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College Basketball Tuesday 2-pack – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Wisconsin vs Northwestern +2.5 O/U 140

This is gonna to be a good game to watch between two teams fighting for position in the Big 10.   Wisconsin is that team that has surprised everyone this year with more of an offensive focus rather than a slow methodical game.   Part of that reason is that they have the height to rebound some of their misses, and of course, they have the 7th ranked player in the nation in Johnny Davis who averages over 21 points per game.   Northwestern on the other hand is a better team than they were last year, and that huge win vs Michigan State really proves it, but now they are in a bit of a grand salami sandwich spot here between State and Purdue.   Northwestern has looked good partly because of their schedule strength ranking 106th in the nation and 354th in non-conference.   Wisconsin’s schedule ranks 5th in the nation and 87th in the non-conference.   Both teams are great at not turning the ball over, but Northwestern has not been a good home team only ranking 335th on Haslametrics at home, and 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.  Wisconsin is 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite and 6-0 their last six.   The Badgers are 5-0-1 in their last six games vs the Wildcats.  Lastly, Northwestern’s best player in Pete Nance is a game-time decision and he is trending more as an OUT with an ankle sprain that hindered him out last game.   I have to go with Bucky here as the short favorite.

Wisconsin -2.5 – 2 stars

Bonus Play:   Bellarmine -7.5 – 1.5 stars.   Their stats are skewed some due to the fact that they were missing Ethan Claycomb for about 6 games.   North Alabama is terrible and are in the bottom 340 in offensive efficiency.  They also rank top 65 in pace.  This means that they play fast meaning that they lose even faster.  

Premiums, 1.18

By
Chris R. Farley
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Hi Good People!

Another winning day in the NBA (3-1) for +3.9 units, and the Rams hit for us. I’ll be on the road after today for the remainder of the week, so please be patient with me. I usually wake up early as hell anyway so I doubt you’ll get the picks too much later.
So, we’re 36-14 (72%) over the last 3 weeks in NBA Picks… self praise stinks but that’s absurd. Please spread the word when you can! Today’s slate features only 2 NBA games and I would be misleading you if I gave you a bet on either of them. Neither have any real line value. Instead, I have a few CBB plays and a few lookahead NFL plays, too!
CBB:
  • Syracuse -3.5 *
  • Utah St/Fresno St under 130 *
NFL Lookahead (all leans for now):
  • Bengals +3.5
  • 49ers +5.5
  • Bucs -3
  • Bills ML

Podcast 5 – 22 – NFL Wildcard Weekend Recap – NFL Divisional Weekend Play – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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We have another quick show for you today!   Kiev goes solo to recap a fantastic weekend of football and do give out a free NFL divisional weekend play!   Should you have any questions for us or would like us to break down a game, please feel free to tweet us @TheOddsBreakers

Should you need a sportsbook please visit MyBookie.ag and use the promo code, “TheOddsbreakers” to get a 100% sign up bonus!!!! Terms, conditions and location apply.

If you want a great education and credentials in the world of sports investing, please visit https://sportswageringu.com/ and use the promo-code Odds21 for 10% off the price!  

#Sportsbetting #FreePicks #FreePlays #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NBA #NHL #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

If you want to subscribe to and get some very frequent winners Click Here, please become a member of The OddsBreakers by clicking shop and gain access to premium picks BEFORE the line moves!  Please visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev.  We are giving away a FREE THE ODDSBREAKERS T-shirt with all signups.   You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month and get some benefits and merchandise.

NCAAM Free Play

By
Kristobal Lundborg
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883 Mercer -3.5 (-110)** at 884 The Citadel
Citadel’s fast pace makes them dangerous as a dog for sure, but we have two teams headed in different directions as Mercer has been solid in conference play while The Citadel has shown to be one of the weaker teams in the SoCon. Mercer comes in winning 3 of L4 in conference while The Citadel is losers of L3 of 4. Mercer has dominated this series winning both matchups last season by 20 or more points. Mercer’s size should give them the advantage in this one and be the key to slowing down this Citadel squad. Four points is not a huge ask for a team needing wins in Mercer after a bad start to the season, give me Mercer laying the points.
Check out my Patreon as I am up +26.5 units since November!

January 17th NBA Free Play

By
Michael Fordham
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Coming off a 12-4, +8.35u week, I’m back at it today with 3 plays! 2 of those plays are reserved for premium members(1 CBB, 1 NBA). Premium plays are hitting at a 57.6% clip and have netted my members +40u since September 2021. To become a premium member, visit https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-checkout/?level=9

*NBA(1u): Heat -3(-110) vs Raptors–6:40 PM CT

The Raptors have played really good basketball in the month of January, but given how they’ve approached this road trip, I think this is the spot we start to see the wheels fall off. This will be the 3rd game in 4 nights for Toronto after playing road games in Detroit and Milwaukee. Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet played 40 minutes each in both of those games; OG Anunoby played 36 and 39 minutes, respectively. To push your starters that hard and then pair that with a 3rd game in 4 nights WITH travel is simply not a sustainable recipe for success. Miami is 1-1 on their current homestand, and while this is a 3rd game in 4 nights for them, there has been no travel involved for the Heat. I would’ve loved to have Kyle Lowry in tonight, but I think the Heat have enough guard depth to compensate for this game. This is a clear opportunity to fade Toronto; I’ll lay the short number with Miami.

January 17th Premium Card

By
Michael Fordham
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*CBB(1u): Notre Dame TT OVER 80(-120) vs Howard–1:30 PM CT

Howard has played 2 teams from “big conferences” this season: Villanova and Georgetown. Villanova hung 100 on the Bison, while Georgetown managed to put up 85. Howard’s defense is atrocious(268th in KenPom), and by going at the 30th fastest pace in the country, their opposition has plenty of opportunities to hang up crooked numbers. Over their past 4 games(all in conference play), Notre Dame has averaged 73.8 PPG; none of those opponents(outside of North Carolina) like to push the pace, and all play respectable defense. This is a step down in competition for Notre Dame, and given Howard’s style of play, I don’t think it will take much for the Fighting Irish to crack 80 today. 

*NBA(1u): Nets +3(-110) @ Cavaliers–2:10 PM CT

The Cavaliers are playing really good basketball at the moment, but this is a bad spot for them. Coming off a 6 game road trip(which concluded in just 9 days), they return back home in a 3 games in 4 nights scenario only to have to hop back on a plane in route to Chicago after today’s game. Fatigue is going to start to come into play. While the Nets lost Kevin Durant to a knee injury on Saturday, they will have Kyrie Irving available for today’s game. Irving makes a huge difference and makes you remember how nice it is to have a TRUE point guard. Brooklyn has the major rest advantage here and is coming off a 2 game home stand. Winning on the road in Utah is impressive, but other than that, Cleveland beat Portland, Sacramento, San Antonio, and Oklahoma City on their recent road trip. I’m not sure this team is proven enough to be laying points against the Nets, and given this spot, I have no problem playing against them today. 

Premiums, 1.17

By
Chris R. Farley
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Just an “eh” day in the NFL, probably expected after the tear we had in Circa, but another good day in NBA bets. We’re 35-14 (71%) over the last 3 weeks!

MLK Day games usually have more fire in them – looking at a few unders today but in general, I don’t love very much on this slate. Here are my picks:
NBA:
  • Pels/Celtics under 215.5 ** The Pels play to the other team’s rhythm and Boston will slow this down.
  • Grizzlies TT over 115 * This version of the Bulls, without Caruso and Ball, has struggled to stop anyone. Memphis at home should feast.
  • Raptors/Heat under 211 ** Two defense-predicated teams that should go head to head in the paint and make life difficult for each other.
  • Spurs +5 * The Suns have been SO good on the road but eventually this has to end. The Spurs are in a great spot to keep this close or win.
NFL:
  • Rams -3.5 *

Rob Vinciletti: Monday NBA Totals System Play

By
Rob Vinciletti
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Monday card has the Triple System Wild card Power Play, sides on a 3-0 Playoff run. In Hoops we have an NCAAB Platinum Supreme move and a 5* NBA Power System Side. NBA Comp Total. Below.

On Monday the NBA Comp totals play is on the Over in the Oklahoma City at Dallas game at 8:40 eastern. The game has a neat totals system that has flown over 15 of 20 times long term for road dogs of 10 or more that enter off a home dog loss and prior road dog win and a road dog loss three back vs a team like Dallas that is favored. The Thunder are ranked at the lower half in defense and do play up tempo so this one likely goes over the total. On Monday we have a big Power Card up with a triple system Wild card winner, an NCAAB Platinum Supreme total and NBA 5* Power Play. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on now as we start the week big. For the NBA Comp play. Go over the total OKC and Dallas. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

NFL Wildcard Weekend Free Play – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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San Francisco vs Dallas -3 O/U 51

I have to appreciate what San Francisco did here to get to the post season.   No playoff  team has had more ups and downs than the 49ers this year and you have to appreciate the great play of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ranking 4th in EPA + Completion percentage over expectation and 14th in QBR.   In saying that, Dak Prescott isn’t exactly a pushover himself ranking 14th in EPA + CPOE and 9th in QBR.  San Francisco probably has the coaching advantage here with Shanahan vs McCarthy, but Dallas has been red hot most of the season and they seem to have more talent at the skill positions.  San Francisco is 6th in offensive EPA while Dallas ranks 7th but Dallas ranks 3rd in defensive EPA while the Niners rank 13th. Dallas is number 1 in DVOA while the 49ers are number 6 from football outsiders.  Now for me, I see that Dallas has a very tight aggressive defense where they will give up a few big plays in order to jump routs and force interceptions.  Dallas has also kept a lot of their opponents out the the end zone only allowing a 7th best 21.1 points per game on much harder schedule than San Francisco.   The kicker for me here is that Dallas has a nice passing matchup advantage ranking 6th in drop-back EPA on offense to the 49ers 23rd on defense.  I think Dallas can keep scoring points unlike the Rams did last week.   Gotta go with the Boys.

Dallas -3 -115 – 2.5 stars

 

Super Wildcard Weekend Free Play!

By
Steve Norman
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Wow! LFG! What an awesome way to end week 18 in the NFL last week. From our top 5 finish in Circa to 3-0 in our free picks! Let’s keep that momentum rolling as we continue this awesome journey. Super Wild Card weekend is now among us and I personally am surprised with some of the teams that snuck in. Now let’s see if they take advantage of their good fortune or” Wentz it up” this week.

 Current NFL record: 148-103 (58%) Units: +44.14

Pit +12.5 (-107)

 Common knowledge we always hear in this industry is to, “fade the noise”. That saying could not be anymore true this week. There has been a lot of talk and frankly disrespect that the Steelers have absolutely no chance in this game. Others have even said this game is a, “bye-like week” for the Chiefs and maybe they should consider resting players. I am not buying that for one second. Not only is this the volatile NFL where any team is capable of beating anyone at any given time. This is the NFL PLAYOFFS! If you think the same Steelers team is going to show up and get blown out in KC they way they did in week 16, you are mistaken.

First and foremost: Underdogs are 15-3 ATS in the Wild Card round the last 4 seasons and have been 10-8 Straight up. Those trends are for a good reason. Playoffs are essentially a new season…. A clean slate….. all or nothing and the Steelers are playing with house money.   When a team is playing with nothing to lose and zero expectations they can be very dangerous. Big Ben himself sarcastically acknowledged that they are a “bad football team” and they are playing to “have fun”. Don’t think for a second Steeler football and that tough blue-collar culture will lay down for this game.

We know the talent that surrounds Patrick Mahomes and there is plenty of it. However, we have seen it time and time again this Kansas City team can be extremely shaky this season: offensively and defensively. From suspect Mahomes throws/decisions to blown defensive coverage’s. This KC team is human. Tyreek Hill’s heel has been an issue as of late but is not considered to be a “large issue” this week. News came out that running back CEH will be a no go in this game, this stacked with back up running back Darrel Williams having toe issues may mean KC running game may struggle.   We know KC is a pass heavy team in general and Steelers have the defensive front to make Mahomes struggle and possibly disrupt this KC attack.

12.5 is too many points for me in this spot. We cannot expect to see the same Steeler team that got blown out. I think Big Ben and this team rallies to make this an exciting close game. This is a spot for a vintage Steeler like showing of playing up to their competition. Steelers Lean on Najee Harris….Big Ben controls the ball and makes veteran plays to keep this close. Pit +12.5

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