Did not get the win last week with William Byron over Ross Chastain as Byron had a questionable pit stop towards the end of the race that didn’t get that bet home, but that’s gambling and all we can do now is look forward on getting a winner this Sunday at Richmond Raceway. This will be the second time this year that the cup series is running at Richmond and back on April 2nd this year Brad Keselowski took a 10th place finish and Tyler Reddick finished 16th. Keselowski has owned Reddick at Richmond by beating him 5 of the last 6 races here. The last 6 races at Richmond Keselowski has an average finish of 11th and Reddick with a 17.5. A good comp to Richmond would be New Hampshire Motor Speedway where Reddick has not beaten Keselowski heads up here at this track since he entered the cup series back in 2020. Keselowski has been in better form as he has had a better finishing position than Reddick in 7 of the last 10 races, take Brad Keselowski over Tyler Reddick this Sunday at Richmond Raceway.
Rocco’s SPORTS Mission: Season 1, Podcast 9 is available for your listening pleasure.
I will preview the AFC North, including a division play, as well as my SUPER BOWL pick! Then recap my Podcast Play earlier in the week, and give you guys a new series to target this weekend. As always, end it with “Reflect with Rocco”, discussing your ‘specialty’ as a gambler.
Very excited for everyone to listen to this one!
Would you like all of my Premium Plays? Head over to theoddsbreakers.com and look at all of my available packages. My monthly one gives you access to every sport’s premium plays. If you’re looking for action and content all the time, that’s personally my favorite. It gives you every sport for a small amount daily. Just use the promocode Summerwin to receive 50% off!
I’ve done extremely well with football in the last few years. If you followed me on Twitter @TrustRocco the last few seasons, you have seen the damage I can do. We had some unbelievable weeks! My football package is UP and available, just use the promocode Summerwin to receive 20% off! Be sure to sign up early and don’t miss any of the action for this upcoming season.
I just finished the NBA season up over 17 units, all plays documented on Twitter and BetStamp. I also finished the NCAAB season up 16 units as well. Put your trust in Rocco.
Gonna be a fun one in St Louis today where the Cubs are now just one game below .500 and the Cardinals pretty much sellers at this point. Justin Steele takes the mound for the Cubbies boasting a 2.95 ERA and a 2.97 FIP. I’d say that he is their ace right now with Strohman blowing up as of late. Mike Mikolas takes the help for the Cards with a 4.33 ERA and a 3.89 FIP. I’d say this is a sizeable difference. Hitting is a push between these two teams, but over the last two weeks, the Cubbies are number 1 in wRC+ at 137. I think that the Cubs get to .500 today.
We have a HUGE show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to break down the Pac 12 and give you a few stats and a few thoughts on every team. We also talk about some win totals and give out two future plays. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
USE PROMO CODE SUMMERWIN TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires August 1st, 2023
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription! You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.
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It looks like we’re officially on a heater! Akshay Bhatia (40-1) captured the Barbasol Championship giving us our second outright in the past two weeks.
Let’s get into this week’s storylines…
Tony Finau looks to defend his title at the 3M Open. He’s already won twice on Tour this season. If he’s able to capture a third victory this season it would be the first time that he’s accomplished that feat in his career.
Justin Thomas finds himself on the outside of the FedEx Cup Playoffs with just two events to go. He’s played in the Tour Championship seven times before, winning in 2017. This is the first year that just 70 players qualify for the PGA TOUR’s postseason. Thomas is 75th in the FedExCup after a difficult season.
The 3M Open debuted on the PGA Tour in 2019. Before that, TPC Twin Cities hosted the 3M Championship which was a Champions tour event from 1993-2018. The 3M Open is the PGA TOUR’s first regular stop in Minnesota in five decades. As one of the newer tournaments on the tour, they’ve taken a great approach to trying to grow the event and game. On hole 17, they added sky boxes to try to mimic the famed rowdy par-3 16th hole at the Waste Management Open.
The course was originally a sod farm that was transformed into a championship golf course by Arnold Palmer Design Co with consultation from Minnesota native, Tom Lehman. Before the inaugural tournament in 2019, the course underwent a renovation. During that renovation, they lengthened the course, narrowed fairway lines, repositioned tees and bunkers, and added more space for grandstands and spectators.
72-Hole Record:
263, Matthew Wolff (2019)
18-Hole Record:
62, Scott Piercy (1st Rd, 2019), Bryson Dechambeau (2nd Rd, 2019), Matt Wolff (3rd Rd, 2019), Lucas Glover (4th Rd, 2019)
Course Scorecard:
Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 6, 7, 9, 14
For a hole-by-hole overview of the course, you can click the following link.
Key Statistics:
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Birdies or Better
Bogey Avoidance
Par 3 Scoring: 200 – 225 (x2)
Par 4 Scoring: 400 – 450 (x4)
Par 5 Scoring: 550 – 600 (x3)
Comparable Courses and Event History
The Field/ Odds:
There will be 156 players competing in this year’s 3M Open. Five of the world’s top-thirty players are in the field. Here are the current favorites in this week’s event:
Cameron Young (+1400)
Sungjae Im (+1600)
Tony Finau (+1600)
Hideki Matsuyama (+1600)
Emilliano Grillo (+2500)
Previous Winners in the Field:
Tony Finau (’22), Cameron Champ (’21)
Notable Withdraws:
David Lingmerth, Luke List, Akshay Bhatia
To see the most up-to-date odds, you can click the following link.
To see the full field for this event and how they qualified, you can click the following link.
Horses for Courses:
Field Rating: 113
Field Rating: 222
Field Rating: 197
Field Rating: 255
2022
2021
2020
2019
Sungjae Im
T2
T15
Tony Finau
1
T28
T3
T23
Emiliano Grillo
T2
MC
T3
Adam Hadwin
T38
T6
4
JT Poston
T11
T28
Cameron Champ
T16
1
MC
Donkeys for Courses:
“Horses for Courses” is a phrase that is widely used and describes the best course/tournament fits. These are the players that have had success at the particular course/event. “Donkeys for Courses” is something I came up with that highlights the players who have struggled at a specific course/tournament.
Field Rating: 113
Field Rating: 222
Field Rating: 197
Field Rating: 255
2022
2021
2020
2019
Scott Harrington
MC
MC
Ben Taylor
MC
MC
Kevin Tway
MC
MC
Sean O’Hair
MC
MC
Russell Knox
MC
MC
Matthew NeSmith
T72
MC
MC
Andrew Landry
MC
MC
MC
Nate Lashley
MC
MC
MC
William Gordon
MC
MC
Harry Higgs
MC
MC
MC
Ben Martin
MC
MC
MC
Charley Hoffman
MC
MC
Sahith Theegala
MC
MC
Sunghoon Kang
MC
T70
MC
Doc Redman
MC
MC
MC
Cody Gribble
MC
MC
Martin Trainer
MC
T58
MC
MC
Austin Cook
MC
MC
T56
MC
Brian Gay
MC
MC
MC
T56
Previous Winners Scores & Prices:
2022: Tony Finau (-17)
Price: 14-1
2021: Cameron Champ (-15)
Price: 150-1
2020: Michael Thompson (-19)
Price: 125-1
2019: Matthew Wolff (-21)
Price: 175-1
Picks (Outrights):
Sepp Straka (+2200) – FanDuel
Risk 0.37 to win 8.14 Units
Emiliano Grillo (+2800) – FanDuel
Risk 0.29 to win 8.12 Units
Ludvig Aberg (+2800) – FanDuel
Risk 0.29 to win 8.12 Units
Doug Ghim (+8000) – BetMGM
Risk 0.10 to win 8.00 Units
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.05 Units
Picks (Top 20):
Adam Hadwin (+170) – BetMGM
Risk 1.00 to win 1.70 Units
J.T. Poston (+180) – BetMGM
Risk 1.00 to win 1.80 Units
Total Risk on Top 20: 2.00 Units
Picks (Top 40):
Greyson Sigg (+120) – BetMGM
Risk 1.00 to win 1.20 Units
Chez Reavie (+138) – BetMGM
Risk 1.00 to win 1.38 Units
Total Risk on Top 40: 2.00 Units
Total Risk on the 3M Open: 5.05 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative, is always encouraged.
Rocco’s SPORTS Mission: Season 1, Podcast 8 is available for your listening pleasure.
Welcome to the inaugural Monday edition of Rocco’s SPORTS Mission Podcast. I will give my opinion on the Buffalo Bills Win Total in 2023. Then we will go over my lone Podcast Play this week.
Would you like all of my Premium Plays? Head over to theoddsbreakers.com and look at all of my available packages. My monthly one gives you access to every sport’s premium plays. If you’re looking for action and content all the time, that’s personally my favorite. It gives you every sport for a small amount daily.
I’ve done extremely well with football in the last few years. If you followed me on Twitter @TrustRocco the last few seasons, you have seen the damage I can do. We had some unbelievable weeks! My football package is UP and available, just use the promocode Summerwin to receive 20% off! Be sure to sign up early and don’t miss any of the action for this upcoming season.
I just finished the NBA season up over 17 units, all plays documented on Twitter and BetStamp. I also finished the NCAAB season up 16 units as well. Put your trust in Rocco.
We have a tasty show for you today! Matt Youmans @MattyYoumans247 from @VSINLIVE comes on to break down the NFL win totals, week 1, and the top 10 fast food go to restaurants in the USA! First, Matt talks about how he likes the heat down in the southwest compared to the cold of the mid-west. Next, the guys get right into their top 10 fast food restaurants. Then, Matt and Kiev get into some 2023 NFL season win totals as well as some plays that they have made during the season. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
USE PROMO CODE SUMMERWIN TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires August 1st, 2023
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription! You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.
If you want to take ownership of your health, try AG1 and get a FREE 1-yearsupply of Vitamin D AND 5 Free AG1 Travel Packs with your first purchase. Go to drinkAG1.com/oddsbreakers
This should be a good main event in London where Tom Aspinall is coming back almost exactly one year later after his early first round knee injury vs Curtis Blaydes. If you remember, Aspinall was favored in this fight and was a very big heavyweight contender at the time. His early finishes of Volkov and Spivak have earned him a big favorite here of over 80% probability. Tom’s opponent Marcin Tybura isn’t no slouch. Marcin is durable and has beaten good contenders like Alexander Romanov and Blagoy Ivanov. He lost to Alexander Volkov by decision. Let’s look at how this fight will go down. Marcin Tybura is more of a stand-up fighter who also has skills on the ground if needed. His takedown defense is at a huge 79%. Aspinall is good both on his feet and on the ground, but I am not so sure that he will be able to take the big polar bear down so quickly. I also think that it would not be smart of Aspinall to go directly at Tybura the very next fight after his big knee injury. Tybura himself will want this fight to last as long as possible to try and wear down the more aggressive Aspinal. I think this fight is most likley won by Tom being that he is the younger and the more skilled fighter, but I also think that this fight gets past the 1st round. Take the round prop at a good price.
Nascar H2H Matchup William Byron Over Ross Chastain -112 @Fanduel Sportsbook
Risk 4.5 To Win 4 Units
Coming off a winner last week with Brad Keselowski over Bubba Wallace at New Hampshire, now we turn are focus to Pocono this Sunday for another winner. Both William Byron and Ross Chastain entered the Nascar Cup Series in 2018 and since then William Byron has had a better finishing position then Ross Chastain at Pocono. Byron has an average finish of 9.4 at Pocono and Chastain has a lousy average finish of 29.7 since 2018. A similar track to Pocono would be Michigan Speedway where Byron has an average finish of 14.3 and Chastain is 29.8. Byron also has been better in current form as he has had a better finishing position then Chastain 6 out of the last 9 races, take William Byron over Ross Chastain this Sunday at Pocono.
Rocco’s SPORTS Mission: Season 1, Podcast 7 is available for your listening pleasure.
I will go over my AL Central future bet. Then, we dive into 2 MLB series I’m eyeing for this weekend. As always, end it with “Reflect with Rocco” discussing taking mental breaks.
Would you like all of my Premium Plays? Head over to theoddsbreakers.com and look at all of my available packages. My monthly one gives you access to every sport’s premium plays. If you’re looking for action and content all the time, that’s personally my favorite. It gives you every sport for a small amount daily.
I’ve done extremely well with football in the last few years. If you followed me on Twitter @TrustRocco the last few seasons, you have seen the damage I can do. We had some unbelievable weeks! My football package is UP and available, just use the promocode Summerwin to receive 20% off! Be sure to sign up early and don’t miss any of the action for this upcoming season.
I just finished the NBA season up over 17 units, all plays documented on Twitter and BetStamp. I also finished the NCAAB season up 16 units as well. Put your trust in Rocco.
