver American football on top of a green football field

We’ve arrived. It’s now less than 24 hours until the NFL Season kicks off in Kansas City. This is the final of 9 preview articles that broke down the season win totals and projections for each team and outlined where value could be found. In this article I will give you a fun mock playoff scenario to look at conference and Super Bowl odds, and some other player bets I feel have some value.

My all time tracked record in the NFL currently sits at 178-151-2 with a 7.4% ROI as we had a huge 2021 and a slight winning campaign in 2022. You can find all my packages available here including an all inclusive football package covering college and the NFL for $500 for the whole season.

Wanna know anything else? Hit me up on twitter or whatever it’s called now @TheGreatKnoche.

Playoffs

As I have gone through each division article, I’ve highlighted where I think each team will finish based on my power rankings and head to head simulations. I will use those records here to give you a mock playoffs for this fall.

AFC Seeds

1-Los Angeles Chargers, 2-Buffalo, 3-Baltimore, 4-Jacksonville, 5-New York Jets, 6-Kansas City, 7- Cincinnati

NFC Seeds

1-San Francisco, 2-Philadelphia, 3-New Orleans, 4-Detroit, 5-Dallas, 6-Seattle, 7-Atlanta

Wild Card Weekend Scores

Buffalo 31 Cincinnati 30 – Baltimore 34 Kansas City 30 – New York Jets 27 Jacksonville 14

Philadelphia 37 Atlanta 13 – New Orleans 24 Seattle 13 – Dallas 31 Detroit 27

Divisional Round Scores

San Francisco 20 Dallas 17 – New Orleans 31 Philadelphia 25

New York Jets 16 Los Angeles Chargers 14 – Buffalo 28 Baltimore 27

Conference Championships

New Orleans 24 San Francisco 10

Buffalo 19 New York Jets 14

Super Bowl

Buffalo 31 New Orleans 23

Futures Bets – Use a Dutching Tool to Maximize value for what you are playing here.

Super Bowl – Buffalo +900, Los Angeles Chargers +1800, Jacksonville +2500, New Orleans +3700. I don’t hate mixing Detroit in for the NFC. Fading Philly and San Fran is the only way to go here. I think the AFC is wide open so finding some of the longer shots I think will get in the dance is what I looked at.

Season Long Player Awards and Props – These are all Beer or Pizza Bets for me. Nothing major, something to cheer for with some value.

MVP – Justin Herbert +950, Tua +2200. If Tua somehow stays healthy for a full season and the Dolphins reach the playoffs this is a great price

QB With Most passing Yards – Same two Guys, Herbert +425, Tua +2000

QB With Most Interceptions Thrown – Anthony Richardson +1800

Most Rushing Yards for Season – Derrick Henry +750, Tony Pollard +1500

Most Rushing Touchdowns for Season – Nick Chubb +750, Tony Pollard +1700

Rookie With Most Rushing Touchdowns – Anthony Richardson +325

Rookie With Most Receptions – Zay Flowers +400

Comeback Player of the Year – This is probably going to be Damar Hamlin, but just in case I’m going Calvin Ridley +2200

Defensive Rookie of the Year – Devin Witherspoon +950, Lukas Van Ness +1000

Offensive Rookie of the Year – Bryce Young +425

Defensive Player of the Year – T.J. Watt +850

Coach of the Year – Robert Saleh +2000

General Props –Again, these are all Beer or Pizza Bets for me. Nothing major, something to cheer for with some value.

Fewest Point Scored in Season – Carolina +1500

Team With Least Points Allowed Regular Season – New Orleans +1500. I really like this one with their schedule and went a full unit on this play.

Most Points Scored Regular Season – Los Angeles Chargers +1000

Team with Best Regular Season Record – New Orleans +2200, Los Angeles Chargers +2500, New York Jets +2500

Team with worst regular season record – Houston +700

Best of Luck to Everyone this year, and keep following along here at TheOddsbreakers.com

 

 

 

 

 

College Football Week 2 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • Colorado hosting Nebraska after beating TCU outright.
  • Texas State at UTSA after beating Baylor outright.
  • Fresno State hosting Eastern Washington after beating Purdue.
  • Wyoming hosting Portland State after beating Texas Tech.
  • Florida State hosting Southern Miss after beating LSU.

Get Up Spots:

  • Baylor better get up vs Utah with a backup QB to gain some respect.
  • Texas Tech better wake vs Oregon this week.  They are only dogs by 6.5 right now.
  • UTSA needs to get up vs Texas State after losing to Houston.
  • Purdue better do something at Virginia Tech after losing to Fresno state.

College Football Week 1 Misleading Final Scores and injuries.

  • Nebraska out-gained Minnesota 295 to 251 yet lost 13-10.  A pathetic 4-1 turnover ratio and two of them at the end of the game killed their hopes.
  • Nothing misleading in Florida’s yards.   Many were garbage time and Utah didn’t have Rising.
  • Utah State out-gained Iowa 329 to 284 yet lost 24-14.   A 1-0 turnover ratio and 10 penalties hurt the Aggies.
  • Injury to starting QB Tony Muskett from Virginia.  Left non-throwing shoulder but day to day.   Probably misses a week.
  • South Florida out-gained Western Kentucky 540 to 465 yet lost 41-24.  A 3-0 turnover ratio and 11 penalties killed the Bulls.
  • Baylor out-gained Texas State 524 to 441 yet lost 42-31.  A 2-1 turnover ratio, nine penalties and poor red zone hurt the Bears.
  • Injury to Baylor QB Blake Shapen.  MCL sprain.  Out a few weeks.
  • UTSA out-gained Houston 417 to 334 yet lost 17-14.  A 3-0 turnover ratio and poor red zone hurt the road runners.
  • Toledo out-gained Illinois 416 to 374 yet lost 30-28.   Equal turnovers but bad clock management and red zone killed Toledo.
  • Texas Tech out-gained Wyoming 431 to 320 yet lost 35-33.  They won the turnover battle 2-1 but poor defensive red zone killed them.   The team just choked a 17-0 lead away.
  • Clemson out-gained Duke 422 to 374 yet lost 28-7.  A 3-2 turnover ratio, bad red zone hurt the Tigers.

Fantasy Football Low Floor High Ceiling guys

QBs:

  1.  Anthony Richardson

2.  Justin Fields

3.  Jordan Love

4.  DeShawn Watson

5.  Mac Jones

6.  Sam Howell

7.  Brock Purdy

RBS:

  1. Travis Etienne
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs
  3. Rhamondre Stevenson
  4. Alexander Mattison
  5. Khalil Herbert
  6. Rachaad White
  7. Cam Akers
  8. JK Dobbins
  9. De’Von Achane
  10. Jonathan Taylor

WRs:

  1. Deebo Samuel
  2. Calvin Ridley
  3. George Pickens
  4. DeVonta Smith
  5. Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  6. Michael Pittman
  7. Jalin Hyatt
  8. Romeo Doubs
  9. Jameson Williams
  10. Terrance Marshall

TE:

  1. Kyle Pitts
  2. Dalton Kincaid
  3. Luke Musgrave
  4. Michael Mayer
  5. Sam Laporta

Def:

  1.  Seattle
  2. Jaguars

 

 

Podcast 60 – 23 – College Football Week 1 Recap – Box Scores & Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 1 – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!   College Football week 1 is in the books and it’s time for a recap.  First, Kiev recaps the weekend in college football with some thoughts.  Next, Kiev gets into the good the bad and the ugly from last weekend.  Then, we get into come college football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football week 2.  Finally, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football 2023 low floor high ceiling boom or bust type guys.   Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH!  OR GET KIEV O’NEIL’S MEMBERSHIP FOR LIFE AT $75/mo  Click here:   https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/
Offer expires September 7th, 2023

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Follow us @TheOddsBreakers on social media!

If you want to take ownership of your health, try AG1 and get a FREE 1-yearsupply of Vitamin D AND 5 Free AG1 Travel Packs with your first purchase. Go to drinkAG1.com/oddsbreakers