On today’s episode, Michael gives his 8 main takeaways from what we saw in Week 1 of the CFB season!
All of Michael’s info info: https://linktr.ee/fordhamsportsgambling
On today’s episode, Michael gives his 8 main takeaways from what we saw in Week 1 of the CFB season!
All of Michael’s info info: https://linktr.ee/fordhamsportsgambling
Through 1 week of the CFB season, I sit at 5-6, -0.82u. Not a breakout start, but can’t wait to get back at it in Week 2. Last year in CFB, I hit at a 55% clip and netted +27.35u.
I won’t have a play in either of the standalone games here on Sunday or Monday, but since I know these games will be heavily bet, I wanted to pass along my thoughts.
Florida State vs LSU(-4) O/U 51.5–Sunday 9/4; 6:30 PM CT
This is a pseudo-home game for LSU being that it’ll be played at the SuperDome in New Orleans.
I played Florida State OVER 6.5 wins and think this ‘Noles team is set for a breakout season. QB Jordan Travis is a dynamic player that is now 6-2 as the starter dating back to last season(they went 0-5 without him in 2021). Not only did has he run for over 500 yards in each of the past 2 seasons, but he also has thrown for a respectable 8.1 Y/A throughout his career. Perhaps the biggest improvement Mike Norvell made this offseason was in his WR corps. Micah Pittman was the obvious addition, but Norvell now has a slew of long WR’s that will turn “50-50” balls into “70-30” balls. The RB room is deep and, paired with Travis’s ability as a runner, could be the most established part of this offense. The OL will set the tone in the run game but will have their hands full facing off with LSU’s pass rush.
I’m in total wait-and-see mode on LSU. Bringing in Brian Kelly was great and all, but to think that lone addition will translate into immediate success is short-sided. This has been the most disappointing program in CFB each of the past 2 seasons, and there are still a lot of moving parts on this Tigers roster. It appears Jayden Daniels will receive the first snaps at QB tonight, and I agree with that move. Daniels holds a career 8.4 Y/A, 32 TD vs 12 INT, and also added over 1200 yards on the ground at Arizona State. While I don’t think LSU’s OL is “bad”, that unit is still not solidified up to the standards LSU fans would like. In addition, I have my worries about LSU’s running game. John Emery Jr is still suspended to start the season, and what did Noah Cain do at Penn State(right around 4 YPC) to make me think he can take on the lead back role? Florida State is stout in both their interior DL and at that LB spot. Thankfully, Daniels has a difference-making WR at his disposal in the form of Kayshon Boutte. There is a lot of hype around LSU’s other complementary WR’s, but I’ll need to see it on this big stage to believe it. Florida State’s secondary is perhaps the strength of their D, so Boutte likely won’t be able to carry the load alone.
I believe it’s true that LSU could step up in this season opener and still disappoint overall this season, perhaps on a pretty large scale. I still have a financial investment on this game given my Florida State season win total bet, but I don’t have a good enough feel on LSU to play this game. I lean towards Florida State and the Over, but I won’t get to the window with either of those.
Clemson(-23.5) vs Georgia Tech O/U 50.5–Monday 9/5; 7 PM CT
You could’ve gotten Clemson at 20.5 here pretty recently, so you probably missed your best opportunity to back the Tigers. However, maybe you dodged a bullet. I personally couldn’t make a case to lay almost 4 possessions with a team that was as putrid as they were on the offensive side of the ball last year. If you’re rebuttal is, “Oh, well it’s Georgia Tech”… consider that Clemson escaped with a narrow 14-8 win AT HOME against this same Yellow Jackets team last season.
I’m of the belief that QB DJ Uiagalelei will not be Clemson’s starter by season’s end. DJ didn’t just have a bad game, a bad few games, or a bad month; he had an atrocious 2021 season(55% completion, 6 Y/A, 9 TD vs 10 INT). Dabo Swinney clearly didn’t feel great about his QB depth last season, but the import of 5-star freshman Cade Klubnik has shortened Uiagalelei’s leash. Clemson’s frontline WR’s are good, but at the end of the day, this passing game will go as far as the QB allows it. This should be a Clemson offense that pounds the ground game; Will Shipley had a solid freshman campaign(5 YPC, 11 TD’s). The OL returns 4 starters and improved mightily throughout the course of last season.
Geoff Collins is Year 4 into his rebuild at Georgia Tech, yet he still has many of the same problems as he did when he arrived. While his LB corps is the strength of his defense and the secondary has high hopes, I do think Clemson’s OL will be able to win that matchup with Georgia Tech’s front 4 pretty handily. GT quarterback Jeff Sims has shown flashes throughout his 1st 2 years on campus, but a 57% career completion percentage plus a 25:20 TD/INT ratio doesn’t inspire much confidence. The Yellow Jackets lost their best player in RB Jahmyr Gibbs to Alabama, and they will have to rely on a plethora of young, unproven WR’s. Even worse, their OL projects to be the weakness of the offense once again. Clemson is banged up defensively and lose their longtime DC Brent Venables, but it’s hard to see them struggling too much against this offense.
Clemson could win this game convincingly and yet still have many of last year’s issues rear their ugly heads throughout the course of this season. This is not a game I would recommend playing.
Hell of a day in CFB, going 5-1 for over 5 units. Good start to betting football, and I can’t WAIT until the NFL starts. Plenty of profit coming, tell your friends.
Sunday card led by the 2022 Canadian Football League Game of the Year, a 36-1 Early MLB Power System and late College Football, U.S Open and Soccer. MLB Comp Play below
The MLB Comp Play for Sunday is on the NY. Mets on the run line at -1.5 runs. The Mets fit a big bounce system form home favorites off a home favored loss at -200 or more in the last game of a series. The Mets are also 30-2 since last September as a favorite off a loss. They have won 20 of 26 here in the series and have Carrasco back to make the start. He is 3-1 vs Washington and the Mets have won 8 of his last 9 starts at home. Fedde for the Nats is 0-5 here in NY and has a 5+ road Era and the Nationals have dropped 43 of 542 in Divisional games. Look for the Mets to coast in this one. On Sunday the Canadian Football League Game of the Year headlines along with College Football and a 36-1 MLB Power System play. We also have Soccer and U.S. Open Tennis. See us at goldencontender@aolcom or on facebook/twitter to Jump on as we are coming off another big day. For the MLB Comp Play. Make it thew Mets on the run line. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
Utah vs Florida +2.5 O/U 51.5
This line stinks and there seems to some pushback against UTAH. I know it is hard to play in the swamp and all, but this is a Florida team was pretty awful last year. The Gators did however play pretty well at home minus the Samford game giving up 52 points. Utah got better and better last year and when Cameron Rising got going, they destroyed the competition minus a hiccup at Utah State. In the Rose Bowl, they went toe to toe with Ohio State, and they were missing some cornerbacks in which proved to be their downfall. Many people had Utah as a top 5 or 6 team last year. From an experience aspect, Utah really has it all with a stud WR in Devaughn Vale and two tight ends in Dalton Kincaid and Brent Kuithe. They also return good production on defense at 61%. Florida on the other hand has a new coach and a new system. I like Billy Napier as a coach and all, but I can’t trust this Florida team their very first game in a new system. Gator quarterback Anthony Richardson will be a stud at some point, but it is way to early to expect a whole heck of a lot out of this team and especially in a spread option offense. Utah is a very nice 6-0 against the spread in their six road games while Florida is 0-7 in their last seven games overall. Lastly, an intangible aspect here is that Utah is coming in to this game backed into a corner, being that they are stuck in a weaker conference while USC and UCLA are heading to the Big 10. This will be a showcase game for them and I expect some great Kyle Whittingham smash mouth football!
UTAH -2.5 – 2.5 stars
Oregon vs Georgia -16.5 O/U 54
What a great storyline in this game with Georgia’s ex-defensive coordinator taking the coaching Job at Oregon just to play his first game vs the champs! This game is being played at Mercedes Benz stadium in Atlanta Georgia. Yeah… Pretty much a home game for Dem Dawgs. Nobody knows this Georgia offense better than Kirby Smart, but I would argue that the person that might know it second best was their former defensive coordinator and now Oregon head coach in Danny Lanning who has practiced with them for the past few years. I think that Georgia’s offense could be a little suspect being that they lost their top two wide receivers, top two running backs and three offensive lineman to the draft. I also think that Danny Lanning might know a thing or two about stopping Georgia’s offense. I don’t know about this big spread, but I see lots of ways that this game goes under. The 4-5 star recruits on Georgia’s defense will not want their ex coach scoring against them period. Danny Lanning will not want to give up a lot of possessions to the Dawgs if losing and will try and play this game smart. I think there is a chance that Oregon scores less than 14 points here, but I also know that Georgia tends to slow the game down and run clock when leading by double digits. The play here is under city.
Under 54 – 2 stars
Free Saturday Play for Week 1 in College Football features the season opener for the Maryland Terrapins and the Buffalo Bulls in College Park Maryland.
The story of Saturday for me is simple. It’s Taulia Tagovailoa and the Terrapins offense. Tagovailoa will be referred to as TT for the rest of the article as my fingers refuse to type that name correctly and it sure doesn’t come up in autocorrect. TT set bunches of records last season on the way to putting up the 6th highest passing yard total in Big Ten history tailing only the likes of Dwayne Haskins, CJ Stroud, Curtis Painter and Drew Brees. He set the Maryland record for passing yards, completions, completion percentage and 300-yard passing games and tied the mark for touchdowns with 26. Along with TT the Terps feature 8 other returning players who have earned Big ten awards over the last two seasons. The entire starting Offensive Line returns along with possibly the most talented receiving core in the nation. Rakim Jarrett is a Biletnikoff candidate this season and Dontay Demus Jr. was one last year and returns after missing the last seven games in 2021 with injury. They are joined by Jarrett Copeland a talented Florida transfer. Combined they have 254 Career receptions and are going to give fits to even the best secondaries in the Big Ten. The running game should improve with the whole line back and I think Colby McDonald could become a real star this year with teams playing to stop the pass.
The questions for the Terps come on defense where they were were 81st allowing 5.7 Yards per play last season. They were also 99th in the nation in pass defense. Hopefully returning all three starting corners and 4 other starters will help them move forward. They suffered through some injuries especially at linebacker and should improve there in a big way. Defensive Coordinator Brian Williams took over play calling duties to end the season and they allowed just 10 points in a bowl game romp over Virginia Tech. I think this unit can get into the Top 40 in 2022.
As far as Buffalo goes, well they’re kind of a mess. Maurice Linguist couldn’t continue the momentum from the departed Lance Leipold and the Bulls finished 4-8 in 2021. The offense wasn’t awful last year putting up 396 YPG, but they will have a new starting QB under center in Rutgers transfer Cole Snyder. If you aren’t good enough to start at Rutgers, I’m not sure you are good enough to start in the MAC either. Snyder was one of 22 total transfers into Buffalo to help fill the holes left behind including 7 offensive starters. The rushing attack will likely feature speed back Ron Cook as they look to break off some big plays. That could be tough behind an offensive line featuring 4 new starters. Leading receiver Quinn Williams will return along with solid No. 2 Jamari Gassett. The question will be can someone get them the ball?
Buffalo’s defense returns 6 starters anchored by a strong defensive line featuring behemoth Nose Tackle Daymond Williams. Buffalo will likely rock a 4-2-5 with James Patterson a possible draft pick in the middle at linebacker. This could be one of the best front sevens (sixes) in the MAC. He’s going to need some help from transfers in the secondary where they snagged two corners from Power Five Schools. My biggest question here is whether or not they will be able to gel early in the season.
So for me, as I said it’s all about TT and the Terps offense. They are by far the best unit on the field. While I don’t have a ton of faith in the Maryland defense, they have performed admirably the last two years against subpar offensive opponents and that is what I think they are looking at Saturday. Last year Maryland went 4-0 against the spread and straight up in Non-conference games including a 37-16 win over Kent State who was a much better MAC opponent than this Buffalo squad. Expect TT and the Terps to get out and score early and often and run away with this one. My early season rankings have this at Maryland -27 so I am in on the Terrapins.
I got it at -23.5 early this week and it’s currently sitting at -24.5. Take the Terps -24.5 for 1.5 Units.
Huge Saturday card with our Opening Week CFB Play of the Year Early and our Executive Level TIER 1 going Late as well as our Newest addition the “TOTALLY” Unsurpassed Totals play. There is also a TOP Play Soccer card, Top 5* U.S OPEN Tennis and Exclusive MLB September specific Systems. Comp play below
The Saturday Comp Play is on the Under 44 in the Tulsa at Wyoming game at 3:00 eastern. The play is backed with the Solid early season totals system which has cashed Under 31 of 40 times long term. The game opened at 47 but is still a nice play here. Wyoming lost last week 38-6 at Illinois and will be much better here at home on defense against Tulsa. However they are not great offensively and are 4-1 under in non conference games as well as 12-3 under after putting up 275 or less yards. Tulsa is 6-1 under when Playing Mountain West teams and 8 of 10 under in September games. With a combined 10 returning offensive starters in this game look for this game to stay under today. On Saturday we have a massive card up with our Opening week Play of the year, 3-1 last 4 years, a Late Executive Level TIER 1, Our newest play the “totally Unsurpassed Collection Totals play, a 5* U.S. Open tennis play, a Big Soccer card, exclusive September specific MLB Systems and much more. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or DM at twitter/facebook to jump on. For the College Comp play go Under 44 Tulsa vs Wyoming. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
O/U:9-31-1
Aug 31, 2012Friday12012MCSTBOIShome10-30-100-07-017-13-7.046.54-3.0-16.5-9.8-6.8WLU0
Sep 01, 2012Saturday12012ALAMICHneutral21-010-73-77-041-14-13.548.02713.57.010.2-3.2WWO0
Sep 01, 2012Saturday12012FLABOWLhome0-714-03-710-027-14-29.547.513-16.5-6.5-11.55.0WLU0
Sep 01, 2012Saturday12012PNSTOHUhome7-07-30-140-714-24-6.044.0-10-16.0-6.0-11.05.0LLU0
Sep 01, 2012Saturday12012RUTTLNaway0-010-30-014-924-12-19.548.012-7.5-12.0-9.8-2.2WLU0
Aug 30, 2013Friday12013MCSTWMCHhome7-06-76-07-626-13-27.544.513-14.5-5.5-10.04.5WLU0
Aug 31, 2013Saturday12013ALAVTCHneutral14-714-37-00-035-10-21.545.0253.50.01.8-1.8WWP0
Aug 30, 2014Saturday12014CFLPNSTneutral0-73-37-1014-624-26-1.546.0-2-3.54.00.23.8LLO0
Aug 30, 2014Saturday12014BCOLMASaway0-06-014-710-030-7-17.047.5236.0-10.5-2.2-8.2WWU0
Sep 03, 2015Thursday12015CFLFINThome7-37-00-60-614-15-13.044.5-1-14.0-15.5-14.8-0.8LLU0
Sep 03, 2015Thursday12015UTAHMICHhome3-07-37-77-724-17-6.045.571.0-4.5-1.8-2.8WWU0
Sep 05, 2015Saturday12015ALAWISneutral7-07-714-37-735-17-11.047.0187.05.06.0-1.0WWO0
Sep 05, 2015Saturday12015PNSTTEMaway10-00-70-100-1010-27-6.044.0-17-23.0-7.0-15.08.0LLU0
Sep 02, 2016Friday12016STANKASThome3-014-30-39-726-13-14.547.513-1.5-8.5-5.0-3.5WLU0
Sep 02, 2016Friday12016TEMARMYhome0-010-73-70-1413-28-15.046.0-15-30.0-5.0-17.512.5LLU0
Sep 03, 2016Saturday12016PNSTKESThome6-310-1010-07-033-13-22.545.520-2.50.5-1.01.5WLO0
Sep 03, 2016Saturday12016LSUWISneutral0-00-614-70-314-16-11.544.0-2-13.5-14.0-13.8-0.2LLU0
Sep 02, 2017Saturday12017LSUBYUneutral0-014-06-07-027-0-15.547.52711.5-20.5-4.5-16.0WWU0
Sep 02, 2017Saturday12017GEOAPPhome7-014-010-00-1031-10-14.546.0216.5-5.00.8-5.8WWU0
Sep 02, 2017Saturday12017MICHFLAneutral10-33-1413-07-033-17-4.546.01611.54.07.8-3.8WWO0
Aug 25, 2018Saturday12018WYONMSTaway9-06-07-07-729-7-6.044.52216.0-8.53.8-12.2WWU0
Aug 31, 2018Friday12018DUKEARMYhome3-014-07-1410-034-14-14.547.0205.51.03.2-2.2WWO0
Aug 31, 2018Friday12018STANSDSUhome0-79-015-37-031-10-14.548.0216.5-7.0-0.2-6.8WWU0
Sep 01, 2018Saturday12018IOWANILhome0-03-014-016-733-7-10.547.52615.5-7.54.0-11.5WWU0
Sep 01, 2018Saturday12018MICHNOTDaway0-1410-70-37-017-24-1.046.5-7-8.0-5.5-6.81.2LLU0
Sep 01, 2018Saturday12018AUBWASneutral9-36-100-06-321-16-3.048.052.0-11.0-4.5-6.5WWU0
Sep 01, 2018Saturday12018WASTWYOaway10-23-147-321-041-19-3.547.02218.513.015.8-2.8WWO0
Aug 24, 2019Saturday12019FLAMIAFneutral7-30-1010-07-724-20-7.046.54-3.0-2.5-2.80.2WLU0
Aug 24, 2019Saturday12019CLGVILhome0-00-277-07-714-34-3.036.5-20-23.011.5-5.817.2LLO0
Aug 29, 2019Thursday12019UTAHBYUaway3-06-67-014-630-12-6.548.01811.5-6.02.8-8.8WWU0
Aug 30, 2019Friday12019ARMYRICEhome0-07-70-07-014-7-22.548.07-15.5-27.0-21.2-5.8WLU0
Aug 30, 2019Friday12019MCSTTLShome7-018-73-00-028-7-23.548.021-2.5-13.0-7.8-5.2WLU0
Aug 31, 2019Saturday12019STANNORWhome0-010-00-07-717-7-6.546.5103.5-22.5-9.5-13.0WWU0
Aug 31, 2019Saturday12019WOFSCSTaway3-70-73-77-713-28-20.041.5-15-35.0-0.5-17.817.2LLU0
Aug 29, 2020Saturday12020CARKPEAYneutral0-76-37-011-724-17-5.045.072.0-4.0-1.0-3.0WWU0
Sep 04, 2021Saturday12021MRSHNAVYaway14-07-07-021-749-7-3.046.54239.09.524.2-14.8WWO0
Aug 27, 2022Saturday12022NEVNMSTaway0-017-20-76-323-12-7.048.0114.0-13.0-4.5-8.5WWU0
Sep 03, 2022Saturday12022TLSWYOaway-6.544.0
On Thursday rob has 5 Top level plays 3 in College Football and 2 in MLB. Top plays swept the board on Wednesday. In CFB we have an Executive Level TIER 1 Side and a big total. In MLB we have a Platinum Supreme total and a 100% System side. Comp play below.
The College Football Comp Play for Thursday is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers at 9;00 eastern. Not often will be laying over 35 points in a game. However, this New Mexico St team has lost 18 straight on the road and turned the ball over 5 times last week in a 23-12 loss to Nevada. Now they take on a Minnesota team that has a top level RB in Ibrahim who has over 3000 rush yards and 33 scored in just 28 games. The Gophers return most of a stingy defense that allowed under 18 point last year. Their Qb Morgan is also back. They have covered 4 of 5 at home, the last 4 vs independents and won 48-10 here over the Aggies in 2018. The Aggies have failed to cover the last 4 vs non conference teams and we note from the database that Non Conference road dogs off a week 1 home dog loss scoring 14 or less loss by an average 40 point per game since 2004 vs a team in their first game. Look for Minnesota to win big and cover here. On Thursday 5 Powerful plays are up and 3 are in CFB. led by an Executive Level TIER a Total from our Unsurpassed Collection and then in MLB we have a Platinum Supreme total, and a 100% Side system dating to 2004. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on these Members only plays now. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
Seattle Mariners ML (-145)
Logan Gilbert had a shaky month of August. In five starts, he is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. Of those five starts, he had to face the New York Yankees twice and the Cleveland Guardians. Both teams are currently sitting in a playoff spot. Logan Gilbert gets an easier task against the Detroit Tigers this afternoon.
In 15 starts on the road, Gilbert is 6-1 with a 3.15 ERA and 75 strikeouts. I expect a bounce-back month for the Mariners Ace as they continue to fight for a playoff spot.
Cleveland Guardians F5 -.5 (-115)
Shane Bieber had an outstanding month in August. In five starts, he went 3-1 with a 1.62 ERA and 35 strikeouts. I like this spot for Bieber to continue his momentum and lead the Guardians through this playoff race.
Despite having a worse record at him, his opponent’s batting average is lower. On the road, opponents are hitting .243 against Bieber, but when he pitches at Progressive Field, opponents’ average dips down to .219.
I like backing the better pitcher during the first five innings.