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Rob Vinciletti: Saturday Conf. USA Tournament Pick and Preview

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Saturday Card has our 2022 Conf. Tournament Game Of The Year backed with a Huge undefeated System. In the NBA we have our highest Rated TV Game on ABC, A 17-1 NHL System Game of the week, Early Soccer and an overall powerful Hoops card. Conf. USA Play below.
The NCAAB Comp play is on UAB at 8:30 eastern. UAB won both meetings with LA. Tech this season and are likely to get the cover here as well. They are 5-0 straight up and Ats with Coach Kennedy vs a team off a dog win.. The Blazers have edges on both sides of the ball. LA. Tech knocked off North Texas the #1 defensive team in the nation in a 42-36 Bore till you snore game. Now they have to switch styles with no rest and take on a Blazers team that is solid on defense but also 14th in the nation in scoring. Tech has failed to cover 7 of 10 vs a winning team and dogs of 5 or less in this tournament off a dog win are 0-7 to the spread since 2011. UAB Won a thrill fest 10-2-98 in over time over Middle Tennessee and they have covered 4 of 5 after scoring 100 or more and 4 of 5 after allowing 90 or more. With the winning team in this series on a 13-0 spread run. We will Back the Blazers. On Saturday a huge card is up and led by our 2022 Conference Tournament Game Of the Year headlining a powerful College card, the NBA TV Play of the Year, Early Soccer and the 17-1 NHL System Game OF The Week. TOP Totals Play cashed big on Friday. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on Now as we anticipate a big Saturday. For the NCAAB Comp play. Play on UAB. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

College Basketball Conference Tournament Saturday Super-Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Kentucky vs Tennessee +2.5 O/U 139

I have to think that these two teams might be the best lift in the SEC especially with Auburn and LSU out of the mix.   In saying that, I have to look at these two teams from a matchup standpoint.  Kentucky is fantastic near proximity ranking number 2 in the nation, but Tennessee is 14th in guarding it.  Tennessee only ranks number 115th on offense near the rim and Kentucky 62nd on defense.  Advantage Kentucky.  From three point land, neither team is great at defending it but Kentucky ranks 14th in the nation in shooting the three vs the average opponent and Tennessee ranks 51st.   Advantage Kentucky.  From a coaching standpoint, Rick Barns has never been a good late season/tournament coach while John Calipari has credentials that are very hard to match.   Advantage Kentucky.   The most important stat to me during this game is really the home/away from homes splits.  Kentucky ranks 196th away from home and Tennessee ranks 329th.   That is significant enough for me to lay points under the 3.

Kentucky -2.5 – 2 stars

Virginia Tech vs Duke -6 O/U 137

It has been a pretty common theme here with the Duke boys during the tournament.  They have been coming out of the gate slow.   It’s hard to quantify why that is, but I think that there is value playing the recent trend.   Looking at the whole season, Duke is a deserving favorite but it should be a tad under the spread at about 5 points.   The reason for that is the recent trends on these teams.  Duke hasn’t covered their last three games while Virginia tech has dominated and has gotten better especially from a defensive perspective.  Virginia tech has also dominated the first halves in their last 5 games.   They are methodical and slow the game down.   The trend lines show a massive increase in all play percentage for Virginia Tech on Haslmetrics and a downslope for Duke.

Now I don’t trust Virginia Tech and the “momentum” for the full game due to Duke’s easy first two games and the Coach K farewell rally, but I like the Pokes for the first half.

Virginia Tech 1st half +3 – 2.5 stars

 

Premiums, 3.12

By
Chris R. Farley
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How about them Hornets! The MIN/ORL over not hitting was a complete fluke-they scored 38 combined points in the 4th QTR after averaging well over 60 points per QTR before that, unreal, but we’ll take a 3-2, +2.2 unit night! Onto Saturday! Let’s keep rolling!

NBA Picks:
  • Timberwolves +6, 1 unit
    • Both teams are off a back to back but after that pedestrian finish for Minnesota and because of how explosive they CAN be, something tells me they stay in this game with Miami. The Heat are off a B2B, too, and Miami could get easily overwhelmed by the T-Wolves pace and output.
  • Bucks -1, 2 units
    • As good as the Warriors can be, the current version of the Bucks is a way better team than the current version of Golden State. The Warriors will fight hard but ultimately, the Bucks should pull ahead here. They’ll have NO answer for Giannis in the paint.
  • Wizards -6, 1 unit
    • This is how bad Portland is right now. Gross as hell, but I’m taking it.
CBB Picks (all 1 unit): 
  • UMBC +15.5
  • Texas A&M +5.5
  • Iowa -6
  • Arizona -1.5
UFC Picks:
  • McKinney (+145)
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Executing The Edge Podcast 15 – MLB, College Basketball

By
Nick Hub
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In this week’s shortened Executing the Edge podcast, Nick:

  • Discusses the new CBA and change to this MLB season, NO MORE LOCKOUT!!
  • Discusses the conference tourneys and looks ahead to National Championship futures.

Sign up NOW before you miss out on my  All Access March Madness Subscription at The OddsBreakers and get the number BEFORE it moves!

#Sportsbetting #sportsinvesting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAAF #CBB #CFB #MLB #NCAAB #ExecutingTheEdge

Rob V: Friday night BANGER System + 2022 Conf. Tourney TOTAL of the Year info

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Friday Card has the 2022 Conf. Tournament TOTAL Of the Year, the Friday night 100$ Hot Side and 2 More Top Tournament Top Plays and the 100% NBA Total of the Month. NBA Top Level Side below.

The NBA Power System Play is on Atlanta at 7:40 eastern. The Hawks fit the Powerful System below that plays on Non Division Home favorites off a road dog loss where they scored 115 or more and allowed 123 or more and were off a prior road loss, and are taking on a team like LA that won as a home favorite in their last game. The Hawks have covered 18 of 19 when they win at home as a favorite and have covered 10 of 13 with 1 day of rest. They are ranked 8th in scoring and 3rd in 3 point shooting. The Clippers are ranked 23rd in scoring and 28th in rebounding . Look for LA to Get CLIPPED play on the Hawks. On Friday we have a Powerful Card up with the 2022 Conf Tournament Total of the Year, the Friday night Hot side a Big Blowout and the NBA Total of the Month. Both Late Top plays Cashed out on Thursday. More damage tonight. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on and start the weekend big. For the NBA Power Side. Play on Atlanta . Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

SU 12-1
ATS 12-1

Date

Jan 21, 2005 recap Fri 2004 Wizards Raptors home 118-109 2&1 -3.0 204.0 9 6.0 23.0 14.5 8.5 W W O
May 11, 2007 recap Fri 2006 Warriors Jazz home 125-105 1&1 -6.5 217.5 20 13.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 W W O
Mar 28, 2008 recap Fri 2007 Pacers Nets home 123-115 1&1 -5.5 218.0 8 2.5 20.0 11.25 8.75 W W O
Jan 16, 2009 recap Fri 2008 Wizards Knicks home 96-89 1&1 -2.0 206.5 7 5.0 -21.5 -8.25 -13.25 W W U
Mar 11, 2009 recap Wed 2008 Warriors Nets home 116-112 3&2 -3.0 222.5 4 1.0 5.5 3.25 2.25 W W O
Apr 29, 2013 recap Mon 2012 Nets Bulls home 110-91 1&1 -6.0 180.5 19 13.0 20.5 16.75 3.75 W W O
Jan 28, 2017 recap Sat 2016 Suns Nuggets home 112-123 1&1 -3.0 230.5 -11 -14.0 4.5 -4.75 9.25 L L O
Apr 04, 2017 recap Tue 2016 Pacers Raptors home 108-90 1&1 -3.0 203.0 18 15.0 -5.0 5.0 -10.0 W W U
May 04, 2017 recap Thu 2016 Wizards Celtics home 116-89 1&1 -5.5 217.5 27 21.5 -12.5 4.5 -17.0 W W U
Apr 20, 2018 recap Fri 2017 Wizards Raptors home 122-103 2&2 -2.0 218.0 19 17.0 7.0 12.0 -5.0 W W O
Dec 28, 2018 recap Fri 2018 Hornets Nets home 100-87 1&1 -4.5 221.0 13 8.5 -34.0 -12.75 -21.25 W W U
Mar 06, 2020 recap Fri 2019 Pelicans Heat home 110-104 1&1 -1.5 232.5 6 4.5 -18.5 -7.0 -11.5 W W U
Feb 16, 2022 recap Wed 2021 Pacers Wizards home 113-108 0&1 -1.0 226.0 5 4.0 -5.0 -0.5 -4.5 W W U

Mar 11, 2022 recap Fri 2021 Hawks Clippers home – 1&1 -6.0 228.5

March 11th CBB Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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I’m back today with 3 plays looking to right the ship after a subpar 2 day stretch. In addition to this free play, I also have 2 plays reserved for premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 56.5% clip and have netted my members +48u over a 6 month stretch. Click here to become a premium member, and let’s start the weekend out hot!

*CBB(1u): Michigan State +2.5(-110) vs Wisconsin–5:30 PM CT

Michigan State squeaked by Maryland with a 4 point win yesterday; while that wasn’t a dominant win, I believe getting their feet wet gives them a bit of an advantage entering today’s matchup. Wisconsin is coming off an embarrassing home loss to Nebraska that saw their star guard and Big 10 Player of the Year Johnny Davis go down with an injury. Davis should play, but he will almost certainly be operating at less than full strength. Even with Davis healthy, I think Wisconsin is an overvalued commodity. The Badgers shoot just 42.7% from the floor, 31.3% from 3-point range, and average just 11 assists per game. Michigan State grabs 2.2 more rebounds/game than Wisconsin and features a monster in Marcus Bingham Jr down low, who averages 2.2 blocks/game. Unlike Wisconsin, Michigan State can really shoot the 3-ball; their 38.7% rate from deep puts them in the Top 10 in 3-point percentage. Michigan State also moves the ball around a lot better, averaging nearly 16 assists per game compared to the Badgers’ 11. This line might seem short given the perception around Wisconsin, but I actually make the Badgers only a slight 1-1.5 point favorite here. Michigan State didn’t play great down the stretch this year, but they’re catching Wisconsin at a vulnerable time and have many matchup advantages that they can exploit today. I like Sparty to beat Wisconsin outright for the second time this year, but I will always take the points in this type of spot. 

March 11th Premium Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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*CBB(1.5u): Saint Louis +1(-110) vs St Bonaventure–1:30 PM CT

Saint Louis looked great on both ends of the floor in their first round matchup with La Salle yesterday, eventually winning 71-51. Now, the Billikens will face a St Bonaventure team that hasn’t played in a week and are prime candidates to come out of the gates rusty. Saint Louis is simply superior in almost every offensive category, but one huge disparity is that they shoot nearly 5% better from 3-point range than St Bonaventure does. Not only do I like SLU’s offense better, but they are also the more physical team on the defensive end of the floor, grabbing 4 more rebounds/game and ranking 30 spots higher than the Bonnies in defensive efficiency. St Bonaventure was able to beat this SLU team twice in the regular season, but I think the momentum is all on Saint Louis’s side having gotten their feet wet in Washington DC yesterday. I rate Saint Louis almost 3 points better on a neutral court, and with the dynamics on their side, I have no hesitation playing them as a slight dog as today’s best bet. 

*NBA(1u): Rockets +10.5(-110) vs Mavericks–7:10 PM CT

Don’t look now, but the Rockets are playing some really solid basketball at the moment. Over their last 3 games, they have home wins against the Grizzlies and Lakers, and vibes seem to be high around this young roster. I know this organization is far from where it used to be, but this isn’t the first time the Rockets have gone on a hot stretch this season. We saw them win 7 straight games back in late November/early December; when this team catches fire, they tend to go on a nice little streak. In any case, Dallas is nowhere close to being where they need to be to be laying double-digits on the road. The Mavs just lost by 30 at home to the Knicks and aren’t playing well on either end of the floor. While this is typically a trustworthy team, Dallas has won by double-digits just once since January 29th. Even at their best, the Mavs are not built to blow teams out given their lack of offensive firepower. Houston is playing well at the moment, and they are going to give Dallas everything it can handle. I’ll take the 10.5 points with the Rockets given their strong current form. 

Official 3 Unit Play

By
Chris R. Farley
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CHA -1.5 is officially a 3 unit play

This line is just way too good — all CHA for me.

Laying the Points with FarleyBets: Friday NBA Picks Pod

By
Chris R. Farley
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Kevin Durant and Joel Embiid, getting chippy on the court.

 

We’re back on Laying the Points, flying solo for this episode and covering a full, 10-game NBA slate for your Friday bets. Check it out, and please subscribe to our channel by searching “Laying the Points” wherever you stream podcasts!

Current NBA Record: NBA: 223-164 (58%), +83.80 units
Translation: We win, a lot. Click here for my premiums every day in your inbox!

Premiums, 3.11

By
Chris R. Farley
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Shitty Thursday but that’s why we had low exposure and that’s why we avoid betting on choke-artist 19 year olds, for the most part. Texas? UVA? Gross.

Hopefully you saw my early premiums last night but it turns out, these lines didn’t move much anyway so you should be good to get most of these. A few angles I really like tonight, let’s get to it:

NBA Picks:

  • MINN/ORL over 233, 2 units
    • Absolutely no chance I can’t not take the over here. The Magic run at a hyper-fast pace and the Minnesota offense has been putting up nearly 130 ppg recently. Orlando has had some low-yield, low-scoring games the past week but these two tempo teams should only cultivate one another. And despite Minnesota probably being due some negative regression eventually, is THIS the spot against the mealy-mouth Magic? Na. I don’t see how this doesn’t go over – I have this at 242! Trust in the T-Wolves!
  • Knicks +9.5, 1 unit
    • The Knicks have become a play-on team for me and here’s why: they remind me of the Knicks of last year: sticking to blue collar defense, 2 point basketball, and max-effort every game. The Grizzlies are one of the best teams in the NBA but the Knicks are way more motivated here. 9.5 is too many points. Their last 3 wins must give them renewed confidence.
  • Lean, Hawks -6 (they need to get right)
  • Lean, Celtics -14 (why the hell not? They’ve been DOMINANT)
  • Hornets -1.5 (but up to -7), 2.5 units
    • I was able to somehow snag this at -1.5 somehow, which feels like cheating, but there’s NO WAY I can’t take the Hornets here. McCollum is out, Ingram is out, and without their two stars the Pelicans surge is officially over. The Hornets desperately need wins and this should be a perfect opportunity for them to overwhelm a weakened New Orleans’ unit.
  • Suns -6, 1 unit
    • As much as I like the Raptors, the version I’m seeing of the Suns lately (even without CP3) has been VERY impressive. I can’t play off the Suns right now and this feels like a major difference in class. Phoenix, at home, in rhythm – VanFleet and Trent Jr. better put on a show if they want to stay in this one. Moved this down to only 1 unit since Toronto could be feisty here, purely based on motivation to move up the rankings.
  • Heat -5.5, 1.5 units
    • Yea we’re playing the Heat here. Jimmy Butler should return (this is not a guarantee and we may pull out of this bet if he doesn’t play- buyer beware) and Miami is coming off that HORRENDOUS and embarrassing loss to the Suns at home. This a major get-right game for the Heat and the Cavs are no match for a motivated Miami unit. I’d take this up to 6 with Jimmy in.
CBB Picks (all 1 unit):
  • Illinois -5
  • Cincinnati +12
  • Wisconsin -2
  • UCONN +3.5
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 
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