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College Football Week 3 Misleading Final Scores

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Louisville out-gained Florida State 495 to 455 yet lost 31-35.  A 3-2 turnover ratio hurt.

Purdue outgained Syracuse 485 to 306 yet lost 32-29.   A 1-0 turnover ratio and 13 penalties for 138 yards killed them.   Poor officiating.

Western Kentucky out-gained Indiana 545 to 484 yet lost 33-30 in overtime.  A 2-1 turnover ratio and dirty officiating killed WKU.

Virginia out-gained Old Dominion 513 to 235 yet only won 16-14.   A 3-1 turnover ratio hurt.

Temple out-gained Rutgers 264 to 191 yet lost 16-14.   A 1-0 turnover ratio and horrible 3rd down efficiency got them.

Georgia southern out-gained UAB 417 to 413 yet lost 35 to 21.   A 3-0 turnover ratio and not beating Nebraska by enough points last week did them in.

Houston out-gained Kansas 446 to 438 yet lost 48-30.  A 2-0 turnover ratio hurt them as well as 10 penalties.

Liberty out-gained Wake Forest 437 to 346 yet lost 37-36.   A 4-2 turnover ratio and bad 3rd down efficiency hurt them.

Marshall out-gained Bowling Green 547 to 377 yet lost in OT 34-31.  A 3-0 turnover ratio hurt.

SMU outgained Maryland 518 to 439 yet lost 34-27.   A 3-2 turnover ratio and bad red zone got them bad.

South Florida out-gained Florida 402 to 329 yet lost 31-28.   A 3-2 turnover ratio and 9 penalties hurt them.

Texas Tech out-gained NC State 353 to 270 yet lost 27-14.  A 4-1 turnover ratio smoked them.  Bad quarterback play.  Plain and simple.

Texas only out-gained UTSA 459 to 408 yet won 41-20.   A 1-0 turnover ratio and bad 4th down efficiency got UTSA.   10 points in the 4th scored by Texas to get the cover.

Utep out-gained New Mexico 350 to 298 yet lost 27-10.  A 7-2 turnover ratio destroyed them.

Miami out-gained Texas A&M 392 to 264 yet lost 17-9.  Bad special teams and bad red zone efficiency killed the Canes.

 

 

 

Fantasy Football Week 3

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Key Injuries:

  • QB Justin Herbert has torn cartilage in ribs.  Week to week.
  • QB Trey Lance tore his achilles, out for season.
  • RB James Conner sprained his ankle and day to day.
  • WR Jerry Jeudy hurt his shoulder and is day to day.
  • TE Tyler Kroft hurt his knee for the 49ers but Kittle might be back.
  • WR Mike Evans suspended 1 game.  He is appealing.
  • WR Chris Godwin might still be out.
  • WR Julio Jones might still be out.
  • TE Dalton Schultz with an ankle and day to day.
  • RB Alvin Kamara didn’t play.

Waiver Wire:

  • RB Darrel Williams for the Conner injury.
  • RB Eno Benjamin for the Conner injury.
  • RB Raheem Mostert might take over lead back.
  • QB Jimmy Garoppolo for the Lance injury and huge upside.
  • QB Joe Flacco is looking like he might keep the job if all goes well.
  • QB Jacoby Brissett is looking ok himself.
  • RB Jerick McKinnon played 39% of snaps.
  • WR Garrett Wilson has been a beast with 154 yards and 2 TDs.
  • TE Logan Thomas looks good again for now.

Non-starters trending up for Week 3:

  • WR Adam Theilen vs the Lions will have a good game.
  • WR Allen Robinson vs the horrible Cardinals D.
  • RB Cam Akers against the terrible Cardinals as well.
  • WR Russell Gage vs the Packers.
  • WR Amari Cooper vs Pittsburgh’s pass D.
  • WR Robert Woods vs the Raiders pass D.
  • WR Russell Gage vs the Packers D.
  • WR Scotty Miller vs the Packers D.   (Just like in that playoff game baby)
  • TE Cameron Brate vs the Packers D.
  • RB Dameon Pierce vs Chicago’s bad run D.
  • QB Justin Fields against Houston’s bad D.
  • RB JD McKissic vs the Eagles will get some points.
  • WR Drake London vs the Seahawks looks good.

Busts:

  • RB Chase Edmonds vs Buffalo’s D is a bust.
  • RB Melvin Gordon vs San Francisco’s D is tough.
  • RB Aaron Jones vs the Buccaneers is tough.
  • RB Christian McCaffery is a bust.
  • QB Russell Wilson vs San Fransico’s D is hard.
  • QB Jameis Winston vs Carolina’s D is questionable.
  • QB Tom Brady vs Green Bay’s D won’t be good if none of his WRs are healthy

Nasty Sleeper:  WR Robert Woods.   I think he has a great game vs the Raiders here.

 

September 20th MLB Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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I hold a record of 159-146-6, +6.32u in MLB this year and am rolling with 2 plays for tonight. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!

*MLB(1u): Rangers TT OVER 3.5(-135) vs Angels–7:05 PM CT

The Rangers have been elite against left-handed pitching at Globe Life Field, holding a league-high 172 wRC+ in this role since July 1st. Angels SP Patrick Sandoval has been a guy I’ve looked for chances to fade all season. His 2.99 ERA is incredibly deceiving when you factor in his 1.35 WHIP. Sandoval gives up right around 1 hit per inning while simultaneously struggling with control; the Rangers have proven time and time again that they step up well against these vulnerable lefty arms.

This Angels bullpen is incredibly mediocre, perhaps more so than their overall season numbers would indicate. I was priced out of isolating this TT in the F5(I’m not going to lay -155), but I feel comfortable trusting the Rangers over the full game. If Sandoval were priced according more to his WHIP, we wouldn’t be getting this at 3.5.

*MLB(1u): Royals F5 ML(-110) vs Twins–7:10 PM CT

For as bad as Zack Greinke has been on the road, he has been utterly impeccable at Kauffman Stadium this season(1.93 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 0.1 HR/9). He’ll face a Twins lineup that has to be utterly demoralized after losing 4 out of 5 to the Guardians over the weekend and virtually eliminating them from the playoff race. Handicapping motivation in baseball is usually a waste of time, but if there were ever a massive let down spot, it would be here.

Twins SP Dylan Bundy is perhaps the most hit-or-miss SP in baseball. He has been particularly inconsistent on the road(5.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 1.5 HR/9) and now has to face the same lineup for the second straight start. Conditions will play favorably for more runs tonight, which hurts the fly ball pitcher that has struggled with the long ball more than it does Greinke.

Given the Royals hold far-and-away the worst bullpen numbers in baseball, there is no reason to play this over the full game. Isolate the F5 and trust Greinke in a role he’s excelled in all year.

Podcast 61 – 22 – College Football Week 3 and NFL Week 2 Recap – Fantasy Football Week 3 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil recaps a big weekend in college and NFL football!  First, Kiev talks about the good, the bad, and the ugly from the weekend.  Next, we get into some College and NFL football recap with box score analysis, injuries and betting spots.  Then, Kiev gives out a FREE PLAY for NFL week 3!  Finally, Kiev and D-Nasty get into fantasy football with their key injuries, waiver wire, and players trending up for next weekend!  Want to ask us something for the Monday Mailbag?  Or just want us to break down a game?  Send us the question at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

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September 19th MLB Play

By
Michael Fordham
-

I am on an 11-5 run in MLB and see my season record sit at 159-145-6, +7.52u. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!

*MLB(1u): Rays F5 ML(-120) vs Astros–5:40 PM CT

Rays SP Drew Rasmussen has been absolutely impeccable at Tropicana Field this year, bringing a 1.97 ERA and 0.80 WHIP into tonight’s start. The Astros struggle in this role a lot more than people would expect; since July 1st, the ‘Stros hold a below average 94 wRC+ vs righties on the road. They did look good at the plate against this weekend against the A’s pitching staff, but history proves that’s not a good barometer of where an offense is at. Just last month, the Astros swept the A’s at home only to lose the first 2 games of their ensuing series in Chicago against the White Sox.

Astros SP Luis Garcia is a better arm than his 4.04 ERA would indicate, but he’s still at a disadvantage in this matchup. Garcia has just been slightly off all season; he’s struggled with allowing the long ball at home while struggling with this command(3.2 BB/9) on the road. This Rays offense was mediocre for most of the season but have steadily improved throughout the course of the summer. Since July 1st, the Rays hold a solid 113 wRC+ vs righties in their home ballpark.

The Rays dug deep into their bullpen this weekend and are at a slight disadvantage even when at full strength vs Houston’s deep bullpen. As such, I’ll isolate this one in the F5.

Rob V: MLB Play + Monday night Football info

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Monday night Football headlines tonight and we have our Game of the Month with 2 Perfect Monday specific systems. In MLB We have our Total of the week from a September specific system that is undefeated since 2004. MLB Comp play. below

The MLB Comp play is on Atlanta on the run line at -1.5 runs at 7:20 eastern. Atlanta fits a 268-61 long term MLB September system and tye have been stem rolling everyone of late. The are 21-6 after allowing 2 or less runs and have won 23 of 30 in game 1 of a series. Atlanta has won 9 of the last 10 with Wright pitching and he has a stellar 2.82 home Era. The Nationals have lost 43 of 53 in division games and 40 of 55 vs a winning team. Abbott for Washington has a 6+ road Era. Look for Atlanta to post a multiple run win. On Monday we have our Double perfect system Monday night Game of the Month in the NFL and our September specific 100% MLB Total of the week. We are off a huge weekend and look to keep it going. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to jump on. For the MLB Comp play. Go with the Braves on the run line. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

The Deeper Dive with Michael Fordham– Nebraska Football Has Hit Rock Bottom + Other Week 3 CFB Takeaways

By
Michael Fordham
-

Michael quickly recaps his betting weekend before diving into his top 10 takeaways from the Week 3 CFB slate.

All of Michael’s info: https://linktr.ee/fordhamsportsgambling

NFL Week 2 Free Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

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Miami vs Baltimore -3.5 O/U 44.5

This should be a good game in Baltimore with clear skies and good weather.  Both of these teams I thought under-preformed some in their wins last week.   The Ravens just couldn’t get the running game going vs the Jets and had to rely on the Jets beating themselves.  The Ravens were out-gained by over 100 yards.   The Dolphins beat the Patriots at home but it wasn’t really convincing while only outgaining the Pats by 36 yards.  Now Miami did beat the Ravens last year at home to start their huge 7 game winning streak, thanks to their defensive blitz schemes and forcing Lamar Jackson to stay in the pocket.   The Ravens now with newer receivers still look susceptible to mistakes.  The Dolphins have more talent on offense than the Ravens do, and their defense looked pretty solid last week.  The convincing thing to me is that Baltimore’s injuries will play a factor this game.   Starting left tackle Ja”Wuan James tearing his achilles, and CB Kyle Fuller tearing his ACL is really gonna hurt today.   Previous starting left tackle Ronnie Stanley might be back today and ready to start again, but he could be very rusty being out for 2 years and 28 games.  Taking Miami today for the cover.

Dolphins +3.5 – 3 stars

Chicago vs Green Bay -9.5 O/U 41.5

If there was a fraudulent victory last week, look no further than the Chicago Bears.   The 49ers had it very difficult in Chicago by giving the game away due to turnovers while outgaining Chicago by over 130 yards.   The Packers on the other hand dropped some simple passes vs the Vikings and that game should have been a lot closer.   The Bears are in rebuild mode.   Many of their fans can’t see past that and this look ahead line was more like Packers -12.5.   Justin Fields is still very green and could easily be baited into making mistakes especially when losing.   I love my Chicago Bears, but that doesn’t mean that I can’t make money off of a team that I know so well.  My power ratings has the Packers winning this game by 13 points.

Green Bay -9.5 – 2 stars (at 10 it’s 1.5 star)

Teaser:   Saints to +8.5 with the Steelers to +8 – 2 stars – Both of these games have low totals and their are some big injuries for Tampa Bay as well as some offensive play calling issues with the Patriots.

Rob V: Sunday NFL Power System play

By
Rob Vinciletti
-

Sunday card has the AFC South Game of the Year, Our NFL UNSURPASSED Totals Collection play an Executive Level TIER 1 Move, the Sunday night Total of the Month, MLB and Soccer. NFL 6-1 last week. Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on the Carolina Panthers plus the points at 1:00 Eastern. The Panthers apply to a solid 44-8 long term system. Carolina has covered 4 of 5 in September games and the dog in this series with the Giants is 5-0 to the spread. They will look to rebound off a home loss to Cleveland. NY trailed the whole game but came through with a big second half to edge the Titans by 1. NY has failed to cover the last 4 after rushing for 150 or more, 5 of 6 after allowing 350+ yards and the last 4 with a division home game up next. The Situations favor Carolina here today. On Sunday Rob look to improve on last weeks 6-1 NFL Record with the NFC South Game of the Year, an Executive Level tier 1 Move, Sunday night Perfect System Play on NBC, MLB 5* Banger system and big soccer plays. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on and cash out all day and night. For the Comp play on Sunday take the point or two with the Panthers. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

ATS: 44-8-1

Team 22.8

Opp 22.4

Sep 18, 2022 pro Sunday 2 2022 Panthers Giants away 2.0 43.5

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