So you already got my UFC picks, I posted them below as a reminder, and in case you haven’t realized we had one HELL of a week in NBA bets! Told you not to panic after that cold weekend 😉 Not much I like in NBA today unfortunately, but we have the Army/Navy game, UFC, and some CBB plays below. I’m also adding a few more NFL plays. Enjoy and happy weekend! Let’s cash!
NBA:
Nuggets -1 **
Jokic over 28 points *
CBB:
Creighton +5.5 *
Wisconsin/Ohio St under 135 *
Marquette +7.5 *
UCONN -4 *
Army/Navy Game
Under 34.5 **
Army -7 **
Army -7.5 *
UFC:
Cruz *
Kara-France *
Oliviera **
Parlay: O’Malley + Nunes/Pena over 2.5 rounds, 1 unit to win 2.31
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Army vs Navy +7 O/U 35
If you want a long drawn out history of this fanstastic game, you are at the wrong place. This is only about the handicap and that is why we will keep this short. The weather for this game will be very windy with gusts up to 40 MPH at MetLife Stadium as you can see from this diagram.
Army is clearly the better team at about even in yards per play while Navy has had a down year at -1.8 but what I will say is that Navy has improved towards the end of the season beating Tulsa outright, keeping it close with East Carolina and giving Cincinnati some fits only losing by 8 points. Now the reason for this low total is because we have 2 teams that rarely pass the ball and both run the triple option. What that does is drain clock to the point where sometimes this game ends in under 2.5 hours. Army’s offense ranks 15th in success rate Navy’s defense ranks 85th. Navy is 115th in offensive success rate to Army’s defense ranking 34th. Even with this massive disparity, money came in on Navy due to the fact that points are at a premium in this game and Navy has had the harder schedule. Even with this low total, I do not want to go over because over the last 10 of these games, the under is a perfect 10-0. Another reason for low scoring is that both of these teams being both option teams understand how to stop each other on defense and with the rain and the wind. I think that there will be less trick pass plays drawn up by the coaches. I think that Army wins this game being the more powerful team. I do not know if they will get that 7 pt margin, but what I do think that could happen is that Navy is very limited in getting points themselves being that they could only score about 3 points vs Airforce earlier in the season and only average 20 points per game in total. Army stops the run this year allowing only 3.7 yards per rush while Navy allows a pretty decent 4.1. I think in this rare instance, the teaser past the key numbers with an unstoppable under could be the best value. Tease Army to -1 with the under to 41.
6 pt. teaser – Army to -1 with the under to 41 – 2 stars
Saturday card has the NCAAB Non Conference Play of the Year Headlining hoops, In College Football we have a 6* Top play in the Army-Navy game 7-0 L7 in this game and an FCS Playoff Executive Level TIER 1 Total and NHL. NBA Comp Play below.
On Saturday the NBA Comp play is over 218.5 in the Utah at Washington game at 7:10 eastern. The game fits a nice 78% Over System from the database pertaining to both teams off a road favored win. Utah is ranked 2nd in scoring and has gone over 7 of 8 with 1 day of rest,5 of 6 off a 10+ point win and 5 of 6 vs a winning team. The Wizards are on a 5-0 run to the over vs winning teams, 5 of 6 after allowing 100 or more and 4 of 5 with 2 days rest. In the series these two have flown over the last 5 times. Look for a fast paced game that plays over. On Saturday the NCAAB Non Conference Game Of The Year Headlines a Solid cad that has a 6* Top play in the Army nave game a match we have hit the last 7 years. There is also a Huge Executive Level Tier 1 FCS College Football Playoff Total and a BIG NHL Play along with Soccer. Friday card sweeps the board. See us at goldencontender@aol.com or on facebook/twitter to Jump on now as we are Poised for another big day. For the NBA Comp play. Go Over 218.5 in the Jazz at Wizards game. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.
Hard to look at the Under here as the T-Wolves have flown over the total in their L2 but as good as Cleveland’s defense has been Minnesota is averaging more steals/ blocks/ rebounds on the season. A stat I can’t look away from is when the Cavs are facing teams who average more than 5 blocks/ game and >8 steals game they are 0-4 O/U. Both lean to the 1H under as home and away teams respectively as well. Give me the 1st half Under 109!
The Sacramento Kings' Buddy Hield (24) celebrates a three-point basket as referee Marc Davis signals the play against the Phoenix Suns on March 23, 2019, at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif. (Photo by Hector Amezcua/Sacramento Bee/TNS/Sipa USA)
Premium Plays: 80-52-1, +40u
*NBA(1u): Kings ML(-115) @ Hornets–6:10 PM CT
The Hornets’ roster is completely depleted right now; with 5 regulars(including LaMelo Ball and Terry Rozier) currently out, Charlotte has been deploying an 8 man rotation. Fatigue has kicked in, and the Hornets are playing little-to-no defense at the moment(allowing 122 PPG over last 4 games). To make matters worse, PJ Washington is not 100% entering tonight’s matchup. You won’t see me look for reasons to play on Sacramento very often, but I do believe this is a good spot for them. The Kings have won 3 straight(2 against the Clippers) entering this 3 game road trip. I like to play on a team coming off a morale-boosting home stand in that first game of the road trip. The Hornets are clearly the better team when healthy, but they are playing from behind the 8 ball with only 8 healthy guys. I like the Kings to make it 4 straight wins tonight.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - FEBRUARY 24: Jakob Poeltl #25 of the San Antonio Spurs dunks in the second half against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on February 24, 2019 in New York City.The New York Knicks defeated the San Antonio Spurs 130-118. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Elsa/Getty Images/AFP == FOR NEWSPAPERS, INTERNET, TELCOS & TELEVISION USE ONLY ==
531/ 532 Denver at San Antonio
Lines have moved toward the Spurs in this one where we see them playing a Nuggets team off an overtime win last night at New Orleans. So far this season, the Spurs are 3-1 ATS playing against teams on a back to back and the Nuggets are 1-3 ATS playing with no rest. However, this will be the first time the Spurs are a favorite in this position and although they have beat the spread they are 1-3 SU. That has me looking for San Antonio elsewhere in the game. Also, I have a hard time betting against the Nuggets as it seems teams with great players like Jokic seem to get wins when they shouldn’t.
Looking at the 1st quarter stats, the Spurs are 9-2 1Q ATS at home (a streak I’ve been riding) while the Nuggets are 6-7 1Q in away games. Playing with no rest, the Nuggets are averaging a 4 point deficit in the 1st Quarter as well. I’m looking for the Spurs to jump on the Nuggets early but don’t trust them enough to make it a large play or take them full game although it is a great spot. Give me the Spurs 1st Quarter!
