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Premiums, 2.26

By
Chris R. Farley
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Welp, good thing we ultimately avoided the Lakers huh? Looked like they were the right side for a second but, nope. That’s a team in real disarray, and the more they lose, the less LeBron will care.

Raptors shit the bed but a 2-1 night overall. Not a ton of value on today’s NBA card, in my opinion, but let’s unpack a few things. Appreciate all of your support as always – spread the good name of FarleyBets!
NBA Picks:
  • Lean, Celtics -11: Not an official pick, but it’s really hard to not play on Boston in every game right now. They’re playing lights out on both sides of the court – maybe consider a team total on Boston or if they start slow, bet them live.
  • Grizzlies moneyline (+105), 1 unit
    • Listen, the Bulls are staying afloat and kudos to DeMar DeRozan, who just keeps on proving people wrong with his fantastic shooting and big 4th quarters. But the Grizzlies are a really good team, off a loss, and they should EAT in the paint today. Chicago is NOT skilled at stopping a good front court offense. I think the wrong side is favored.
  • Grizzlies Team Total over 117.5, 2 units:
    • Even if the Grizzlies lose, they should score a ton of points against a shallow Bulls’ defense.
  • Nets/Bucks under 237, 1 unit
    • This total is too high for me. The Bucks NEED to start playing better defense in these next 25 games before the playoffs, and they have the size, coaching, and skill to turn things around. The Nets remain without 2 of their big 3 in this contest. I have this at 231 and would play it down to 234.
CBB Picks:
  • Purdue -5, 1 unit: We’re betting on Michigan State’s slide to continue – I see no signs that it won’t.
  • Vermont -16, 1 unit: I know, gross, but this is a big time disparity in ratings and Vermont is at home.
  • N. Iowa +2.5, 1 unit: Loyola shot ridiculously well in their first contest against N. Iowa and it was close – I think the home team can hang today.
  • Gonzaga -10, 1.5 units: The Zags just have too much length and offensive advantages in this contest.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Rob Vinciletti: Saturday BIG 12 Comp play +NCAAB GAME OF THE YEAR info

By
Rob Vinciletti
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NCAAB 7* 2022 Game Of The Year headlines long with the Total of the Month and a Platinum Supreme. In the NBA We have a 100% 2nd game back from the Break system that dates to 1995 along with an NHL Power Play and the EPL Soccer Total of the Month. NCAAB Comp Play below.

The NCAAB Comp play for Saturday is on TCU plus the 5-6 points at 6 eastern. TCU is at home here and has covered 5 of 6 off a loss and 11 of 16 vs winning teams. The Horned Frogs are ranked 45th in defense and 32nd in rebounding any may surprise a Texas Tech team that has failed to cover 5 of the last 6 as a road favorite add in the fact that they are headed into revenge in a series where the road teams has failed to cover the last 4 and the points become tempting. With TCU 5-1 as a home dog of 6 or less we will look their way today. On Saturday we are releasing the Highest Rated College Hoops Game of the Year headlining  a huge Card that also has the Total of the Month. In The NBA The lead play is an undefeated system pertaining to teams in the 2nd game back from the break. We have a powerful NHL Power system play and in Soccer our Premier League Top play total. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to jump on. For the College Comp play. Take the points with TCU. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

Saturday Premier League Plays

By
Steve Norman
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We did it back on the positive side of the ball with our units.  Although it is not huge, we are making progress.  The swings in these games are insane.  Tottenham with a massive upset last week, only turning around to lose to lower competition.  I absolutely love the value to be had!  Buckle up as we look to find more for this Saturday!  

Current PL record: 4-5 +.90 Unit

Tottenham: ML, 2 Units (-120) and Over 3, 1 Unit (-103)

Tottenham is certainly a team that plays to its competition. We saw that this past week with a monumental upset of top seed MC, then following that up not finding the back of the net against the lower tier Burnley. Leeds on the other hand has been showing no pulse as of late. They have given up an astounding 13 goals in their last 3 matches, only capable of combating 2 themselves. The Spurs had a lot of opportunities against Burnley just were not putting the ball on target. The target will be found this match.

 Brentford: ML, 1 Unit (+150)

 Last time these two teams met it ended in a 3-3 draw. Brentford was +190 on the road and now +150 at home. What interest me in Brentford here is they are 0-1-7 in their last 8 against NC who is 3-2-3. Plain and simple Brentford has no right to be a slightly more favorite in this spot, which in turn raises a red flag for me. Draw is always in play when these type of teams meet. I like Brentford to get back in the win column at home. ML 1 unit.

Parlay MC and MU ML 2 Units (-147)

Creating value here with these two heavy favorites.   I like for MC to bounce back to from this match after the upset at home against Tottenham. Do not believe a club like Everton has the staying power to draw let alone win a top tier match such as this, especially when MC is coming off a loss. MU has been taking care of business when it comes to playing the lower talent on the table. They have been finding the back of the net and are looking to revenge that 4-1 fluke that took place in November against Watford.

Burnley: ML (+315) and Draw (+240) 1 unit each

It is no secret Burnley is significantly better since the Weghorst signing. This team has significantly turned a corner. Since the signing they are 2-2-1, that loss coming to top talent LVP 1-0. I find myself having a fantastic opportunity to corner this game with great value playing both sides of the ML and Draw to come out with positive Units. CP last 5 has been the exact same 2-2-1…. This game will be close and I like more than anything a draw to ultimately be had… but not the least bit surprised if Burnley comes away with the upset.

 

 

NCAAM Friday Night Free Play

By
Kristobal Lundborg
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897 San Jose State 1H +12 (0.5u) at San Diego State

Another system play that has lost it’s last two but is 16-8 ATS since 2019 that tells us in the L8 games of the season to play on a losing team playing against a winning team as a road conference dog with the 1H spread from +10.5 to +15.5. The recent losing streak of this system makes it a small play for me, but SJST does come in with some momentum winners of their L2 and SDST a slow-paced team that might come out sleepy in what should be a dominant win.

Check more of my plays out at Patreon where I have 4 additional plays tonight!

Laying the Points with FarleyBets- NBA Pod with Kate Constable

By
Chris R. Farley
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Devin Booker, performing and posting up against the OKC Thunder.

 

It’s FRIDAY baby and we have a very special show with a very special guest- Kate Constable! Known for her various gigs as a sports broadcaster and most recently for her hosting and sharp bets on the BetUS NBA show, Kate joins Chris today to talk about her background, her approach to betting, and her and Chris break down a few games from a betting perspective. Check it out!

Oh yea, and we’re STILL hitting at 57% (57.4% to be exact), and we’re up 78 units! Sign up for my premiums EVERY DAY by clicking here!

February 25th NBA Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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I cashed the free play winner on the Suns/Thunder 1H Under last night and enjoyed a 2-1 night overall. I’m back at it with 4 plays tonight, 3 of those being reserved for premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 57.8% clip and have netted my members +50.25u since September 2021. Click here to become a premium member, and let’s start the weekend out right!

*NBA(1u): Timberwolves +2(-110) vs 76ers–7:10 PM CT

Unsurprisingly, everybody loves Philadelphia tonight given James Harden will be making his debut as a 76er. I don’t care who you are, it’s extremely difficult to jump into a new situation and have immediate success. When you also consider that the ‘6ers haven’t played in over a week, I think this is a really good spot to play against them. Minnesota got their feet wet with an impressive win against the Grizzlies last night. While D’Angelo Russell played 38 minutes, Karl Anthony Towns played just 28 minutes in preparation for his matchup with Joel Embiid tonight. Also, given that the T-Wolves just had a week off themselves, I worry less about fatigue in the second game of a back-to-back than I normally would. James Harden should put up great numbers over the rest of this season, but I am not inclined to trust him or anybody else for that matter in his first game with a new team. I’ll fade the public here and back the home ‘dog. 

February 25th NBA Premium Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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*NBA(1u): Heat/Knicks 1H UNDER 109(-110)–6:40 PM CT

This is each team’s first game back from the All-Star Break, so rust should be expected from both offenses. The Knicks haven’t been very efficient on that end of the floor to begin with this season, and while Miami has climbed into the Top 10 in offensive efficiency, I’m skeptical that we’ll see that hold through the rest of the season. In addition, these are two of the slowest paced teams in the league. Miami is borderline elite defensively, and I’m still holding out hope that Tom Thibodeaux gets his team playing better on that end of the floor like they did last year. I think each team struggles to find a rhythm in the 1H, defenses take over, and this one stays under the 1H total.

*NBA(1u): Pelicans 1H TT UNDER 54.5(-115) @ Suns–8:10 PM CT

This is the Pelicans first game back from the break, while the Suns got their feet wet with a 20-point win in OKC last night. While defenses tend to slip in the second leg of a back-to-back, I worry less about that given the Suns had a week off before last night’s game. Also, Phoenix just doesn’t take games off and rank 3rd overall in defense efficiency, so I’m more than willing to trust them here tonight. I know the Pelicans added CJ McCollum at the Deadline which has provided a spark to their offense, but I wouldn’t expect this team to come out clicking tonight. Additionally, New Orleans ranks 24th in pace and have actually begun moving slower since adding McCollum. I’ll trust the Suns defense in the first half facing off with a rusty and unreliable Pelicans bunch.

*NBA(1u): Lakers -1(-110) vs Clippers–9:10 PM CT

I was shocked to see that the public is on the Clippers in this one; you would think LeBron James would get the benefit of the doubt in a pick’em type of game, but it appears that the Lakers have fallen that far out of favor. Anthony Davis being out certainly hurts, and in no way am I saying the Lakers are destined for a deep playoff run. However, I don’t get the logic behind backing the Clippers in a pick’em type of game. This team can be feisty catching multiple possessions, but they are still without Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and Norm Powell and sit below .500 right with the Lakers. I’m going to take a shot with LeBron here in a nationally-televised game he can certainly take over. 

Deeper Dive with Michael Fordham–CBB Weekend Preview + “Stay Away” Teams

By
Michael Fordham
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0:00—Intro

3:25—CBB “Stay Away” Teams

11:14—Kentucky @ Arkansas

17:40—Auburn @ Tennessee

22:24—Texas Tech @ TCU

29:08—Kansas @ Baylor

34:28—Creighton @ Providence

40:38—SMU @ Houston

44:34—Outro

All of Michael’s information—> https://linktr.ee/fordhamsportsgambling

Premiums, 2.25

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

The NBA is back and it FEELS SO GOOD! We earn a 3-1 start (with a push) in our return to betting the association – onto Friday!

I’ll put numbers next to my picks for now on, not stars, so that it’s more clear and so that we can do 1/2 unit betting, too. Remember, we ALWAYS bet to WIN that unit amount. In other words, if I say a play is 1 unit and it’s -110, I’m putting 1.1 units on that bet to win 1 unit. Hopefully that makes sense – let me know if it doesn’t. 
One other note – sorry to do this, but I’m going back on my Lakers pick. The discord in the Lakers’ locker room is uglier than I thought. And this game, like many, comes down to how motivated LeBron is. Do I think the Lakers will win? YES. I think LeBron responds, but it’s too volatile. I’d pull out your bets, unfortunately, and thankfully you should be able to get a full reimbursement because the line either hasn’t changed or it’s moved against us. My apologies for that – trigger happy. 

NBA Picks:
  • Magic/Rockets over 229, 1.5 units
    • The only thing we know about these two piss poor teams is that they like to run fast, REALLY fast. And for what it’s worth, both Houston and Orlando have pretty decent offensive talent, especially when they’re all healthy. I expect the young players to put on a show and little resistance to match it on the defensive end.
  • Raptors Team Total over 114, 2 units
    • If there’s one thing we know about this matchup, it’s that Toronto can score points against the Hornets. They have a significant size advantage down low, resulting in their ability to constantly out-rebound the Hornets and get second-chance opportunities. I like the Raptors in this game but Charlotte needs to get back on track if they want a chance at a postseason run and they’re at home. I’ll take Toronto’s point total instead.
  • Heat -5.5, 1.5 units
    • I thought about playing on the Knicks here but, no Derrick Rose still? Kemba out for the season? RJ Barrett is questionable? And oh yea, the Knicks are definitely a team to fade in the final 2 months of the season. The Heat, meanwhile, are just coasting on top of the Eastern Conference and now they’re FULLY healthy heading to MSG. Good luck, Knickerbockers.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Podcast 14 – 22 – With Brian Edwards – College Basketball February 24th – 27th – UFC – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a great show for you today!   Brian Edwards @VegasBEdwards from @VegasInsider and @MajorWager comes on to talk about some College Hoops and UFC on ESPN 49!  First, Brian and Kiev discuss some buy low, sell high teams.  Then, the guys talk about some early futures on some teams that might have a shot at making some noise in the tournament.   Next, Brian and Kiev talk about some huge college basketball games for the weekend with some leans and some FREE PLAYS.  Finally, we talk some UFC on ESPN 49 as well as some big fights in the future.   Should you have any questions, please contact us at TheOddsBreakers.com

NCAA: Auburn vs Tennessee – Kansas vs Baylor and more!

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds22 for 20% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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