Home Blog Page 400

Rob Vinciletti: Monday NHL Power Play with Analysis

Big Monday card has the NBA Eastern Conference Game Of the Month, a 5* NHL Totals Play and the BIG 12 Play Of The Month on ESPN. NHL Comp Play below.

The NHL Comp Play is on Colorado -1.5 goals at 9:05 eastern. The Avalanche are the hottest team in the league this month and have won 9 of the last 10. The Avalanche are ranked number one in offense and are 11-1 on Mondays. They have won 43 of 52 here at home and are 40-12 off a win. Chicago has lost their last three and are a lousy 29th in scoring and have lost 23 of 32 on Mondays as well 1-5 vs Colorado. Look for Colorado to get the multiple goal win. On Monday a Powerful card is up and backed with the BIG 12 Game Of the Month on ESPN, A Powerful 5* NHL Total and the Top Rated NBA Eastern Conference Play Of The Month. See us at goldencontender@aol.com to Jump on now and start the week fast. For the Comp Play. Go with Colorado -1.5 goals. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

NBA Free Pick: Pacers at Pelicans – January 24, 2022

Jonas Valancuinas

 

Hi All! New week, new opportunities (right, Trae?)! Here’s a free pick to start your week!

Currently on a 41-21 NBA run the last month (66%), and we’re up to +56 units this season. Hit this link to get my premium plays every day in your inbox!

Pelicans -2.5 (-110), 2 units: The Pelicans are not a good basketball team, right? Right… I mean, I think that’s right. But sometimes they can be surprisingly good. Like their opponent tonight- the volatile Indiana Pacers- New Orleans can catch NBA teams by surprise, particularly on offense. Brandon Ingram and Jonas Valanciunas are two of the most underrated players in the association. Josh Hart is a very capable forward, and Devante Graham can be explosive from the point guard position. Even without Zion, the Pelicans’ starting 5 is nothing to underestimate. Where the Pels really lack in quality is their depth. New Orleans has plenty of young, developmental talent- they’re just not quite, there yet. The Pelicans rank in the bottom 7 teams in bench scoring from game to game, heavily reliant upon their starters to remain competitive. When they do get contributions from their bench, they’re a better basketball team than pundits think. They also lead the NBA in defensive rebounding rate and they’re 3rd overall in rebounding ratio, a less-celebrated stat that can result in dominant performances. They have a significant advantage at the rim tonight against a team that’s limping into this contest.

Insert the Indiana Pacers. If a team could be diagnosed with “split personality disorder,” I’m thinking the Pacers would earn that stigma. Indiana is as unpredictable as it gets, full of scoring talent and solid enough depth to go toe-to-toe with the best squads in the NBA. Yet, unsurprisingly at this point, they’re 17-30 on the season and solidly in 4th place in the East Central Division. Rumors of a complete overhaul have been circulating for weeks (never good for team chemistry or confidence), with many predicting that the Pacers will look very different after the trade deadline. And even if all of that wasn’t true heading into tonight’s matchup, the Pacers are very banged up right now. Their primary scorers: Domantas Sabonis, Myles Turner, and Malcom Brogdon, are all expected to be out tonight. Caris LaVert is also a game-time-decision. They’re also a horrid 5-18 on the road, YIKES!

Brandon Ingram is out tonight for the Pelicans, which isn’t ideal, but look for player props on Jonas Valanciunas- he’ll have an irregular load to carry in Ingram’s absence. Regardless, the spot is too good for the Pelicans to let down and in ideal situations, they usually don’t disappoint. The Pels have won their last 3 games at home and they’re 4-1 ATS as a home favorite- I’m on New Orleans to cover for 2 units.

Premiums, 1.24

 

Hi All! Weird day in the NBA but whatever – how about them NFL playoffs!? I wish we did better in our bets but it’s hard to hate on such an entertaining weekend. At least our 3 star pick hit! Onto a new week and more wins!

NBA Picks:
  • Cavs -7 *
    • This is a big line, right around my number, but I love the spot for Cleveland. NYK is off a back-to-back, they’re banged up, and last time these two teams met the Cavs dominated on the boards and won by margin. I don’t see much changing here tonight.
  • Pelicans -2.5 *
    • All the Pacers’ best scorers are out for this game and the Pelicans have won their last 3 home games against good competition. New Orleans isn’t as bad as their record suggests – all Pelicans for me.
  • Tip: Look for Valanciunas points or points/rebounds props over – he’ll need to be featured with B. Ingram on the sidelines tonight
NFL Lookaheads:
  • Bengals +7 – I lean the Bengals side right now and there’s a chance this line falls– if you really like Cincinnati, you might want to take it now.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

January 23rd NBA Free Play

Nets' stars Kyrie Irving and James Harden walking together.

In addition to this free play, I also have a CBB play reserved for my premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 57.9% clip and have netted my members +42.1u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*NBA(1u): Nets 1H +1.5(-110) @ Timberwolves–7 PM CT

Minnesota enters this game off of 3 days rest; while some might think that is an advantage, oftentimes teams play worse in that first game off of extended rest. Once you get into the swing of the season, having a break in your schedule can have a tendency to throw off your rhythm, particularly on the offensive end of the floor. I’m not as sold on this team as most. In particular, this T-Wolves offense ranks just 22nd in offensive efficiency. Brooklyn seems to be turning a corner after losing Kevin Durant to a knee injury, with Kyrie Irving and James Harden seemingly gelling together nicely over the past few games. Brooklyn comes into this game off of 2 straight road wins and hasn’t played a back-to-back in over 10 days. I think the Timberwolves struggle to get things going offensively early in this game and that Brooklyn continues to improve with Kyrie and James Harden now leading the way. I’ll take the point-and-a-half in the 1st Half as insurance, although I think Brooklyn heads into Halftime with the lead.

January 23rd CBB Premium Play

*CBB(1u): Saint Louis 1H -5(-110) vs UMASS–1:30 PM CT

These teams played on Thursday night at UMASS, with UMASS winning that game in a 91-85 shootout. The Minutemen have to shoot lights-out from 3 to even be competitive against teams like Saint Louis, and luckily they were in that last game. Coming back and playing a highly motivated team that is looking to get back in the A10 race, however, I don’t think the Minutemen will have as good of fortunes today. Saint Louis is the much more complete team and don’t have to look too far back to see the blueprint on how to approach UMASS. Early on a Sunday, I think the home team comes out hot in this one and takes an 8+ point lead into the half.

Premiums, 1.23

 

Gotta write a quick email today – lmk if you have any questions!

NBA Picks:
  • Wizards +1 *
  • Raptors 1H -4.5 *
  • Nets/T-Wolves under 237 *
NFL Divisional Round Picks:
  • Bengals +3.5 **
  • 49ers/Packers 1Q over 7.5 *
  • 49ers +5.5 *
  • Bucs 1Q -0.5 **
  • Bucs -3 **
  • Bills/Chiefs over 54 ***
  • Bills ML *
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris 

Rob Vinciletti: Sunday Power System Play

Sunday card has a 6* NFL Divisional round Perfect System Play and a Platinum Supreme in the AFC Game. In Hoops we have the NBA Perfect System Game of The week and an NCAAB Platinum Supreme move. NCAAB Comp play below.

The NCAAB Comp Play for Sunday is on Wagner at 3:00 eastern. The Seahawks won and covered in overtime on Thursday and are now 6-0 to the spread when they win as a road favorite. They have a Live RPI number at 90 and take on a Merrimack team that is ranked 305 and has only beaten team 250 or worse. In fact when they have taken on teams of this caliber the games have been blowouts. Merrimack has failed to cover the last 3 as a home dog and has lost and failed to cover the last 2 in the series. Wagner is ranked 2nd in defense and first in rebounding. Look for Wagner to emerge with a win and cover. On Sunday we have two Top plays in the NFL. One is a Platinum Supreme AFC Move the Other a 6* in NFC Action. In hoops we have the NBA Game of the Week and a Platinum Supreme Top level NCAAB Platinum Supreme. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on now as we end the week big. For the NCAAB Comp play. Go with Wagner. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

NFL Divisional Round Free Play

Hope everyone has had a great week!  We are on the home stretch and boy are these match ups tight. I do not foresee the lopsided blowouts we saw last week.  Time for teams to tighten up, get sharp, and make a run.  Here is my free play this week. 

Current NFL record through week 19: 151-106 +43.81 Units

TB -2.5 (-117)

I will start with my week 3 notes for our podcast when these two teams met and Rams won 34-24 in LA.

“Is this quite possibly an NFC championship preview match up? This seems like the classic set up we have seen time and time again. Rams defense balls out gets the best of Brady in the first match up swarming him and making him look slow. Bringing up the question is Tom Brady done? And media has a field day for the week. Fast forward come playoff time Brady beats the Rams convincingly.   Lets put a pin on that for the weeks to come. But I think that is exactly the storyline here. Rams defense will swarm and out work Brady in this first match up. Stafford seems to have found a connection with Kupp making him a fantasy superstar in the process. I think the run game will be non-existent for either team especially the rams as Henderson is dealing with injury issues. Look for an exciting shootout that has a ton of points, where the home team edges out Brady for the headline narratives to come Monday. Rams +1 ML and Over”

Well the time has come and it is not quite the NFC championship, but the road to it starts here.  This is what we have seen time and time again.  Brady gets beat in a match up during the regular season, then shows up and takes care of business post season when it matters.  We have Brady with 35 playoff wins against Stafford with 1. Let’s not over think this.  The goat is the goat, and yes the Rams have an awesome defense… but don’t think for a second Brady doesn’t know how to scheme to pick it apart.  Truth of the matter is this is the big time, the pressure is on, and I can not trust Stafford to get it done.  Put your money on the best QB to ever do it, especially under a key number of 3.  TB 12 All day. TB -2.5.

 

January 22nd CBB Free Play

In addition to this free play, I have 4 CBB plays reserved for my premium members. Premium plays are hitting at a 58% clip and have netted my members +42u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*CBB(1u): Kansas -6(-110) @ Kansas State–3 PM CT

Kansas State started conference play with 4 straight losses, with 3 of those losses coming by 3 points or less. However, the Wildcats are riding high off of 2 straight quality wins against Texas Tech and @ Texas. With that being said, this is an even bigger step up in competition for the ‘Cats facing a Kansas team that has been dominant on both ends of the floor. While Kansas State can get stops, they rank just 117th in offensive efficiency. In comparison, Kansas ranks 3rd in offensive efficiency. I know this is a rivalry game on the road, but I think Kansas ends up pulling away from K-State with a double-digit win.