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NHL Preview & Picks – January 25th, 2022

By
Patrick Gates
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We have a 8 games tonight in the NHL. There’s some pretty good matchups but the highlight of the night will be the Vegas Golden Knights against the Carolina Hurricanes. Speaking of that game, I breakdown that matchup below and offer some more picks for tonight.

 

Vegas Golden Knights @ Carolina Hurricanes

  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Coverage: ESPN+
  • Vegas Golden Knights: 25-15-2, 1st Pacific (13-10-2 Away)
  • Carolina Hurricanes: 27-9-2, 3rd Metropolitan (13-4-1 Home)
Team Opening ML Current ML Spread Total
Vegas Golden Knights +115 +140 +1.5 (-165) o6.0 (-120)
Carolina Hurricanes -167 -160 -1.5 (+145) u6.0 (+100)

 

Trends:

  • Golden Knights are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
  • Over is 10-2 in Golden Knights last 12 road games.
  • Carolina are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.
  • Over is 6-2 in Carolinas last 8 games.

 

Preview:

The Golden Knights and Carolina will square off for the 2nd time this season with Carolina winning 4-2 back on November 16th. Teuvo Teravanien, Vincent Trocheck, Sebastian Aho, and Martin Necas all had two points in that game.

Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights will be in a tough situation here playing back to back games against a very good Carolina Hurricanes team. Last night they defeated the Washington Capitals 1-0 behind a great performance from Robin Lehner.

Vegas is a tricky team to try and figure out as of late. They’ve rattled off back to back wins but neither win was very convincing. To be fair they are dealing with a bunch of injuries right now which has significantly affected their lineup.

Offensively, Vegas has been good on the year averaging 3.46 Goals For with an even better average on the road averaging 3.69. They have a +3.25 Goals For Above Expected which is good considering the amount of chances they generate.  Vegas is also one of the best teams at generating High Danger Shots For with 92 on the season ranking 3rd. Their Power Play is currently 12th best in the NHL and has been great in the past few games besides last night.

In terms of player props, I would look to target Chandler Stephenson, Jonathan Marchessault, and Evgenii Dadonov who have all recorded at least a point in three of their last four games.

As previously mentioned, they are without Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty who remain on IR. Newly acquired Jack Eichel is also set to make his Vegas debut as early as next month, which again, would provide a significant boost to their offense. In addition to those three guys, they’ll also be with Riley Smith who remains in COVID protocols.

Defensively, Vegas has struggled recently allowing three or more goals in 3 of their 4 games. The lone outlier came last night where Robin Lehner stood on his head and finished the night with a +3.45 GSAx. Vegas has a 3.02 Goals Against Average on the season but has been better on the road only allowing an average of 2.94. Their Penalty Kill ranks 22nd but did shut down Washington on all five of their Power Play opportunities.

Alec Martinez remains sidelined for the Golden Knights but is expected to return to the ice early next month. Zach Whitecloud is also out for tonight’s matchup with a back injury.

The starting goaltender for Vegas remains a mystery. Robin Lehner was sensational last night and may have to start again if Laurent Brossoit cannot go. He’s currently listed as Questionable with an undisclosed injury. So definitely something to monitor before placing your bets tonight. I’ll update the article as soon as the starter is announced. Lehner has a +3.3 GSAx on the year while Brossoit has a +1.0 GSAx.

Carolina Hurricanes

The Hurricanes are coming off a 7-4 loss against the New Jersey Devils on Saturday. Prior to that they had won three straight defeating the Rangers, Bruins, and Canucks. The Hurricanes currently sit 4 points behind the Rangers for the Metropolitan division but do have 5 games in hand.

When you look at complete teams, Carolina is definitely in the conversation. Offensively they rank 4th in the NHL in terms of Goals Per game averaging 3.58. They’ve also scored four or more goals in their past 4 games. They have the 5th best Power Play converting at a rate of 26.5%. Prior to the Devils, they had scored at least one Power Play goal in their previous three games.

In terms of injuries up front, Teuvo Teravanien is questionable to return tonight with a lower body injury. Jordan Martinook is out for tonight as he remains in COVID protocols.

If you’re looking to target player props start with Andrei Svechnikov who has tallied at least two points in his past four games. Tony DeAngelo is also riding a four game point streak.

When you look at them from a defensive prospective they rank even better. They’re 1st in the NHL in Goals Allowed Per Game averaging 2.39. At home they allow even less goals per game with an average of 2.33. They allow the fewest Shots on Goal per game and have the 2nd best Penalty Kill. However, they have allowed at least one Power Play goal against in their past three games. They also have struggled a bit in terms of goals against allowing 7 and 3 in their last two games versus mediocre offenses.

It looks as though Frederick Anderson will get the start in net tonight for Carolina. He’s been their go to guy all season and has played well with a +19.8 GSAx in 27 games played.

Pick:

  • CAROLINA HURRICANES (-160), (DraftKings 1/25 12:54 AM)
    • When looking at this matchup, the Hurricanes are just flat out the better team especially at home. Vegas is coming off a tough fought game, that they shouldn’t have won against Washington. The Golden Knights goaltender remains in question and regardless of who starts for them, Carolina has a significant advantage in net. The Golden Knights are also dealing with a lot of injuries at the moment while Carolina is relatively healthy. The Hurricanes have had several days off to rest and should get the win at home.

 

Other Picks For Today:

  • LEON DRAISAITL POWER PLAY POINTS OVER 0.5 POINTS (+100),      DraftKings 1/25 2:18 PM
    • Vancouver continues to struggle on the Penalty Kill. They rank 32rd in the NHL and have given up at least one Power Play goal against in their last 7 games. Edmonton’s Power Play runs through Draisaitl so as long as they score one, he should be involved in the play.
  • NASHVILLE PREDATORS 60 MINUTE LINE (-120), Draftkings 1/25 2:24 PM
    • While Seattle has played better at home, this should be a let down spot for the Kraken here. They’re coming off a massive upset against Florida on Sunday. After a few days off they take on a scrappy Nashville team that’s looked good in their last two games.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

January 25th NBA Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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DALLAS, TX - OCTOBER 22: Maximilian Kleber #42 of the Dallas Mavericks celebrates after scoring against the Chicago Bulls in the second half at American Airlines Center on October 22, 2018 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

In addition to this free play, I have 2 plays reserved for my premium members(1 NBA, 1 CBB). With another winner last night on the Louisville/Virginia UNDER, my premium plays are now hitting at a 58.3% clip and have netted my members +44.1u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*NBA(1u): Mavericks/Warriors UNDER 211.5(-110)–9:10 PM CT

Contrary to popular belief, the Warriors are not great offensively. They rank just 13th in offensive efficiency this season, and over their last 3 games, that efficiency rating drops to 24th. Dallas has had a top 5 defense in the NBA virtually all season and is playing the best defense in the league over their past 3 games by a fairly wide margin. That said, Golden State has ranked as the top defense in the league all season themselves and will face a Dallas offense that ranks just 22nd in offensive efficiency this season and only 26th over their past 3 games. In addition to having a below average offense, the Mavericks also run at the 2nd slowest pace in the league; Golden State runs at a pretty average tempo themselves. Without laying out those numbers, I’d expect a lot of public bettors to assume this to be a high scoring game given the historical reputation around these two organizations. The numbers say otherwise. I’ll play this one Under the total and endorse this down to 210.

January 25th Premium Plays(NBA and CBB)

By
Michael Fordham
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*NBA(1.5u): Timberwolves -3(-110) @ Trail Blazers–9:10 PM CT

Historically, the Timberwolves are a bottom-feeder in the NBA, but you can’t treat this team as such. Minnesota is 23-23 on the season and enters tonight having won 3 of their last 4 games(wins over Warriors, Knicks, and Nets). The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the NBA in offensive efficiency over their last 3 games and enter this game rested. Portland, on the other hand, just completed a cross-country, 6 game road trip that wrapped up in Toronto on Sunday night. I like to fade teams in their first home game off of a long road trip, and considering it’s the Blazers we’re talking about, I will use that angle once again here. Don’t let Portland’s 20-26 record fool you; this has been a disastrous season for all parties. Damian Lillard is out long term, and the Blazers will also be without 2 key front court pieces in Larry Nance Jr. and Cody Zeller tonight; Karl Anthony Towns should feast in this one. While Norman Powell does return tonight, he hasn’t played since January 7th, so I’d expect his impact to be minimal. I read almost nothing into Portland’s recent success; this is a bad spot for a bad team. I think Minnesota controls this game from start to finish. 

*CBB(1u): Cincinnati 1H -2(-110) @ Temple–6 PM CT

This will be Temple’s first game in 13 days after a pause in their schedule. While the Owls have won their last 3 games, that 2 week pause surely will kill any momentum they had created. Cincinnati is starting to play really well in conference play; they have won 4 out of their last 5, including a road win at Wichita State. Temple is likely to see the effects of their layoff come early in the game, mostly on the offensive end of the floor. Cincinnati ranks 43rd in defensive efficiency this season and shouldn’t be pushed too much by a slow-tempo Owls offense. This is a situational play for me in fading Temple early in this game off of a long break, but Cincinnati is also a team that’s trending upwards. 

Laying the Points NBA Pod – January 25, 2022

By
Chris R. Farley
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Luka Doncic, barreling through the Warriors defense.

 

What’s up party people! We’re here for our first NBA show of 2022, kicking off a new season of Laying the Points podcasts as we grow, grow, GROW!

Currently on a 42-22 NBA run the last month (66%), and we’re up to +57 units this season. Hit this link to get my premium plays every day in your inbox!

Rob Vinciletti: Tuesday NBA Totals System Play Spurs at Rockets

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Tuesday card has the NBA Western Conference Game Of The Month and a Top rated 6* NCAAB Blowout along with a powerful NHL System play. NBA Comp totals play below.

The NBA Comp play is on the Over 233 in the San Antonio at Houston game at 10:10 eastern. These two met 2 weeks ago and put up over 250. The Rockets are 5 of 5 over vs losing teams and 7 of 8 at home as well as 4 of 5 over off a 7+ day trip. The game also fits a nice 80% totals system that plays over for home teams with a 233 or higher total that are off a road loss and prior road dog win vs a team like the Spurs that are off a loss. Look for another higher scoring game here play on the over. On Tuesday we have another powerful card up and led by a 6* Top rated NCAAB Blowout, an NHL Power system play and the Western Conference Game Of the Month. See us at goldencontender@aol.com to Jump on now. For the NBA Comp play. Go with the Over in the San Antonio at Houston game. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

O/U 8-2-1

2010/04/02 Friday home Warriors Knicks 128 – 117 -3.5 236 11 8 9.0 8.0 1.0 W W O

2018/10/20 Saturday home Lakers Rockets 115 – 124 3.5 235 -9 -6 4.0 -1.0 5.0 L L O

2019/03/03 Sunday home Wizards Timberwolves 135 – 121 -1.0 241 14 13 15.0 14.0 1.0 W W O

2019/11/20 Wednesday home Wizards Spurs 138 – 132 2.0 239 6 8 31.0 20.0 12.0 W W O

2019/11/27 Wednesday home Suns Wizards 132 – 140 -7.0 242 -8 -15 30.5 8.0 23.0 L L O

2019/12/09 Monday home Suns Timberwolves 125 – 109 -4.0 234 16 12 0.5 6.0 -6.0 W W O

2020/01/31 Friday home Rockets Mavericks 128 – 121 -8.0 239 7 -1 10.5 5.0 6.0 W L O

2020/03/01 Sunday home Timberwolves Mavericks 91 – 111 7.5 243 -20 -13 -40.5 -27.0 -14.0 L L U

2020/03/07 Saturday home Grizzlies Hawks 118 – 101 -6.5 233 17 11 -14.0 -2.0 -12.0 W W U

2021/05/06 Thursday home Raptors Wizards 129 – 131 -1.0 237 -2 -3 23.0 10.0 13.0 L L O

 

2022/01/25 Tuesday home Rockets Spurs 3.5 233

Premiums, 1.25

By
Chris R. Farley
-

 

A + unit day in the NBA, even though we went 1-1. Onto Tuesday!

NBA Picks: 
  • Hornets +3 *
    • Charlotte has been a really good underdog this year and I’m not totally sold that the Raptors, even at home, can slow them down enough to cover this number. Gotta take the Hornets for 1 unit.
  • Jokic over 26 pts *
    • Jokic had his way with the Pistons 2 days ago and Detroit just doesn’t have the personnel to stop him.
  • Mavs/Warriors under 210.5 **
    • The Warriors are showing good signs of defensive adjustment without Draymond on the floor recently and the Mavs are a slow team that’s been playing much better defense lately. Give me the under!
  • Rockets +3 **
    • This is a Rockets team that’s shown great signs of improvement lately, in difficult spots on the road. They’re coming into this off 4 days of rest, at home, and the Spurs truly have no identity. I’ll take Houston with the points.
NHL Tip:
  • The Flyers just CANNOT win – they’ve now lost 12 in a row and they’re on the road against a good Islanders team tonight. May want to consider a bet on NYI.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Podcast 7 – 22 – NFL Divisional Weekend Recap – NFL Conference Weekend Play – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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We have another quick show for you today!   Kiev is sick with the you know what and he goes solo to recap a fantastic weekend of football and to give out a free NFL divisional weekend play!   Kiev talks about his symptoms and how it relates to other viruses that he has had over the years.   He talks about the NFL’s bad overtime rules, and gives out an idea to change it to something with less bias (yet maybe not a fan favorite).   Should you have any questions for us or would like us to break down a game, please feel free to tweet us @TheOddsBreakers

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 10% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  We are giving away a FREE THE ODDSBREAKERS T-shirt with all signups.   You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

NHL Preview & Picks – January 24th, 2022

By
Patrick Gates
-

No full write up today but I do have two plays. So lets get into them…

 

PICKS:

  • NEW YORK RANGERS (-150)
    • The New York Rangers will face off against the Los Angeles Kings tonight who are coming off a 3-2 win over the New Jersey Devils last night. On the season, the Kings haven’t been bad in back to back games with a 3-3 record. However, New York has been great at home all season, especially as of late. This is more of a spot bet for me, given the situation both teams are in. I don’t imagine this to be a high scoring affair as both teams do have great defensive units. That being said, New York has scored 6-6-7 in their last 3 games. This is also a revenge spot for New York as the Kings beat them 3-1 earlier this month.

 

  • VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS/ WASHINGTON CAPITALS OVER 6.0 (-120)
    • This should be a high scoring affair between these two teams. They have been able to find the back of the net quite frequently as of late. In addition to their ability to score, both teams haven’t been great defensively. Both teams have been going over in their previous few games and I see that continuing here.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

January 24th CBB Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
-

I’m rolling with 2 CBB plays to start the week; one of those is reserved for my premium members. With another winner on Saint Louis 1H yesterday, premium plays are now hitting at a 58.1% clip and have netted my members +43.1u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*CBB(1u): St John’s/Seton Hall OVER 151.5(-110)–8 PM CT

These teams matched up just 2 days ago in Madison Square Garden with Seton Hall squeaking by with a 6 point win. That game featured some extremely ugly offense; Seton Hall shot just 34% from the floor and turned the ball over 17 times, while the Johnnies shot just 29% from the floor. However, that output doesn’t begin to describe how each of these teams operate. Seton Hall ranks 42nd in offensive efficiency and hovers around the Top 50 in pace; the Pirates only average 11 turnovers/game. St John’s doesn’t have the prettiest offensive efficiency rating, but what keeps their offense so lethal is their maniacally fast pace(5th in the country in pace). This formula has led to St John’s scoring 80 PPG this season, including 74 against Indiana, 75 against Kansas, and 78 against UCONN. Seton Hall plays very solid defense, but I still think they are vulnerable to a poor performance tonight given their opponent’s tempo. St John’s falls outside the Top 100 in defense efficiency and can’t be trusted to get stops on the road against a really good opponent. However, I do think the Johnnies hang around in this game; the way they do that is turning this into a track meet. The performance we saw from these teams on Saturday is an outlier; I like this one to soar Over the total.

January 24th CBB Premium Play

By
Michael Fordham
-
Iowa forward Keegan Murray (15) is defended by Virginia forward Kadin Shedrick (21) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Charlottesville, Va., Monday, Nov. 29, 2021. (AP Photo/Andrew Shurtleff)

*CBB(1u): Louisville/Virginia UNDER 125(-110)–6 PM CT

Out of 358 CBB teams, Virginia ranks 358th in pace. When pairing that slow of tempo with an offense that ranks just 95th in offensive efficiency, you’re going to get some low scoring outputs; this Cavaliers team is averaging just 61 PPG in conference play. However, Louisville is even worse offensively, ranking 178th in offensive efficiency. While the Cardinals don’t move at a snails pace like Virginia, they are still outside of the Top 100 in pace and don’t go fast enough to counteract Virginia’s approach to this game. Virginia is well-coached and should bring defensive intensity in this home primetime spot. This total opened up at 121.5 before being steamed up by the public a full 3.5 points. There is no reason to bet this Over; it is going to be a low-possession game with a lot of ugly offense. This is a “first to 60 wins” type of game where the Under is the clear play.

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