Huge Hump day Card has a rare 6* In NIT Tournament action and our Perfect system Western Conference Game of the Month in the NBA. Comp Play below
The NBA Comp play is on Miami. Game 552 At 7:40 Eastern. The Heat have rest, revenge and are playing off a a favored loss. The Warriors have no rest after a road loss in Orlando. We note. Road teams with No rest that were road favorites of 3 or more last night and a previous home favored loss vs an opponent off a road favored loss, have covered over 80% long term. The Heat lost in Philly as an 8 point favorite but have covered 5 of 6 with 1 day of rest, 10 of 13 vs .600 or better opponents and 7 of 8 on Wednesdays. Golden St has failed to cover the last 4 vs a .600 or better team, 5 straight on Hump day and 6 of 7 in the series. Look for the Heat to get the cover. On Wednesday another Powerful hoops card is up and led by a rare highest rated 6* Release in NIT Tournament action as well as the NBA Western Conference Game of the Month backed with an undefeated database system. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on as we stay hot in hoops. For the NBA Comp play. Make it Miami. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
There’s a chance I have too much exposure today, and so be it if that’s the case. The good news is that the NBA isn’t just annoying me – it’s annoying a ton of sharp bettors. RJ Barrett gets a meaningless dunk at the end of the Knicks/Hawks game in a situation where the under should have hit (not to mention the fact that for long stretches, neither team could miss a 3). Then the Clippers choke in the last 4 minutes. And of course Monday with the Heat. And the Blazers showed a pulse on that slate, too.
It’s all so fucking annoying and trust me, I’ve lost plenty of $$$ the last 5 days. Not happy about it, but we must trust our process. It’s a proven model for long-term success and all things regress to the mean – including the NBA product and its insanity.
I’m adding the Spurs Team Total over 121 for 1 unit. The Blazers could not be less equipped to stop a Spurs team that can run fast and score faster, and San Antonio will be ultra-motivated chasing that play-in spot.
Here’s a full review of our NBA Picks for today:
Kings/Pacers over 236, 1 unit
Heat -6.5 (the line dropped last night), 1.5 units
Nets -2.5, 2.5 units
Suns/T-Wolves over 236.5, 2.5 units
Hornets -6.5, 2 units
Spurs TT over 121, 1 unit
We keep a solid bankroll and we bet light long term for days like this. Let’s fucking roll, team. Have a great Wednesday,
We have a great show for you today! Simon Gerszberg @Shot_Quality and @ShotQualityBets is back to break down a huge weekend in college hoops! First, Kiev talks about the sweet 16 and which teams have the easiest path to the final 4. Next, Kiev talks some UFC Fight Night 205 with a free play for us all. Then, Simon comes on and the guys get right into shot quality bets and the sweet 16. Finally, we talk about every game in the sweet 16 with some agreement and disagreement on the sides and the totals. Should you have any questions, please contact us at TheOddsBreakers.com
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I’m adding the Hornets for -6.5 tomorrow. This is going to be a REALLY deflating loss for the Knicks against Atlanta. The Hornets are in a ROLL and the Knicks play an offense that goes up and down but it’s not sustainable. The Hornets outrun and out-produce the Knicks big tomorrow, in my opinion.
I took off tomorrow morning and my ass is SLEEPING IN – I fucking need it! So here’s all of my premium picks for Wednesday, nice and early as these lines start coming out. As always let me know if you have any questions.
Kings/Pacers over 236, 1 unit
At this point, this is an auto-bet. Two fast-paced teams full of young talent with nothing to play for EXCEPT proving that they’re all a commodity. The line should be at 240 and I’d take it up to that.
Heat -6.5 or less, 1.5 units
This line currently sits at -8, which is too rich for my blood, but I’d take it at anything under 6.5 and let’s hope it moves down tomorrow. After the Heat broke our hearts, what’s the move here? YEA – bet them. And it looks like, judging by the way Golden State is playing against Orlando tonight, this is probably the right side. Now was it the RIGHT side beyond comprehension on Monday against a 76ers team without Embiid and Harden? Damn right it was. But I could argue it’s even more the case Wednesday. The Heat got beat in every way Monday. Front court points, rebounding, 3s – I think Miami plays a very complete game and makes a statement Wednesday.
Nets -2.5, 2.5 units
The Nets are just a completely different team when Kyrie and Durant are on the court and it’s all positive from my perspective. As much as their personalities make me want to pull my hair out, what little hair I have left, they’re both elite in different, complimentary ways, and it presents myriad problems for their opponents. Memphis has demonstrated solid defense all year but they’re not on the level of Boston and the Nets dropped 120 in that contest. This is a great spot for Brooklyn to show off their playoff form. I’m on the Nets and this line could rise– deservedly so. Oh yea- and Morant was just announced OUT.
Suns/T-Wolves over 236.5, 2.5 units
I can’t believe this total came out this low. The Suns have played exceptionally fast without CP3 in their lineup and now the high-paced, high-output Minnesota Timberwolves (who can barely miss from beyond the arc these days, by the way), are playing at home, after a loss, and they’re ready to pounce. It’s clear that Minnesota believes in their style of play and who can blame them? It works. All over for this guy.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
On this weeks episode of Expected Bets For we have Matt, aka @TopCheddarPicks on Twitter to help breakdown Thursday March 23rd’s NHL slate. Matt will now be the weekly co-host of the podcast so I’m incredibly thankful to have his insight on the NHL market every week.
It’s an incredible episode that allows the listener more insight into the NHL market and specifically what to look at when interpreting NHL player props.
In addition to breaking down games we talk about:
NHL News/ Notes
Hot/ Cold Teams
NHL Trade Deadline
Winners/ Losers
Playoff Predictions
Betting Strategies
Player Props
Recent NHL Trends
You can follow Matt on Twitter @TopCheddarPicks.
Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
Josh C from the BetUS show talked me into the Hawks bet so you can thank him later. No Julius Randle for the Knicks and Trae Young LOVES to play at MSG. I think this is a Trae takeover game and the Knicks crumble under the pressure and pace the Hawks can produce (as we’ve seen many times before against similar teams).
The Hawks front court, however, has been fake news. Clint Capela has performed better lately but he’s still been too inconsistent. The Hawks get annihilated on boards by good bigs and M. Robinson has played aggressively during this 2-week stretch. Randle out only enables more rebounds for the big guy.
The PGA Tour’s version of March Madness if here. We head to Austin Country Club for the WGC – Dell Technologies Match Play event. This is one of the most entertaining events on the Tour all year so it should be a good one.
Apologies for the short article this week, I’ve been super busy so I didn’t have that much time to do a detailed writeup on all of my picks.
2020: Cancelled after the first round due to the COVID-19 pandemic
Price: N/A
2019: Kevin Kisner
Price: 80-1
2018: Bubba Watson
Price: 50-1
2017: Dustin Johnson
Price: 70-1
Format:
The field is divided into four groups ranking the players 1-64. Tier 1 is players ranked 1-16, Tier 2 is players ranked 17-32, Tier 3 is players ranked 33-48, and Tier 4 is players ranked 49-64. There’s sixteen different groups that are randomly drawn and include one player from each tier.
Over the course of the first three days (Wednesday through Friday), each player will play one 18-hole match against every person in their group. A match victory is worth 1 point, while a tied match is worth half a point. The winner of the group is obviously the golfer with the most points who will then enter a 16-man single elimination bracket on the weekend. The round of 16 will take place on Saturday morning with the advancing eight golfers competing again later on that day. The semifinals is on Sunday morning with the finals and third-place match taking place on Sunday afternoon.
Bracket:
If you would like to fill out an official bracket, you can do so here.
Picks (To Win Groups):
Given the amount of action this week, all plays at 0.25 unit plays given us a total of 3.75 Units wagered this week.
Group 1:
Jon Rahm (+130)
Group 2:
Sergio Garcia (+260)
Group 3:
Viktor Hovland (+165)
Group 4:
Patrick Cantlay (+180)
Group 5:
Scottie Scheffler (+180)
Group 6:
Kevin Kisner (+333)
Group 7:
Xander Schauffele (+150)
Group 8:
Dustin Johnson (+190)
Group 9:
No Pick
Group 10:
Alex Noren (+300)
Group 11:
Adam Scott (+260)
Group 12:
Billy Horschel (+175)
Group 13:
Daniel Berger (+190)
Group 14:
Russell Henley (+225)
Group 15:
Bubba Watson (+333)
Group 16:
Brooks Koepka (+210)
Picks (Outright):
No outrights as of right now, once the field of 16 is set for the weekend I’ll add a few outrights live.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
The Bulls are a multi-unit play for me, but rather than isolate either 1H or Full game, I want to protect myself best and put 1u on each.
This is a double-revenge game for the Bulls as they’ve lost twice to the Bucks this season. They lost by 4 in Milwaukee in January, and just earlier this month, they led Milwaukee by 7 after the 3Q before blowing it late and eventually losing by 6. The Bulls have proven they can be competitive with the defending world champs, and I think tonight is the night that Chicago finally puts it together start to finish. Tonight will mark just the Bucks’ 3rd game over the past 7 days, and their first home game in almost 2 weeks after they just completed a 4 game West Coast road trip. I know people love to focus on rest in the NBA(myself included), but I do not at all believe it is an advantage to have long layoffs in your schedule. In addition, the Bucks will be without Khris Middelton tonight, just his 3rd time missing action this year. I know Giannis grabs all of the headlines, but Middleton is 20 PPG guy who is integral to this Bucks organization; his absence cannot be overlooked in this matchup. The Bulls have gotten to nearly full strength, with Lonzo Ball being the only key piece still out with injury. This will be the second game of a back-to-back for Chicago, but boy did they look good last night in a 14 point win over the Raptors. No starter played more than 35 minutes in that game, and if you think anybody on this Bulls team is overlooking this game after what Grayson Allen did to Alex Caruso earlier this season, you’re kidding yourself. 7 is far too many points considering the double revenge angle and the fact Middleton is out. I’ll play 1H and FG here and am even going to sprinkle a little free play money on this ML. Love, love, love the Bulls tonight.
