The Saints out-gained the Jaguars 407 to 330 yet lost 31-24. They won the turnover battle at 2-1 but terrible red zone play from Derek Carr and some pass catchers got the Saints.
The Colts out-gained the Browns 456 to 316 yet lost 39-38. A 4-2 turnover ratio and massively biased officiating from Ron Torbert got the the Colts bad. About 14 point swing.
The Rams out-gained the Steelers 354 to 300 yet lost 24-17. A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor red zone and special teams got the Rams.
Sam Houston out-gained FIU 410 to 331 yet lost in overtime 33-27. Equal turnovers at 1 but horrible red zone offense go the Bearkats.
Rutgers only out-gained Indiana 315 to 279 yet won 31-14. A 1-0 turnover ratio and a special teams punt block TD killed the Hoosiers.
Ohio State’s game vs Penn State was a ref show. No adjustment either way.
Cincinnati out-gained Baylor 450 to 396 yet lost 32-29. A 1-0 turnover ratio and poor special teams killed the Bearcats.
UAB out-gained Memphis 381 to 352 yet lost 45-21. A massive 4-0 turnover ratio did them in.
Akron’s yards were mainly garbage vs Bowling Green.
Louisiana Monroe’s yards were mainly garbage time.
Pitt out-gained Wake Forest 414 to 323 yet lost 21-17. They also won the turnover battle 2-0. This is very rare, but 13 penalties really hurt the Panthers.
Tennessee out-gained Alabama 404 to 358 yet lost 34-20. They won the turnover battle 2-1, but an 8-1 penalty ratio, poor special teams, and a second half choke killed the Vols.
North Carolina out-gained Virginia 490 to 436 yet lost at home 31-27. They won the turnover battle 2-1 yet poor field position and red zone defense hurt the Tar Heels.
Most of Texas Tech’s yards were garbage to no adjustment in the BYU game.
ASU outgained Washington 341 to 288 yet lost 15-7. They won the turnover battle 3-1, but poor plus side of the field execution hurt the Sun Devils.
Key Injuries:
QB Grayson McCall from Coastal Carolina hurt lower body. Is day to day.
QB Quinn Evers left the Texas game with an injury to his shoulder. Could be bad.
QB Tyler Van Dyke didn’t play for Miami after having his knee drained. Day to day.
We have a great show for you today! First, Kiev recaps the weekend in college and NFL football with some reactions and some thoughts. Next, Kiev talks about the good the bad and the ugly in sports from last weekend. Then, we get into come college and NFL football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football week 9. Finally, Dave is back as we talk some fantasy football Week 8 with key injuries, waivers, booms and busts. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
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We only have one game taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down the lone matchup along with my best bets and a few player props to take a look at.
Key Matchups:
Montreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Montreal Canadiens: 2-1-1, 6th Atlantic (1-1-1 Away)
Buffalo Sabres: 2-3-0, 8th Atlantic (0-0-0 Home)
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Montreal Canadiens
+160
+160
+1.5 (-148)
o6.5 (-125)
Buffalo Sabres
-192
-192
-1.5 (+124)
u6.5 (+105)
After losing the the New York Islanders on their opening night, the Sabres got their revenge on Saturday defeating them 3-1. Buffalo has had an up-and-down start to the season going 2-3. After ranking 3rd in GF/GP last season averaging 3.57, the Sabres have only averaged 2.40 GF/GP through the first five games. Their Power Play has been one of the worst in the League converting at a rate of just 5.6%. However, their Pebnalty Kill has been a bright spot for them ranking 5th (94.7%).
Montreal is also coming off a victory on Saturday where they defeated the Washington Capitals 3-2 in OT. They’ve been playing well after losing their first game of the year against Toronto taking points in three of their four games. After scoring 5 goals in that game against Toronto, the Canadiens have averaged just 2.67 goals in their last three contests.
Tage Thompson Anytime Goal Scorer (+130) – FanDuel
Thompson is coming off a strong campaign last year where he recorded 94 points (47 goals, 47 assists). However, he’s had a slow start to the season only tallying one goal through the first five games. Given his shot quantity and playing time, it feels as though he’s primed to break out anytime soon. Last game, we saw him show his frustration by snapping his stick after he missed a relatively easy opportunity in front of the net. The good news is that Thompson has had success against Montreal in the past scoring in four of his last six matchups against them. Montreal also ranks 32nd in the NHL in Penalty Minutes which should give Tage a higher chance at finding the back of the net as he scored 20 of his 47 goals on the man advantage last season.
In addition to any time goal scorer, I would also look to take over 0.5 Power Play Points for Tage Thompson on FanDuel at +200.
Player Props to Target:
Tage Thompson over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-148) – DraftKings/ FanDuel
Thompson has gone over this number in three of the first five games to start the season. During that span, he’s averaging 4.8 shots on goal and 8.0 shot attempts per game.
Montreal currently ranks 26th in shots on goal against per game averaging 35.0.
In each of his last three matchups against the Canadiens, Thompson has recorded over 3.5 shots on goal.
Rasmus Dahlin over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-115) – DraftKings
Dahlin has gone over this number in four of the first five games to start the season. During that span, he’s averaging 2.8 shots on goal and 6.6 shot attempts per game.
Montreal currently ranks 26th in shots on goal against per game averaging 35.0.
In his last four matchups against the Canadiens, Dahlin has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal twice.
Cole Caufield over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-115) – DraftKings
Caufield has gone over this number in three of the first four games to start the season. During that span, he’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 8.25 shot attempts per game.
Buffalo currently ranks 12th in shots on goal against per game averaging 29.2.
In each of his last three matchups against the Sabres, Caufield has recorded over 3.5 shots on goal.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click Here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 17th 2023
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63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Packers vs Broncos +1 O/U O/U 45
In what world do we live in where the Broncos are at almost pick-em against an almost average team? Look, I know that Jordan love is bad and all, but at least he has a team around him. The Broncos rank 32nd on defense in rushing yards per attempt at 5.6 and 30th in defensive rush EPA. The Packers should be able to just hand the ball of to AJ Dillon. Let’s also not forget that Aaron Jones is expected to play today. The Packers also have the edge in yards per point ranking 2nd to Denver’s 10th. Now, from a passing aspect of the game, the Broncos rank dead last in passing yards per attempt at 8.2. Their secondary is weak and Jordan Love ranks number one in intended air yards. With Christian Watson healthy, I think that Green Bay has some explosive plays today. Now the packers defense is quite average giving up 5.1 yards per play, but Denver gives up a massive 7 yards per play and 13.2 yards per point. I think after the bye here, Green Bay gets the W.
Packers -1 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Refuse to lose teaser is 5-1. Colts to +9 with the Giant to +9 – 3 stars. Even with Watson back, this browns team doesn’t have an efficient offense. The Colts should be able to hang. The Giants and the Commies always play close.
