Michael breaks down 5 NBA games on the Wednesday slate(2:23-27:22) and previews all 8 of the Sweet 16 matchups for Thursday and Friday(27:23-1:04:34).
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What’s up everyone!
We have a great show for you today! Simon Gerszberg @Shot_Quality and @ShotQualityBets is back to break down a huge weekend in college hoops! First, Kiev talks about the sweet 16 and which teams have the easiest path to the final 4. Next, Kiev talks some UFC Fight Night 205 with a free play for us all. Then, Simon comes on and the guys get right into shot quality bets and the sweet 16. Finally, we talk about every game in the sweet 16 with some agreement and disagreement on the sides and the totals. Should you have any questions, please contact us at TheOddsBreakers.com
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You can follow Matt on Twitter @TopCheddarPicks.
Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
The PGA Tour’s version of March Madness if here. We head to Austin Country Club for the WGC – Dell Technologies Match Play event. This is one of the most entertaining events on the Tour all year so it should be a good one.
Apologies for the short article this week, I’ve been super busy so I didn’t have that much time to do a detailed writeup on all of my picks.
Tournament Information:
Course Architect/ Comparable Courses:
Key Statistics:
Previous Winners Scores & Prices:
Format:
The field is divided into four groups ranking the players 1-64. Tier 1 is players ranked 1-16, Tier 2 is players ranked 17-32, Tier 3 is players ranked 33-48, and Tier 4 is players ranked 49-64. There’s sixteen different groups that are randomly drawn and include one player from each tier.
Over the course of the first three days (Wednesday through Friday), each player will play one 18-hole match against every person in their group. A match victory is worth 1 point, while a tied match is worth half a point. The winner of the group is obviously the golfer with the most points who will then enter a 16-man single elimination bracket on the weekend. The round of 16 will take place on Saturday morning with the advancing eight golfers competing again later on that day. The semifinals is on Sunday morning with the finals and third-place match taking place on Sunday afternoon.
Bracket:
If you would like to fill out an official bracket, you can do so here.
Picks (To Win Groups):
Given the amount of action this week, all plays at 0.25 unit plays given us a total of 3.75 Units wagered this week.
Picks (Outright):
No outrights as of right now, once the field of 16 is set for the weekend I’ll add a few outrights live.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
*NBA(1u): Bulls 1H +4(-110) @ Bucks–7 PM CT
*NBA(1u): Bulls +7(-110) @ Bucks–7 PM CT
The Bulls are a multi-unit play for me, but rather than isolate either 1H or Full game, I want to protect myself best and put 1u on each.
This is a double-revenge game for the Bulls as they’ve lost twice to the Bucks this season. They lost by 4 in Milwaukee in January, and just earlier this month, they led Milwaukee by 7 after the 3Q before blowing it late and eventually losing by 6. The Bulls have proven they can be competitive with the defending world champs, and I think tonight is the night that Chicago finally puts it together start to finish. Tonight will mark just the Bucks’ 3rd game over the past 7 days, and their first home game in almost 2 weeks after they just completed a 4 game West Coast road trip. I know people love to focus on rest in the NBA(myself included), but I do not at all believe it is an advantage to have long layoffs in your schedule. In addition, the Bucks will be without Khris Middelton tonight, just his 3rd time missing action this year. I know Giannis grabs all of the headlines, but Middleton is 20 PPG guy who is integral to this Bucks organization; his absence cannot be overlooked in this matchup. The Bulls have gotten to nearly full strength, with Lonzo Ball being the only key piece still out with injury. This will be the second game of a back-to-back for Chicago, but boy did they look good last night in a 14 point win over the Raptors. No starter played more than 35 minutes in that game, and if you think anybody on this Bulls team is overlooking this game after what Grayson Allen did to Alex Caruso earlier this season, you’re kidding yourself. 7 is far too many points considering the double revenge angle and the fact Middleton is out. I’ll play 1H and FG here and am even going to sprinkle a little free play money on this ML. Love, love, love the Bulls tonight.
FarleyBets here with a free pick and our free picks have been ON FIRE! Below is an angle I really like tonight – let’s get a W!
Current NBA Record: NBA: 242-186 (57%), +78.40 units
Translation: We win, a lot. Click here for my premiums every day in your inbox!
Clippers +6 (-105), 1 unit: There’s a lot of good reasons to believe the Clippers can cover tonight’s game, and there’s even more reasons to believe their foe cannot cover tonight’s line. Let’s look at some of the data before we break this down:
The Clippers’ reputation on defense is primarily because of how well they contest shots on the perimeter. Of course they’ve battled all year without Kawhi Leonard, and losing exceptional defenders like Pat Beverly (now on the Timberwolves) and Paul George (announced out for the regular season) hasn’t helped, but they still play at a level that makes it tough for any offense to thrive. They’re top 10 in opponent 3-point percentage and 3-pointers made per game, and they’re top 5 in opponent 2-point percentage, opponent shooting percentage, and opponent effective field goal percentage.
And that’s why they’re such a good matchup for Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets. The best way (truly the only way) to stop Denver is to make life harder for Jokic. If you limit his supporting cast, an area where LAC has plenty of experience, then you greatly burden Jokic and force the Nuggets to be a one-trick-pony.
Lastly, the Nuggets have not covered well in these spots. Denver is:
To this guy, the value is solely on the Clippers tonight.
