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February 12th CBB Free Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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In addition to these 2 free plays, I also have 5 CBB plays reserved for my premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 58.3% clip and have netted my members +49u since September 2021. Click here to learn more about becoming a premium member, and let’s have ourselves a day!

*CBB(1u): North Carolina State ML(-125) @ Pittsburgh–2 PM CT

These are two of the bottom-feeders in the ACC this season, but I still think NC State has some things working for them entering this afternoon’s matchup. While the Wolfpack have lost 5 straight, 4 of those losses have come to tournament teams. This team plays poor defense, but they actually rank a pretty respectable 63rd in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh ranks just 239th in offensive efficiency and shows no urgency to push the pace. Pitt did beat Florida State earlier this week, but the Seminoles shot just 28% from the floor; it’s going to be hard to beat anything with that poor of an output. When the Panthers face a viable offense, they are toast. I like North Carolina State to turn things around and pick up a road conference win today. 

*CBB(1u): Vanderbilt +11.5(-110) @ Tennessee–5 PM CT

Tennessee picked up an impressive road win at Mississippi State earlier this week, but this is somewhat of a sandwich spot with Kentucky on the horizon this coming week. Additionally, Vanderbilt is playing pretty solid basketball themselves. The Commodores are coming off 2 straight comfortable home wins against LSU and Missouri and have proven to be competitive on the road in conference play, losing by just 7 at Kentucky and beating Arkansas outright in Bud Walton Arena. Vandy ranks 53rd in defensive efficiency and appear to have figured out some of their offensive issues here recently. Tennessee has good metrics, but this team doesn’t pass the eye test for me, especially on the offensive end of the floor. In what’s not a great spot, I don’t mind going against the Vols here and playing on a sneakily surging Vanderbilt group catching double-digits.

February 12th CBB Premium Plays

By
Michael Fordham
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*CBB(1u): St Joseph’s/UMASS OVER 152(-110)–11 AM CT

UMASS can score points at will on the offensive end of the floor, entering today’s game ranked 43rd in offensive efficiency and pairing that with a Top 100 pace in the country. However, the Minutemen also have one of the worst defenses in the country, currently ranking 338th in defensive efficiency. Like UMASS, St. Joe’s likes to push the pace on the offensive end of the floor but doesn’t care too much for playing tight defense. This spot(2nd straight home game after a home loss) sets up similarly for UMASS as their January 20th game against Saint Louis; that game saw 176 points. I like this one to shoot over the posted total.

*CBB(1u): Arkansas/Alabama OVER 157.5(-110)–11 AM CT

While this might seem like a square play, each of these teams play EXACTLY how you want if you’re betting Overs. Alabama runs at the 16th fastest pace in the country, while Arkansas runs at the 18th fastest pace. While everybody saw Alabama lay an egg offensively against Kentucky last week, they responded by putting up 97 points against a pretty solid Ole Miss defense on Wednesday. This is still a unit that ranks 11th in offensive efficiency and will give the Razorbacks everything they can handle. With that said, the Crimson Tide defense is reeling at the moment; they rank just 75th in defensive efficiency and just allowed 83 to a bad Ole Miss offense. With that pace, Arkansas can go toe-to-toe with Alabama in this tough environment. Anything below 160 is an Over bettor’s dream just considering how these teams match up.

*CBB(1u): Florida State/North Carolina UNDER 146.5(-110)–1 PM CT

North Carolina appeared to be turning a corner on the defensive end of the floor, but they have not had much success over their past 3 games. However, UNC has still played much better defense at home than they do the on the road. This is a perfect spot for UNC to clean things up on that end of the floor. Things have gone totally south for Florida State, as they enter this game off of a home loss to Pittsburgh, their 5th straight loss. The Seminoles’ roster is depleted with injuries, which has left them with little-to-no threats on the offensive end of the floor. Still, Leonard Hamilton has his guys playing hard on the defensive end of the floor; that unit ranks 62nd in defensive efficiency. Given UNC’s sense of urgency to clean things up defensively and Florida State’s pure inability to score the basketball, this total is far too high.

*CBB(1u): Michigan State -4(-110) vs Indiana–2:30 PM CT

Indiana is exactly who I thought they were, so losing outright at Northwestern was no real surprise to me. Now, the Hoosiers have to travel and play a superior Michigan State team in their second straight road game. Indiana’s problems lay solely on the offensive end of the floor; they have fallen outside of the Top 100 in offensive efficiency. Michigan State is coming off a loss to Wisconsin and are just 2-3 over their past 5 games, but they are clearly the more complete team. This isn’t Tom Izzo’s first rodeo, and in fact, he always gets his team in great form just in time to make a deep run in March. I see Michigan State making a statement today in a great spot. This one could get ugly.

*CBB(1u): Penn State +1(-110) @ Minnesota–7:30 PM CT

There is absolutely no reason Minnesota should be favored in this game. Penn State enters this game off of a 2-point loss at Wisconsin and a mere 1 point loss to Michigan their last time out. The Nittany Lions are a good bounce away from beating some of the better teams in the Big10. Minnesota, on the other hand, is coming off a 13-point loss at Nebraska, who was winless in conference play entering that game. The Golden Gophers have lost their past 5 games, 4 of those coming by double-digits. Penn State’s style of play is not sexy, but this line is absurd. I’ll take the point as insurance. 

College Basketball 2/12/22 Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Texas vs Baylor -6 O/U 131.5

You have to appreciate Texas’s big win at home vs Kansas.   These kid stepped up big when they needed to and they will certainly be dancing in March.  In saying that, Baylor came off a funk getting destroyed by Kansas last Saturday and they took vengeance at Kansas State.  Baylor is a covering machine this year as a favorite at 13-9-1 ATS.  They are a good home team shooting as well at 49% and rank 51st at home/road splits on Haslametrics.   Texas is quite the opposite.   They shoot a dismal 43.1% away from home and are 2-5 ATS as an away team.  The Horns also only rank 353rd in away/home splits on Hasla.   This is a let down spot for Texas and Baylor just got healthy.   Baylor is also still reeling from that nasty Kansas loss last weekend.  I also think they might get LJ Cryer back which would really boost this team.  This game is more of a rivalry to Baylor than it is to Texas.  Take the Bears.

Baylor -6 – 2.5 stars

UCLA vs USC +1.5 O/U 136.5

UCLA came into the year as a top ranked team.  They had some hiccups themselves and some injuries but they are mainly back to full health.  USC was a great team last year and they beat their step-brothers both times during the regular season.   This USC team isn’t the same though, and they lost one of the Mobely brothers and their point guard to the NBA and graduation.   USC doesn’t rank in the top 100 in effective FG this year and their best win was against number 38 Washington State.   UCLA beat Arizona once, Villanova and Marquette.   UCLA has had a much harder strength of schedule also facing Gonzaga and Arizona twice.   I think the Bruins are live here on their 4th road game (which is actually close to home).   Take UCLA as the shorty.

UCLA -1.5 – 2 stars

Premiums, 12.12

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Hi All!

Utah St. shit the bed but another 2-1 night in the NBA ain’t a bad thing. Onto Saturday!
Disclaimer: You will not be receiving any premium picks from me tomorrow on Super Bowl Sunday. All SB picks are below, and I’ll include my leans for tomorrow’s NBA slate, too. This is one chance for me to get some sort of break, and I’m going to take it! Ha… appreciate your understanding.
NBA Picks, Today:
  • Ja Morant O29 points *
    • This is a great game for Ja to go off. The Hornet won’t be able to stop him at the rim and he basically had an extra game off when Memphis rocked the Pistons a few days ago. I like him to get into the 30s.
  • Pelicans -4 *
    • The Pels showed some things in a loss to the Heat recently. Though they ultimately got bested by a better team, as we predicted, the Spurs are not the Heat. San Antonio is also off a back to back (and a big win last night), so this is another tough road spot for them. New Orleans has a considerably better starting 5 than San Antonio and they play way better at home. I like the Pels to cover in this one; the Spurs bench has to be tired – that’s a good thing for New Orleans.
  • CLE/PHI under 206 *
    • This one will be a BATTLE in the front court and a slow paced game, especially since CLE will be without Darius Garland. Going against the grain here and I think the under hits. I’d take this at 203 and up.
  • Warriors -7 **
    • If the Lakers cover this number, it’s because LeBron does some amazing, GOAT shit in the clutch. These two teams are continually further and further apart in my power ratings and Golden State at home? Good luck LAL, a team that struggles stopping everyone! They won’t be able to stop Golden State if Klay/Steph get going.
NBA Leans, SB Sunday:
  • MIN/IND over …
    • If this number is below 228, I’d take the cover for 1 unit.
CBB Picks:
  • Baylor -6 *
  • Rutgers +8.5 *
  • Seton Hall +9.5 *
  • OSU/Mich under 141 *
  • Gonzaga -15.5 *
UFC 271 Picks:
  • Modafferi/O’Neill does NOT go distance (+140) *
    • O’Neill has serious finishing power, and her last 4 fights haven’t gone the distance.
  • Cannonier/Brunson DOES go the distance (+114) *
    • Two different fighting styles should create some caution in a big fight for both men.
  • Derrick Lewis by TKO/KO stoppage in round 1 (+200)
    • Why the hell not? These two mammouths are open about the fact that they’ll be going right at each other for a knockout. Getting close to Lewis? Not a good idea.
  • UFC Parlay: Perez, O’Neill, Ulberg, Lewis, Adesanya (1 unit to win 3.45) *
SB Picks:
  • 1Q under 9.5 **
  • 1H under 23.5 *
  • Odell over 5.5 catches (+110) ** (this is great value)
  • Bengals +4 *
  • Bengals 3rd QTR ML (+100) **
  • Parlay: Rams ML + under 48.5 ** (2 units to win 3.88 units)
  • Uzomah to score a TD (+400) *
 
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Rob Vinciletti: Saturday NHL POWER PLAY + West coast Conf, GAME OF THE YEAR info

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Saturday card has the West Coast Conference Game of The Year headlining a huge Hoops card along with an Executive Level TIER and Big 10 Banger in the Ohio. St at Michigan game and the NBA Non Conference Game Of The Month. NHL Comp Play below.

The NHL Comp Play is on the St. Louis Blues at 8:05 eastern. The Blues blew a big lead allowing 5 goals to New Jersey in the third period. Now off 2 straight home losses the Blues will look to bounce back against a mediocre Chicago team. The Blues are 6th in scoring, 3rd on the Power play and 4th in penalty Kills. They are 4-1 off 3+ goal loss and 4-0 here vs Chicago. The Blackhawks have lost 9 of 12 off a win and 20 of 26 vs the Central division. Based on the numbers we will back the Blues. On Saturday a big card is up and led by the West Coast conference Game of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1, The Big 10 Rivalry game and the 100% Non Conference NBA Game Of the Month. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to jump on. For the NHL Comp play. Go with St.Louis. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

Sports Wagering University Super Bowl PropCast – Props, Props and more Props

By
Nick Hub
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Watch below as Kiev O’Neil, Kyle Hunter and Ron join me to discuss a wide range of props that are available for Super Bowl Sunday in our Sports Wagering University Super Bowl PropCast!

Executing The Edge Podcast with Ian Cameron, Andrew McInnis, Kiev O’Neil and Kyle Hunter – Super Bowl, NHL Futures, College Basketball, Free Picks

By
Nick Hub
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In this week’s Executing the Edge podcast, Nick:

  • gives a quick update on the MLB lockout
  • Discusses the Super Bowl with Ian Cameron @bobano
  • Discusses the Super Bowl and NHL futures with Andrew McInnis @McInnisPicks
  • Breaks down some of Saturday’s CBB games with Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev and Kyle Hunter @huntersportspicks

Get all of my plays through the Odds Breakers with my Exclusive CBB Subscription HERE

#Sportsbetting #sportsinvesting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAAF #CBB #CFB #MLB #NCAAB #ExecutingTheEdge

NCAAM Friday Action

By
Kristobal Lundborg
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874 St. Peter’s vs Rider UN 130*

Low total tonight in this Friday game which has been pulled down from its 131 open. I still like the under in this one as we just saw this matchup land at 109 about a month ago. St. Pete’s has relied on their defense, 76th in the nation in defensive efficiency, to get them into 2nd place in the MAAC. The Peacock’s are 4-8 O/U in conference games and 2-6 O/U at home.

Rider has found some success of late winning 3 in a row, 4 of their L5, so that will keep me off the higher spread in this game. Against higher scoring conference opponents, Rider has definitely trended towards the under. To me, that’s a sign that Rider isn’t sinking as many shots as the market feels they should (339th in overall FG%) and/ or their defense is better than expected. The Broncos come into this one 5-7 O/U in conference games and 3-7 O/U as an away dog.

Neither team is offensively efficient, or likely to get a ton of second chance points with great rebounding. The defenses are what stood out and I expect that again tonight. The market agrees, give me the under!

Check out more of my plays on my Patreon as I have 2 additional plays going tonight, including a 2 unit play!

Premiums, 2.11

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

Lots of content below! Another winning night as our crazy surge continues in the NBA. I don’t plan on stopping, do you? Okay but, stay humble, stay humble, stay humble (so fucking hard sometimes, ha). Check out my UFC picks below, too!
NBA Picks, 2.11:
  • CLE/IND over 212.5 *
    • New stars on both teams should prove to be catalysts for the offenses tonight – I got this game at 217 and I’d bet it up to 214.5
  • DEN/BOS over 217.5 **
    • This total is climbing for a reason. The Nuggets and Celtics both increase their pace in these situations and lately their offenses are super efficient. I got this at 223 – I’d take it up to 220.
  • Jazz -12.5 **
    • Is it ugly? Yes- just like the Raptors game yesterday that hit. This is a premiere spot for the Jazz, a horrible spot for the Magic, and Gobert could return. Night night, Orlando.
CBB Picks:
  • Utah State -11.5 *
    • They crushed Nevada last time, I see no reason why they don’t again, at home. They’re a significantly better team.
UFC 271 Picks:
  • Modafferi/O’Neill does NOT go distance (+140) *
    • O’Neill has serious finishing power, and her last 4 fights haven’t gone the distance.
  • Cannonier/Brunson DOES go the distance (+114) *
    • Two different fighting styles should create some caution in a big fight for both men.
  • Derrick Lewis by TKO/KO stoppage in round 1 (+200)
    • Why the hell not? These two mammouths are open about the fact that they’ll be going right at each other for a knockout. Getting close to Lewis? Not a good idea.
  • UFC Parlay: Perez, O’Neill, Ulberg, Lewis, Adesanya (1 unit to win 3.45) *
SB Picks:
  • 1Q under 9.5 **
  • 1H under 23.5 *
  • Odell over 5.5 catches (+110) ** (this is great value)
  • Bengals +4 *
  • Bengals 3rd QTR ML (+100) **
  • Parlay: Rams ML + under 48.5 ** (2 units to win 3.88 units)
  • Uzomah to score a TD (+400) *
 
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Podcast 12 – 22 – With Derek Stevens, GambLou, and Simon Gerszberg – College Basketball February 11th and 12th – Super Bowl – UFC 271 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a MASSIVE SUPER BOWL WEEKEND show for you today!  First, Derek Stevens @DerekJStevens, the CEO of @CircaSports joins us to discuss the contests, the Super Bowl parties at the Circa as well as some ideas that get discussed of what could be in store for the future.   Will Derek be making a large super bowl bet?  Next, Simon @ShotQualityBets comes on to break down his fantastic website ShotQuality.com and ShotQualityBets.com.   We dive deep into a different way of handicapping basketball games.   Then, Lou Finocchiaro from GambLou.com comes on to discuss a massive UFC 271 card for the weekend with some leans and some plays!   What got Lou into the UFC?  What is Lou and Kiev’s thoughts on fighter way and what would it take to change it?  Should you have any questions, please contact us at TheOddsBreakers.com

0:00 – 22:21 – Derek Stevens from Circa Sports
22:22 – 48:52 – Simon Gerszberg from Shot Quality
48:53 – 1:52:50 – Lou Finocchiaro from GambLou.com

NFL:  Cincinnati vs LA Rams

NCAA: Indiana vs Michigan State – Texas vs Baylor and more!

UFC 271 – Robert Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya – Derek Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa and more!

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsBreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 20% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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