Monday card led by the NBA Western Conference Game Of The Month and our 2X Perfect Top Play NCAAB Total. NCAAB Colonial conf. Play below.
The Colonial Conference Play is on College of Charleston at 7:00 eastern. Charleston and Hofstra end their regular season schedule here tonight and the Cougars are a live dog here as they are a last game revenge with a winning record taking on a team like Hofstra that comes in off a home win. The Pride though have failed to cover the last 7 at home as well as 5 of 6 off a spread loss and the last 4 on Mondays. Charleston has covered 7 of the last 9 as a dog along with 4 of 5 vs a winning team and the last 4 playing off a loss. Look for Charleston to get the cover here. On Monday we have another Powerful card up with a 2X Perfect NCAAB Totals Top play and in the NBA The Western Conference Game of the Month. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on twitter/facebook to Jump on as we start the week big. For the Colonial Conf. Play take the Points with the Cougars. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
The Jokic prop failed us but a 3-0 result otherwise Sunday! Let’s keep cruising in the NBA (we’re at 58% and over 80 units now for the season), and tread with caution in CBB. Onto the picks!
NBA Picks:
T-Wolves/Cavs over 220, 1 unit
The problem with this total is simple – I think the Timberwolves will set the tone and establish the pace tonight. Without Garland and now without LaVert, who’s proven to be an offensive commodity, Cleveland isn’t as effective on either side of the court. The Cavs will want to slow this down but I don’t think Minnesota lets them – they thrive when the game is fast-paced and enabling their young athleticism.
Raptors -3.5, 1.5 units
Well Toronto certainly hasn’t come out of the break on fire but now they desperately need a win and this is an opponent they can beat. The Nets have shown some moxy, even without their big 3, but Toronto’s length and increased motivation should be a problem tonight for Brooklyn. The Raptors’ have looked BAD in their first 2 games back, and without OG Anunoby and a healthy VanFleet, it’s understandable they’d have some challenges. I think they bounce back in a big way tonight. Give me the Raptors to get back to basics and cover on the road.
Bucks 1H -5.5, 2 units
And this is the kind of spot where you play on the Bucks, a great team, a championship contender, with arguably the best all-around player in the world, after a bad loss. The full game line (-10) is a bit high, although I’d lean that way, too. This is a bet that Milwaukee will come out ON FIRE after their humbling loss to Brooklyn. All Bucks for me.
Kings -4.5, 1 unit
This is as ugly as it gets, I know, but OKC is without Dort and Josh GIddey, two players that have become essential to their success. The Kings should be able to out-pace and out-score the Thunder here, even with their lackluster defense.
CBB Picks (kill me):
Baylor/Texas 1H under 63, 1 unit
I expect this to be a BATTLE between two elite teams. Let’s avoid the chance for the end-game fouls and take the 1H under instead.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
Welp, definitely a shitty day for many of us in CBB – annoying, but we should have gone 2-1 in the NBA; the Memphis TT over not hitting was completely fraudulent. Oh well, onto Sunday.
NBA Picks:
76ers/Knicks over 217, 2 units
Philly looked like a juggernaut with James Harden 2 days ago. and Harden has never played with a star big man (Durant doesn’t count, he plays like a guard). WIth Embiid potentially more open than he ever has been in his career, I’ll keep wanting to play on the Sixers and play on their overs. The Knicks are still shitty on the defensive end, too, and they’ll need to score to keep pace.
Parlay (1 unit to 1.35 units)- 76ers win, Over 217
Hornets TT over 220, 1.5 units
Sundays are weird in the NBA, which is a thing, but the Hornets have OWNED the Pistons this year (scoring 140+ in both of their previous matchups), and they looked crisp in their opening win after the all star break. Don’t piss your pants, Charlotte.
CBB Picks:
No chance in hell I’m betting on dumbass, pimple-laden college kids on a cold Sunday in February after last night. No offense to those who love betting on college sports, but sometimes I wonder – why the hell do we bet on a bunch of young flakes who literally don’t know how to wipe their own asses yet? Maybe I’m still sour from Saturday… ha.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
Sunday card has a Rare 6* NBA Undefeated Totals System and an NCAAB Blowout. NHL Comp Play below.
The NHL Comp play is on the NY. Rangers at 7:35 eastern. The Rangers return home after getting blanked in Pittsburgh on Saturday. NY has won 5 of 7 with no rest and 19 of 26 in a 3rd game in 4th night scenario. They are ranked 3rd in total defense and wont have any problems with a Vancouver team ranked 23rd on offense. The Canucks have dropped 5 of 7 vs the Eastern Conference and 14 of 18 on Sundays. The Rangers have won 8 of 9 on Sundays and 17 of 22 at home. With the Host team 4-1 in the series we will back the Rangers here tonight. On Sunday another Powerful card is up and backed with a Rare 6* NBA Total with a Perfect Totals system. We also have NCAAB and more. Jump on now and end the week big. For the NHL Comp Play. Play on New York. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
Smelly line tonight in California with EWU 4-1 ATS as an away favorite only favored by -4.5 against a SACST team that’s 1-5 ATS as a home dog. EWU’s record may not be that flashy, but they have beat 3 of the top 5 in the Big Sky including their last road win at Northern Colorado. This will be their 3rd straight road game and we just saw them have a letdown game, losing to Idaho after beating the top ranked Montana State last week. Perhaps bookmakers see a similar letdown spot here.
Currently seeing a -5 pop at the sharp Circa book now and I agree with the move as EWU’s offense (53rd in points) is quite capable of beating a SACST team that likes to slow it down and rely on their defense (346th in points). I like this Eagles team to cover this one by at least 3 possessions and get some footing in this very competitive Big Sky Conference!
Still a few plays left on the card for me at my Patreon, with a 2 unit play going late as well.
If you asked me to bet against Rutgers at the Rac, I would have to call you crazy, but one thing is for sure, this is a road revenge spot for Wisconsin and Rutgers is in a good spot coming off of two bad road performances. Now, Wisconsin’s defense is good but not as good as in past years. Their guys down slow move rather slow and the dribble drive tends to take them out of their game. Rutgers has been a very good passing team this year ranking 17th in he nation in assist to FG%. This is why Rutgers performs so well at home shooting 44.5% at 34.2% from three. Wisconsin is actually a decent road team themselves 105th away from home on Haslametrics and shooting well enough from three. They play faster than last year by about three possessions. Wisconsin’s weakness is allowing points allowing opponents to shoot 44% on the road. I can see both teams getting some points this game being that both offenses are better than they were last year and both defense. Wisconsin doesn’t defend the near proximity well ranking 84th in the nation and that is where Rutgers is going to score. Wisconsin defends will from three but Rutgers only ranks 322nd in attempted threes. Wisconsin away games are 6-3-1 to the over. I think this game goes over.
Over 132 – 2 stars
Louisville vs Wake Forest -8.5 O/U 144
This is the time of year that I like to bet on bubble teams and fade the step sisters of the poor. Let’s face it. Louisville is a lame duck program with a lame duck coach right now. They finally got a home win vs Clemson last weekend and now they are on the road without major motivation to face off against a very aggressive Wake Forest team. The Demon Deacons are better than the Cardinal at every single facet of the game and they like to play fast. Wake Forest can’t afford to lose this game because they will fall back into the outside looking in. Kenpom has this spread a 11, Haslametrics has it at 11.5 and I have it at 12. Take the favorite here and watch for a potential blowout.
In addition to these 2 free plays, I also have 5 plays reserved for my premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 57.5% clip and have netted my members just over +49u since September 2021. Click here to become a premium member, and let’s have a breakout Saturday!
*CBB(1u): Rutgers -2.5(-110) vs Wisconsin–5 PM CT
At home this season, Rutgers has an 11 point win against Illinois, 19 point win against Michigan State, as well as close wins against Purdue, Michigan, and Ohio State. I don’t know how much more clear it could be that this is their role. While Rutgers is coming off of two straight losses, each of those games came on the road against tournament-caliber teams(Purdue, Michigan); they put up respectable efforts in each game. The Scarlet Knights can leave some points on the offensive end of the floor, but they have a punishing defense that ranks 43rd in defensive efficiency and steps up consistently at home. I don’t mind playing against Wisconsin because I believe they’re due for some serious regression. The Badgers rank 6th out of 358 teams in KenPom’s “luck” meter and just aren’t as good as their 22-5 record would indicate. This will also be their second straight road game after narrowly squeaking by Minnesota earlier this week. Am I paying a premium by laying 2.5 here? Sure. But given how many times Rutgers has stepped up in this spot, I’m more than happy to lay the number here.
*CBB(1u): Texas Tech/TCU UNDER 131.5(-110)–5 PM CT
Texas Tech has climbed all the way up to #1 in defensive efficiency after allowing just 55 points to Texas and 42 points to Oklahoma in their last 2 games. While their defense is elite, the Red Raiders are probably worse offensively than that 50th offensive efficiency rating would lead you to believe. They’ve stepped up nicely in big games offensively, but in “trap” road games like these, they have not lived up to the bill. They put up just 55 against Oklahoma a few weeks ago as well as 51 at Kansas State earlier in conference play, losing each of those games by double digits. I certainly lean TCU here, but I can’t get on board with them offensively. The Horned Frogs shoot just 30% from 3, 66.7% from the free-throw line, and go at one of the slowest paces in the Big12. However, they do rank 29th in defensive efficiency and will certainly be hyped up in this step up spot at home. Under is the way to approach this game.
*CBB(1.5u): Marquette -7.5(-110) vs Butler–Noon PM CT
Marquette seemed to be getting a lot more buzz a few weeks ago, but you haven’t heard as much about them lately. They enter today’s game having lost 3 of their last 4, but all 3 of those losses came on the road. This is a team that’s set up very well metrics-wise; they rank in the top 50 in both offensive and defensive efficiency and also run at a fast enough pace to really pummel teams that lack offensive firepower. Not only does Butler rank 185th in offensive efficiency, but they run at one of the slowest paces in the country. This is also Butler’s 2nd straight road game; they’ve been in this situation 3 times this year, and they’ve lost all 3 games by an average of 33 PPG. Marquette is the best bet for today. At 9 or above, this would still be a 1u play for me.
*CBB(1u): Duquesne TT UNDER 60(-115) @ Rhode Island–11:30 AM CT
I played Duquesne TT UNDER earlier this week, and my analysis is going to be the exact same as it was on Wednesday. Over their last 12 games, this team is averaging just 55.5 PPG and has reached the 60 point barrier just 3 times. They put up just 50 against Davidson the other night, and now they have to go on the road and face off with a defense that ranks 46th in defensive efficiency. If the oddsmakers keep putting out TT’s this high, we’ll continue to make them pay.
*CBB(1u): East Carolina ML(-125) vs Tulsa–3 PM CT
While these teams match up pretty evenly, ECU has the major travel advantage. This is their second straight home game, while Tulsa will be playing their 4th(!) straight road game. I like ECU at home typically, and I think 4 straight road games is a nearly impossible task for any team.
*CBB(1u): Auburn +3(-110) @ Tennessee–3 PM CT
I was expecting Tennessee to be favored, but only by 1, 1.5 points. Seeing this line over a point higher than I predicted puts me on the Tigers here. I have been adamant about my belief that Tennessee is an overvalued commodity, and I’m once again putting it to the test here. I know playing on the road in conference play is very tough, but I think Auburn got their wake-up call with a loss at Florida last week. I would also understand Tennessee love more if this was a bad spot for Auburn, but they played Ole Miss at home earlier this week and only have Mississippi State to look ahead to. I think the Tigers are legitimate, while Tennessee is not. I’m hoping that’s what we see play out in Knoxville later this afternoon.
