On this week’s episode of Expected Bets For, @FrancoTheBanker, @gretzkybetzkys, and I break down the games for May 22nd/ 23rd along with the Conference Finals.
Topics:
Introduction
Around the League
NHL Preview/ Picks – March 22nd, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes @ Florida Panthers
NHL Preview/ Picks – March 23rd, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights @ Dallas Stars
Twitter Handles:
Podcast: @ExpectedBetsFor
Patrick: @GatorBetting
Chuck: @FrancoTheBanker
Betzky: @gretzkybetzkys
Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!
The Celtics head down to South Beach in a gigantic two games to zilch hole, but playing some better defense could lead to a more welcoming result for the Irish. The Heat have averaged 117 points in the first two games, while shooting 52% from beyond the arc in Game 1 and got a season high 25 points from Caleb Martin in Game 2. A lot of factors led to the over being 2-0 so far in this series. In game 1, both teams shot an extremely high % from the field, as well as a 7 game high in field goals made. Not to mention, Miami scored a whopping 46 points in the 3rd quarter. Then the pace definitively slowed down in game 2, yet the over scrapped and battled its way over the number. Including 36 fourth quarter points from the Heat, and 13 points in the final minute. Some might say, well it’s the final minute there are usually a lot of points, but not necessarily in a tight game. Which is what I foresee happening tonight. The last 4 match-ups between these two in Miami have led to under’s, and 2 of the 4 by a 20 point + margin. Point blank, Miami plays a physical, contested type of defense. They move the ball on offense at a snail’s pace, limiting possessions at both ends. Jaylen Brown and Al Horford have gone ice cold from downtown in this series, leaving all the work to Jason Tatum. I think this is going to be a slower paced game, with potentially a lot of bricks. All favoring the under. This will be a 2 unit play for me on the under, 214.
The 148th running of the Preakness Stakes takes place today at Pimlico Race Course. The Preakness Stakes is the second leg of the American Triple Crown of horse racing.
Mage (#3) will look to become the thirty-seventh horse to have won both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness. If he’s able to do so, he’ll compete in the Belmont and try to become the fourteenth horse to win the Triple Crown.
Mage (#3) will be the only horse to run in the Preakness Stakes after competing in the Kentucky Derby. This is the smallest group of Derby horses in the race since the Triple Crown series went to its current format 54 years ago.
Bob Baffert, Trainer of National Treasure (#1), will make his first return to a Triple Crown race in two years. The last time he had a horse in the Preakness was Medina Spirit, two years ago. If National Treasure (#1) does go on to win, Baffert would break a tie with 19th-century trainer R. Wyndham Walden for the most Preakness victories in history.
Perform (#6) earned his berth in the Preakness with a win in the Federico Tesio Stakes at Laurel Park. His owners had to pay an extra $150,000 to get him in the field because he was not originally nominated for the Triple Crown series, but trainer Shug McGaughey said they did not hesitate.
Preakness Stakes Historical Post Position Stats:
Post Position
Wins
1
12
2
12
3
12
4
14
5
13
6
16
7
14
8
10
Field:
Post Position
Horse
Odds
1
National Treasure
4-1
2
Chase the Chaos
50-1
3
Mage
8-5
4
CoffeewithChris
20-1
5
Red Route One
10-1
6
Perform
15-1
7
Blazing Sevens
6-1
8
First Mission
5-2
Horse Preview:
Name: National Treasure
Odds: 4-1
Owner(s): SF Racing LLC, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables LLC, Masterson, Robert E., Stonestreet Stables LLC, Schoenfarber, Jay A., Waves Edge Capital LLC, and Donovan, Catherine
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: John Velazquez
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
5
1
1
2
2023
2
0
0
1
2022
3
1
1
1
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
National Treasure has yet to find the winner’s circle since breaking his maiden back in September of 2022 in a 6 1/2 Furlong Sprint at Del Mar. Following that race, he would go on to finish 2nd in the Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes and 3rd in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. After that, they shortened him up and dropped him in class but it wasn’t successful as he ran 3rd in the Grade 3 Sham Stakes. In his most recent race, he finished 4th in the Grade 1 RUNHAPPY Santa Anita Derby. He’s shown some improvement in his last two races posting some impressive speed figures and his workouts have been great as well. One thing to note is he didn’t get a great trip in either of those last two races as he was bumped in both of them. John Velazquez has ridden him in four of his five career starts and will retain the mount.
Name: Chase the Chaos
Odds: 50-1
Owner(s): Adam Ference & Bill Dory
Trainer: Ed Moger Jr.
Jockey: Sheldon Russell
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
8
3
2
1
2023
3
1
0
0
2022
5
2
2
1
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
Chase the Chaos has yet to win a graded stakes race in his eight career starts. In his most recent start, he ran 8th in the California Derby. He didn’t have a great start in that race but was never a threat. Before that, he finished 7th in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes. His most recent win was three races ago in the El Camino Real Derby. That was the longest distance he ever ran and posted his best speed figure as well. While he did have success at a longer distance, I don’t think he has the speed to compete in this race. He’s also raced on a synthetic surface for the majority of his career. In his lone start on dirt, he failed to hit the board. Sheldon Russell will get his first career mount on this horse. TOSS
Name: Mage
Odds: 3-1
Owner(s): OGMA Investments LLC, Ramiro Restrepo, Sterling Racing LLC, and CMNWLTH
Trainer: Gustavo Delgado
Jockey: Javier Castellano
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
4
2
1
0
2023
4
2
1
0
2022
0
0
0
0
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
Mage is the morning line favorite coming off a win in the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby. In that race, he posted his best speed figure. Before that victory, he ran second in the Grade 1 Florida Derby. He lost to Forte, who was the Kentucky Derby favorite but was scratched late. In his last two races, he’s lengthened out in distance and has had success. He’s also been more of a closer as compared to a front-runner. There’s not a ton of early speed in this race so it’ll be interesting to see how Javier handles him in this race. There’s not much downside to this horse after the performance he put on in the Kentucky Derby.
Name: CoffeewithChris
Odds: 20-1
Owner(s): Salzman, Jr., John E., Wasserloos, Fred and Geruso, Anthony
Trainer: John E. Salzman, Jr.
Jockey: Jamie Rodriguez
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
12
3
3
2
2023
4
1
2
0
2022
8
2
1
2
Pimlico
1
1
0
0
CoffeewithChris placed 5th in the Federico Tesio Stakes in his last start behind fellow entrant Perfrom (1st). Before that, he ran second in the Private Terms Stakes. His last win was in the Miracle Wood Stakes which was run at a mile. In his two most recent races, he lengthened out and hasn’t had much success. He’s also yet to run in a graded-stakes race. There’s not much upside to this horse outside of him breaking his maiden at Pimlico. I’m expecting him to try and push the pace but I’m not sure he’ll be a factor outside of that.
Name: Red Route One
Odds: 10-1
Owner(s): Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
Trainer: Steven M. Asmussen
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
9
2
2
1
2023
4
1
2
0
2022
5
1
0
1
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
Red Route One won the Bath House Row Stakes at Oaklawn Park in his last start. He posted a career-best speed figure at a mile and an eighth. Before that, he ran 6th in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby after getting off to a slow start. In his two races before that, he ran 2nd in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes and Grade 3 Southwest Stakes. I don’t think he has the speed needed to compete in this race but could be a factor in terms of exotics. Joel Rosario will retain the mount after winning with him in his last start.
Name: Perform
Odds: 15-1
Owner(s): Woodford Racing LLC, Lanes End Farm, Phipps Stable, Ken Langone, and Edward J. Hudson Jr.
Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III
Jockey: Feargal Lynch
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
7
2
1
1
2023
3
2
0
0
2022
4
0
1
1
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
Perform has won his last two races. In his most recent race, he won the Federico Tesio Stakes at Laurel Park despite stumbling out of the gate. Before that, he won a Maiden Special Weight at Tampa Bay Downs. He’s lengthed out in both of those races and has become more of a closer. While his speed figures have improved, they are a concern. His workouts have also been an encouraging sign for this horse as well. I’m not sure he can win this race but I’ll most likely add him to a few exotics.
Name: Blazing Sevens
Odds: 6-1
Owner(s): Rodeo Creek Racing LLC
Trainer: Claude R. McGaughey III
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
7
2
1
1
2023
3
2
0
0
2022
4
0
1
1
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
Blazing Sevens finished 3rd in the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes behind two Kentucky Debry entrants. Before that, he ran 8th in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes after being bumped at the start and was never a factor. His last win was four races ago in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes. This horse is certainly a factor in his race given his ability to close. His last two workouts were also great so that’s another added factor. He’s also done well with a wet surface before so if that forecast does hold and we do get some rain, watch out.
Name: First Mission
Odds: 5-2
Owner(s): Godolphin LLC
Trainer: Brad Cos
Jockey: Luis Saez
Starts
1st Place
2nd Place
3rd Place
Life
3
2
1
0
2023
3
2
1
0
2022
0
0
0
0
Pimlico
0
0
0
0
First Mission has only raced three times in his career. In his last start, he won the Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes. In that race, he posted an impressive speed figure. Before that, he won a Maiden Special Weight at Fair Grounds. He’s shown a liking to the increase in distance winning both those races at a mile and a sixteenth. If he can get out of the gate clean, he is the horse to beat in this race.
Projected Pace:
Front Runners
CoffeewithChris (#4)
Off the Pace
First Mission (#8)
National Treasure (#1)
Middle/ Back of the Pact
Mage (#3)
Blazing Sevens (#7)
Chase the Chaos (#2)
Perform (#6)
Closers
Red Route One (#5)
Picks:
Exacta ($1 -> $5):
(#1 National Treasure) / (#3) Mage, (#4) CoffeewithChris, (#5) Red Route One (#6) Perform, (#7) Blazing Seven
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
We are back for the 148th running of the Preakness Stakes at Pimlico race track in Baltimore Maryland. This race is a mile and 3/16th long which is above average, yet the shortest of the triple crown races. The field here in the second leg of the triple crown is now seven horses deep with only one horse returning from the Kentucky Derby with his win in Mage. The co-favorite First Mission, A Brad Cox horse, was scratched due to a bum ankle. This scratch will significantly change the early odds listed here for this race, but that doesn’t mean that we do not have a chance at a decent score.
HORSE
ODDS
PROGRAM #
PROJECTION
Mage
8-5
3
Key
First Mission
SCR
8
SCR
National Treasure
4-1
1
Key
Blazing Sevens
6-1
7
Use
Red Route One
10-1
5
Use
Perform
15-1
6
Key
Coffeewithchris
20-1
4
Use
Chase The Chaos
50-1
2
Use
Today’s weather at Pimlico race track looks pretty good considering it might rain late in the day. Even if it does, it shouldn’t mess up this track so much that it would become muddy.
Going down the line, my number one horse that I am keying in on is the one horse in National Treasure at early odds 4-1. This Bob Baffert horse was the co-favorite in the Santa Anita derby. He was bumped pretty hard coming out of the final turn at SA Derby, and I think that he has the speed to just keep on going in position 1. National Treasure will have the blinkers on today which could be a good thing in this spot. He should set the pace for this race. The next key horse for me is the number three horse and Kentucky Derby winner in Mage at 8-5. This thoroughbred is a closer and has done nothing wrong. I am not overly impressed by the strength of this field here that he has to beat today at Pimlico. My final key horse is the six horse in Perform at 15-1. He will probably close around 8-1, but he has a good enough price for me to get behind. Perform is a Shug McGaughey horse that would not be put into this position unless he could win. Perform has won the last two of his races, and has looked pretty good in doing so. He doesn’t have the speed figures to put him at better (or worse) odds, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t take a big step today in Baltimore.
Now there is a horse that really doesn’t belong in this field in Chase The Chaos. This horse has only found success early at Canterbury Park in Minnesota, and after that on artificial turf. This is a big change for him going back to dirt, and this horse looks very inferior to the rest. In saying that, with a seven horse field, his price is just too good to not put at the end of your trifecta plays. Here is how I am betting this race. You can go half if this is past your unit size.
Happy Horse Racing Saturday everyone. We’ve reached the second leg of The Triple Crown from Pimlico Raceway in Baltimore to see if Mage can capture the first two races and give us some drama heading to Belmont.
I am including picks here for the first 13 races on the card, if you’re playing the last stakes race and the late local card you’re likely drunk and chasing or an absolute die hard. (I’ll be playing them) The weather looks great so track conditions should be fast. The races get started early at 9:30 AM CDT so West Coasters make sure you set your alarms. I’ll give you my pick to win with a brief analysis and my top 4 for each race. How you build those Exacts, Trifectas and Multi-Race bets is up to you.
Race 1 – Allowance – 5 Furlongs (Turf) – Purse:$60,000 – Post Time 9:30 AM CDT
We kick the day off with some minimal winners in a turf sprint. I landed on the 5 Monster Mason with the hope that if he can clear the gate and hang with the early leaders. The horse has been wildly inconsistent, but has top speed ratings that rival the favorites and has better late pace than most of the field.
Win: 5 Monster Mason
Top 4 if playing exotics: 5-3-2-1
Race 2 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt) – Purse $64,000 – Post Time 10:05 CDT
Nice big field here for an early long race on the dirt. The favorite 5 Iywaan has certainly had the most trips into victory circle in the field, but is a closer and has had more success when he hasn’t had to push to keep up early. He hasn’t been able to rally from sub 48 1/2 Mile trips. I expect 3 Be Better and 7 Tate to push the pace on this one and it may be too much for the favorite. 3 Be Better has been better at this longer two turn distance as well and performed well on a muddy track last time and should be even better on this fast track.
Win: 3 Be Better
Top 4 if playing exotics: 3-7-5-6
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Purse $57,000 – Post Time – 10:41 CDT
Not a ton of history in this group of Maidens. This one feels wide open. I like the 10 He’s Got Swagger to strut to a victory after just missing in a fast paced trip at Churchill on Oaks Friday.
Win: 10 He’s Got Swagger
Top 4 if playing exotics: 10-5-4-13
Race 4 – The Sir Barton Stakes Sponsored By Brandon and Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance – 1 1/16 Miles (Dirt) – Purse $100,000 – Post Time 11:16 CDT
The first stakes race of the day is a mouthful and also the first of three appearances by a Bob Baffert horse the 4 Arabian Lion who opens as a big 2/5 Favorite. The 4 gets Lasix for the first time and comes in after giving scratched Preakness hopeful First Mission all he could handle at the G3 Lexington Stakes. He takes a step down in class here and should be able to take care of this field. Only worry is that he has struggled in the stretch both times he has had Johnny V in the saddle. Hoping they have it figured out here. I’m all chalk here so only way to make money is probably to play the exacta’s or put him into a multi-race play.
Win: 4 Arabian Lion
Top 4 if playing exotics: 4-6-3-1
Race 5 – Allowance – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Purse $60,000 – Post Time 11:51 CDT
One stakes race at a time I guess as we go back down here. The ladies take center stage and it looks like we should see some early speed from 8 Cecilita and 9 Lifelovenlaughter as they try and get to the front from the outside. The 9 has some interesting metrics, but will be making her 3 year old debut against some older horses here. I think the early speed benefits the 6 Tequilera who was ridden slow last time out and couldn’t answer in deep stretch against horses who still had something left in the tank. Also watch the 7 Amani’s Image who comes back to distance after a one race sprint warm up in 2023. She had a 1:44 Flat trip at this distance last year.
Win: 6 Tequilera
Top 4 if playing exotics: 6-7-8-2
Race 6 – The Chick Lang Stakes Presented By Case Tractor (G3) – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Purse $200,000 – Post Time 12:29 CDT
A small field dirt sprint here. Another Baffert Horse and another big favorite in the 1 Havnameltdown. He almost won the Saudi Derby when stretched out to a mile and already has a G2 and G3 victory under his belt while winning 4 of 5 out west. I think this horse is beatable though as the speed he’ll see here even from this small field is better than his last few trips. There will be strong pace up front here from the 2 Ryvit and 3 Frosted Departure. The 3 ran well in the Pat Day Mile on Derby Day event after being bumped at the start. The best time at this distance is held by the 5 Super Chow, but he hasn’t seen the early speed coming his way either. This one is wide open folks. Whoever gets the best trip inside likely pulls this out.
Win: 2 Ryvit
Top 4 if playing exotics: 2-3-1-5
Race 7 – The Galorette Stakes Presented By Pepsi Zero Sugar (G3) – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) – Purse $100,000 – Post Time 1:08 CDT
Back to the ladies here in a G3 Turf race featuring some solid international visitors. Graham Motion has 3 horses in the race including the 2 Sopran Basilea (IRE) who was a G2 winner in Italy. She’s been off since October, but is in a barn who has hit 11 of the last 27 coming off layoffs between 6 months and 1 year. The 6 Bipartisanship (GB) who is also with Motion put up a fast time at this distance last trip at Keeneland. Chad Brown trained 1 Whitebeam (GB) lost by a neck in her American debut in a really slow paced trip, and should improve here with some acclimation.
Win: 2 Sopran Basilea
Top 4 if playing exotics: 2-1-6-5
Race 8 – The Dinner Party Stakes Presented By Bulleit Bourbon (G3) – 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) – Purse $200,000 – Post Time 1:49 CDT
The 1 Atone showed up and closed big time to win in the G1 Pegasus World Cup in January, but then floundered in the G2 Muniz in March. He has had some rough starts, but does seem to bounc back. The 4 Hurricane Dream finished 10th in that same Pegasus race, but dominated a recent allowance. Another 3 entry race here for Graham Motion, but I think Michael Maker and 1 Atone when on their best is clearly the one to beat here.
Win: 1 Atone
Top 4 if Playing Exotics: 1-4-2-7
Race 9 – The Skipat Stakes Presented By Old Bay (G3) – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Purse $100,000 – Post Time 2:31 CDT
Wide open ladies dirt sprint here. We should see the 5 Princess Kokachin go to the front right away with the hope of wiring the field as she did her last trip with Jevian Toledo on board. We should see the 3 I’m the Boss of Me join her at the front. I think those two will get tangled up too fast right away and let the 6 Gunning, 2 Beguine, and 9 Olivia Darling make a late move. 6 Gunning is the older half sister to Kentucky Derby winner Mage.
Win: 6 Guinning
Top 4 If Playing Exotics : 6-9-2-5
Race 10 – The Jim Mckay Turf Sprint Stakes Presented By Guinness – 5 Furlongs (Turf) – Purse $100,000 – Post Time 3:12 CDT
Well…the race sponsored by Guinness has a horse named 13 Beer Can Man. That’s all were gonna say about that horse. The 6 That’s Right will lead them out to something 21 and change and should be followed closely by favorites 1 Nothing Better and 3 Artemus Citylimits. They will be flying out the gate and I think that sets up nicely for the 5 Smokin’ Jay (Owner has gotta be a Packers Fan right). He put up his fastest time following a sub 21 1/4 two trips back and should get the same ride here with a big chance to close.
Win: 5 Smokin’ Jay
Top 4 if Playing Exotics: 5-1-3-10
Race 11 -The Maryland Sprint Stakes Presented By Big Ass Fans (G3) – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Purse $100,000 – Post Time 3:53 CDT
The 8 Straight No Chaser will be gunning for the early lead from the outside as he did last trip with Johnny V who rode him wire to wire for a solid 1:09 Flat at this same distance. The favorite is the 7 Nakatomi, who hasn’t run his best yet this year and could certainly stall the 8 and the 10 Wondrwherecraigis from getting that early jump. If he does he could keep a pace to his liking. I like the idea of one of those further outside being able to wire this field though.
Win: 8 Straight No Chaser
Top 4 If Playing Exotics: 8-10-4-7
Race 12 – The James W. Murphy Stakes Presented By Four Seasons Of Baltimore – 1 Mile (Turf) – Purse $100,000 – Post Time 4:51 CDT
Playing favorite here as 9 Nagirroc looked good last time out trailing Mo Stash for a 2nd at Keeneland. He adds blinkers here from the outside and should find himself in a nice stalking position from the outside. He has plenty of speed to close on the rest of this underwhelming field.
Win: 9 Nagirroc
Top 4 if Playing Exotics: 9-1-4-5
Race 13 – The Preakness (G1) – 1 3/16 Miles (Dirt) – Purse 1,500,000 – Post Time 6:01 CDT
Well here we are the second race of The Triple Crown The Preakness. In what has become a trend many Kentucky Derby Horses who did not win are skipping the Preakness to get a rest and tune up for either the Belmont or another stakes race. This however is the first time there is only one entrant from the Derby entered in the race. I’ve had to pivot here as I was originally on the 8 First Mission. He has been scratched with a hind leg injury. Bob Baffert is back as his two year suspension in Triple Crown races has come to an end, and his horse the 1 National Treasure comes in as the second favorite. He came in third at The Breeders Cup Juvenile to Forte and Cave Rock and certainly has the style and stamina to win this race. He will be looking to upset Kentucky winner 3 Mage. The 3 is a stalker and has done it well his last two times out. He’ll have to move a little quicker here with the slightly shorter race. Steve Asmussen’s 5 Red Route One and Chad Brown’s 7 Blazing Sevens are also stalkers like 3 Mage, but in the big races so far they haven’t really threatened. They’ll need a really hot pace up front and I don’t think they get it. 5 Red Route One did get a win in smaller stakes race last time out in a step down in class. I think Forte is the best juvenile in the country and 1 National Treasure showed to be almost his equal as did 3 Mage. 1 National treasure should come out to the lead with blinkers and the rail. 3 Mage will be more in touch with the pace and lead and shouldn’t have to come as wide as he did in the Kentucky Derby. This is a two horse race for me, but I think 1 National Treasure finally puts together the whole run he’s been waiting for and Baffert and Johnny V get it done here.
The 19-24 Cubs have to win at some point right? This team has a losing record for a few reasons. First of all, they have been pretty bad in the clutch led by poor manager decisions from David Ross. Lots of 1 – 2 run losses here. If you look at the Cubs run differential, they rank 8th at +22. This tells me that they are much better than what their record actually is showing. The Phillies are -29 in run differential ranking 23rd. Marcus Stroman takes the helm for the Cubbies today, and he still has good numbers at 3.24 ERA, 3.66 FIP even after a few recent blow ups. Ranger Suarez is starting for the Phillies who has only four innings under his belt so far this year. Last year he was pretty average at 3.65 ERA and a 3.87 FIP. I think the Cubbies get it right today.
This will be the first of many reviews of sportsbooks. Now i should preface this, BettorEdge is not a book, it is an exchange. There are many common terms, peer to peer and betting exchange are the ones most commonly associated with these. Its similar to a book and therefore I am lumping it in the reviews.
It will graded in comparison to other exchanges, not directly against a book. I’ll explain a bit later why they shouldn’t be directly compared.
What is an Exchange?
If you are unfamiliar with exchanges, I’ll break it down. An exchange is when two players match their bets. Player A wants the New England Patriots at -3.5 while Player B wants the Jets at +3.5. Those bets are matched and going head to head. You are competing for each others money, not the user vs the book.
What is BettorEdge? To Quote from their website:
“Where bettors compete against each other with no fees.
BettorEdge works differently than traditional sports betting, instead of betting against a sportsbook or “The House”, we match you up with other BettorEdge users.”
The main advantage with this is, you are playing someone else directly rather than a book. Books generally charge a 10% fee/juice/VIG to place a bet, i.e. -110. With BettorEdge, they charge no fee at all. Meaning you are getting the true odds.
All of BettorEdge’s lines are pulled from the same places the sportsbooks pull theirs.
What is the advantage to BettorEdge?
The answer is simple, NO FEES. Why do no fees matter? To be profitable on -110 odds, you have to a 52.38 win % (same unit size). This would be the bare minimum. With BettorEdge, you have to have 50.01%.
They are also not regulated like a sportsbook so BettorEdge is in more states, because of this, 45 states to be exact.
The user can also change the line from presented odds. Meaning if in the above scenario, Player A wanted Patriots -6.5 instead of -3.5, they could raise the odds and put that line into the marketplace. Similar to an alternate line at a book, but some books restrict certain numbers and the user can not create the line/odds. The user is restricted to only what is offered at a book.
Another feature is, a user can tail or fade a user directly inside the platform.
BettorEdge also offers “EdgeCoins”. These are free coins when you sign up. for new bettors, these are no risk tokens with no value to help you learn how to bet. They are a great way to understand how BettorEdge works before fully diving in.
What is the disadvantage to BettorEdge?
This is a little bit of a loaded question.
Betting exchanges as a mass introduction to the public are fairly new. Meaning there are less users. You need a user to take the other side of your bet.
Per my source, 80-90% of bets are filled. Per my experience, I have never had a bet unfilled. Why would some of the best go unfilled? Because it is an exchange. Like I mentioned before, users can manipulate the line. If there are multiple outlandish lines (which yes, users think they are slick and try and get +100 odds on -15 in NFL games) those will go unfilled. Smaller sports or more unique/exotic bets will go unfilled.
Another note on percent of bets filled, there’s no differentiation in whether the bet goes unfilled or is canceled by the user. So if a bet is placed and immediately canceled, it is considered, unfilled(apart of that 10-20% unfilled rate)
Exchanges at this point, just cant offer every line logistically. The amount of people betting on “smaller” sports just creates too much back end work for exchanges to create. For example, Alabama baseball was recently in the news for betting scandals. Alabama had one total bet and thats ultimately what caused the books to find out whats going on. Large books taking one bet just isn’t viable for exchanges to create lines for.
With the limited lines, you might miss out on certain props, i.e. Jameis Winston over/under sacks. If that is what you are looking for exchanges aren’t for you and most books aren’t either.
Why use BettorEdge over a Sportsbook? Let’s make this very clear here. As of now, I wouldn’t personally take one over the other. Especially if you are a niche sports bettor as I mentioned college baseball example previously.
You should be using an exchange AND books when you are line shopping. Both should be tools in a profitable bettors belt. If you are able to get the best line at an exchange, this is your best option. If you are looking for a very niche market, this is probably not for you, and that is OKAY.
What lines do they offer? BettorEdge offers most of the popular lines, NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, Golf, UFC, EPL, UCL, Tennis, as well as a few others depending on season of the sport.
BettorEdge does have some exotic and prop plays. Superstar Points, Yards, etc. Other bets like win totals preseason.
In each event, you can see how many bet orders are available to take.
What makes BettorEdge different from other exchanges?
First and foremost, NO FEES, they are the only exchange as of right now (that I am aware of, that offers this). BettorEdge also offers more of a community feel. Inside the platform, a user can, create a post, tweet it, follow other users, be listed on the leaderboards for various performances, subscribe to podcast, enter competitions, and more.
Is there an App?
As of today, no. Currently on the list of things being built out. However, you can make a webpage app. Meaning your phone will create what looks like an app and take you directly to that page when you open it. Forward facing, it’s really no different for the user.
The webpage app looks great. Very easy to navigate. Super straight forward.
This is directly from my iPhone web app. It looks just like a sportsbook. Is it safe?
Yes, BettorEdge uses the highest safety measures. I have deposited and withdrawn from BettorEdge. To add your bank information, there is multiple safety steps you must take. Bet matching is done on the backend and you’ll never know who you are playing against (outside of the competitions).
Rating – 1= This book should fold immediately and never attempt to offer lines again
10= nothing needs changed, this is the only book anyone needs 8/10
There is some things I LOVE about BettorEdge. Not paying a fee to bet is worth a 6 alone. The look and feel is easy. The community feel, the ability to have transparency with other users and the competitive balance inside, is something no book will be able to offer. Ever.
Yes, I wish there were more line options. Yes, there will be more line options as more users join. Currently BettorEdge sits around 14,000 users. This is the biggest knock right now. More Users = More Lines
Thats really the biggest drawback. I took off 0.5 from the rating just because BettorEdge is not in an app, YET. It will be and as soon as it does, 8.5/10 will be locked in.
BettorEdge is my go to option while line shopping. If the line I am looking for is not there, then I will move on. I personally don’t prop shop here, personal preference and I’m aware most of what i’m looking for will be on niche books.
Hopefully, you will join me over at BettorEdge. BOL.
New users can sign up with my code and receive $20 on sign up: edge
We have a HUGE show for you today! Patrick Gates @GatorBetting and Eric Rocco @TrustRocco from TheOddsBreakers come on to talk about leg two in the triple crown! First, Kiev previews the NFC North and how it shapes up coming into the 2023 season. Next, Eric and Patrick come on to discuss the 148th running of the Preakness Stakes! What will the weather be like? Who are the favorites? How are the guys planning to attack this race? We get into a lot of discussion and have a few horses we are keying in on, as well as a few that we are tossing off of our ticket. Finally, Kiev gets into some UFC on ESPN Mackenzie Dern vs Angela Hill with some free plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription! You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.
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We only have one game taking place tonight. I’ll break down my best bets along with a few player props to take a look at.
Matchups:
Florida Panthers @ Carolina Hurricanes
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Series: Eastern Conference Finals – Game 1
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Florida Panthers
+120
+120
+1.5 (-210)
o5.5 (-125)
Carolina Hurricanes
-140
-140
-1.5 (+180)
u5.5 (+105)
Picks:
[All plays are to win 1 Unit unless otherwise noted]
Carolina Hurricanes (-140) – DraftKings [2 Units]
Carolina has been one of the best home teams as of late, especially in the postseason. While this team has suffered a bunch of key injuries heading into the playoffs, they have found ways to win. They’ve also gotten some depth production specifically from Jordan Martinook who was fantastic in their last series. Freddy Anderson has also been great for them going 5-0 with a 1.80 GAA and a .931 save percentage. He currently ranks 3rd in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with a +3.9. While Florida is continuing to embrace their underdog role, Carolina has the defensive capability to shut them down offensively. Despite the great story that Florida has going for them, I think the Hurricanes handle them at home and go on to win Game 1.
On this week’s episode of Expected Bets For, @FrancoTheBanker, @gretzkybetzkys, and I break down the games for May 18th/ 19th along with the Conference Finals.
Topics:
Introduction
Around the League
NHL Preview/ Picks – March 18th, 2023
Florida Panthers @ Carolina Hurricanes
NHL Preview/ Picks – March 19th, 2023
Dallas Stars @ Vegas Golden Knights
NHL Conference Finals Playoff Preview
Carolina Hurricanes vs Florida Panthers
Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights
Twitter Handles:
Podcast: @ExpectedBetsFor
Patrick: @GatorBetting
Chuck: @FrancoTheBanker
Betzky: @gretzkybetzkys
Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!
