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College Football Week 7 Sharp Money Movement

As of Wednesday at 1PM

Sharp Money On:

  • Alabama -18.5 to -20.5 hosting Arkansas – 48% tickets and 67% of the money
  • Temple +8 to +7 at North Texas – 42% tickets and 92% of the money.
  • Toledo -15.5 to -17 at Ball State – 51% tickets and 98% of the money.
  • Texas A&M +6 to +3.5 at Tennessee – 58% tickets and 92% of the money.
  • Colorado State +10.5 to +8 hosting Boise State – 83% tickets and 91% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Sam Houston vs New Mexico State under 46.5 to 42 – 67% tickets and 93% of the money.
  • Iowa State vs Cincinnati under 49.5 to 45.5 – 21% tickets and 91% of the money.
  • Miami vs Western Michigan under 53.5 to 45 – 67% tickets and 82% of the money.
  • Iowa vs Wisconsin under 40.5 to 35 – 55% tickets and 70% of the money.
  • Louisville vs Pitt under 48.5 to 45 – 67% tickets and 91% of the money.

Podcast 74 – 23 – Kiev O’Neil – NFL Week 6 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to go over NFL week 7.  FIrst, we talk our records this year for NFL and College Football.   Next, Kiev gets into NFL Week 7’s slate of games with some Free Plays and some leans in every game.  After that, Kiev gives out his refuse to lose teaser that is 4-1 thus far for the 2023 season!  Finally, we get into some NFL sharp money movement.  Should you have any questions for the podcast for Monday, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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NHL Preview & Picks – October 12th, 2023

We went 2-0 last night continuing rebounding from a terrible opening night. We have seven games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down a few key matchups along with my best bets and a few player props to take a look at.

 

Key Matchups:

New York Rangers @ Buffalo Sabres

  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • New York Rangers: 0-0-0, – Metropolitan (0-0-0 Away)
  • Buffalo Sabres: 0-0-0, – Atlantic (0-0-0 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
New York Rangers -125 -135 -1.5 (+185) o6.5 (-118)
Buffalo Sabres +105 +114 +1.5 (-225) u6.5 (-102)

 

The Sabres and Rangers both start their season tonight with hopes of making the postseason. New York has qualified for the playoffs in each of the last two years while the Sabres have not made the playoffs since 2011.

The Rangers added a few notable UFAs this offseason including Blake Wheeler and Nick Bonito. They also added Jonathan Quick to fill the backup role behind Igor Shesterkin after Jaroslav Halak left. Vladimir Tarasenko and Patrick Kane are the notable losses for New York. Peter Laviolette has replaced Gerald Gallant behind the bench which should bring a more up-tempo style of play to this team from years past.

The Sabres finished one point back of the last wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference last year. Their main issues last season were their goaltending and defense. Devon Levi joined the team after finishing his season at Northeastern and assumed the starting role. In the seven games he played with the team, he had a .905 SV% and 2.94 GAA. Buffalo added Connor Clifton and Erik Johnson to help their defensive unit.

The past few meetings between these two teams have been tight with each of them requiring more than 60 minutes to settle. The Sabres offensive should provide plenty of issues for New York tonight but their defense remains questionable. Opposite of that, New York’s forward group relied on their PowerPlay for a majority of their scoring last year so they’ll need to generate more 5-v-5 chances.

 

Florida Panthers @ Minnesota Wild

  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Florida Panthers: 0-0-0, – Atlantic (0-0-0 Away)
  • Minnesota Wild: 0-0-0, – Central (0-0-0 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
Florida Panthers +105 +110 +1.5 (-225) o6.5 (-110)
Minnesota Wild -125 -130 -1.5 (+185) u6.5 (-110)

 

Florida has high expectations this season after losing the Stanley Cup finals last year. They nearly completed their incredible postseason run before eventually losing to the Golden Knights. Their core has largely remained intact but will be missing a few key pieces tonight in Brandon Montour and Aaron Ekblad. Florida’s biggest question mark is the play of Sergi Bobrovsky who was incredible in the playoffs this year but has shown in the past that his play can be very inconsistent at times.

Just like Florida, Minnesota has high expectations after losing in the first round of the playoffs last season. Kirill Kaprizov has emerged as a superstar in this league after consecutive 40-goal seasons. Minnesota will be without defenseman Jared Spurgeon tonight who’s week-to-week with an upper-body injury. He led all Wild defensemen with 34 points and was second in time on ice, averaging 21:49 per game.

 

Seattle Kraken @ Nashville Predators

  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Seattle Kraken: 0-1-0, 7th Pacific (0-1-0 Away)
  • Nashville Predators: 0-1-0, 7th Central (0-1-0 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
Seattle Kraken -115 -110 +1.5 (-258) o6 (-120)
Nashville Predators -105 -110 -1.5 (+210) u6 (+100)

 

Both these teams are coming off losses in their season openers.

Seattle lost 4-1 to the defending Stanley Cup Champion Vegas Golden Knights. They outshot Vegas in that game but couldn’t beat Adin Hill who finished with a 2.42 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx).

Nashville fell to the Lightning by a score of 5-3. Statistically, they had more expected goals than Tampa Bay but Juuse Saros struggled in net ending the game with a -1.08 GSAx.

These teams have faced off six times before with Seattle beating Nashville four of those times.

 

Picks:

[All plays are to win 1 Unit unless otherwise noted]

  • Philadelphia Flyers/ Columbus Blue Jackets Over 6.5 (-114) – FanDuel

 

  • Same Game Parlay: Dallas Stars moneyline/ Under 7.5 – (+100) – DraftKings

 

Player Props to Target:

  • Joel Farabee over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-150) – DraftKings
    • Joel Farabee has recorded more than 1.5 shots on goal in each of the last three games last season. During that span, he averaged 4.3 shots on goal and 6.0 shot attempts per game. Last season Columbus ranked 31st in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 35.4. They also allowed the most shots on goal to Left Wingers last year. He’s on the top line in addition to the PowerPlay so he should have plenty of ice time tonight. Farabee has exceeded this number six times in his seven previous matchups against the Blue Jackets.
  • Casey Mittelstadt over 0.5 Points (-110) – DraftKings
    • Casey Mittelstadt finished the season strong last year recording at least one point in his last five games. Historically he’s been great against the Rangers with points in three of his four games against them.
  • Jordan Kyrou over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-150) – DraftKings
    • Jordan Kyrou has recorded more than 2.5 shots on goal in each of the last three games last season. During that span, he averaged 4.0 shots on goal and 5.0 shot attempts per game. Kyrou is on the top line in addition to the PowerPlay so he should have plenty of ice time tonight. In his five previous matchups against the Stars, Kyrou has gone over this number each time.
  • Jared McCann over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-140) – DraftKings
    • Jared McCann has recorded more than 2.5 shots on goal in four of the last five games. In the first game of the season, McCann had five shots on goal in six shot attempts. In his previous matchup against the Predators, McCann had four shots on goal in seven shot attempts.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

NFL Week 6 Thursday night Prop Play – Sports Betting

We are 10-0 in these props and hope to continue with a juicy one tonight!

@theoddsbreakers

#sportsbetting #props#tiktokbetting #Thursdaynightfootball #frepicks #freeplays #chiefs #broncos @kylehunterpicks @TheGreatKnoche @Cubfandanny

♬ Friday Night Lights – ROKKA

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63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

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63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

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62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

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Podcast 73 – 23 – With Kyle Hunter – College Football Week 7 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!  Kyle Hunter @KyleHunterPicks from Huntersportspicks.com is back to break down some HUGE college football games!   First, Kiev talks about some of the huge games this weekend.  Next, Kyle comes on and the guys get right into some teams that they were wrong about in the preseason and some teams that they were correct about.   Then, Kyle and Kiev talk about totals in general.   After that, the guys talk about some of the biggest games in college football for week 7 with some Free plays!   Finally, we get into some College Football sharp money movement.  Should you have any questions for the podcast for Monday, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Follow us @TheOddsBreakers on social media!

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NFL Week 6 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • The Jaguars could be a little flat hosting the Colts after London.
  • The 49ers could let down at Cleveland after beating the Cowboys.

Get Up Spots:

  • The Cowboys need to get up at the Chargers after getting wooped.
  • The Bills need to get up hosting the Giants.
  • The Browns need to get back on track hosting the 49ers.
  • The Vikings could get it right at the Bears.

Look Ahead Spots:

None

College Football Week 7 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • UCLA at Oregon State after putting WASU in their place.
  • Louisville at Pittsburgh after beating Notre Dame is dangerous.
  • Wyoming at Air Force after beating Fresno State is one for sure.

Get Up Spots:

  • Notre Dame can play spoiler hosting USC.
  • Wisconsin can show the world something vs Iowa.
  • Alabama might pummel Arkansas.
  • Stanford needs hope against Colorado after the bye.
  • Washington State hosting Arizona needs to get back up.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Penn State looking past UMASS to Ohio State is possible.
  • Ohio State could look past Purdue next week to Penn State.

College Football Week 6 Misleading Final Scores & Key Injuries

Middle Tennessee State out-gained Jacksonville State 563 to 401 yet lost 45 – 30.  A 4-1 turnover ratio did them in.

Ohio State only out-gained Maryland 382 to 302 yet won 37-17.  A 2-0 turnover margin and boneheaded Maryland coaching ruined it for the Terps.

Texas out-gained Oklahoma 527 to 486 yet lost 34-30.  A 3-0 turnover ratio did them in.

North Texas out-gained Navy 473 to 406 yet lost 27-24.  A 2-0 turnover ratio hurt the Mean Green.

Rice out-gained UCONN 474 to 319 yet lost 38-31.  A 4-0 turnover ratio and poor red zone got the Owls.

ASU out-gained Colorado 392 to 295 yet lost 27-24.   Equal turnovers but poor red zone play and 9 penalties got the Sun Devils.

Miami out-gained Georgia Tech 453 to 250 yet lost 23-20.  A 5-2 turnover ratio and horrible coaching got the Canes.

TCU out-gained Iowa State 398 to 353 yet lost 27-14.  A 4-0 turnover ratio did them in.

Arizona out-gained USC 506 to 365 yet lost 43-41.  Equal turnovers at one but 12 penalties got the Wildcats.

Purdue out-gained Iowa 343 to 291 yet lost 20-14.  A 2-1 turnover ratio and poor red zone defense got the Boilermakers.

Key Injuries:

QB Mikey Keene from Fresno State went out with an ankle injury and is week to week.

QB McCae Hillstead from Utah State may miss a week.

TE  Max Klare is done for the season for Purdue.

TCU QB Chandler Morris will be out a while.

QB Christian Veilleux: Starter on the depth chart while Phil Jurcovic will be benched.

 

NFL Week 5 Misleading Final Scores

The Ravens outgained the Steelers 335 to 289 yet lost 17-10.  A 3-1 turnover ratio and a flat out 4th quarter choke killed the black birds.

The Chiefs only out-gained the Vikings 333 to 329 yet won 27-20.  A 1-0 turnover ratio, poor red zone and bad officiating got the Vikings.

 

Expected Bets For – Episode 50 – NHL Opening Night

On this week’s episode of Expected Bets For, @FrancoTheBanker, @gretzkybetzkys and I break down the three games on Opening Night and offer our best bets.

 

Topics:

  • Introduction [0:00 – 1:00]
  • Nashville Predators @ Tampa Bay Lightning [1:01 – 6:56]
  • Chicago Blackhawks @ Pittsburgh Penguins [6:57 – 15:05]
  • Seattle Kraken @ Vegas Golden Knights [15:06 – 21:01]

 

Video Link:

 

Twitter Handles:

 

Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!