Saturday, February 18th CBB Free Play

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February 18, 2023

3-0 on free plays this week… let’s add to it today! To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group.

*CBB(1u): TCU 1H -3 vs Oklahoma State–1 PM CT

This should be the most telling line of the day. Despite losing 4 straight games(3 came on the road), TCU’s value has actually increased in the betting markets as of late. I agree with that notion, and I also think this is still a good time to “sell high” on Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma State was playing well beyond their capabilities(specifically offensively) for a good 2-3 week stretch, but we saw “sell signs” in a double-digit home loss to Kansas earlier this week. It’s hard to identify a strength with this offense, while it’s very easy to see why they will struggle in this matchup. The Pokes are utterly careless with the basketball, turning the ball over 14 times per game(322nd in America). In addition to being a staunch on-ball defense, TCU forces TO’s at the 16th highest rate in America.

TCU is a pretty one-dimensional offense given their inability to make outside shots, and I’ll concede that Oklahoma State has one of the best 2pt defenses in America. I do think TCU gets stops at will, and given they’re the #1 transition offense in America, I think buckets come a bit easier than you might think in this matchup.

It’ll remain a 1H play out of principle(big number to lay when there’s not a CLEAR edge offensively), but I really like this spot for the Horned Frogs.

College Basketball Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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February 18, 2023

Iowa State vs Kansas State -2 O/U 134

This is going to be a spot play here. Iowa State did a good job handling TCU last night but it felt a little too easy being that the Frogs were still without Mike Miles JR. Iowa State has been a Jeckyl and Hyde team on their home road splits. At home, this team shoots 54% effective FG% but only 49% on the road. Kansas State also has some bad home road splits, but they are at least at home here where their only loss came to Texas a few weeks back by only three points. Kansas State has lost four of their last five games with three of them on the road. This is a big get up spot for them. I have both of these teams pretty equal on paper so I like this one up to -3.

Kansas State -3 – 2 stars

Duke vs Syracuse +1.5 O/U 139

I watch this game every year, but this game is a little different this time around being that it used to have two legendary coaches facing off in Coach K for The Blue Devils vs Jim Boeheim for the Orangemen. Syracuse isn’t what I would call a good team by any means and Kenpom seems to think so ranking them 89th in the nation. The Orange do not lay a lot of defense, but they do seem to have their moments on offense at home shooting a massive 54.1%. the Blue Devils on the other hand has changed face under coach Jon Scheyer. They play a slower game ranking 256th in average possession length, and they play solid defense ranking 31st in the nation while leaving he other side in the dust. The Blue Devils offense is the thing that worries me the most only ranking 231st in effective FG% while it doesn’t travel well on the road only shooting 46.9%. Where I worry the most about Syracuse is their rebounding on defense only ranking 345th in the nation, but I think that the Duke can be extra sloppy with the ball only ranking 233rd in turnovers could cause Syracuse to get some easy fast break points from steals. I don’t see much of a difference between this teams even though Kenpom has Duke about 49 spots above Syracuse. I will take the Cuse to win this one outright.

Syracuse +1.5 – 2 stars

College Basketball Buy Low Sell High 2/17 – 2/24

By

Kiev O'Neil

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February 18, 2023

Buy Low:

Vanderbilt: This team won four in a row and they might not be done. Now that Liem Robbins is healthy, this team looks dangerous. The Commodores have very winnable games vs the lower half of the SEC after Saturday. Only ranked 90th on Kenpom is a sin. Since Feb 1st they rank 33rd on Bart Torvik.

TCU: I expect Mike Miles back as soon as Saturday, and their four losses in a row will be long forgotten.

Gonzaga: This is more based on their schedule. They have St. Mary’s at home which will be a nice revenge spot. Mark Few will have his guys ready.

Sell High:

Marquette: I just think that they are not quite the 12th best team in the league. Big game coming up vs Creighton next week, and they could have a hiccup vs DePaul or Butler.

Virginia: They only rank 228th in free throws and they can’t shoot from near proximity only ranking 89th. There are some hiccups along the way for sure.

Kansas: The remainder of their schedule is brutal facing the top teams in the Big 12. Baylor, at TCU, West Virginia, Texas Tech and at Texas. Ouch.

Better Odds Sports Betting February 17th 2023 – College Basketball 2/17/23 – Season 3 Episode 6 (58)

By

Kiev O'Neil

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February 18, 2023

Today Kyle Hunter @Kylehunterpicks and Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev discuss the big weekend in college hoops with some great questions and free plays! Don’t forget our most likely dog to win outright that has been on a huge run!

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription! You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit BetRivers.com and use the affiliate code, “Odds22” to get a 100% sign up bonus up to $250!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

NHL Preview & Picks – February 17th, 2023

By

Patrick Gates

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February 17, 2023

We have five games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down my best bet(s) along with a few player props to take a look at.

Pick(s):

Los Angeles Kings/ Anaheim Ducks over 6.5 (-115) – DraftKings

The Kings return to action after winning their last two games following the All-Star break. In those matchups, they outscored their opponents 11-2. Their Power Play has been fantastic scoring multiple goals on the man advantage against both Pittsburgh and Buffalo. They defeated the Ducks in their previous matchup this season 4-1 with 40-plus shots on goal. Pheonix Copley will get the start for them tonight and while he has been solid as of late, he has struggled on the road. In his last three starts away from home, he’s averaged 3.67 goals against.

Anaheim has dropped three straight games allowing 6 or more goals in each of those matchups. John Gibson, who’s been confirmed for tonight, was the starter in two of those three games. The Duck’s offense hasn’t been horrendous as they did score three goals in two of their last three.

Los Angeles has found their scoring touch as of late and should be able to roll tonight against an Anaheim team that’s extremely weak defensively. While I don’t see the Ducks scoring a ton, they should be able to contribute a few to the total.

Player Props to Target:

Chris Kreider over 0.5 Points (-132) – FanDuel
- Chris Kreider has gone over this number in each of his last five games. On the road, he’s recorded over 0.5 points in four of his last five. Edmonton has allowed five or more goals against in each of their last two games. He’s on New York’s top Power Play which should see plenty of action tonight. Edmonton has taken three or more penalties in four of their last five games. In his three previous matchups against the Oilers, Kreider has recorded over 0.5 points in each of those matchups.

Drew Doughty over 0.5 Points (-160) – DraftKings
- Drew Doughty has gone over this number in three of his last five games. On the road, he’s recorded over 0.5 points in four of his last five. Anaheim has allowed six or more goals against in each of their last three games. He’s on the Kings’ top Power Play which should see plenty of action tonight. Anaheim has taken four or more penalties in three of their last five games. In his three previous matchups against the Ducks, Doughty has recorded over 0.5 points in each of those matchups.

Joel Eriksson Ek over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-169) – Caesars
- Joel Eriksson Ek has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.4 shots on goal and 5.6 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last five. The Stars rank 14th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 31.15. On the road, that number increases to 32.52. Dallas has also given up the 9th most shots on goal per game to Centers in their last five games. He’s on Minnesota’s top Power Play which should see plenty of action tonight. Dallas has taken three or more penalties in four of their last five games. In his four previous matchups against the Stars, Eriksson Ek has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of those matchups.

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

College Basketball Free Play – Bullish On The Bulldogs

By

Shawn Knoche

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February 17, 2023

We’re back with a Friday free play for everyone. So far this season we are up 27.7 Units overall on College Basketball. Our Free Plays here are 3-1. We’re 5-7-1 this week, but we’ve had a tough week this week on coin flips going 1-4-1 losing those 4 games by a combined three and a half points. That’s some tough sledding. I think my process is dialed in as we head into the home stretch. One type of play to consider right now is if you like a big favorite in a repeat conference match-up look at the first half line. Teams are resting players more in the second half of blowouts and there have been a lot of back door late covers the last week or so.

My free play features the Yale Bulldogs (17-6 Overall, 7-3 Ivy) traveling to The Palestra in Philadelphia to take on the Pennsylvania Quakers (14-11 Overall, 6-4 Ivy). This is a big time match-up in the Ivy league as the top 6 teams are all within two games of each other. The line sits at Yale -3 with the Over/Under checking in at 142.5.

Both of these teams are coming in HOT! Yale has won 6 straight games by an average margin of 15.1 points. The Bulldogs have 4 different players averaging double digits and are led by Junior Forward Matt Knowling at 14.4 Points Per Game. Since losing to Yale 70-63 in New Haven on January 21st, The Quakers have won 5 straight by an average of 12.4 ppg. They only have 3 players averaging double digits in points, but they are led by the conference leader in scoring Jordan Dingle who sits at 24.0 Points Per Game.

For me this game is going to come down to defense. First however, lets take a look at the offenses. Both units are fairly equal when they have the ball. Yale shoots it just a little better from the field while Penn has a sizeable advantage at the charity stripe. Neither team likes to push the ball, but they aren’t the slowest tempos in the country either. Yale is the Top team in Ivy league play at taking care of the rock turning it over on only 14.9% of their possessions. Penn is at 19.3%. As I mentioned I think this game comes down to defense and that is where Yale excels, especially since the beginning of conference play. They are tops in the league in AdjD, Offensive Rebound percentage allowed, 2 Point FG % and Shot blocking, and they rank in the top 4 in every defensive metric. Penn has been good at limiting opposing FG%, however they have struggled to keep teams off the glass, and are also struggling to keep teams off the charity stripe.

In the first game Dingle went off for 27 points on 10 for 17 shooting overall and 6 of 11 from outside. He didn’t get much help however. Yale won the game by taking care of the ball and getting the the line. I see more of the same coming tonight, and I expect Yale to improve on the 39.3% they shot from the field in the first game. Yale is the most well rounded team in the Ivy League and they know they have to have this game tonight to stay atop the conference standings. Gimme The Bulldogs in this big game.

Take Yale -3 for 1.5 Units

Podcast 13 – 23 – With Will Hill – NFL and MLB Futures – College Basketball Feb 17 – 19th – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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February 17, 2023

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast — The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have an AMAZING show for you today! Will Hill from @VSIN and @GoldboyBets comes on to discuss some NFL and MLB futures as well as some college hoops! First, Kiev talks about a big weekend in college basketball with some buy low, sell high teams. Then, Will comes on and the guys get right into some NFL draft rumors as well as some great thoughts. Then, the guys give out a team that they think could make a deep run in the NCAA tournament. Finally, Will and Kiev discuss some huge basketball games with some FREE PLAYS for the weekend! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves! Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription! You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit BetRivers.com and use the affiliate code, “Odds22” to get a 100% sign up bonus up to $250!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

College Basketball Thirsty Thursday Play – Sports Betting

By

Kiev O'Neil

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February 16, 2023

Ohio State vs Iowa -7.5 O/U 153

It is hard to figure out the woes of Ohio State who was at one point a top 15 team and now has lost 11 of their last twelve big 10 games. They are out of the Big Dance no matter what they do, but at some point, this team has to show some integrity. Ohio State tends to play at the pace that is set for them slowing it down vs Michigan State and Northwestern while speeding it up vs North Carolina and Iowa. Key word here is Iowa. The Hawkeye’s are the fasted playing team in the Big 12 ranking 15th in average possession length. They are fine giving up the near proximity shot and rebound as long as they can charge back towards their own hoop. Ohio State should be able to find some success here on offense still ranking 25th in offensive efficiency on Kenpom. Take the over.

Over 153 – 2 stars

Who has a deeper bench, LAC or Phoenix?

By

Eric Rocco

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February 16, 2023

If you enjoy my content, feel free to give me a follow @TrustRocco on Twitter!

Milwaukee at Chicago +8 (O/U 229)

A screwed up Bulls squad heads home to face Milwaukee on a back-to-back. Losers of 5 straight, they have had a hard time scoring points averaging only 97 in their last 5, shooting 44% from the field and 25% from three. Now have to face a Milwaukee defense, who is 4th in assists, 2nd in field goal % and plays a stingy defense.

While the over might be 2-0 this season(1 via OT), the previous 7 match-ups between these two teams unders are 6-1. The Bulls last 9 games, the under is 7-2 against the closing line, as well as their last 6 at home the under is 5-1. Chicago’s last 5 back-to-backs, the under is 4-1, which tells me they have no problem playing defense on no rest.

The Bucks exited a 3 game western road trip, and had a bit of a let down vs Boston’s B team. Previous to this game, 5/6 had been under, as well as their last 11 away games they are 9-2 to the under.

I don’t see this being a high scoring affair, with Chicago’s inability to shoot at a high % and the Bulls keeping Milwaukee off the offensive boards.

Under 229 (FanDuel -110) 1.25 units

LA Clippers at Phoenix PK (O/U 221.5)

The Clippers head to Phoenix before the All Star break searching for another road to win to add to their resume. They are only 1 of 2 teams with a positive road record in the West, also winners of 7 of 9 road games, with losses at Milwaukee and Cleveland. When they lost to Phoenix back in December, they played with a, quoting Field Media “skeleton Clipper crew.” I was impressed with the Clippers win vs Golden State two nights ago, down 4 at the break, they battled back with 73 2nd half points to pull away late.

The Suns winners of 4 out of 5, have been better recently with Booker and Ayton being healthy. Of those 4 wins, I don’t consider any of them defensive clubs. Now they face the Clippers who give up only 109.2 points per game on 1 day rest. The Suns will have to vastly improve to beat LA tonight. The addition of Durant will be huge for them going forward, but they had to pay the piper losing a lot of their role players in the process. I believe this doesn’t bode well for them tonight, facing a Clipper team with a deep bench. Yes Powell is out for rest, but that bench gets deeper and will be the difference maker tonight.

The Clippers will attack Phoenix tonight at the free throw line and from behind the arc. The Suns rank in the bottom 5 defensively in free throw attempts and free throws made, and have been prone to giving up a high % from three at times this year. The Clips have shot 40% from three in their last 5, and will strike tonight in key moments. This will be a strong unit upgrade for me!

Clippers ML -107 (Barstool) 1.75 units

Expected Bets For – Episode 33 – February 15th, 2023

By

Patrick Gates

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February 15, 2023

On this week’s episode of Expected Bets For, @FrancoTheBanker, @gretzkybetzkys, @ShotPropz, and I break down the games for February 16th along with several other topics.

Topics:

Introduction
Around the League

NHL Preview/ Picks – February 16th, 2023
- Montreal Canadiens @ Carolina Hurricanes
- Winnipeg Jets @ Columbus Blue Jackets
- Florida Panthers @ Washington Capitals
- Boston Bruins @ Nashville Predators
- New Jersey Devils @ St. Louis Blues
- Detroit Red Wings @ Calgary Flames
- Philadelphia Flyers @ Seattle Kraken
- San Jose Sharks @ Vegas Golden Knights