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The Wyndham Championship – Preview & Picks

Xander Schauffele winning back-to-back weeks and now Tony Finau!? What else are we going to see this year in the remaining weeks. Finau won the 3M Open in Minnesota and followed that up with another victory in motor city last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Last year at the Wyndham Championship, we saw Kevin Kisnerat 55-1 take home the trophy winning in dramatic style in a six-man playoff. Prior to that, Kisner had lost every playoff he was in (five). Kevin Na, Branden Grace, Si Woo Kim, Adam Scott, and Roger Sloan were the other five players in that playoff.

The Wyndham Champion concludes the FedEx Cup Regular season. Next week, the three-event FedEx Cup Playoffs will begin at TPC Southwind.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: August 4th, 2022 – August 7th, 2022
  • Location: Greensboro, North Carolina, USA
  • Course: Sedgefield Country Club
  • Course Type: Parkland
  • Par: 70 (4x 3’s / 12x 4’s / 2x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,131 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Champion bermudagrass .120”
  • Fairways: Bermudagrass .400”
  • Rough: Bermudagrass 2.5”
  • Bunkers: 52
  • Water Hazards: 5 (In-Play 6 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 6,000 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 12 ft.
  • Purse: $7,300,000/ $1,314,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field/ Cut: 156 Players| Top 65 and Ties after 36 Holes
  • Course Scoring Average:
    2021: 68.88 (-1.12), Rank 34 of 51
    2020: 68.78 (-1.22), Rank 29 of 41
    2019: 68.18 (-1.82), Rank 41 of 49
  • Historic Cut Line:
    2021: -3
    2020: -3
    2019: -4

Course Architect/ Comparable Courses:

  • Course Architect: Donald Ross (1926)
  • Renovation: Kris Spence (2007)
  • Comparable Courses:
    Detroit Golf Club – Rocket Mortgage Classic
    Colonial Country Club – Charles Schwab Challenge
    TPC River Highlands – Travelers Championship
    Waialae Country Club – Sony Open

 

TV Information:

  • Round 1: Thursday August 4th, 2022
    Golf Channel – 2 PM – 6 PM
  • Round 2: Friday August 5th, 2022
    Golf Channel – 2 PM – 6 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday August 6th, 2022
    Golf Channel – 12 PM – 3 PM
    CBS – 3 PM – 6 PM
  • Round 4, Sunday August 7th, 2022
    Golf Channel – 12 PM – 3 PM
    CBS – 3 PM – 6 PM


Weather:

  • Thursday: Mostly Sunny 83 F, 8 mp/h SSW, 62 % Humidity, 20% Chance of Rain
  • Friday: PM Thunderstorms 81 F, 9 mp/h SW, 69% Humidity, 50% Chance of Rain
  • Saturday: PM Thunderstorms 79 F, 8 mp/h SW, 74% Humidity, 40% Chance of Rain
  • Sunday: PM Thunderstorms 80 F, 9 mp/h SW, 70% Humidity, 30% Chance of Rain

Course/ Tournament History:

The Wyndham Championship was founded in 1938 as the Greater Greensboro Open. In 2007 the title sponsor changed, and the event was renamed to what it’s current called. Along with the name change, the tournament was also moved from autumn to mid-August.

This tournament has been held in the greater Greensboro area throughout its entire history. In the first four years of the event, it was played at both Sedgefield Country Club and Starmount Forest Country Club. Following the most recent renovation, the Wyndham Champion has been exclusively held here at Sedgefield CC.

In 2018, Brandt Snedeker posted a 59 in the first round. This was just the tenth sub-60 round in the history of the PGA Tour.

In 2021, Kevin Kisner won the six-man playoff which tied the PGA Tour record for the largest number of participants in a sudden-death playoff.

72-Hole Record: 258, Henrik Stenson (2017), J.T. Poston (2019)

18-Hole Record: 59, Brandt Snedeker (1st round, 2018)

 

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Sedgefield Country Club is one of the easier courses on Tour as seen by the historical scoring average. Playing at a Par 70 just over 7,100 yards it’s a short course that forces players to play very positional golf. Off the tee accuracy is more crucial than distance.

In terms of Par 3’s, Sedgefield has four of them ranging from 174 to 235 yards. Last year, holes No. 7 and No. 12 had a scoring average over par. The other two par 3s, No. 3 and No. 16, had a scoring average below par.

There’s twelve Par 4’s at Sedgefield with the majority (eight) of them ranging between 400 and 450 yards. The two toughest holes are No. 14 and No. 18, which both play over 500 yards. Give the length of these two holes, they also had the highest scoring averages for Par 4s last year.

The two Par 5’s on the course, No. 5 and No. 15, are where players need to take advantage of scoring opportunities. These holes both played under par last year with just eight bogeys being made on No. 5 throughout of the entire tournament.

This course revolves around approach play. It starts with players having a nice drive in the fairway off the tee allowing them to attack the pin on their second shot.

 

Key Statistics:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda)
  • Greens in Regulation %
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards
  • Comparable Courses and Event History

 

The Field/ Odds:

Sung-Jae Im (+1500), enters the week as the current favorite coming off a T2 finish in the 3M Open. He’s played here at Sedgfield three times with those performances getting worse over time. Im made his debut here in 2019 finishing T6, he would follow that up by finishing T9 in 2020, and T24 last year.

Shane Lowry (+1600), hasn’t played since The Open where he finished T21. He made his debut here in 2016 finishing T42. Since then, he’s played in the Wyndham Championship three additional times where he finished T7-MC-23.

Will Zalatoris (+1600), has been close to a win this season with three runner-up finishes. He’s been in good form as of late finishing T28 (The Open) and T20 (Rocket Mortgage Classic) in his last two starts. Zalatoris has played in this event two times before missing the cut in 2018 and finishing T29 last season.

Previous Winners in the field; Kevin Kisner (’21), Jim Herman (’20), J.T. Poston (’19), Brandt Snedeker (’18), Si Woo Kim (’16), Davis Love III (’92, ’06, ’15), Camilo Villegas (’14), Webb Simpson (’11), and Ryan Moore (’09).

Notable Withdraws: Brandt Snedeker, Francesco Molinari, Jhonattan Vegas

 

Previous Winners/ Scores:

  • 2021: Kevin Kisner (-15)
    Price: 55-1
  • 2020: Jim Herman (-21)
    Price: 600-1
  • 2019: J.T. Poston (-22)
    Price: 100-1
  • 2018: Brandt Snedeker (-21)
    Price: 28-1
  • 2017: Henrik Stenson (-22)
    Price: 14-1

 

Picks (Outrights):

  • Corey Conners (+2500) – PointsBet
    Risk 0.32 to win 8.00 Units
  • Si Woo Kim (+2800) – Caesars
    Risk 0.29 to win 8.12 Units
  • Denny McCarthy (+3500) – BetRivers
    Risk 0.23 to win 8.05 Units
  • Adam Long (+6600) – BetMGM
    Risk 0.13 to win 8.58 Units

Total Risk on Outrights: 0.97

 

Picks (Top 20):

  • Shane Lowry (+100) – FanDuel
    Risk 1.00 to win 1.00 Units

We haven’t seen Shane since The Open Championships at St. Andrews where he finished T21. He’s played a Sedgefield four times before finishing 42-T7-MC-23. In terms of course history, I wouldn’t say that’s overly great. However, he ranks 11th in SG: Approach and 13th in SG: Tee to Green which has been the path to success in the past here. Given the strength of the field and how he compares to it, he should be able to finish inside the top-20 this week.

  • Webb Simpson (+125) – Caesars
    Risk 1.00 to win 1.25 Units

Opposite of Lowry, when you talk about a guy who’s had success in the past here, Webb Simpson is probably at the top of the list. He’s played here thirteen times before, winning in 2011, and finishing inside the top-10 ten other times. In the past five years at Sedgefield CC he has yet to finish worse than T7, which was last year.

Webb also needs to play well this week if he wants to make the playoffs next week as he’s currently 126 in the FedEx Cup standings. In terms of his overall form, he hasn’t been great missing the cut in two of his last three events. However, I’m hoping he can find his form again at a place he absolutely loves. My major concern with him is his putting but he’s lost strokes putting in the past and still had success with his approach play carrying him.

Total Risk on Top-20s: 2.00

Just missed T20 Placements; Sungjae Im (+100), Billy Horschel (+130), Russell Henley (+145)

 

Picks (Top 40):

  • Adam Svensson (+105) – FanDuel
    Risk 1.00 to win 1.05 Units

Svensson has really seemed to have found his form as of late. He’s only missed one cut since the Wells Fargo Championship, which was two weeks ago at the 3M Open. Svensson rebounded well from that and went on to finish T24 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. In his last nine events on Tour, he has finished inside the top-40 six times. He’s only played at Sedgefield CC once before which was back in 2019 when he finished T31.

While he’s not long off the tee by any means, he is very accurate ranking 45th on Tour. As I mentioned before accuracy off the tee is more crucial than distance this week. He’s also a great iron player ranking 38th in SG: Approach. This course sets up nicely for him so I anticipate him finishing inside the top-40 again.

  • Kevin Steelman (+120) – FanDuel
    Risk 1.00 to win 1.20 Units

Kevin Steelman has been in good form recently, making the cut in each of his last four starts in Tour. During that span, he hasn’t finished worse than T49 with his best finish coming at the Barbasol Championship where he was the runner-up. He’s played in the Wyndham Championship seven times before finishing inside the top-40 four of those times. Last year at Sedgefield CC, he finished T7.

He’s accurate off the tee which should help him this week, but the major flaw of his game has been his iron play. Steelman ranks 115th on Tour in SG: Approach but has turned things around gaining strokes in that category in five of his last six starts. His putting can also be an issue, but he’s been trending upward in that category as well gaining strokes on the green in his last two events. Given the way his play has been trending, I like him to snag another top-40 finish this year.

Total Risk on Top-40s: 2.00

Total Risk on the Wyndham Championship: 4.97 Units

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

August 2nd MLB Plays

A 1-2, -0.77u start to the month brings my overall MLB record to 117-110-4, +3.09u. I’m rolling with 3 plays for tonight looking to break out. To receive a text when I release/add any plays, join my Telegram group!

*MLB(1u): Mets TT OVER 5.5(+105) @ Nationals–6:05 PM CT

The Mets have been a steady lineup all year(114 wRC+ vs RHP), but they have taken it to a new level with the bats here recently. Currently on a 7 game win streak, the Mets are averaging over 6 runs/game during this stretch and have done serious damage against arms like Joe Musgrove, Sandy Alcantara, and Pablo Lopez. They expectedly got after Patrick Corbin last night and will get another favorable matchup here tonight.

Nationals SP Cory Abbott is not a major league caliber arm, holding a career 5.91 ERA and 1.59 WHIP entering tonight’s start. Not only has he struggled with the long ball in the bigs, but that seems to be his achilles heel in the minors; he allowed 1.88 HR/9 in Triple-A last year and 1.28 HR/9 in AAA this year. I don’t like how his fly-ball nature is going to play in these conditions. Abbott is not expected to go deep in this game, meaning Davey Martinez will be relying on a tired bullpen that ranks bottom 10 in the league across the board. We’ve made quite a bit of cheddar going against this ‘pen this year, and I certainly don’t mind going against them again tonight. 

*MLB(1u): Phillies F5 TT OVER 1.5(-115) @ Braves–6:20 PM CT

When you see a 1.5 with this price, you assume it’s tagged on a bottom-barrel lineup. While the Phillies have been inconsistent at the plate this year, this is also a group that can do some serious damage. The Phils enter tonight on a 5 game win streak and have scored just under 6 runs/game during this stretch.

Braves SP Spencer Strider is nasty, but I hate this spot for him considering Strider faced this Phillies lineup just last week. As you all know, I’ve loved fading pitchers in this spot all year, and I think that applies even more to tonight. By nature of making just 11 starts at the big league level, this is the first time Strider has had to deal with this dreadful spot; I’m not going to expect him to adjust well tonight. Again, a bloop-and-a-blast gets this one through.

*MLB(1u): Cubs TT UNDER 3.5(-115) @ Cardinals–6:45 PM CT

Cardinals SP Adam Wainwright has been money at home throughout his career, and that’s even remained true this deep in his career. Wainwright holds a 2.01 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at Busch Stadium this year and held a 1.01 WHIP in this role last season. 

The Cubs lineup has been subpar vs righties on the road this year(94 wRC+) and is not a unit I want my money on, ESPECIALLY today. Their centerpiece, Wilson Contreras, is likely to be dealt before this afternoon’s deadline, and the Cubs might also move their All Star OF Ian Happ. This is a team that’s looked lifeless at times as of late, so I have no hesitation trusting Wainwright in his main role.

The Cardinals’ bullpen has been somewhat boom-or-bust this season, but given Wainwright’s knack for going deep in games, I do feel comfortable trusting their back-end arms. St. Louis also had an off day yesterday, meaning this unit will be fresh entering tonight.

WNBA Free Pick – August 2

Our WNBA record sits at 3-4 heading into a full slate of games on Tuesday.

Aces/Mystics Under 165.5, 1 unit*

Tonight’s matchup between the Las Vegas Aces and Washington Mystics features the top-ranked offense in the league going up against the top-ranked defense. This is the third and final meeting between the two teams with the Mystics owning the 2-0 series lead. Washington’s defense has given nearly every team in the league trouble this year, including the Aces, and we expect more of the same tonight. The total for their previous two games closed at 167.5 and 167 respectively, so the books have adjusted ever so slightly with today’s total sitting just two points below.

The Mystics have played at the second slowest pace in the league over their last five games and own the best defensive rating over that same period. Washington’s last two wins over Vegas were due in large part to their ability to dictate the pace of the game. That allowed their defense to take over and stifle the Aces high-powered offense, something not many teams have been able to do. Having beat the Aces twice already, the Mystics have all the confidence in the world heading into this game. They held Vegas to its lowest scoring output all season in their first meeting and only allowed the Aces to put up 86 points in their second game, which included overtime. If Washington can set the pace and impose their will on the defensive end for a third time, this game has the making of a slow-paced defensive battle.

Liberty 1H -2.5 (DraftKings) or -3 elsewhere, 1 unit*

The LA Sparks come into this matchup with three straight losses and seem to be completely lost on the court. Their last two games have been without starting center Liz Cambage after she quit the team and they’ve looked awful in both those games, losing to Phoenix and Minnesota. After their game against Minnesota on Sunday, the Sparks boarded at 9:50 p.m. PST flight from LA and didn’t land in New York until 6:30 a.m. ET on Monday morning. LA is going to come into this one with tired legs which means their offense will likely be slow to get going. Opponents have jumped on the Sparks early in their previous two matchups and I expect the Liberty to do the same tonight.

New York comes into this game with some momentum after a double-digit win over Phoenix on Sunday. Offensively, Sabrina Ionescu and Natasha Howard are playing some of their best basketball over the last five games as the Liberty look to make a final push for the playoffs. They’re a game back from the Sparks who own the eighth and final playoff spot as of right now.

Tonight’s game is the first of a back-to-back with the Sparks, so I could see LA mailing this one in after a tough travel situation and focusing on getting the win tomorrow and leaving New York with a split. They also have a tough road ahead with this being the first of a four-game road trip for LA. The Liberty are also debuting a pretty sweet new court design tonight thanks to their partnership with X-Box. I expect New York to come out ready to go from the start and jump on the Sparks early. Take the Liberty to cover in the first half.

More free plays to come. In the meantime, I’d love it if you would give me a follow on Twitter, Instagram, and TikTok.

*All plays listed are to win that amount.

Rob V: Tuesday MLB + N.L. CENTRAL GAME OF THE YEAR INFO

Tuesday card led by the 100% N.L. CENTRAL GAME OF THE YEAR from a NEVER lost system. We also have another TOP WNBA Totals System and a TOP Tennis Play. MLB Comp play below

The Comp Play for Tuesday is on the Under in the Toronto at Tampa Game at 7:10 eastern. Look for a tight game as 9 of 10 here have stayed under and the game fits a Sold totals system for home dogs that scored 3 or less in a -150 or higher home favored loss vs an opponent off a home favored win. Gausman has a 2.34 road Era and has allowed 3 runs in 9 innings this year vs Tampa. Rasmussen has a 2.09 Home Era and was solid going 5 allowing 1 here vs the Jays in an earlier start.. The Jays have stayed under in 5 straight and 4 of 5 vs a team that allowed 5 or more runs. Look for this game to stay Under. On Tuesday the N.L. CENTRAL Division GAME OF THE YEAR Headlines along with another POWERFUL WNBA Play and a TOP Level Tennis move. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or or on Twitter/Facebook to jump on. For the MLB Comp Play. Go with the Jays and Rays Under. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

Premiums, 8.2

 

Added a WNBA Pick and some MLB picks today because they make too much sense. I’ll cherry pick here and there, but  they’re just leans officially.
MLB Leans:
Astros ML or -1.5 
The Astros aren’t going to lose again, at home, with Javier on the mound.
Orioles/Rangers over 8.5 (-120)
Spencer Howard usually means runs will be a-plenty, the Orioles’ bats continue to look ablaze, and Jordan Lyles is Baltimore’s more vulnerable pitcher.
WNBA Picks (14-13-1, -0.20 units)
Liberty -3.5 (-115), to win 1.5 units and
LA Sparks/NY Liberty over 161 or 162 (-115), to win 1.5 units 
You can still find both of these lines at many books but grab them now, they’re on the move. Sabrina Ionescu has been sensational for the Liberty, stimulating their offense with 16 assists in their last contest. New York has covered six of its last 9 games at home and they’re in a nice rhythm offensively. Something’s wrong in LA with the Sparks, maybe it’s still the Cambage-effect, and neither team has anything great to speak of defensively. The Liberty are one of the best ball movement teams in the association and their 3-point efficiency should be too much for the Sparks at home. Like the Liberty, like the over.
Mystics +3 (-110), to win 1 unit
Thinking this one over more, but here’s the thing: The Aces have been coasting lately, and good for them, but the Washington Mystics are NOT afraid of this team. They’re 2-0 against them this year, both in games where they rallied in the 2nd half, and their defense has been stellar lately. Idk, kind of want to take the ML on the home dog. Instead we’ll just take the home dog with the points. Like we said, the Mystics have been sensational lately, beating good teams with superior play on both sides of the floor. The Aces have been coasting – eventually that needs to change.
CFL Picks (8-10, -3.20 units):
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -6.5 (-110), to win 1 unit (Thursday)
The Montreal Alhouettes are a tough team to figure out, but Winnipeg is not. The Blue Bombers are proving every week that they’re the best team in this league and it’s not even close. Winners of the CFL’s last two titles, the Blue Bombers proved how amazingly resilient they are when they went to Calgary and still bested the CFL’s best team of yesterday. Calgary was either the Grey Cup champion or the runner-up for year’s on end but Winnipeg has officially taken over. Not only did they win last week, they dominated the entire game, and a huge part of that is their defense. Montreal really struggles to stop anyone with their defense. I know this is a big game for them, at home, but I can’t not pick the Bombers for under a TD. Only 1 unit out of respect for variance in a spot that’s not ideal.
Calgary Stampeders -6 (-110), to win 1.5 units (Friday)
Speaking of the Stampeders, this is a big response game for them. The Bombers stifled their offense throughout last week’s big contest but make no mistake, they’re a potent attack, especially in their run game. Ottawa might have their guard down a bit after a nice win, but their run-defense is at the bottom of the league; not a good thing against a mad Calgary team who likes to run it down opponent’s throats. The Stampeders do just that; stampede over the Redblacks and control this game.
Big ol’ Future Bet (fuck it, but also I love this)
Astros to win the World Series +
Bills to win the Super Bowl +
Bucks to win the 2022/23 NBA Championship
1 unit to 307 units

Podcast 46 – 22 – NFL 2022 Preseason Handicapping & Coaching Records – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to kick off August to bring back two shows per week throughout the rest of the year!   First, Kiev talks about some of the great benefits that one gets for becoming a member.  Next, Kiev gets into preseason football.  Which coaches are motivated to win and which coaches are not?  What are some of the things we look for when capping a preseason NFL football game?   Which current coaches have the best and worst preseason records?  Finally, Kiev gives out a FREE PLAY for the hall of fame game coming up this Thursday!  Should you have any questions, please tweet us @TheOddsBreakers.  Have a wonderful week!

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit BetRivers.com and use the affiliate code, “Odds22” to get a 100% sign up bonus up to $250!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds22 for 20% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

Early WNBA and CFL Picks and a BIG FUTURES

 

Hi All! Getting some WNBA and CFL plays out early. Got a super future I really like, too.

WNBA Picks (14-13-1, -0.20 units)
Liberty -3.5 (-115), to win 1.5 units and
LA Sparks/NY Liberty over 161 or 162 (-115), to win 1.5 units 
You can still find both of these lines at many books but grab them now, they’re on the move. Sabrina Ionescu has been sensational for the Liberty, stimulating their offense with 16 assists in their last contest. New York has covered six of its last 9 games at home and they’re in a nice rhythm offensively. Something’s wrong in LA with the Sparks, maybe it’s still the Cambage-effect, and neither team has anything great to speak of defensively. The Liberty are one of the best ball movement teams in the association and their 3-point efficiency should be too much for the Sparks at home. Like the Liberty, like the over.
Lean Mystics +3.5 and under 165
Thinking this one over more, but here’s the thing: The Aces have been coasting lately, and good for them, but the Washington Mystics are NOT afraid of this team. They’re 2-0 against them this year, both in games where they rallied in the 2nd half, and their defense has been stellar lately. Idk, kinda want to take the ML on the home dog. Talk me out of it? TBD.
CFL Picks (8-10, -3.20 units):
Winnipeg Blue Bombers -6.5 (-110), to win 1 unit (Thursday)
The Montreal Alhouettes are a tough team to figure out, but Winnipeg is not. The Blue Bombers are proving every week that they’re the best team in this league and it’s not even close. Winners of the CFL’s last two titles, the Blue Bombers proved how amazingly resilient they are when they went to Calgary and still bested the CFL’s best team of yesterday. Calgary was either the Grey Cup champion or the runner-up for year’s on end but Winnipeg has officially taken over. Not only did they win last week, they dominated the entire game, and a huge part of that is their defense. Montreal really struggles to stop anyone with their defense. I know this is a big game for them, at home, but I can’t not pick the Bombers for under a TD. Only 1 unit out of respect for variance in a spot that’s not ideal.
Calgary Stampeders -6 (-110), to win 1.5 units (Friday)
Speaking of the Stampeders, this is a big response game for them. The Bombers stifled their offense throughout last week’s big contest but make no mistake, they’re a potent attack, especially in their run game. Ottawa might have their guard down a bit after a nice win, but their run-defense is at the bottom of the league; not a good thing against a mad Calgary team who likes to run it down opponent’s throats. The Stampeders do just that; stampede over the Redblacks and control this game.
Big ol’ Future Bet (fuck it, but also I love this)
Astros to win the World Series +
Bills to win the Super Bowl +
Bucks to win the 2022/23 NBA Championship
1 unit to 307 units

2022 ACC Preseason Predictions(1 Future + 2 Season Win Totals)

The turn of the calendar to August means College Football is back! I enjoyed a +27.35u season in 2021 and hit at a 55% clip overall, including an 8-0 finish to the season.

My 3 preseason bets in the ACC:

*CFB(0.3u): NC State to win ACC(+830)

*CFB(0.75u): Virginia UNDER 7.5 wins(-130)

*CFB(0.5u): Florida State OVER 6.5 wins(-130)

Below, I break down each of these plays as well as my feel of the rest of the ACC entering this 2022 season.

 

MLB Free Play 8/1

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals (+200) @ 7:05 PM ET

This is a matchup between one of the best pitchers in the NL (Max Scherzer) versus one of the worst pitchers in the NL (Patrick Corbin). As much as I would love to play the Mets here on the RL (-2.5 FG, -1.5 F5), the numbers are just too inflated and don’t hold much value in my opinion. I can’t trust the Mets offense even against a pitcher like Corbin.

What I can trust is that Max Scherzer is going to come out and dominate in this game. In 7 road starts this year Max is averaging 6.19 innings pitched, 1.43 runs against, 4.71 hits against, 8.71 Ks, and 0.85 walks. He’s struck out 7 or more in 6 of 7 of those road starts. The only one he didn’t eclipse that mark was when he only struck out 6 in his first start of the year against these Nationals.

While the Nationals on the year aren’t prone to a ton of strikeouts, only averaging 7 per game, they also haven’t faced a ton of top tier pitching. The lineup from yesterday’s game should be pretty similar for tonight’s game. In that game Pallante shut them out over 8 innings and struck out 8. Pallante is no Scherzer.

This is my most confident play on the card tonight, and may be the only play period.

Take Max Scherzer O6.5 Ks -140 for 2U