The fact that the LAC/ORL under didn’t hit was complete BS, but that’s how this week in NBA betting has gone. Stay cautious, onto Thursday.
NBA Picks
Lean, Lakers ML
As much as I can’t stand the Lakers this year, they’re feeling themselves and LeBron is having an amazing season. Philly loves to blow good spots like this at home (6-9 ATS). I have to lean LAL.
Warriors -6.5 **
The Warriors have been electric at home (22-4, 16-8-2 ATS) and this is a revenge spot after getting beat by Minnesota 2 weeks ago in a game where GS had no Curry or Klay. All Warriors for me.
Timberwolves/Warriors under 227.5 *
Knowing the way these NBA totals have moved, this could rise. GS played a little faster than usual in their last game, especially in the 2nd QTR, so buyer beware here and it’s only 1 unit. Still, the GS defense is too good and they’ll want to slow this game down to keep MIN out of rhythm.
NFL Conference Picks: (new picks in blue)
Bengals +7 **
How many times does Burrow have to prove that he’s elite? In case you missed my Tweet, if there’s a rematch between two teams in the conference championship round, the team that won in the regular season has gone 9-2 since 2014. The Bengals beat KC in Week 17 – and I think they could do it again. I’ll be sprinkling on the ML, too – Burrow is special.
Bengals over 23.5 points **
Bengals/Chiefs over 54.5 **
Do I really need an explanation here?
49ers/Rams 1Q under 9.5 **
49ers +3.5 *
Cautious because the Rams NEED TO beat SF one of these days, and I think they do, but how can this not be a FG game between two divisional rivals?
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
Joe Burrow survived nine sacks and as time was running out, completed a key pass, enabling the Bengals to win with no time left. Patrick Mahomes one-upped him, escaping pressure numerous times and then completing two passes in nine seconds to enable KC to kick a game-tying field goal before winning the coin toss and beating Buffalo in overtime. On January 2nd, these teams played an epic game of their own. Saying no to conservatism, Zac Taylor and Cincy went for the win late when hosting KC, and after two penalty calls, got the late TD to win 34-31. This rematch is in KC.
Cincy analysis: It’s well documented that Cincy’s OL is the worst in the NFL at pass protection. They allowed 55 sacks in the regular season and another 11 in the postseason. KC, however is a below average sacking team, with less than two per game. What happened in the week 17 meeting? KC had a 4-0 sack edge. Burrow was the NFL’s most accurate QB. He was 30-39 vs KC, for 446 yards and a 4-0 TD to interception ratio. Joe Mixon ran 12-46, and caught seven passes. He has 31 playoff carries, but just for a 3.3 per carry average. WR Chase was 11-266 vs. KC and has gone 14-225 in the playoffs. After battling some injuries, Tee Higgins has regained his form, and is 8-106 in the playoffs. WR Boyd has been relegated to complimentary status but a typical stat line for him is 4-40. Emerging TE Uzomah has excelled in the playoffs, going 13-135. It’s these five players that consume most of the targets from Burrow. Cincy has modest defensive sack totals, and clearly won’t have an easy time getting to Mahomes. Of concern is their 41-243 playoff run defense, which was better during the regular season. KC ran well at 23-155 vs. Cincy, with Mahomes just 2-25. Cincy did a nice job stopping Carr (Vegas) and Tannehill (Tennessee) but this was not a good pass D during the season, and facing Mahomes (26-35, 259, 2-0 ratio in 1st meeting) won’t be easy. All four playoff kickers are near elite. Cincy’s rookie kicker is full of confidence.
KC analysis: KC’s only loss since the end of week eight was to Cincy. Like in 2021, many of their outcomes have been close, but this year has a different feel to it with Mahomes fully healthy and the offense making numerous adjustments in style. As I frequently documented, KC started an all-new OL game one. In their final ten regular season games they allowed just 14 sacks. That had more than modest correlation to their change in turnovers, which at one point in 2021 was -11. KC finished with a turnover ratio of +4. To beat KC, you have to outscore them. Buffalo has a much tougher pass D and also a tougher run D. Like it or not, Covid has affected NFL performances. Kelce missed 12/26 due to covid protocols. He returned to go just 5-25 vs. Cincy, and just 4-34 the following week at Denver. He served notice last week that he was back to 100%, and that’s not good news for the Bengals. Both Kelce and Hill are back at peak form, and as said above, KC has a shot at better run-pass balance vs. Cincy’s defense. Jerick McKinnon has added a new dimension to KC’s offense, and RB Helaire returned and was effective in limited action. WR’s Pringle, Hardman and perhaps Demarcus Robinson add depth. No team can cover all of these guys. KC’s defense is not as good as in recent years. The pass D% was higher than usual and has allowed 69.1% in two playoff games. The run D has often been below average and was especially vulnerable this year. In two playoff games they have improved to 44-165. If they hold Cincy down like they did on January 2nd (19-60), it could force Burrow to make at least one poor decision. Then again, Burrow hasn’t made many poor decisions of late. Hill and Pringle are potential game busters in the return game.
Some matchup analysis and game keys: I feel Cincy’s game plan needs to feature Joe Mixon more in this rematch. 12 carries will not be enough, as you have to keep Mahomes off the field. Their goal has to be 20-90. WR Chase gets the glory, but don’t sleep on Higgins. The job defensively is much tougher. Cincy likely has a ceiling of two defensive sacks, so do they spy on Mahomes and give him time in the pocket, or double the top two targets, giving Pringle and McKinnon free space? KC has guys who are capable of getting another four sacks on Burrow, with my (usual) concern being their undisciplined play, going offsides often, and roughing the QB. They do get a referee crew who doesn’t tend to call many penalties. My keys: Can Mixon run in excess of 90+ yards? Can Burrow remain turnover-free? Will KC’s defense be vulnerable enough to swing time of possession in Cincy’s favor? Will KC’s home field advantage and Cincy’s lack of playoff experience come into play, or, is it just that Cincy is riding the wave right now, blissfully unaware of what they are accomplishing?
Tuesday afternoon thoughts: No pick at this time, but I lean KC’s team total OVER, and perhaps the game over as well. Maybe the big stage catches up to Cincy, but the backdoor (cover) is always open thanks to Joe Burrow, coupled with KC’s mediocre defense. I’m assuming DB Mathieu plays. If he doesn’t, that’s one highly instinctive player missing from the back end. Ultimately, the game and the spread may be decided by Joe Mixon overachieving vs. KC’s below par run defense.
Visit me on twitter @ronacesports where I provide thoughts about all things football, including day of game quick previews and post-game recaps.
On this week of Expected Bets For we have special guest Tom, aka @KuziSportz on Twitter to help breakdown Thursday January 27th’s NHL slate.
It’s an incredible episode that allows the listener more insight into the NHL market and specifically what to look at when interpreting NHL opening lines.
In addition to breaking down games we talk about:
NHL News/ Notes
NHL All Star Game
Olympics
Hot/ Cold Teams
Jack Adams Award (Coach of the Year) Future Picks
Trade Market
Betting Strategies
Understanding NHL Line Movement
You can follow Tom on Twitter @KuziSportz and on his website kuzisportz.com.
Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
We’re back with an NFL conference championship breakdown, let’s go!
Currently on a 43-25 NBA run the last month (64%), and we’re up to +52 units this season. Hit this link to get my premium plays every day in your inbox!
Tuesday was just one of those nights – would have bet the same exact way if I did it again. On another note, today’s slate makes me wanna throw up. It’s the reason why this email took me so long. I considered not giving out any plays – Wednesday is filled with weird lines, injuries, and back-to-backs. Be extra cautious with your unit allocation. Seriously.
NBA Picks:
Clippers/Magic under 210.5 *
Another gross pic with 2 gross teams but at least LAC plays solid defense. I’ll go with another under in an uninspiring game.
Nets win * (EVEN)
Brooklyn responds after a bad look against LAL.
Mavericks -4.5 **
Tough spot for Dallas but it’s a tough spot for Portland, too. I trust Doncic and company to respond after a bad loss.
NFL Conference Picks:
Bengals +7 **
How many times does Burrow have to prove that he’s elite? In case you missed my Tweet, if there’s a rematch between two teams in the conference championship round, the team that won in the regular season has gone 9-2 since 2014. The Bengals beat KC in Week 17 – and I think they could do it again. I’ll be sprinkling on the ML, too – Burrow is special.
Bengals/Chiefs over 54.5 **
Do I really need an explanation here?
49ers +3.5 *
Cautious because the Rams NEED TO beat SF one of these days, and I think they do, but how can this not be a FG game between two divisional rivals?
In addition to these 2 free plays, I also have 4 premium plays for tonight. While I will look to get my free play success back on track tonight, premium plays have been rock solid. Overall, those have hit at a 58.3% clip and netted my members +43.45u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9
*CBB(1u): Northwestern/Michigan OVER 138.5(-110)–5:30 PM CT
After a poor start to the season, Michigan has really turned a corner over the past week. They blew out Maryland at home before blowing out Indiana at Assembly Hall. The Wolverines hung 80 on a really good Indiana defense in that game, so coming back home and facing a Northwestern defense that is allowing 77.6 PPG in conference play shouldn’t be much of a challenge. With that said, Northwestern has been more competitive in the BigTen than their record would show. The Wildcats are led by a top 50 offense that is averaging 76.5 PPG this season. As good as Michigan has looked offensively, they haven’t been too challenged lately facing Maryland and Indiana’s offense; Northwestern is a step up on that end of the floor. Anything below 140 presents a good opportunity to play this Over.
*CBB(1u): St. Louis 1H -9.5(-105) vs George Washington–7 PM CT
George Washington is an atrocious basketball team, coming into tonight’s game ranked 266th overall in KenPom. To make matters worse, this is their third straight road game. I usually like to look against teams playing their second straight road game, so when it’s a team’s 3rd it seems nearly automatic for me. I’ve been involved in Saint Louis twice over the past week and think this team is bound to make a late season run in the Atlantic 10. The Billikens picked up a 31 point win over UMASS on Sunday and are starting to round into form on both ends of the floor. Early in this game, I know I’m going to be getting a full throttle effort from Saint Louis, so I’ll play on them to take a double digit lead into Halftime.
Ole Miss picked up a surprising blowout win against Florida on Monday, but I’m not expecting them to follow it up with a good performance tonight. The Rebels are a total hit-or-miss team; for example, they played Auburn very close a few weeks ago only to lose to Missouri by 25 the next game out. Arkansas is a team that finds itself squarely on the bubble, but the Razorbacks have responded well to that. After starting conference play 0-3, Arkansas has rattled off 4 straight wins, including a road win @ LSU. This line insinuates Ole Miss will put up back-to-back good efforts, which is something I will never buy in to.
*CBB(1u): SMU/South Florida UNDER 134(-110)–6 PM CT
South Florida is about as clear of an “Under” style team as you’ll find in this sport. The Bulls come in at a horrid 323rd in offensive efficiency and pair that with one of the slowest tempos in the country. However, South Florida is able to stay competitive because they sport the 63rd ranked defense and limit opponent’s possessions. SMU beat South Florida 77-63 earlier in the season, but the Mustangs also shot 51% from the floor in that game; I wouldn’t count on that happening tonight. While SMU’s offense is pretty good, they don’t push the floor enough to make me think they’ll counteract the snail’s pace tempo that USF likes to go at. I like this Under and think South Florida will dictate how this game is played.
*CBB(1u): Miami/Virginia Tech OVER 135.5–6 PM CT
Virginia Tech has the ability to be a really good offense because they shoot nearly 39% from 3-point range, but the Hokies limit themselves by going at such a slow tempo. However, coming off of 2 straight losses and currently sitting at 10-9, I wonder if Mike Young will start to take the training wheels off and start letting his boys run. Miami certainly likes to get at it on the offensive end of the floor and are very efficient in doing so(#21 in offensive efficiency). Miami’s defense, however, ranks just 152nd in defensive efficiency and shouldn’t present much of a threat to this Virginia Tech attack. I like this play even if Virginia Tech doesn’t push the pace, but I have a sneaky feeling this one becomes a track meet.
*CBB(1u): Oklahoma +2(-110) @ West Virginia–7 PM CT
Oklahoma might be 12-7 and 2-5 in conference play, but this is a team I’m looking to buy low on. The Sooners have endured an absolutely brutal schedule, playing Baylor twice, Kansas, and Texas in their past 5 games. With Auburn on the horizon on Saturday, this feels like a must-win game for Porter Mozier’s bunch. However, I think is a much easier machup for Oklahoma than you might think. Unlike OU, West Virginia has been uncompetitive against the upper echelon in the Big 12 and have only beat Kansas State(before they got hot) and Oklahoma State in conference play. The Mountaineers barely crack the Top 100 in offensive efficiency, and most of the conference has seemed to figure out their usually-solid defense. KenPom actually has Oklahoma rated 13 spots higher than this West Virginia team, and I’d tend to agree. I like OU to pick up a massive road conference win tonight, but I’ll take the 2 points as insurance.
As with most Wednesday’s in the NHL we have a smaller slate than normal. That being said, we do have some great matchups tonight.
I breakdown the marquee matchup between the Boston Bruins and Colorado Avalanche and offer some more picks for the night.
Boston Bruins @ Colorado Avalanche
Time: 10:00 PM ET
TV Coverage: TNT
Boston Bruins: 24-13-2, 4th Atlantic (10-5-1 Away)
Colorado Avalanche: 29-8-3, 1st Central (18-2-1 Home)
Team
Opening ML
Current ML
Spread
Total
Boston Bruins
+140
+155
+1.5 (-145)
o6.0 (-120)
Colorado Avalanche
-175
-180
-1.5 (+125)
u6.0 (+100)
Trends:
Boston are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games.
Colorado are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado’s last 6 games.
Preview:
Boston Bruins
The Bruins start a three game road trip tonight when they take on the red hot Colorado Avalanche. Boston is coming off a 5-3 loss to Anaheim on Monday where Tukka Rask struggled. Since the start of January the Bruins have been much better with a 7-3 record in their last 10. If Boston wants to continue to climb the Atlantic division standings they’ll need to stay hot as it looks like it will be a battle between them and Toronto for 3rd place.
Boston ranks 12th in terms of Goals For Per Game with 3.10. Their last three games have been on par with that number scoring 3-3-4. The Bruins have the highest xGoals % in the NHL and generate a ton of chances. This definitely influences their Goals For Above Expected which is a -4.99. As I previously stated, in the beginning of the year the Bruins weren’t great offensively but, as of late have gotten it going. They lacked depth scoring and now with their new line combinations, score at a much higher rate. Boston also has a great Power Play ranking 7th converting at a rate of 25.2%.
In terms of player props for Boston, I would look to target David Pastrnak. He’s currently on a six game point streak recording 7 goals and 3 assists during that stretch.
Defensively, Boston is averaging 2.72 Goals Against Per Game overall and 2.38 Goals Against on the road. The Bruins have a great defensive core which makes them a very dangerous team if their offense is able to contribute as they have recently. They give up the 4th fewest Shots on Goal Against and the 2nd fewest High Danger Shots Against. Despite all these great stats, the Bruins have the 4th worst Goals Against Above Expected with a +10.09. This number isn’t all on the defense as goaltending has been a major area of concern for them.
Matt Grzelcyk is currently day to day with an undisclosed injury so we’re unsure if he’ll be able to go tonight. If he is unable to, it will be a significant loss for the Bruins defensive core.
It looks as though Linus Ullmark will get the start in net for the Bruins. He has a -1.9 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) in his 20 games played this season. In his last three starts, he has allowed 3-2-3 goals against. Two of those three games were against pretty solid offenses, Carolina and Washington, but he’ll certainly have his work cut out for him tonight as he faces Colorado.
Colorado Avalanche
The hottest team in the NHL will look to extend their seven game win streak tonight against a worthy opponent. While the 7 game win streak is impressive, what’s even more outstanding is that since the start of January, Colorado has only lost one game which was an overtime loss to Nashville. During January, the Avalanche are 12-1, outscoring their opponents 52-27.
In terms of offense Colorado averages 4.10 Goals For Per Game and has an even better average at home of 4.38. Despite Colorado’s great goals for average they have actually been trending under that number only scoring 2-3-4-2-4 in their last five games. The defenses they faced weren’t nearly as good as Boston’s is so it should be interesting to see how they fair against them tonight. The Avalanche rank 10th in Power Play % with a rate of 24.5% but, have a conversion rate of 66.7% in their last three games. Colorado has the 2nd best Goals For Above Expected with a +17.98, only behind Minnesota.
If you’re looking for player props to target, lets start with Mikko Rantanen. In his last seven games he has 6 goals and 9 assists. Nathan MacKinnon has also been good recently with 3 goals and 5 assists in his last six games. Cale Makar, despite being a defenseman, is also a guy to target. He’s an assist machine tallying 9 in his last 10 games.
Defensively, Colorado is allowing an average of 2.95 Goals Against Per Game. At home, they are even better only allowing an average of 2.52. The Avalanche have a +2.06 Goals Against Above Expected which is middle of the league. In Colorado’s last four games, they have only allowed three goals combined which has honestly made the difference as their offense has “struggled” a bit. One are of concern for them tonight should be their Penalty Kill which ranks 27th. Boston’s Power Play has been great as of late and could be the difference maker if Colorado gets into penalty trouble. The Av’s are also one of the least disciplined teams in the NHL so definitely something to keep an eye on.
Pavel Francouz is expected to get the start in net for Colorado tonight. Francouz has a +3.4 GSAx on the season in his seven games played. He’s recorded a shut out in his last two starts and looks to be in great form.
Pick:
COLORADO AVALANCHE/ BOSTON BRUINS OVER 6.0 (-120)
I can see this total moving to 6.5 closer to game time so I want to lock it in at 6.0. The Bruins offense has really gotten going lately and I think that combined with Colorado’s pace of play this game should go over. While Colorado does like to push the pace and control the puck in the offensive zone, it can allow for sloppy turn overs which the Bruins should be able to capitalize on.
Other Picks For Today:
CALGARY FLAMES/ COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS 1P OVER 1.5 (-140)
On the road the Flames are averaging 1.30 Goals For and 0.57 Goals Against in the first period. At home Columbus is averaging 1.00 Goals For and 0.95 Goals Against in the first period. More specifically, in Calgary’s last 10 games they’re averaging 1.20 Goals For and 1.00 Goals Against in the 1P. In Columbus’ last 10, they’re averaging 1.10 Goals For and 1.40 Goals Against in the 1P. Calgary has scored at least 2 goals in the first period in their last three games. The 1P Over has hit in Columbus’ last three of four games.
Most of the player props are not out yet so be sure to follow me on Twitter for any late adds to the card.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
Apologies for the late article to everyone but, here it is. We stay in California for the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament actually starts on Wednesday (tomorrow) instead of Thursday to avoid scheduling conflicts with the NFL.
The Farmers Insurance Open will take place at Torrey Pines and features a multicourse set up just like last week. The field for this week is extremely loaded with some of the worlds top golfers competing against each other.
I breakdown the tournament format, field, and my picks below so lets get into it.
General Tournament Information:
Dates: January 26th, 2022- January 29th, 2022
Location: La Jolla, California, United States
Course: Torrey Pines (North & South Courses)
Format: 72 hole stroke play
Thursday/ Friday: North Course & South Course
Saturday & Sunday: South Course
Field/ Cut: 156 Pros | Top 65 and Ties
Purse: $8,400,000 / Winner $1.512 Million
FedEx Cup Points: 500
Torrey Pines South Course (3 Rounds)
Course Architect: William Bell (1957)
Course Redesign: Rees Jones (2019)
Comparable Courses: Muirfield Village, Riviera, Augusta National
For the first time ever the Farmers Insurance Open will take place Wednesday to Saturday. This change was made to avoid competing with the NFL Conference Championship games that will take place on Sunday.
The Farmers Insurance Open originated as the San Diego Open back in 1952. That name would last until 1958 when it was changed to the Shearson Lehman Brothers Andy Williams Open. In 1992 Buick took over the sponsorship of the tournament and the name was changed to the Buick Invitational until 2009. In 2010 the name was switched to the Farmers Insurance Open and has remained that since then.
During the first few years of the event, the tournament bounced around different courses. However, in 1968 the tournament moved to Torrey Pines where it is currently played.
Course Guides/ Scorecard:
For the second week in a row we have an event that utilizes multiple courses. On Wednesday and Thursday all players will complete one round on the North and South course. Any one who has made the cut after that will then play the final two rounds on the South course.
Lets start with the North course since only one round will be played there this week. It’s by far the easier course for the weekend playing roughly 500 yards shorter in terms of distance. There’s also no water hazards on the course and has almost half as many bunkers as the South Course. The North Course also features pure bentgrass greens which is different from the South course that has Poa Annua greens. The North course provides some more opportunities for birdies which players will need to capitalize on in order to compete this week.
The South Course at Torrey Pines is the longest course on the PGA Tour. Due to its length and complex green designs, it plays as one of the toughest courses. The redesign in 2019 only added to the difficulty of the course with additional bunkers being added. As previously mentioned, the South course features Poa Annua greens which are notoriously difficult to score on.
The Field/ Odds:
The Farmers Insurance Open has one of the strongest fields outside any major tournament. Six of the Top 10 Players in the World, are competing in this event.
Jon Rahm headlines the event and is the current favorite sitting at 7-1 (+700). Rahm won this event back in 2017 and the 2021 U.S. Open which was held here at Torrey Pines.
Behind Rahm sits Justin Thomas at 14-1 (+1400), who’s coming off a T5 finish at the Sentry ToC earlier this month. He hasn’t played in this tournament since 2015 where he missed the cut.
Dustin Johnson at 25-1 (+2500) will make his 2022 Season debut. He struggled in 2021 failing to win any event with his best finish coming late in the season at the BMW Championship. The last time he played in this tournament was back in 2017 where he missed the cut.
Other “horses for the course” this week will most likely be Tony Finau (25-1), Patrick Reed (50-1), Ryan Palmer (66-1), and Marc Leishman (33-1).
Notable Withdraws Include: Charley Hoffman, Lucas Herbert, K.H. Lee, Nate Lashley, Ryan Moore, Kelly Kraft, Chris Stroud
Since 2015, Tony Finau has competed in the Farmers Insurance Open every year and has finished inside the Top 20 every time but once. The lone finish outside the Top 20 was actually when he made his tournament debut in 2015 where he finished 24th.
Last week Tony struggled a bit the first two rounds at the American Express before finding his groove a bit on Saturday and Sunday. He would end up finishing T40 for the Tournament shooting 67-69 in those final two rounds. Prior to last week he competed in the Sentry Tournament of Champions where he finished T19.
While Tony Finau is what we would consider to be a “bomber” by any means ranking 95th in Driving Distance, he does rank 24th in Strokes Gained Off The Tee. In addition to that he ranks 39th in Strokes Gained Approach. Both of these categories are crucial this week in order to do well and combine that with his tournament history, he should snag another Top 20 finish.
Total Risk on Top 20: 1.00 Units
Picks (Top 40):
Luke List (+100) – DraftKings
Risk: 1.00 to win 1.00 Units
Luke List sets up very nicely for Torrey Pines. He’s one of the longest hitters on Tour ranking 5th in Driving Distance which should give him a slight leg up on the field. He’s 5th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, 16th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green, and 33rd in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green. List has finished inside the Top 40 every year at this tournament since 2018 with his best finish coming last year when he finished 10th.
He’s in great form as of late finishing T22-T10-T11 in his last three events. The one concern for List will be his putting which he struggles with a bit. He’s currently 208th in terms of Strokes Gained: Putting. One encouraging sign is that he did actually gain strokes putting in his final round of last week. Hopefully he can continue that into this week, and if he does, he definitely has a shot to be in the mix on Sunday.
Francesco Molinari (+120) – DraftKings
Risk: 1.00 to win 1.20 Units
Francesco Molinari is coming off a T6 finish at the American Express last week. Last year at the Farmers Insurance Open he finished 10th and T13 at the 2021 U.S. Open that Torrey Pines hosted. While he isn’t long off the tee’s he is very accurate which is big for this week as the rough can be extremely penalizing. While Molinari hasn’t been a great putter historically he did gain strokes putting last week. He seems to play well at this course despite not being the ideal fit so let’s hope that trend continues this week.
Total Risk on Top 40: 2.00 Units
Total Risk on the Farmers Insurance Open : 3.93 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
Minnesota Timberwolves center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) dunks during the first half of a NBA basketball game against the Oklahoma City Thunder Sunday, April 7, 2019, in Minneapolis. Towns finished with a game-high 53 points as Oklahoma won 132-126. (AP Photo/Paul Battaglia)
525 Timberwolves 1H -1.5* at 526 Trailblazers
Minnesota has continued to be one of the best 1st half teams on a streak (9-1 1H ATS L10, 8-2 L10 on the road) I’ve been riding for some time. Tough to go against the Blazers at home, especially given they’ve been playing so well of late. So, it is just another small play for me. That being said, the T’Wolves need the conference wins to stay afloat in the West and seem determined to get there this year. One and a half points should not be a tall order for a Minnesota team coming into Portland with the Blazers off a long road trip looking to integrate G Norman Powell back into the mix. Give me the Timberwolves 1st half!
Check more of my plays out at my Patreon as I am up just shy of +40 units since November! All of my plays are public day after games.
